Shortest win price
Yamashita's Gold (2) and The Mighty Bell (7)
4.00
Welcome to Bunbury for the Redink Homes Southwest Hcp (C3) over 1000m on a Good 4 track under fine weather conditions, with the race having jumped at 7:40 pm AEDT. Looking at how the win market has shaped up, punters have pointed Yamashita's Gold towards the head of calculations, followed closely by Miss Valmalenco, The Mighty Bell, and Bonditram rounding out the initial group of the betting order. It sets up an intriguing short-course scamper where early positioning will be vital on this tight circuit.
Digging into the form behind the market leaders, Yamashita's Gold lines up with Joey Azzopardi steering for trainer Dylan Bairstow from barrier 2, coming off a sixth over 1200m at Ascot where it was handily placed but battled to the line, with the drop back to 1000m expected to suit. Miss Valmalenco jumps from barrier 8 for trainer Summer Dickson and jockey Austin Galati, resuming here after a 23-week break following a tenth at Pinjarra, though previous fresh runs suggest exotics could be worth a look. Meanwhile, The Mighty Bell lines up for trainer B R Larsson with Jarrad Noske taking the mount from barrier 7, arriving fresh after rattling home late to score over this exact track and distance last start.
Looking further down the field and assessing the speed maps, Just Gifted is marked as the lone leader from barrier 3, while River Angel and So Immaculate map on-pace to keep things honest. Bonditram maps off-pace from barrier 1 for Jordan Turner and B P Fitzgerald, looking to bounce back from a seventh over 1100m here following a solid runner-up effort over this 1000m trip prior. Whether the speed map favours those up on the speed or allows a backmarker like Yamashita's Gold to chime in late remains the main puzzle for punters to solve in this class 3 assignment.
Shortest win price
Yamashita's Gold (2) and The Mighty Bell (7)
4.00
Back left · leaders right
Backmarker
Midfield
Offpace
Onpace
Leader
Magali Magic · Positive
Jockey ROI
Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 41% in Last 100 Rides
Yamashita's Gold · Negative
Trainer Recent
Camp struggling with S/R just 3%
Bonditram · Negative
Cold J/T Combo
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Miss Valmalenco · Positive
Rider SR
Jockey recent POT is 22% better than Career Avg.
Career
16: 3-2-1
Rating · IRD
86
Speed map
Offpace
First-up
3: 0-0-1
Second-up
2: 0-0-0
Third-up
2: 2-0-0
Fourth-up
2: 0-1-0
Track Pinjarra
3: 0-0-0
Track Ascot
5: 0-1-0
Track Bunbury
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1000m
7: 2-0-1
Distance 1100m
3: 1-0-0
Distance 1200m
6: 0-2-0
Going Heavy
2: 0-0-0
Going Soft
3: 1-0-1
Going Good
11: 2-2-0
Jockey ROI
Positive
Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 41% in Last 100 Rides
Key Rider
Positive
Sharni Webster 42% above market expected in L100 Rides
Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are out performing market expectations by 118%
Fast Early
Positive
Sectionals suggest goes hard early
Wide Draw
Negative
Likely to get caught wide
Long Break
Negative
Resumes from a 362 day break (> 300 days)
AAP
Resuming (51-weeks). Competitive at this level last prep. Gave good sight at Ascot 25 Oct 2025. Placed at Northam first-up last campaign while brought on by a single Lark Hill trial.
ILB
First up and rattled home nicely into 3rd beaten by nearly 2 1/2L first up last preparation at Northam. The large claim from Sharni Webster helps. Slight prospect.
RP
She meets the required standard ability wise; not beaten that far (Northam) 12 months ago; returns from a layoff here; big chance if duplicating the form of her most recent win.
RSIS
Resuming and good effort to place 3rd resuming last preparation at Northam. Large claim helps.
