Swan Hill (VIC) horses tips & previews

7 Nov, 11:07 pm AEDT

One race at a time: field, form guide and win/place odds for Swan Hill (VIC), with capture times on every price.

Meeting — Tue 27 Oct, 11:00 am AEDT

Meetings · Tue, 27 OctSwan Hill (VIC)Change

Race 6 — Pooles Accountants & Tax Specialists (Bm62) 2400m · jumps Tue 27 Oct, 4:00 pm AEDT

Race preview

Swan Hill's feature race on Friday is the Pooles Accountants & Tax Specialists Benchmark 62 over 2400 metres in fine conditions. The win market has Verifier shortest at the top, with Legend Beast and Milady filling the next two spots ahead of Motiver. The race shapes as a contest for stayers: Verifier out the back will be storming home, three runners are mapped in the midfield, and a pair of leaders will be setting a decent tempo up front. This is classic handicap territory where the weight drops and form lines tell the full story.

Verifier sits shortest and with good reason. A capable stayer rated 100, the gelding closed with raking strides when narrowly beaten at this track and distance last time, suggesting the form is genuine. After five weeks between runs, there's a real case he's been primed for this. His jockey John Allen is booked, and while his trainer's recent strike rate sits at just 7 per cent, the commentary flags him as hard to stop in this company. Legend Beast also appeals: the Hayes stable is outperforming the market by 42 per cent, the gelding showed the fastest finishing sectionals last start and boasts a handy stayer's form line. A drop in weight sweetens the deal. Motiver, rated 83, failed to threaten in choppy Warrnambool conditions over a longer test but draws to advantage here with a significant weight drop and carries jockey Dean Yendall, who is 24 per cent above market expected in his last 100 rides.

Milady, despite sitting third in the market, struggled when second-up at Warrnambool and is hard to warm to over this trip and class. Three Reel Roses leads the field from barrier 10 and shapes as tempo-setter, though both leaders find themselves in a market that's cooling on their respective connections. The midfield is crowded with five runners stacked together—Legend Beast, Fierce Fiasco, Larryoctane, Legs Power and Kawhia—creating genuine uncertainty about who'll have the last kick. For punters, Verifier's finishing prowess and Motiver's combination of form improvement and jockey engagement offer the clearest narrative threads in a race that rewards timing and staying power.

Race notes

3UP BM62 HCP,3yo+,BM62,Benchmark 62
GOOD4
Fine
12 runners

Shortest win price

Verifier (7)

3.30

Most career wins

Hula Beat

5-6-4 from 45 starts

Speed map

Back left · leaders right

Backmarker

4Hula Beat
12Milady

Offmidfield

7Verifier

Midfield

10Legs Power
1Legend Beast
3Fierce Fiasco
8Larryoctane
14Kawhia

Offpace

5Motiver
2Baby Rider

Leader

13Flying Shelby
9Three Reel Roses

Legend Beast · Positive
Fast Finisher
Fastest Overall Finishing Sectionals Last Start
Baby Rider · Positive
Jockey ROI
Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 41% in Last 100 Rides
Fierce Fiasco · Positive
Rider SR
Jockey recent POT is 23% better than Career Avg.
Hula Beat · Negative
Rider
Negative rider change today

No.RunnerBarWgtLast 5WinPlace

1Legend BeastJ: Harry Coffey·T: Ben, Will & Jd Hayes660.5kg7 4 8 6 218: 2-3-1$4.40$1.80

Career

18: 2-3-1

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Midfield

BackLead

Figures

Jockey40%
Trainer100%
Jockey/Trainer Combo80%
Early Speed20%
Rating80%
Closing Speed100%

Record

First-up
3: 0-0-0
Second-up
2: 0-0-0
Third-up
2: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
2: 0-0-0
Track Warrnambool
1: 0-1-0
Track Bendigo
1: 0-0-0
Track Ashburton
1: 1-0-0
Distance 3100m
1: 0-1-0
Distance 1500m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 2000m
1: 0-1-0
Going Good
6: 0-1-0
Going Heavy
6: 1-2-0
Going Soft
6: 1-0-1

Last starts

2Warrnambool3100m1 Oct 2026 · 3yo+ · HEAVY92.5L
6Swan Hill2400m22 Sept 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD32.65L
8Sandown2400m9 Sept 2026 · 3yo+ · SOFT77.9L
4Seymour2021m27 Aug 2026 · 3yo+ · HEAVY82.2L
7Geelong1730m14 Aug 2026 · 3yo+ · HEAVY810L
6Bendigo1600m30 July 2026 · 2UP BM66 HCP · SOFT63.6L
6Pakenham Synthetic1000m7 July 2026 · Barrier Trial · SYNTHETIC5.5L
12Sandown2100m26 Dec 2025 · BM66 · GOOD47.6L

