Shortest win price
Dark Galaxy (2)
3.80
Echuca kicks off the afternoon with the Mdn Plate over 1000 metres on a soft track under fine conditions at 3:26 pm AEDT. This is a truly open maiden for three-year-olds and older, and the win market reflects plenty of conjecture. Xtra Black is shortest, with Kiss Me In Paris and Duchess Xenia next in line, followed by Dark Galaxy. The field is split between those with raceday form and a handful of first-starters, so there's real narrative tension here—maiden racing rarely settles itself quickly.
Xtra Black, rated 100 by IRD, brings the highest rating into the race and is first named out of an unraced mare. The form comment reads well: finished second in a recent Wodonga jumpout and looks suitably placed. However, it's a first-start, so there's always that unknown. Kiss Me In Paris has won a Flemington jumpout since its Ballarat maiden run and lost a shoe whilst holding on fairly when sent forward at Ballarat—a form line suggesting genuine ability. With Damien Thornton in the saddle, who is running 24 per cent above market expected in his last 100 rides, there's real merit to following that story. Duchess Xenia also won a jumpout at Flemington and finished third in a barrier trial at Caulfield Heath on soft track, closer to race conditions than most. Dark Galaxy is resuming after 18 weeks and has form at the track; it was runner-up here and rates 81, with AAP noting it figures in the placings. The fast finishing sectionals on the way to that placement and the map suit at this circuit count in its favour.
Bold Amore sits on pace and has jockey Holly Durnan aboard, whose recent POT is 34 per cent better than career average—a rider in genuine form. The field has several first-starters, which can muddy the waters in maidens, but the Echuca track favours early speed; both Kiss Me In Paris and Duchess Xenia have early pace to exploit from reasonable barriers. The soft ground will test stamina over the short 1000 metres. Opinion leans toward Kiss Me In Paris or Duchess Xenia to test the market order on the basis of recent jumpout wins and genuine race craft, though Dark Galaxy's track knowledge and finishing kick offer genuine roughie appeal for those keen to hunt value.
Shortest win price
Dark Galaxy (2)
3.80
Back left · leaders right
Backmarker
Offpace
Firststart
Midfield
Onpace
Leader
Bold Amore · Positive
Rider SR
Jockey recent POT is 34% better than Career Avg.
Dark Galaxy · Positive
Fast Finisher
Fastest Overall Finishing Sectionals Last Start
Mighty Ruler · Negative
Jockey Booking
Less suitable jockey engaged
Xtra Black · Negative
Trainer SR
Don Dwyer striking at just 13%
Career
10: 0-2-0
Rating · IRD
78
Speed map
Onpace
First-up
3: 0-1-0
Second-up
2: 0-0-0
Third-up
1: 0-1-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Warracknabeal
1: 0-0-0
Track Holbrook
1: 0-1-0
Track Benalla
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1000m
5: 0-1-0
Distance 1005m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1100m
2: 0-1-0
Going Unknown
1: 0-1-0
Going Good
5: 0-1-0
Going Soft
4: 0-0-0
Rider SR
Positive
Jockey recent POT is 34% better than Career Avg.
Key Rider
Positive
Holly Durnan 34% above market expected in L100 Rides
Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are out performing market expectations by 102%
Hot Jockey
Positive
Holly Durnan in hot recent form, out performing market expectation by 34%
Dist S/R
Negative
Poor performer at the distance
Resuming
Negative
Poor strike rate when first up
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
AAP
Resuming (23-weeks). Won two jumpouts ahead of reusmption and stable apprentice rides. Capable of making an impact fresh in this company.
ILB
First up and ran 2nd first up last preparation at Hanging Rock. Has shown early pace in races to date. Prefer to watch.
RP
Not beaten that far at Mornington five months ago; yet to open his account after ten starts; has had some time off; others more appealing.
RSIS
Resuming and did well when 2nd resuming last preparation at Hanging Rock. Will be pushing for a forward position early.
Career
5: 0-1-0
Rating · IRD
81
Speed map
Midfield
First-up
2: 0-1-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Third-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Yarra Valley
1: 0-0-0
Track Echuca
2: 0-1-0
Track CurrentTrack
2: 0-1-0
Distance 1200m
3: 0-1-0
Distance 1400m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1500m
1: 0-0-0
Going Soft
4: 0-0-0
Going Good
1: 0-1-0
Fast Finisher
Positive
Fastest Overall Finishing Sectionals Last Start
Maps Well
Positive
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 12%
Resuming
Negative
Poor strike rate when first up
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
AAP
Resuming (18-weeks). Recent Pakenham jumpout winner and has figured In the placings here. Not out of it fresh in this line-up.
