Pakenham (VIC) horses tips & previews

5 Nov, 2:30 pm AEDT

One race at a time: field, form guide and win/place odds for Pakenham (VIC), with capture times on every price.

Meeting — Fri 30 Oct, 11:00 am AEDT

Meetings · Fri, 30 OctPakenham (VIC)Change

Race 6 — Kia Ora Stud (Bm62) 1000m · jumps Fri 30 Oct, 8:15 pm AEDT

Race preview

Welcome to Pakenham for the Kia Ora Stud Benchmark 62 over 1000m on a Soft 5 track with fine weather overhead. Punters looking at the win market have lined up Sharing Moments to take the mantle as the shortest runner, closely followed by Les Braves, Simply Steffi, and Bel Lupa holding down the next spots in the order. It is shaping up as a fascinating sprint where speed maps and class drops will play a massive hand in sorting out the winner.

Digging into the form behind those at the pointy end of the market reveals some compelling yarns. Sharing Moments lines up for Scott Cameron with Damian Lane steering from barrier nine, carrying a last-start seventh at Cranbourne over 955m after a smart win prior, plus a Flemington jumpout win during the break. Les Braves for R D Griffiths and Caitlin Hollowood jumps from barrier six off the back of a solid Ballarat victory over 1000m in a 3UP BM56 HCP, boasting a tidy first-up record and genuine form credentials. Bel Lupa also features with form details pointing to a runner stripping in better shape after recent outings at Caulfield Heath and Seymour.

Looking further down the card, speed groups show a genuine mix of early pace with Mafee, Sharing Moments, and Ain't A Bad Day designated as leaders, while Simply Steffi maps in the midfield looking to atone after fading in the 1200m Scarborough Stakes at Caulfield last time out. Significantly back in grade here, Simply Steffi catches the eye for punters searching for value in an open contest where track conditions and early positioning will tell the tale.

Race notes

3yo+,BM62,BM62 HCP,Benchmark 62
SOFT5
Fine
12 runners

Shortest win price

Sharing Moments (4) and Bel Lupa (10)

4.40

Most career wins

Bifrost

6-8-5 from 53 starts

Speed map

Back left · leaders right

Backmarker

10Bel Lupa

Midfield

12Heartattack Jack
11Simply Steffi

Offpace

1Les Braves
5Bifrost

Onpace

3Abovethefrostline
8Eureka Rose
9Nitro Sonic
6Watten Assett

Leader

2Mafee
4Sharing Moments
7Ain't A Bad Day

Les Braves · Positive
Hot J/T Combo
Combo are out performing market expectations by 216%
Mafee · Negative
Jockey Booking
Less suitable jockey engaged
Abovethefrostline · Negative
Jockey Booking
Jason Maskiell current POT is 49% below Career Avg.
Sharing Moments · Negative
Cold J/T Combo
Combo are losing -31% POT in their L100 Races

No.RunnerBarWgtLast 5WinPlace

1Les BravesJ: Caitlin Hollowood·T: R D Griffiths662kg2 2 8 4 110: 2-3-0$6.00$2.20

Career

10: 2-3-0

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Offpace

BackLead

Figures

Jockey80%
Trainer60%
Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
Early Speed100%
Rating100%
Closing Speed100%

Record

First-up
3: 2-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Third-up
1: 0-1-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-1-0
Track Cranbourne
2: 0-2-0
Track Seymour
4: 1-1-0
Track Ballarat
1: 1-0-0
Distance 1200m
4: 1-2-0
Distance 1210m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1300m
3: 0-1-0
Going Good
9: 2-3-0
Going Soft
1: 0-0-0

