Shortest win price
Ziggy Bama (3)
2.90
Welcome to Swan Hill for race five on the program, featuring the 3UP BM62 HCP over the sharp 975m sprint trip. The track is rated a soft five under fine skies, setting up an intriguing battle on the quick back-up for the punters. Looking at the early win market order, Killiana holds down the shortest quote to kick off proceedings, closely followed by Ziggy Bama and Monix in the betting. Caribbean Villa, Maximillius, Commands Success, Do It Now, Wareo Road and Kikkuli round out the rest of the market order as they prepare to do battle over this short dash.
A closer look at the form reveals why those at the head of the market are garnering attention. Killiana resumes here following an eighteen-week break, having previously taken out the Vobis Gold Rush at Bendigo and going desperately close in Benchmark 62 company at Sale first-up last preparation. Ziggy Bama comes in with strong credentials too, having scored a determined victory at Warrnambool two starts ago before failing to threaten when supported at the same track subsequently. Meanwhile, Monix returns after shouldered weight to victory right here at Swan Hill prior to a wide draw proving too tough to overcome at Horsham, showing enough track-and-trip specialist traits to keep honest.
Digging further into the race dynamics, early speed looks to be dictated from the front with Killiana and Kikkuli pushing forward from their respective barriers, while Ziggy Bama maps on-pace with early speed that should prove an advantage on this circuit. Further down the order, Caribbean Villa comes off a solid effort where she trailed the pace and kicked strongly for a close second at Horsham, making her an interesting runner to keep safe for exotics if the leaders face pressure up front. It shapes as a fascinating tactical sprint where punters will need to weigh up fresh legs against proven track form.
Shortest win price
Ziggy Bama (3)
2.90
Most career wins
Commands Success
6-6-5 from 38 starts
Back left · leaders right
Backmarker
Offmidfield
Midfield
Offpace
Onpace
Leader
Monix · Positive
Hot J/T Combo
Combo are winning 27% POT in their L100 Races
Maximillius · Negative
Cold J/T Combo
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Ziggy Bama · Negative
Jockey Booking
Less suitable jockey engaged
Commands Success · Positive
Fast Finisher
Fastest Overall Finishing Sectionals Last Start
Career
21: 5-3-4
Rating · IRD
80
Speed map
Offpace
First-up
1: 0-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Third-up
1: 0-1-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-0-1
Track Ballarat
1: 0-0-0
Track Bendigo
2: 1-0-0
Track Swan Hill
8: 4-1-1
Distance 1306m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 975m
6: 3-1-1
Distance 1000m
4: 1-1-0
Going Good
14: 2-3-3
Going Heavy
4: 1-0-0
Going Soft
3: 2-0-1
Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are winning 27% POT in their L100 Races
Map Suits
Positive
Suitable Map, where runners in this position outperform market by 4%
Slow Early LS
Negative
Speed data from recent runs suggests slower early splits on avg
Gave ground LS
Negative
Faded towards the finish last time out
Dist Drop
Negative
Distance decrease from last start
Track And Dist
Positive
Excels at this track and trip
Track Stats
Positive
Excels at this track
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
AAP
Shouldered 62.5kg to victory at Swan Hill. Failed to threaten (wide draw) at Horsham at healthy odds. Track and trip specialist. Look for an improved effort here.
ILB
Couldn't stay in touch when 8th last time at Horsham but facing a weaker grade. Running with confidence this campaign and proven runner at this distance. Down in distance. Slight prospect.
RP
Has an impressive C&D record (three wins from six runs); beaten 9l at Horsham nine days ago upped to 6f; this is competitive and easy to oppose.
RSIS
Gave away some ground when 8th last start at Horsham but drops back to a suitable class. Has run into the money multiple times in recent runs.
Career
28: 3-2-2
Rating · IRD
78
Speed map
Offpace
First-up
9: 1-0-1
Second-up
8: 1-1-0
Third-up
3: 0-0-1
Fourth-up
3: 0-0-0
Track Caulfield
5: 0-0-0
Track CurrentTrack
2: 1-1-0
Track Terang
1: 0-0-0
Distance 955m
2: 0-1-1
Distance 975m
2: 1-1-0
Distance 1100m
4: 0-0-0
Going Soft
5: 1-0-0
Going Good
22: 2-2-2
Going Heavy
1: 0-0-0
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Ideal Map
Positive
Map position exceeding market by 4%
Solid Run LS
Positive
Won last start
Track Stats
Positive
Excels at this track
Resuming
Negative
Poor strike rate when first up
AAP
First-up (27-weeks). Has run well fresh. Capable of making an impact fresh in this line-up.
ILB
First up from a 27 week break. Romped home to win last run at this venue and displaying improvement over the past few runs. Low-key chance.
RP
Scored by a slim margin in a handicap six months ago (lost whip); returns from a break here; cannot be ignored.
RSIS
Back after break of 27 weeks. Picked up nicely to win last time at the track and demonstrating upward trajectory in recent races.
