Rosehill (NSW) horses tips & previews

9 Nov, 2:00 am AEDT

One race at a time: field, form guide and win/place odds for Rosehill (NSW), with capture times on every price.

Meeting — Sat 7 Nov, 11:00 am AEDT

Meetings · Sat, 7 NovRosehill (NSW)Change

Race 9 — Grant Burge (Bm78) 1100m · jumps Sat 7 Nov, 5:25 pm AEDT

Race preview

Welcome to Rosehill for the Grant Burge, a sharp 1100m sprint for the fillies and mares under Benchmark 78 conditions. The track is rated a Good 4 under fine skies, and punters have been busy sizing up a competitive field. Looking at the win market order, Agatha holds sway at the top of betting, closely followed by Swordplay, Show Business, Regimental Colours, She's My Ex, Flightcrew, and Detain rounding out the line-up for this late afternoon dash at 5:25 pm AEDT.

The yarn behind the market fancies reveals some fascinating form lines. Agatha leads the charge in the betting and brings strong credentials, having hit the line forcefully when finishing third over this exact track and trip on a soft deck last start, complemented by a similar placing at Warwick Farm. Meanwhile, Swordplay represents Bjorn Baker and jumps from barrier seven with Amber Riddell steering. This runner is first-up after a twenty-three-week break, boasting a proven fresh record and two sharp barrier trial warm-ups, though an outer barrier means gate speed will be needed early. Show Business is another drawing attention with Zac Lloyd taking the reins for Matthew Smith, coming off a late-rallying fifth at Warwick Farm following a long break that suggests fitness is building nicely.

Race notes

3UP F&M BM78 HCP,3yo+,Benchmark 78,F&M BM78
GOOD4
Fine
7 runners

Shortest win price

Agatha (9)

2.50

Most career wins

Detain

4-0-1 from 10 starts

Speed map

Back left · leaders right

Backmarker

9Agatha

Offpace

11Show Business

Onpace

8She's My Ex

Leader

1Swordplay
6Detain
10Flightcrew
3Regimental Colours

Swordplay · Positive
Fast Early
Sectionals suggest goes hard early
Regimental Colours · Positive
Key Rider
Mollie Fitzgerald 37% above market expected in L100 Rides
Detain · Positive
Jockey ROI
Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 15% in Last 100 Rides
She's My Ex · Positive
Maps Well
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 7%

No.RunnerBarWgtLast 5WinPlace

1SwordplayJ: Amber Riddell·T: Bjorn Baker759kg6 4 1 8 17: 3-1-0$4.00$2.00

Career

7: 3-1-0

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Leader

BackLead

Figures

Jockey80%
Trainer100%
Jockey/Trainer Combo60%
Early Speed100%
Rating60%
Closing Speed50%

Record

First-up
3: 1-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-1-0
Third-up
1: 1-0-0
Fourth-up
1: 1-0-0
Track Gold Coast
2: 1-0-0
Track Canterbury
1: 0-1-0
Track Newcastle
1: 1-0-0
Distance 1100m
3: 0-1-0
Distance 900m
1: 1-0-0
Distance 1000m
3: 2-0-0
Going Good
4: 2-1-0
Going Soft
3: 1-0-0

Last starts

1Warwick Farm821m13 Oct 2026 · Barrier Trial · SOFT(5)-1.7
8Eagle Farm1000m30 May 2026 · BM85 · SOFT55.3L
1Rosehill1030m11 May 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)-0.1
4Canterbury896m1 May 2026 · Barrier Trial · SOFT(5)2.9L
6Gold Coast1100m10 Jan 2026 · 3Y SW · GOOD44.6L
1Gold Coast1000m19 Dec 2025 · 3Y-PLATE · GOOD4-0.7
1Warwick Farm1000m3 Dec 2025 · 3&4Y BM72 · GOOD4-3.6
2Canterbury1100m19 Nov 2025 · 3&4Y BM68 · GOOD40.8L

Insights

Fast Early
Positive
Sectionals suggest goes hard early
Increased Dist
Positive
Distance rise from last start
Resuming
Negative
Poor strike rate when first up
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

First-up (23-weeks). Just the one run last prep. Proven fresh performer while warmed up with two impressive trials. Outer barrier but has good gate speed. Betting.

