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Echuca (VIC) horses tips & previews

One race at a time: field, form guide and win/place odds for Echuca (VIC), with capture times on every price.

Meeting — Tue 3 Nov, 11:00 am AEDT

Meetings · Tue, 3 NovEchuca (VIC)Change

Race 6 — Moama Bowling Club (Bm56) 1400m · jumps

Race preview

Welcome to Echuca for the Moama Bowling Club Benchmark 56 over 1400m on a soft 5 track with fine weather overhead. The punters have been assessing the yarn for this race, sending Bow Ribbon out as the shortest runner in the win market. Chasing closely behind at the top of the betting order are Ice Quake, Black Adam, and Here Comes Wozza, setting up an intriguing betting race on the Victorian track as the field prepares to tackle the 1400m journey.

Looking into the form behind the market leaders, Bow Ribbon resumes here following a 69-day let-up after finishing a close-up third at Bendigo over this exact distance on a heavy track. The stable runner has gone close in the past at this course and trip and warrants plenty of attention fresh. Ice Quake brings solid local credentials after jumping up on speed and going down fighting when second over 1400m here at Echuca two starts back, suggesting another bold showing is on the cards. Meanwhile, Black Adam comes in deep into the preparation, usually racing prominent and shaping as a logical inclusion for exotic players.

Further down the form lines, Bakersbend maps well at this venue and tends to outperform market expectations by a decent margin, making this runner an interesting angle for those dissecting the wider speed map. With Black Adam listed as the leader and runners like Ice Quake and Shipstern Bluff pushing forward on the pace, expect a genuine tempo upfront. Punting is all about opinions, and while the market has gravitated towards the proven class at the top, there are enough subtle form clues to keep things interesting for the punters on course.

Race notes

  • 3UP BM56 HCP,3yo+,BM56,Benchmark 56
  • SOFT5
  • Fine
  • 11 runners

Shortest win price

Bow Ribbon (15)

3.00

Most career wins

Black Adam

5-3-7 from 28 starts

Speed map

Back left · leaders right

Backmarker

  • 11Stepify
  • 12Hexed
  • 17Bucks Night

Midfield

  • 2San Marco
  • 8Reel Latino

Offpace

  • 7Here Comes Wozza
  • 15Bow Ribbon
  • 18Bakersbend

Onpace

  • 10Shipstern Bluff
  • 14Ice Quake

Leader

  • 5Black Adam
  • San Marco · Negative

    Rider

    Negative rider change today

  • Black Adam · Positive

    Jockey ROI

    Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 34% in Last 100 Rides

  • Here Comes Wozza · Positive

    Jockey ROI

    Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 13% in Last 100 Rides

  • Reel Latino · Negative

    Trainer SR

    Bob Challis striking at just 4%

No.RunnerBarWgtLast 5WinPlace
1Sir BasilScratched13––––

Career

9: 2-1-0

Rating · IRD

77

Speed map

Onpace

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey20%
  • Trainer100%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo60%
  • Early Speed20%
  • Rating40%
  • Closing Speed20%

Record

  • First-up

    3: 0-0-0

  • Second-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Third-up

    1: 0-1-0

  • Fourth-up

    1: 1-0-0

  • Track Echuca

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track CurrentTrack

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Albury

    3: 0-0-0

  • Distance 2050m

    1: 1-0-0

  • Distance 1000m

    2: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1170m

    2: 0-0-0

  • Going Soft

    3: 0-0-0

  • Going Good

    3: 0-0-0

  • Going Heavy

    3: 2-1-0

Last starts

  1. 13Albury1175m24 Oct 2026 · CL3 · GOOD411.5L
  2. 1Wangaratta2000m6 July 2026 · 3yo+ · HEAVY10-2
  3. 1Wodonga2050m27 June 2026 · 3yo+ · HEAVY8-2
  4. 2Wangaratta1590m14 June 2026 · MDN-SW · HEAVY100.4L
  5. 6Albury1400m26 May 2026 · MDN · SOFT63.1L
  6. 9Echuca1000m11 May 2026 · 2UP MDN-SW · SOFT59L
  7. 3Wagga1000m8 Apr 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)2.5L
  8. 6Albury1000m19 Jan 2026 · MDN-SW · GOOD49.3L

