Swan Hill (VIC) horses tips & previews

7 Nov, 11:07 pm AEDT

One race at a time: field, form guide and win/place odds for Swan Hill (VIC), with capture times on every price.

Meeting — Tue 27 Oct, 11:00 am AEDT

Meetings · Tue, 27 OctSwan Hill (VIC)Change

Race 7 — McLardy McShane Insurance Swan Hill (Bm62) 1600m · jumps Tue 27 Oct, 4:30 pm AEDT

Race preview

Swan Hill hosts a Benchmark 62 handicap over 1600 metres at 4:30 pm AEDT on a Good 4 track in fine weather. The win market sits with Habitual shortest, followed by Switch Hit, His Finest Hour, and Great Prosperity. It's a proper mixed-bag affair where early tempo and the back-marker draws could cut both ways. Four runners shape as leaders in the market's reckoning: Habitual, Blacklist, Great Prosperity, and Nightynight will likely fight it out up front, while the backmarkers—His Finest Hour and No Overtaking—will need the race to pan out right.

Habitual opened her winning account at this exact distance and has drawn barrier 1 to press forward under Linda Meech. She's rated 93 by the IRD and her only success came over 1600 metres, which tells a story worth backing. Yet the form line shows a tamely run fourth at Swan Hill three weeks ago over 1600 metres, and a struggling sixth at Kyneton before that. Switch Hit, tracking second in the market, has been building a case with back-to-back seconds at Kilmore and a rating of 94. Dean Yendall is riding above his career average, and at 58.5 kilograms with an off-pace run style, Switch Hit could find room if the pace doesn't blow apart. His Finest Hour, a backmarker drawn poorly at barrier 9, looms as a rougher proposition, though the form commentary notes he wasn't disgraced at Ballarat over this trip and rates 100. He'll need a slow tempo to capitalise.

Great Prosperity and the jockey-trainer combination of Damien Thornton and Luke Oliver are running 82 per cent above market expectation—a telling metric when punters are building a case. The horse rates 80 with three straight placings in the last four, and while first-up form reads light, the recent Moe and Bairnsdale runs suggest late-race fitness is building. Nightynight offers another angle: the Kelly-McCartin combination is outperforming expectations by a remarkable 335 per cent, and the mare's form line—including a win two starts back—shows she can fire fresh. Solar Mist, off-pace at barrier 8, brings a red-hot jockey-trainer combo with Neil Farley and C V Kelly outperforming by 62 per cent, though pace data suggests this yard prefers slower early splits than what today's tempo might offer.

Race notes

3UP BM62 HCP,3yo+,BM62,Benchmark 62
GOOD4
Fine
10 runners

Shortest win price

Habitual (7)

2.35

Most career wins

Solar Mist

5-4-6 from 49 starts

Speed map

Back left · leaders right

Backmarker

1His Finest Hour
11No Overtaking

Midfield

8Callistemon
13Poetic Storm

Offpace

5Switch Hit
12Solar Mist

Leader

2Blacklist
4Great Prosperity
7Habitual
9Nightynight

His Finest Hour · Negative
Early Splits
Out of races with slow early tempos
Blacklist · Positive
Jockey ROI
Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 43% in Last 100 Rides
Great Prosperity · Negative
Trainer Career
Trainer Career S/R is 6%
Switch Hit · Positive
Rider SR
Jockey recent POT is 24% better than Career Avg.