Insights

Fast Finisher
Positive
Fastest Overall Finishing Sectionals Last Start
Hot Trainer
Positive
Ben, Will & Jd Hayes in good form, out performing market 42%
Trainer ROI
Positive
Runners from this stable currently going at 31% POT in L100 Runners
Back in Dist
Negative
Dropping back to a less suitable distance range
Ready To Fire
Positive
Shown something in last few runs
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
Weight Drop
Positive
Drops 6kg from LS run

Comments

AAP

Handy stayer. No threat to winner but ran on for the minors in choppy conditions at Warrnambool over longer test when firmed from $13 into $8. Drops in weight for this. Capable of playing a key role in this.

ILB

Solid run when finishing 2nd last run at Warrnambool on a heavy track but coming back in distance. Competitive type.

A respectable second of 11 at Warrnambool 26 days ago upped to 1m7½f; others are preferred as not in the habit of winning recently.

RSIS

Was strong late when 2nd beaten by 2 1/2L last time at Warrnambool but dropping in distance. Definite claims.

2Baby RiderJ: Valentin Le Boeuf·T: Ms H Burns1259kg10 9 11 7 245: 4-3-4$31.00$5.00

Career

45: 4-3-4

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Offpace

BackLead

Figures

Jockey100%
Trainer40%
Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
Early Speed100%
Rating20%
Closing Speed80%

Record

First-up
10: 1-1-1
Second-up
8: 1-0-0
Third-up
7: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
4: 1-1-0
Track Goulburn
1: 0-0-0
Track Bendigo
1: 0-0-0
Track CurrentTrack
2: 0-0-0
Distance 1840m
1: 0-0-1
Distance 2000m
13: 1-0-1
Distance 1600m
7: 1-1-0
Going Soft
10: 0-0-2
Going Unknown
1: 0-0-1
Going Good
33: 4-3-1

Last starts

2Avoca1860m17 Oct 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD31.5L
7Mildura1900m6 Oct 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD412.05L
11Swan Hill1600m22 Sept 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD310.15L
9Bendigo1300m6 Sept 2026 · 3yo+ · SOFT54.8L
10Warrnambool1700m11 Jan 2026 · 3UP BM78 HCP · GOOD38.1L
4Burrumbeet1800m1 Jan 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD41.6L
5Nhill1650m26 Dec 2025 · BM84 HCP · GOOD32.8L
7Warrnambool2000m30 Nov 2025 · 3UP BM66 HCP · SOFT67.3L

Insights

Jockey ROI
Positive
Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 41% in Last 100 Rides
Trainer SR
Negative
Helen Burns striking at just 3%
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Trainer A2E
Negative
Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 33%
Early Splits
Positive
Has early speed. An advantage on this circuit
Ran On Hard LS
Positive
Ran on well last start
Wide Draw
Negative
Likely to get caught wide
Increased Dist
Positive
Distance rise from last start

Comments

AAP

Fought bravely to the wire in the 3yo+ (Bm56) at Avoca. This looks a deeper race.

ILB

Showed a good turn of foot when 2nd beaten by 1 1/2L last time at Avoca and returning to more ground. Won't find this easy.

Wasn't disgraced when second of ten over 1m1f at Avoca (handicap) ten days ago; latest effort was encouraging so he isn't without hope.

RSIS

Good effort to run 2nd beaten by 1 1/2L last run at Avoca and back over more ground.

3Fierce FiascoJ: Billy Egan·T: Andrew Noblet858.5kg2 4 3 1 118: 1-1-1$23.00$4.40

Career

8: 1-1-1

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Midfield

BackLead

Figures

Jockey100%
Trainer80%
Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
Early Speed20%
Rating60%
Closing Speed40%

Record

First-up
2: 0-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-1-0
Third-up
1: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-0-1
Track Kilmore
3: 0-1-0
Track Sale
2: 0-0-0
Track Seymour
1: 1-0-0
Distance 1462m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1500m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1600m
1: 0-0-1
Going Good
2: 0-0-0
Going Heavy
2: 1-1-0
Going Soft
3: 0-0-1

Last starts

11Kilmore2000m28 Sept 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD315.16L
1Seymour2021m27 Aug 2026 · 3yo+ · HEAVY8-0.3
3Swan Hill1600m28 July 2026 · 2yo+ · SOFT52.3L
4Ballarat Synthetic1500m12 July 2026 · MDN-SW · SYNTHETIC2.6L
2Kilmore1607m1 June 2026 · MDN SW · HEAVY91.3L
4Kilmore1462m15 May 2026 · 2UP MDN-SW · SOFT63.1L
8Sale1400m26 Oct 2025 · 3Y MDN-SW · SOFT76.7L
8Sale1112m8 Oct 2025 · 3yo+ · GOOD45.7L

Insights

Rider SR
Positive
Jockey recent POT is 23% better than Career Avg.
Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are out performing market expectations by 48%
Gave ground LS
Negative
Faded towards the finish last time out
Track Exp
Positive
Knows this track well
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

Fresh. Broke maiden at Seymour 27 Aug. Was a long way from the action in 2000m 3yo+ (Bm56) at Kilmore. Respect on previous sound form.

