Swan Hill (VIC) horses tips & previews

7 Nov, 11:07 pm AEDT

One race at a time: field, form guide and win/place odds for Swan Hill (VIC), with capture times on every price.

Meeting — Tue 27 Oct, 11:00 am AEDT

Meetings · Tue, 27 OctSwan Hill (VIC)Change

Race 4 — Footts Swan Hill Demolition Group Mdn Plate 1600m · jumps Tue 27 Oct, 3:00 pm AEDT

Race preview

Welcome to Swan Hill for the Footts Swan Hill Demolition Group Mdn Plate over the 1600m on a soft 5 track with fine weather overhead, punters. Looking at the early win market order, Town Planner sits at the head of affairs, closely followed by Windsor Chariot, Ted Percy, and Efreeti shaping up right behind them. It is a fascinating maiden puzzle where the yarn of the race could be written by the improvers stepping up in trip on a fair afternoon in regional Victoria.

Let us dive into the form behind those shorter prices, starting with Town Planner from the Patrick Payne yard with Billy Egan in the saddle from barrier 6. This $60k purchase is out of an unraced half-sister to the stakes winner Amare and brings trial form from Tatura and Traralgon, though those efforts were uninspiring and they will be better for the experience. Meanwhile, Windsor Chariot comes out of barrier 4 for trainer Ben, Will and Jd Hayes with Harry Coffey steering. That runner failed to stamp themselves at Pakenham Synthetic over 1400m when supported on debut, but should take benefit from the run and has a stable going well above market expectations. Ted Percy from Nathan Hobson's stable has posted some decent efforts from three appearances, coming off a third at Mildura where they were ridden cold and picked up late, and they could relish the rise in trip here.

Further down the win market order, we find runners like Efreeti drawing barrier 7 for Mitchell Freedman and John Allen, coming off an unremarkable debut performance at Hamilton over 1400m where they will need luck from a tricky draw. Poorlittlerichkid is listed as a leader from barrier 3, while Pete The Prophet brings early speed from barrier 2, which can be an advantage on this circuit. With tactics sure to play a massive part across the 1600m journey, punters hunting for value will need to weigh up the raced form against the unknowns of the lightly raced brigade as they jump at 3:00 pm AEDT.

Race notes

3UP MDN-SW,3yo+,MDN-SW,Maiden
SOFT5
Fine
8 runners

Shortest win price

Town Planner (13)

2.40

Speed map

Back left · leaders right

Backmarker

2Efreeti

Midfield

5Pete The Prophet

Offpace

7Ted Percy
8Windsor Chariot
12High Performance

Onpace

11Studio Artist

Firststart

13Town Planner

Leader

6Poorlittlerichkid

Efreeti · Negative
Awkward Draw
May find this draw awkward
Pete The Prophet · Negative
Jockey Booking
Less suitable jockey engaged
Poorlittlerichkid · Negative
Trainer Recent
Camp struggling with S/R just 4%
Ted Percy · Positive
Hot J/T Combo
Combo are winning 27% POT in their L100 Races

No.RunnerBarWgtLast 5WinPlace

1Ambitious AchieverScratched1––––

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Leader

BackLead

Figures

Jockey60%
Trainer80%
Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
Early Speed20%
Rating100%
Closing Speed80%

Insights

Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are out performing market expectations by 104%
Maps Well
Positive
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 21%
Drawn In
Positive
Suited drawn down low
Lightly Raced
Positive
Limited race experience but shown potential
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Posted some decent efforts from three appearances. Got back, cut loose late to fill the minors at Geelong off long spell. Better for the outing. Can make his presence felt.

ILB

Picked up late ground when 3rd beaten by 3 3/4L last run at Geelong and will appreciate a good barrier. Promising career start.

RSIS

Finished with intent when 3rd beaten by 3 3/4L last start at Geelong and drawn by the rails. Promising career start.