ILB

Fresh today after a break. Jumped at $5.00 and didn't find the line when 8th last time at Eagle Farm. Should muster plenty of early toe. Strong prospects in this race.

Was eighth of 11, beaten just over 5l, over 5f at Eagle Farm (handicap) five months ago; returns from a layoff here; big player with Amber Riddell booked and she knows how to get the job done.

RSIS

Back after a break. Started at 4/1 and folded up in the straight when 8th last start at Eagle Farm. Displays good tactical pace. Has won multiple trials. Rates as one of the key chances.

2Mercy MeScratched4––––

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Offpace

BackLead

Figures

Jockey20%
Trainer80%
Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
Early Speed100%
Rating100%
Closing Speed100%

Insights

Jockey Booking
Negative
Tim Clark current POT is 19% below Career Avg.
Jockey Booking
Negative
Less suitable jockey engaged
Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are out performing market expectations by 56%
Rider Poor SR
Negative
Jockey underperforming market expectations by 32% in L100 rides
Maps Well
Positive
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 7%
Ran On Hard LS
Positive
Ran on well last start

Comments

AAP

Fresh. Honest mare who ran on late from the back this track second-up. Fitter for those two runs and ready to show best. Rates among the better chances.

ILB

Jumped at $5.50 and hit the line well when 4th last start here and will be well suited at the distance.

RSIS

Started at 9/2 and hit the line well when 4th last start here and ideal trip as proven previously.

3Regimental ColoursJ: Mollie Fitzgerald·T: Bjorn Baker358kg2 1 7 10 710: 3-1-1$14.00$4.20

Career

10: 3-1-1

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Leader

BackLead

Figures

Jockey100%
Trainer100%
Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
Early Speed100%
Rating60%
Closing Speed40%

Record

First-up
3: 1-0-1
Second-up
2: 1-0-0
Third-up
1: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
1: 1-0-0
Track Hawkesbury
1: 1-0-0
Track Rosehill
2: 0-0-0
Track CurrentTrack
2: 0-0-0
Distance 1000m
1: 1-0-0
Distance 1100m
8: 2-1-1
Distance 1200m
1: 0-0-0
Going Soft
5: 2-0-0
Going Good
3: 0-1-1
Going Heavy
2: 1-0-0

Last starts

7Warwick Farm1200m28 Oct 2026 · 3yo+ · SOFT52.87L
10Rosehill1100m10 Oct 2026 · 3UP BM78 HCP · GOOD45.59L
7Hawkesbury1000m29 Sept 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)3.3L
1Warwick Farm819m15 Sept 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)-1
2Randwick1050m27 Jan 2026 · Barrier Trial0.3L
2Rosehill900m13 Jan 2026 · Barrier Trial0.7L
6Rosehill1100m16 Aug 2025 · 3UP BM78 HCP · HEAVY82.3L
1Randwick1100m26 July 2025 · 3&4Y BM72 HCP · SOFT6-0.2

Insights

Key Rider
Positive
Mollie Fitzgerald 37% above market expected in L100 Rides
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Fast Early
Positive
Sectionals suggest goes hard early
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
Weight Rise
Negative
Carrying 4kg more than LS

Comments

AAP

Midfield, failed to find another gear but not disgraced at Warwick Farm second-up. Look for improvement now.

ILB

Weakened to finish 7th last start at Warwick Farm but up against a less challenging field. Must respect.

Record shows she knows where the winning post is (wins-runs career record of 3-10); respectable effort in defeat (beaten just under 3l) at Warwick Farm over 6f (handicap) last week; likely to be a threat.