Insights

  • Rider

    Negative

    Negative rider change today

  • Hot Trainer

    Positive

    J & C Ledger in good form, out performing market 83%

  • Profitable Trainer

    Positive

    Stable runners going at 66% POT in L100 Runners

  • Maps Well

    Positive

    Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 12%

  • Gave ground LS

    Negative

    Faded towards the finish last time out

  • Class Rise

    Negative

    Racing in stronger company

  • Imprv Needed

    Negative

    Would need to lift here to feature

  • Up In Weight

    Negative

    Goes up 7.5kg weight here

Comments

AAP

Finished a long way from the action Hcp (C3) at Albury. Others more persuasive.

ILB

Didn't attack the line when 13th last run at Albury but goes down in class. Will have to carry extra weight.

RP

Finished towards the rear of 14 at Albury over 6f (handicap) when dropped in distance last month; this is his grade; clear chance as would have leading chance if back in the same form he showed when winning two starts ago.

RSIS

Faded to finish 13th last time at Albury but drops back to a suitable grade. Will have to carry extra weight.

2San MarcoJ: Lauren Burke·T: Darren Stumpo462.5kg5 1 10 6 932: 4-7-2$41.00$5.50

Career

32: 4-7-2

Rating · IRD

74

Speed map

Midfield

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey20%
  • Trainer100%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
  • Early Speed80%
  • Rating40%
  • Closing Speed40%

Record

  • First-up

    4: 0-1-0

  • Second-up

    3: 1-0-1

  • Third-up

    3: 0-1-0

  • Fourth-up

    2: 1-0-0

  • Track Pukekohe

    2: 0-0-0

  • Track Ballarat Synthetic

    2: 0-0-0

  • Track Albury

    2: 0-1-0

  • Distance 1500m

    2: 0-1-0

  • Distance 1560m

    1: 0-1-0

  • Distance 1620m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Synthetic

    5: 1-2-0

  • Going Unknown

    10: 2-4-1

  • Going Good

    8: 1-1-0

Last starts

  1. 9Ballarat Synthetic1500m2 July 2026 · BM56 · SYNTHETIC5.4L
  2. 6Ballarat Synthetic1400m21 June 2026 · BM56 · SYNTHETIC1.8L
  3. 10Donald1620m9 June 2026 · BM62 · SOFT710.5L
  4. 1Leeton1600m9 May 2026 · Benchmark 58-0.7
  5. 5Deniliquin1600m25 Apr 2026 · Benchmark 668L
  6. 2Hillston1700m11 Apr 2026 · Benchmark 660.3L
  7. 2Tocumwal1600m4 Apr 2026 · BM500.1L
  8. 3Carrathool1400m28 Mar 2026 · CARR CUP3L

Insights

  • Rider

    Negative

    Negative rider change today

  • Well beaten LS

    Negative

    Not competitive last run

  • Dist S/R

    Negative

    Poor performer at the distance

  • Resuming

    Negative

    Poor strike rate when first up

Comments

AAP

First-up (17-weeks). Resumes without a trial or jumpout. Proven fresh but this a bit shorter than he likes.

ILB

Resuming from a break. Started at $61.00 and was well beaten when 9th last start Ballarat Synthetic. Considering others.

RP

Finished ninth of 12 over 7½f at Ballarat (handicap) four months ago; returns from an absence here; easy to oppose as this could be a hot race.

RSIS

First run back from a break. Started 60/1 and gave away some ground when 9th last time Ballarat Synthetic.

3Count Of ToulouseScratched11––––

Rating · IRD

20

Speed map

Onpace

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey40%
  • Trainer100%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
  • Early Speed100%
  • Rating60%
  • Closing Speed20%

Insights

  • Hot J/T Combo

    Positive

    Combo are out performing market expectations by 99%

  • Trainer ROI

    Positive

    Runners from this stable currently going at 10% POT in L100 Runners

  • Maps Well

    Positive

    Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 12%

  • Fast Early

    Positive

    Sectionals suggest goes hard early

  • Gave ground LS

    Negative

    Faded towards the finish last time out

  • Resuming

    Negative

    Poor strike rate when first up

Comments

AAP

Let-up (82-days). Finished well down the track at Moe last outing. At best, a place hope.