2EfreetiJ: John Allen·T: Mitchell Freedman759.5kg91: 0-0-0$6.50$1.80

Career

1: 0-0-0

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Backmarker

BackLead

Figures

Jockey40%
Trainer100%
Jockey/Trainer Combo60%
Early Speed20%
Rating40%
Closing Speed80%

Record

First-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Hamilton
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1400m
1: 0-0-0
Going Soft
1: 0-0-0

Last starts

9Hamilton1400m10 Oct 2026 · 3yo+ · SOFT56.37L

Insights

Awkward Draw
Negative
May find this draw awkward

Comments

AAP

Unremarkable debut performance at Hamilton at double-figure odds 10 Oct. Took benefit from that. Has a tricky draw. Hope for exotics only.

ILB

At $19.00 not up to scratch when 9th last time at Hamilton but was a debutant last start. Might have to make up considerable ground. This won't be easy.

Close up behind Pete The Prophet two weeks ago when ninth over 7f at Hamilton; potential to step up; should be better for that run.

RSIS

Started at 18/1 and was nothing special when 9th last run at Hamilton but fitter for debut run. Might have to make up considerable ground.

3Ella's BoyScratched6––––

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Midfield

BackLead

Figures

Jockey100%
Trainer80%
Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
Early Speed20%
Rating40%
Closing Speed40%

Insights

Key Jockey
Positive
Valentin Le Boeuf winning at 16% POT in last 100 rides

Comments

AAP

Returns for second campaign (24-weeks). Reasonable tick-over trial for return. Improvement is essential.

ILB

Racing fresh today after a break. Didn't find the line when 10th last time at Pakenham and down in distance.

RSIS

Resuming after break. Faded to finish 10th last start at Pakenham on a heavy rated track and dropping back to a shorter trip.

4IntervenedScratched5––––

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Offmidfield

BackLead

Figures

Jockey50%
Trainer100%
Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
Early Speed100%
Rating60%
Closing Speed40%

Insights

Back in Dist
Negative
Dropping back to a less suitable distance range
Primed
Positive
Fitter here racing on a quick back up

Comments

AAP

First-up (26-weeks). Ex C Maher in Victoria. Given some time to grow and mature after some mediocre runs in first two preps. Only for exotics.

ILB

Backing up quickly for this race. Placed 2nd last time at St Arnaud.

RSIS

On a quick turnaround. Finished 2nd last start at St Arnaud.

5Pete The ProphetJ: Fred W Kersley·T: L Smith259.5kg3 9 8 7 68: 0-0-2$14.00$2.90

Career

8: 0-0-2

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Midfield

BackLead

Figures

Jockey20%
Trainer80%
Jockey/Trainer Combo80%
Early Speed100%
Rating60%
Closing Speed100%

Record

First-up
2: 0-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Third-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Colac
1: 0-0-1
Track Pakenham Synthetic
1: 0-0-0
Track Geelong
1: 0-0-1
Distance 1400m
2: 0-0-0
Distance 1600m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1610m
1: 0-0-1
Going Good
5: 0-0-2
Going Soft
2: 0-0-0
Going Synthetic
1: 0-0-0

Last starts

6Hamilton1400m10 Oct 2026 · 3yo+ · SOFT55.77L
7Hamilton1600m14 Sept 2026 · 3UP MDN-SW · SOFT610.6L
8Pakenham Synthetic1400m24 Aug 2026 · 3UP MDN-SW · SYNTHETIC9.7L
9Kyneton1856m31 Jan 2026 · 3UP MDN-SW · GOOD38L
3Geelong1755m26 Jan 2026 · MDN-SW · GOOD41.5L
3Colac1610m6 Jan 2026 · 3UP MDN-SW · GOOD31.4L
5Seymour1300m18 Dec 2025 · 3yo+ · GOOD42.3L
7Yarra Valley1009m25 Oct 2025 · 4UP MDN-SW · GOOD46L

Insights

Jockey Booking
Negative
Less suitable jockey engaged
Fast Early
Positive
Sectionals suggest goes hard early
Drawn In
Positive
Suited drawn down low

Comments

AAP

Started $17 when battled home in Maiden company at Hamilton. Hope for exotics only.

ILB

Was $17.00 and finished 6th last time at Hamilton. Looking for an improved run and has a positive draw. Must be considered here.

