Swan Hill (VIC) horses tips & previews

7 Nov, 11:07 pm AEDT

One race at a time: field, form guide and win/place odds for Swan Hill (VIC), with capture times on every price.

Meeting — Tue 27 Oct, 11:00 am AEDT

Meetings · Tue, 27 OctSwan Hill (VIC)Change

Race 1 — Bet365 Same Race Multi Mdn Plate 975m · jumps Tue 27 Oct, 1:30 pm AEDT

Race preview

Welcome to Swan Hill for the Bet365 Same Race Multi Mdn Plate over the 975m dash on a soft 5 track under fine skies, where eager punters have sized up an intriguing maiden field. Looking at the early win market order, What Once Was heads proceedings as the shortest runner, closely followed by Winna's Sister, Flash Inquiry, and Titus Augustus sitting next in the betting. It is a sharp sprint where the yarn of the race will likely be written early as runners tackle the short trip.

The form lines behind those shorter prices point to a few compelling angles for the punters. What Once Was sits right at the top of the market off a 59-day let-up, bringing strong consistency with four placings from four starts, including a solid second at Warracknabeal where they made all before being picked off late. Meanwhile, Winna's Sister debuts for the Nick Ryan yard with Damien Thornton in the saddle, backed by sound Flemington jumpouts and a trial at Bendigo, though the stable's recent combination stats suggest keeping an eye on any late market moves. Titus Augustus for Toby Lake is another catching the eye from barrier one, coming off a fifth at Swan Hill and carrying a handy stable strike-rate.

Adding to the tactical yarn, speed groups show What Once Was listed as the leader with early zip, which should prove a distinct advantage on this circuit, while Sammie Ellen Boy, Street Painter, and Titus Augustus pack the onpace section. Flash Inquiry kicks off a 27-week spell for Taige Weir under Dean Yendall, fitter for two jumpouts following a debut effort at Echuca. As the field prepares to jump at 1:30 pm AEDT, sorting through these maidens offers plenty for a shrewd punter looking for value.

Race notes

3UP MDN-SW,3yo+,MDN-SW,Maiden
SOFT5
Fine
8 runners

Shortest win price

What Once Was (9)

2.05

Speed map

Back left · leaders right

Backmarker

8Frosted Steele

Offpace

4Gamadale Possum
7Flash Inquiry

Onpace

3Titus Augustus
2Street Painter
1Sammie Ellen Boy

Firststart

10Winna's Sister

Leader

9What Once Was

Sammie Ellen Boy · Negative
Current SR
Rider’s recent POT is returning 27% lower than Career Avg.
Street Painter · Negative
Gave ground LS
Faded towards the finish last time out
Titus Augustus · Negative
Rider
Negative rider change today
Gamadale Possum · Negative
Trainer SR
Jane Duncan striking at just 1%

No.RunnerBarWgtLast 5WinPlace

1Sammie Ellen BoyJ: Stacey Metcalfe·T: Nathan Hobson659.5kg6 10 9 83: 0-0-0$41.00$4.20

Career

3: 0-0-0

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Onpace

BackLead

Figures

Jockey20%
Trainer80%
Jockey/Trainer Combo60%
Early Speed100%
Rating40%
Closing Speed50%

Record

First-up
1: 0-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Third-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Mildura
2: 0-0-0
Track Deniliquin
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1000m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1200m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1408m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
2: 0-0-0
Going Soft
1: 0-0-0

Last starts

8Deniliquin1000m17 Oct 2026 · MDN · GOOD34.51L
9Mildura1200m6 Oct 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD48.25L
10Mildura1408m5 Sept 2026 · 3yo+ · SOFT68.3L
6Bendigo1300m18 Aug 2026 · Barrier Trial · HEAVY(8)6.6L

Insights

Current SR
Negative
Rider’s recent POT is returning 27% lower than Career Avg.
Jockey Booking
Negative
Less suitable jockey engaged
Rider Poor SR
Negative
Jockey underperforming market expectations by 35% in L100 rides
Map Suits
Positive
Suitable Map, where runners in this position outperform market by 4%
Early Sectionals
Negative
Recent sectional data suggests slow early pace
Blinkers On
Positive
Trainer has opted for the Blinkers on, take note
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

Went home tamely at Deniliquin last start at $12. Really needs to raise his game.

ILB

Started at $15.00 and basic showing when 8th last time at Deniliquin. Rough chance.

