Shortest win price
Just Kick (3)
2.50
Welcome to Belmont for the Mc Equine Surfaces Mdn over 1400m on a good4 track with fine weather. Punters sizing up the win market have homed in on Just Kick sitting at the top of the order, closely followed by Non Reflective, Vinny Nay, and Super God in the early betting. It shapes as a fascinating 3yo plus maiden where sorting the wheat from the chaff is half the yarn for anyone having a flutter on track.
Looking at the form lines behind those shorter prices, Just Kick brings interesting credentials as a first-up runner returning from a 27-week break after previously racing for a different stable in South Australia and contesting open company at Caulfield. Non Reflective showed sound form to date when keeping up a solid run to just fall short at Northam over 1300m and rates among the main dangers. Meanwhile, Vinny Nay trimmed the margin late over 1200m here off a long spell and should strip fitter second-up for the assignment.
For punters chasing further angles, Super God is well drawn inside in barrier 1 after issuing a decent challenge in a 3yo plus maiden at Northam last start and running on hard. Speed maps show Universal Talk, Bondex, and Maybe Maybe Maybe holding down the onpace roles, while runners like Malayan Flame face the starter for the first time and warrant a watch in the betting ring to see if any support arrives. It all points to a competitive race where the form lines will be tested right to the line.
Shortest win price
Just Kick (3)
2.50
Back left · leaders right
Firststart
Backmarker
Offmidfield
Midfield
Offpace
Onpace
Leader
Universal Talk · Negative
Trainer Recent
Camp struggling with S/R just 4%
Diamond Jack · Negative
Rider
Negative rider change today
Just Kick · Positive
Fast Finisher
Fastest Overall Finishing Sectionals Last Start
Non Reflective · Negative
Trainer Recent
Camp struggling with S/R just 6%
Career
6: 0-1-2
Rating · IRD
75
Speed map
Leader
First-up
3: 0-1-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-1
Third-up
1: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-0-1
Track Belmont
1: 0-0-0
Track CurrentTrack
1: 0-0-0
Track Northam
1: 0-1-0
Distance 1300m
3: 0-1-0
Distance 1500m
1: 0-0-1
Distance 1200m
2: 0-0-1
Going Good
5: 0-0-2
Going Soft
1: 0-1-0
Trainer Recent
Negative
Camp struggling with S/R just 4%
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are under performing market expectations by -33%
Trainer Recent
Negative
Stable runners are currently underperforming market by 48%
Gave ground LS
Negative
Faded towards the finish last time out
Imprv Needed
Negative
Would need to lift here to feature
AAP
Failed to threaten this venue off extended spell at wide odds. Others rate stronger.
ILB
Odds of $51.00 and weakened to finish 14th last time here. Shows good early pace. Hard to see it being good enough.
RP
Has raised his game the last twice; finished towards the rear of 16 over 6f here (maiden) when dropped in distance two weeks ago; a few rivals look in good form so unlikely to do better than a supporting role.
RSIS
Started at 50/1 and gave away some ground when 14th last run here. Should be going forward early.
Career
3: 0-0-1
Rating · IRD
75
Speed map
Offpace
First-up
1: 0-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Third-up
1: 0-0-1
Track Belmont
2: 0-0-1
Track CurrentTrack
2: 0-0-1
Track Kalgoorlie
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1200m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1400m
2: 0-0-1
Going Good
3: 0-0-1
Rider
Negative
Negative rider change today
Trainer Recent
Negative
Stable runners are currently underperforming market by 22%
Better for last start
Positive
Improved with last few runs
AAP
Made running, no answer when challenged but held on for third in the 3yo+ Mdn this track. Could add some value to exotics.
ILB
Faded in the late stages of the race when 3rd last start at this track. Chances are slim.
RP
.
RSIS
Was outmuscled when 3rd last time at the track.