ILB

Started $15.00 and faded to finish 11th last time at Kilmore but carrying less weight this time. Respect the betting.

Last of 11 at Kilmore over 1m2f (handicap) last month; has found improvement of late and this is his grade; unexposed in handicaps with this his second start in this company; successful in a maiden in August and ought to be considered.

RSIS

Started at 14/1 and didn't find the line when 11th last start at Kilmore but carrying less weight this time. Can't leave out of your calculations.

4Hula BeatJ: Neil Farley·T: Andrew Bobbin958.5kg2 2 3 8 1045: 5-6-4$23.00$4.40

Career

45: 5-6-4

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Backmarker

BackLead

Figures

Jockey20%
Trainer100%
Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
Early Speed100%
Rating60%
Closing Speed20%

Record

First-up
5: 0-0-0
Second-up
4: 0-0-0
Third-up
4: 0-1-1
Fourth-up
4: 0-1-0
Track Ballarat
1: 0-1-0
Track Warrnambool
2: 0-0-1
Track Casterton
3: 0-1-0
Distance 3150m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1600m
6: 2-1-0
Distance 2200m
11: 2-1-0
Going Good
9: 0-0-1
Going Heavy
17: 4-4-2
Going Soft
19: 1-2-1

Last starts

10Mount Gambier2400m7 Oct 2026 · BM68 · GOOD410.43L
8Mount Gambier3150m20 Sept 2026 · BM75 · SOFT58.21L
3Warrnambool2350m3 Sept 2026 · 3UP BM62 HCP · HEAVY80.9L
2Ballarat3400m16 Aug 2026 · MDN HDLE-SW · HEAVY94L
2Casterton3500m9 Aug 2026 · HURDLE · SOFT70.8L
2Coleraine2800m20 July 2026 · Barrier Trial · SOFT(5)1L
8Coleraine2250m19 July 2026 · BM56 HWGT · SOFT59.8L
11Bendigo2400m25 June 2026 · BM62 · SOFT630.2L

Insights

Rider
Negative
Negative rider change today
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -49% POT in their L100 Races
Early Splits
Positive
Has early speed. An advantage on this circuit
Gave ground LS
Negative
Faded towards the finish last time out
Dist S/R
Negative
Poor performer at the distance
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
Winless Prep
Negative
Expect the drought to continue

Comments

AAP

Failed to threaten at Mt Gambier over this journey. First time around Swan Hill. Others with greater appeal.

ILB

Was $16.00 and gave away some ground when 10th last run at Mount Gambier. Might have to make up considerable ground. Not without a chance.

Not far behind Fuwari when tenth (Mt Gambier) three weeks ago; a few rivals look in good form so may have to settle for supporting role at best.

RSIS

Odds of 15/1 and gave away some ground when 10th last run at Mount Gambier. Prefers to settle towards the rear. Has some claims.

5MotiverJ: Dean Yendall·T: Mitchell Freedman458kg6 7 1 4 619: 2-3-2$6.50$2.40

Career

19: 2-3-2

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Offpace

BackLead

Figures

Jockey100%
Trainer100%
Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
Early Speed100%
Rating60%
Closing Speed40%

Record

First-up
3: 0-0-0
Second-up
2: 0-0-0
Third-up
2: 0-1-1
Fourth-up
2: 0-0-0
Track Geelong
2: 0-1-1
Track Mornington
1: 0-0-0
Track Pakenham
1: 0-1-0
Distance 3000m
2: 0-0-1
Distance 2400m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 2418m
1: 0-1-0
Going Good
11: 1-3-1
Going Heavy
6: 1-0-1
Going Soft
2: 0-0-0

Last starts

6Warrnambool3100m1 Oct 2026 · 3yo+ · HEAVY910L
4Mornington3080m17 Sept 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD42.75L
1Warrnambool2350m3 Sept 2026 · 3UP BM62 HCP · HEAVY8-0.5
7Murtoa2050m21 Aug 2026 · 3yo+ · HEAVY810.4L
6Warrnambool3172m23 July 2026 · 3yo+ · HEAVY1051.2L
3Geelong2465m10 July 2026 · 3UP BM56 HCP · HEAVY80.9L
5Echuca2100m23 June 2026 · BM56 · HEAVY1011L
9Donald1620m9 June 2026 · BM62 · SOFT77.7L