RSIS

Struggled with the pace when 7th last time at Warwick Farm but facing less formidable opponents. One of the punters top hopes.

4Nullarbor JaneScratched9––––

Rating · IRD

Comments

AAP

First-up (13-weeks). Placed at Kembla Grange first-up last campaign while cruising through a winning trial at Hawkesbury. Should be prominent. Shapes as a rough place prospect fresh in this line-up.

ILB

First up and peaked on the run when 3rd first up last preparation at Kembla Grange. Will be dropping in distance.

RSIS

Resuming and was outmuscled when 3rd beaten by 1 3/4L resuming last preparation at Kembla Grange. Back to a shorter trip.

5Horseshoe HillScratched5––––

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Offmidfield

BackLead

Figures

Jockey40%
Trainer80%
Jockey/Trainer Combo50%
Early Speed50%
Rating50%
Closing Speed80%

Insights

Track Exp
Positive
Knows this track well

Comments

AAP

Midfield, let down intently into the placings at Warwick Farm after lengthy absence. Fitter second-up and in the placings only prior run here. Key player.

ILB

Solid effort when finishing 3rd beaten by 1L last run at Warwick Farm.

RSIS

Produced an eye catching run when 3rd last time at Warwick Farm.

6DetainJ: Ashley Morgan·T: Brett & Georgie Cavanough556kg6 10 5 1 110: 4-0-1$23.00$6.50

Career

10: 4-0-1

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Leader

BackLead

Figures

Jockey100%
Trainer80%
Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
Early Speed80%
Rating60%
Closing Speed60%

Record

First-up
4: 1-0-1
Second-up
3: 3-0-0
Third-up
2: 0-0-0
Track Te Rapa
2: 1-0-0
Track Te Aroha
1: 0-0-0
Track Hawkesbury
1: 0-0-1
Distance 1215m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1000m
3: 2-0-1
Distance 1100m
4: 2-0-0
Going Heavy
2: 1-0-1
Going Soft
4: 2-0-0
Going Good
4: 1-0-0

Last starts

1Muswellbrook1000m12 June 2026 · CL3 · SOFT7-0.1
1Scone1000m31 May 2026 · BM66 · HEAVY8-1.7
5Muswellbrook800m6 May 2026 · Barrier Trial · SOFT(5)3.2L
10Grafton1100m30 Sept 2025 · BM66 · GOOD46.1L
6Ipswich1200m10 Sept 2025 · CL3 · GOOD35L
1Ipswich1100m8 Aug 2025 · BM62 HCP · SOFT5-0.4
3Hawkesbury1000m3 July 2025 · CL1 HCP · HEAVY81.4L
2Wyong1000m16 June 2025 · Barrier Trial0.7L

Insights

Jockey ROI
Positive
Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 15% in Last 100 Rides
Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are out performing market expectations by 92%
Maps Well
Positive
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 7%
Slow Early LS
Negative
Speed data from recent runs suggests slower early splits on avg
Consecutive Wins
Positive
Has strung together a few races in a row
Resuming
Negative
Poor strike rate when first up
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
Good Form
Positive
Very competitive in recent runs

Comments

AAP

Resuming (21-weeks). Not pushed out Scone trial 7 Oct. Meets a deeper race fresh but can go forward. Keep safe.

ILB

Back after a spell. Brave effort to win narrowly by a nose last run at Muswellbrook and strong performer at this trip in the past. Up against tougher competition. Expect a forward showing.

Attempts to land a hat-trick and career wins-runs record of 4-10; landed a narrow success in a handicap (Muswellbrook) five months ago; the trainer continues to be among winners recently; returns from a break here; others more appealing despite the last time out success.

RSIS

Resuming. Fought on well to win a tight contest last start at Muswellbrook and will be well suited at the trip. Rising in class. Has definite claims.