Career
9: 0-1-3
Rating · IRD
98
Speed map
Midfield
First-up
3: 0-1-1
Second-up
2: 0-0-1
Third-up
2: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Caulfield
3: 0-0-1
Track Sandown
1: 0-0-1
Track Flemington
3: 0-0-1
Distance 1300m
1: 0-0-1
Distance 1400m
2: 0-0-1
Distance 1600m
2: 0-0-0
Going Good
8: 0-1-2
Going Soft
1: 0-0-1
Fast Finisher
Positive
Fastest Overall Finishing Sectionals Last Start
Jockey ROI
Positive
Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 9% in Last 100 Rides
Trainer SR
Negative
Jason Pateman striking at just 2%
Key Rider
Positive
Jason Lyon 32% above market expected in L100 Rides
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Trainer Recent
Negative
Stable runners are currently underperforming market by 68%
Fast Early
Positive
Sectionals suggest goes hard early
Nice Barrier
Positive
Well drawn from gate 2
AAP
First-up (27-weeks). Ex E & D Browne in SA. Went close in Open company at Caulfield first-up last campaign. Meeting easier opposition here.
ILB
First run back from a 27 week spell. Below standard effort when 14th last run at Morphettville but will appreciate the drop in grade. First race for a new trainer. Capable of winning this.
RP
Towards the rear of 16 in April upped to 1m2f at Morphettville in a Group 1; has taken a step forward the last twice but yet to open her account after nine starts; now running for a new trainer; has had some time off; this is a step down in class but hard to recommend.
RSIS
Back after break of 27 weeks. Average at best when 14th last run at Morphettville but stepping down to a lower level. First appearance for a new trainer. Genuine claims.
Career
4: 0-1-0
Rating · IRD
100
Speed map
Midfield
First-up
1: 0-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Third-up
1: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-1-0
Track Belmont
3: 0-0-0
Track CurrentTrack
3: 0-0-0
Track Northam
1: 0-1-0
Distance 1300m
2: 0-1-0
Distance 1400m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1200m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
2: 0-1-0
Going Soft
2: 0-0-0
Trainer Recent
Negative
Camp struggling with S/R just 6%
Trainer A2E
Negative
Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 55%
Maps Well
Positive
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 6%
Ran On Hard LS
Positive
Ran on well last start
Better for last start
Positive
Improved with last few runs
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
AAP
Form to date sound. Kept coming and just fell short at Northam. Among the dangers again.
ILB
Ran home into 2nd beaten by 1/2L last time at Northam. Win will not surprise.
RP
Finished ahead of two of these rivals at Northam over 6½f (maiden) when going down narrowly responding well to first-time cheekpieces last month; stable has been going through a quiet spell.
RSIS
Managed to finish 2nd beaten by 1/2L last start at Northam. Solid chance.
Career
4: 0-2-0
Rating · IRD
74
Speed map
Onpace
First-up
1: 0-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-1-0
Third-up
1: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-1-0
Track CurrentTrack
1: 0-0-0
Track Geraldton
1: 0-1-0
Track Bunbury
2: 0-1-0
Distance 1100m
1: 0-1-0
Distance 1200m
2: 0-0-0
Distance 1213m
1: 0-1-0
Going Good
4: 0-2-0
Trainer SR
Negative
Mack Hall striking at just 4%
Trainer A2E
Negative
Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 31%
Improved L/S
Positive
Improved again last start
Blinkers Off
Positive
Blinkers coming off this start
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
AAP
Sent forward and stuck to the task bravely in the 3yo+ Mdn at Geraldton. Looks up against it.
ILB
Right in contention last run at Geraldton. Interesting to see the blinkers go off for the first time. Looks hopeful.
RP
Not beaten far over 6f at Geraldton (maiden) last month; could be thereabouts.
RSIS
Close to a win last start at Geraldton. Blinkers go off for the first time.
Career
6: 0-0-0
Rating · IRD
77
Speed map
Onpace
First-up
3: 0-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Third-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Kalgoorlie
1: 0-0-0
Track Northam
1: 0-0-0
Track Pinjarra
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1000m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1100m
2: 0-0-0
Distance 1200m
2: 0-0-0
Going Good
5: 0-0-0
Going Soft
1: 0-0-0
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -47% POT in their L100 Races
Ran On Hard LS
Positive
Ran on well last start
Ready To Fire
Positive
Shown something in last few runs
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
AAP
Shown enough on occasions without looking dangerous. Last at turn, ran on late at Northam. Has a tricky draw. Can't enthuse.
ILB
At $20.00 edged past some when finishing 4th last time at Northam. Has the necessary speed to overcome the wide draw. Simply cannot have today.