Insights

Rider SR
Positive
Jockey recent POT is 24% better than Career Avg.
Key Rider
Positive
Dean Yendall 24% above market expected in L100 Rides
Key Jockey
Positive
Dean Yendall winning at 15% POT in last 100 rides
Map Suits
Positive
Suitable Map, where runners in this position outperform market by 4%
Fast Early
Positive
Sectionals suggest goes hard early
Back in Dist
Negative
Dropping back to a less suitable distance range
Wet To Dry
Negative
Coming from a wet to dry (Heavy 8 to Good 4) track may prove difficult
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Failed to threaten in choppy conditions at Warrnambool over longer test. Gets a significant weight drop. Can challenge.

ILB

Odds of $10.00 and came in 6th last run at Warrnambool and will be dropping in distance. Has some claims.

Finished behind Legend Beast at Warrnambool over 1m7½f (handicap) when beaten 10l four weeks ago; hard enough to fancy with a few rivals in good form.

RSIS

Started 9/1 and came in 6th last run at Warrnambool and dropping back to a shorter trip. Respect the betting.

6Only OperaScratched2––––

Career

6: 1-1-1

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Offmidfield

BackLead

Figures

Jockey40%
Trainer40%
Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
Early Speed20%
Rating40%
Closing Speed100%

Record

First-up
2: 0-0-1
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Third-up
1: 0-1-0
Fourth-up
1: 1-0-0
Track Ballarat
1: 1-0-0
Track Geelong
1: 0-0-1
Track Bendigo
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1479m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1600m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 2000m
2: 1-0-0
Going Good
2: 1-0-0
Going Heavy
2: 0-0-1
Going Soft
1: 0-0-0

Last starts

9Seymour2000m11 Oct 2026 · 3yo+ · SOFT54.07L
1Ballarat2000m18 Sept 2026 · 3UP MDN-SW · GOOD4-2.5
2Ballarat Synthetic2100m25 Aug 2026 · 3UP MDN-SW · SYNTHETIC1.3L
4Bendigo1600m12 Aug 2026 · 3UP MDN SW · HEAVY97.4L
3Geelong1443m10 July 2026 · 3Y MDN-SW · HEAVY83.8L
6Kyneton1479m10 Feb 2026 · 3UP F&M MDN-SW · GOOD45.8L
4Scone1000m25 June 2025 · Barrier Trial7.5L

Insights

Trainer Recent
Negative
Camp struggling with S/R just 7%
Trainer A2E
Negative
Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 35%
Maps Poorly
Negative
Map position not suited at this track, under performing market expectations by 21%
Draw Suits
Positive
Well drawn inside
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Cleared maiden ranks at Ballarat 18 Sep. Had all before her at turn and went home tamely at Seymour. More ground a plus. Can show more here.

ILB

Was $6.50 and below par when 9th last time at Seymour but can find a nice position from the draw. In good racing form this campaign.

Has kicked on in her last couple of races; fair effort when beaten 4l, finishing ninth of 13 at Seymour over 1m2f (handicap) 16 days ago; this only her second start in handicap company; plenty of appeal if replicating the best of her form.

RSIS

At 11/2 not up to standard when 9th last run at Seymour but has a positive stall. Going well of late.

7VerifierJ: John Allen·T: N A Blackiston357kg3 2 5 5 239: 2-6-3$3.30$1.45

Career

39: 2-6-3

Rating · IRD

100

Speed map

Offmidfield

BackLead

Figures

Jockey40%
Trainer60%
Jockey/Trainer Combo80%
Early Speed100%
Rating100%
Closing Speed100%

Record

First-up
6: 0-1-0
Second-up
5: 0-0-0
Third-up
5: 0-2-1
Fourth-up
5: 0-0-1
Track Sandown
3: 1-0-0
Track Geelong
2: 0-1-0
Track Morphettville
1: 0-0-0
Distance 2040m
2: 0-0-1
Distance 1400m
3: 0-0-0
Distance 1500m
2: 0-1-0
Going Good
16: 1-2-1
Going Heavy
5: 0-1-1
Going Soft
17: 1-3-1

Last starts

2Swan Hill2400m22 Sept 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD30.35L
5Donald2200m12 Sept 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD43.2L
5Seymour2021m27 Aug 2026 · 3yo+ · HEAVY82.4L
2Swan Hill2400m28 July 2026 · 3yo+ · SOFT50.4L
3Donald2218m11 July 2026 · 2UP BM56 HCP · HEAVY80.9L
2Echuca2100m23 June 2026 · BM56 · HEAVY106L
6Seymour1600m21 May 2026 · 0-62 · SOFT64.4L
8Ballarat1400m10 May 2026 · 2yo+ · SOFT64.7L

Insights

Fast Finisher
Positive
Fastest Overall Finishing Sectionals Last Start
Trainer Recent
Negative
Camp struggling with S/R just 7%
Trainer Recent
Negative
Stable runners are currently underperforming market by 25%
Ran On Hard LS
Positive
Ran on well last start
Track Exp
Positive
Knows this track well
Improver
Positive
Poised to improve on recent form here
Gap In Runs
Negative
Not raced for 35 days
Winless Prep
Negative
Expect the drought to continue

Comments

AAP

Now 5 weeks between runs. Capable stayer. Out the back, closed with raking strides in the 3yo+ (Bm62) this course over today's trip. Will take stopping in this company.