Last starts

1Ballarat1000m9 Oct 2026 · 3UP BM56 HCP · GOOD4-0.75
4Pakenham1100m5 Feb 2026 · CL1 · GOOD41.8L
8Seymour1300m15 Jan 2026 · 3UP BM62 HCP · GOOD34.6L
2Seymour1300m28 Dec 2025 · BM62 · GOOD40.1L
2Cranbourne1200m12 Dec 2025 · 3yo+ · GOOD30.8L
2Cranbourne1200m5 Dec 2025 · 3yo+ · GOOD30.5L
4Seymour1300m13 Nov 2025 · 3yo+ · GOOD40.8L
1Seymour1200m12 Oct 2025 · 4YU MDN-SW · GOOD4-2

Insights

Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are out performing market expectations by 216%
Tricky Map
Negative
Runners with this map, underperform market by 8%
Solid Run LS
Positive
Won last start
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

Genuine performer with a good record. Stronger challenge here but stays under notice.

ILB

Ran on strongly to win last start at Ballarat and displaying improvement over the past few runs. Competitive type.

Ended losing spell when landing a handicap over this trip by three-quarters of a length at Ballarat 21 days ago; has a chance.

RSIS

Displayed a good turn of foot when winning last time at Ballarat and form has been improving over recent runs. Serious contender.

2MafeeJ: Beau Mertens·T: Reece Goodwin561kg9 6 4 3 523: 3-3-3$14.00$3.70

Career

23: 3-3-3

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Leader

BackLead

Figures

Jockey20%
Trainer80%
Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
Early Speed100%
Rating60%
Closing Speed40%

Record

First-up
3: 0-0-1
Second-up
2: 0-0-1
Third-up
2: 0-1-0
Fourth-up
2: 0-1-0
Track Morphettville
1: 0-0-0
Track Pakenham
2: 0-0-0
Track CurrentTrack
2: 0-0-0
Distance 1250m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1447m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1000m
5: 1-1-0
Going Good
8: 0-1-2
Going Heavy
1: 0-0-0
Going Soft
6: 0-1-1

Last starts

5Morphettville1250m19 Sept 2026 · BM64 · GOOD43.52L
3Mornington1200m4 Sept 2026 · 3UP BM62 HCP · SOFT53L
4Pakenham Synthetic1100m16 Aug 2026 · 3UP BM62 HCP · SYNTHETIC0.92L
6Pakenham Synthetic1100m3 Aug 2026 · BM62 · SYNTHETIC1.8L
9Ballarat Synthetic1000m14 July 2026 · 2yo+ · SYNTHETIC7.91L
1Pakenham Synthetic1000m22 June 2026 · BM62 · SYNTHETIC-0.8
2Pakenham Synthetic1000m15 June 2026 · BM62 · SYNTHETIC2L
2Geelong1100m22 May 2026 · 2UP BM62 HCP · SOFT50.3L

Insights

Jockey Booking
Negative
Less suitable jockey engaged
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -40% POT in their L100 Races
Maps Well
Positive
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 8%
Fast Early
Positive
Sectionals suggest goes hard early
Back in Dist
Negative
Dropping back to a less suitable distance range
Gap In Runs
Negative
Not raced for 41 days
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Fresh. Got the wobbles and faded out of the placings at Morphettville Parks. Does best work on the synthetic.

ILB

Started at $6.50 and couldn't stay in touch when 5th last start at Morphettville and dropping back to a shorter trip. Will be pushing for a forward position early. Has some claims.

Can boast winning form over this C&D; fair effort when beaten 3½l, finishing fifth of eight at Morphettville over 6f (handicap) six weeks ago; unlikely to achieve more than just a supporting role as a few rivals look in good form.

RSIS

Odds of 11/2 and was well beaten when 5th last time at Morphettville and coming back in trip. Should muster plenty of early pace. Up in weight. Not without a chance.