7Scenic PointScratched11––––

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Offpace

BackLead

Figures

Jockey80%
Trainer80%
Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
Early Speed100%
Rating60%
Closing Speed40%

Insights

Fast Early
Positive
Sectionals suggest goes hard early
Drawn Poorly
Negative
Unfavourable barrier draw
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
Weight Drop
Positive
Drops 4.5kg from LS run

Comments

AAP

Randwick-Kensington 3yo+ F&M (Bm72) placegetter 7 Oct. There to threaten just couldn't quite finish it off at Warwick Farm over this journey. Unknown quantity in the wet and warrants attention.

ILB

Started at $4.80 and didn't threaten when 6th last run at Warwick Farm and competing at a higher level of competition. Will appreciate the drop in weight.

RSIS

Started 4/1 and tailed off to finish 6th last run at Warwick Farm and competing in a higher grade. Gets some weight relief.

8She's My ExJ: Tyler Schiller·T: M Price & M Kent Jnr655.5kg1 2 11 7 69: 3-1-0$16.00$4.60

Career

9: 3-1-0

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Onpace

BackLead

Figures

Jockey80%
Trainer80%
Jockey/Trainer Combo40%
Early Speed100%
Rating20%
Closing Speed80%

Record

First-up
3: 2-0-0
Second-up
2: 0-0-0
Third-up
1: 1-0-0
Track Pakenham Synthetic
1: 1-0-0
Track Flemington
1: 0-0-0
Track Mornington
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1000m
6: 3-0-0
Distance 1050m
1: 0-1-0
Distance 1100m
2: 0-0-0
Going Good
5: 2-1-0
Going Soft
3: 0-0-0
Going Synthetic
1: 1-0-0

Last starts

6Warwick Farm1000m21 Oct 2026 · 3UP BM72 HCP · GOOD43.99L
7Mornington1000m4 Sept 2026 · 3UP BM62 HCP · SOFT53.4L
11Morphettville1100m11 Apr 2026 · 3Y LISTED SWP · SOFT67.2L
2Morphettville1050m28 Mar 2026 · 3Y BM72 HCP · GOOD40.4L
1Pakenham1000m5 Mar 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD4-0.5
4Flemington1100m10 Jan 2026 · 3Y FILLIES HCP · GOOD32.6L
1Seymour1000m28 Dec 2025 · BM62 · GOOD4-0.2
5Sandown1000m30 July 2025 · 2Y HCP · SOFT63.2L

Insights

Maps Well
Positive
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 7%
Slow Early LS
Negative
Speed data from recent runs suggests slower early splits on avg
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

Got back and wasn't totally disgraced at Warwick Farm when second-up. Not fancied.

ILB

Was $21.00 and not in contention when 6th last run at Warwick Farm. Rough chance.

Not beaten that far in sixth (4l) over 5f at Warwick Farm (handicap) two weeks ago; may have to settle for supporting role.

RSIS

Started 20/1 and not in contention when 6th last run at Warwick Farm.

9AgathaJ: Tommy Berry·T: Michael Freedman155kg5 4 4 3 37: 1-0-3$2.50$1.40

Career

7: 1-0-3

Rating · IRD

100

Speed map

Backmarker

BackLead

Figures

Jockey100%
Trainer80%
Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
Early Speed100%
Rating100%
Closing Speed80%

Record

First-up
3: 1-0-1
Second-up
2: 0-0-1
Third-up
2: 0-0-1
Track Rosehill
2: 0-0-1
Track CurrentTrack
2: 0-0-1
Track Scone
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1100m
6: 1-0-2
Distance 1200m
1: 0-0-1
Going Good
3: 1-0-0
Going Heavy
1: 0-0-0
Going Soft
3: 0-0-3

