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Swan Hill (VIC) horses tips & previews

One race at a time: field, form guide and win/place odds for Swan Hill (VIC), with capture times on every price.

Meeting — Tue 27 Oct, 11:00 am AEDT

Meetings · Tue, 27 OctSwan Hill (VIC)Change

Race 5 — BusBiz.net.au (Bm62) 975m · jumps

Race preview

Welcome to Swan Hill for race five on the program, featuring the 3UP BM62 HCP over the sharp 975m sprint trip. The track is rated a soft five under fine skies, setting up an intriguing battle on the quick back-up for the punters. Looking at the early win market order, Killiana holds down the shortest quote to kick off proceedings, closely followed by Ziggy Bama and Monix in the betting. Caribbean Villa, Maximillius, Commands Success, Do It Now, Wareo Road and Kikkuli round out the rest of the market order as they prepare to do battle over this short dash.

A closer look at the form reveals why those at the head of the market are garnering attention. Killiana resumes here following an eighteen-week break, having previously taken out the Vobis Gold Rush at Bendigo and going desperately close in Benchmark 62 company at Sale first-up last preparation. Ziggy Bama comes in with strong credentials too, having scored a determined victory at Warrnambool two starts ago before failing to threaten when supported at the same track subsequently. Meanwhile, Monix returns after shouldered weight to victory right here at Swan Hill prior to a wide draw proving too tough to overcome at Horsham, showing enough track-and-trip specialist traits to keep honest.

Digging further into the race dynamics, early speed looks to be dictated from the front with Killiana and Kikkuli pushing forward from their respective barriers, while Ziggy Bama maps on-pace with early speed that should prove an advantage on this circuit. Further down the order, Caribbean Villa comes off a solid effort where she trailed the pace and kicked strongly for a close second at Horsham, making her an interesting runner to keep safe for exotics if the leaders face pressure up front. It shapes as a fascinating tactical sprint where punters will need to weigh up fresh legs against proven track form.

Race notes

  • 3UP BM62 HCP,3yo+,BM62,Benchmark 62
  • SOFT5
  • Fine
  • 9 runners

Shortest win price

Ziggy Bama (3)

2.90

Most career wins

Commands Success

6-6-5 from 38 starts

Speed map

Back left · leaders right

Backmarker

  • 7Wareo Road

Offmidfield

  • 4Commands Success
  • 9Caribbean Villa

Midfield

  • 5Do It Now

Offpace

  • 1Monix
  • 2Maximillius

Onpace

  • 3Ziggy Bama

Leader

  • 6Killiana
  • 8Kikkuli
  • Monix · Positive

    Hot J/T Combo

    Combo are winning 27% POT in their L100 Races

  • Maximillius · Negative

    Cold J/T Combo

    Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races

  • Ziggy Bama · Negative

    Jockey Booking

    Less suitable jockey engaged

  • Commands Success · Positive

    Fast Finisher

    Fastest Overall Finishing Sectionals Last Start

No.RunnerBarWgtLast 5WinPlace
1MonixJ: Chelsea Taylor·T: Nathan Hobson664.5kg2 1 4 1 821: 5-3-4$6.00$1.95

Career

21: 5-3-4

Rating · IRD

80

Speed map

Offpace

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey20%
  • Trainer80%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
  • Early Speed80%
  • Rating40%
  • Closing Speed40%

Record

  • First-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Second-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Third-up

