Shortest win price
Capable Angel (2)
1.65
Welcome to Belmont for race five on the card, the Liquor Barons (Bm54+) over the staying journey of 2100m on a good four surface under fine skies. As punters start looking closely at the win market, it is Capable Angel who has found favour as the shortest priced runner, closely followed by Queen Nardi, Point Of Luck, and Tokyo Fire rounding out the early order of the betting board in this Benchmark 54 plus affair.
Taking a look at the form behind those at the head of affairs, Capable Angel comes here for trainer Brandon Fiore with Lucy F Fiore in the saddle from barrier eight. This runner scored over this exact 2100m trip here at Belmont before heading to Ascot where a reasonable effort was put in without seriously threatening in a slightly tougher assignment, suggesting this drop back in class should suit. Meanwhile, Queen Nardi draws barrier four for trainer D R Pateman and will be steered by Natasha Faithfull, who is riding well above market expectations lately. Queen Nardi was too strong for some but kept grinding away nicely for the minors when finishing third at Collie over 1990m last time out, stripping fitter for this test.
Down the market and looking at the speed map setup, the early pressure looks like it will come from the onpace contingent including Capable Angel, Macho Arquero, and Tokyo Fire, alongside leaders Queen Nardi and Worcester. Further down the order, Point Of Luck gets conditions to suit from barrier three as a backmarker, having run home respectably into a non-threatening fourth over this exact course and distance recently. While she doesn't win out of turn, her campaign fitness is building nicely and she could be worth keeping safe for exotics as the race unfolds at 7:21 pm AEDT.
Shortest win price
Capable Angel (2)
1.65
Most career wins
Capable Angel
4-4-4 from 34 starts
Back left · leaders right
Backmarker
Midfield
Onpace
Leader
Capable Angel · Negative
Trainer SR
Brandon Fiore striking at just 7%
Queen Nardi · Positive
Jockey Booking
Natasha Faithfull 30% above market expected in L100 Rides
Worcester · Positive
Jockey ROI
Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 9% in Last 100 Rides
Declared Innocent · Negative
Trainer SR
John Popescu striking at just 2%
Rating · IRD
20
Speed map
Offpace
AAP
On a quick back-up. Battled home okay at Ascot. Drops in grade. Well into preparation now, warrants attention.
ILB
On a short back up. Lost ground in the run home when 7th last time at Ascot but stepping down to a lower level.
RSIS
On a quick back up. Struggled with the pace when 7th last start at Ascot but will find this grade easier. Gets a favourable draw.
Career
34: 4-4-4
Rating · IRD
100
Speed map
Onpace
First-up
5: 0-1-0
Second-up
4: 0-1-1
Third-up
4: 1-1-0
Fourth-up
4: 0-0-1
Track Belmont
9: 3-0-1
Track CurrentTrack
9: 3-0-1
Track Pinjarra
5: 0-1-1
Distance 1800m
2: 0-0-0
Distance 1108m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1190m
2: 0-1-1
Going Heavy
2: 1-0-0
Going Soft
13: 1-1-3
Going Good
19: 2-3-1
Trainer SR
Negative
Brandon Fiore striking at just 7%
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -25% POT in their L100 Races
Trainer Recent
Negative
Stable runners are currently underperforming market by 34%
Early Splits
Positive
Has early speed. An advantage on this circuit
Ran On Hard LS
Positive
Ran on well last start
Primed
Positive
Fitter here racing on a quick back up
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
AAP
On a quick back-up. Won 3yo+ (Bm54+) Belmont Park 21 Oct. Reasonable effort without seriously threatening at Ascot. Easier here.
ILB
On a quick turnaround. Jumped at $8.50 and picked up some ground to run 4th last start at Ascot and matched against a less competitive field. Expecting to settle positively. Will attract plenty of interest.
RP
A winner over C&D; creditable fourth over 1m3f at Ascot (handicap) on Saturday; likely to go well.
RSIS
Backing up quickly for this race. Was 15/2 and edged past some when finishing 4th last run at Ascot and stepping down to a lower level. Great chance.
Career
30: 3-5-3
Rating · IRD
98
Speed map
Leader
First-up
5: 1-1-0
Second-up
4: 1-0-1
Third-up
3: 0-1-1
Fourth-up
3: 0-1-0
Track Narrogin
2: 0-0-0
Track Toodyay
1: 0-0-0
Track Collie
1: 0-0-1
Distance 1990m
1: 0-0-1
Distance 2200m
1: 0-1-0
Distance 1400m
4: 0-1-0
Going Good
26: 3-5-2
Going Soft
4: 0-0-1
Jockey Booking
Positive
Natasha Faithfull 30% above market expected in L100 Rides
Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are out performing market expectations by 161%
Fast Early
Positive
Sectionals suggest goes hard early
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
AAP
Winner too strong but ran on for the minors at Collie second-up. Stripping fitter, not out of this.
