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Rosehill (NSW) horses tips & previews

One race at a time: field, form guide and win/place odds for Rosehill (NSW), with capture times on every price.

Meeting — Sat 7 Nov, 11:00 am AEDT

Meetings · Sat, 7 NovRosehill (NSW)Change

Race 4 — Vale Rob Burnet (Bm78) 1800m · jumps

Race preview

The Vale Rob Burnet is a benchmark 78 handicap for horses three years and older over 1800 metres at Rosehill on a Good 4 track this Friday at 2:10 pm AEDT. Donatello is the shortest-priced runner in a market that bunches quickly, followed by Samarelle and Botanical Boy, with Storm Season next through the order. The yarn here is a solid proof that form lines matter—three of the first four have shown genuine staying credentials at this trip or thereabouts, and there's a jockey-rider angle worth watching with Dylan Gibbons aboard Storm Season after his recent hot run of form.

Samarelle tells a compelling redemption story for a well-bred mare chasing back-to-back wins. She's fresh off victories at Eagle Farm and Warwick Farm, the first of which came over this exact distance in soft going, where she scooted clear by nearly two lengths. Her record reads well: first-up she's 3 from 3 into some stakes; second-up she's won twice; and her finishing sectionals at last start were among the quickest in the field. Barrier 2 with Anna Roper gives her an ideal map to stalk the pace and strike late, a position that historically outperforms market here. Meanwhile, Botanical Boy (barrier 4, Nash Rawiller, A & S Freedman) looms as the form surprise—his rating of 100 sits well above most rivals, and his fourth-up record is a crisp 2-1-0 after keeping coming to just miss at Randwick-Kensington over 1800 metres three weeks back. That Freedman-Rawiller combination is outperforming expectations by 160 per cent, a stat that speaks volumes in a moderate company race.

Donatello at the top of the market is on a quick back-up and has raced well of late, including a raking late-run effort at Randwick where he closed with long strides in benchmark 78 company. His 91 rating and recent consistency frame him as the legitimate short-price runner, though the market seems to respect his proven staying form. Storm Season, at weight relief after recent heavy assignments, shapes as a live each-way proposition—Dylan Gibbons has been riding over market on recent form and Storm Season was a slick 60-kilogram winner at Warwick Farm five weeks past. The play sits with form convergence and early pace shape: Samarelle and Storm Season sit on-pace to control tempo, Botanical Boy figures to hunt them down, and Donatello will be too far back early but has the finishing kick to threaten. This race has genuine value outside the shortest price.

Race notes

  • 3UP BM78 HCP,3yo+,BM78,Benchmark 78
  • GOOD4
  • Fine
  • 9 runners

Shortest win price

Donatello (6)

2.30

Most career wins

Marsabit

7-8-9 from 95 starts

Speed map

Back left · leaders right

Backmarker

  • 8She Moves Too

Midfield

  • 11Marsabit
  • 2Samarelle
  • 5Without Peer
  • 10Off The Scale

Offpace

  • 3Botanical Boy
  • 6Donatello

Onpace

  • 1Thrice

Leader

  • 4Storm Season

  • Thrice · Negative

    Jockey Booking

    Tim Clark current POT is 19% below Career Avg.

  • Samarelle · Positive

    Fast Finisher

    Fastest Overall Finishing Sectionals Last Start

  • Botanical Boy · Positive

    Hot J/T Combo

    Combo are out performing market expectations by 160%

  • Storm Season · Positive

    Jockey ROI

    Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 38% in Last 100 Rides

No.RunnerBarWgtLast 5WinPlace
1ThriceJ: Tim Clark·T: G Waterhouse & A Bott960.5kg10 8 3 2 911: 2-0-1$14.00$3.00

Career

11: 2-0-1

Rating · IRD

98

Speed map

Onpace

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey20%
  • Trainer80%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
  • Early Speed100%
  • Rating100%
  • Closing Speed20%

Record

  • First-up

    4: 0-0-1

  • Second-up

    2: 1-0-0

  • Third-up

    2: 0-0-0

  • Track Curragh

    3: 1-0-1

  • Track Leopardstown

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Listowel

    1: 1-0-0

  • Distance 1408m

    1: 0-0-1

  • Distance 1800m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1810m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Good