    1: 0-1-0

  • Fourth-up

    1: 0-0-1

  • Track Ballarat

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Bendigo

    2: 1-0-0

  • Track Swan Hill

    8: 4-1-1

  • Distance 1306m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 975m

    6: 3-1-1

  • Distance 1000m

    4: 1-1-0

  • Going Good

    14: 2-3-3

  • Going Heavy

    4: 1-0-0

  • Going Soft

    3: 2-0-1

Last starts

  1. 8Horsham1200m18 Oct 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD39.42L
  2. 1Swan Hill975m22 Sept 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD3-1.25
  3. 4Bendigo1000m12 Aug 2026 · 3UP BM66 HCP · HEAVY93.5L
  4. 1Swan Hill975m28 July 2026 · 2yo+ · SOFT5-1.5
  5. 2Mildura1000m17 July 2026 · BM70 · GOOD41.5L
  6. 1Bendigo1000m5 July 2026 · 2yo+ · HEAVY9-0.5
  7. 4Echuca1000m23 June 2026 · BM56 · HEAVY101.4L
  8. 1Swan Hill975m6 June 2026 · 0 - 56 · SOFT6-2

Insights

  • Hot J/T Combo

    Positive

    Combo are winning 27% POT in their L100 Races

  • Map Suits

    Positive

    Suitable Map, where runners in this position outperform market by 4%

  • Slow Early LS

    Negative

    Speed data from recent runs suggests slower early splits on avg

  • Gave ground LS

    Negative

    Faded towards the finish last time out

  • Dist Drop

    Negative

    Distance decrease from last start

  • Track And Dist

    Positive

    Excels at this track and trip

  • Track Stats

    Positive

    Excels at this track

  • Well Placed

    Positive

    Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Shouldered 62.5kg to victory at Swan Hill. Failed to threaten (wide draw) at Horsham at healthy odds. Track and trip specialist. Look for an improved effort here.

ILB

Couldn't stay in touch when 8th last time at Horsham but facing a weaker grade. Running with confidence this campaign and proven runner at this distance. Down in distance. Slight prospect.

RP

Has an impressive C&D record (three wins from six runs); beaten 9l at Horsham nine days ago upped to 6f; this is competitive and easy to oppose.

RSIS

Gave away some ground when 8th last start at Horsham but drops back to a suitable class. Has run into the money multiple times in recent runs.

2MaximilliusJ: Sarah Field·T: Michael Jones562.5kg7 8 9 2 128: 3-2-2$9.00$2.45

Career

28: 3-2-2

Rating · IRD

78

Speed map

Offpace

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey80%
  • Trainer80%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
  • Early Speed100%
  • Rating40%
  • Closing Speed100%

Record

  • First-up

    9: 1-0-1

  • Second-up

    8: 1-1-0

  • Third-up

    3: 0-0-1

  • Fourth-up

    3: 0-0-0

  • Track Caulfield

    5: 0-0-0

  • Track CurrentTrack

    2: 1-1-0

  • Track Terang

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 955m

    2: 0-1-1

  • Distance 975m

    2: 1-1-0

  • Distance 1100m

    4: 0-0-0

  • Going Soft

    5: 1-0-0

  • Going Good

    22: 2-2-2

  • Going Heavy

    1: 0-0-0

Last starts

  1. 1Swan Hill975m21 Apr 2026 · 3UP BM62 HCP · GOOD3-0.5
  2. 2Swan Hill975m12 Apr 2026 · BM56 · GOOD30.2L
  3. 9Wangaratta1170m28 Feb 2026 · BM66 · GOOD37.4L
  4. 8Caulfield1000m31 Jan 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD47.1L
  5. 7Pakenham1000m23 Jan 2026 · 3UP BM66 HCP · GOOD35.86L
  6. 1Bendigo800m13 Jan 2026 · Barrier Trial-0.5
  7. 9Sandown1000m26 Dec 2025 · BM70 · GOOD46.2L
  8. 5Sandown1000m24 May 2025 · BM78 HCP · SOFT52.5L

Insights

  • Cold J/T Combo

    Negative

    Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races

  • Ideal Map

    Positive

    Map position exceeding market by 4%

  • Solid Run LS

    Positive

    Won last start

  • Track Stats

    Positive

    Excels at this track

  • Resuming

    Negative

    Poor strike rate when first up

Comments

AAP

First-up (27-weeks). Has run well fresh. Capable of making an impact fresh in this line-up.