ILB

Back from a break. Was $11.00 and weakened under pressure when 10th last run at Moe.

RSIS

Resuming. Was 10/1 and weakened under pressure when 10th last time at Moe on a heavy surface.

4Lika Wreckin' BallScratched14––––

Rating · IRD

20

Comments

AAP

First-up (32-weeks). Ex J G Symons & S Laxon in Victoria. Can't enthuse.

ILB

First run back from a break of 32 weeks. Jumped at $6.50 and came in 6th last run around here and coming back in distance.

RSIS

Resuming after a 32 week break. Started 11/2 and finished 6th last run at this track and down in trip. Coming to a new trainer.

5Black AdamJ: Holly Durnan·T: D J Mccarthy861.5kg1 2 6 4 528: 5-3-7$8.00$2.60

Career

28: 5-3-7

Rating · IRD

93

Speed map

Leader

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey100%
  • Trainer80%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
  • Early Speed100%
  • Rating80%
  • Closing Speed40%

Record

  • First-up

    4: 1-0-2

  • Second-up

    3: 1-0-1

  • Third-up

    3: 0-1-0

  • Fourth-up

    2: 1-0-0

  • Track Berrigan

    2: 2-0-0

  • Track Jerilderie

    1: 0-0-1

  • Track Kilmore

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 900m

    1: 1-0-0

  • Distance 1000m

    1: 0-0-1

  • Distance 1175m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Good

    14: 2-0-2

  • Going Heavy

    1: 0-1-0

  • Going Soft

    9: 2-1-3

Last starts

  1. 5Wangaratta1300m26 Oct 2026 · 3UP BM56 HCP · GOOD44L
  2. 4Kilmore1207m13 Oct 2026 · 3UP CG&E BM56 HCP · GOOD44.5L
  3. 6Corowa1300m14 Sept 2026 · BM58 · GOOD43.7L
  4. 2Corowa1200m31 Aug 2026 · Benchmark 58 · SOFT50.5L
  5. 1Berrigan1400m22 Aug 2026 · BM50-0.8
  6. 2Wangaratta1170m31 July 2026 · 2UP BM56 HCP · HEAVY90.4L
  7. 12Narrandera1400m12 July 2026 · Benchmark 58 · SOFT79.9L
  8. 3Narrandera1200m13 June 2026 · BM50 · SOFT71.9L

Insights

  • Jockey ROI

    Positive

    Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 34% in Last 100 Rides

  • Jockey Booking

    Positive

    Holly Durnan 34% above market expected in L100 Rides

  • Cold J/T Combo

    Negative

    Combo are losing -41% POT in their L100 Races

  • Hot Jockey

    Positive

    Holly Durnan in hot recent form, out performing market expectation by 34%

  • Early Splits

    Positive

    Has early speed. An advantage on this circuit

Comments

AAP

Usually prominent. Well into preparation now, one for multiples.

ILB

On a short back up. Started $15.00 and was found wanting late when 5th last run at Wangaratta. Expecting to settle positively. Expecting a solid performance.

RP

Finished fifth but wasn't beaten too far (4l) at Wangaratta over 6½f (handicap) last week; this looks a decent race so one to tread carefully with.

RSIS

On a short turnaround. Odds of 14/1 and didn't maintain the pace when 5th last start at Wangaratta. Displays good tactical pace. Expecting a strong showing.

6Don'TpushsendScratched9––––

Rating · IRD

20

Speed map

Leader

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey40%
  • Trainer100%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo50%
  • Early Speed50%
  • Rating50%
  • Closing Speed60%

Insights

  • Raceday Experience

    Positive

    Wiser for debut run

Comments

AAP

The medium of heavy support and duly saluted at Wodonga on career debut. Zac Moore on again and takes a 3kg claim. Take stopping despite hefty weight.

ILB

Got the cash when winning by 3/4L last time at Wodonga and having second career run. Large claim helps.

RSIS

Displayed potential when winning by 3/4L last start at Wodonga and having second career run. The large claim from Zac Moore helps.