Last starts

3Rosehill1100m14 Oct 2026 · 3yo+ · SOFT60.75L
3Warwick Farm1200m23 Sept 2026 · 3yo+ · SOFT50.52L
4Randwick1100m5 Sept 2026 · 4UP MARES BM78 HCP · GOOD41.5L
4Rosehill900m21 Aug 2026 · Barrier Trial · SOFT(5)4.4L
5Warwick Farm792m4 Aug 2026 · Barrier Trial · SOFT(5)1.2L
8Rosehill1100m30 May 2026 · 3&4Y BM72 · HEAVY92.8L
5Scone1100m16 May 2026 · 3yo · GOOD41.4L
1Randwick Kensington1100m27 Apr 2026 · 2&3YF MDN-SW · GOOD4-3.4

Insights

Fast Finisher
Positive
Fastest Overall Finishing Sectionals Last Start
Jockey ROI
Positive
Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 19% in Last 100 Rides
Slow Early LS
Negative
Speed data from recent runs suggests slower early splits on avg
Ran On Hard LS
Positive
Ran on well last start
Draw Suits
Positive
Well drawn inside
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
Down In Weight
Positive
Drops 4kg from LS run

Comments

AAP

Primed to strike. Off pace, hit line forcefully when clear on a soft deck this track over today's trip. Major player here.

ILB

Hit the line well when 3rd beaten by 3/4L last start at this track and has minimal work to do from the draw. Displays very good closing speed. Absolutely right in this.

Has maintained her consistent level of form; went close when third three weeks ago.

RSIS

Managed to run 3rd beaten by 3/4L last run at this venue and has the ideal draw. Displays good finishing pace. Showing positive results in recent runs. Should progress and will be close.

10FlightcrewJ: Dylan Gibbons·T: Lee & Cherie Curtis454kg4 3 3 7 824: 3-4-4$23.00$6.50

Career

24: 3-4-4

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Leader

BackLead

Figures

Jockey100%
Trainer80%
Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
Early Speed100%
Rating60%
Closing Speed20%

Record

First-up
6: 1-0-2
Second-up
5: 1-1-0
Third-up
4: 0-1-1
Fourth-up
3: 0-0-1
Track Kembla Grange
1: 1-0-0
Track Rosehill
7: 1-1-1
Track Canterbury
6: 0-1-1
Distance 1250m
1: 0-0-1
Distance 1000m
3: 1-0-1
Distance 1100m
16: 1-4-1
Going Good
14: 1-2-3
Going Heavy
4: 1-2-0
Going Soft
6: 1-0-1

Last starts

8Rosehill1100m14 Oct 2026 · 3yo+ · SOFT63.16L
7Canterbury1100m16 Sept 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD44.17L
3Warwick Farm1000m2 Sept 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD40.3L
3Rosehill900m21 Aug 2026 · Barrier Trial · SOFT(5)2.4L
4Rosehill900m7 Aug 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)2.7L
6Rosehill1200m14 Mar 2026 · 5UP BM72 HCP · GOOD42.9L
6Randwick1100m28 Feb 2026 · 3UP BM72 HCP · SOFT51.2L
2Warwick Farm1100m4 Feb 2026 · 4yo+ · GOOD40.3L

Insights

Rider SR
Positive
Jockey recent POT is 38% better than Career Avg.
Key Rider
Positive
Dylan Gibbons 57% above market expected in L100 Rides
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Key Jockey
Positive
Dylan Gibbons winning at 35% POT in last 100 rides
Maps Well
Positive
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 7%
Early Splits
Positive
Has early speed. An advantage on this circuit
Dist S/R
Negative
Poor performer at the distance
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

Long losing streak. Ranged up but punctured late this venue over this trip. Has speed. At best, a place hope.

ILB

At $13.00 folded up in the straight when 8th last time at this venue and up against a more competitive field. Expecting to settle positively. Gets some weight relief. Watch betting.

Close up behind Agatha when eighth three weeks ago; has won at this course.

RSIS

Started 12/1 and faded to finish 8th last time at this venue and stepping up to a higher level. Has good tactical pace and will be nicely positioned. Has some claims.