    8: 1-0-1

  • Going Heavy

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Soft

    2: 1-0-0

Last starts

  1. 9Randwick1600m24 Oct 2026 · 3UP QLTY HCP · GOOD47.47L
  2. 2Randwick1200m6 Oct 2026 · Barrier Trial · SOFT(7)1L
  3. 3Randwick1200m25 Sept 2026 · Barrier Trial · SOFT(6)7L
  4. 8Randwick2400m23 May 2026 · 3yo+ · HEAVY1010.1L
  5. 10Gosford2100m9 May 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD43.6L
  6. 5Randwick1800m25 Apr 2026 · 3UP BM94 HCP · GOOD41.9L
  7. 7York2384m20 Aug 2025 · Group 2 · GOOD8.55L
  8. 7Curragh2414m29 June 2025 · Group 1 · GOOD4.4L

Insights

  • Jockey Booking

    Negative

    Tim Clark current POT is 19% below Career Avg.

  • Jockey Booking

    Negative

    Less suitable jockey engaged

  • Rider Poor SR

    Negative

    Jockey underperforming market expectations by 32% in L100 rides

  • Gave ground LS

    Negative

    Faded towards the finish last time out

  • Well Placed

    Positive

    Drops back to a suitable class

  • Weight Increase

    Negative

    Rises 8.5kg now

Comments

AAP

Did the donkey work then dropped anchor at Randwick off long break. Can lead or take a sit. First time around Rosehill but goes well second-up.

ILB

Started $15.00 and couldn't stay in touch when 9th last run at Randwick. Giving another go here and back in an easier grade. Will be positive in the run early. Will be fighting out the finish.

RP

Ninth of ten beaten 7l over 1m at Randwick (handicap) last month; others have more pressing claims.

RSIS

Was 14/1 and tailed off to finish 9th last run at Randwick. Can show a better performance this time and has been racing in stronger company. Strong chance to be considered.

2SamarelleJ: Anna Roper·T: John O'Shea & Tom Charlton259kg13 4 2 1 111: 3-3-1$4.80$1.50

Career

11: 3-3-1

Rating · IRD

83

Speed map

Midfield

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey80%
  • Trainer80%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo80%
  • Early Speed20%
  • Rating60%
  • Closing Speed80%

Record

  • First-up

    3: 1-1-0

  • Second-up

    2: 1-0-1

  • Third-up

    2: 1-0-0

  • Fourth-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Warwick Farm

    3: 1-1-0

  • Track Randwick

    2: 0-1-0

  • Track Eagle Farm

    2: 1-0-0

  • Distance 1200m

    2: 1-0-0

  • Distance 1400m

    4: 0-3-0

  • Distance 1500m

    1: 0-0-1

  • Going Good

    5: 0-2-1

  • Going Heavy

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Soft

    5: 3-1-0

Last starts

  1. 1Eagle Farm1800m10 Oct 2026 · BM78 · SOFT5-1.93
  2. 1Warwick Farm1600m23 Sept 2026 · 3yo+ · SOFT5-1.01
  3. 2Warwick Farm1400m2 Sept 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD43.3L
  4. 4Randwick1045m31 July 2026 · Barrier Trial · SOFT(5)3.5L
  5. 13Eagle Farm1600m25 Apr 2026 · 3yo · HEAVY810.7L
  6. 6Randwick1400m11 Apr 2026 · 3yo · GOOD44.7L
  7. 2Randwick1050m27 Mar 2026 · Barrier Trial · HEAVY(8)1.2L
  8. 7Kembla Grange1600m13 Mar 2026 · 3yo · SOFT61.9L

Insights

  • Fast Finisher

    Positive

    Fastest Overall Finishing Sectionals Last Start

  • Map Suits

    Positive

    Suitable Map, where runners in this position outperform market by 1%

  • Consecutive Wins

    Positive

    Has strung together a few races in a row

  • Track Exp

    Positive

    Knows this track well

  • Good Form

    Positive

    Very competitive in recent runs

  • Weight Rise

    Negative

    Carrying 4kg more than LS

Comments

AAP

Fresh. Well bred mare chasing hat-trick. Prominent and scooted clear to victory at Eagle Farm over this distance. Can show up again at fair odds.