7Here Comes WozzaJ: Ryan Houston·T: Ms G Johnstone760.5kg2 2 2 4 921: 1-3-4$7.00$2.40

Career

21: 1-3-4

Rating · IRD

100

Speed map

Offpace

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey100%
  • Trainer60%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
  • Early Speed80%
  • Rating100%
  • Closing Speed40%

Record

  • First-up

    5: 1-0-1

  • Second-up

    3: 0-1-0

  • Third-up

    3: 0-1-0

  • Fourth-up

    3: 0-1-1

  • Track Benalla

    1: 0-0-1

  • Track Seymour

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Kyneton

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1200m

    7: 1-1-1

  • Distance 1300m

    3: 0-1-1

  • Distance 1412m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Good

    12: 1-2-2

  • Going Heavy

    2: 0-0-0

  • Going Soft

    7: 0-1-2

Last starts

  1. 9Echuca1200m19 Oct 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD43.73L
  2. 4Kilmore1200m4 May 2026 · 2yo+ · HEAVY93.6L
  3. 2Echuca1300m16 Apr 2026 · CL1 · GOOD31.5L
  4. 2Kerang1100m4 Apr 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD31.3L
  5. 2Yarra Valley1200m24 Mar 2026 · 3yo+ · SOFT50.2L
  6. 1Echuca1200m8 Mar 2026 · 4UP MDN-SW · GOOD4-0.2
  7. 9Tatura1450m30 Sept 2025 · 3yo+ · GOOD36.2L
  8. 7Seymour1600m11 Sept 2025 · 3yo+ · SOFT62.1L

Insights

  • Jockey ROI

    Positive

    Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 13% in Last 100 Rides

  • Cold J/T Combo

    Negative

    Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races

  • Early Sectionals

    Negative

    Recent sectional data suggests slow early pace

Comments

AAP

Performance just fair this venue off long spell at $4. Building fitness. Right in the mix.

ILB

Started at $4.00 and faded to finish 9th last run at this track. Is capable of a resurgence. Good potential.

RP

Has won here; second favourite when ninth of 12 over 6f here (handicap, close behind Reel Latino) last month; tends to find at least one too good; makes little appeal.

RSIS

Was 3/1 and looked outclassed when 9th last time at the track. Happy to forgive that run. Good chance at a nice price.

8Reel LatinoJ: Joe Bowditch·T: R K Challis360.5kg6 7 6 3 810: 1-0-0$9.00$2.75

Career

10: 1-0-0

Rating · IRD

75

Speed map

Midfield

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey40%
  • Trainer40%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
  • Early Speed100%
  • Rating40%
  • Closing Speed60%

Record

  • First-up

    3: 0-0-0

  • Second-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Third-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Fourth-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Werribee

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Wodonga

    1: 1-0-0

  • Track Ballarat

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1600m

    2: 0-0-0

  • Distance 2000m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 2050m

    1: 1-0-0

  • Going Good

    7: 1-0-0

  • Going Soft

    3: 0-0-0

Last starts

  1. 8Echuca1200m19 Oct 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD43.71L
  2. 3Tatura850m30 Sept 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)1.4L
  3. 6Bendigo2400m25 June 2026 · BM62 · SOFT66.3L
  4. 7Bendigo2200m29 May 2026 · 0 - 62 · GOOD43L
  5. 6Echuca2100m11 May 2026 · 3UP BM56 HCP · SOFT52.85L
  6. 1Wodonga2050m20 Apr 2026 · 3UP MDN-SW · GOOD3-0.8
  7. 7Warracknabeal2000m4 Apr 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD35.9L
  8. 4Ballarat1600m20 Mar 2026 · 4yo+ · GOOD31.7L

Insights

  • Trainer SR

    Negative

    Bob Challis striking at just 4%

  • Cold J/T Combo

    Negative

    Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races

  • Trainer Recent

    Negative

    Stable runners are currently underperforming market by 34%

  • Trainer ROI

    Negative

    Trainers runners currently losing 39% Profit on Turnover

  • Early Splits

    Positive

    Has early speed. An advantage on this circuit

Comments

AAP

Not disgraced this track first run back at $91. Strips fitter. Can make his presence felt.

ILB

Odds of $91.00 and came in 8th last run at this venue. Entitled to be big odds.

RP

Finished eighth but wasn't beaten too far (just under 4l) over 6f here (handicap) when dropped in distance two weeks ago; generally modest form since maiden success at Wodonga in April; this looks a fair heat so others more likely.