No.RunnerBarWgtLast 5WinPlace

1His Finest HourJ: Harry Coffey·T: N J Dyer962kg5 12 6 6 615: 3-2-2$4.40$1.55

Career

15: 3-2-2

Rating · IRD

100

Speed map

Backmarker

BackLead

Figures

Jockey40%
Trainer80%
Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
Early Speed80%
Rating100%
Closing Speed40%

Record

First-up
3: 1-0-1
Second-up
2: 0-0-1
Third-up
2: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Morphettville
3: 0-0-0
Track Pakenham
1: 1-0-0
Track Wangaratta
2: 1-0-0
Distance 1300m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1400m
2: 0-0-0
Distance 1550m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
9: 2-2-0
Going Heavy
1: 0-0-1
Going Soft
4: 1-0-1

Last starts

6Ballarat1600m9 Oct 2026 · 3UP BM66 HCP · GOOD41.95L
6Morphettville1550m5 Sept 2026 · BM74 · SOFT610.4L
6Morphettville1400m22 Aug 2026 · CG&E 0-68 · SOFT72.6L
12Pakenham Synthetic1400m3 Aug 2026 · BM62 · SYNTHETIC15.5L
5Wangaratta1590m28 Feb 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD35.5L
1Hanging Rock1800m26 Jan 2026 · 3UP HCP · GOOD4-2.3
2Flemington1600m10 Jan 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD30.5L
2Flemington1600m31 Dec 2025 · NMW · GOOD30.8L

Insights

Early Splits
Negative
Out of races with slow early tempos
Drawn Poorly
Negative
Unfavourable barrier draw
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Not disgraced at Ballarat over this trip. Could give some cheek at odds.

ILB

Started $4.80 and came in 6th last time at Ballarat. Expecting improvement and competing in an easier class. Possesses very good closing speed. Will go close here.

Grade looks suitable; respectable sixth at Ballarat two weeks ago; a likely player if finding his best form.

RSIS

Started 4/1 and ran 6th last time at Ballarat. Looking for an improved run and challenged by weaker competitors. Should be swooping on the field late. Winning potential.

2BlacklistJ: Cory Parish·T: Nathan Hobson660kg8 13 10 9 634: 4-4-3$26.00$4.00

Career

34: 4-4-3

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Leader

BackLead

Figures

Jockey100%
Trainer80%
Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
Early Speed100%
Rating60%
Closing Speed50%

Record

First-up
4: 0-0-0
Second-up
3: 1-0-1
Third-up
3: 0-1-0
Fourth-up
3: 0-0-1
Track Canterbury
1: 0-0-0
Track Warwick Farm
4: 0-0-0
Track Bairnsdale
1: 1-0-0
Distance 1400m
5: 1-0-1
Distance 1900m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 2400m
1: 1-0-0
Going Good
22: 3-3-2
Going Heavy
4: 0-1-1
Going Soft
8: 1-0-0

Last starts

6Deniliquin1400m17 Oct 2026 · DENI CUP BM78 · GOOD33.5L
9Swan Hill1600m22 Sept 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD35.4L
10Warracknabeal2000m29 Aug 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD47.8L
13Doomben2020m18 July 2026 · BM70 · SOFT57.8L
8Doomben2000m11 July 2026 · BM80 · GOOD42.8L
2Dubbo1600m28 June 2026 · BM82 · HEAVY80.2L
8Warwick Farm2200m3 June 2026 · 3yo+ · SOFT712.3L
8Warwick Farm2110m20 May 2026 · 3yo+ · HEAVY85L

Insights

Jockey ROI
Positive
Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 43% in Last 100 Rides
Jockey Booking
Positive
Cory Parish 58% above market expected in L100 Rides
Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are out performing market expectations by 117%
Key Jockey
Positive
Cory Parish winning at 34% POT in last 100 rides
Map Suits
Positive
Suitable Map, where runners in this position outperform market by 4%
Dist S/R
Negative
Poor performer at the distance
Primed
Positive
Fitter here racing on a quick back up
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

Winless since 29 Nov. Not disgraced at Deniliquin at $10. Others more persuasive.

ILB

Racing on a quick back up. Was $11.00 and ran 5th last time at Balranald but matched against less formidable competition. Likely to be well placed early. Watch betting.

Has proven competitive in a race of this nature; far from disgraced (beaten 1½l) at Balranald over 7f (handicap) on Saturday; should not be ruled out if building on promise shown last time.