Beaten 6l when sixth of 13 over 7f at Hamilton (maiden) two weeks ago; still winless and defeats stacking up (eight on the bounce) and form is hit and miss; may have to settle for supporting role.

RSIS

Was 16/1 and came in 6th last run at Hamilton. Giving another chance here and can find a nice position from the draw. Definite claims for punters.

6PoorlittlerichkidJ: Jack Martin·T: Heath Chalmers359.5kg9 8 6 11 66: 0-0-0$23.00$3.60

Career

6: 0-0-0

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Leader

BackLead

Figures

Jockey100%
Trainer20%
Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
Early Speed20%
Rating40%
Closing Speed20%

Record

First-up
2: 0-0-0
Track Manangatang
1: 0-0-0
Track Swan Hill
1: 0-0-0
Track CurrentTrack
1: 0-0-0
Distance 2000m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1400m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1500m
1: 0-0-0
Going Soft
2: 0-0-0
Going Synthetic
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
3: 0-0-0

Last starts

6Manangatang1550m10 Oct 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD33.05L
11Mildura2000m17 July 2026 · 3UP MDN-SW · GOOD48.7L
6Ballarat Synthetic1500m3 July 2026 · MDN-SW · SYNTHETIC3.2L
8Swan Hill1600m7 June 2026 · 2&3Y MDN-SW · SOFT53.4L
9Echuca1612m23 May 2026 · 2UP MDN-SW · SOFT711.2L
10Horsham1400m27 Apr 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD323.5L

Insights

Trainer Recent
Negative
Camp struggling with S/R just 4%
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Trainer Recent
Negative
Stable runners are currently underperforming market by 42%
Trainer ROI
Negative
Trainers runners currently losing 45% Profit on Turnover
Winkers Off
Positive
Winkers coming off this start
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

Competitive at times without placing. Weakened in run home at Manangatang first up. Strips fitter. Place preferred option.

ILB

Odds of $8.50 and didn't threaten when 6th last run at Manangatang. Likely to be well placed early. Facing a difficult task.

Not disgraced when sixth of ten (Manangatang, dropped to this trip) two weeks ago; recent form nothing to write home about; unlikely to achieve more than just a supporting role.

RSIS

Odds of 15/2 and couldn't maintain the pace when 6th last time at Manangatang. Should muster plenty of early toe.

7Ted PercyJ: Chelsea Taylor·T: Nathan Hobson559.5kg5 5 3 33: 0-0-2$4.00$1.34

Career

3: 0-0-2

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Offpace

BackLead

Figures

Jockey20%
Trainer80%
Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
Early Speed20%
Rating60%
Closing Speed100%

Record

First-up
1: 0-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-1
Third-up
1: 0-0-1
Track Swan Hill
1: 0-0-1
Track CurrentTrack
1: 0-0-1
Track Mildura
2: 0-0-1
Distance 1008m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1200m
1: 0-0-1
Distance 1400m
1: 0-0-1
Going Good
2: 0-0-2
Going Soft
1: 0-0-0

Last starts

3Mildura1400m6 Oct 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD44.4L
3Swan Hill1200m22 Sept 2026 · 4yo+ · GOOD31.2L
5Mildura1008m5 Sept 2026 · 3yo+ · SOFT62.6L
5Bendigo1000m18 Aug 2026 · Barrier Trial · HEAVY(8)2.5L

Insights

Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are winning 27% POT in their L100 Races
Lightly Raced
Positive
Limited race experience but shown potential
Track Exp
Positive
Knows this track well

Comments

AAP

Posted some decent efforts from three appearances. Ridden cold and picked up late for a distant third in the 3yo+ Mdn Plate at Mildura latest outing. Could relish the rise in trip. Only for exotics.

ILB

Made some ground late when 3rd beaten by almost 4 1/2L last run at Mildura and putting a tidy record together so far. Showing good ability this campaign. Can feature in this event.

Not beaten too far when third over 7f at Mildura (maiden) three weeks ago; this just his fourth race; should not be far away.

RSIS

Put in a competitive run when placing 3rd last run at Mildura and good career start. Producing consistent results since coming back from a break. Expecting a solid performance.