ILB

First up from a 27 week break. Romped home to win last run at this venue and displaying improvement over the past few runs. Low-key chance.

RP

Scored by a slim margin in a handicap six months ago (lost whip); returns from a break here; cannot be ignored.

RSIS

Back after break of 27 weeks. Picked up nicely to win last time at the track and demonstrating upward trajectory in recent races.

3Ziggy BamaJ: Fred W Kersley·T: L Smith162kg2 1 3 1 54: 2-0-1$2.90$1.28

Career

4: 2-0-1

Rating · IRD

100

Speed map

Onpace

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey20%
  • Trainer80%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo80%
  • Early Speed100%
  • Rating100%
  • Closing Speed80%

Record

  • First-up

    1: 1-0-0

  • Second-up

    1: 0-0-1

  • Third-up

    1: 1-0-0

  • Fourth-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Ballarat

    1: 0-0-1

  • Track Warrnambool

    2: 1-0-0

  • Track Ballarat Synthetic

    1: 1-0-0

  • Distance 1000m

    4: 2-0-1

  • Going Good

    3: 1-0-1

  • Going Synthetic

    1: 1-0-0

Last starts

  1. 5Warrnambool1000m15 Oct 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD47.37L
  2. 1Warrnambool1000m21 Sept 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD4-0.5
  3. 3Ballarat1000m18 Sept 2026 · 3UP BM62 HCP · GOOD41.85L
  4. 1Ballarat Synthetic1000m31 Aug 2026 · 3yo+ · SYNTHETIC0L
  5. 2Geelong1000m27 Jan 2026 · Barrier Trial2.3L
  6. 3Colac1000m23 Sept 2025 · Barrier Trial1.9L

Insights

  • Jockey Booking

    Negative

    Less suitable jockey engaged

  • Early Splits

    Positive

    Has early speed. An advantage on this circuit

  • Draw Suits

    Positive

    Well drawn inside

  • Lightly Raced

    Positive

    Limited race experience but shown potential

  • Well Placed

    Positive

    Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Warrnambool winner two back. Failed to threaten at Warrnambool when supported. Drawn well and a proven weight carrier. Look for a better showing.

ILB

Jumped at $3.10 and passed some rivals in the late stages when 5th last run at Warrnambool and will appreciate a good barrier. Shows good early pace. Solid career start. Will not be far away.

RP

Beaten 7l into fifth at Warrnambool two weeks ago; has won two of his four career starts; likely to be a threat if excused most recent run as achieved handicap success two runs back.

RSIS

Was 11/5 and passed some rivals in the late stages when 5th last start at Warrnambool and good career start. Fred W Kersley is a bonus. Shows good early pace. Has to be in the finish.

4Commands SuccessJ: Cassidy Hill·T: Dwayne Reid761kg4 5 8 7 338: 6-6-5$10.00$2.65

Career

38: 6-6-5

Rating · IRD

76

Speed map

Offmidfield

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey40%
  • Trainer60%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
  • Early Speed100%
  • Rating40%
  • Closing Speed100%

Record

  • First-up

    7: 3-1-0

  • Second-up

    6: 1-1-0

  • Third-up

    6: 1-1-1

  • Fourth-up

    5: 0-1-1

  • Track Echuca

    1: 1-0-0

  • Track Narrandera

    1: 0-1-0

  • Track Benalla

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1170m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1200m

    4: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1300m

    2: 0-0-2

  • Going Good

    27: 5-4-4

  • Going Heavy

    1: 0-1-0

  • Going Soft

    10: 1-1-1

Last starts

  1. 3Seymour1000m11 Oct 2026 · 3yo+ · SOFT53L
  2. 7Ballarat1000m30 Sept 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD46.5L
  3. 8Ballarat1000m18 Sept 2026 · 3UP BM62 HCP · GOOD43.23L
  4. 5Ballarat1000m3 Apr 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD32.9L
  5. 4Caulfield Heath1200m18 Mar 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD41.6L
  6. 1Caulfield Heath1000m4 Mar 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD4-0.5
  7. 3Pakenham1000m26 Feb 2026 · BM62 · GOOD40.7L
  8. 2Sale1006m11 Feb 2026 · 3UP BM62 HCP · GOOD40.5L