RP
Solid effort over 6½f at Northam (maiden) last month - split Non Reflective and Raptor Not; this line-up contains some strong opposition so passed over.
RSIS
Was 19/1 and made up ground when 4th last run at Northam. Has the early pace to burn across from the wide stall.
Career
4: 0-0-1
Rating · IRD
96
Speed map
Offpace
First-up
2: 0-0-1
Track Belmont
2: 0-0-0
Track CurrentTrack
2: 0-0-0
Track Ascot
2: 0-0-1
Distance 1200m
3: 0-0-1
Distance 1400m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
3: 0-0-1
Going Soft
1: 0-0-0
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -21% POT in their L100 Races
Wide Draw
Negative
Likely to get caught wide
Winkers On
Positive
Important gear change of winkers on
AAP
Trimmed margin late this track off long spell. Fitter second-up. Not out of it.
ILB
Started $10.00 and came in 6th last run at the track. Interesting gear change of winkers on first time. Can win this.
RP
Was held in sixth here over 6f (maiden) when having two of these behind 15 days ago; has shown some ability on occasion and has claims.
RSIS
Started at 9/1 and ran 6th last run here. Interesting gear change of cheekpieces on first time. Win will not surprise.
Career
3: 0-1-1
Rating · IRD
95
Speed map
Midfield
First-up
1: 0-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-1-0
Third-up
1: 0-0-1
Track CurrentTrack
1: 0-0-0
Track Northam
1: 0-0-1
Track Bunbury
1: 0-1-0
Distance 1200m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1300m
1: 0-0-1
Distance 1400m
1: 0-1-0
Going Good
2: 0-0-1
Going Soft
1: 0-1-0
Ran On Hard LS
Positive
Ran on well last start
Draw Suits
Positive
Well drawn inside
Lightly Raced
Positive
Limited race experience but shown potential
Improved L/S
Positive
Improved again last start
Blinkers Off
Positive
Blinkers coming off this start
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
AAP
Great run at Bunbury 13 Aug. Issued decent challenge 3yo+ Mdn at Northam last start. Can make his presence felt.
ILB
Good effort to run 3rd last time at Northam and good career start. Blinkers go off for the first time and drawn the rails. Good chance at a nice price.
RP
Three-race maiden though does have a second place to his name; close up third at Northam over 6½f (maiden) last month.
RSIS
Made considerable ground when 3rd last run at Northam and can save some energy from the draw. Interesting to see the blinkers go off for the first time. Will go close.
Career
4: 0-0-1
Rating · IRD
77
Speed map
Offmidfield
First-up
2: 0-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-1
Track Belmont
1: 0-0-1
Track CurrentTrack
1: 0-0-1
Track Ascot
3: 0-0-0
Distance 1000m
2: 0-0-0
Distance 1100m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1400m
1: 0-0-1
Going Good
3: 0-0-1
Going Soft
1: 0-0-0
Fast Finisher
Positive
Fastest Overall Finishing Sectionals Last Start
Trainer Recent
Negative
Camp struggling with S/R just 8%
Jockey Booking
Negative
Less suitable jockey engaged
Trainer A2E
Negative
Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 32%
Fast Early
Positive
Sectionals suggest goes hard early
Wide Draw
Negative
Likely to get caught wide
Track Exp
Positive
Knows this track well
AAP
Only nailed late after dictating this course second-up. Awkwardly drawn. Hope for exotics only.
ILB
Put together a strong on-speed performance when 3rd beaten by 1 1/4L last time at this venue. Likely to get back in the field. Rough chance.
RP
Went down by 1½l when third upped to this distance last month.
RSIS
Was overpowered late when 3rd beaten by 1 1/4L last start around here. Likely to get back.
Career
8: 0-0-0
Rating · IRD
72
Speed map
Offpace
First-up
2: 0-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Third-up
1: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Northam
3: 0-0-0
Track Belmont
5: 0-0-0
Track CurrentTrack
5: 0-0-0
Distance 1000m
2: 0-0-0
Distance 1200m
2: 0-0-0
Distance 1300m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
7: 0-0-0
Going Soft
1: 0-0-0
Limited
Negative
Hasn’t featured at all in all career runs
Track Stats
Negative
Tends to struggle at this track
Had Chances
Negative
Still in maiden grade after several runs
Imprv Needed
Negative
Would need to lift here to feature
AAP
Thereabouts at times without posing a serious threat. Settled back and didn't figure over today's trip in the 3yo+ Mdn this track. Lacks appeal here.