RSIS

On a short turnaround. Was 10/1 and came in 5th last time at Balranald but matched against a less competitive field. Will be pushing for a forward position early. Could feature here.

3Dealer SingScratched13––––

Career

2: 1-0-0

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Leader

BackLead

Figures

Jockey40%
Trainer100%
Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
Early Speed80%
Rating80%
Closing Speed20%

Record

First-up
1: 1-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Bendigo
1: 0-0-0
Track Kilmore
1: 1-0-0
Distance 1600m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1607m
1: 1-0-0
Going Good
1: 0-0-0
Going Soft
1: 1-0-0

Last starts

7Bendigo1600m29 May 2026 · 2UP BM62 HCP · GOOD47L
1Kilmore1607m31 Mar 2026 · 3UP MDN-SW · SOFT6-1.8

Insights

Maps Well
Positive
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 7%
1st Up
Negative
May need this run

Comments

AAP

Back for second campaign (21-weeks). Good debut at Kilmore 31 Mar. Fair debut, but failed to build on it next time out. Poised to strike fresh.

ILB

First up and was much too speedy in front when winning by 1 3/4L first up last preparation at Kilmore.

Was held in seventh at Bendigo in May; this just his third race; returns from a layoff here; running in a handicap for only the second time; successful in a maiden in March and warrants plenty of respect.

RSIS

Resuming and dictated the tempo when winning by a margin of 1 3/4L resuming last preparation at Kilmore.

4Great ProsperityJ: Damien Thornton·T: Luke Oliver559kg3 10 3 3 322: 2-1-10$14.00$3.30

Career

22: 2-1-10

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Leader

BackLead

Figures

Jockey60%
Trainer40%
Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
Early Speed100%
Rating40%
Closing Speed100%

Record

First-up
4: 0-0-1
Second-up
3: 0-0-2
Third-up
3: 0-0-1
Fourth-up
2: 1-0-1
Track Werribee
1: 0-0-0
Track Wangaratta
3: 0-1-2
Track Pakenham Synthetic
2: 0-0-0
Distance 1600m
2: 0-0-2
Distance 1746m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 2200m
1: 0-0-1
Going Synthetic
2: 0-0-0
Going Good
8: 2-0-3
Going Heavy
5: 0-0-4

Last starts

3Bairnsdale1600m12 Oct 2026 · 3UP BM56 HCP · SOFT72.25L
3Moe1614m8 Sept 2026 · 3yo+ · HEAVY81.5L
3Wangaratta1590m31 July 2026 · 2UP BM56 HCP · HEAVY90.5L
10Sale1746m9 July 2026 · 2yo+ · HEAVY916.2L
3Geelong1425m19 June 2026 · BM62 · HEAVY96L
4Mornington1200m25 May 2026 · 2yo+ · SOFT54L
2Wangaratta2000m27 Oct 2025 · 3yo+ · SOFT52.5L
1Kyneton1856m9 Oct 2025 · 3UP BM56 HCP · GOOD3-1.3

Insights

Trainer Career
Negative
Trainer Career S/R is 6%
Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are out performing market expectations by 82%
Trainer A2E
Negative
Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 32%
Ran On Hard LS
Positive
Ran on well last start
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
Consistent
Positive
Showing up at the business end

Comments

AAP

Reserved at rear, late into the frame at Bairnsdale over this trip. Very fit, could get into the placings.

ILB

Solid effort to run into 3rd last start at Bairnsdale. Will be positive in the run early. Showing great form since resuming from a spell. Others are more appealing.

Creditable effort to finish third (Bairnsdale) 15 days ago; others appeal more as not in the habit of winning recently.

RSIS

Zipped home into 3rd beaten by 2 1/4L last time at Bairnsdale. Won't be far away during the run. Showing great form since returning from a break.