3AbovethefrostlineJ: Jason Maskiell·T: J D Sadler460kg9 5 1 8 914: 3-2-0$20.00$4.00

Career

14: 3-2-0

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Onpace

BackLead

Figures

Jockey20%
Trainer80%
Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
Early Speed100%
Rating60%
Closing Speed40%

Record

First-up
6: 1-2-0
Second-up
3: 1-0-0
Third-up
3: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Mornington
7: 1-2-0
Track Cranbourne
2: 0-0-0
Track Seymour
2: 0-0-0
Distance 1000m
12: 2-2-0
Distance 1009m
1: 1-0-0
Distance 1200m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
6: 2-1-0
Going Heavy
2: 1-0-0
Going Soft
6: 0-1-0

Last starts

9Seymour1000m11 Oct 2026 · 3yo+ · SOFT56.96L
8Mornington1000m25 May 2026 · 3yo+ · SOFT54.5L
1Mornington1000m28 Apr 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD4-1
5Mornington1000m5 Apr 2026 · BM56 · GOOD34.4L
9Mornington1000m23 Oct 2025 · 3UP BM62 HCP · SOFT57L
6Seymour1000m12 Oct 2025 · 3yo+ · GOOD42.3L
2Mornington1000m18 Sept 2025 · 3yo+ · GOOD34.8L
1Moonee Valley1000m7 Mar 2025 · Class 1 · GOOD4-1.75

Insights

Jockey Booking
Negative
Jason Maskiell current POT is 49% below Career Avg.
Jockey Booking
Negative
Less suitable jockey engaged
Rider Poor SR
Negative
Jockey underperforming market expectations by 64% in L100 rides
Maps Well
Positive
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 8%
Early Splits
Positive
Has early speed. An advantage on this circuit
Blinkers On
Positive
Trainer has opted for the Blinkers on, take note
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

Started $31 when safely held in Benchmark 62 company at Seymour for new trainer. Not fancied.

ILB

Odds of $31.00 and weakened under pressure when 9th last time at Seymour. Shows good early pace. Outside chance.

Found life tough when 7l back in ninth at Seymour three weeks ago on debut for this trainer; successful three times from 14 career runs; likely to go well despite defeats on last two starts as she scored three runs back.

RSIS

Was 30/1 and faded to finish 9th last time at Seymour. Should race on the pace.

4Sharing MomentsJ: Damian Lane·T: Scott Cameron960kg3 2 1 1 75: 2-1-1$4.40$1.80

Career

5: 2-1-1

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Leader

BackLead

Figures

Jockey60%
Trainer80%
Jockey/Trainer Combo40%
Early Speed100%
Rating80%
Closing Speed20%

Record

First-up
3: 1-0-1
Track CurrentTrack
1: 1-0-0
Track Cranbourne
2: 1-0-0
Track Kyneton
1: 0-0-1
Distance 955m
2: 1-0-0
Distance 1000m
1: 1-0-0
Distance 1100m
1: 0-1-0
Going Good
5: 2-1-1

Last starts

7Cranbourne955m25 Sept 2026 · 3UP BM66 HCP · GOOD44.62L
1Cranbourne955m30 Jan 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD3-1.8
1Pakenham1000m6 Mar 2025 · Maiden · GOOD4-0.02
2Ballarat1100m23 Feb 2025 · Maiden · GOOD41.25L
3Kyneton1103m1 Feb 2025 · Maiden · GOOD41.71L

Insights

Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -31% POT in their L100 Races
Tricky Map
Negative
Runners with this map, underperform market by 6%
Lightly Raced
Positive
Limited race experience but shown potential
Track Exp
Positive
Knows this track well
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Lightly raced 5yo with share of ability. Flemington jumpout winner during break. Can show more here.

ILB

Started $6.50 and couldn't maintain the pace when 7th last run at Cranbourne but honest performer putting a tidy record together. Has early speed and positions nicely. Expecting a strong showing.

Likes this combination of C&D; may still have more to offer with few miles on the clock; fair effort when beaten 4½l, finishing seventh of eight at Cranbourne last month; difficult to oppose with a bit more luck as excuses last time (hampered) and she knows how to get the job done.