ILB
First up from a break of 18 weeks and good effort when placing 2nd beaten by 1 3/4L first up last preparation here. Dropping back to a shorter trip. Betting is the best guide.
RP
Winless in five starts but has shown promise with second his top showing; was held in tenth over 7f at Bendigo (maiden) four months ago; returning from a layoff here; unlikely to achieve more than just a supporting role.
RSIS
Resuming and kept running on late when 2nd resuming last preparation at the track. Back to a shorter trip. Betting is the best guide.
Rating · IRD
20
AAP
Second campaign (20-weeks). Fourth in latest Pakenham jumpout. Right in this affair.
ILB
On a short turnaround. Ran 5th last time at Traralgon.
RSIS
Backing up quickly. Finished 5th last time at Traralgon.
Rating · IRD
20
Speed map
Leader
Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are out performing market expectations by 53%
Early Splits
Positive
Has early speed. An advantage on this circuit
Gave ground LS
Negative
Faded towards the finish last time out
Resuming
Negative
Poor strike rate when first up
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
AAP
Resuming (18-weeks). Second in recent Wodonga jumpout. Has early speed. Can make his presence felt.
ILB
Backing up quickly for this race. Bolted in when winning by more than 4 1/2L last run at Corowa.
RSIS
Backing up quickly for this race. Was strong to the line when winning by a margin of just over 4 1/2L last time at Corowa.
Rating · IRD
20
Speed map
Firststart
Market Watch
Negative
Keep eye on betting moves
Blinkers On
Positive
Trainer has opted for the Blinkers on, take note
AAP
Sixth named foal out of a winning mare, only one winner. Third in recent Seymour jumpout. Prefer to watch at this stage.
ILB
First appearance at the races 4yo by Bel Esprit for trainer Michael Newton. Keep your eye on the market.
RSIS
4yo runner on debut by Bel Esprit for Michael Newton.
Rating · IRD
77
Speed map
Firststart
Jockey Booking
Negative
Less suitable jockey engaged
Trainer Form
Positive
In form stable, out performing market expectations 83%
Profitable Trainer
Positive
Stable runners going at 66% POT in L100 Runners
Nice Barrier
Positive
Well drawn from gate 2
1st Up
Negative
May need this run
Still Learning
Negative
No race experience
AAP
Trials (3:0-1-0). $25k purchase. Out of a winning mare and half to a two time city winner. Gets a soft draw. Might be one to watch at this stage.
ILB
3yo first starter by Wild Ruler for trainer John Ledger & Chris Ledger and can find a nice position from the draw. Watch betting.
RP
Shares a dam with Pretty Wild, a 6f winner; having first race; gelded already; needs considering as some good aspects to his profile.
RSIS
3yo first starter by Wild Ruler for John Ledger & Chris Ledger and gets a favourable draw.
Rating · IRD
100
Speed map
Firststart
Trainer SR
Negative
Don Dwyer striking at just 13%
Trainer A2E
Negative
Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 27%
Debutant
Positive
First race day appearance
AAP
First named foal out of an unraced mare. Has impressed finishing second in latest Wodonga jumpout. Looks suitably placed.
ILB
3yo first starter by Hanseatic for trainer Don Dwyer. Watch early betting.
RP
Already a gelding; first start under rules for this son of Hanseatic; likely to be involved.
RSIS
Don Dwyer 3yo by Hanseatic on debut. Keep your eye on the market.
Rating · IRD
20
Speed map
Firststart
Jockey ROI
Positive
Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 13% in Last 100 Rides
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Long Break
Negative
Resumes from a 441 day break (> 300 days)
Watch Betting
Negative
If supported, follow in
AAP
Trials (1:0-0-0). Half to five time winner and stablemaate Tapo. Impressive Wodonga jumpout winner but has drawn horribly. Can't be dismissed on debut.
ILB
Initial appearance 5yo by Puissance De Lune for trainer Gwenda Johnstone. Watch the market moves.
RSIS
5yo debutant by Puissance De Lune for Gwenda Johnstone.
Career
10: 0-1-4
Rating · IRD
100
Speed map
Offpace
First-up
4: 0-0-1
Second-up
2: 0-0-1
Third-up
2: 0-1-1
Fourth-up
1: 0-0-1
Track Kilmore
1: 0-0-1
Track Donald
1: 0-1-0
Track Bendigo
2: 0-0-0
Distance 1112m
1: 0-0-1
Distance 975m
3: 0-0-1
Distance 1000m
6: 0-1-2
Going Good
8: 0-1-3
Going Soft
2: 0-0-1
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Wide Draw
Negative
Likely to get caught wide
Dist S/R
Negative
Poor performer at the distance
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
AAP
In trailing position and kept on evenly at Ballarat off spell. Will be fitter second-up. Capable of making an impact.
