Shortest win price
Frozen Tide (5)
2.10
Welcome to Echuca for the Two Tarts Catering benchmark 56 over 1600m on a soft 6 track with fine weather overhead. Punters looking at the early win market order see Frozen Tide holding the shortest quote, closely followed by Crackerjack Hatch, Salina Special, and Mutsuhito in the initial betting ring yarn.
Frozen Tide brings strong claims after a cracking run when just edged out at Bendigo over 1400m, and the step up to 1600m here looks ideal. Salina Special arrives off an imposing win from midfield at Wodonga, clocking the fastest overall finishing sectionals last start to suggest this trip suits nicely. Meanwhile, Mutsuhito scored a gutsy win last start at Manangatang, getting up in the final strides after emerging from off the midfield.
Looking further down the market, Crackerjack Hatch maps well for Andrew Bobbin, whose stable runners have been performing strongly, and battled home okay at Mount Gambier last time out. With the speed group seeing plenty of runners landing midfield like Earthly Crown and Serin, expect a genuine contest as this field sorts out their positions over the mile.
Shortest win price
Frozen Tide (5)
2.10
Most career wins
Mutsuhito
5-2-1 from 37 starts
Back left · leaders right
Backmarker
Midfield
Offpace
Onpace
Leader
Earthly Crown · Negative
Cold J/T Combo
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Salina Special · Positive
Fast Finisher
Fastest Overall Finishing Sectionals Last Start
Frozen Tide · Positive
Rider SR
Jockey recent POT is 22% better than Career Avg.
Mutsuhito · Positive
Fast Finisher
Fastest Overall Finishing Sectionals Last Start
Career
19: 3-4-2
Rating · IRD
88
Speed map
Leader
First-up
8: 1-1-1
Second-up
5: 0-2-1
Third-up
2: 1-1-0
Fourth-up
2: 1-0-0
Track Ararat
1: 0-0-0
Track Seymour
1: 0-0-0
Track Swan Hill
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1103m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1300m
2: 0-0-0
Distance 1400m
7: 1-2-1
Going Good
12: 2-2-0
Going Synthetic
7: 1-2-2
Form 3rd Up
Positive
Has won 1 from 2 when third up
AAP
Secured second in a staggered finish at Deniliquin second-up. Could get into the placings.
ILB
Came in 2nd last time at Deniliquin.
RP
Displayed a fair level of form when 3½l runner-up two weeks ago (Deniliquin) upped to this trip; respected.
RSIS
Honest race when 2nd last run at Deniliquin.
Career
7: 1-0-0
Rating · IRD
70
Speed map
Offpace
First-up
2: 0-0-0
Second-up
1: 1-0-0
Third-up
1: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Echuca
4: 0-0-0
Track CurrentTrack
4: 0-0-0
Track Kilmore
2: 1-0-0
Distance 1400m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1412m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1600m
1: 1-0-0
Going Soft
2: 0-0-0
Going Good
5: 1-0-0
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Tricky Map
Negative
Runners with this map, underperform market by 5%
Slow Early LS
Negative
Speed data from recent runs suggests slower early splits on avg
Gave ground LS
Negative
Faded towards the finish last time out
Dist Drop
Negative
Distance decrease from last start
Form At Track
Negative
Yet to win here
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
Imprv Needed
Negative
Would need to lift here to feature
AAP
Only win to date was this distance. Gets a tongue-tie on and can improve.
ILB
At $31.00 lost ground in the run home when 11th last time at this track and coming back in distance. Needs too much luck.
RP
Finished towards the rear of 13 over 1m2½f here (handicap) 15 days ago; one to take seriously if reproducing form of his win three starts back.
RSIS
Odds of 30/1 and looked outclassed when 11th last time at this venue and down in distance.