RSIS

Started 11/2 and looked outclassed when 7th last start at Cranbourne but showing consistent performance in races. Has plenty of early pace. Solid prospects.

5BifrostJ: Brad Rawiller·T: E & D Browne159.5kg6 4 2 2 353: 6-8-5$11.00$3.30

Career

53: 6-8-5

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Offpace

BackLead

Figures

Jockey20%
Trainer60%
Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
Early Speed80%
Rating60%
Closing Speed80%

Record

First-up
10: 2-2-0
Second-up
9: 1-2-1
Third-up
7: 0-1-0
Fourth-up
6: 1-0-0
Track Flemington
6: 0-0-1
Track Casterton
1: 0-0-0
Track Stawell
1: 1-0-0
Distance 1400m
2: 0-0-0
Distance 955m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1013m
1: 0-0-0
Going Synthetic
2: 1-0-0
Going Good
32: 3-4-3
Going Heavy
3: 0-0-0

Last starts

3Mornington1000m22 Oct 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD33L
2Ballarat1000m9 Oct 2026 · 3UP BM56 HCP · GOOD40.75L
2Warrnambool1000m21 Sept 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD40.5L
4Murtoa1200m25 July 2026 · 2yo+ · SOFT76.4L
6Sale1013m9 July 2026 · 2yo+ · HEAVY94.1L
6Pakenham Synthetic1000m22 June 2026 · BM62 · SYNTHETIC1.9L
2Donald1000m9 June 2026 · BM62 · SOFT70.1L
12Warrnambool1000m6 May 2026 · 2UP BM66 HCP · HEAVY108.4L

Insights

Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -54% POT in their L100 Races
Maps Well
Positive
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 11%
Early Sectionals
Negative
Recent sectional data suggests slow early pace
Nice Barrier
Positive
Well drawn from gate 1
Dist S/R
Negative
Poor performer at the distance
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
Honest
Positive
Finishing in the money lately

Comments

AAP

A few runs under his belt this campaign, could give some cheek at odds.

ILB

On a quick back up. Amongst the placegetters when 3rd beaten by 3L last time at Mornington and drawn well. Slim chance.

Has won previously at this course; far from disgraced (beaten 3l) at Mornington last Thursday; may have to settle for supporting role as regularly been coming up a bit short lately.

RSIS

On a short turnaround. Rattled home nicely into 3rd beaten by 3L last start at Mornington and has a nice advantage with a good draw.

6Watten AssettJ: Jamie Mott·T: Simon Zahra1159kg8 1 2 4 410: 1-4-0$11.00$3.30

Career

10: 1-4-0

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Onpace

BackLead

Figures

Jockey40%
Trainer100%
Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
Early Speed80%
Rating80%
Closing Speed80%

Record

First-up
3: 0-0-0
Second-up
2: 1-1-0
Third-up
2: 0-2-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Echuca
1: 0-1-0
Track Kilmore
1: 0-0-0
Track Sale
3: 0-0-0
Distance 1113m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1170m
1: 0-1-0
Distance 1200m
1: 0-0-0
Going Synthetic
2: 1-1-0
Going Good
4: 0-3-0
Going Soft
4: 0-0-0

Last starts

4Seymour1000m11 Oct 2026 · 3yo+ · SOFT53.15L
4Sale1006m13 Sept 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD40.7L
2Pakenham Synthetic1000m24 Aug 2026 · 3UP BM56 HCP · SYNTHETIC0.2L
1Pakenham Synthetic1000m10 Aug 2026 · 3yo+ · SYNTHETIC-0.8
8Sale1100m26 July 2026 · 2yo+ · SOFT64.1L
2Werribee1100m17 Feb 2026 · 3UP MDN-SW · GOOD45.3L
2Wangaratta1170m18 Jan 2026 · 3Y MDN-SW · GOOD30.1L
2Echuca1100m31 Dec 2025 · 3UP MDN-SW · GOOD30.3L

Insights

Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -49% POT in their L100 Races
Profitable Trainer
Positive
Stable runners going at 24% POT in L100 Runners
Tricky Map
Negative
Runners with this map, underperform market by 6%
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

Battled home okay at Seymour over this trip. Right in this with even luck.

