Shortest win price
Cable Rock (2)
2.75
Welcome to Belmont for the Glenroy Chaff Handicap, a Class 3 test over 1300 metres on a good four surface under fine skies. The win market lines up with Cable Rock holding the early call, closely followed by I'm Odette, Return Of The Mach, and Von Rommel heading up calculations for punters looking to dissect the form.
Cable Rock brings solid credentials after finishing a valiant third at Ascot in a similar grade before a strong second at Belmont over 1400 metres, with the S & J Casey stable runner handling the trip nicely from gate three under Holly Watson. Meanwhile, I'm Odette resumes here after a twenty-week spell for a new trainer following a move from the G & A Williams yard, having previously tasted success fresh at this very track. Return Of The Mach also warrants respect off the back of a fast-finishing third at Northam over this exact journey, closing with strong sectionals.
Looking further down the speed map, Cable Rock is marked as a leader while runners like Forgotten Son and Von Rommel settle midfield, and Melody Fair pushes forward from barrier one. Von Rommel enters off a gutsy debut victory at Northam over 1100 metres and aims to handle the extra furlong here, making for an intriguing puzzle as the field jumps at 7:57 pm AEDT.
Shortest win price
Cable Rock (2)
2.75
Back left · leaders right
Backmarker
Offmidfield
Midfield
Offpace
Onpace
Leader
Forgotten Son · Positive
Hot J/T Combo
Combo are out performing market expectations by 321%
Cable Rock · Positive
Rider SR
Jockey recent POT is 26% better than Career Avg.
I'm Odette · Positive
Fast Finisher
Fastest Overall Finishing Sectionals Last Start
Superfluous · Positive
Maps Well
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 6%
Career
9: 2-0-2
Rating · IRD
75
Speed map
Midfield
First-up
3: 0-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-1
Third-up
1: 0-0-1
Fourth-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Belmont
3: 0-0-1
Track CurrentTrack
3: 0-0-1
Track Northam
3: 2-0-0
Distance 1200m
2: 0-0-0
Distance 1300m
3: 1-0-1
Distance 1400m
2: 0-0-1
Going Good
7: 1-0-2
Going Soft
2: 1-0-0
Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are out performing market expectations by 321%
Trainer Form
Positive
In form stable, out performing market expectations 56%
Trainer ROI
Positive
Runners from this stable currently going at 33% POT in L100 Runners
Maps Poorly
Negative
Map position not suited at this track, under performing market expectations by 12%
Slow Early LS
Negative
Speed data from recent runs suggests slower early splits on avg
Awkward Draw
Negative
May find this draw awkward
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
AAP
Last start this trip ran on okay without troubling at Northam. Fitter second-up. Can play a role if things pan out.
ILB
Was $13.00 and ran 4th last time at Northam. Others preferred.
RP
Creditable fourth (dropped to this distance, Northam) last month; achieved each of his two career wins at Northam; this is competitive and others appeal more.
RSIS
At 12/1 finished 4th last time at Northam.
Career
29: 3-5-4
Rating · IRD
92
Speed map
Leader
First-up
6: 1-0-2
Second-up
5: 0-2-1
Third-up
5: 0-1-0
Fourth-up
4: 1-0-0
Track Ascot
10: 0-1-2
Track Pinjarra Scarpside
1: 0-0-0
Track Belmont
11: 2-3-1
Distance 1000m
2: 0-0-0
Distance 1200m
6: 1-1-2
Distance 1300m
7: 2-2-1
Going Soft
3: 0-1-0
Going Good
25: 3-4-4
Going Heavy
1: 0-0-0
Rider SR
Positive
Jockey recent POT is 26% better than Career Avg.
Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are out performing market expectations by 61%
Early Splits
Positive
Has early speed. An advantage on this circuit
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
Honest
Positive
Finishing in the money lately
AAP
Was a valiant but vanquished third in the 3yo+ (Rs0ly) at Ascot. Jumps from better barrier and seems to like it here. Dual winner this trip. Will take a power of beating.
ILB
Peaked on the run when 3rd beaten by just short of 2 1/2L last run at Ascot and lining up against easier rivals. Should come to hand quickly. Goes well and could be a value opportunity.
RP
A winner over C&D; producing consistent form; not beaten far when third at Ascot over 6f (handicap), finished ahead of Melody Fair last month; ought to be competitive.
RSIS
Was outmuscled when 3rd last time at Ascot and matched against a less competitive field. Has early pace and positions nicely. Bit of extra work to do with more weight. Strong prospects in this race.
