Shortest win price
Magnificent Malcom (1)
3.40
Welcome to Bunbury for the Bunbury Rsl Diggers Mdn over 1200m on a Good 4 surface with fine weather overhead. The local punters have sized up this three-year-old maiden nicely, establishing Eze Big Carl at the head of the win market order. Chasing hard right behind the favourite in the early betting order are Magnificent Malcom, Make It Snow, and Heza Hellraiser, setting up a fascinating clash of race experience and fresh-faced debutants over the 1200m trip this afternoon at 4:31 pm AEDT.
Taking a look at the form behind those shorter prices, Magnificent Malcom jumps from barrier 5 for Jarrad Noske and trainer Joshua Krispyn. The gelding drops back to a shorter trip after running out of petrol over 1400m at Ascot last time, though a prior fourth here at Bunbury over this distance suggests a return to the provincials might suit. Meanwhile, Heza Hellraiser resumes for a second prep from barrier 1 under Jessica Gray for trainer Brian Kersley, armed with a pleasing trial after tackling stiffer company in his maiden campaign. Punters looking further down the form lines will also note Make It Snow from barrier 3, aided by a handy Lark Hill trial placing.
For those hunting an extra angle, the speed map points to Magnificent Malcom taking up the running from barrier 5 as the lone confirmed leader, while Heza Hellraiser maps as the backmarker looking to rattle home with those fast-finishing sectionals. With plenty of runners coming straight off barrier trials, it is a race where keeping an eye on the market signals will pay dividends for followers of the yarn.
Shortest win price
Magnificent Malcom (1)
3.40
Back left · leaders right
Firststart
Backmarker
Leader
Magnificent Malcom · Positive
Jockey ROI
Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 18% in Last 100 Rides
Heza Hellraiser · Positive
Fast Finisher
Fastest Overall Finishing Sectionals Last Start
Blind Shot · Positive
Jockey ROI
Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 22% in Last 100 Rides
Catchya Star · Negative
Jockey Booking
Jessica Valas current POT is 38% below Career Avg.
Career
7: 0-0-0
Rating · IRD
94
Speed map
Leader
First-up
2: 0-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Third-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Ascot
1: 0-0-0
Track Bunbury
4: 0-0-0
Track CurrentTrack
4: 0-0-0
Distance 1000m
2: 0-0-0
Distance 1100m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1200m
2: 0-0-0
Going Good
5: 0-0-0
Going Heavy
1: 0-0-0
Going Soft
1: 0-0-0
Jockey ROI
Positive
Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 18% in Last 100 Rides
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Trainer Form
Positive
In form stable, out performing market expectations 28%
Map Suits
Positive
Suitable Map, where runners in this position outperform market by 1%
Early Splits
Positive
Has early speed. An advantage on this circuit
Gave ground LS
Negative
Faded towards the finish last time out
Track Stats
Negative
Tends to struggle at this track
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
AAP
In touch but ran out of petrol quickly and finished a long way down the track at Ascot. Drops to shorter trip. Worth another look back at the provincials.
ILB
Tailed off to finish 10th last run at Ascot. Happy to forgive that run and facing less formidable opponents. Will be hitting the line strongly. Expected to be competitive.
RP
Last of ten (Ascot) two weeks ago in a conditions race; yet to manage better than fourth in his seven races; not hard to turn elsewhere.
RSIS
Faded away to finish 10th last time at Ascot. Happy to forgive that run and matched against a less competitive field. Can go through the gears. Will be fighting out the finish.
Career
3: 0-0-0
Rating · IRD
100
Speed map
Backmarker
First-up
1: 0-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Third-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Belmont
2: 0-0-0
Track Ascot
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1200m
2: 0-0-0
Distance 1300m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
1: 0-0-0
Going Soft
2: 0-0-0
Fast Finisher
Positive
Fastest Overall Finishing Sectionals Last Start
Rider SR
Positive
Jockey recent POT is 17% better than Career Avg.
Fast Early
Positive
Sectionals suggest goes hard early
Drawn In
Positive
Suited drawn down low
1st Up
Negative
May need this run
Blinkers Off
Positive
Blinkers coming off this start
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
AAP
Resuming for second prep (22-weeks). Upside off spell. Trial was pleasing. Raced without success in stiffer company last prep. Set to play a leading role fresh.
ILB
First up today. Was well beaten when 8th last time at Belmont. Should bounce back and dropping in grade. Likely to be well placed early. Very capable of taking this out.