5Switch HitJ: Dean Yendall·T: Mitchell Freedman1058.5kg3 7 2 2 221: 3-5-2$4.80$1.70

Career

21: 3-5-2

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Offpace

BackLead

Figures

Jockey100%
Trainer100%
Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
Early Speed100%
Rating80%
Closing Speed80%

Record

First-up
3: 0-0-0
Second-up
2: 0-1-0
Third-up
2: 1-0-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Morphettville
2: 0-0-0
Track Halidon
1: 0-0-0
Track Hamilton
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1225m
1: 0-0-1
Distance 1414m
2: 0-1-0
Distance 1700m
1: 0-0-0
Going Heavy
4: 0-1-1
Going Soft
9: 1-2-1
Going Good
8: 2-2-0

Last starts

2Kilmore1607m13 Oct 2026 · 3UP BM56 HCP · GOOD43L
2Kilmore1600m28 Sept 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD30.1L
2Bordertown1300m11 Sept 2026 · BM56 · SOFT61.3L
7Seymour1414m27 Aug 2026 · 0 - 62 · HEAVY85.3L
3Geelong1225m14 Aug 2026 · 3yo+ · HEAVY80.4L
3Geelong1200m31 July 2026 · 2UP CG&E BM56 HCP · SOFT74.5L
7Werribee1400m14 May 2026 · 0-62 · GOOD43.7L
2Seymour1414m26 Apr 2026 · 3UP BM62 HCP · SOFT50.2L

Insights

Rider SR
Positive
Jockey recent POT is 24% better than Career Avg.
Jockey Booking
Positive
Dean Yendall 24% above market expected in L100 Rides
Early Splits
Positive
Has early speed. An advantage on this circuit
Ran On Hard LS
Positive
Ran on well last start
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
Racing Strongly
Positive
Racing in great shape

Comments

AAP

Just missed at Kilmore 28 Sep. Off pace, left in tearaway winner's wake but ran on doggedly for the runner up cheque at Kilmore. Awkwardly drawn this time. Very fit, can fill the minors here.

ILB

Finished with intent when 2nd last time at Kilmore and ideal distance as proven previously. Showing positive results this preparation. Goes well and could be a value opportunity.

Second when evens at Kilmore 14 days ago; no reward for a string of creditable efforts of late; others more persuasive as regularly been coming up a bit short lately.

RSIS

Ran on strongly when 2nd last time at Kilmore and hard to fault at this trip. In the placings regularly of late. Strong prospects.

6Jawsome RobScratched7––––

Career

8: 1-0-1

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Onpace

BackLead

Figures

Jockey60%
Trainer20%
Jockey/Trainer Combo50%
Early Speed50%
Rating50%
Closing Speed40%

Record

First-up
3: 1-0-1
Second-up
2: 0-0-0
Third-up
2: 0-0-0
Track Bendigo
4: 1-0-1
Track Sandown
1: 0-0-0
Track Ballarat
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1600m
3: 0-0-1
Distance 2000m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1312m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
5: 1-0-0
Going Heavy
3: 0-0-1

Last starts

8Bendigo1600m20 Sept 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD36.17L
4Bendigo1500m12 Aug 2026 · 3UP BM66 HCP · HEAVY91.6L
11Ballarat1500m12 June 2026 · 0 - 62 · HEAVY822.4L
1Bendigo1500m29 May 2026 · 2UP MDN-SW · GOOD4-1.5
6Kilmore2000m13 Oct 2025 · 3yo+ · GOOD43.1L
8Sandown1600m24 Sept 2025 · 3yo+ · GOOD46.7L
3Bendigo1600m7 Sept 2025 · 3yo+ · HEAVY92L
2Bendigo1300m19 Aug 2025 · Barrier Trial1.3L

Comments

AAP

5 weeks since last run. Sent out $9.50 when unable to threaten at Bendigo over this journey. One for multiples.

ILB

Was $9.50 and lost ground in the run home when 8th last run at Bendigo.

Has not had much racing; was held in eighth at Bendigo last month; meeting some horses in good form and others more persuasive.