RSIS

Started at 90/1 and ran 8th last time around here.

9Elle McfearsomeScratched12––––

Career

30: 4-3-5

Rating · IRD

82

Speed map

Offmidfield

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey20%
  • Trainer100%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
  • Early Speed60%
  • Rating60%
  • Closing Speed100%

Record

  • First-up

    7: 0-1-2

  • Second-up

    5: 1-0-0

  • Third-up

    4: 0-1-0

  • Fourth-up

    4: 2-0-0

  • Track Echuca

    2: 0-0-0

  • Track Kyneton

    1: 0-0-1

  • Track Swan Hill

    2: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1860m

    1: 0-0-1

  • Distance 1968m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 2012m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Heavy

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Soft

    4: 0-1-1

  • Going Unknown

    1: 0-0-0

Last starts

  1. 7Echuca1400m19 Oct 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD42.65L
  2. 9Swan Hill1300m22 Sept 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD36L
  3. 1Tatura1600m22 Nov 2025 · 0 - 56 · GOOD3-0.2
  4. 7Berrigan1400m1 Nov 2025 · BM504.9L
  5. 4Echuca1400m20 Oct 2025 · 3UP BM56 HCP · GOOD31.5L
  6. 2Gunbower1300m4 Oct 2025 · 3yo+ · GOOD30.5L
  7. 8Ararat1600m10 May 2025 · 2yo+ · GOOD44.5L
  8. 1Deniliquin1400m25 Apr 2025 · Class 2 · GOOD-0.6

Insights

  • Rider

    Negative

    Negative rider change today

  • Cold J/T Combo

    Negative

    Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races

  • Trainer ROI

    Positive

    Runners from this stable currently going at 31% POT in L100 Runners

  • Early Splits

    Negative

    Out of races with slow early tempos

  • Ran On Hard LS

    Positive

    Ran on well last start

Comments

AAP

Okay at latest when settled back. Can fill the minors here.

ILB

Odds of $16.00 and ran 7th last run here.

RP

Close up behind Ice Quake when seventh last month; meeting some horses in good form and others appeal more.

RSIS

Started 15/1 and ran 7th last run at the track.

10Shipstern BluffJ: Jackie Beriman·T: S Fliedner1059.5kg5 2 1 9 97: 1-1-0$10.00$2.90

Career

7: 1-1-0

Rating · IRD

77

Speed map

Onpace

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey60%
  • Trainer60%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
  • Early Speed80%
  • Rating40%
  • Closing Speed50%

Record

  • First-up

    2: 0-0-0

  • Track Swan Hill

    1: 0-1-0

  • Track Sandown

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Caulfield Heath

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1200m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1300m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1600m

    3: 1-1-0

  • Going Good

    7: 1-1-0

Last starts

  1. 9Caulfield Heath1800m29 Apr 2026 · 3Y BM70 · GOOD48.1L
  2. 9Sandown1600m6 Apr 2026 · 3Y BM66 · GOOD49.8L
  3. 1Bendigo1600m27 Mar 2026 · MDN-SW · GOOD4-0.4
  4. 2Swan Hill1600m15 Mar 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD31.3L
  5. 5Seymour1300m20 Feb 2026 · MDN-SW · GOOD41.7L
  6. 8Kyneton1103m31 Jan 2026 · 3UP MDN-SW · GOOD35.4L
  7. 2Bendigo1000m13 Jan 2026 · Barrier Trial0.8L
  8. 6Bendigo800m19 Aug 2025 · Barrier Trial6.8L

Insights

  • Trainer Career

    Negative

    Trainer Career S/R is 6%

  • Cold J/T Combo

    Negative

    Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races

  • Trainer A2E

    Negative

    Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 22%

  • Maps Well

    Positive

    Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 12%

  • Early Splits

    Negative

    Out of races with slow early tempos

  • Resuming

    Negative

    Poor strike rate when first up

  • Well Placed

    Positive

    Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Kicks off second campaign (26-weeks). Fourth in recent Bendigo jumpout. Awkwardly drawn and rising in weight for return. Hard to warm to here.

ILB

First up after a break of 26 weeks. Started $101.00 and struggled with the pace when 9th last run at Caulfield Heath but up against a less competitive field. Rough hope.