ILB
Was $41.00 and clearly outclassed when 10th last start at the track. Unplaced in career. Has not placed in 6 attempts this preparation. Could not recommend.
RP
Poor form of late a cause for concern and yet to get off the mark and losing run stands at eight; behind Diamond Jack when beaten 6l last month; this line-up contains some strong opposition so only limited appeal.
RSIS
Started 40/1 and ordinary performance when 10th last run at this venue. Hasn't fired a shot in 8 starts. Has struggled so far in recent runs.
Career
1: 0-0-0
Rating · IRD
70
Speed map
Backmarker
First-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Northam
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1300m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
1: 0-0-0
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -57% POT in their L100 Races
Needs To Imp
Negative
Finished towards the tail last start
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
AAP
Had a low-key debut at Northam 25 Oct. Must takes a major step forward.
ILB
Started $21.00 and not up to scratch when 8th last time at Northam but having second career run. Likely to get back. Would rather look at others.
RP
Finished well behind the third, Super God at Northam with blinkers fitted when eighth of ten on his debut at 20-1 last month; must make above-average progress to figure.
RSIS
Odds of 20/1 and not up to scratch when 8th last time at Northam but having second career run. Might be ridden for luck.
Rating · IRD
76
Speed map
Firststart
Key Rider
Positive
Natasha Faithfull 30% above market expected in L100 Rides
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Trainer Recent
Negative
Stable runners are currently underperforming market by 22%
Market Watch
Negative
Keep eye on betting moves
Winkers On
Positive
Important gear change of winkers on
AAP
Trials (3:0-0-0). Improved in latest trial outing on a good 4. Hard to dive into on debut.
ILB
3yo debutant by Pinatubo for trainer Stephen Miller. Winkers go on for the first time. Unplaced in multiple trials. Watch betting.
RP
This son of Pinatubo makes first rules appearance; strong contender as some good aspects to his profile.
RSIS
Career debut 3yo by Pinatubo for Stephen Miller. Interesting to see the cheekpieces go on for the first time. Yet to place in multiple trials.
Rating · IRD
80
Speed map
Firststart
Watch Betting
Negative
If supported, follow in
AAP
Trials (2:0-0-1). This asks a bit on debut but gave fair account in latest trial. Follow betting leads.
ILB
First appearance at the races 3yo by Tiger Of Malay for Simon A Miller. Placed 3rd in a trial at the track on Oct 26th. Watch early betting.
RP
Represents a powerful yard; already gelded; first race for the son of Tiger Of Malay; can give it a good shot as some good aspects to his profile and the stable is in good nick.
RSIS
Simon A Miller trained 3yo by Tiger Of Malay having first race start. Finished 3rd in a trial at this track on Oct 26th.
Career
6: 0-0-1
Rating · IRD
85
Speed map
Midfield
First-up
3: 0-0-1
Second-up
2: 0-0-0
Third-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Northam
1: 0-0-0
Track Pinjarra
1: 0-0-0
Track Ascot
4: 0-0-1
Distance 1000m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1100m
2: 0-0-0
Distance 1200m
1: 0-0-1
Going Soft
2: 0-0-1
Going Good
4: 0-0-0
Jockey ROI
Positive
Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 66% in Last 100 Rides
Key Rider
Positive
Chloe Azzopardi 61% above market expected in L100 Rides
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -22% POT in their L100 Races
Hot Jockey
Positive
Chloe Azzopardi in hot recent form, out performing market expectation by 61%
Needs To Imp
Negative
Finished towards the tail last start
Wide Draw
Negative
Likely to get caught wide
Imprv Needed
Negative
Would need to lift here to feature
AAP
Failed to threaten (outside alley) at Ascot second-up when in the market. Since trialled at Belmont Park 26 Oct. Has an adverse draw. Hard to warm to here.
ILB
Started $3.80 and folded up in the straight when 13th last start at Ascot. Fitter for a barrier trial at this venue on Oct 26th. Betting is the best guide.
