Shortest win price
Tremont (3)
2.30
Welcome to Swan Hill for the Ultima Hotel Mdn Plate over the 1200m journey on a Soft5 surface with fine weather overhead. The win market is currently led by Tremont, with She's Loaded sitting next in order, followed by Gamadale Paddy and The Pallet Man rounding out the shorter fancies in this 3UP maiden clash.
Looking at the form behind those at the top of calculations, Tremont brings plenty of race experience for trainers Ben, Will & Jd Hayes with Harry Coffey in the saddle from barrier four, backed up by solid trial efforts. She's Loaded is another major player coming out of strong runner-up performances at Kilmore and Cranbourne, and Dean Yendall takes the mount from barrier six for Mitchell Freedman.
Further down the line, Gamadale Paddy maps on pace for trainer Taige Weir and jockey John Allen after finishing strongly for second at Mildura over this exact distance last time out. With speed groups well distributed across leaders like She's Loaded and offpace runners, punters have plenty of intriguing form lines to weigh up in this competitive country maiden.
Shortest win price
Tremont (3)
2.30
Most career wins
Tremont
2-6-6 from 35 starts
Back left · leaders right
Backmarker
Offpace
Onpace
Firststart
Leader
Tremont · Positive
Stable In Form
Stable going well. Out performing market by 42%
She's Loaded · Positive
Jockey ROI
Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 24% in Last 100 Rides
Cast A Line · Negative
Cold J/T Combo
Combo are losing -42% POT in their L100 Races
Fullboardsupport · Positive
Jockey ROI
Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 23% in Last 100 Rides
Rating · IRD
20
AAP
On pace but found little at the business end at Albury. Can play a role.
ILB
Jumped at $6.00 and came in 7th last time at Albury.
RSIS
Started at 5/1 and came in 7th last start at Albury.
Rating · IRD
74
Speed map
Leader
Better for last start
Positive
Improved with last few runs
1st Up
Negative
May need this run
AAP
Back for second campaign (30-weeks). Has an adverse draw. Can't enthuse.
ILB
Fresh from a 30 week break. Faded at the finish when 3rd beaten by 5L last run at Avoca. Has the speed to overcome the wide gate.
RSIS
Resuming after a break of 30 weeks. Applied plenty of pressure when 3rd last run at Avoca. Should be rolling forward early from the wide stall.
Career
35: 2-6-6
Rating · IRD
78
Speed map
Offpace
First-up
6: 1-0-1
Second-up
5: 1-0-1
Third-up
4: 0-1-2
Fourth-up
3: 0-0-0
Track Cranbourne
1: 0-0-1
Track Swan Hill
1: 0-0-0
Track CurrentTrack
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1500m
4: 0-2-0
Distance 1600m
10: 1-2-2
Distance 1640m
1: 0-0-0
Going Soft
1: 0-0-0
Going Synthetic
1: 0-0-0
Going Unknown
1: 0-0-0
Stable In Form
Positive
Stable going well. Out performing market by 42%
Trainer ROI
Positive
Runners from this stable currently going at 31% POT in L100 Runners
Up In Dist
Positive
Racing at a more suitable distance
Ready To Strike
Positive
Can be rewarded for recent consistent form
AAP
Trials (1:0-1-0). Dam won her only start in NZ. Has looked good at the jumpouts. Can hit the ground running.
ILB
Resuming after a 488 week break. Sub-standard effort when 8th last run at Cunnamulla but back over extra ground. Racing for a new trainer but up in weight. Very weak selection.
RP
New Zealander bred; gelded already; trainer more than capable of readying a newcomer, especially over this sort of distance; chance with signs of encouragement in profile and the yard is in good nick.
RSIS
First run back after a break of 488 weeks. Below standard effort when 8th last run at Cunnamulla but back over extra ground. First race for a new trainer.
Career
5: 0-2-1
Rating · IRD
100
Speed map
Leader
First-up
3: 0-1-1
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Third-up
1: 0-1-0
Track Seymour
1: 0-0-1
Track Stony Creek
1: 0-1-0
Track Mildura
1: 0-1-0
Distance 1400m
1: 0-1-0
Distance 1000m
2: 0-0-1
Distance 1100m
1: 0-1-0
Going Soft
1: 0-0-1
Going Synthetic
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
3: 0-2-0
Lightly Raced
Positive
Limited race experience but shown potential
AAP
Lightly raced and still learning the caper. On pace, boxed away behind tearaway winner at Mildura. Reverts to slightly shorter trip. Not out of it.