RP

Finished last of nine at Caulfield over 1m1f (handicap) six months ago; returns from a layoff here; one to consider if in the same form she showed when winning three starts back.

RSIS

Racing fresh after a 26 week break. Started at 100/1 and didn't find the line when 9th last time at Caulfield Heath but will find this grade more suitable.

11StepifyJ: Cian Macredmond·T: P A Preusker559.5kg8 12: 1-0-0$20.00$4.00

Career

2: 1-0-0

Rating · IRD

75

Speed map

Backmarker

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey20%
  • Trainer100%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
  • Early Speed80%
  • Rating40%
  • Closing Speed100%

Record

  • First-up

    2: 1-0-0

  • Track Penola

    1: 1-0-0

  • Track Ballarat

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1200m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1400m

    1: 1-0-0

  • Going Good

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Soft

    1: 1-0-0

Last starts

  1. 1Penola1400m16 Oct 2026 · 3UP MDN-SW · SOFT5-0.38
  2. 8Ballarat1200m30 Apr 2026 · 2YF MDN-SW · GOOD316.9L

Insights

  • Fast Finisher

    Positive

    Fastest Overall Finishing Sectionals Last Start

  • Jockey Booking

    Negative

    Cian Macredmond current POT is 36% below Career Avg.

  • Jockey Booking

    Negative

    Less suitable jockey engaged

  • Hot J/T Combo

    Positive

    Combo are out performing market expectations by 82%

  • Trainer ROI

    Positive

    Runners from this stable currently going at 62% POT in L100 Runners

  • Rider Poor SR

    Negative

    Jockey underperforming market expectations by 53% in L100 rides

  • Solid Run LS

    Positive

    Won last start

  • Class Rise

    Negative

    Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

Sheer display of grit and determination at Penola at second outing. Positive last start and can build further on that effort.

ILB

Romped home to win last run at Penola but rising in weight. Expected to settle towards the tail. Rough chance.

RP

Narrow scorer in a maiden at Penola when opening her account at the second time of asking two weeks ago; should be thereabouts.

RSIS

Strong effort to the line to win last time at Penola but going up in weight. Expected to settle towards the tail.

12HexedJ: Chelsea Thompson·T: Daniel Kelly259kg9 4 4 1 68: 1-0-0$26.00$4.40

Career

8: 1-0-0

Rating · IRD

79

Speed map

Backmarker

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey60%
  • Trainer80%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
  • Early Speed20%
  • Rating40%
  • Closing Speed80%

Record

  • First-up

    3: 0-0-0

  • Second-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Third-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Fourth-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Mildura

    2: 1-0-0

  • Track Pakenham Synthetic

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Ballarat Synthetic

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1200m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1218m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1500m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Good

    5: 1-0-0

  • Going Soft

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Synthetic

    2: 0-0-0

Last starts

  1. 6Kyneton1218m20 Oct 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD38.7L
  2. 1Mildura2000m17 July 2026 · 3UP MDN-SW · GOOD4-0.1
  3. 4Pakenham Synthetic1600m6 July 2026 · 2yo+ · SYNTHETIC2.8L
  4. 4Ballarat Synthetic1500m21 June 2026 · MDN-SW · SYNTHETIC1.7L
  5. 9Swan Hill1200m5 June 2026 · F&M MDN-SW · SOFT65.6L
  6. 4Mildura1100m24 May 2026 · 2UP MDN-SW · GOOD45.4L
  7. 5Werribee1108m15 Dec 2025 · 3UP MDN-SW · GOOD48.5L
  8. 6Donald1000m2 Dec 2025 · 3yo+ · GOOD46.8L

Insights

  • Drawn In

    Positive

    Suited drawn down low

  • Class Rise

    Negative

    Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

Never sighted at Kyneton first run back. Better for the outing and takes a 3kg claim. Distant place hope only.

ILB

Started $13.00 and sub-standard effort when 6th last run at Kyneton but drawn nicely. Likely to get back. The large claim from Chelsea Thompson should help. Betting is the best guide.

RP

Has raised her game the last twice; could not manage better than sixth over 6f at Kyneton (handicap) last month; running in a handicap for only the second time; this is competitive and looks opposable.