RSIS

Odds of 17/2 and gave away some ground when 8th last time at Bendigo.

7HabitualJ: Linda Meech·T: Ms M Lawson157.5kg9 7 1 4 611: 1-2-2$2.35$1.24

Career

11: 1-2-2

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Leader

BackLead

Figures

Jockey60%
Trainer40%
Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
Early Speed80%
Rating80%
Closing Speed40%

Record

First-up
3: 0-0-0
Second-up
2: 1-0-0
Third-up
1: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Ballarat
1: 0-0-0
Track Echuca
1: 0-1-0
Track Geelong
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1400m
2: 0-1-0
Distance 1600m
3: 1-0-1
Distance 1856m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
6: 1-1-1
Going Soft
4: 0-1-0
Going Synthetic
1: 0-0-1

Last starts

6Kyneton1856m8 Oct 2026 · 3UP BM56 HCP · SOFT56.25L
4Swan Hill1600m22 Sept 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD32.1L
1Warracknabeal1600m29 Aug 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD4-5
7Seymour1200m7 Aug 2026 · MDN-SW · SOFT75.8L
9Ballarat1400m6 Dec 2025 · 3-5yo · SOFT65.3L
6Geelong1314m26 Nov 2025 · 3-5yo · GOOD33.9L
3Pakenham Synthetic1600m7 July 2025 · 2yo+ · SYNTHETIC1.6L
2Echuca1400m22 June 2025 · 2UP MDN-SW · SOFT60.5L

Insights

Trainer Recent
Negative
Camp struggling with S/R just 6%
Trainer A2E
Negative
Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 36%
Trainer ROI
Negative
Trainers runners currently losing 41% Profit on Turnover
Maps Well
Positive
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 21%
Early Sectionals
Negative
Recent sectional data suggests slow early pace
Nice Barrier
Positive
Well drawn from gate 1
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

Went home just tamely at Kyneton at $2.30. Only win to date was this distance. Key contender.

ILB

At $2.30 didn't stay in touch when 6th last run at Kyneton and can save some energy from the gate. Should come to hand quickly. Gets some weight relief. Must be considered here.

A disappointing sixth when favourite at Kyneton over 1m1f (handicap) 19 days ago; meeting some horses in good form and only limited appeal.

RSIS

Started 13/10 and lost momentum late when 6th last start at Kyneton and gets the perfect draw. Expecting to settle positively. Gets some weight relief. Definite contender.

8CallistemonJ: Stacey Metcalfe·T: Ms L Brander757kg1 4 5 4 1137: 4-3-5$13.00$3.20

Career

37: 4-3-5

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Midfield

BackLead

Figures

Jockey20%
Trainer100%
Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
Early Speed100%
Rating60%
Closing Speed40%

Record

First-up
7: 1-1-1
Second-up
6: 1-1-1
Third-up
6: 0-1-2
Fourth-up
6: 1-0-1
Track Newcastle
5: 2-0-0
Track Wagga
1: 0-0-0
Track Eagle Farm
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1900m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 2200m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 900m
2: 1-0-0
Going Good
11: 0-1-1
Going Heavy
6: 0-1-1
Going Soft
20: 4-1-3

Last starts

11Morphettville1800m17 Oct 2026 · 0-64 · GOOD37.44L
4Mildura1900m6 Oct 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD45.95L
5Swan Hill1600m22 Sept 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD32.5L
4Bendigo1600m6 Sept 2026 · 3yo+ · SOFT52.5L
1Narrandera1600m15 Aug 2026 · CL3 · SOFT6-0.1
7Morphettville1561m1 Aug 2026 · BM68 · SOFT64.3L
5Mildura1400m18 July 2026 · 2yo+ · GOOD44L
8Randwick1600m20 June 2026 · 3yo+ · SOFT56.1L

Insights

Jockey Booking
Negative
Less suitable jockey engaged
Fast Early
Positive
Sectionals suggest goes hard early
Gave ground LS
Negative
Faded towards the finish last time out
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

Failed to threaten (outside alley) at Morphettville as a betting firmer. Dual winner this trip. Super fit from racing, can play a role.