Not disgraced when eighth in a handicap at Deniliquin ten days ago; in first-time blinkers now; is respected.

RSIS

Started at 14/1 and had difficulty when 8th last start at Deniliquin.

2Street PainterJ: Chelsea Jokic·T: Leigh Graham359.5kg9 7 9 94: 0-0-0$91.00$6.50

Career

4: 0-0-0

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Onpace

BackLead

Figures

Jockey80%
Trainer20%
Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
Early Speed100%
Rating20%
Closing Speed20%

Record

First-up
3: 0-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Ballarat Synthetic
1: 0-0-0
Track Albury
1: 0-0-0
Track Swan Hill
1: 0-0-0
Distance 975m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1000m
2: 0-0-0
Distance 1100m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
3: 0-0-0
Going Synthetic
1: 0-0-0

Last starts

9Swan Hill975m22 Sept 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD36.4L
9Albury1000m3 Dec 2022 · Maiden · GOOD39.82L
7Tatura1000m19 Nov 2022 · Maiden · GOOD46.9L
9Ballarat Synthetic1100m20 June 2022 · Maiden · SYNTHETIC20.3L

Insights

Gave ground LS
Negative
Faded towards the finish last time out
Winkers Off
Positive
Winkers coming off this start

Comments

AAP

Kept fresh. Still learning his craft. On pace but folded up quickly this track for new stable. Looks a safer place proposition.

ILB

Was $91.00 and lost ground in the run home when 9th last run around here. Best to watch and see.

Finished behind Titus Augustus 35 days ago when beaten 6l on debut for this trainer; still looking to open his account after four runs; others appeal more.

RSIS

At 90/1 couldn't stay in touch when 9th last time here.

3Titus AugustusJ: Jake Duffy·T: Toby Lake159.5kg13 10 9 5 56: 0-0-0$12.00$2.50

Career

6: 0-0-0

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Onpace

BackLead

Figures

Jockey20%
Trainer100%
Jockey/Trainer Combo80%
Early Speed100%
Rating40%
Closing Speed60%

Record

First-up
3: 0-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Third-up
1: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Casterton
1: 0-0-0
Track Donald
2: 0-0-0
Track Swan Hill
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1400m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 975m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1000m
2: 0-0-0
Going Good
5: 0-0-0
Going Soft
1: 0-0-0

Last starts

5Mildura1000m6 Oct 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD47.05L
5Swan Hill975m22 Sept 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD32.65L
9Donald1200m12 Sept 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD46.2L
10Casterton1400m9 Aug 2026 · 3yo+ · SOFT711L
13Echuca1200m8 Mar 2026 · 4UP MDN-SW · GOOD413.7L
11Donald1000m2 Dec 2025 · 3yo+ · GOOD49.7L

Insights

Rider
Negative
Negative rider change today
Trainer ROI
Positive
Runners from this stable currently going at 31% POT in L100 Runners
Fast Early
Positive
Sectionals suggest goes hard early
Draw Suits
Positive
Well drawn inside

Comments

AAP

Went home just tamely at Mildura at $26. Not out of it.

ILB

At $26.00 came in 5th last run at Mildura but gets the perfect draw. Likely to be well placed early. Suggest watching.

Was held in fifth when close behind Gamadale Possum at Mildura three weeks ago; makes limited appeal.

RSIS

Odds of 25/1 and came in 5th last start at Mildura but drawn by the rails. Should be going forward early.

4Gamadale PossumJ: Chelsea Taylor·T: Ms J Duncan457.5kg10 8 9 8 27: 0-1-0$8.00$2.00

Career

7: 0-1-0

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Offpace

BackLead

Figures

Jockey20%
Trainer20%
Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
Early Speed100%
Rating40%
Closing Speed80%

Record

First-up
3: 0-1-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Third-up
1: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Ballarat Synthetic
1: 0-0-0
Track Swan Hill
2: 0-0-0
Track CurrentTrack
2: 0-0-0
Distance 1100m
2: 0-0-0
Distance 1170m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1200m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
6: 0-1-0
Going Synthetic
1: 0-0-0

Last starts

2Mildura1000m6 Oct 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD45L
8Wangaratta1170m18 Jan 2026 · 3Y MDN-SW · GOOD312.3L
9Kerang1100m27 Dec 2025 · MDN-SW · GOOD37L
8Tatura1100m14 Dec 2025 · 3UP MDN-SW · GOOD36.2L
10Swan Hill975m23 Nov 2025 · 3UP MDN-SW · GOOD48.8L
7Ballarat Synthetic1200m17 June 2025 · 2Y MDN-SW · SYNTHETIC12.6L
4Swan Hill975m7 June 2025 · 2Y MDN-SW · GOOD42.5L