RP
Not beaten too far when eighth at Belmont Park in a conditions race five months ago; still searching for first win after three tries; returns from a break here; easy to oppose.
RSIS
Fresh today. Struggled with the pace when 8th last start at Belmont. Looking for an improved run and goes down in grade. Has plenty of early pace. Very capable of taking this out.
Rating · IRD
76
Speed map
Firststart
Jockey ROI
Positive
Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 22% in Last 100 Rides
Key Rider
Positive
Austin Galati 55% above market expected in L100 Rides
Key Jockey
Positive
Austin Galati winning at 21% POT in last 100 rides
Still Learning
Negative
No race experience
AAP
Trials (4:0-0-0). Pedestrian efforts in trials to date. Check betting.
ILB
Shooting To Win 3yo having first race appearance for Ross Price. Watch early betting.
RP
First time on the track; stable's stats offers some hope; already gelded; from the same family as Beston Street, a winner over 6f; market should reveal plenty as to his prospects of winning at the first time of asking.
RSIS
Shooting To Win 3yo on debut for trainer Ross Price.
Rating · IRD
70
Speed map
Firststart
Jockey Booking
Negative
Jessica Valas current POT is 38% below Career Avg.
Trainer Career
Negative
Trainer Career S/R is 2%
Jockey Booking
Negative
Less suitable jockey engaged
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Trainer Recent
Negative
Stable runners are currently underperforming market by 69%
Trainer Form
Negative
Stable out of form, losing 70% Profit on Turnover
Rider Poor SR
Negative
Jockey underperforming market expectations by 71% in L100 rides
Market Watch
Negative
Keep eye on betting moves
AAP
Trials (4:0-1-0). Good latest trial but steps out in tough race. Others profiling stronger.
ILB
3yo runner on debut by Choistar for trainer Graeme Ballantyne. Respect the betting.
RP
Already a gelding; this son of Choistar makes first rules appearance; warrants respect as some good aspects to his profile.
RSIS
First appearance at the races 3yo by Choistar for Graeme Ballantyne.
Rating · IRD
81
Speed map
Firststart
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -35% POT in their L100 Races
Still Learning
Negative
No race experience
AAP
Trials (4:0-1-2). Makes debut after a handy Lark Hill trial. Follow betting leads.
ILB
3yo by Trapeze Artist having first race start for trainer Bruce Watkins. Market as guide.
RP
This son of Trapeze Artist is running for the first time; sire gets his share of decent sorts; big player with signs of encouragement in profile.
RSIS
Bruce Watkins trained 3yo by Trapeze Artist having first race appearance.
Rating · IRD
85
Speed map
Firststart
Rider
Negative
Negative rider change today
First Starter
Positive
Not raced previously
AAP
Trials (2:0-0-1). Aided by latest trial placing. Well worth a look.
ILB
Michael Grantham trained 3yo by Xtravagant having first race start. Follow the money.
RP
Course debutants from this stable always command respect; already gelded; related to multiple race winner Snow God (5f-7f); likely to be thereabouts with signs of encouragement in profile.
RSIS
3yo debutant by Xtravagant for Michael Grantham. Watch betting.
Rating · IRD
78
Speed map
Firststart
Jockey Booking
Negative
Less suitable jockey engaged
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Drawn In
Positive
Suited drawn down low
Market Watch
Negative
Keep eye on betting moves
AAP
Trials (2:0-0-0). Trial form uninspiring but obviously better for the experience. Look to market for a further guide.
ILB
3yo by Safeguard having first start for Phil Naylor and will try to take advantage of the gate. Watch betting.
RP
First start under rules for this daughter of Safeguard; interesting to see how she figures in the betting.
RSIS
3yo debutant by Safeguard for Phil Naylor and gets a favourable draw.
Rating · IRD
77
Speed map
Firststart
Trainer SR
Negative
Brandon Fiore striking at just 7%
Rider
Negative
Negative rider change today
Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are out performing market expectations by 881%
Trainer A2E
Negative
Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 35%
Market Watch
Negative
Keep eye on betting moves
Blinkers On
Positive
Trainer has opted for the Blinkers on, take note
AAP
Trials (3:1-0-0). Stronger showing in latest Lark Hill trial 19 Oct. Odds may prove best guide here.
ILB
Brandon Fiore 3yo by Universal Ruler having first start. Keep your eye on the market.
RP
Trainer has a modest record with debutants; easy enough to oppose.
RSIS
First time at the races 3yo by Universal Ruler for trainer Brandon Fiore.