RSIS

Started 12/1 and mediocre display when 6th last start at Kyneton but gets a favourable stall. Likely to get back in the run. Large claim helps. Watch betting.

13Flying JudeScratched10––––

Career

10: 2-1-0

Rating · IRD

88

Speed map

Onpace

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey50%
  • Trainer100%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
  • Early Speed100%
  • Rating60%
  • Closing Speed20%

Record

  • First-up

    3: 2-0-0

  • Second-up

    2: 0-1-0

  • Third-up

    2: 0-0-0

  • Fourth-up

    2: 0-0-0

  • Track CurrentTrack

    1: 1-0-0

  • Track Bendigo

    1: 1-0-0

  • Track Kyneton

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1170m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1200m

    2: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1300m

    1: 1-0-0

  • Going Good

    4: 1-0-0

  • Going Heavy

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Soft

    3: 1-0-0

Last starts

  1. 11Ballarat Synthetic1500m27 July 2026 · 2yo+ · SYNTHETIC8.5L
  2. 6Geelong1760m10 July 2026 · 2UP BM56 HCP · HEAVY86.3L
  3. 2Ballarat Synthetic1500m3 July 2026 · 2yo+ · SYNTHETIC0.5L
  4. 1Bendigo1400m13 June 2026 · 0 - 56 · SOFT5-0.4
  5. 10Balaklava1400m3 Dec 2025 · BM56 · GOOD37.5L
  6. 10Mornington1200m10 Nov 2025 · 3yo+ · SOFT55.2L
  7. 4Wangaratta1170m27 Oct 2025 · 3yo+ · SOFT53.4L
  8. 9Kyneton1454m9 Oct 2025 · 3UP F&M BM62 HCP · GOOD318.2L

Insights

  • Hot J/T Combo

    Positive

    Combo are out performing market expectations by 51%

  • Profitable Trainer

    Positive

    Stable runners going at 30% POT in L100 Runners

  • Gave ground LS

    Negative

    Faded towards the finish last time out

  • Track Exp

    Positive

    Knows this track well

  • 1st Up S/R

    Positive

    Has won 2 from 3 when resuming

Comments

AAP

Resuming (14-weeks). Ex Gemma Rielly in Victoria. Saluted at Bendigo first-up last prep. Must bring best.

ILB

First up and picked up nicely to win first up last preparation at Bendigo. Coming to a new trainer.

RP

Finished 11th of 12 over 7½f at Ballarat (handicap) in July; has won here previously; first run for trainer; should go well if finding her best form - goes well fresh.

RSIS

Resuming and finished well when winning resuming last preparation at Bendigo. Change in trainer.

14Ice QuakeJ: Damien Thornton·T: Simon Zahra658.5kg1 9 6 8 28: 1-2-0$4.40$1.75

Career

8: 1-2-0

Rating · IRD

97

Speed map

Onpace

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey100%
  • Trainer100%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
  • Early Speed100%
  • Rating100%
  • Closing Speed40%

Record

  • First-up

    2: 0-0-0

  • Second-up

    1: 0-1-0

  • Third-up

    1: 1-0-0

  • Fourth-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Bendigo

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Sandown

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Moe

    2: 0-1-0

  • Distance 1140m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1200m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1208m

    1: 0-1-0

  • Going Good

    2: 0-1-0

  • Going Heavy

    4: 1-1-0

  • Going Soft

    2: 0-0-0

Last starts

  1. 2Echuca1400m19 Oct 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD40.4L
  2. 8Bendigo1300m4 Oct 2026 · 3UP CL1 HCP · SOFT64.3L
  3. 6Moe1200m13 Aug 2026 · 3UP BM56 HCP · HEAVY108.2L
  4. 9Sandown1400m22 July 2026 · 3YF BM64 · SOFT619.7L
  5. 1Geelong1443m10 July 2026 · 3Y MDN-SW · HEAVY8-1.5
  6. 2Moe1208m18 June 2026 · 3Y MDN-SW · HEAVY93.8L
  7. 7Kilmore1107m1 June 2026 · 3Y MDN SW · HEAVY910.6L
  8. 7Geelong1140m25 Sept 2025 · 3Y MDN-SW · GOOD34.3L

Insights

  • Rider SR

    Positive

    Jockey recent POT is 22% better than Career Avg.