Insights

Trainer SR
Negative
Jane Duncan striking at just 1%
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Trainer Recent
Negative
Stable runners are currently underperforming market by 80%
Map Suits
Positive
Suitable Map, where runners in this position outperform market by 4%
Fast Early
Positive
Sectionals suggest goes hard early

Comments

AAP

No match but kept on for a distant second in the 3yo+ Mdn Plate at Mildura off long break. Will be fitter second-up. More a minor money chance here.

ILB

Was strong late when 2nd last start at Mildura. Entitled to be big odds.

Has raised her game the last twice; hard to crab her most recent performance (runner-up of ten, Mildura) 21 days ago.

RSIS

Came on strongly to finish 2nd last run at Mildura.

5HegelyScratched10––––

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Onpace

BackLead

Comments

AAP

First-up (20-weeks). Can pull out a run fresh and has placed over this route. Can challenge fresh in this company.

ILB

On a short back up. Was $15.00 and finished 4th last run at Ballarat.

RSIS

Racing on a quick back up. Started 14/1 and finished 4th last start at Ballarat.

6OstromScratched1––––

Career

5: 0-0-2

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Leader

BackLead

Figures

Jockey60%
Trainer80%
Jockey/Trainer Combo50%
Early Speed50%
Rating100%
Closing Speed20%

Record

First-up
2: 0-0-1
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Sale
1: 0-0-0
Track Bairnsdale
1: 0-0-0
Track Stony Creek
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1000m
4: 0-0-2
Distance 1100m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
4: 0-0-2
Going Soft
1: 0-0-0

Last starts

8Bairnsdale1000m12 Oct 2026 · 3UP MDN-SW · SOFT74.8L
3Mornington1000m17 Sept 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD43L
3Ballarat1000m22 Feb 2026 · MDN-SW · GOOD41.9L
6Sale1000m1 Feb 2026 · MDN-SW · GOOD44.5L
5Stony Creek1100m30 Dec 2025 · 3Y MDN-SW · GOOD47.8L

Insights

Nice Barrier
Positive
Well drawn from gate 1

Comments

AAP

Sent forward but flat-footed when things got serious at Bairnsdale second-up. Drawn favourably. Worth another look.

ILB

Jumped at $2.80 and didn't attack the line when 8th last time at Bairnsdale but gets a favourable draw.

Performed below market expectations when eighth at Bairnsdale two weeks ago; appears to be on the upgrade judged on two most recent runs; hard enough to fancy.

RSIS

At 9/5 faded away to finish 8th last run at Bairnsdale but has a nice advantage with a good draw.

7Flash InquiryJ: Dean Yendall·T: Taige Weir855kg3 101: 0-0-0$3.70$1.28

Career

1: 0-0-0

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Offpace

BackLead

Figures

Jockey100%
Trainer80%
Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
Early Speed20%
Rating40%
Closing Speed40%

Record

First-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Echuca
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1100m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
1: 0-0-0

Last starts

10Echuca1100m16 Apr 2026 · 2Y MDN-SW · GOOD311.7L
3Caulfield Heath800m26 Mar 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)0.8L

Insights

Jockey ROI
Positive
Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 24% in Last 100 Rides
Key Rider
Positive
Dean Yendall 24% above market expected in L100 Rides
Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are out performing market expectations by 386%
Key Jockey
Positive
Dean Yendall winning at 15% POT in last 100 rides
Needs To Imp
Negative
Finished towards the tail last start
Awkward Draw
Negative
Would have liked a better draw
1st Up
Negative
May need this run
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

Kicks off second campaign (27-weeks). A long way off them at Echuca on debut at double-figure odds. Fitter for two jumpouts.

ILB

First run back from a break of 27 weeks. Started $31.00 and was well beaten when 10th last start at Echuca but having second career run. Will be a difficult assignment.

Held when tenth (beaten 12l) on her debut at Echuca at 28-1 six months ago; returns from a layoff; entitled to be a bit more streetwise this time and should not be far away.

RSIS

Resuming after a break of 27 weeks. Started 30/1 and didn't threaten when 10th last time at Echuca but was a debutant last start.