ILB

Romped home to win last run at Eagle Farm. Maintaining a perfect record the last 2 attempts. Has some claims.

RP

Won a handicap by 2l at Eagle Farm last month; bids for hat-trick and career record shows her ability to win (wins-runs record of 3-11); chance.

RSIS

Charged home to win last run at Eagle Farm. On a winning streak the last 2 attempts.

3Botanical BoyJ: Nash Rawiller·T: A & S Freedman458kg5 2 1 3 613: 4-2-1$6.00$1.75

Career

13: 4-2-1

Rating · IRD

100

Speed map

Offpace

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey80%
  • Trainer80%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
  • Early Speed80%
  • Rating100%
  • Closing Speed50%

Record

  • First-up

    3: 1-1-0

  • Second-up

    2: 0-0-0

  • Third-up

    2: 1-0-0

  • Fourth-up

    2: 2-0-0

  • Track CurrentTrack

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Sandown

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Caulfield Heath

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1300m

    1: 0-1-0

  • Distance 1400m

    3: 1-0-0

  • Distance 1430m

    1: 1-0-0

  • Going Good

    5: 3-0-0

  • Going Heavy

    2: 0-1-0

  • Going Soft

    6: 1-1-1

Last starts

  1. 6Randwick1050m23 Oct 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)2.3L
  2. 3Randwick Kensington1800m7 Oct 2026 · 5UP BM72 HCP · SOFT60.51L
  3. 1Warwick Farm1600m23 Sept 2026 · 3yo+ · SOFT5-0.19
  4. 2Randwick1050m11 Sept 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)0.8L
  5. 5Rosehill1500m29 Aug 2026 · 3UP CG&E BM78 HCP · GOOD44.4L
  6. 4Caulfield Heath1500m8 Aug 2026 · 3UP BM70 HCP · SOFT62.7L
  7. 5Sandown1400m15 July 2026 · BM78 · HEAVY94L
  8. 4Flemington1400m17 Jan 2026 · 3UP BM84 HCP · GOOD32.2L

Insights

  • Hot J/T Combo

    Positive

    Combo are out performing market expectations by 160%

  • Early Splits

    Negative

    Out of races with slow early tempos

  • Up In Dist

    Positive

    Racing at a more suitable distance

  • Gap In Runs

    Negative

    Not raced for 31 days

  • Class Rise

    Negative

    Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

Now 4 weeks between runs. Kept coming and just fell short at Randwick-Kensington over today's trip. Since trialled at Randwick 23 Oct. Makes a strong case in this company.

ILB

Did well to run into 3rd beaten by 1/2L last start at Randwick Kensington and goes down in weight. Will be there at the business end.

RP

Career record shows his ability to win (wins-runs record of 5-13); half a length third to Off The Scale (Randwick) last month when not beaten far; every chance.

RSIS

Ran on strongly when 3rd beaten by 1/2L last time at Randwick Kensington and gets a reduction in weight. Jockey Nash Rawiller consistently rides well for this stable. Has every chance.

4Storm SeasonJ: Dylan Gibbons·T: M Price & M Kent Jnr857kg4 3 2 1 416: 4-3-1$9.00$2.40

Career

16: 4-3-1

Rating · IRD

79

Speed map

Leader

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey100%
  • Trainer80%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
  • Early Speed100%
  • Rating40%
  • Closing Speed40%