Insights

  • Fast Finisher

    Positive

    Fastest Overall Finishing Sectionals Last Start

  • Trainer Career

    Negative

    Trainer Career S/R is 7%

  • Cold J/T Combo

    Negative

    Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races

  • Trainer Recent

    Negative

    Stable runners are currently underperforming market by 21%

  • Ideal Map

    Positive

    Map position exceeding market by 4%

  • Ran On Hard LS

    Positive

    Ran on well last start

  • Ready To Fire

    Positive

    Shown something in last few runs

  • Well Placed

    Positive

    Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Mid-division, well held by winner but good through line at Seymour at $21. First time around Swan Hill. Others carry more punch.

ILB

Caught the eye when 3rd beaten by 3L last start at Seymour. Likely to get back in the run. Prefer in an easier race.

RP

Produced a good effort to finish third at Seymour two weeks ago.

RSIS

Flashed home late into 3rd beaten by 3L last start at Seymour. Might have to make up considerable ground.

5Do It NowJ: Damien Thornton·T: Luke Oliver960.5kg7 7 1 10 117: 4-2-0$13.00$3.10

Career

17: 4-2-0

Rating · IRD

73

Speed map

Midfield

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey60%
  • Trainer40%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
  • Early Speed100%
  • Rating40%
  • Closing Speed80%

Record

  • First-up

    3: 1-0-0

  • Second-up

    2: 1-0-0

  • Third-up

    2: 0-1-0

  • Fourth-up

    1: 1-0-0

  • Track Echuca

    1: 1-0-0

  • Track Pakenham

    2: 0-0-0

  • Track Warrnambool

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1009m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1012m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1100m

    4: 1-0-0

  • Going Soft

    6: 2-0-0

  • Going Good

    6: 1-1-0

  • Going Heavy

    5: 1-1-0

Last starts

  1. 1Echuca1000m19 Oct 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD4-0.02
  2. 10Kyneton1103m8 Oct 2026 · 3UP BM56 HCP · SOFT53.65L
  3. 1Tatura1000m7 Sept 2026 · 3yo+ · SOFT7-0.5
  4. 7Moe1000m13 Aug 2026 · 3UP BM56 HCP · HEAVY104.2L
  5. 7Yarra Valley1009m19 Dec 2025 · BM56 · GOOD32L
  6. 1Stony Creek1100m7 Dec 2025 · 3UP F&M 0 - 56 HCP · HEAVY10-0.5
  7. 7Kyneton1103m5 Nov 2025 · 3yo+ · HEAVY89.8L
  8. 7Sale1012m8 Oct 2025 · 3yo+ · GOOD42.5L

Insights

  • Fast Finisher

    Positive

    Fastest Overall Finishing Sectionals Last Start

  • Trainer SR

    Negative

    Luke Oliver striking at just 6%

  • Hot J/T Combo

    Positive

    Combo are out performing market expectations by 82%

  • Trainer Recent

    Negative

    Stable runners are currently underperforming market by 32%

  • Tricky Map

    Negative

    Runners with this map, underperform market by 9%

  • Early Splits

    Positive

    Has early speed. An advantage on this circuit

  • Solid Run LS

    Positive

    Won last start

  • Awkward Draw

    Negative

    May find this draw awkward

Comments

AAP

Racing in great heart. Responded well from just off leaders to snare a final bound win at Echuca. Can make her presence felt again if she gets the breaks.

ILB

Backs up quickly. Charged home to win last time at Echuca. Very competitive this preparation. Can't entertain.