ILB

Competed in a tight contest last run at this venue. Displays very good finishing speed. Should progress and will be close.

Went down by a neck five weeks ago (had two of these rivals behind); should go close as recent display was promising.

RSIS

Narrowly denied victory last time at the track. Will be motoring home late. Very capable of taking this out.

8LarryoctaneJ: Damien Thornton·T: Luke Oliver556kg5 5 3 5 322: 2-2-3$19.00$4.20

Career

22: 2-2-3

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Midfield

BackLead

Figures

Jockey60%
Trainer40%
Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
Early Speed20%
Rating40%
Closing Speed100%

Record

First-up
4: 0-0-0
Second-up
3: 0-0-1
Third-up
3: 1-1-0
Fourth-up
3: 1-0-0
Track Kilmore
1: 0-0-1
Track Warrnambool
1: 0-1-0
Track Hamilton
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1300m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 2050m
2: 0-0-1
Distance 2060m
1: 0-1-0
Going Good
10: 1-2-3
Going Heavy
4: 0-0-0
Going Soft
7: 0-0-0

Last starts

3Moe2050m18 Oct 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD32.25L
5Hamilton2200m10 Oct 2026 · 0 - 56 · SOFT50.94L
3Kilmore2000m13 Sept 2026 · 0 - 56 · GOOD43.3L
5Moe2050m13 Aug 2026 · 3UP BM56 HCP · HEAVY109.3L
5Moe2447m21 July 2026 · 3yo+ · HEAVY97.7L
7Bairnsdale2200m13 July 2026 · 3yo+ · SOFT75.1L
8Cranbourne2025m21 June 2026 · BM66 · SOFT77.9L
8Moe1600m28 May 2026 · 0 - 62 · HEAVY109.8L

Insights

Trainer SR
Negative
Luke Oliver striking at just 6%
Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are out performing market expectations by 82%
Trainer Recent
Negative
Stable runners are currently underperforming market by 32%
Ran On Hard LS
Positive
Ran on well last start
Improver
Positive
Poised to improve on recent form here
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
Winless Prep
Negative
Expect the drought to continue

Comments

AAP

Beaten a few lengths but found enough to fill the minors at Moe. A few runs under his belt this campaign, capable of making an impact.

ILB

Did well to finish 3rd beaten by 2 1/4L last start at Moe. Will be a tough ask.

Wasn't disgraced when third of ten over 1m2f at Moe (handicap) nine days ago; regularly been coming up a bit short lately so makes little appeal.

RSIS

Claimed a spot in the top three when 3rd beaten by 2 1/4L last run at Moe.

9Three Reel RosesJ: Eoin Walsh·T: Henry Dwyer1056kg4 1 5 4 323: 2-4-2$10.00$3.20

Career

23: 2-4-2

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Leader

BackLead

Figures

Jockey20%
Trainer40%
Jockey/Trainer Combo40%
Early Speed20%
Rating60%
Closing Speed100%

Record

First-up
3: 0-0-0
Second-up
2: 0-1-0
Third-up
2: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
2: 0-0-1
Track Murtoa
1: 0-0-0
Track CurrentTrack
2: 0-0-0
Track Geelong
3: 1-1-0
Distance 2600m
1: 0-1-0
Distance 2000m
2: 0-0-0
Distance 2240m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
12: 1-1-0
Going Heavy
5: 1-1-0
Going Soft
6: 0-2-2

Last starts

3Mount Gambier3150m20 Sept 2026 · BM75 · SOFT50.81L
4Warrnambool2350m3 Sept 2026 · 3UP BM62 HCP · HEAVY81.1L
5Murtoa2050m21 Aug 2026 · 3yo+ · HEAVY88.2L
1Moe2447m21 July 2026 · 3yo+ · HEAVY9-0.5
4Bendigo2400m25 June 2026 · BM62 · SOFT64.8L
7Donald2200m9 June 2026 · BM62 · SOFT75.7L
3Echuca2112m23 May 2026 · 0 - 56 · SOFT71.3L
10Kilmore2000m4 May 2026 · 0-56 · HEAVY912.22L

