Shortest win price
Alabama Hussy (5)
2.50
Welcome to Bathurst for race seven on the card, featuring the Senior Jockey Of The Year Winona Costin Country Boosted Benchmark 58 over the 1300m trip. The track is rated a soft five under fine weather conditions, setting up an intriguing battle for the punters. Looking at the early win market order, Alabama Hussy heads discussions at the top of the board, followed closely by I'm Scarlett, Street Swagger, and Brutal Elegance forming the initial vanguard of market fancies as we dive into this country clash.
The form lines behind those shorter prices throw up some fascinating angles for the yarn. Alabama Hussy comes in following a solid effort at Goulburn over 1300m where the runner was quietly handled in the back half before shaking up and finishing full of running, ticking the crucial track and distance win box to make strong appeal. Meanwhile, I'm Scarlett brings seasoned performer credentials after just missing at Dubbo and running a close second in a showcase open, though the stable combination cops a negative indicator against market expectations. Street Swagger also chased hard for third at Dubbo over the distance on a heavy track, while Brutal Elegance resumes from a spell for a new stable after two barrier trial hitouts to bring on fitness.
Peering deeper into the race data, Bobby's Secret maps as the leader from barrier five, which could dictate terms if allowed a soft time out front. Other runners like Flying Maurice step out with a lightweight and strong jockey ROI metrics behind them, though the race sets up nicely for those tracking off the pace. It is shaping as a tight contest where punters will need to weigh up resuming runners against those with recent fitness on the board.
Shortest win price
Alabama Hussy (5)
2.50
Most career wins
Street Swagger
9-4-6 from 57 starts
Back left · leaders right
Backmarker
Offmidfield
Midfield
Offpace
Onpace
Leader
Dubai Centre · Negative
Cold J/T Combo
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
I'm Scarlett · Positive
Fast Finisher
Fastest Overall Finishing Sectionals Last Start
Street Swagger · Positive
Fast Finisher
Fastest Overall Finishing Sectionals Last Start
Alabama Hussy · Positive
Rider SR
Jockey recent POT is 19% better than Career Avg.
Career
67: 6-14-5
Rating · IRD
73
Speed map
Midfield
First-up
11: 0-2-0
Second-up
9: 0-1-0
Third-up
8: 0-2-2
Fourth-up
7: 1-1-0
Track Nowra
5: 0-1-0
Track Dubbo
2: 1-1-0
Track Canterbury
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1300m
10: 0-1-1
Distance 1410m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1435m
3: 0-2-1
Going Good
28: 1-5-1
Going Heavy
14: 3-2-1
Going Soft
24: 2-7-3
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Early Splits
Positive
Has early speed. An advantage on this circuit
Well beaten LS
Negative
Not competitive last run
Awkward Draw
Negative
May find this draw awkward
Dist S/R
Negative
Poor performer at the distance
AAP
Veteran who failed to threaten (wide draw) in soft going at Goulburn first up as a market drifter. Hard to warm to here.
ILB
Jumped at $31.00 and lacklustre showing when 6th last start at Goulburn. Others much better.
RP
Beaten 7l when sixth of eight over 5½f at Goulburn (handicap) ten days ago; a course winner; not the most consistent of horses lately; this looks a fair heat so he can be taken on.
RSIS
Odds of 30/1 and ordinary performance when 6th last time at Goulburn.
Career
47: 6-5-3
Rating · IRD
77
Speed map
Midfield
First-up
11: 0-1-2
Second-up
9: 0-2-1
Third-up
8: 2-1-0
Fourth-up
6: 1-0-0
Track Moruya
3: 0-0-1
Track Goulburn
3: 0-0-0
Track Hawkesbury
1: 0-0-0
Distance 930m
1: 0-0-1
Distance 1010m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1150m
1: 0-0-0
Going Heavy
4: 0-0-0
Going Soft
14: 1-0-1
Going Synthetic
4: 0-0-0
Fast Finisher
Positive
Fastest Overall Finishing Sectionals Last Start
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -22% POT in their L100 Races
Early Splits
Positive
Has early speed. An advantage on this circuit
Solid Run LS
Positive
Won last start
Draw Suits
Positive
Well drawn inside
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
AAP
Long odds when knuckled down strongly from back half to salute in the (Bm58) 1200m at Wagga. Best away from heavy. Chance again at odds from the inside gate.