Career
21: 2-2-3
Rating · IRD
95
Speed map
Backmarker
First-up
3: 0-1-0
Second-up
2: 0-0-0
Third-up
2: 0-0-1
Fourth-up
2: 2-0-0
Track Morphettville
1: 0-0-0
Track Northam
3: 0-1-1
Track Pakenham
3: 1-0-1
Distance 1113m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1200m
6: 1-0-1
Distance 1300m
1: 0-0-0
Going Heavy
1: 0-0-1
Going Soft
6: 2-0-0
Going Good
14: 0-2-2
Trainer Recent
Negative
Camp struggling with S/R just 3%
Rider
Negative
Negative rider change today
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Trainer Recent
Negative
Stable runners are currently underperforming market by 45%
Trainer ROI
Negative
Trainers runners currently losing 56% Profit on Turnover
Maps Poorly
Negative
Map position not suited at this track, under performing market expectations by 15%
Draw Suits
Positive
Well drawn inside
Winkers Off
Positive
Winkers coming off this start
AAP
Handily placed but lacked the necessary pick-up and battled to line at Ascot. Switching to 1000m. Has some claims.
ILB
Odds of $20.00 and was found wanting late when 6th last time at Ascot and matched against lesser competition. Finishes off strongly. Gets a favourable draw. Rising in weight. Significant value and can go close.
RP
Out of the frame (beaten just over 4l in sixth) at Ascot over 6f (handicap) two weeks ago; has shown glimpses of ability recently and has a shout.
RSIS
At 19/1 didn't finish off when 6th last run at Ascot and taking on a lower class of opponents. Has a great burst of pace late. Good potential.
Career
9: 1-2-2
Rating · IRD
95
Speed map
Offpace
First-up
3: 0-0-2
Second-up
2: 0-2-0
Third-up
2: 1-0-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Belmont
1: 0-0-1
Track Northam
1: 0-0-0
Track Pinjarra
1: 1-0-0
Distance 1000m
4: 0-1-2
Distance 1100m
2: 0-0-0
Distance 1190m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
9: 1-2-2
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Maps Poorly
Negative
Map position not suited at this track, under performing market expectations by 15%
Draw Suits
Positive
Well drawn inside
Dist S/R
Negative
Poor performer at the distance
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
Up In Weight
Negative
Goes up 5kg weight here
AAP
Solid run 3yo+ Hcp (C1) at Bunbury 28 Sep. Sent out $6.50 when unable to threaten this course. Maps to get a sweet run. Can show more here.
ILB
Started at $6.50 and couldn't stay in touch when 7th last run at this venue. Likely to bounce back and stepping down to a lower level. Has drawn the rails. One of the punters top hopes.
RP
Beaten 6l in seventh here over 5½f (handicap) last month; facing a testing assignment and looks opposable.
RSIS
At 11/2 couldn't stay in touch when 7th last start at this track. Capable of a strong comeback and up against a less competitive field. In top form of late. Has claims.
Career
13: 2-2-0
Rating · IRD
92
Speed map
Offpace
First-up
2: 0-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-1-0
Third-up
1: 1-0-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-1-0
Track Pinjarra
5: 0-1-0
Track Ascot
2: 0-0-0
Track Bunbury
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1000m
4: 0-0-0
Distance 1100m
1: 1-0-0
Distance 1200m
7: 1-2-0
Going Good
9: 1-2-0
Going Soft
4: 1-0-0
Rider SR
Positive
Jockey recent POT is 22% better than Career Avg.
Key Rider
Positive
Austin Galati 55% above market expected in L100 Rides
Trainer Form
Positive
In form stable, out performing market expectations 25%
Profitable Trainer
Positive
Stable runners going at 15% POT in L100 Runners
Key Jockey
Positive
Austin Galati winning at 21% POT in last 100 rides
Dist S/R
Negative
Poor performer at the distance
Resuming
Negative
Poor strike rate when first up
AAP
Resuming (23-weeks). Not beaten far Class 1 company at Ascot first-up last preparation. One for exotics fresh in this affair.
ILB
Racing fresh after a break. Started $12.00 and weakened to finish 10th last start at Pinjarra. Has the necessary speed to overcome the wide draw. Watch betting.
RP
Last of ten at Pinjarra over 6f (handicap) in May; returning from a layoff here; respected if replicating the best of her form.
