Shortest win price
That Is Justice (12)
2.35
Welcome to Belmont for some Wednesday afternoon racing on a fine surface rated Good 4. The Quayclean Mdn over 1000m has attracted a fascinating field of maidens where the punters have zeroed in on a few key hopes early. Looking at the win market order, That Is Justice holds down the mantle of the shortest runner, closely followed by Keppel Gate, Incredible Mr Fox, and Fair Machino rounding out the leading quartet in betting as we get set for a cracking race at 4:55 pm AEDT.
The form behind those shorter prices tells an interesting story for punters trying to line up the yarn. Keppel Gate comes in for Simon Miller with Chris Parnham steering from barrier 10, carrying 54kg, having run on well last start when finishing third over 1000m at Northam; the maps show this runner is suited at the track and can let down strongly over the short trip. Meanwhile, Incredible Mr Fox lines up for D R Harrison from barrier 1 with Paul Harvey aboard, coming off a solid third over 1000m at Northam on a quick back-up where it showed early speed.
Looking a bit further down the order, debutant Fair Machino for S & J Casey jumps from barrier 2 with Brayden Gaerth taking the ride at 54kg, boasting an earlier trial win right here at Belmont. That Is Justice sits right at the top of the market for D M Luciani and Holly Watson following a tidy trial win on a good 4 at this very track, making it an intriguing runner to watch as the action unfolds on course.
Shortest win price
That Is Justice (12)
2.35
Back left · leaders right
Backmarker
Midfield
Offpace
Onpace
Firststart
Leader
Let's Go Jarpo · Negative
Cold J/T Combo
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Rattle The Cage · Negative
Trainer Career
Trainer Career S/R is 6%
Top Of The Town · Negative
Trainer Recent
Camp struggling with S/R just 3%
Salve Regina · Negative
Trainer Recent
Camp struggling with S/R just 4%
Career
9: 0-0-1
Rating · IRD
82
Speed map
Backmarker
First-up
2: 0-0-1
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Third-up
1: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Belmont
3: 0-0-1
Track CurrentTrack
3: 0-0-1
Track Northam
3: 0-0-0
Distance 1000m
5: 0-0-1
Distance 1100m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1300m
3: 0-0-0
Going Good
6: 0-0-1
Going Heavy
1: 0-0-0
Going Soft
2: 0-0-0
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Stable In Form
Positive
Stable going well. Out performing market by 107%
Profitable Trainer
Positive
Stable runners going at 78% POT in L100 Runners
Maps Well
Positive
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 13%
Ran On Hard LS
Positive
Ran on well last start
Wide Draw
Negative
Likely to get caught wide
Dist S/R
Negative
Poor performer at the distance
Back in Dist
Negative
Dropping back to a less suitable distance range
AAP
Let-up (43-days). Ran on late from the back at Northam over longer assignment. Capable of making an impact with even breaks.
ILB
Freshened for this. Finished 6th last start at Northam and coming back in distance. Can go through the gears. Jason Li takes a large claim. Could feature here.
RP
Respectable effort at Northam over 6½f (maiden) six weeks ago; yet to open his account after nine starts and shown only moderate recent form; others more likely as this could be a hot race.
RSIS
Freshened up. Came in 6th last time at Northam and dropping back to a shorter trip. Shows good closing pace. The large claim from Jason Li helps. Keep safe.
Career
1: 0-0-1
Rating · IRD
84
Speed map
Offpace
First-up
1: 0-0-1
Track Kalgoorlie
1: 0-0-1
Distance 1200m
1: 0-0-1
Going Good
1: 0-0-1
Trainer Career
Negative
Trainer Career S/R is 6%
Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are out performing market expectations by 46%
Trainer A2E
Negative
Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 31%
Ran On Hard LS
Positive
Ran on well last start
1st Up
Negative
May need this run
Raceday Experience
Positive
Wiser for debut run
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
AAP
Kicks off second campaign (17-weeks). Gave a sight on debut at Kalgoorlie when drifting in the betting 5 Jul. Better for it. Trial was pleasing. Highly fancied for a winning return.
ILB
Back from spell. Flashed home late into 3rd beaten by 2L last time at Kalgoorlie and fitter for debut run. Can measure up against these.
RP
Not beaten too far (just under 2l) on his debut at Kalgoorlie at 5-1 in July; returns from a layoff; must make above-average progress to figure.
RSIS
First run back after a break. Strong run when finishing 3rd beaten by 2L last time at Kalgoorlie and fitter for debut run. Should not be left out of your thoughts.
Career
1: 0-0-0
Rating · IRD
70
Speed map
Leader
First-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Northam
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1000m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
1: 0-0-0
Trainer Recent
Negative
Camp struggling with S/R just 3%
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -53% POT in their L100 Races
Trainer A2E
Negative
Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 49%
Early Splits
Positive
Has early speed. An advantage on this circuit
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
AAP
Passable debut effort when battled home at Northam as an outsider. Wiser for experience. Can make his presence felt with even breaks.