ILB
Finished well when winning last start at Wagga and will appreciate a good draw. Goes up in weight.
RP
Sprang a shock when scoring at 100-1 over 6f at Wagga (handicap) 27 days ago, ending losing run; can figure.
RSIS
Picked up nicely to win last time at Wagga and drawn well. Has to carry more weight this time.
Career
58: 8-9-7
Rating · IRD
90
Speed map
Offmidfield
First-up
6: 1-0-1
Second-up
5: 2-0-0
Third-up
5: 1-0-1
Fourth-up
5: 0-0-0
Track Narromine
3: 0-1-0
Track Nyngan
1: 0-1-0
Track Tottenham
1: 0-0-1
Distance 1250m
1: 0-1-0
Distance 1280m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1300m
9: 0-2-1
Going Firm
1: 0-0-1
Going Good
33: 5-4-3
Going Heavy
2: 0-0-0
Fast Finisher
Positive
Fastest Overall Finishing Sectionals Last Start
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are under performing market expectations by -20%
Fast Early
Positive
Sectionals suggest goes hard early
Ran On Hard LS
Positive
Ran on well last start
Dist S/R
Negative
Poor performer at the distance
Form At Track
Positive
1 time winner here at Bathurst
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
Weight Drop
Positive
Drops 4kg from LS run
AAP
Seasoned performer. Just missed at Dubbo 7 Sep. Just beaten in the 3yo+ Showcase Open at Dubbo. Rates highly.
ILB
Hit the line well when 2nd last run at Dubbo and will benefit with the weight drop. Shows very good finishing speed. Can win.
RP
Beaten narrowly over 7f at Dubbo (conditions race) last month; possesses winning form at this track; regularly been coming up a bit short lately so has some questions to answer.
RSIS
Managed to run into 2nd last start at Dubbo and gets some weight taken off. Can go through the gears. One of the punters top hopes.
Career
57: 9-4-6
Rating · IRD
83
Speed map
Offmidfield
First-up
6: 1-1-0
Second-up
5: 1-1-0
Third-up
5: 0-0-1
Fourth-up
4: 2-1-0
Track Bathurst
1: 0-0-0
Track Mudgee
1: 0-0-0
Track Woolamai
1: 1-0-0
Distance 1800m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1100m
2: 0-0-0
Distance 1103m
1: 0-0-0
Going Firm
3: 1-0-0
Going Good
34: 3-4-3
Going Heavy
9: 4-0-1
Fast Finisher
Positive
Fastest Overall Finishing Sectionals Last Start
Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are out performing market expectations by 51%
Stable In Form
Positive
Stable going well. Out performing market by 69%
Trainer ROI
Positive
Runners from this stable currently going at 44% POT in L100 Runners
Wet To Dry
Negative
Coming from a wet to dry (Heavy 8 to Good 4) track may prove difficult
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
AAP
Outgunned but did enough for third at $8.50 at Dubbo over this distance. Harder to warm to here.
ILB
Nice effort when finishing 3rd last start at Dubbo on a heavy rated track. Expected to settle towards the rear. Watch the betting.
RP
Not beaten too far when third (Dubbo, dropped back to this distance) 14 days ago.
RSIS
Made some ground late when 3rd last run at Dubbo. Does take a while to get into stride.
Career
17: 2-3-1
Rating · IRD
100
Speed map
Offpace
First-up
4: 0-0-0
Second-up
3: 1-0-1
Third-up
3: 0-1-0
Fourth-up
2: 0-0-0
Track Sapphire Coast
1: 0-1-0
Track Hawkesbury
1: 0-1-0
Track Kembla Grange
3: 0-0-1
Distance 1210m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1350m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1375m
1: 1-0-0
Going Good
12: 2-3-0
Going Heavy
1: 0-0-0
Going Soft
4: 0-0-1
Rider SR
Positive
Jockey recent POT is 19% better than Career Avg.