RSIS
Back from a break. Was 11/1 and looked outclassed when 10th last run at Pinjarra. Has the early pace to burn across from the wide stall. Watch betting.
Career
17: 3-2-1
Rating · IRD
88
Speed map
Leader
First-up
4: 0-0-1
Second-up
3: 0-0-0
Third-up
2: 0-1-0
Fourth-up
2: 1-0-0
Track Pinjarra
5: 1-2-0
Track York
1: 1-0-0
Track Geraldton
1: 1-0-0
Distance 1400m
4: 0-0-0
Distance 1000m
2: 0-0-0
Distance 1100m
1: 1-0-0
Going Good
16: 2-2-1
Going Soft
1: 1-0-0
Current SR
Negative
Rider’s recent POT is returning 57% lower than Career Avg.
Trainer Career
Negative
Trainer Career S/R is 8%
Jockey Booking
Negative
Less suitable jockey engaged
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Trainer Recent
Negative
Stable runners are currently underperforming market by 37%
Rider Poor SR
Negative
Jockey underperforming market expectations by 71% in L100 rides
Maps Well
Positive
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 21%
Fast Early
Positive
Sectionals suggest goes hard early
AAP
On pace but folded up quickly at Ascot second-up. Draws to do no work. Suited back at the provincials. Big show.
ILB
Started at $11.00 and looked outclassed when 10th last time at Ascot. Should jump out and bowl along. Place claims.
RP
Last of ten over 6f at Ascot (handicap) last month; largely disappointing since successful in a handicap at Pinjarra in March; this line-up contains some strong opposition so hard to recommend.
RSIS
Started 10/1 and couldn't maintain the pace when 10th last time at Ascot. Will be positive in the run early.
Career
13: 1-5-1
Rating · IRD
100
Speed map
Onpace
First-up
4: 1-1-0
Second-up
3: 0-1-1
Third-up
1: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-1-0
Track Belmont
3: 0-0-1
Track Northam
3: 1-1-0
Track Ascot
2: 0-0-0
Distance 1200m
4: 0-1-1
Distance 1300m
1: 0-1-0
Distance 1400m
1: 0-1-0
Going Good
10: 0-4-1
Going Soft
3: 1-1-0
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Early Splits
Negative
Out of races with slow early tempos
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
AAP
Stuck to her guns to fill the minors when fancied at Collie second-up. Pace influence. Only win to date was this distance. Sharper now, goes into wider exotics.
ILB
Tidy run when 2nd last run at Collie. Has shown early pace in races to date. Large claim helps. Should go close.
RP
Behind Schuhbeck over 5½f at Collie (handicap) when only just held ten days ago; has a record of 1-13.
RSIS
Finished 2nd last time at Collie. Likely to be well placed early. Giaan Odonnell provides some weight relief. Should go very close.
Career
12: 2-0-3
Rating · IRD
100
Speed map
Midfield
First-up
3: 1-0-2
Second-up
1: 1-0-0
Third-up
1: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-0-1
Track Belmont
1: 0-0-0
Track Kalgoorlie
2: 0-0-0
Track Northam
4: 0-0-2
Distance 1000m
8: 2-0-2
Distance 1100m
1: 0-0-1
Distance 1200m
2: 0-0-0
Going Good
7: 1-0-1
Going Heavy
1: 0-0-0
Going Soft
4: 1-0-2
Fast Finisher
Positive
Fastest Overall Finishing Sectionals Last Start
Rider SR
Positive
Jockey recent POT is 18% better than Career Avg.
Trainer Recent
Negative
Camp struggling with S/R just 6%
Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are out performing market expectations by 124%
Trainer Recent
Negative
Stable runners are currently underperforming market by 43%
Maps Well
Positive
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 15%
Fast Early
Positive
Sectionals suggest goes hard early
Solid Run LS
Positive
Won last start
AAP
Kept fresh following return. Rearward in transit then rattled home late to prevail final stages this track for new stable. Right in the mix again.
ILB
Rocketed home when winning last run here. Great chance.
RP
First success for some time scoring narrowly on her debut for this trainer when dropped down to this distance five weeks ago; others appeal more despite that win at Bunbury.