Record

  • First-up

    4: 2-0-0

  • Second-up

    3: 1-0-0

  • Third-up

    2: 0-1-0

  • Fourth-up

    2: 0-0-0

  • Track CurrentTrack

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Sandown

    2: 0-0-0

  • Track Caulfield Heath

    1: 1-0-0

  • Distance 1400m

    7: 2-0-0

  • Distance 1500m

    1: 1-0-0

  • Distance 1533m

    1: 0-1-0

  • Going Good

    9: 3-1-1

  • Going Heavy

    2: 0-0-0

  • Going Soft

    5: 1-2-0

Last starts

  1. 4Warwick Farm1600m21 Oct 2026 · 3UP BM72 HCP · GOOD41.14L
  2. 1Warwick Farm1600m5 Oct 2026 · 3UP F&M BM72 · SOFT6-2.6
  3. 2Warwick Farm1600m23 Sept 2026 · 3yo+ · SOFT51.01L
  4. 3Warwick Farm1600m2 Sept 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD40.9L
  5. 4Rosehill1400m15 Aug 2026 · 3yo+ · SOFT52.4L
  6. 8Flemington1600m18 July 2026 · Benchmark 78 · SOFT66.8L
  7. 10Sandown1400m1 July 2026 · BM74 · HEAVY915L
  8. 7Sandown1400m13 June 2026 · BM74 · HEAVY85.1L

Insights

  • Jockey ROI

    Positive

    Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 38% in Last 100 Rides

  • Cold J/T Combo

    Negative

    Combo are under performing market expectations by -20%

  • Hot Jockey

    Positive

    Dylan Gibbons in hot recent form, out performing market expectation by 57%

  • Early Splits

    Positive

    Has early speed. An advantage on this circuit

  • Awkward Draw

    Negative

    May find this draw awkward

  • Class Rise

    Negative

    Racing in stronger company

  • Weight Drop

    Positive

    Drops 4kg from LS run

Comments

AAP

Solid 60.5kg winner at Warwick Farm 5 Oct. Big weight took its toll at Warwick Farm. On pacer. Right in this with weight relief.

ILB

Started at $6.50 and peaked in the closing stages when 4th last run at Warwick Farm but competing in a more challenging class. Should jump out and bowl along. This will be a test.

RP

Proven that she knows how to get her head in front (seeking a fifth career win); creditable fourth at Warwick Farm over 1m (handicap) two weeks ago; can't be ruled out.

RSIS

At 11/2 couldn't find the line when 4th last run at Warwick Farm but facing a stronger group of contenders. Should be going forward early. Goes down in weight.

5Without PeerJ: Tommy Berry·T: C Maher355kg4 4 2 4 89: 1-2-1$9.00$2.40

Career

9: 1-2-1

Rating · IRD

91

Speed map

Midfield

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey100%
  • Trainer80%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
  • Early Speed100%
  • Rating80%
  • Closing Speed100%

Record

  • First-up

    3: 1-0-0

  • Second-up

    2: 0-1-0

  • Third-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track CurrentTrack

    3: 1-1-1

  • Track Warwick Farm

    4: 0-1-0

  • Track Randwick

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1300m

    1: 0-1-0

  • Distance 1400m

    3: 0-0-1

  • Distance 1600m

    3: 0-1-0

  • Going Good

    3: 0-0-0

  • Going Heavy

    1: 0-1-0

  • Going Soft

    5: 1-1-1

Last starts

  1. 8Warwick Farm1600m21 Oct 2026 · 3UP BM72 HCP · GOOD43.71L
  2. 4Warwick Farm821m13 Oct 2026 · Barrier Trial · SOFT(5)7.5L
  3. 2Warwick Farm1600m23 Sept 2026 · 3yo+ · SOFT50.19L
  4. 4Warwick Farm1400m2 Sept 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD43.5L
  5. 4Warwick Farm819m18 Aug 2026 · Barrier Trial · SOFT(7)1.6L
  6. 8Warwick Farm792m4 Aug 2026 · Barrier Trial · SOFT(5)3.1L
  7. 10Randwick Kensington1800m25 Mar 2026 · 3yo+ · SOFT710L
  8. 5Warwick Farm1400m4 Mar 2026 · 3yo+ · SOFT72L

Insights

  • Rider SR

    Positive

    Jockey recent POT is 19% better than Career Avg.

  • Ideal Map

    Positive

    Map position exceeding market by 1%

  • Fast Early

    Positive

    Sectionals suggest goes hard early

  • Track Exp

    Positive

    Knows this track well

  • Blinkers On

    Positive

    Trainer has opted for the Blinkers on, take note

  • Class Rise

    Negative

    Racing in stronger company

  • Down In Weight

    Positive

    Drops 4.5kg from LS run

Comments

AAP

Great run at Warwick Farm 23 Sep. Got back and wasn't totally disgraced at Warwick Farm. Can make his presence felt.