Insights

Jockey Booking
Negative
Eoin Walsh current POT is 48% below Career Avg.
Trainer SR
Negative
Henry Dwyer striking at just 7%
Rider
Negative
Negative rider change today
Trainer Recent
Negative
Stable runners are currently underperforming market by 35%
Rider Poor SR
Negative
Jockey underperforming market expectations by 33% in L100 rides
Ran On Hard LS
Positive
Ran on well last start
Dist S/R
Negative
Poor performer at the distance
Back in Dist
Negative
Dropping back to a less suitable distance range

Comments

AAP

Freshened. Came home with a wet sail to grab third (Bm75) at Mt Gambier over longer test at odds of $9.50. Can't enthuse.

ILB

Did well to run into 3rd beaten by 3/4L last run at Mount Gambier and taking on easier opposition. Has the necessary speed to mitigate the wide draw. Could be in the mix.

Has maintained her consistent level of form; went close when third over 1m7½f at Mt Gambier (handicap) 37 days ago.

RSIS

Finished with intent when 3rd beaten by 3/4L last run at Mount Gambier and lining up against easier rivals. Has the necessary pace to mitistall the wide draw. Could be in the mix.

10Legs PowerJ: Sarah Field·T: Patrick Payne755.5kg9 1 8 6 615: 1-2-3$8.00$2.70

Career

15: 1-2-3

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Midfield

BackLead

Figures

Jockey80%
Trainer100%
Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
Early Speed80%
Rating40%
Closing Speed50%

Record

First-up
2: 0-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Third-up
1: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-0-1
Track Rosehill
1: 0-0-0
Track Scone
1: 0-0-0
Track Newcastle
2: 0-0-0
Distance 3120m
1: 1-0-0
Distance 1625m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1815m
1: 0-0-0
Going Soft
6: 1-1-1
Going Good
7: 0-1-0
Going Heavy
2: 0-0-2

Last starts

6Colac1200m22 Oct 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)13.3L
6Rosehill2400m30 Sept 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD431.18L
8Newcastle1850m18 Sept 2026 · 3UP CL1-SW · GOOD38.22L
1Grafton3120m19 July 2026 · 3yo+ · SOFT5-1.5
9Scone2200m29 June 2026 · CL1-SW · SOFT717.1L
2Warren2400m1 June 2026 · BM58 · SOFT73.7L
3Gunnedah2150m24 May 2026 · 3UP CL1 & MDN-SW · SOFT54.7L
3Taree2018m5 May 2026 · CL1-SW · HEAVY86.4L

Insights

Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Profitable Trainer
Positive
Stable runners going at 13% POT in L100 Runners
Increased Dist
Positive
Distance rise from last start
Blinkers Off
Positive
Blinkers coming off this start
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Ex Andrew Macdonald in NSW. Unable to threaten in the small field at Rosehill. Since trialled at Colac 22 Oct. Could give some cheek at odds.

ILB

Was $101.00 and struggled with the pace when 6th last time at Rosehill but competing in a less challenging grade. First start for a new trainer. Needs to improve.

Finished out the back upped to this distance at Rosehill four weeks ago; first run for trainer; a lot on his plate here and can be taken on.

RSIS

Was 100/1 and didn't threaten when 6th last time at Rosehill but up against a less competitive field. Racing for a new trainer.

11FuwariScratched14––––

Career

16: 1-3-3

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Offmidfield

BackLead

Figures

Jockey60%
Trainer100%
Jockey/Trainer Combo80%
Early Speed20%
Rating100%
Closing Speed80%

Record

First-up
3: 0-0-1
Second-up
2: 0-1-1
Third-up
2: 0-0-1
Fourth-up
2: 1-0-0
Track Ballarat
3: 0-1-0
Track Echuca
1: 0-1-0
Track Cranbourne
1: 0-1-0
Distance 1411m
1: 0-0-1
Distance 1500m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 2000m
2: 0-0-0
Going Soft
6: 0-2-1
Going Good
6: 0-1-0
Going Heavy
4: 1-0-2

Last starts

6Mount Gambier2400m7 Oct 2026 · BM68 · GOOD48.67L
8Coleraine2250m25 Sept 2026 · 3UP BM56 HCP · GOOD39.12L
7Bordertown2000m11 Sept 2026 · BM58 · SOFT65.8L
3Mount Gambier2050m7 Aug 2026 · BM58 · HEAVY102.4L
5Warrnambool1700m23 July 2026 · 2yo+ · HEAVY1010.3L
2Echuca3200m4 Nov 2025 · 3yo+ · SOFT5.8L
10Mornington3070m23 Oct 2025 · 3UP BM74 HCP · SOFT514.8L
5Geelong2460m25 Sept 2025 · 3yo+ · GOOD35.5L

Insights

Wide Draw
Negative
Likely to get caught wide
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Never in the call at Mt Gambier over today's trip. New to Swan Hill. Keener on others.