Career
4: 2-0-1
Rating · IRD
100
Speed map
Onpace
First-up
1: 1-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-1
Third-up
1: 1-0-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Ballarat
1: 0-0-1
Track Warrnambool
2: 1-0-0
Track Ballarat Synthetic
1: 1-0-0
Distance 1000m
4: 2-0-1
Going Good
3: 1-0-1
Going Synthetic
1: 1-0-0
Jockey Booking
Negative
Less suitable jockey engaged
Early Splits
Positive
Has early speed. An advantage on this circuit
Draw Suits
Positive
Well drawn inside
Lightly Raced
Positive
Limited race experience but shown potential
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
AAP
Warrnambool winner two back. Failed to threaten at Warrnambool when supported. Drawn well and a proven weight carrier. Look for a better showing.
ILB
Jumped at $3.10 and passed some rivals in the late stages when 5th last run at Warrnambool and will appreciate a good barrier. Shows good early pace. Solid career start. Will not be far away.
RP
Beaten 7l into fifth at Warrnambool two weeks ago; has won two of his four career starts; likely to be a threat if excused most recent run as achieved handicap success two runs back.
RSIS
Was 11/5 and passed some rivals in the late stages when 5th last start at Warrnambool and good career start. Fred W Kersley is a bonus. Shows good early pace. Has to be in the finish.
Career
38: 6-6-5
Rating · IRD
76
Speed map
Offmidfield
First-up
7: 3-1-0
Second-up
6: 1-1-0
Third-up
6: 1-1-1
Fourth-up
5: 0-1-1
Track Echuca
1: 1-0-0
Track Narrandera
1: 0-1-0
Track Benalla
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1170m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1200m
4: 0-0-0
Distance 1300m
2: 0-0-2
Going Good
27: 5-4-4
Going Heavy
1: 0-1-0
Going Soft
10: 1-1-1
Fast Finisher
Positive
Fastest Overall Finishing Sectionals Last Start
Trainer Career
Negative
Trainer Career S/R is 7%
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Trainer Recent
Negative
Stable runners are currently underperforming market by 21%
Ideal Map
Positive
Map position exceeding market by 4%
Ran On Hard LS
Positive
Ran on well last start
Ready To Fire
Positive
Shown something in last few runs
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
AAP
Mid-division, well held by winner but good through line at Seymour at $21. First time around Swan Hill. Others carry more punch.
ILB
Caught the eye when 3rd beaten by 3L last start at Seymour. Likely to get back in the run. Prefer in an easier race.
RP
Produced a good effort to finish third at Seymour two weeks ago.
RSIS
Flashed home late into 3rd beaten by 3L last start at Seymour. Might have to make up considerable ground.
Career
17: 4-2-0
Rating · IRD
73
Speed map
Midfield
First-up
3: 1-0-0
Second-up
2: 1-0-0
Third-up
2: 0-1-0
Fourth-up
1: 1-0-0
Track Echuca
1: 1-0-0
Track Pakenham
2: 0-0-0
Track Warrnambool
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1009m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1012m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1100m
4: 1-0-0
Going Soft
6: 2-0-0
Going Good
6: 1-1-0
Going Heavy
5: 1-1-0
Fast Finisher
Positive
Fastest Overall Finishing Sectionals Last Start
Trainer SR
Negative
Luke Oliver striking at just 6%
Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are out performing market expectations by 82%
Trainer Recent
Negative
Stable runners are currently underperforming market by 32%
Tricky Map
Negative
Runners with this map, underperform market by 9%
Early Splits
Positive
Has early speed. An advantage on this circuit
Solid Run LS
Positive
Won last start
Awkward Draw
Negative
May find this draw awkward
AAP
Racing in great heart. Responded well from just off leaders to snare a final bound win at Echuca. Can make her presence felt again if she gets the breaks.
ILB
Backs up quickly. Charged home to win last time at Echuca. Very competitive this preparation. Can't entertain.
RP
Record shows she knows where the winning post is (wins-runs career record of 4-17); got home in front by a nose at Echuca last Monday; despite that Echuca success, passed over.
RSIS
Racing on a quick back up. Picked up nicely to win last start at Echuca. Going well recently winning 2 from 4 starts.
Career
7: 2-2-0
Rating · IRD
93
Speed map
Leader
First-up
2: 1-1-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Third-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Warrnambool
1: 0-1-0
Track Cranbourne
1: 0-0-0
Track Bendigo
2: 2-0-0
Distance 1000m
4: 1-1-0
Distance 1013m
1: 0-1-0
Distance 1100m
1: 1-0-0
Going Good
4: 2-1-0
Going Soft
3: 0-1-0
Current SR
Negative
Rider’s recent POT is returning 48% lower than Career Avg.
Rider
Negative
Negative rider change today
Stable In Form
Positive
Stable going well. Out performing market by 42%
Profitable Trainer
Positive
Stable runners going at 31% POT in L100 Runners
Rider Poor SR
Negative
Jockey underperforming market expectations by 33% in L100 rides
Early Splits
Positive
Has early speed. An advantage on this circuit
Gave ground LS
Negative
Faded towards the finish last time out
Draw Suits
Positive
Well drawn inside
AAP
First-up (18-weeks). Won the Vobis Gold Rush Bendigo 12 Apr 2025. Went desperately close in Benchmark 62 company at Sale first-up last prep. Perfectly placed to make a winning return.