ILB
Placed 2nd last run at Mildura and promising career start. Has good tactical speed and will be nicely positioned. Definite claims.
RP
Stepped up on her last two starts; slightly disappointing she was beaten 4l at Mildura over 7f (maiden) three weeks ago.
RSIS
Ran well when 2nd last time at Mildura and promising career start. Will be pushing for a forward position early. Goes well and could be a value opportunity.
Career
10: 0-2-0
Rating · IRD
95
Speed map
Onpace
First-up
2: 0-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-1-0
Third-up
1: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-1-0
Track Geelong
1: 0-0-0
Track Mornington
1: 0-0-0
Track Stawell
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1300m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1312m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1400m
2: 0-0-0
Going Good
6: 0-0-0
Going Synthetic
4: 0-2-0
Dist S/R
Negative
Poor performer at the distance
AAP
Failed to threaten at Mildura. First time around Swan Hill. Others carry more punch.
ILB
Started at $6.50 and didn't attack the line when 9th last run at Mildura. Linda Meech and Ciaron Maher make a formidable team. Has a good chance.
RP
Behind Back Up Barbie over 7f at Mildura (maiden) when finishing last of nine three weeks ago; yet to get off the mark and losing run stands at ten and good and bad recent runs found on her CV; probably unlikely to trouble the principals with this looking like a hot contest.
RSIS
Started 11/2 and didn't find the line when 9th last start at Mildura. Jockey Linda Meech and trainer Ciaron Maher link up well. Good prospects.
Career
11: 0-3-3
Rating · IRD
100
Speed map
Leader
First-up
4: 0-0-1
Second-up
2: 0-1-0
Third-up
2: 0-0-2
Fourth-up
2: 0-1-0
Track Pakenham
1: 0-0-0
Track Stawell
1: 0-0-1
Track Murtoa
1: 0-1-0
Distance 1100m
4: 0-1-2
Distance 1140m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1200m
3: 0-2-1
Going Heavy
1: 0-1-0
Going Soft
3: 0-0-0
Going Good
7: 0-2-3
Jockey ROI
Positive
Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 24% in Last 100 Rides
Jockey Booking
Positive
Dean Yendall 24% above market expected in L100 Rides
Map Suits
Positive
Suitable Map, where runners in this position outperform market by 4%
Fast Early
Positive
Sectionals suggest goes hard early
Ran On Hard LS
Positive
Ran on well last start
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
Honest
Positive
Finishing in the money lately
AAP
Competitive type. Just missed at Kilmore 28 Sep. Pretty good effort in defeat at Cranbourne. Right in the mix again.
ILB
Zipped home into 2nd beaten by 1 1/2L last start at Cranbourne. Displays good tactical speed. Producing consistent results since returning from a break. Definite contender.
RP
Has found improvement of late but still winless and defeats stacking up (11 on the bounce); finishing runner-up was a good effort two weeks ago at Cranbourne; been struggling to get her head in front recently so easy to oppose.
RSIS
Strong run when finishing 2nd beaten by 1 1/2L last start at Cranbourne. Has good tactical pace and will be nicely positioned. Going well lately. Expecting a strong showing.
Rating · IRD
81
Speed map
Firststart
Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are out performing market expectations by 48%
Trainer ROI
Positive
Runners from this stable currently going at 14% POT in L100 Runners
Market Watch
Negative
Keep eye on betting moves
AAP
$55k purchase. Out of a half-sister to G3 winner Platinum Command. Safely held in both jumpouts. Prefer to see.
ILB
John Salanitri 4yo by Lucky Vega having first race start. Watch the betting.
RSIS
4yo by Lucky Vega racing as a debutant for trainer John Salanitri.
Rating · IRD
83
Speed map
Firststart
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -21% POT in their L100 Races
First Starter
Positive
Not raced previously
AAP
Out of a half-sister to the stakes winner Mcclintock. Has looked good at the jumpouts. Key player.
ILB
3yo by El Roca having first race appearance for Ciaron Maher. Watch the market.
RP
Trainer has fine record with newcomers at this distance; New Zealander bred; already a gelding; sibling of Col du Tourmalet (7½f winner); should go close with signs of encouragement in profile.
RSIS
First race appearance 3yo by El Roca for trainer Ciaron Maher.