ILB

Started $10.00 and came in 8th last time at Warwick Farm. Has the potential to improve sharply but up against tougher competition. Blinkers go on for the first time. Expecting a strong showing.

RP

Has winning form at this track; this is his grade; finished eighth but wasn't beaten too far (just under 4l) at Warwick Farm over 1m (handicap, close behind Storm Season) two weeks ago; shown he can be competitive fairly recently and entitled to respect.

RSIS

Odds of 9/1 and came in 8th last start at Warwick Farm. Happy to overlook that run but matched against tougher rivals. Interesting gear change of blinkers on first time. Good chance of taking this out.

6DonatelloJ: Zac Lloyd·T: C J Waller754.5kg1 8 1 2 29: 2-3-0$2.30$1.20

Career

9: 2-3-0

Rating · IRD

91

Speed map

Offpace

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey100%
  • Trainer100%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo80%
  • Early Speed100%
  • Rating80%
  • Closing Speed100%

Record

  • First-up

    2: 1-0-0

  • Second-up

    1: 0-1-0

  • Third-up

    1: 0-1-0

  • Track Waipukurau

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Randwick Kensington

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Illawarra Grange

    1: 1-0-0

  • Distance 1400m

    2: 0-1-0

  • Distance 1450m

    1: 1-0-0

  • Distance 1500m

    1: 0-1-0

  • Going Good

    4: 1-2-0

  • Going Heavy

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Soft

    4: 1-1-0

Last starts

  1. 2Randwick1500m31 Oct 2026 · 3&4Y BM78 · GOOD40.84L
  2. 2Warwick Farm1400m21 Oct 2026 · 3&4Y BM68 · GOOD40.55L
  3. 1Illawarra Grange1450m1 Oct 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD4-1
  4. 8Rosehill900m8 Sept 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)7.5L
  5. 1Hawkesbury1800m4 June 2026 · MDN-SW · SOFT6-1.2
  6. 5Randwick1800m23 May 2026 · 3Y BM72 (71) · HEAVY100.8L
  7. 4Randwick Kensington1550m27 Apr 2026 · 3yo · GOOD40.88L
  8. 2Tauherenikau1600m5 Mar 2026 · MDN 3YO · SOFT60.52L

Insights

  • Jockey ROI

    Positive

    Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 27% in Last 100 Rides

  • Jockey Booking

    Positive

    Zac Lloyd 32% above market expected in L100 Rides

  • Hot Trainer

    Positive

    Chris Waller in good form, out performing market 22%

  • Trainer ROI

    Positive

    Runners from this stable currently going at 9% POT in L100 Runners

  • Maps Poorly

    Negative

    Map position not suited at this track, under performing market expectations by 12%

  • Ran On Hard LS

    Positive

    Ran on well last start

  • Awkward Draw

    Negative

    May find this draw awkward

  • Backup

    Positive

    Racing again inside one week

Comments

AAP

On a quick back-up. Racing well in recent weeks. Great run at Warwick Farm 21 Oct. Out the back, closed with raking strides in the (Bm78) at Randwick. Danger.

ILB

Backs up quickly. Improved to place when 2nd beaten by 3/4L last run at Randwick. Been in the placegetters each start this preparation. Definite winning chance.

RP

Consistent performer; went close when runner-up over 7½f at Randwick (handicap) seven days ago; Zac Lloyd a good booking.

RSIS

On a quick turnaround. Nice run when finishing 2nd beaten by 3/4L last time at Randwick. Has not missed the money of late in 3 attempts. Capable of winning this.