Career
4: 2-0-0
Rating · IRD
89
Speed map
Backmarker
First-up
2: 1-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Belmont
1: 1-0-0
Track CurrentTrack
1: 1-0-0
Track Northam
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1400m
2: 1-0-0
Distance 1200m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1300m
1: 1-0-0
Going Good
3: 2-0-0
Going Soft
1: 0-0-0
Fast Finisher
Positive
Fastest Overall Finishing Sectionals Last Start
Rider SR
Positive
Jockey recent POT is 9% better than Career Avg.
Trainer Recent
Negative
Camp struggling with S/R just 2%
Key Rider
Positive
Jason Lyon 32% above market expected in L100 Rides
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Trainer A2E
Negative
Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 68%
Trainer ROI
Negative
Trainers runners currently losing 72% Profit on Turnover
Maps Well
Positive
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 6%
AAP
First-up (20-weeks). Ex G & A Williams in WA. Got the money at Belmont Park when fresh last campaign while fitted with a Lark Hill trial. Can make a positive start for new trainer.
ILB
First up from a break of 20 weeks and dashed home to win first up last preparation at this venue. First appearance for a new trainer. Possesses good finishing speed. Represents value in this race.
RP
Last of 14 when favourite at Northam over 7f (handicap) five months ago; suited by this C&D; has made a pleasing start to her career with two wins from four starts; has had some time off; first start for new trainer; deserves respect given she won a handicap two runs back.
RSIS
Resuming and charged home to win resuming last preparation around here. First start for a new trainer. Should be swooping on the field late. Can measure up against these.
Career
16: 1-0-6
Rating · IRD
90
Speed map
Midfield
First-up
4: 1-0-2
Second-up
3: 0-0-2
Third-up
2: 0-0-1
Fourth-up
2: 0-0-0
Track Pinjarra
4: 0-0-1
Track Ascot
8: 0-0-3
Track Belmont
1: 1-0-0
Distance 1200m
2: 0-0-0
Distance 1300m
4: 0-0-2
Distance 1400m
5: 1-0-2
Going Good
13: 1-0-5
Going Soft
3: 0-0-1
Maps Well
Positive
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 6%
Early Splits
Positive
Has early speed. An advantage on this circuit
Dist S/R
Negative
Poor performer at the distance
Increased Dist
Positive
Distance rise from last start
Track Exp
Positive
Knows this track well
Resuming
Negative
Poor strike rate when first up
Winless Prep
Negative
Expect the drought to continue
AAP
Resuming (26-weeks). Long losing streak. Not beaten far Class 1 company at Pinjarra first-up last preparation. Hard to make a case off the long break.
ILB
First up after a break of 26 weeks. Came in 8th last run at Ascot. Expecting improvement here. Finished 6th in a trial at the track on Oct 12th. Can feature in this event.
RP
Has won here; fair effort when beaten 2½l over 7f at Ascot (handicap) in May; returns from a break here; others more appealing as regularly been coming up a bit short lately.
RSIS
Back after a 26 week break. Ran 8th last time at Ascot. Looking past the last run. Has not placed in multiple trials. The large claim from Jefferson Tsang helps. Solid chance.
Career
1: 1-0-0
Rating · IRD
100
Speed map
Midfield
First-up
1: 1-0-0
Track Northam
1: 1-0-0
Distance 1100m
1: 1-0-0
Going Good
1: 1-0-0
Fast Finisher
Positive
Fastest Overall Finishing Sectionals Last Start
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -30% POT in their L100 Races
Maps Well
Positive
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 6%
Solid Run LS
Positive
Won last start
Raceday Experience
Positive
Wiser for debut run
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
AAP
Showed good resolve to salute on debut at Northam in a competitive finish. Longer trip may help. Can make his presence felt again.
ILB
Charged home to win last time at Northam and was a debutant last start. Facing formidable competition. Should go close.
RP
Scored narrowly at Northam, defying lack of previous experience at 9-1 last month; should be involved.
RSIS
Reeled them in to win last run at Northam and having second career run. Competing at a higher level of competition. Has the ratings to win this.
Career
15: 2-2-4
Rating · IRD
92
Speed map
Midfield
First-up
4: 1-0-1
Second-up
3: 1-1-1
Third-up
2: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
2: 0-0-1
Track Northam
3: 1-0-1
Track Ascot
6: 0-0-2
Track Bunbury
6: 1-2-1
Distance 1200m
8: 1-1-3
Distance 1300m
2: 1-0-1
Distance 1400m
4: 0-1-0
Going Good
13: 2-2-3
Going Soft
2: 0-0-1
Fast Finisher
Positive
Fastest Overall Finishing Sectionals Last Start
Trainer SR
Negative
Adam Durrant striking at just 6%
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -21% POT in their L100 Races
Trainer Recent
Negative
Stable runners are currently underperforming market by 51%
Maps Well
Positive
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 6%
Ran On Hard LS
Positive
Ran on well last start
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
AAP
Out the back, closed with raking strides in the 3yo+ F&M Hcp (C3) at Northam over this journey. Can make her presence felt.