RSIS
Stormed home to win last time at this track. Should be in the finish.
Career
8: 0-0-0
Rating · IRD
70
Speed map
Offpace
First-up
2: 0-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Third-up
1: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Northam
3: 0-0-0
Track Bunbury
5: 0-0-0
Track CurrentTrack
5: 0-0-0
Distance 1000m
5: 0-0-0
Distance 1100m
3: 0-0-0
Going Soft
3: 0-0-0
Going Good
4: 0-0-0
Going Heavy
1: 0-0-0
Jockey Booking
Negative
Less suitable jockey engaged
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Early Splits
Negative
Out of races with slow early tempos
Well beaten LS
Negative
Not competitive last run
Dist S/R
Negative
Poor performer at the distance
Track Stats
Negative
Tends to struggle at this track
Gap In Runs
Negative
Not raced for 36 days
Blinkers Off
Positive
Blinkers coming off this start
AAP
Fresh. Dropped out to last and never sighted this venue. Others more persuasive.
ILB
Was $31.00 and ordinary when 11th last run here but will appreciate the drop in weight. Gets back and needs luck. Very slim hope.
RP
Last of 11 here over 5½f (maiden) five weeks ago; winless with run of consecutive defeats standing at eight; this is competitive and has questions to answer.
RSIS
At 30/1 underperformed when 11th last run at this venue but gets a reduction in weight. Yet to fire lately with no placings from 7 runs.
Career
65: 3-15-9
Rating · IRD
78
Speed map
Midfield
First-up
7: 0-2-1
Second-up
6: 1-1-0
Third-up
6: 0-1-0
Fourth-up
5: 0-1-0
Track Northam
1: 0-0-0
Track Pinjarra
7: 1-0-0
Track Swan Hill
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1100m
4: 1-0-0
Distance 1190m
1: 0-0-1
Distance 1200m
8: 0-3-0
Going Good
55: 3-12-9
Going Soft
8: 0-3-0
Going Synthetic
2: 0-0-0
Fast Finisher
Positive
Fastest Overall Finishing Sectionals Last Start
Trainer Career
Negative
Trainer Career S/R is 3%
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are under performing market expectations by -43%
Trainer Recent
Negative
Stable runners are currently underperforming market by 50%
Solid Run LS
Positive
Won last start
Form At Track
Negative
Yet to win here
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
Racing Solidly
Positive
In peak form
AAP
All honours in the small field at Collie. Sterner test here but can't rule out.
ILB
Dashed home to win last start at Collie. Producing consistent results this preparation. Too much luck needed to come into contention.
RP
Gained narrow success in a handicap at Collie last month; despite that Collie success, has questions to answer.
RSIS
Ran on strongly to win last time at Collie. Has been a model of consistency since returning from a break.
Career
21: 3-2-2
Rating · IRD
76
Speed map
Onpace
First-up
4: 1-1-0
Second-up
3: 0-0-0
Third-up
3: 0-0-1
Fourth-up
2: 0-0-0
Track Ballarat
1: 0-0-0
Track Belmont
2: 0-0-0
Track Murtoa
1: 0-0-1
Distance 1300m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1000m
10: 2-0-0
Distance 1005m
1: 0-1-0
Going Good
19: 3-2-2
Going Soft
2: 0-0-0
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Maps Poorly
Negative
Map position not suited at this track, under performing market expectations by 19%
Early Splits
Negative
Out of races with slow early tempos
Dist Drop
Negative
Distance decrease from last start
Track And Dist
Positive
Loves at this track and trip
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
AAP
Raced in contention but lacked a late response at Northam over longer assignment. Dual winner this trip. Well into preparation now, one for multiples.
ILB
Started $151.00 and came in 8th last start at Northam and dropping back to a shorter trip. Highly unlikely it will trouble the judge.
RP
Has won over C&D; finished eighth beaten just under 2l over 6½f at Northam (handicap) last month; if she is able to build on her most recent effort then one to watch out for.
RSIS
Was 150/1 and finished 8th last run at Northam and coming back in distance.