ILB

Started at $4.20 and weakened to finish 11th last time at Morphettville but matched against lesser competition. Can win.

Hasn't really fired since her success in a handicap at Narrandera in August; finished 11th of 12 over 1m1f at Morphettville (handicap) ten days ago; others appeal more with a number of her rivals in good nick.

RSIS

Was 10/3 and couldn't maintain the pace when 11th last time at Morphettville but facing less formidable opponents. Expect a forward showing.

9NightynightJ: Alana Kelly·T: K G Mccartin456.5kg2 1 8 8 112: 2-3-0$14.00$3.40

Career

12: 2-3-0

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Leader

BackLead

Figures

Jockey60%
Trainer100%
Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
Early Speed100%
Rating20%
Closing Speed60%

Record

First-up
2: 0-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Third-up
1: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Geelong
1: 0-0-0
Track Warrnambool
1: 0-1-0
Track Bendigo
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1225m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1607m
1: 0-1-0
Distance 1700m
1: 0-1-0
Going Good
8: 2-2-0
Going Heavy
1: 0-1-0
Going Soft
1: 0-0-0

Last starts

1Mildura2000m8 Aug 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD4-3.5
8Ballarat Synthetic1500m27 July 2026 · 2yo+ · SYNTHETIC7.2L
8Ballarat Synthetic1500m2 July 2026 · BM56 · SYNTHETIC3.9L
1Mildura2000m24 May 2026 · 3UP MDN-SW · GOOD4-2
2Warrnambool1700m6 May 2026 · 4UP MDN · HEAVY103.3L
2Stawell1607m17 Apr 2026 · 3UP MDN-SW · GOOD41.3L
2Stawell1300m5 Apr 2026 · 4yo+ · GOOD37.5L
10Ballarat1400m20 Mar 2026 · MDN-SW · GOOD35.4L

Insights

Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are out performing market expectations by 335%
Trainer Form
Positive
In form stable, out performing market expectations 23%
Trainer ROI
Positive
Runners from this stable currently going at 21% POT in L100 Runners
Ideal Map
Positive
Map position exceeding market by 4%
Fast Early
Positive
Sectionals suggest goes hard early
Margin LS
Positive
Won by a big margin last start
Resuming
Negative
Poor strike rate when first up
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

Let-up (80-days). Great win from the deep gate at Mildura. First time around Swan Hill. Keener on others.

ILB

Resuming after a break. Set the tempo to win by a margin of 3 1/2L last time at Mildura but down in trip. Should race on the speed. A difficult test here.

Landed Mildura handicap in good style in August upped to 1m2f; should give it a bold bid.

RSIS

Fresh today. Made every post a winner when winning by a margin of 3 1/2L last start at Mildura but coming back in distance.

10ParkrunScratched4––––

Career

14: 1-2-2

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Backmarker

BackLead

Figures

Jockey40%
Trainer60%
Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
Early Speed60%
Rating40%
Closing Speed100%

Record

First-up
3: 0-0-0
Second-up
2: 0-1-0
Third-up
2: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Kembla Grange
1: 0-0-0
Track Scone
1: 0-0-1
Track Newcastle
2: 0-0-0
Distance 1350m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1400m
4: 0-1-0
Distance 1500m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
4: 0-1-1
Going Heavy
3: 0-0-1
Going Soft
7: 1-1-0