ILB

At $6.50 came in 6th last run at Mount Gambier.

Has a record of 1-16 and good and bad recent runs found on her CV; held when sixth of 11 (Mt Gambier) three weeks ago; easy enough to take on given this looks a decent race.

RSIS

Started 11/2 and ran 6th last start at Mount Gambier.

12MiladyJ: Tom Madden·T: P A Chow155kg2 7 2 7 1118: 1-5-0$6.50$2.40

Career

18: 1-5-0

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Backmarker

BackLead

Figures

Jockey20%
Trainer60%
Jockey/Trainer Combo60%
Early Speed80%
Rating60%
Closing Speed80%

Record

First-up
3: 0-0-0
Second-up
2: 0-0-0
Third-up
1: 1-0-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-1-0
Track Mount Gambier
2: 1-1-0
Track Swan Hill
2: 0-1-0
Track Horsham
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1200m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1400m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1430m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
5: 1-1-0
Going Heavy
3: 0-0-0
Going Soft
8: 0-3-0

Last starts

11Warrnambool1700m15 Oct 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD47.8L
7Warrnambool1400m1 Oct 2026 · 3yo+ · HEAVY96.21L
2Swan Hill2400m5 June 2026 · 3yo+ · SOFT60.2L
7Geelong2400m22 May 2026 · 3UP BM62 HCP · SOFT53.9L
2Ballarat2016m10 May 2026 · 3yo+ · SOFT60.3L
4Horsham2100m27 Apr 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD35.05L
2Werribee2200m11 Apr 2026 · BM56 · SOFT50.75L
2Mount Gambier2050m22 Mar 2026 · CL1-SW · GOOD45.4L

Insights

Trainer Career
Negative
Trainer Career S/R is 8%
Trainer Recent
Negative
Stable runners are currently underperforming market by 22%
Needs To Imp
Negative
Finished towards the tail last start
Draw Suits
Positive
Well drawn inside
Increased Dist
Positive
Distance rise from last start
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Never sighted at Warrnambool when second-up. Game second only other time over this track and distance. Hard to warm to.

ILB

Just average when 11th last run at Warrnambool but will appreciate a good barrier. Can go through the gears. Returning to a longer distance. Very tidy performer.

Towards the rear of 13 over 1m½f at Warrnambool (handicap) two weeks ago; you have to go back a fair way to find her only win and patchy form recently; this line-up contains some strong opposition so others more likely.

RSIS

Disappointing run when 11th last time at Warrnambool but drawn the rails. Has good closing pace. Returns to a rise in trip. Definite claims for punters.

13Flying ShelbyJ: Alana Kelly·T: Paul A Jones254kg3 14 6 7 523: 1-1-1$71.00$10.00

Career

23: 1-1-1

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Leader

BackLead

Figures

Jockey60%
Trainer80%
Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
Early Speed100%
Rating60%
Closing Speed40%

Record

First-up
4: 0-1-0
Second-up
3: 0-0-0
Third-up
3: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
3: 0-0-0
Track Ballarat
1: 0-0-0
Track Casterton
2: 0-1-0
Track Hamilton
4: 0-0-0
Distance 1800m
2: 0-0-0
Distance 2100m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1400m
2: 0-0-0
Going Synthetic
2: 0-0-0
Going Good
6: 0-0-0
Going Heavy
4: 0-1-0

Last starts

5Penola2000m16 Oct 2026 · 0-56 · SOFT57.45L
7Hamilton2200m10 Oct 2026 · 0 - 56 · SOFT51.59L
6Coleraine1800m25 Sept 2026 · 3UP BM56 HCP · GOOD35.36L
14Mount Gambier1550m20 Sept 2026 · 0-54 · SOFT517.86L
3Bordertown1550m11 Sept 2026 · 0-54 · SOFT63.6L
6Casterton2000m9 Aug 2026 · 0 - 56 · SOFT75.5L
5Hamilton1600m1 Aug 2026 · 0 - 56 · HEAVY105.4L
1Coleraine1600m19 July 2026 · MDN-HWGT · SOFT5-0.5

Insights

Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Maps Well
Positive
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 21%
Drawn In
Positive
Suited drawn down low
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
Down In Weight
Positive
Drops 4.5kg from LS run

Comments

AAP

On pace but offered little resistance when challenged and petered out it at Penola. Unexposed at trip. A few runs under his belt this campaign, could get into the placings.

ILB

Started at $21.00 and got tired late when 5th last start at Penola and gets a favourable draw. Displays good tactical speed. Will appreciate the drop in weight. Marginal prospect.