Career
7: 2-1-1
Rating · IRD
87
Speed map
Midfield
First-up
2: 0-0-0
Second-up
1: 1-0-0
Track Tocumwal
1: 0-1-0
Track Echuca
1: 0-0-0
Track CurrentTrack
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1300m
1: 0-1-0
Distance 1400m
3: 2-0-0
Distance 1590m
1: 0-0-1
Going Good
2: 1-0-0
Going Heavy
1: 0-0-1
Going Soft
1: 0-0-0
Fast Finisher
Positive
Fastest Overall Finishing Sectionals Last Start
Jockey Booking
Negative
Less suitable jockey engaged
Stable In Form
Positive
Stable going well. Out performing market by 83%
Profitable Trainer
Positive
Stable runners going at 66% POT in L100 Runners
Tricky Map
Negative
Runners with this map, underperform market by 5%
Early Splits
Negative
Out of races with slow early tempos
Solid Run LS
Positive
Won last start
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
AAP
Imposing win from midfield at Wodonga second-up. Dialled in and stays under strong notice.
ILB
Rocketed home when winning last run at Wodonga. Good chance in this.
RP
Came out on top by just over 2l over 7f at Wodonga (handicap) two weeks ago; chance; was due to run at Corowa Monday.
RSIS
Finished hard to win last start at Wodonga. Represents value.
Career
17: 2-0-1
Rating · IRD
76
Speed map
Offpace
First-up
5: 0-0-0
Second-up
3: 0-0-0
Third-up
3: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
3: 1-0-0
Track Wagga
1: 0-0-1
Track Tatura
1: 0-0-0
Track Corowa
1: 1-0-0
Distance 1000m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1200m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1400m
5: 0-0-0
Going Unknown
4: 1-0-0
Going Good
8: 0-0-0
Going Heavy
2: 0-0-0
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Profitable Trainer
Positive
Stable runners going at 23% POT in L100 Runners
Maps Well
Positive
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 12%
Slow Early LS
Negative
Speed data from recent runs suggests slower early splits on avg
Ran On Hard LS
Positive
Ran on well last start
AAP
Not disgraced this venue first up. Can make his presence felt if things pan out.
ILB
Started $9.00 and advanced late into 4th last time here and ideal trip as proven previously.
RP
Respectable effort here over 7f (handicap) last month; is passed over with a number of his rivals in good nick.
RSIS
At 8/1 crept into 4th last start at the track and proven performer at this distance.
Career
22: 2-4-0
Rating · IRD
100
Speed map
Onpace
First-up
4: 0-2-0
Second-up
3: 1-0-0
Third-up
3: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
3: 1-1-0
Track Echuca
3: 1-1-0
Track CurrentTrack
3: 1-1-0
Track Donald
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1454m
2: 0-0-0
Distance 1512m
2: 1-0-0
Distance 1600m
8: 1-1-0
Going Synthetic
2: 0-0-0
Going Good
15: 1-3-0
Going Heavy
2: 0-1-0
Rider SR
Positive
Jockey recent POT is 22% better than Career Avg.
Trainer Recent
Negative
Camp struggling with S/R just 6%
Key Rider
Positive
Darryl Horner 24% above market expected in L100 Rides
Trainer A2E
Negative
Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 22%
Fast Early
Positive
Sectionals suggest goes hard early
Ran On Hard LS
Positive
Ran on well last start
Improver
Positive
Poised to improve on recent form here
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
AAP
Ran a cracking race when just edged out at Bendigo 17 Oct. This is easier and well placed to make an impact here.
ILB
Right up there last time at Bendigo. Should come to hand quickly. Should go close.
RP
Not beaten far over 7f at Bendigo (handicap) 17 days ago; has scored over C&D.
RSIS
Competed in a tight contest last time at Bendigo. Shows good early pace. Well respected contender.
Career
37: 5-2-1
Rating · IRD
80
Speed map
Midfield
First-up
5: 0-1-0
Second-up
4: 0-0-0
Third-up
4: 0-1-0
Fourth-up
3: 1-0-1
Track CurrentTrack
9: 1-1-1
Track Kembla Grange
1: 0-0-0
Track Bendigo
3: 0-0-0
Distance 1462m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1550m
1: 1-0-0
Distance 1600m
2: 0-0-0
Going Good
30: 4-2-1
Going Heavy
2: 0-0-0
Going Soft
5: 1-0-0
Fast Finisher
Positive
Fastest Overall Finishing Sectionals Last Start
Solid Run LS
Positive
Won last start
Nice Barrier
Positive
Well drawn from gate 2
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
AAP
Emerged from midfield to get up in final strides at Manangatang. Trained here and can again play a role.