Career
1: 0-0-0
Rating · IRD
80
Speed map
Leader
First-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Manangatang
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1175m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
1: 0-0-0
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -42% POT in their L100 Races
Trainer ROI
Positive
Runners from this stable currently going at 13% POT in L100 Runners
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
AAP
Stepping out for only the second time after battling home at Manangatang under sustained support 10 Oct. Since trialled at Colac 22 Oct. Will need to improve from there.
ILB
Started at $8.50 and finished 5th last time at Manangatang but was on debut last time. Should muster plenty of early speed. Will be tested.
RP
Held on his debut at Manangatang at 15-2 17 days ago; possible squeak if giving a more streetwise showing.
RSIS
Odds of 15/2 and ran 5th last time at Manangatang but fitter for debut run. Will be positive in the run early.
Rating · IRD
88
Speed map
Firststart
Jockey ROI
Positive
Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 23% in Last 100 Rides
Jockey Booking
Positive
Billy Egan 23% above market expected in L100 Rides
Profitable Trainer
Positive
Stable runners going at 13% POT in L100 Runners
On Debut
Positive
First race start
AAP
Trials (3:0-0-0). $55k purchase. Out of a stakes-placed mare who won eight races. Modest early trial work and latest heat was plain. Would need a strong market lead.
ILB
3yo debutant sired by Splintex for Patrick Payne & Michelle Payne. Respect the betting.
RP
Having his first start in public; trainer has a good record with newcomers; in with a big shout as some good aspects to his profile and stable is in good order.
RSIS
3yo by Splintex having initial appearance for Patrick Payne & Michelle Payne. Watch for a sign in the market.
Career
2: 0-1-0
Rating · IRD
100
Speed map
Onpace
First-up
2: 0-1-0
Track Warrnambool
1: 0-0-0
Track Mildura
1: 0-1-0
Distance 1200m
2: 0-1-0
Going Heavy
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
1: 0-1-0
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Ran On Hard LS
Positive
Ran on well last start
AAP
Drifted back, cut loose late at Mildura at his second race start. Worth a look.
ILB
Finished amongst the placegetters when 2nd beaten by 1 1/4L last time at Mildura. Very capable of taking this out.
RP
Not beaten far when runner-up at Mildura 21 days ago.
RSIS
Good run when finishing 2nd last start at Mildura. Must be considered here.
Career
1: 0-0-0
Rating · IRD
84
Speed map
Offpace
First-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Bendigo
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1100m
1: 0-0-0
Going Soft
1: 0-0-0
Jockey Booking
Negative
Cian Macredmond current POT is 37% below Career Avg.
Jockey Booking
Negative
Less suitable jockey engaged
Rider Poor SR
Negative
Jockey underperforming market expectations by 54% in L100 rides
Early Splits
Positive
Has early speed. An advantage on this circuit
1st Up
Negative
May need this run
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
AAP
Returns for second campaign (17-weeks). Had a low-key debut at Bendigo 25 Jun. Better for it. Takes further benefit from 2 trials. Might show more second time to the races. Betting.
ILB
Resuming after a spell. Was $6.50 and weakened under pressure when 11th last time at Bendigo but having second race start. Long shot.
RP
Beaten 8l to finish towards the rear on his debut over 5½f at Bendigo at 11-2 four months ago; returning from a layoff here; could improve but still hard to see him winning here.
RSIS
First run back today. Was 11/2 and faded away to finish 11th last time at Bendigo but having second career run.
Career
2: 0-0-0
Rating · IRD
78
Speed map
Offpace
First-up
1: 0-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Kilmore
1: 0-0-0
Track Kyneton
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1100m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1203m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
1: 0-0-0
Going Soft
1: 0-0-0
Jockey Booking
Negative
Less suitable jockey engaged
Trainer Form
Positive
In form stable, out performing market expectations 42%
Profitable Trainer
Positive
Stable runners going at 31% POT in L100 Runners
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
AAP
Not disgraced at Kyneton at second appearance at $81. Better for those runs under the belt and open to improvement.
ILB
At $81.00 finished 6th last run at Kyneton. Will be giving the leaders a big start. Others much better.
RP
Out of the frame (beaten 3½l in sixth, Kyneton) 19 days ago; others more appealing.
RSIS
Odds of 80/1 and ran 6th last time at Kyneton. Might have to make up considerable ground.
Career
1: 0-0-0
Rating · IRD
74
Speed map
Leader
First-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Kilmore
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1207m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
1: 0-0-0
Draw Suits
Positive
Well drawn inside
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
AAP
Stepping out for only the second time after battling home at Kilmore as an outsider 13 Oct. Can't enthuse.