RP

Record shows she knows where the winning post is (wins-runs career record of 4-17); got home in front by a nose at Echuca last Monday; despite that Echuca success, passed over.

RSIS

Racing on a quick back up. Picked up nicely to win last start at Echuca. Going well recently winning 2 from 4 starts.

6KillianaJ: Eoin Walsh·T: Ben, Will & Jd Hayes260.5kg2 2 1 6 97: 2-2-0$3.70$1.38

Career

7: 2-2-0

Rating · IRD

93

Speed map

Leader

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey20%
  • Trainer100%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo80%
  • Early Speed100%
  • Rating80%
  • Closing Speed20%

Record

  • First-up

    2: 1-1-0

  • Second-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Third-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Warrnambool

    1: 0-1-0

  • Track Cranbourne

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Bendigo

    2: 2-0-0

  • Distance 1000m

    4: 1-1-0

  • Distance 1013m

    1: 0-1-0

  • Distance 1100m

    1: 1-0-0

  • Going Good

    4: 2-1-0

  • Going Soft

    3: 0-1-0

Last starts

  1. 9Cranbourne1000m21 June 2026 · BM62 · SOFT75.3L
  2. 6Caulfield Heath1000m27 May 2026 · 2yo+ · SOFT72.8L
  3. 1Caulfield Heath800m14 May 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)-0.1
  4. 2Sale1013m19 Apr 2026 · BM62 · GOOD40.1L
  5. 2Warrnambool1000m29 Apr 2025 · 2Y FILLIES SW · SOFT70.3L
  6. 1Bendigo1100m12 Apr 2025 · 2Y SW · GOOD4-0.5
  7. 4Caulfield1200m15 Mar 2025 · 2Y SW · GOOD41.3L
  8. 1Bendigo1000m2 Mar 2025 · Maiden · GOOD4-4.25

Insights

  • Current SR

    Negative

    Rider’s recent POT is returning 48% lower than Career Avg.

  • Rider

    Negative

    Negative rider change today

  • Stable In Form

    Positive

    Stable going well. Out performing market by 42%

  • Profitable Trainer

    Positive

    Stable runners going at 31% POT in L100 Runners

  • Rider Poor SR

    Negative

    Jockey underperforming market expectations by 33% in L100 rides

  • Early Splits

    Positive

    Has early speed. An advantage on this circuit

  • Gave ground LS

    Negative

    Faded towards the finish last time out

  • Draw Suits

    Positive

    Well drawn inside

Comments

AAP

First-up (18-weeks). Won the Vobis Gold Rush Bendigo 12 Apr 2025. Went desperately close in Benchmark 62 company at Sale first-up last prep. Perfectly placed to make a winning return.

ILB

First up after 18 weeks and threw down a serious challenge first up last preparation at Sale. Should muster plenty of early speed. Drawn nicely. Expect support.

RP

Last of nine (Cranbourne) in June; returns from a layoff here; very interesting if finding her best form and had excuses last time (crowded).

RSIS

Resuming and threw down a serious challenge resuming last preparation at Sale. Has shown early pace in races to date. Has a good draw. Will go close today.

7Wareo RoadJ: Harry Coffey·T: A R Coffey459kg4 6 1 3 519: 2-4-3$23.00$3.90

Career

19: 2-4-3

Rating · IRD

77

Speed map

Backmarker

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey40%
  • Trainer20%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
  • Early Speed20%
  • Rating40%
  • Closing Speed100%