ILB
First up after 18 weeks and threw down a serious challenge first up last preparation at Sale. Should muster plenty of early speed. Drawn nicely. Expect support.
RP
Last of nine (Cranbourne) in June; returns from a layoff here; very interesting if finding her best form and had excuses last time (crowded).
RSIS
Resuming and threw down a serious challenge resuming last preparation at Sale. Has shown early pace in races to date. Has a good draw. Will go close today.
Career
19: 2-4-3
Rating · IRD
77
Speed map
Backmarker
First-up
4: 0-0-1
Second-up
3: 1-1-0
Third-up
1: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-0-1
Track Mildura
3: 0-0-1
Track Echuca
2: 1-0-0
Track Benalla
1: 0-0-0
Distance 975m
4: 0-1-1
Distance 1000m
3: 1-0-0
Distance 1100m
3: 0-1-0
Going Good
15: 2-4-2
Going Heavy
1: 0-0-0
Going Soft
3: 0-0-1
Trainer Recent
Negative
Camp struggling with S/R just 3%
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are under performing market expectations by -24%
Trainer Recent
Negative
Stable runners are currently underperforming market by 57%
Ran On Hard LS
Positive
Ran on well last start
Dist S/R
Negative
Poor performer at the distance
Track Exp
Positive
Knows this track well
Resuming
Negative
Poor strike rate when first up
AAP
First-up (27-weeks). In the minors first-up last campaign. Not out of this fresh in this company.
ILB
First up after 27 weeks and finished with intent when 3rd beaten by 2 3/4L first up last preparation at this track. Prefers to settle towards the rear. Place at best.
RP
Far from disgraced (beaten 2½l) when behind the reopposing Maximillius in April; running consistently; has won previously at this course; has had some time off; makes limited appeal as this is competitive.
RSIS
Resuming and kept running on late when 3rd resuming last preparation at the track. Likely to get back.
Career
11: 1-0-1
Rating · IRD
70
Speed map
Leader
First-up
4: 0-0-1
Second-up
2: 0-0-0
Third-up
2: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
1: 1-0-0
Track Morphettville
5: 0-0-1
Track Strathalbyn
2: 1-0-0
Track Murray Bridge
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1000m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1050m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1100m
1: 0-0-1
Going Good
6: 1-0-1
Going Soft
5: 0-0-0
Trainer Recent
Negative
Camp struggling with S/R just 3%
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Trainer Recent
Negative
Stable runners are currently underperforming market by 57%
Gave ground LS
Negative
Faded towards the finish last time out
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
AAP
On pace but folded up quickly at Manangatang for new stable. Can go forward. Switching to 975m. Form falls short of this.
ILB
Started at $20.00 and was well beaten when 8th last run at Manangatang. Will be pushing for a forward position early. Can't suggest backing.
RP
Held when eighth beaten 5l at Manangatang over 6f (handicap) on debut outing for new trainer two weeks ago; may have to settle for supporting role given this looks a decent race.
RSIS
Started 19/1 and was well beaten when 8th last start at Manangatang. Has plenty of early pace.
Career
12: 1-2-2
Rating · IRD
74
Speed map
Offmidfield
First-up
3: 1-0-1
Second-up
2: 0-0-0
Third-up
2: 0-1-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Ballarat
1: 0-0-0
Track Donald
1: 0-0-0
Track Murray Bridge
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1000m
3: 0-0-2
Distance 1100m
6: 1-2-0
Distance 1103m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
6: 1-2-1
Going Soft
6: 0-0-1
Fast Finisher
Positive
Fastest Overall Finishing Sectionals Last Start
Jockey ROI
Positive
Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 43% in Last 100 Rides
Key Rider
Positive
Cory Parish 58% above market expected in L100 Rides
Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are out performing market expectations by 117%
Hot Jockey
Positive
Cory Parish in hot recent form, out performing market expectation by 58%
Maps Well
Positive
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 7%
Slow Early LS
Negative
Speed data from recent runs suggests slower early splits on avg
Ran On Hard LS
Positive
Ran on well last start
AAP
Trailed pace and kicked strongly at Horsham. Trained on track but awkwardly drawn. Could add some value to exotics.
ILB
Just shy of the win last time at Horsham. Looking sharp on the track this preparation. Likely to settle back in the field. This field likely to be too good.
RP
Went close when second over 5½f at Horsham (handicap) nine days ago; been a while since he achieved his only career win; regularly been coming up a bit short lately so looks an unlikely winner.
RSIS
Narrowly denied a win last time at Horsham. Looking sharp on the track in recent runs. Likely to settle back in the field.
Rating · IRD
20
Speed map
Onpace
Ready To Strike
Positive
Can be rewarded for recent consistent form
AAP
Unable to make an impression at Pakenham Synthetic. New to Swan Hill. Others more persuasive.
ILB
Racing on a quick back up. Started at $20.00 and only fair when 10th last run at Yarra Valley.
RSIS
Backing up quickly for this race. Started at 19/1 and just average when 10th last start at Yarra Vstall.