ILB
Was $15.00 and found wanting late when 4th last start at Ballarat. Suited against these.
RP
Not beaten too far when fourth of nine at Ballarat last month; form has been a bit mixed lately and still winless and defeats stacking up (ten on the bounce); others are preferred.
RSIS
Started at 14/1 and faded in the closing stages when 4th last time at Ballarat. Should go very close.
Career
8: 0-2-1
Rating · IRD
92
Speed map
Offpace
First-up
3: 0-1-0
Second-up
1: 0-1-0
Third-up
1: 0-0-1
Fourth-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Yarra Valley
2: 0-1-0
Track Ballarat
1: 0-0-0
Track Mornington
1: 0-0-0
Distance 975m
1: 0-0-1
Distance 1000m
6: 0-2-0
Distance 1009m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
7: 0-1-1
Going Soft
1: 0-1-0
Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are out performing market expectations by 127%
Trainer ROI
Positive
Runners from this stable currently going at 38% POT in L100 Runners
Gave ground LS
Negative
Faded towards the finish last time out
Dist S/R
Negative
Poor performer at the distance
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
AAP
Every chance but compounded at Bendigo first up. Blinkers go on again and takes a 3kg claim. Can make her presence felt.
ILB
At $16.00 weakened under pressure when 7th last run at Bendigo. Zac Moore takes a large claim.
RP
Form is hit and miss and still winless and defeats stacking up (eight on the bounce); beaten 9l in seventh (Bendigo) two weeks ago; makes limited appeal.
RSIS
Started 15/1 and weakened under pressure when 7th last start at Bendigo. Zac Moore provides some weight relief.
Rating · IRD
78
Speed map
Firststart
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Trainer ROI
Positive
Runners from this stable currently going at 31% POT in L100 Runners
Watch Betting
Negative
If supported, follow in
Winkers On
Positive
Important gear change of winkers on
AAP
Half to two time winner and stablemate Pandium Tempus. Hasn't enthused at the jumpouts and needs market endorsement.
ILB
Debutant 4yo by Manhattan Rain for trainer Wayne Nichols. Follow the money.
RP
This daughter of Manhattan Rain is having her first start under rules; can make her presence felt with signs of encouragement in profile.
RSIS
First appearance at the races 4yo by Manhattan Rain for trainer Wayne Nichols.
Career
15: 0-1-4
Rating · IRD
77
Speed map
Offpace
First-up
2: 0-0-1
Second-up
1: 0-0-1
Third-up
1: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Wangaratta
1: 0-0-0
Track Corowa
1: 0-0-0
Track Echuca
3: 0-0-1
Distance 1100m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1170m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1200m
4: 0-1-0
Going Good
9: 0-0-1
Going Heavy
1: 0-0-0
Going Soft
2: 0-0-1
Rider
Negative
Negative rider change today
Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are out performing market expectations by 49%
Early Splits
Positive
Has early speed. An advantage on this circuit
Gave ground LS
Negative
Faded towards the finish last time out
Nice Barrier
Positive
Well drawn from gate 1
Dist S/R
Negative
Poor performer at the distance
Resuming
Negative
Poor strike rate when first up
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
AAP
Resuming (26-weeks). Resumes here without a trial or jumpout. Looks more a place prospect.
ILB
First up and came in 3rd first up last preparation at Deniliquin. Hasn't broken through maiden grade after 15 runs but has minimal work to do from the gate. Form will be tested here.
RP
Beaten a fair way when seventh over 6f at Kilmore (maiden) in May; still winless and defeats stacking up (15 on the bounce); returns from a layoff here; probably unlikely to trouble the principals.
RSIS
Resuming and tidy effort when 3rd resuming last preparation at Deniliquin. A 15 start maiden but can save some energy from the stall.
Career
2: 0-0-0
Rating · IRD
91
Speed map
Leader
First-up
2: 0-0-0
Track Ballarat
1: 0-0-0
Track Caulfield Heath
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1000m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1100m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
2: 0-0-0
Jockey ROI
Positive
Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 22% in Last 100 Rides
Key Rider
Positive
Damien Thornton 24% above market expected in L100 Rides
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Gave ground LS
Negative
Faded towards the finish last time out
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
AAP
Sent forward, lost a shoe but stuck on faily at Ballarat in a strong maiden. Jumped out well prior. Right in this.