Not always shown an awful lot since winning a maiden at Coleraine three months ago; finished fifth, beaten a fair way at Penola over 1m2f (handicap) 11 days ago; this line-up contains some strong opposition so hard to recommend.

RSIS

Started 20/1 and was found wanting late when 5th last run at Penola and will try to take advantage of the stall. Shows good early pace. Gets some weight relief.

14KawhiaJ: Chelsea Taylor·T: Dane Smith1154kg12 4 3 10 726: 1-3-2$34.00$6.00

Career

26: 1-3-2

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Midfield

BackLead

Figures

Jockey20%
Trainer40%
Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
Early Speed20%
Rating40%
Closing Speed100%

Record

First-up
4: 1-1-0
Second-up
3: 0-0-0
Third-up
3: 0-0-1
Fourth-up
3: 0-0-0
Track Pukekura
2: 0-1-0
Track Manangatang
1: 0-0-0
Track Swan Hill
1: 0-0-1
Distance 1740m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1800m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 2100m
3: 0-0-1
Going Good
7: 0-0-1
Going Heavy
14: 1-3-1
Going Soft
5: 0-0-0

Last starts

7Echuca2100m19 Oct 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD46.83L
10Manangatang2000m10 Oct 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD311.05L
3Swan Hill2400m22 Sept 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD30.75L
4Hamilton2200m14 Sept 2026 · 3UP BM56 HCP · SOFT62.7L
12Warracknabeal2000m15 Aug 2026 · 3UP BM56 HCP · SOFT610.6L
6Hamilton1600m1 Aug 2026 · 0 - 56 · HEAVY106.4L
6Warrnambool3200m14 June 2026 · 3yo+ · HEAVY107.1L
9Casterton2000m7 June 2026 · 3UP BM56 HCP · HEAVY811.9L

Insights

Trainer Recent
Negative
Camp struggling with S/R just 3%
Rider
Negative
Negative rider change today
Trainer Recent
Negative
Stable runners are currently underperforming market by 40%
Trainer ROI
Negative
Trainers runners currently losing 49% Profit on Turnover
Drawn Poorly
Negative
Unfavourable barrier draw
Track Exp
Positive
Knows this track well
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
Long Prep
Negative
Yet to find the winners stall this prep

Comments

AAP

Long winning drought. Sent out $21 when never got into the race at Echuca. Can't enthuse.

ILB

On a quick turnaround. Started $21.00 and ran 7th last time at Echuca. Others much better.

Came home seventh, beaten 7l, at Echuca over 1m2½f (handicap) last week; low strike-rate of 1-26; this line-up contains some strong opposition so easy to oppose.

RSIS

Backing up quickly. Odds of 20/1 and finished 7th last start at Echuca.

15King KauffoScratched15––––

Career

13: 1-4-0

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Offmidfield

BackLead

Figures

Jockey60%
Trainer60%
Jockey/Trainer Combo50%
Early Speed50%
Rating50%
Closing Speed100%

Record

First-up
3: 0-0-0
Second-up
2: 0-1-0
Third-up
2: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
2: 1-0-0
Track Wodonga
4: 1-1-0
Track Echuca
1: 0-0-0
Track Albury
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1590m
4: 0-1-0
Distance 1900m
1: 0-1-0
Distance 2050m
2: 1-1-0
Going Soft
4: 1-1-0
Going Good
7: 0-3-0
Going Heavy
2: 0-0-0

Last starts

2Wodonga2050m17 Oct 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD36L
2Leeton1900m22 Sept 2026 · CL1-SW · GOOD40.97L
1Wodonga2050m1 Sept 2026 · 3yo+ · SOFT6-1.3
5Wangaratta1590m23 Aug 2026 · 3UP MDN-SW · SOFT72.4L
5Albury1600m18 Aug 2026 · MDN-SW · HEAVY84.5L
9Echuca1400m24 July 2026 · 2yo+ · HEAVY911.7L
13Seymour2200m20 Feb 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD430.8L
2Seymour2246m3 Feb 2026 · MDN-SW · GOOD32L

Insights

Honest
Positive
Finishing in the money lately

Comments

AAP

Winner too strong but ran on for the minors at Wodonga. Rough place prospect only.

ILB

On a short back up. Was $6.50 and finished 5th last run at Wangaratta.

Not beaten too far when fifth of nine over 1m2f at Wangaratta (handicap) yesterday; useful at this level; held an entry at Wangaratta Monday.

RSIS

Backs up quickly. Started 11/2 and came in 5th last start at Wangaratta.

Odds correct as at Tue 27 Oct, 4:10 pm AEDT. Odds can change.

Past meetings

Tue 22 Sept, 10:00 am AEST · 8 races