Key Rider
Positive
Deon Le Roux 28% above market expected in L100 Rides
Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are out performing market expectations by 159%
Fast Early
Positive
Sectionals suggest goes hard early
Awkward Draw
Negative
May find this draw awkward
Track Exp
Positive
Knows this track well
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
AAP
Quietly handled in back half, shaken up and finished full of running at Goulburn over today's trip. Ticks the track and distance win box. Makes strong appeal.
ILB
At $11.00 picked up some late ground when 5th last run at Goulburn. Should put in a decent effort.
RP
Has won over C&D; has proven competitive in a race of this nature; not beaten too far (1½l) at Goulburn last month; shown she can get her head in front so in the mix.
RSIS
Started 10/1 and hit the line well when 5th last run at Goulburn. Stamps its reason for consideration.
Career
10: 2-2-0
Rating · IRD
88
Speed map
Offmidfield
First-up
3: 0-1-0
Second-up
2: 1-0-0
Third-up
2: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
2: 0-1-0
Track Dubbo
1: 1-0-0
Track Scone
3: 0-0-0
Track Bathurst
1: 0-1-0
Distance 1000m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1200m
3: 1-2-0
Distance 1280m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
6: 1-1-0
Going Heavy
1: 0-0-0
Going Soft
3: 1-1-0
Fast Finisher
Positive
Fastest Overall Finishing Sectionals Last Start
Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are out performing market expectations by 174%
Trainer ROI
Positive
Runners from this stable currently going at 26% POT in L100 Runners
Draw Suits
Positive
Well drawn inside
Increased Dist
Positive
Distance rise from last start
Track Exp
Positive
Knows this track well
Ready To Strike
Positive
Can be rewarded for recent consistent form
Resuming
Negative
Poor strike rate when first up
AAP
Resuming (17-weeks). Ex R P Northam in NSW. Didn't come up last prep but brought on with two trial hitouts and has placed first-up. Watch betting.
ILB
Back from a break. Jumped at $9.50 and didn't threaten when 11th last run at Tamworth but drawn well. Jockey Brodie Loy is in form for this stable. Not at all out of this race.
RP
Last of 11 over 7f at Tamworth (handicap) in June; returns from a break today; now running for a new stable; one to consider with a bit more luck as excuses last time (crowded) and has proved she knows how to win.
RSIS
Resuming after a break. Was 17/2 and didn't threaten when 11th last time at Tamworth but gets a favourable draw. Watch the betting.
Rating · IRD
76
Speed map
Leader
Trainer Recent
Negative
Camp struggling with S/R just 6%
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -44% POT in their L100 Races
Trainer Recent
Negative
Stable runners are currently underperforming market by 34%
Dist S/R
Negative
Poor performer at the distance
Track Exp
Positive
Knows this track well
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
AAP
Experienced campaigner. Led, gave away under pressure at Canberra. Can go forward and form okay this t/d. Each way.
ILB
Lost ground late when 5th last run at Canberra.
RP
Has won over C&D; not disgraced in fifth over 7f at Canberra (handicap) last month; this looks a fair heat so looks an unlikely winner.
RSIS
Was found wanting late when 5th last start at Canberra.
Career
41: 5-5-7
Rating · IRD
99
Speed map
Offmidfield
First-up
6: 2-1-1
Second-up
5: 0-2-0
Third-up
5: 1-0-2
Fourth-up
4: 0-1-0
Track Tumbarumba
1: 0-0-0
Track Canberra
1: 0-0-0
Track Narrandera
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1200m
16: 3-2-3
Distance 1300m
3: 0-0-1
Distance 1400m
4: 0-0-1
Going Good
24: 2-2-3
Going Heavy
2: 0-0-0
Going Soft
7: 1-2-2
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -46% POT in their L100 Races
Maps Well
Positive
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 12%
Track Exp
Positive
Knows this track well
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
AAP
Sent out $8.50 when unable to threaten in testing conditions at Dubbo over this trip. Winner at only other start at Bathurst. Major player here.
ILB
At $8.50 kept chasing when 5th last run at Dubbo on a heavy rated track. Can go through the gears. Major player who should go very close.
RP
Not far behind Street Swagger when fifth (Dubbo) 14 days ago; has winning form at this track; others appeal more as this is a fairly competitive event.
RSIS
Odds of 15/2 and pushed past some when 5th last time at Dubbo. Finishes off strongly. Very capable of taking this out.