7MichelangeloScratched2––––

Career

18: 4-0-0

Rating · IRD

86

Speed map

Backmarker

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey100%
  • Trainer80%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
  • Early Speed100%
  • Rating60%
  • Closing Speed80%

Record

  • First-up

    3: 1-0-0

  • Second-up

    2: 1-0-0

  • Third-up

    2: 1-0-0

  • Fourth-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Kembla Grange

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track CurrentTrack

    2: 0-0-0

  • Track Dubbo

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1600m

    3: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1900m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1400m

    4: 0-0-0

  • Going Good

    7: 2-0-0

  • Going Heavy

    2: 1-0-0

  • Going Soft

    9: 1-0-0

Last starts

  1. 6Dubbo1600m31 Oct 2026 · BM8 HCP · GOOD32.71L
  2. 7Rosehill1400m14 Oct 2026 · 3yo+ · SOFT64.34L
  3. 1Bathurst1800m13 Sept 2026 · BATH CUP MBM78 · SOFT5-3.3
  4. 10Randwick2400m22 Aug 2026 · 3UP BM78 HCP · SOFT57.2L
  5. 4Canterbury1900m5 Aug 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD48.2L
  6. 5Randwick1800m25 July 2026 · 3yo+ · SOFT62.6L
  7. 7Eagle Farm2400m30 May 2026 · 3yo · SOFT57.8L
  8. 1Hawkesbury2100m21 May 2026 · BM64 · HEAVY8-1.3

Insights

  • Hot J/T Combo

    Positive

    Combo are out performing market expectations by 82%

  • Ideal Map

    Positive

    Map position exceeding market by 1%

  • Ran On Hard LS

    Positive

    Ran on well last start

  • Draw Suits

    Positive

    Well drawn inside

  • Primed

    Positive

    Fitter here racing on a quick back up

  • Class Rise

    Negative

    Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

On a short back-up. Bathurst Cup winner three back. Okay when wide at latest after settling back. Don't undersell.

ILB

On a short back up. Jumped at $5.50 and average effort when 6th last run at Dubbo but will try to take advantage of the gate.

RP

Career wins-runs record of 4-18; far from disgraced (beaten just under 3l) at Dubbo over 1m (handicap) last Saturday; a few rivals look in good form so others appeal more.

RSIS

Backing up quickly. Started 9/2 and lacked competitiveness when 6th last run at Dubbo but drawn nicely. Jacob Stiff is a suitable booking. The large claim from Jacob Stiff helps.

8She Moves TooJ: Siena Grima·T: C J Waller654kg8 9 4 2 813: 2-4-0$11.00$2.65

Career

13: 2-4-0

Rating · IRD

80

Speed map

Backmarker

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey60%
  • Trainer100%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo80%
  • Early Speed20%
  • Rating40%
  • Closing Speed40%

Record

  • First-up

    3: 0-1-0

  • Second-up

    2: 0-0-0

  • Third-up

    2: 0-2-0

  • Fourth-up

    2: 1-0-0

  • Track Doomben

    3: 0-1-0

  • Track Hawkesbury

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Benalla

    1: 1-0-0

  • Distance 1100m

    1: 0-1-0

  • Distance 1300m

    2: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1350m

    3: 0-1-0

  • Going Good

    11: 2-2-0

  • Going Heavy

    1: 0-1-0

  • Going Soft

    1: 0-1-0

Last starts

  1. 8Randwick1500m31 Oct 2026 · 3&4Y BM78 · GOOD44.38L
  2. 2Doomben1600m17 Oct 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD40.07L
  3. 4Doomben1350m30 Sept 2026 · BM78 · GOOD41.38L
  4. 9Doomben1350m12 Sept 2026 · BM72 · GOOD43.1L
  5. 8Gold Coast1800m9 May 2026 · 3yo · GOOD46.6L
  6. 2Eagle Farm1600m25 Apr 2026 · 3yo · HEAVY80.3L
  7. 1Eagle Farm1400m8 Apr 2026 · BM65 · GOOD4-0.9
  8. 2Ipswich1350m20 Mar 2026 · Benchmark 60 · GOOD42.1L

Insights

  • Trainer Form

    Positive

    In form stable, out performing market expectations 22%

  • Profitable Trainer

    Positive

    Stable runners going at 9% POT in L100 Runners

  • Awkward Draw

    Negative

    May find this draw awkward

  • Primed

    Positive

    Fitter here racing on a quick back up

  • Well Placed

    Positive

    Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

On a quick back-up. Went close at Doomben 17 Oct. Settled back and didn't figure in the (Bm78) at Randwick. Had support there. Expecting better.