8Windsor ChariotJ: Harry Coffey·T: Ben, Will & Jd Hayes459.5kg71: 0-0-0$4.20$1.38

Career

1: 0-0-0

Rating · IRD

100

Speed map

Offpace

BackLead

Figures

Jockey40%
Trainer100%
Jockey/Trainer Combo80%
Early Speed100%
Rating100%
Closing Speed40%

Record

First-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Pakenham Synthetic
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1400m
1: 0-0-0
Going Synthetic
1: 0-0-0

Last starts

7Pakenham Synthetic1400m5 Oct 2026 · 4yo+ · SYNTHETIC4.37L

Insights

Stable In Form
Positive
Stable going well. Out performing market by 42%
Profitable Trainer
Positive
Stable runners going at 31% POT in L100 Runners
Map Suits
Positive
Suitable Map, where runners in this position outperform market by 4%
Fast Early
Positive
Sectionals suggest goes hard early
Raceday Experience
Positive
Wiser for debut run
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Failed to stamp himself on the race at Pakenham Synthetic debut when supported 5 Oct. Took benefit from that. Will only be improved and should have more to offer. Include.

ILB

Started $3.40 and weakened under pressure when 7th last time at Pakenham Synthetic. Should improve and was on debut last time. The testing material.

Favourite but out of the money on his debut at Pakenham at 12-5 three weeks ago; will need to step up from his racecourse introduction.

RSIS

Started at 12/5 and didn't threaten when 7th last start at Pakenham Synthetic. Overlooking the last run and having second career run. Likeable type and a major player.

9Donvilla D'OrScratched3––––

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Midfield

BackLead

Figures

Jockey20%
Trainer40%
Jockey/Trainer Combo50%
Early Speed50%
Rating50%
Closing Speed50%

Insights

Limited
Negative
Hasn’t featured at all in all career runs
Track Stats
Negative
Tends to struggle at this track
Blinkers Off
Positive
Blinkers coming off this start
Had Chances
Negative
Still in maiden grade after several runs

Comments

AAP

Started $9 when safely held in Maiden company at Deniliquin. Hard to warm to here.

ILB

On a short back up. At $12.00 came in 4th last time at Balranald.

RSIS

Backs up quickly. Odds of 11/1 and ran 4th last time at Balranald.

10Red Light RachelScratched10––––

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Onpace

BackLead

Figures

Jockey50%
Trainer80%
Jockey/Trainer Combo60%
Early Speed100%
Rating60%
Closing Speed40%

Insights

Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -26% POT in their L100 Races
Early Splits
Positive
Has early speed. An advantage on this circuit
Track Exp
Positive
Knows this track well
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Form sound so far this campaign. Fair performance without threatening at Kilmore second-up at $31. In the placings only prior run here. Place preferred option.

ILB

On a quick turnaround. Won narrowly last time at Wangaratta.

RSIS

Racing on a quick back up. Fought on well to win a tight contest last time at Wangaratta.

11Studio ArtistJ: Neil Farley·T: Stephen Lenehan157.5kg10 11 12 7 89: 0-0-0$126.00$10.00

Career

9: 0-0-0

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Onpace

BackLead

Figures

Jockey20%
Trainer80%
Jockey/Trainer Combo80%
Early Speed20%
Rating20%
Closing Speed40%

Record

First-up
3: 0-0-0
Second-up
2: 0-0-0
Third-up
1: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Donald
1: 0-0-0
Track Benalla
1: 0-0-0
Track Wagga
3: 0-0-0
Distance 1000m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1200m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1380m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
3: 0-0-0
Going Soft
5: 0-0-0
Going Unknown
1: 0-0-0

Last starts

8Halidon1380m11 Oct 2026 · 3UP MDN-SW · GOOD310.12L
7Pooncarie1200m19 Sept 2026 · MDN-SW17.16L
12Donald1350m12 Sept 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD416.5L
11Casterton1400m30 Aug 2026 · MDN-SW · SOFT516.2L
10Kilmore1457m31 Mar 2026 · 3Y MDN-SW · SOFT615.6L
10Wagga1000m16 Feb 2026 · CTRY MDN · GOOD417.6L
10Wagga1600m29 Sept 2025 · MDN-SW · SOFT59.5L
5Wagga1675m20 Sept 2025 · MDN-SW · SOFT53.7L