8Frosted SteeleJ: Alana Kelly·T: Heath Chalmers255kg91: 0-0-0$51.00$5.00

Career

1: 0-0-0

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Backmarker

BackLead

Figures

Jockey60%
Trainer20%
Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
Early Speed20%
Rating40%
Closing Speed60%

Record

First-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Manangatang
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1175m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
1: 0-0-0

Last starts

9Manangatang1175m10 Oct 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD311.05L

Insights

Trainer Career
Negative
Trainer Career S/R is 4%
Trainer A2E
Negative
Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 42%
Needs To Imp
Negative
Finished towards the tail last start
Nice Barrier
Positive
Well drawn from gate 2
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

Offered little to catch the eye on debut at Manangatang at longer odds 10 Oct. Coming back in distance. Big lift needed from there.

ILB

Jumped at $26.00 and average performance when 9th last time at Manangatang but was on debut last time. Expected to settle towards the tail. Has a good draw. Others preferred.

Didn't offer much on her debut in Manangatang maiden over 6f at 25-1 two weeks ago; potential to improve; should benefit for having a run under her belt.

RSIS

Started 25/1 and mediocre performance when 9th last start at Manangatang but having second race start. Will be giving the leaders a big start.

9What Once WasJ: Fred W Kersley·T: L Smith555kg2 4 3 24: 0-2-1$2.05$1.09

Career

4: 0-2-1

Rating · IRD

100

Speed map

Leader

BackLead

Figures

Jockey20%
Trainer80%
Jockey/Trainer Combo80%
Early Speed100%
Rating100%
Closing Speed40%

Record

First-up
1: 0-1-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Third-up
1: 0-0-1
Fourth-up
1: 0-1-0
Track Swan Hill
1: 0-1-0
Track CurrentTrack
1: 0-1-0
Track Warracknabeal
1: 0-1-0
Distance 975m
1: 0-1-0
Distance 1000m
3: 0-1-1
Going Good
1: 0-1-0
Going Soft
1: 0-1-0
Going Synthetic
2: 0-0-1

Last starts

2Warracknabeal1000m29 Aug 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD41.3L
3Ballarat Synthetic1000m18 Aug 2026 · 3yo+ · SYNTHETIC0.2L
4Ballarat Synthetic1000m6 Aug 2026 · MDN-SW · SYNTHETIC1.6L
2Swan Hill975m28 July 2026 · 2yo+ · SOFT50.75L

Insights

Rider
Negative
Negative rider change today
Early Splits
Positive
Has early speed. An advantage on this circuit
Lightly Raced
Positive
Limited race experience but shown potential
Track Exp
Positive
Knows this track well
Form Revival
Positive
Turning form around with last couple
Fresh
Positive
Freshened up. Had a break of 42-60 days

Comments

AAP

Let-up (59-days). A win looks close. Made all and just picked off late at Warracknabeal. Highly rated in this line-up.

ILB

Back from a let up. Displayed a strong effort throughout the race when 2nd beaten by 1 1/4L last time at Warracknabeal. Has early speed and positions nicely. Sets the standard.

Produced a good effort to finish runner-up at Warracknabeal two months ago.

RSIS

Back from a freshen up. Was outmuscled when 2nd beaten by 1 1/4L last run at Warracknabeal and solid career start. Likely to be well placed early. The one they have to get past.

10Winna's SisterJ: Damien Thornton·T: Nick Ryan755kg4$4.80$1.40

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Firststart

Figures

Jockey60%
Trainer100%
Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
Early Speed50%
Rating60%
Closing Speed50%

Last starts

4Bendigo800m18 Aug 2026 · Barrier Trial · HEAVY(8)5.2L

Insights

Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
1st Up
Negative
May need this run
On Debut
Positive
First race start

Comments

AAP

Trials (1:0-0-0). Out of an unraced mare. Sound in two Flemington jumpouts. Follow betting leads.

ILB

3yo by Cliff's Edge having initial appearance for trainer Nick Ryan. Respect the betting.

Sole newcomer in the field; first start for this daughter of Cliff's Edge; respected with signs of encouragement in profile.

RSIS

3yo by Cliff's Edge having first race appearance for Nick Ryan. Keep your eye on the market.

Odds correct as at Tue 27 Oct, 1:30 pm AEDT. Odds can change.

Past meetings

Tue 22 Sept, 10:00 am AEST · 8 races