ILB
Finished 3rd last time at Collie. Has shown early pace in races to date. Been in the money 2 from 2 attempts this campaign. Should give plenty of sight.
RP
Split Worcester and Macho Arquero at Collie last month when on the premises, finishing third at 9-2 upped to 1m2f; has maintained her consistent level of form; has a reasonable shout if reproducing most recent effort.
RSIS
Came in 3rd last run at Collie. Should muster plenty of early toe. Been in the money 2 from 2 attempts lately. Will run close.
Career
31: 3-5-4
Rating · IRD
80
Speed map
Leader
First-up
4: 0-0-2
Second-up
3: 0-1-1
Third-up
3: 2-0-1
Fourth-up
3: 0-1-0
Track CurrentTrack
5: 0-1-1
Track Geelong
1: 0-0-0
Track Sale
3: 1-0-1
Distance 1760m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 2200m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1203m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
20: 2-3-2
Going Soft
11: 1-2-2
Jockey ROI
Positive
Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 9% in Last 100 Rides
Trainer Recent
Negative
Camp struggling with S/R just 3%
Jockey Booking
Positive
Jason Lyon 32% above market expected in L100 Rides
Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are out performing market expectations by 50%
Trainer A2E
Negative
Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 47%
Hot Jockey
Positive
Jason Lyon in hot recent form, out performing market expectation by 32%
Fast Early
Positive
Sectionals suggest goes hard early
Ran On Hard LS
Positive
Ran on well last start
AAP
Brave in defeat 3yo+ (Bm64+) at Collie. Super fit from racing, one for exotics.
ILB
Came on strongly when 2nd beaten by 1 1/2L last time at Collie and will appreciate a good barrier. Will be positive in the run early. Some hope in this event.
RP
Had two of these rivals behind him at Collie over 1m2f (handicap) when beaten 1½l two weeks ago; can make his presence felt if building on most recent effort.
RSIS
Ran on when 2nd beaten by 1 1/2L last run at Collie and drawn beautifully. Should come to hand quickly.
Career
35: 1-4-3
Rating · IRD
70
Speed map
Midfield
First-up
5: 0-0-0
Second-up
4: 0-0-1
Third-up
4: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
4: 0-0-0
Track Pinjarra
8: 1-2-0
Track Hamilton
1: 0-1-0
Track Seymour
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1400m
5: 0-0-0
Distance 1500m
4: 0-0-0
Distance 1600m
3: 0-1-0
Going Good
26: 1-3-2
Going Soft
5: 0-0-1
Going Synthetic
4: 0-1-0
Trainer SR
Negative
John Popescu striking at just 2%
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Trainer Recent
Negative
Stable runners are currently underperforming market by 60%
Maps Poorly
Negative
Map position not suited at this track, under performing market expectations by 12%
Gave ground LS
Negative
Faded towards the finish last time out
Awkward Draw
Negative
Would have liked a better draw
Dist S/R
Negative
Poor performer at the distance
Track And Dist
Negative
Has a poor record at this track and trip
AAP
Failed to threaten this track over this trip at wide odds. Hard to make a case beyond the minors.
ILB
Odds of $61.00 and faded away to finish 12th last time at the track but competing at a lower level of competition. Suggest watching.
RP
Just the one victory on his CV; beaten 8l into 12th last month upped to this distance; probably unlikely to trouble the principals.
RSIS
Started at 60/1 and faded to finish 12th last run at the track but will appreciate the drop in grade.
Career
15: 1-0-0
Rating · IRD
81
Speed map
Midfield
First-up
3: 0-0-0
Second-up
2: 0-0-0
Third-up
2: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Bunbury
2: 0-0-0
Track Belmont
5: 1-0-0
Track CurrentTrack
5: 1-0-0
Distance 2100m
2: 1-0-0
Distance 1300m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1400m
1: 0-0-0
Going Heavy
1: 0-0-0
Going Soft
3: 0-0-0
Going Good
11: 1-0-0
Current SR
Negative
Rider’s recent POT is returning 24% lower than Career Avg.
Jockey Booking
Negative
Less suitable jockey engaged
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Maps Well
Positive
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 6%
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
AAP
Fresh. Largely struggled in his post maiden runs. Sent out $9.50 when unable to threaten at Bunbury. One for multiples.
ILB
Odds of $9.50 and came in 6th last start at Bunbury but going down in class. Knockout chance.
RP
Didn't run too badly when out of the frame at Bunbury (beaten just under 5l) over 1m3f (handicap) four weeks ago - split Capable Angel and Tokyo Fire; has winning form over this course and distance on the CV; been out of sorts of late; others more likely.
RSIS
Odds of 17/2 and came in 6th last time at Bunbury but challenged by weaker competitors.