Insights

Current SR
Negative
Rider’s recent POT is returning 32% lower than Career Avg.
Jockey Booking
Negative
Less suitable jockey engaged
Rider Poor SR
Negative
Jockey underperforming market expectations by 31% in L100 rides
Maps Well
Positive
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 21%
Gave ground LS
Negative
Faded towards the finish last time out
Nice Barrier
Positive
Well drawn from gate 1
Limited
Negative
Hasn’t featured at all in all career runs
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

Has struggled to make an impression. Raced in back half and never likely at Halidon. Modest career figures and very hard to recommend.

ILB

Jumped at $201.00 and gave away some ground when 8th last start at Halidon but gets a favourable alley. Hasn't placed in 9 starts and going up in weight. Can't recommend.

Beaten 10l in eighth over 7f at Halidon (maiden) 16 days ago; needs to improve on balance of recent form and winless with run of consecutive defeats standing at nine; hard enough to fancy.

RSIS

Started at 200/1 and didn't attack the line when 8th last run at Halidon but gets the perfect stall. Hasn't placed in 9 starts.

12High PerformanceJ: Lachlan King·T: Shawn Mathrick857kg51: 0-0-0$15.00$3.10

Career

1: 0-0-0

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Offpace

BackLead

Figures

Jockey100%
Trainer80%
Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
Early Speed20%
Rating40%
Closing Speed80%

Record

First-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Mildura
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1400m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
1: 0-0-0

Last starts

5Mildura1400m6 Oct 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD48.4L

Insights

Rider SR
Positive
Jockey recent POT is 57% better than Career Avg.
Jockey Booking
Positive
Lachlan King 64% above market expected in L100 Rides
Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are out performing market expectations by 324%
Key Jockey
Positive
Lachlan King winning at 43% POT in last 100 rides
Awkward Draw
Negative
May find this draw awkward

Comments

AAP

A very soft debut performance at Mildura at longer odds 6 Oct. Others with more appeal.

ILB

Started $21.00 and improved late to finish 5th last start at Mildura and fitter for debut run. Needs a mighty effort to win this.

Finished just behind Ted Percy 21 days ago when fifth over 7f at Mildura; entitled to be a bit more streetwise this time and likely to be involved.

RSIS

Started 20/1 and inched into 5th last start at Mildura and was a debutant last start.

13Town PlannerJ: Billy Egan·T: Patrick Payne657kg7 6 7$2.40$1.20

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Firststart

Figures

Jockey100%
Trainer100%
Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
Early Speed50%
Rating60%
Closing Speed50%

Last starts

7Tatura1100m30 Sept 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)9.9L
6Traralgon1100m9 Apr 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)7.5L
7Caulfield Heath1000m26 Mar 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)6.7L

Insights

Jockey ROI
Positive
Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 23% in Last 100 Rides
Key Rider
Positive
Billy Egan 23% above market expected in L100 Rides
Trainer ROI
Positive
Runners from this stable currently going at 13% POT in L100 Runners
First Starter
Positive
Not raced previously

Comments

AAP

Trials (4:0-0-0). $60k purchase. Out of an unraced half-sister to the stakes winner Amare. Trial form uninspiring but obviously better for the experience.

ILB

Patrick Payne & Michelle Payne trained 3yo by Written By having first race start. Watch for a sign in the market.

Related to multiple race winner Harbour Town (6½f-1m½f); sole newcomer in the field; stable more than capable of getting one ready first time out; very interesting with signs of encouragement in profile and the trainer is hot at the moment.

RSIS

Written By 3yo trained by Patrick Payne & Michelle Payne having first start. Watch early betting.

Odds correct as at Tue 27 Oct, 3:00 pm AEDT. Odds can change.

Past meetings

Tue 22 Sept, 10:00 am AEST · 8 races