Last starts

6Hamilton1400m10 Oct 2026 · 0 - 56 · SOFT53.6L
12Warrnambool1700m1 Oct 2026 · 3yo+ · HEAVY928.51L
2Hamilton1400m14 Sept 2026 · 3UP BM56 HCP · SOFT62.3L
12Warrnambool1400m20 Aug 2026 · BM62 · HEAVY1012.6L
1Hamilton1600m7 Nov 2025 · 3yo+ · SOFT6-0.2
6St Arnaud1550m25 Oct 2025 · 3yo+ · GOOD41.8L
3Mount Gambier1562m8 Oct 2025 · 3UP MDN-SW · HEAVY93.2L
5Tamworth1600m8 Sept 2025 · MDN-SW · SOFT51.6L

Insights

Trainer SR
Negative
Peter Chow striking at just 8%
Trainer Recent
Negative
Stable runners are currently underperforming market by 22%
Early Sectionals
Negative
Recent sectional data suggests slow early pace
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

Warming into it late at Hamilton. Usually gets back. New to Swan Hill. Hard to warm to.

ILB

At $9.50 finished 6th last time at Hamilton but will appreciate the drop in weight.

Finished sixth but wasn't beaten too far (3½l) over 7f at Hamilton (handicap) 17 days ago; this looks a decent race so he can be taken on.

RSIS

Odds of 17/2 and finished 6th last start at Hamilton but gets some weight taken off.

11No OvertakingJ: Cian Macredmond·T: Brent Stanley256kg6 7 8 3 316: 2-1-4$11.00$2.90

Career

16: 2-1-4

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Backmarker

BackLead

Figures

Jockey20%
Trainer60%
Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
Early Speed80%
Rating40%
Closing Speed100%

Record

First-up
3: 0-0-1
Second-up
2: 0-0-1
Third-up
2: 0-0-1
Fourth-up
2: 0-0-1
Track Ballarat Synthetic
1: 0-0-1
Track Echuca
1: 0-0-0
Track Geelong
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1009m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1100m
2: 0-0-1
Distance 1200m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
12: 2-1-3
Going Heavy
1: 0-0-0
Going Soft
2: 0-0-0

Last starts

3Kilmore1457m13 Oct 2026 · 3UP F&M BM56 HCP · GOOD43.5L
3Tatura1450m29 Sept 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD47.5L
8Bendigo1100m20 Sept 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD35.81L
7Bendigo1000m6 Sept 2026 · 3yo+ · SOFT52.4L
6Bendigo800m18 Aug 2026 · Barrier Trial · HEAVY(8)6.3L
9Pakenham1400m8 May 2026 · 2yo+ · HEAVY85.8L
2Swan Hill1300m21 Apr 2026 · 3UP BM62 HCP · GOOD32L
1Kerang1400m4 Apr 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD3-2.8

Insights

Fast Finisher
Positive
Fastest Overall Finishing Sectionals Last Start
Current SR
Negative
Rider’s recent POT is returning 37% lower than Career Avg.
Rider Poor SR
Negative
Jockey underperforming market expectations by 54% in L100 rides
Draw Suits
Positive
Well drawn inside
Form At Track
Positive
1 time winner here at Swan Hill
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
Weight Drop
Positive
Drops 5kg from LS run

Comments

AAP

Reined back to last from the wide gate, wound up at Kilmore. Void of early speed and needs the breaks to fall her way. This looks more demanding.

ILB

Finished strongly when 3rd last start at Kilmore and gets a favourable barrier. Prefers to settle towards the tail. Suited by the weight drop. Hard to see it being competitive today.

Not beaten far when third at 25-1 at Kilmore over 7f (handicap) 14 days ago; has won here before.

RSIS

Solid effort when finishing 3rd last time at Kilmore and drawn nicely. Likely to get back in the field. Dropping weight.