Career
46: 3-2-3
Rating · IRD
81
Speed map
Midfield
First-up
6: 0-0-0
Second-up
4: 0-0-0
Third-up
3: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
3: 0-0-1
Track Murray Bridge
1: 0-0-0
Track CurrentTrack
6: 0-0-0
Track Carnarvon
3: 0-0-0
Distance 1300m
2: 0-0-0
Distance 1700m
4: 0-0-0
Distance 1920m
3: 0-0-1
Going Good
32: 3-1-2
Going Heavy
1: 0-0-0
Going Soft
13: 0-1-1
Profitable Trainer
Positive
Stable runners going at 6% POT in L100 Runners
Rider Poor SR
Negative
Jockey underperforming market expectations by 31% in L100 rides
Maps Well
Positive
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 6%
Early Splits
Negative
Out of races with slow early tempos
Well beaten LS
Negative
Not competitive last run
Form At Track
Negative
Yet to win here
Imprv Needed
Negative
Would need to lift here to feature
AAP
Raced in back half and never likely this venue over this trip. Remains unplaced from 6 starts here. Lacks appeal here.
ILB
Started $101.00 and couldn't maintain the pace when 13th last start at this track but competing in a less challenging grade. Possible place chance.
RP
Towards the rear of 16 last month; must be high on list.
RSIS
Odds of 100/1 and couldn't maintain the pace when 13th last start at this venue but taking on a lower class of opponents.
Career
34: 0-5-4
Rating · IRD
76
Speed map
Onpace
First-up
3: 0-0-0
Second-up
2: 0-0-0
Third-up
1: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Ascot
3: 0-0-1
Track Pinjarra Scarpside
1: 0-0-0
Track CurrentTrack
2: 0-1-0
Distance 1000m
3: 0-0-0
Distance 1400m
4: 0-0-1
Distance 1500m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
26: 0-4-3
Going Heavy
1: 0-0-0
Going Soft
7: 0-1-1
Trainer Career
Negative
Trainer Career S/R is 2%
Rider
Negative
Negative rider change today
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Trainer Recent
Negative
Stable runners are currently underperforming market by 28%
Maps Well
Positive
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 6%
Slow Early LS
Negative
Speed data from recent runs suggests slower early splits on avg
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
AAP
Long winning drought. Went home tamely at Collie when second-up at $15. Hard to warm to.
ILB
At $15.00 advanced late into 5th last time at Collie. Lines up against a competitive field.
RP
Hasn't won for a while; not disgraced when fifth of eight (Collie) last month upped to 1m2f; others are preferred.
RSIS
Odds of 14/1 and overtook some late when 5th last start at Collie.
Career
29: 2-1-4
Rating · IRD
85
Speed map
Backmarker
First-up
5: 0-0-0
Second-up
4: 1-0-0
Third-up
4: 0-1-0
Fourth-up
4: 0-0-1
Track Belmont
5: 0-0-0
Track Northam
5: 0-0-0
Track Pinjarra
9: 0-0-2
Distance 2100m
2: 0-0-0
Distance 1410m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1613m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
21: 2-1-4
Going Heavy
1: 0-0-0
Going Soft
7: 0-0-0
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Early Sectionals
Negative
Recent sectional data suggests slow early pace
Form At Track
Negative
Yet to win here
Improved L/S
Positive
Improved again last start
Dry Spell
Negative
Recent form uninspiring
AAP
Ran home respectably into a non-threatening 4th this venue over this trip. Backmarker who doesn't win out of turn. A few runs under her belt this campaign, one for multiples.
ILB
Made ground when closing off to finish 4th last run at this track and up against weaker rivals. Should be swooping on the field late. Not at all out of this race.
RP
A few throw outs since her success in a handicap at York last November; came home fourth last month in race won by Capable Angel when not beaten far; others appeal more.
RSIS
Outpaced some runners late when 4th last run around here and facing less formidable opponents. Finishes off strongly. Watch the betting.
Career
25: 1-0-2
Rating · IRD
88
Speed map
Onpace
First-up
4: 0-0-0
Second-up
3: 0-0-0
Third-up
3: 1-0-0
Fourth-up
3: 0-0-1
Track CurrentTrack
4: 0-0-0
Track Northam
7: 0-0-1
Track Pinjarra
4: 0-0-1
Distance 1500m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1600m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1650m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
18: 1-0-1
Going Heavy
2: 0-0-1
Going Soft
5: 0-0-0
Draw Suits
Positive
Well drawn inside
Form At Track
Negative
Yet to win here
Blinkers Off
Positive
Blinkers coming off this start
Win Drought
Negative
Not won for a while
AAP
Winless since 19 Mar 2025. Sent out $31 when unable to threaten this track over this distance. Unplaced from 4 starts here. Underperformer.
ILB
Ran 9th last time at the track. Expecting improvement and facing a weaker grade. Interesting to see the blinkers go off for the first time and drawn nicely. Significant value and can go close.
RP
Low strike-rate of 1-25; she can be taken on.
RSIS
Ran 9th last time here. Giving another chance here and facing a weaker grade. Interesting to see the blinkers go off for the first time. Will be around the mark.