ILB

Jumped at $17.00 and ran on into 4th last time at Seymour. Has claims.

Suited by this C&D; producing solid form figures; finished in front of two of these (Seymour) when not beaten far three weeks ago; makes limited appeal as this looks a fair heat.

RSIS

Started 16/1 and crept into 4th last start at Seymour. Good chance at a nice price.

7Ain't A Bad DayJ: Bailey Kinninmont·T: Matthew Brown258.5kg8 6 13 10 16: 1-1-0$41.00$6.00

Career

6: 1-1-0

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Leader

BackLead

Figures

Jockey100%
Trainer100%
Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
Early Speed80%
Rating40%
Closing Speed60%

Record

First-up
3: 0-1-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Third-up
1: 1-0-0
Track Mornington
2: 0-0-0
Track Sale
1: 0-0-0
Track Seymour
1: 0-1-0
Distance 1000m
5: 1-1-0
Distance 1100m
1: 0-0-0
Going Soft
4: 1-0-0
Going Good
2: 0-1-0

Last starts

1Bairnsdale1000m12 Oct 2026 · 3UP MDN-SW · SOFT7-0.75
10Mornington1000m4 Sept 2026 · 4UP MDN-SW · SOFT514.9L
13Sale1100m21 Aug 2026 · 4yo+ · SOFT65.3L
6Colac1000m1 Mar 2026 · MDN-SW · SOFT712L
8Mornington1000m5 Dec 2025 · 3yo+ · GOOD34L
2Seymour1000m13 Nov 2025 · 3yo+ · GOOD40.8L

Insights

Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are out performing market expectations by 62%
Profitable Trainer
Positive
Stable runners going at 20% POT in L100 Runners
Solid Run LS
Positive
Won last start
Nice Barrier
Positive
Well drawn from gate 2
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

Dictated terms in recording a gritty win at Bairnsdale. Just out of his maiden and facing tougher challenge here.

ILB

Set the tempo to win by a margin of 3/4L last run at Bairnsdale and gets a favourable alley. Should muster plenty of early speed. Large claim helps. Entitled to be big odds.

Seems to be improving based on last two runs; narrow success in a maiden, breaking his duck at the sixth time of asking (Bairnsdale) two weeks ago; others have more pressing claims despite that win at Bairnsdale.

RSIS

Led from start to finish when winning by a margin of 3/4L last start at Bairnsdale and will try to take advantage of the draw. Up against stronger opponents.

8Eureka RoseJ: Nathan Punch·T: Brian Mcgrath1258kg8 5 13: 1-0-0$41.00$6.00

Career

3: 1-0-0

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Onpace

BackLead

Figures

Jockey20%
Trainer60%
Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
Early Speed60%
Rating20%
Closing Speed80%

Record

First-up
2: 0-0-0
Second-up
1: 1-0-0
Track CurrentTrack
2: 1-0-0
Track Pakenham Synthetic
1: 0-0-0
Track Pakenham
2: 1-0-0
Distance 1000m
2: 1-0-0
Distance 1100m
1: 0-0-0
Going Synthetic
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
2: 1-0-0

Last starts

1Pakenham1000m1 May 2026 · 2UP MDN-SW · GOOD4-0.5
5Pakenham1000m2 Apr 2026 · 3UP F&M MDN-SW · GOOD45.4L
8Pakenham Synthetic1100m28 July 2025 · 2yo+ · SYNTHETIC8.1L

Insights

Trainer Career
Negative
Trainer Career S/R is 10%
Rider
Negative
Negative rider change today
Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are out performing market expectations by 82%
Trainer A2E
Negative
Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 20%
Early Sectionals
Negative
Recent sectional data suggests slow early pace
Solid Run LS
Positive
Won last start
Form At Track
Positive
1 time winner here at Pakenham
Resuming
Negative
Poor strike rate when first up

Comments

AAP

First-up (26-weeks). Has an adverse draw for return. Untested in wet. Keener on others.