ILB
Ran on hard when winning last time at Manangatang and has a good draw. Can run into the placings.
RP
Has won here previously; halted losing run when winning by a head (Manangatang) three weeks ago; in the mix.
RSIS
Rounded them up to win last time at Manangatang and has a positive stall.
Career
35: 2-2-6
Rating · IRD
80
Speed map
Backmarker
First-up
3: 0-0-0
Second-up
2: 0-0-0
Third-up
2: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
2: 0-0-1
Track Echuca
8: 1-0-2
Track CurrentTrack
8: 1-0-2
Track Bendigo
2: 0-0-0
Distance 1400m
2: 0-0-0
Distance 1412m
1: 1-0-0
Distance 1612m
2: 0-0-0
Going Good
15: 2-0-4
Going Heavy
3: 0-0-0
Going Soft
11: 0-0-1
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Well beaten LS
Negative
Not competitive last run
Draw Suits
Positive
Well drawn inside
Dist S/R
Negative
Poor performer at the distance
Dist Drop
Negative
Distance decrease from last start
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
AAP
Better draw here. Well into preparation now, could give some cheek at odds.
ILB
Started $20.00 and disappointing run when 8th last time at Yarra Valley but gets a favourable draw. Displays good closing speed. Will be down in distance. Possible place chance.
RP
Has winning track form; finished eighth, beaten a fair way at Yarra Glen over 1m2f (handicap) last month; this is competitive and is passed over.
RSIS
Started 19/1 and below expectations when 8th last time at Yarra Vstall but will be aiming for a soft run from the draw. Shows good closing pace. Back in trip.
Career
12: 1-2-0
Rating · IRD
100
Speed map
Leader
First-up
3: 0-1-0
Second-up
2: 0-0-0
Third-up
2: 0-1-0
Fourth-up
1: 1-0-0
Track Echuca
1: 0-0-0
Track Geelong
1: 1-0-0
Track Casterton
1: 0-1-0
Distance 1606m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1400m
3: 0-2-0
Distance 1412m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
9: 1-1-0
Going Soft
3: 0-1-0
Profitable Trainer
Positive
Stable runners going at 9% POT in L100 Runners
Maps Well
Positive
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 12%
Early Sectionals
Negative
Recent sectional data suggests slow early pace
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
AAP
Battled home okay at Mt Gambier. Lands in a suitable contest.
ILB
Jumped at $5.50 and made ground when closing off to finish 5th last run at Mount Gambier. Has good tactical speed and will be nicely positioned. Will be there at the business end.
RP
Not beaten too far when fifth of 15 at Mt Gambier four weeks ago; subpar record of 1-12; this looks a fair heat so easy to oppose.
RSIS
At 9/2 made some ground when 5th last start at Mount Gambier. Has early pace and positions nicely. Should progress and will be close.
Career
24: 1-2-1
Rating · IRD
79
Speed map
Leader
First-up
4: 0-1-0
Second-up
3: 0-0-0
Third-up
3: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
3: 0-0-0
Track Ararat
1: 0-0-0
Track Manangatang
1: 0-0-0
Track Werribee
2: 0-1-0
Distance 975m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1200m
3: 0-1-0
Distance 1306m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
10: 0-1-0
Going Heavy
6: 1-0-1
Going Soft
6: 0-1-0
Fast Early
Positive
Sectionals suggest goes hard early
Gave ground LS
Negative
Faded towards the finish last time out
Back in Dist
Negative
Dropping back to a less suitable distance range
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
Imprv Needed
Negative
Would need to lift here to feature
AAP
Found it tough since shaking his maiden. Needs to recapture that form.
ILB
Started at $15.00 and was well beaten when 10th last start at St Arnaud and down in trip. Expecting to settle positively. Could feature here.
RP
Poor strike-rate and recent form nothing to write home about; last of ten at St Arnaud ten days ago upped to 1m2f; this is competitive and there are better alternatives here.
RSIS
Started 14/1 and faded away to finish 10th last run at St Arnaud and down in trip. Should jump out and bowl along.