ILB
Started $61.00 and ran 5th last run at Kilmore but fitter for debut run. Has minimal work to do from the barrier. Tough race, will need luck.
RP
Held when fifth (beaten 6l) on her debut at Kilmore at 66-1 14 days ago; could improve from first run although a leap forward required to win this.
RSIS
Odds of 60/1 and finished 5th last run at Kilmore but was a debutant last start. Will appreciate a good stall.
Career
2: 0-0-0
Rating · IRD
70
Speed map
Offpace
First-up
2: 0-0-0
Track Hamilton
1: 0-0-0
Track Terang
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1100m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1200m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
1: 0-0-0
Going Soft
1: 0-0-0
Trainer Career
Negative
Trainer Career S/R is 7%
Rider
Negative
Negative rider change today
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -30% POT in their L100 Races
Trainer Recent
Negative
Stable runners are currently underperforming market by 35%
AAP
Midfield, no rally and went to line tamely at Hamilton at second start. Others more persuasive.
ILB
Was $51.00 and tailed off to finish 8th last time at Hamilton. Might be ridden for luck. Has to improve out of sight.
RP
Eighth of 13 beaten 6l over 5½f at Hamilton (maiden) two weeks ago.
RSIS
Was 50/1 and weakened to finish 8th last run at Hamilton. Likely to get back.
Career
2: 0-0-0
Rating · IRD
70
Speed map
Backmarker
First-up
1: 0-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Ararat
1: 0-0-0
Track Burrumbeet
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1100m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1350m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
2: 0-0-0
Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are out performing market expectations by 335%
Profitable Trainer
Positive
Stable runners going at 21% POT in L100 Runners
Needs To Imp
Negative
Finished towards the tail last start
Nice Barrier
Positive
Well drawn from gate 2
1st Up
Negative
May need this run
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
AAP
Kicks off second campaign (42-weeks). Finished down the track in both country maiden assignments last time in. Happy to watch.
ILB
Back from a 42 week break. Started $81.00 and not up to scratch when 7th last start at Burrumbeet but will try to take advantage of the alley. Needs a lot of luck.
RP
Finished seventh, beaten 17l, (Burrumbeet) on New Year's Day upped to 6½f; layoff to overcome.
RSIS
Resuming after break of 42 weeks. Started at 80/1 and sub-standard effort when 7th last start at Burrumbeet but has a good draw. Prefers to settle towards the rear.
Career
3: 0-0-0
Rating · IRD
79
Speed map
Offpace
First-up
1: 0-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Third-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Mildura
2: 0-0-0
Track Swan Hill
1: 0-0-0
Track CurrentTrack
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1008m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1200m
2: 0-0-0
Going Good
2: 0-0-0
Going Soft
1: 0-0-0
Rider SR
Positive
Jockey recent POT is 43% better than Career Avg.
Jockey Booking
Positive
Cory Parish 58% above market expected in L100 Rides
Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are out performing market expectations by 117%
Key Jockey
Positive
Cory Parish winning at 34% POT in last 100 rides
Wide Draw
Negative
Likely to get caught wide
AAP
Didn't finish it off over 1200m 3yo+ Mdn Plate at Mildura. Locally trained but has a tricky draw. Hard to make a case.
ILB
Started at $41.00 and didn't find the line when 6th last time at Mildura. Looking elsewhere today.
RP
Not far behind Gamadale Paddy when sixth (Mildura) 21 days ago; trainer has been going through a quiet spell.
RSIS
Started 40/1 and gave away some ground when 6th last run at Mildura.
Career
7: 0-0-1
Rating · IRD
80
Speed map
Onpace
First-up
2: 0-0-1
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Third-up
1: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Warrnambool
1: 0-0-0
Track Casterton
1: 0-0-0
Track Halidon
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1008m
1: 0-0-1
Distance 1200m
2: 0-0-0
Distance 1300m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
4: 0-0-1
Going Soft
3: 0-0-0
Jockey Booking
Negative
Less suitable jockey engaged
Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are out performing market expectations by 180%
Early Splits
Positive
Has early speed. An advantage on this circuit
Blinkers On
Positive
Trainer has opted for the Blinkers on, take note
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
AAP
Handy and acquitted himself fairly well at Halidon. Keener on others.
ILB
Odds of $17.00 and finished 5th last start at Halidon. Needs significant improvement.
RP
Respectable effort to finish fifth, beaten 2½l at Halidon two weeks ago.
RSIS
Was 16/1 and finished 5th last start at Halidon.