ILB

First run back from a break of 26 weeks. Ran home strongly to win last run here and demonstrating upward trajectory in recent races. Challenged by a tougher grade. Will need everything to go right.

Opened account at the third time of asking in a maiden when springing a surprise to win at 18-1 in May; returns from a layoff here; must be respected.

RSIS

First run back after a break of 26 weeks. Bold effort when winning last start around here and demonstrating upward trajectory in recent races. Facing a stronger group of contenders.

9Nitro SonicJ: Daniel Stackhouse·T: Jason Warren1057kg5 2 3 1 55: 1-0-1$14.00$3.70

Career

5: 1-0-1

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Onpace

BackLead

Figures

Jockey20%
Trainer100%
Jockey/Trainer Combo80%
Early Speed80%
Rating40%
Closing Speed40%

Record

First-up
1: 0-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Third-up
1: 0-0-1
Fourth-up
1: 1-0-0
Track Echuca
1: 0-0-1
Track Mornington
2: 1-0-0
Track Pakenham
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1000m
2: 0-0-1
Distance 1100m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1200m
2: 1-0-0
Going Heavy
1: 0-0-0
Going Soft
4: 1-0-1

Last starts

5Mornington1200m8 June 2026 · 2Y HCP · SOFT74.3L
1Mornington1200m25 May 2026 · 2yo+ · SOFT5-1
3Echuca1000m11 May 2026 · 2UP MDN-SW · SOFT50.9L
2Caulfield Heath850m23 Apr 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)2.3L
5Terang1000m12 Apr 2026 · 2Y MDN-SW · HEAVY106.8L
7Pakenham1100m19 Mar 2026 · 2Y MDN-SW · SOFT54.6L

Insights

Rider
Negative
Negative rider change today
Trainer Form
Positive
In form stable, out performing market expectations 120%
Trainer ROI
Positive
Runners from this stable currently going at 94% POT in L100 Runners
Tricky Map
Negative
Runners with this map, underperform market by 6%
1st Up
Negative
May need this run
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Second campaign (20-weeks). Recent Mornington jumpout winner. Don't dismiss on resumption.

ILB

First run back from a break. Started at $4.20 and came in 5th last run at Mornington. Has the necessary speed to overcome the wide draw. Too much luck needed to come into contention.

Didn't run too badly when out of the frame at Mornington (beaten just over 4l) over 6f (handicap) five months ago; appears to be on the upgrade judged on two most recent runs; this only his second handicap outing; returns from a break here; not hard to turn elsewhere.

RSIS

Back after a break. Started 10/3 and finished 5th last time at Mornington. Has the pace to overcome the wide draw.

10Bel LupaJ: Lachlan Neindorf·T: G Eurell756.5kg1 11 5 8 69: 1-2-0$4.40$1.80

Career

9: 1-2-0

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Backmarker

BackLead

Figures

Jockey20%
Trainer60%
Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
Early Speed20%
Rating80%
Closing Speed50%

Record

First-up
3: 1-1-0
Second-up
2: 0-0-0
Third-up
1: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-0-0
Track CurrentTrack
1: 1-0-0
Track Benalla
1: 0-1-0
Track Bendigo
1: 0-1-0
Distance 1206m
1: 0-1-0
Distance 1000m
4: 1-0-0
Distance 1100m
1: 0-1-0
Going Good
6: 1-1-0
Going Heavy
1: 0-1-0
Going Soft
2: 0-0-0