Career
1: 1-0-0
Rating · IRD
91
Speed map
Backmarker
First-up
1: 1-0-0
Track Canberra
1: 1-0-0
Distance 1200m
1: 1-0-0
Going Good
1: 1-0-0
Fast Finisher
Positive
Fastest Overall Finishing Sectionals Last Start
Rider SR
Positive
Jockey recent POT is 38% better than Career Avg.
Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are out performing market expectations by 99%
Profitable Trainer
Positive
Stable runners going at 11% POT in L100 Runners
Key Jockey
Positive
Emma Ly winning at 19% POT in last 100 rides
Solid Run LS
Positive
Won last start
Raceday Experience
Positive
Wiser for debut run
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
AAP
Knuckled down with purpose to score at Canberra debut. Good introduction but will need to progress to figure here.
ILB
Picked up nicely to win last run at Canberra and having second race start. Should be swooping on the field late. Very tidy performer.
RP
Narrow scorer at the first time of asking at Canberra at 13-1 last month; has to be considered.
RSIS
Rocketed home when winning last time at Canberra and having second career run. Has good finishing pace. Expecting a solid performance.
Career
76: 6-10-9
Rating · IRD
79
Speed map
Leader
First-up
7: 1-0-1
Second-up
6: 0-1-1
Third-up
5: 0-1-1
Fourth-up
5: 0-2-1
Track Wellington
2: 0-0-2
Track Ardlethan
1: 0-0-1
Track Forbes
2: 0-1-0
Distance 1605m
2: 0-0-1
Distance 1610m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1800m
2: 0-0-0
Going Firm
2: 0-1-1
Going Good
25: 2-4-2
Going Heavy
19: 2-0-3
Current SR
Negative
Rider’s recent POT is returning 39% lower than Career Avg.
Jockey Booking
Negative
Less suitable jockey engaged
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are under performing market expectations by -28%
Rider Poor SR
Negative
Jockey underperforming market expectations by 46% in L100 rides
Ran On Hard LS
Positive
Ran on well last start
Dist S/R
Negative
Poor performer at the distance
Increased Dist
Positive
Distance rise from last start
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
AAP
Reserved midfield and picked up intently at Dubbo when second-up. Handles the wet. One for multiples.
ILB
Produced an eye catching run when 2nd beaten by 1 3/4L last run at Dubbo and matched against less formidable competition. Should muster plenty of early toe. Appears tested.
RP
Wasn't disgraced when runner-up of 11 three weeks ago at Dubbo in a conditions race; often been there or thereabouts lately.
RSIS
Put in a competitive run when placing 2nd last start at Dubbo and competing in an easier class. Expecting to settle positively. Been in the top three each attempt lately.
Career
30: 1-1-5
Rating · IRD
70
Speed map
Onpace
First-up
4: 0-0-1
Second-up
3: 0-1-1
Third-up
3: 0-0-1
Fourth-up
2: 0-0-0
Track Dubbo
10: 0-1-2
Track Bathurst
1: 0-0-0
Track Warwick Farm
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1200m
6: 0-0-1
Distance 1300m
3: 0-0-0
Distance 1400m
4: 0-0-0
Going Good
16: 0-1-2
Going Heavy
3: 1-0-1
Going Soft
11: 0-0-2
Trainer SR
Negative
Bob Howe striking at just 4%
Rider
Negative
Negative rider change today
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -59% POT in their L100 Races
Trainer A2E
Negative
Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 36%
Trainer Form
Negative
Stable out of form, losing 47% Profit on Turnover
Maps Well
Positive
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 12%
Draw Suits
Positive
Well drawn inside
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
AAP
Never sighted at Orange over this journey. New to Bathurst. Has work to do on recent figures.
ILB
Backing up quickly for this race. Started $151.00 and average at best when 9th last start at Orange but has a positive draw. Expecting to settle positively. Will be a difficult assignment.
RP
Beaten 9l in ninth at Orange eight days ago; struggled a bit since winning a handicap at Narromine four months ago; facing a testing assignment and not one to rely on.
RSIS
Racing on a quick back up. At 150/1 just average when 9th last start at Orange but can find a nice position from the draw.