Record

  • First-up

    4: 0-0-1

  • Second-up

    3: 1-1-0

  • Third-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Fourth-up

    1: 0-0-1

  • Track Mildura

    3: 0-0-1

  • Track Echuca

    2: 1-0-0

  • Track Benalla

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 975m

    4: 0-1-1

  • Distance 1000m

    3: 1-0-0

  • Distance 1100m

    3: 0-1-0

  • Going Good

    15: 2-4-2

  • Going Heavy

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Soft

    3: 0-0-1

Last starts

  1. 5Swan Hill975m21 Apr 2026 · 3UP BM62 HCP · GOOD32.5L
  2. 3Swan Hill975m12 Apr 2026 · BM56 · GOOD32.7L
  3. 1Echuca1000m31 Dec 2025 · 3UP BM56 HCP · GOOD3-0.2
  4. 6Tatura1000m14 Dec 2025 · 3UP BM56 HCP · GOOD32.7L
  5. 4Tatura850m24 Nov 2025 · Barrier Trial2.7L
  6. 8Mildura1000m19 July 2025 · 0 - 58 · GOOD44L
  7. 12Echuca1100m22 June 2025 · 0 - 58 · SOFT66.8L
  8. 2Swan Hill975m7 June 2025 · 0 - 58 · GOOD40.3L

Insights

  • Trainer Recent

    Negative

    Camp struggling with S/R just 3%

  • Cold J/T Combo

    Negative

    Combo are under performing market expectations by -24%

  • Trainer Recent

    Negative

    Stable runners are currently underperforming market by 57%

  • Ran On Hard LS

    Positive

    Ran on well last start

  • Dist S/R

    Negative

    Poor performer at the distance

  • Track Exp

    Positive

    Knows this track well

  • Resuming

    Negative

    Poor strike rate when first up

Comments

AAP

First-up (27-weeks). In the minors first-up last campaign. Not out of this fresh in this company.

ILB

First up after 27 weeks and finished with intent when 3rd beaten by 2 3/4L first up last preparation at this track. Prefers to settle towards the rear. Place at best.

RP

Far from disgraced (beaten 2½l) when behind the reopposing Maximillius in April; running consistently; has won previously at this course; has had some time off; makes limited appeal as this is competitive.

RSIS

Resuming and kept running on late when 3rd resuming last preparation at the track. Likely to get back.

8KikkuliJ: Chelsea Jokic·T: A R Coffey357kg5 1 8 4 811: 1-0-1$101.00$10.00

Career

11: 1-0-1

Rating · IRD

70

Speed map

Leader

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey80%
  • Trainer20%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
  • Early Speed20%
  • Rating20%
  • Closing Speed20%

Record

  • First-up

    4: 0-0-1

  • Second-up

    2: 0-0-0

  • Third-up

    2: 0-0-0

  • Fourth-up

    1: 1-0-0

  • Track Morphettville

    5: 0-0-1

  • Track Strathalbyn

    2: 1-0-0

  • Track Murray Bridge

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1000m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1050m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1100m

    1: 0-0-1

  • Going Good

    6: 1-0-1

  • Going Soft

    5: 0-0-0

Last starts

  1. 8Manangatang1175m10 Oct 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD35.05L
  2. 4Strathalbyn1600m29 Apr 2026 · 0-56 · SOFT53.7L
  3. 8Clare1800m4 Apr 2026 · CL1-SW · GOOD46.5L
  4. 1Strathalbyn1600m25 Mar 2026 · 3UP MDN-SW · GOOD4-0.9
  5. 5Balaklava1600m11 Mar 2026 · 3UP MDN-SW · GOOD42.3L
  6. 6Morphettville1250m28 Feb 2026 · 3UP MDN-SW · SOFT53L
  7. 3Morphettville1100m7 Feb 2026 · 3UP MDN-SW · GOOD41.3L
  8. 12Morphettville1400m6 Aug 2025 · 3UP MDN-SW · SOFT617.7L

Insights

  • Trainer Recent

    Negative

    Camp struggling with S/R just 3%

  • Cold J/T Combo

    Negative

    Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races

  • Trainer Recent

    Negative

    Stable runners are currently underperforming market by 57%

  • Gave ground LS

    Negative

    Faded towards the finish last time out

  • Class Rise

    Negative

    Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

On pace but folded up quickly at Manangatang for new stable. Can go forward. Switching to 975m. Form falls short of this.