ILB

On a quick back up. At $4.60 struggled with the pace when 8th last run at Randwick but gets a reduction in weight. Prefers to settle towards the rear. Others are better.

RP

Not the most consistent of horses lately; last of eight at Randwick over 7½f (handicap, just behind Donatello) last Saturday; a few rivals look in good form so others more persuasive.

RSIS

On a short back up. Odds of 7/2 and struggled with the pace when 8th last run at Randwick but dropping weight. Gets back and needs luck.

9Canny QueenScratched3––––

Career

18: 4-1-0

Rating · IRD

72

Speed map

Midfield

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey60%
  • Trainer80%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
  • Early Speed100%
  • Rating40%
  • Closing Speed100%

Record

  • First-up

    3: 1-0-0

  • Second-up

    2: 2-0-0

  • Third-up

    1: 0-1-0

  • Fourth-up

    1: 1-0-0

  • Track Moruya

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Canberra

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Doomben

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1600m

    6: 1-0-0

  • Distance 1800m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 2000m

    3: 0-0-0

  • Going Good

    7: 2-1-0

  • Going Heavy

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Soft

    10: 2-0-0

Last starts

  1. 5Canberra1600m23 Oct 2026 · BM85 · GOOD43.03L
  2. 4Warwick Farm1600m5 Oct 2026 · 3UP F&M BM72 · SOFT65.38L
  3. 7Warwick Farm1600m23 Sept 2026 · 3yo+ · SOFT56.99L
  4. 5Kembla Grange1600m12 Sept 2026 · BM64 · GOOD41.4L
  5. 1Kembla Grange1400m8 Aug 2026 · Benchmark 64 · GOOD4-0.1
  6. 10Moruya1200m19 June 2026 · BM74 · SOFT52.6L
  7. 16Doomben2000m24 May 2025 · 3yo · GOOD415.03L
  8. 4Gold Coast1800m10 May 2025 · 3yo · HEAVY1013.4L

Insights

  • Cold J/T Combo

    Negative

    Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races

  • Trainer ROI

    Negative

    Trainers runners currently losing 21% Profit on Turnover

  • Fast Early

    Positive

    Sectionals suggest goes hard early

  • Class Rise

    Negative

    Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

Ran home respectably into a non-threatening 5th at Canberra. Lacks appeal here.

ILB

Started $10.00 and chased well when 5th last run at Canberra.

RP

Has managed four wins from 18 career runs but hasn't really fired since her success in a handicap at Kembla Grange in August; out of the frame (beaten 3l in fifth) over 1m at Canberra (handicap) last month; this looks a fair heat so hard enough to fancy; also engaged in race 5 at Hawkesbury.

RSIS

Started 9/1 and improved late to finish 5th last time at Canberra.

10Off The ScaleJ: Braith Nock·T: Lou Mary552kg1 3 8 1 625: 6-1-5$51.00$5.00

Career

25: 6-1-5

Rating · IRD

71

Speed map

Midfield

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey100%
  • Trainer80%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
  • Early Speed80%
  • Rating40%
  • Closing Speed80%

Record

  • First-up

    4: 0-0-1

  • Second-up

    3: 1-0-0

  • Third-up

    3: 0-0-1

  • Fourth-up

    1: 0-1-0

  • Track Scone

    4: 1-1-1

  • Track Warwick Farm

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Randwick

    2: 0-0-1

  • Distance 1200m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1400m

    3: 0-0-2

  • Distance 1450m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Good

    10: 1-0-2

  • Going Heavy

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Soft

    14: 5-1-3

Last starts

  1. 6Warwick Farm2130m21 Oct 2026 · 3UP BM72 HCP · GOOD43.14L
  2. 1Randwick Kensington1800m7 Oct 2026 · 5UP BM72 HCP · SOFT6-0.45
  3. 8Newcastle1500m18 Sept 2026 · 5UP BM64 HCP · GOOD34.17L
  4. 3Scone1100m9 Sept 2026 · Barrier Trial · SOFT(5)3.9L
  5. 1Moree1600m2 June 2026 · BM66 HCP · SOFT7-0.2
  6. 11Newcastle1600m19 May 2026 · Benchmark 68 · SOFT711.4L
  7. 4Taree1614m5 May 2026 · BM66 · HEAVY82.8L
  8. 1Taree1614m21 Apr 2026 · BM66 · SOFT6-0.1

Insights

  • Hot J/T Combo

    Positive

    Combo are out performing market expectations by 47%

  • Map Suits

    Positive

    Suitable Map, where runners in this position outperform market by 1%

  • Early Splits

    Negative

    Out of races with slow early tempos

  • Class Rise

    Negative

    Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

Got back and wasn't totally disgraced at Warwick Farm over longer assignment. Switching to 1800m in stronger company.