Last starts

6Seymour1000m11 Oct 2026 · 3yo+ · SOFT55.15L
8Caulfield Heath1000m20 May 2026 · 3Y BM64 · SOFT62.3L
5Caulfield Heath1200m29 Apr 2026 · 3Y BM64 · GOOD43.46L
11Caulfield1200m4 Apr 2026 · 3Y FILLIES HCP · GOOD35.7L
1Pakenham1000m12 Mar 2026 · 3Y MDN-SW · GOOD4-2.8
1Caulfield Heath1000m25 Feb 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)-1
5Seymour1200m12 Oct 2025 · 3Y MDN-SW · GOOD49.1L
2Benalla1206m26 Sept 2025 · 3YF MDN-SW · GOOD30.8L

Insights

Trainer Career
Negative
Trainer Career S/R is 7%
Jockey Booking
Negative
Less suitable jockey engaged
Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are winning 32% POT in their L100 Races
Trainer A2E
Negative
Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 27%
Track Exp
Positive
Knows this track well
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

Strips in better shape. Usually gets back. Could get into the placings.

ILB

Was $4.40 and finished 6th last run at Seymour. Possesses very good closing speed. Nice chance at a very tempting price.

Beaten a fair way when sixth at Seymour three weeks ago; has scored over C&D; slumped a bit since winning a maiden at Pakenham in March; this line-up contains some strong opposition so others are preferred.

RSIS

Odds of 10/3 and ran 6th last run at Seymour. Might take a while to wind up but should be hitting top gear in the straight. Will go close.

11Simply SteffiJ: Fred W Kersley·T: C W Mcdonald356.5kg7 1 5 6 115: 1-0-0$5.50$2.15

Career

5: 1-0-0

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Midfield

BackLead

Figures

Jockey40%
Trainer100%
Jockey/Trainer Combo80%
Early Speed80%
Rating60%
Closing Speed20%

Record

First-up
2: 0-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Cranbourne
1: 1-0-0
Track Caulfield
2: 0-0-0
Track Sandown
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1000m
4: 1-0-0
Distance 1200m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
3: 1-0-0
Going Soft
2: 0-0-0

Last starts

11Caulfield1200m27 Sept 2026 · 3yo · GOOD414.66L
6Sandown1000m9 Sept 2026 · 3yo+ · SOFT73.25L
5Flemington1000m7 Mar 2026 · 2yo · GOOD32.5L
1Cranbourne1000m20 Feb 2026 · 2Y HCP · GOOD3-1.3
7Caulfield1000m29 Nov 2025 · 2yo · SOFT62.8L

Insights

Early Sectionals
Negative
Recent sectional data suggests slow early pace
Gave ground LS
Negative
Faded towards the finish last time out
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Fresh. Was a long way from the action in 1200m Scarborough Stakes at Caulfield. Significantly back in grade and can atone.

ILB

Struggled with the pace when 11th last run at Caulfield but facing a weaker group of contenders. Respect the betting.

Finished last of 11 over 6f at Caulfield (Group 3) last month; dropping in class but one to tread carefully with.

RSIS

Didn't attack the line when 11th last time at Caulfield but competing in a lower grade. Has some claims.

12Heartattack JackJ: Carleen Hefel·T: D J Walkley855kg3 4 7 3 728: 1-2-4$51.00$7.00

Career

28: 1-2-4

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Midfield

BackLead

Figures

Jockey20%
Trainer20%
Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
Early Speed20%
Rating40%
Closing Speed80%

Record

First-up
5: 1-1-0
Second-up
4: 0-0-1
Third-up
4: 0-1-1
Fourth-up
3: 0-0-0
Track Pakenham
1: 0-0-1
Track CurrentTrack
1: 0-0-1
Track Sale
4: 0-0-0
Distance 1008m
2: 0-0-1
Distance 1009m
2: 0-0-0
Distance 1018m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
14: 0-2-0
Going Heavy
2: 0-0-2
Going Soft
8: 1-0-1