ILB
Started at $91.00 and tailed off to finish 8th last time at Northam but having second career run. Should be rolling forward early from the wide draw. Much prefer the look of others in this race.
RP
Respectable debut effort (beaten 3½l) running over this distance at Northam at 80-1 last month; should improve with a run under his belt although it was only a modest start.
RSIS
Started 90/1 and lost ground in the run home when 8th last time at Northam but having second career run.
Career
12: 0-1-1
Rating · IRD
81
Speed map
Offmidfield
First-up
4: 0-0-1
Second-up
2: 0-0-0
Third-up
2: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
2: 0-0-0
Track Bunbury
1: 0-0-0
Track Belmont
3: 0-0-1
Track CurrentTrack
3: 0-0-1
Distance 1000m
1: 0-0-1
Distance 1100m
4: 0-0-0
Distance 1200m
3: 0-0-0
Going Good
10: 0-1-1
Going Soft
2: 0-0-0
Maps Well
Positive
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 14%
AAP
Freshened since resuming. Every chance but compounded at Bunbury first run back. Drops to shorter trip. Rates highly.
ILB
At $17.00 didn't threaten when 11th last start at Bunbury.
RP
Finished towards the rear of 13 over 6f at Bunbury (maiden) last month; yet to open her account after 12 starts; probably unlikely to trouble the principals in what appears to be a competitive contest.
RSIS
Started 16/1 and struggled with the pace when 11th last start at Bunbury.
Career
12: 0-3-1
Rating · IRD
78
Speed map
Onpace
First-up
2: 0-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-1-0
Third-up
1: 0-1-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Northam
6: 0-3-0
Track Pinjarra
2: 0-0-0
Track Ascot
3: 0-0-1
Distance 1000m
8: 0-3-1
Distance 1100m
2: 0-0-0
Distance 1200m
2: 0-0-0
Going Good
8: 0-1-1
Going Heavy
1: 0-0-0
Going Soft
3: 0-2-0
Trainer Recent
Negative
Camp struggling with S/R just 4%
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are under performing market expectations by -57%
Trainer A2E
Negative
Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 48%
Dist S/R
Negative
Poor performer at the distance
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
Imprv Needed
Negative
Would need to lift here to feature
AAP
Went home tamely at Northam over this journey at $51. New to Belmont Park. At best, a place hope.
ILB
Started at $51.00 and didn't find the line when 11th last start at Northam. The large claim from Natika Riordan should help. Needs significant improvement.
RP
Finished towards the rear of 14 at Northam last month; winless with run of consecutive defeats standing at 12 and form has been a bit mixed lately; meeting some horses in good form and others more persuasive.
RSIS
Odds of 50/1 and gave away some ground when 11th last start at Northam. Natika Riordan provides some weight relief.
Career
4: 0-0-1
Rating · IRD
84
Speed map
Onpace
First-up
2: 0-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-1
Third-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Belmont
1: 0-0-0
Track CurrentTrack
1: 0-0-0
Track Northam
2: 0-0-1
Distance 1000m
4: 0-0-1
Going Good
4: 0-0-1
Trainer Recent
Negative
Camp struggling with S/R just 8%
Trainer Recent
Negative
Stable runners are currently underperforming market by 32%
Fast Early
Positive
Sectionals suggest goes hard early
Draw Suits
Positive
Well drawn inside
Dist S/R
Negative
Poor performer at the distance
Primed
Positive
Fitter here racing on a quick back up
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
AAP
On a quick back-up. Went home just tamely at Northam at $6. Can show early speed. This looks very achievable.
ILB
Racing on a quick back up. Started $6.00 and didn't finish off when 4th last start at Northam and drawn the rails. Value play.
RP
Close up behind Keppel Gate when fourth at Northam last week; four-race maiden but has managed to finish third; others have more pressing claims.
RSIS
Racing on a quick back up. Started at 5/1 and tired late when 4th last time at Northam and gets a favourable stall. Capable of winning this.
Career
5: 0-0-2
Rating · IRD
74
Speed map
Midfield
First-up
2: 0-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-1
Third-up
1: 0-0-1
Track Collie
1: 0-0-1
Track Bunbury
3: 0-0-0
Track Toodyay
1: 0-0-1
Distance 1100m
2: 0-0-2
Distance 1200m
3: 0-0-0
Going Good
4: 0-0-2
Going Soft
1: 0-0-0
Fast Finisher
Positive
Fastest Overall Finishing Sectionals Last Start
Trainer SR
Negative
Katja Warwick striking at just 3%
Rider
Negative
Negative rider change today
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Trainer A2E
Negative
Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 68%
Long Break
Negative
Resumes from a 376 day break (> 300 days)
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
AAP
Resuming (53-weeks). Ex Nikki FitzGerald in WA. Showed plenty in a recent trial, although this long-awaited return may leave some improvement. Expected to come on from this run.
ILB
Resuming after a spell of 53 weeks. Looked good when 3rd last start at Collie. Coming to a new trainer. Success in a trial around here on Oct 26th. Highly unlikely it will trouble the judge.