ILB

Started at $20.00 and was well beaten when 8th last run at Manangatang. Will be pushing for a forward position early. Can't suggest backing.

RP

Held when eighth beaten 5l at Manangatang over 6f (handicap) on debut outing for new trainer two weeks ago; may have to settle for supporting role given this looks a decent race.

RSIS

Started 19/1 and was well beaten when 8th last start at Manangatang. Has plenty of early pace.

9Caribbean VillaJ: Cory Parish·T: Nathan Hobson856.5kg12 3 3 7 212: 1-2-2$7.50$2.35

Career

12: 1-2-2

Rating · IRD

74

Speed map

Offmidfield

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey100%
  • Trainer80%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
  • Early Speed80%
  • Rating40%
  • Closing Speed80%

Record

  • First-up

    3: 1-0-1

  • Second-up

    2: 0-0-0

  • Third-up

    2: 0-1-0

  • Fourth-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Ballarat

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Donald

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Murray Bridge

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1000m

    3: 0-0-2

  • Distance 1100m

    6: 1-2-0

  • Distance 1103m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Good

    6: 1-2-1

  • Going Soft

    6: 0-0-1

Last starts

  1. 2Horsham1100m18 Oct 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD30.3L
  2. 7Kyneton1103m8 Oct 2026 · 3UP BM56 HCP · SOFT52.86L
  3. 3Coleraine1000m25 Sept 2026 · 0 - 56 · GOOD31.06L
  4. 3Narrandera1000m13 June 2026 · CL1 · SOFT71L
  5. 12Swan Hill1200m7 June 2026 · 3Y BM64 HCP · SOFT58.2L
  6. 6Corowa1200m1 June 2026 · BM58 · SOFT62.4L
  7. 11Murray Bridge1100m23 May 2026 · 3Y BM68 HCP · SOFT515.4L
  8. 8Ballarat1100m10 May 2026 · BM62 · SOFT64.6L

Insights

  • Fast Finisher

    Positive

    Fastest Overall Finishing Sectionals Last Start

  • Jockey ROI

    Positive

    Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 43% in Last 100 Rides

  • Key Rider

    Positive

    Cory Parish 58% above market expected in L100 Rides

  • Hot J/T Combo

    Positive

    Combo are out performing market expectations by 117%

  • Hot Jockey

    Positive

    Cory Parish in hot recent form, out performing market expectation by 58%

  • Maps Well

    Positive

    Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 7%

  • Slow Early LS

    Negative

    Speed data from recent runs suggests slower early splits on avg

  • Ran On Hard LS

    Positive

    Ran on well last start

Comments

AAP

Trailed pace and kicked strongly at Horsham. Trained on track but awkwardly drawn. Could add some value to exotics.

ILB

Just shy of the win last time at Horsham. Looking sharp on the track this preparation. Likely to settle back in the field. This field likely to be too good.

RP

Went close when second over 5½f at Horsham (handicap) nine days ago; been a while since he achieved his only career win; regularly been coming up a bit short lately so looks an unlikely winner.

RSIS

Narrowly denied a win last time at Horsham. Looking sharp on the track in recent runs. Likely to settle back in the field.

10Shooting For StarsScratched8––––

Rating · IRD

20

Speed map

Onpace

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey40%
  • Trainer20%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo50%
  • Early Speed50%
  • Rating50%
  • Closing Speed40%

Insights

  • Ready To Strike

    Positive

    Can be rewarded for recent consistent form

Comments

AAP

Unable to make an impression at Pakenham Synthetic. New to Swan Hill. Others more persuasive.

ILB

Racing on a quick back up. Started at $20.00 and only fair when 10th last run at Yarra Valley.

RSIS

Backing up quickly for this race. Started at 19/1 and just average when 10th last start at Yarra Vstall.

Odds correct as at . Odds can change.

Past meetings

  • Tue 22 Sept, 10:00 am AEST · 8 races