ILB
Couldn't maintain the pace when 8th last run at Ballarat. Likely to be well placed early. Good prospects.
RP
Came home eighth, beaten just over 5l, at Ballarat three weeks ago; this just her third race.
RSIS
Didn't threaten when 8th last run at Ballarat. Expecting to settle positively. Solid claims.
Career
4: 0-0-0
Rating · IRD
20
Speed map
Offpace
First-up
1: 0-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Third-up
1: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Cranbourne
1: 0-0-0
Track Donald
1: 0-0-0
Track Pakenham Synthetic
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1000m
2: 0-0-0
Distance 1200m
2: 0-0-0
Going Good
2: 0-0-0
Going Synthetic
2: 0-0-0
Wide Draw
Negative
Likely to get caught wide
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
AAP
Unable to make an impression at Cranbourne over this trip. Cops the visitiors draw which cruels her chances.
ILB
Finished 4th last time at Cranbourne.
RP
Beaten 6l in fourth at Cranbourne two weeks ago; lightly raced with this just her fifth appearance; passed over.
RSIS
Came in 4th last run at Cranbourne.
Career
1: 0-0-0
Rating · IRD
83
Speed map
Leader
First-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Ballarat
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1000m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
1: 0-0-0
Current SR
Negative
Rider’s recent POT is returning 22% lower than Career Avg.
Early Splits
Positive
Has early speed. An advantage on this circuit
Gave ground LS
Negative
Faded towards the finish last time out
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
AAP
Won a Flemington jumpout between runs. Can show some cheek.
ILB
At $13.00 struggled with the pace when 9th last time at Ballarat but having second career run. Has plenty of early speed. Could feature here.
RP
Beaten on her debut over this trip at Ballarat (not far behind Kiss Me In Paris) at 12-1 last month; could step up; should benefit for having a run under her belt.
RSIS
Started 12/1 and weakened to finish 9th last time at Ballarat but having second career run. Likely to be well placed early. Watch the betting.
Career
1: 0-0-0
Rating · IRD
70
Speed map
Backmarker
First-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Kilmore
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1100m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
1: 0-0-0
Jockey ROI
Positive
Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 13% in Last 100 Rides
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Maps Well
Positive
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 12%
Fast Early
Positive
Sectionals suggest goes hard early
Gave ground LS
Negative
Faded towards the finish last time out
1st Up
Negative
May need this run
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
AAP
Returns for second campaign (37-weeks). Won a reent Wodonga jumpout and is locally trained. Needs to improve but looks on the right path.
ILB
Resumes from a 37 week break. At $51.00 didn't attack the line when 9th last start at Kilmore but fitter for debut run. Expected to settle towards the rear. Take on trust.
RP
Couldn't land a blow on her debut sporting blinkers (5½f, Kilmore) at 50-1 in February; likely there is more to come; returns from an absence here.
RSIS
Fresh after a break of 37 weeks. Odds of 50/1 and faded away to finish 9th last run at Kilmore but having second race start.
Career
1: 0-0-0
Rating · IRD
20
Speed map
Offpace
First-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Yarra Valley
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1009m
1: 0-0-0
Going Soft
1: 0-0-0
Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are out performing market expectations by 191%
Maps Well
Positive
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 12%
Gave ground LS
Negative
Faded towards the finish last time out
Blinkers On
Positive
Trainer has opted for the Blinkers on, take note
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
AAP
Unremarkable debut performance at Yarra Glen at longer odds 24 Oct. Much to learn and others carry more punch.
ILB
Didn't threaten when 8th last time at Yarra Valley but fitter for debut run.
RP
Finished eighth and beaten 10l first time out at Yarra Glen at 20-1 last month; may improve; entitled to have come on for that run.
RSIS
Tailed off to finish 8th last start at Yarra Vstall but having second race start.
Career
1: 0-0-0
Rating · IRD
80
Speed map
Midfield
First-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Albury
1: 0-0-0
Distance 900m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
1: 0-0-0
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Trainer Form
Negative
Stable out of form, losing 100% Profit on Turnover
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
AAP
Passable debut effort when battled home at Albury at double-figure odds. Looks more a place prospect.
ILB
Started $21.00 and folded up in the straight when 7th last time at Albury but was on debut last time. Will be tested in this.
RP
Not disgraced (beaten just under 4l) on her debut at Albury at 20-1 last month; entitled to have come on for that run.
RSIS
At 20/1 couldn't maintain the pace when 7th last time at Albury but was on debut last time.