Last starts

7Yarra Valley1009m24 Oct 2026 · 0 - 56 · SOFT54.56L
3Bairnsdale1000m12 Oct 2026 · 3UP BM56 HCP · SOFT71.05L
7Pakenham Synthetic1000m5 Oct 2026 · 3yo+ · SYNTHETIC3.75L
4Bairnsdale1000m20 Sept 2026 · 0 - 56 · GOOD31.81L
3Moe1008m8 Sept 2026 · 3yo+ · HEAVY82.8L
8Sale1100m21 Aug 2026 · 0-56 · SOFT64.1L
6Pakenham Synthetic1000m10 Aug 2026 · 3yo+ · SYNTHETIC9.9L
8Yarra Valley1009m21 Feb 2026 · 0 - 56 · GOOD48L

Insights

Trainer Recent
Negative
Camp struggling with S/R just 4%
Rider
Negative
Negative rider change today
Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are out performing market expectations by 68%
Trainer A2E
Negative
Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 49%
Trainer ROI
Negative
Trainers runners currently losing 46% Profit on Turnover
Dist S/R
Negative
Poor performer at the distance
Track Exp
Positive
Knows this track well
Primed
Positive
Fitter here racing on a quick back up

Comments

AAP

On a short back-up. Long winning drought and others with stronger claims.

ILB

Backing up quickly. Started at $19.00 and struggled when 7th last time at Yarra Valley and racing in stronger company. Tested here.

Not beaten too far when seventh at Yarra Glen on Saturday; has lacked consistency of late and one win to his name was achieved a fair way back; meeting some horses in good form and there are better alternatives here.

RSIS

Backing up quickly for this race. Odds of 18/1 and uncompetitive when 7th last start at Yarra Vstall and facing stiffer opposition.

13Nordic StrikeScratched12––––

Career

12: 2-3-3

Rating · IRD

100

Speed map

Leader

BackLead

Figures

Jockey60%
Trainer100%
Jockey/Trainer Combo60%
Early Speed100%
Rating50%
Closing Speed80%

Record

First-up
3: 1-1-0
Second-up
2: 1-0-1
Third-up
2: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
2: 0-1-1
Track Caulfield Heath
1: 0-0-0
Track Echuca
1: 0-0-1
Track Geelong
1: 0-1-0
Distance 1200m
2: 1-0-0
Distance 1000m
6: 0-2-2
Distance 1005m
1: 0-0-1
Going Heavy
6: 0-2-2
Going Soft
2: 0-1-0
Going Good
4: 2-0-1

Last starts

3Warrnambool1000m1 Oct 2026 · 3yo+ · HEAVY96.06L
2Geelong1147m28 Aug 2026 · 3UP BM62 HCP · SOFT71L
9Caulfield Heath1100m8 Aug 2026 · 3UP BM74 HCP · SOFT68.6L
2Sandown1000m29 July 2026 · BM70 · HEAVY100.4L
5Sandown1000m15 July 2026 · 3Y BM64 · HEAVY91.7L
3Sale1005m28 June 2026 · BM70 · HEAVY80.6L
2Sale1000m10 June 2026 · 0 - 66 · HEAVY81.5L
3Echuca1000m8 Mar 2026 · 3UP BM70 · GOOD43.5L

Insights

Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -22% POT in their L100 Races
Maps Well
Positive
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 20%
Fast Early
Positive
Sectionals suggest goes hard early
Dist S/R
Negative
Poor performer at the distance
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

4 weeks since last run. Claiming apprentice engaged again. Right in the mix.

ILB

Made some ground late when 3rd beaten by more than 6L last start at Warrnambool. Tracking very well this preparation.

Often been there or thereabouts lately; no impression when third of seven at Warrnambool four weeks ago.

RSIS

Showed a good turn of foot when 3rd beaten by more than 6L last time at Warrnambool. Should be rolling forward early from the wide draw.

Odds correct as at Fri 30 Oct, 8:20 pm AEDT. Odds can change.