ILB

Odds of $21.00 and finished 6th last start at Warwick Farm and facing a stronger group of contenders. Will appreciate the drop in weight. Looks hopeful.

RP

Has managed six wins from 25 career runs; not far behind Marsabit when sixth over 1m2½f at Warwick Farm (handicap) last month; others have more pressing claims as a few rivals look in good form.

RSIS

Started 20/1 and finished 6th last start at Warwick Farm and racing in stronger company. Gets some weight taken off.

11MarsabitJ: Winona Costin·T: D A Williams152kg9 4 2 1 595: 7-8-9$126.00$11.00

Career

95: 7-8-9

Rating · IRD

70

Speed map

Midfield

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey100%
  • Trainer80%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
  • Early Speed80%
  • Rating20%
  • Closing Speed40%

Record

  • First-up

    8: 1-0-0

  • Second-up

    7: 0-0-2

  • Third-up

    6: 0-0-0

  • Fourth-up

    6: 1-1-0

  • Track Forbes

    2: 0-0-0

  • Track Hawkesbury

    3: 0-1-0

  • Track Randwick

    10: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1408m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1580m

    1: 0-0-1

  • Distance 1583m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Good

    47: 6-3-2

  • Going Heavy

    12: 1-1-0

  • Going Soft

    36: 0-4-7

Last starts

  1. 5Warwick Farm2130m21 Oct 2026 · 3UP BM72 HCP · GOOD41.97L
  2. 1Wagga2000m17 Oct 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD4-0.29
  3. 2Illawarra Grange2000m1 Oct 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD40.4L
  4. 4Bathurst1800m13 Sept 2026 · BATH CUP MBM78 · SOFT54.5L
  5. 9Rosehill2000m29 Aug 2026 · 3UP BM78 HCP · GOOD410L
  6. 3Canberra1900m21 Aug 2026 · OPEN BM79 · GOOD32.4L
  7. 4Canterbury1900m12 Aug 2026 · 3UP BM64 HCP · SOFT51.7L
  8. 8Rosehill2000m1 Aug 2026 · 3UP BM78 HCP · SOFT55.4L

Insights

  • Hot J/T Combo

    Positive

    Combo are out performing market expectations by 95%

  • Profitable Trainer

    Positive

    Stable runners going at 6% POT in L100 Runners

  • Map Suits

    Positive

    Suitable Map, where runners in this position outperform market by 1%

  • Early Sectionals

    Negative

    Recent sectional data suggests slow early pace

  • Nice Barrier

    Positive

    Well drawn from gate 1

  • Class Rise

    Negative

    Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

Got the wobbles late after leading at Warwick Farm over longer test. Coming back in distance. Leaning towards others here.

ILB

Started $41.00 and ran 5th last run at Warwick Farm but has minimal work to do from the barrier. Up against a more competitive field. Needs a lot of luck.

RP

Solid effort when beaten 2l to finish fifth over 1m2½f at Warwick Farm (handicap) two weeks ago; likes this combination of C&D; facing a testing assignment and hard enough to fancy.

RSIS

Started 40/1 and finished 5th last time at Warwick Farm but can save some energy from the stall. Challenged by a tougher grade.

Odds correct as at . Odds can change.

Past meetings

  • Wed 14 Oct, 11:00 am AEDT · 8 races
  • Sat 10 Oct, 11:00 am AEDT · 10 races
  • Wed 30 Sept, 10:00 am AEST · 7 races
  • Sat 26 Sept, 10:00 am AEST · 10 races
  • Sat 12 Sept, 10:00 am AEST · 10 races