RP
Six-race maiden but has managed to finish third; tailed off at 14-5 upped to this trip at Ascot last month; passed over with this looking like a hot contest.
RSIS
Started at 11/4 and weakened to finish 13th last time at Ascot. Placed 2nd in a trial at this track on Oct 26th. Watch betting.
Career
5: 0-1-1
Rating · IRD
79
Speed map
Midfield
First-up
2: 0-0-1
Track Ascot
3: 0-0-1
Track Belmont
1: 0-0-0
Track CurrentTrack
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1400m
2: 0-1-1
Distance 1200m
3: 0-0-0
Going Good
5: 0-1-1
Jockey Booking
Negative
Brayden Gaerth current POT is 52% below Career Avg.
Trainer Recent
Negative
Camp struggling with S/R just 2%
Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are out performing market expectations by 41%
Trainer Recent
Negative
Stable runners are currently underperforming market by 73%
Trainer ROI
Negative
Trainers runners currently losing 80% Profit on Turnover
Rider Poor SR
Negative
Jockey underperforming market expectations by 71% in L100 rides
Maps Well
Positive
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 6%
Ran On Hard LS
Positive
Ran on well last start
AAP
Just beaten in the 3yo+ Mdn at Ascot off extended spell. Better conditioned. Looks more a place prospect.
ILB
Threw down a serious challenge last run at Ascot. This looks a tough assignment.
RP
Signs of improvement on last two runs; good effort when close up at Ascot last month.
RSIS
Threw down a serious challenge last time at Ascot.
Career
3: 0-1-0
Rating · IRD
97
Speed map
Onpace
First-up
1: 0-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Third-up
1: 0-1-0
Track Northam
2: 0-1-0
Track Ascot
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1200m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1300m
1: 0-1-0
Distance 1100m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
3: 0-1-0
Jockey ROI
Positive
Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 26% in Last 100 Rides
Key Rider
Positive
Holly Watson 25% above market expected in L100 Rides
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -48% POT in their L100 Races
Ran On Hard LS
Positive
Ran on well last start
Ready To Strike
Positive
Can be rewarded for recent consistent form
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
AAP
Gallant display at Northam last start. Drawn to effect. Can challenge again.
ILB
Showed a good turn of foot when 2nd beaten by 1 1/4L last time at Northam. Definite winning chance.
RP
Was on the premises (second, beaten 1½l) at Northam over 6½f (maiden) last month.
RSIS
Ran on strongly when 2nd beaten by 1 1/4L last time at Northam. Solid prospects.
Career
2: 0-0-0
Rating · IRD
75
Speed map
Midfield
First-up
1: 0-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Northam
2: 0-0-0
Distance 1300m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1100m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
2: 0-0-0
Trainer Career
Negative
Trainer Career S/R is 6%
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -42% POT in their L100 Races
Trainer A2E
Negative
Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 51%
Ran On Hard LS
Positive
Ran on well last start
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
AAP
Midfield and worked home solidly at Northam at her second race start. Sterner test awaits.
ILB
Made up ground when 5th last start at Northam.
RP
Creditable effort to finish fifth, beaten just under 3l over 6½f at Northam (maiden) last month.
RSIS
Chased well when 5th last run at Northam.
Career
11: 0-1-1
Rating · IRD
76
Speed map
Offmidfield
First-up
3: 0-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-1
Third-up
1: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-0-0
Track CurrentTrack
2: 0-1-0
Track Northam
5: 0-0-0
Track Ascot
4: 0-0-1
Distance 1600m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1800m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1200m
3: 0-1-0
Going Good
8: 0-1-1
Going Soft
3: 0-0-0
Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are out performing market expectations by 56%
Trainer Form
Positive
In form stable, out performing market expectations 56%
Profitable Trainer
Positive
Stable runners going at 33% POT in L100 Runners
AAP
Sent out $101 when battled home to finish 8th this venue. Low percentage horse.
ILB
Finished 8th last run here. Will be giving the leaders a big start.
RP
Could not manage better than eighth here over 6f (maiden) last month; useful in this grade; also engaged in race 2 at Belmont Park.
RSIS
Came in 8th last start here. Expected to settle towards the tail.