12Solar MistJ: Neil Farley·T: C V Kelly855kg4 4 10 5 849: 5-4-6$26.00$4.20

Career

49: 5-4-6

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Offpace

BackLead

Figures

Jockey20%
Trainer60%
Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
Early Speed80%
Rating40%
Closing Speed40%

Record

First-up
4: 2-1-0
Second-up
3: 0-0-0
Third-up
2: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
2: 0-0-0
Track Strathalbyn
1: 0-0-0
Track Ballarat
1: 0-0-0
Track Murray Bridge
6: 1-0-0
Distance 1200m
9: 2-2-2
Distance 1300m
4: 1-1-1
Distance 1400m
11: 0-0-0
Going Good
29: 2-2-1
Going Heavy
6: 1-0-2
Going Soft
13: 1-2-3

Last starts

8Bendigo1600m17 Oct 2026 · 0 - 56 · GOOD35.24L
5Mildura1400m6 Oct 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD45.52L
10Swan Hill1600m22 Sept 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD38.9L
4Murtoa1600m21 Aug 2026 · 3yo+ · HEAVY81.5L
4Warracknabeal1600m15 Aug 2026 · 0 - 56 · SOFT62.3L
14Mildura1400m18 July 2026 · 2yo+ · GOOD48.4L
1Ballarat Synthetic1500m3 July 2026 · 2yo+ · SYNTHETIC-0.5
4Donald1620m20 June 2026 · 0 - 56 · HEAVY92.3L

Insights

Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are out performing market expectations by 62%
Slow Early LS
Negative
Speed data from recent runs suggests slower early splits on avg
Dist S/R
Negative
Poor performer at the distance
Form At Track
Negative
Yet to win here
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
Weight Drop
Positive
Drops 4kg from LS run

Comments

AAP

Midfield, no rally and went to line tamely at Bendigo over this distance. Needs to lift to figure. On trust.

ILB

Started at $17.00 and tailed off to finish 8th last run at Bendigo but goes down in weight. Can't suggest backing.

Slumped a bit since winning a handicap at Ballarat four months ago; eighth of 12 beaten just over 5l at Bendigo ten days ago; others more likely given the strong opposition here.

RSIS

Started at 16/1 and faded away to finish 8th last time at Bendigo but will benefit with the weight drop.

13Poetic StormJ: Sarah Field·T: C V Kelly354kg8 7 3 10 915: 1-3-1$81.00$8.50

Career

15: 1-3-1

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Midfield

BackLead

Figures

Jockey80%
Trainer60%
Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
Early Speed20%
Rating40%
Closing Speed80%

Record

First-up
4: 0-1-0
Second-up
3: 1-1-0
Third-up
2: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
2: 0-0-1
Track Terang
1: 0-0-0
Track Echuca
1: 0-0-0
Track Geelong
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1300m
2: 0-0-0
Distance 1335m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1400m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
9: 1-2-0
Going Heavy
3: 0-0-0
Going Soft
3: 0-1-1

Last starts

9Echuca1400m19 Oct 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD43.86L
10Swan Hill1300m22 Sept 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD36.15L
3Mildura1208m5 Sept 2026 · 3yo+ · SOFT65.8L
7Bendigo1100m26 Aug 2026 · 3yo+ · HEAVY87.7L
8Mildura1200m17 July 2026 · BM66 · GOOD48.8L
10Bendigo1100m5 July 2026 · 2yo+ · HEAVY96.3L
4Geelong1335m8 Nov 2025 · 0 - 62 · HEAVY95.5L
4Ballarat1200m24 Oct 2025 · Benchmark 62 · SOFT51.3L

Insights

Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

Ridden back, battled home without threatening at Echuca. Has her first look at 1600m here. Leaning towards others here.

ILB

On a quick turnaround. Was $21.00 and underwhelming when 9th last run at Echuca but will benefit with the weight drop. Can't back with any confidence.

Achieved only a sole win; not beaten that far over 7f at Echuca (handicap) last Monday; hard enough to fancy as has a lot on her plate here.

RSIS

On a quick back up. Started at 20/1 and appeared lacklustre when 9th last start at Echuca but suited by the weight drop.

Odds correct as at Tue 27 Oct, 4:30 pm AEDT. Odds can change.

Past meetings

Tue 22 Sept, 10:00 am AEST · 8 races