ILB
Good performance to run into 3rd last run at Northam. Can win.
RP
Ran well when beaten half a length at Northam last month.
RSIS
Improved to place when 3rd last time at Northam. Competitive type.
Career
11: 3-1-0
Rating · IRD
74
Speed map
Offpace
First-up
2: 0-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Third-up
1: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
1: 1-0-0
Track Belmont
3: 0-0-0
Track CurrentTrack
3: 0-0-0
Track Pinjarra
1: 1-0-0
Distance 1300m
2: 1-0-0
Distance 1400m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1100m
3: 0-1-0
Going Good
6: 2-1-0
Going Heavy
1: 1-0-0
Going Soft
4: 0-0-0
Rider SR
Positive
Jockey recent POT is 66% better than Career Avg.
Jockey Booking
Positive
Chloe Azzopardi 61% above market expected in L100 Rides
Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are out performing market expectations by 122%
Profitable Trainer
Positive
Stable runners going at 13% POT in L100 Runners
Hot Jockey
Positive
Chloe Azzopardi in hot recent form, out performing market expectation by 61%
Draw Suits
Positive
Well drawn inside
Resuming
Negative
Poor strike rate when first up
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
AAP
Resuming (14-weeks). Could get into the placings fresh in this line-up.
ILB
Resuming after a spell. Started $8.50 and tailed off to finish 8th last start at Bunbury but has a positive gate. Hard to warm to at present.
RP
Has achieved three wins from 11 career runs; beaten 6l when eighth of 11 over 5½f at Bunbury (handicap) three months ago; others have more pressing claims as doesn't have a good record when fresh.
RSIS
First run back from a break. Started at 15/2 and couldn't stay in touch when 8th last time at Bunbury but drawn nicely.
Career
7: 1-0-1
Rating · IRD
84
Speed map
Onpace
First-up
2: 0-0-1
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Belmont
2: 0-0-1
Track CurrentTrack
2: 0-0-1
Track Ascot
5: 1-0-0
Distance 1000m
3: 0-0-1
Distance 1100m
1: 1-0-0
Distance 1200m
3: 0-0-0
Going Good
6: 1-0-1
Going Soft
1: 0-0-0
Jockey Booking
Negative
Steven Parnham current POT is 15% below Career Avg.
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -25% POT in their L100 Races
Rider Poor SR
Negative
Jockey underperforming market expectations by 29% in L100 rides
Early Splits
Positive
Has early speed. An advantage on this circuit
Nice Barrier
Positive
Well drawn from gate 1
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
AAP
Made limited headway at Ascot at longer odds. Stripping fitter, shapes as a rough place prospect.
ILB
Outpaced some runners late when 4th last start at Ascot and goes down in grade. Has drawn the rails. Place chance.
RP
Not far behind Cable Rock when fourth at Ascot over 6f (handicap) last month.
RSIS
Advanced late into 4th last start at Ascot and back in an easier grade. Has a nice advantage with a good stall.
Career
18: 3-1-0
Rating · IRD
70
Speed map
Offmidfield
First-up
4: 0-0-0
Second-up
3: 0-1-0
Third-up
2: 1-0-0
Fourth-up
2: 0-0-0
Track Belmont
1: 0-0-0
Track CurrentTrack
1: 0-0-0
Track Northam
2: 0-0-0
Distance 1600m
2: 1-0-0
Distance 1700m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1900m
2: 0-0-0
Going Good
7: 0-1-0
Going Heavy
2: 0-0-0
Going Soft
9: 3-0-0
Trainer Career
Negative
Trainer Career S/R is 6%
Trainer Recent
Negative
Stable runners are currently underperforming market by 29%
Maps Poorly
Negative
Map position not suited at this track, under performing market expectations by 12%
Awkward Draw
Negative
Would have liked a better draw
Resuming
Negative
Poor strike rate when first up
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
AAP
Resuming (22-weeks). Not beaten far Class 1 company at Albany first-up last preparation. Has an adverse draw for return. Prefer to see fresh.
ILB
First up after a break. Odds of $31.00 and improved when 5th last run at Pinjarra but coming back in distance. Hard to see it being good enough.
RP
Respectable display to finish fifth, beaten just over 2l at Pinjarra over 1m½f (handicap) in June; not always shown an awful lot since winning a handicap at Albany in April; others appeal more as doesn't have a good record when fresh.
RSIS
Racing fresh after a break. Started at 30/1 and made up ground when 5th last start at Pinjarra but will be facing a significant drop in distance.