RP
Seems to be improving based on last two runs; respectable effort to finish third over 5½f at Collie (maiden) last October; starts out for new yard; returns from a lengthy absence.
RSIS
First run back from a 53 week break. Placed 3rd last start at Collie. First start for a new trainer. Won a trial at the track on Oct 26th.
Rating · IRD
78
Speed map
Firststart
Trainer Career
Negative
Trainer Career S/R is 7%
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -25% POT in their L100 Races
Trainer A2E
Negative
Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 34%
Watch Betting
Negative
If supported, follow in
Blinkers On
Positive
Trainer has opted for the Blinkers on, take note
AAP
Trials (2:0-0-0). Two modest trials in readiness for debut. Lucy Fiore on from trials. Look to market for a further guide.
ILB
3yo by Manhattan Rain on debut for Brandon Fiore. Interesting gear change of blinkers on first time. Has not placed in multiple trials. Respect the betting.
RP
Related to 6½f winner Flying Maradona; racing education begins here for this son of Manhattan Rain; warrants plenty of respect.
RSIS
3yo by Manhattan Rain having first race start for trainer Brandon Fiore. Interesting gear change of blinkers on first time. Unplaced in all trials.
Rating · IRD
78
Speed map
Firststart
Jockey Booking
Negative
Less suitable jockey engaged
Trainer ROI
Positive
Runners from this stable currently going at 66% POT in L100 Runners
Draw Suits
Positive
Well drawn inside
Still Learning
Negative
No race experience
AAP
Trials (3:0-0-0). This asks a bit on debut but gave fair account in latest trial. Good draw. Market watch advised.
ILB
Mitchell Pateman 3yo by Snippetson having first race appearance and drawn nicely. Jockey Holly Nottle is a strong choice aboard. Watch for a sign in the market.
RP
Already gelded; this son of Snippetson is having his first start under rules; needs considering as some good aspects to his profile and yard is in good order.
RSIS
Mitchell Pateman 3yo first starter by Snippetson and has a good draw. Holly Nottle is a strong choice aboard.
Career
3: 0-0-2
Rating · IRD
100
Speed map
Midfield
First-up
1: 0-0-1
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Third-up
1: 0-0-1
Track Northam
3: 0-0-2
Distance 1000m
2: 0-0-2
Distance 1100m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
2: 0-0-1
Going Heavy
1: 0-0-1
Maps Well
Positive
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 13%
Ran On Hard LS
Positive
Ran on well last start
Wide Draw
Negative
Likely to get caught wide
Lightly Raced
Positive
Limited race experience but shown potential
Form Revival
Positive
Turning form around with last couple
Backup
Positive
Racing again inside one week
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
AAP
On a short back-up. Void of early speed but she let down strongly Maiden company at Northam over this distance. Can challenge again.
ILB
On a quick turnaround. Rattled home nicely into 3rd beaten by 1 1/2L last start at Northam and solid career start. In good racing form since returning from a break. Strongly fancied.
RP
Creditable effort to finish third at Northam last week; this just her fourth race.
RSIS
On a short turnaround. Showed a good turn of foot when 3rd last run at Northam and showing consistent performance in races. Running with confidence since returning from a break. Highly respected.
Rating · IRD
72
Speed map
Firststart
Jockey Booking
Negative
Brayden Gaerth current POT is 52% below Career Avg.
Jockey Booking
Negative
Less suitable jockey engaged
Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are out performing market expectations by 46%
Rider Poor SR
Negative
Jockey underperforming market expectations by 71% in L100 rides
Market Watch
Negative
Keep eye on betting moves
AAP
Trials (4:1-1-1). Was an earlier trial winner on this track. Gets a soft draw. Brayden Gaerth sticks for debut.
ILB
Racing as a debutant 3yo by Maschino for Sean Casey & Jake Casey. Success in a barrier trial at this venue on Oct 12th. Betting is the best guide.
RP
Looks the part on breeding (by Maschino); sire's progeny generally enjoy some ease in the ground; should go well as some good aspects to her profile and the current trainer form is another tick.
RSIS
3yo first starter sired by Maschino for Sean Casey & Jake Casey. Success in a trial at the track on Oct 12th.
Rating · IRD
76
Speed map
Firststart
Rider SR
Positive
Jockey recent POT is 26% better than Career Avg.
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -48% POT in their L100 Races
Hot Jockey
Positive
Holly Watson in hot recent form, out performing market expectation by 25%
Market Watch
Negative
Keep eye on betting moves
AAP
Trials (2:1-1-0). It's all systems go now for this filly after latest trial win on a good 4 at Belmont Park. Holly Watson stays aboard for debut.
ILB
Dion Luciani 3yo by Playing God having first race start. Winner in a barrier trial here on Oct 26th. Watch betting.
RP
First time on the track; there's hope from the pedigree that she has some ability; may be involved.
RSIS
First start at the races 3yo by Playing God for Dion Luciani. Winner in a trial around here on Oct 26th.