11Show BusinessJ: Zac Lloyd·T: Matthew Smith254kg1 4 4 7 511: 3-1-0$3.00$1.60

Career

11: 3-1-0

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Offpace

BackLead

Figures

Jockey100%
Trainer80%
Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
Early Speed80%
Rating60%
Closing Speed100%

Record

First-up
3: 1-1-0
Second-up
1: 1-0-0
Third-up
1: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Scone
1: 0-0-0
Track Canterbury
2: 0-0-0
Track Newcastle
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1000m
1: 1-0-0
Distance 1100m
4: 0-1-0
Distance 1200m
3: 2-0-0
Going Good
6: 1-0-0
Going Heavy
1: 0-0-0
Going Soft
4: 2-1-0

Last starts

5Warwick Farm1100m28 Oct 2026 · 3yo+ · SOFT51.96L
7Rosehill900m19 Oct 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)5.9L
4Warwick Farm795m28 Sept 2026 · Barrier Trial · SOFT(5)1.7L
4Canterbury1250m22 Apr 2026 · 3&4Y BM64 · GOOD41.7L
1Wyong1200m28 Mar 2026 · Benchmark 68 · SOFT5-0.5
4Newcastle1300m6 Mar 2026 · Benchmark 68 · GOOD41.4L
7Wyong1100m10 Feb 2026 · BM64 · GOOD45L
4Warwick Farm820m3 Feb 2026 · Barrier Trial1.8L

Insights

Jockey ROI
Positive
Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 27% in Last 100 Rides
Jockey Booking
Positive
Zac Lloyd 32% above market expected in L100 Rides
Early Sectionals
Negative
Recent sectional data suggests slow early pace
Ran On Hard LS
Positive
Ran on well last start
Dist S/R
Negative
Poor performer at the distance
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
Weight Drop
Positive
Drops 4kg from LS run

Comments

AAP

Made late rally from the back at Warwick Farm off long break. Building fitness. Capable of making an impact.

ILB

Edged past some when finishing 5th last run at Warwick Farm but facing a stronger group of contenders. Jockey Zac Lloyd and trainer Matthew Smith can't be overlooked. Can't leave out of your calculations.

Has achieved three wins from 11 career runs and has been consistent of late; creditable effort (went off 18-1) to finish fifth (Warwick Farm) ten days ago; Zac Lloyd a notable booking; one to be interested in.

RSIS

Improved late to finish 5th last run at Warwick Farm but challenged by more formidable competitors. Jockey Zac Lloyd and trainer Matthew Smith have enjoyed a lot of success together. Could be in the mix.

12Outback AngelScratched2––––

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Offpace

BackLead

Figures

Jockey60%
Trainer100%
Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
Early Speed80%
Rating40%
Closing Speed80%

Insights

Stable In Form
Positive
Stable going well. Out performing market by 35%
Profitable Trainer
Positive
Stable runners going at 17% POT in L100 Runners

Comments

AAP

Okay at latest when settled back. New to Rosehill and meets a higher standard here.

ILB

Backs up quickly. Started $14.00 and tailed off to finish 7th last time at Gosford but has a good draw. Likely to get back in the field.

A while since she's been in the winners' enclosure (last win 691 days ago); last of seven at Gosford on Thursday; others have more pressing claims.

RSIS

Backs up quickly. Started 13/1 and weakened to finish 7th last time at Gosford but has a positive draw. Likely to settle back in the field.

Odds correct as at Sat 7 Nov, 5:30 pm AEDT. Odds can change.

Past meetings

Wed 14 Oct, 11:00 am AEDT · 8 races
Sat 10 Oct, 11:00 am AEDT · 10 races
Wed 30 Sept, 10:00 am AEST · 7 races
Sat 26 Sept, 10:00 am AEST · 10 races
Sat 12 Sept, 10:00 am AEST · 10 races