  • Cold J/T Combo

    Negative

    Combo are losing -39% POT in their L100 Races

  • Profitable Trainer

    Positive

    Stable runners going at 32% POT in L100 Runners

  • Track Exp

    Positive

    Knows this track well

  • Improved L/S

    Positive

    Improved again last start

  • Winkers On

    Positive

    Important gear change of winkers on

Comments

AAP

Prominent and went down fighting in the Benchmark 56 company this venue over this trip. A few runs under her belt this campaign, capable of making an impact.

ILB

Close to a win last time here. Has shown early pace in races to date. Definite claims.

RP

Beaten narrowly last month.

RSIS

Narrowly beaten last time at this track. Should muster plenty of early pace. Can win this.

15Bow RibbonJ: Neil Farley·T: D F Hill160.5kg5 10 2 1 323: 2-3-6$3.00$1.38

Career

23: 2-3-6

Rating · IRD

98

Speed map

Offpace

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey40%
  • Trainer80%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
  • Early Speed80%
  • Rating100%
  • Closing Speed80%

Record

  • First-up

    3: 1-0-0

  • Second-up

    2: 0-0-1

  • Third-up

    2: 0-0-1

  • Fourth-up

    2: 0-0-1

  • Track CurrentTrack

    2: 0-1-0

  • Track Hamilton

    2: 0-1-0

  • Track Murtoa

    1: 1-0-0

  • Distance 1425m

    1: 0-0-1

  • Distance 1600m

    5: 0-2-0

  • Distance 1856m

    1: 0-0-1

  • Going Heavy

    5: 1-1-1

  • Going Soft

    8: 0-1-1

  • Going Synthetic

    1: 0-0-0

Last starts

  1. 3Bendigo1400m26 Aug 2026 · 3yo+ · HEAVY81L
  2. 1Mildura1400m8 Aug 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD4-2
  3. 2Echuca1400m24 July 2026 · 2yo+ · HEAVY90.8L
  4. 10Seymour1600m11 June 2026 · BM62 · SOFT710.2L
  5. 5Hamilton1600m26 May 2026 · 2UP BM56 HCP · HEAVY1023L
  6. 4Echuca1600m11 May 2026 · 2UP BM56 HCP · SOFT52.6L
  7. 3Werribee1425m24 Apr 2026 · 3UP BM56 HCP · GOOD43.5L
  8. 3Seymour1400m13 Apr 2026 · BM56 · SOFT51.4L

Insights

  • Cold J/T Combo

    Negative

    Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races

  • Slow Early LS

    Negative

    Speed data from recent runs suggests slower early splits on avg

  • Ran On Hard LS

    Positive

    Ran on well last start

  • Draw Suits

    Positive

    Well drawn inside

  • Resuming

    Negative

    Poor strike rate when first up

  • Well Placed

    Positive

    Drops back to a suitable class

  • Racing Strongly

    Positive

    Racing in great shape

Comments

AAP

Let-up (69-days). Ke Went close only other go this course and trip. Warrants attention fresh in this line-up.

ILB

Racing fresh today after a break. Amongst the placegetters when 3rd beaten by 1L last time at Bendigo and competing at a lower class. Will go close.

RP

Creditable third, beaten less than a length, of seven at Bendigo in August.

RSIS

Back from a break. Made considerable ground when 3rd last time at Bendigo on a heavy surface and competing at a lower grade. Rates as one of the key chances.

16Hellish LeeScratched17––––

Rating · IRD

20

Speed map

Offpace

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey100%
  • Trainer100%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
  • Early Speed60%
  • Rating40%
  • Closing Speed100%

Insights

  • Jockey ROI

    Positive

    Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 33% in Last 100 Rides

  • Hot J/T Combo

    Positive

    Combo are out performing market expectations by 180%

  • Profitable Trainer

    Positive

    Stable runners going at 8% POT in L100 Runners

  • Key Jockey

    Positive

    Jack Martin winning at 18% POT in last 100 rides

  • Maps Well

    Positive

    Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 12%

  • Solid Run LS

    Positive

    Won last start

  • Class Rise

    Negative

    Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

Showed plenty of fight to secure victory at Manangatang off long break. Has a tricky draw. Could add some value to exotics.

ILB

Finished with purpose when winning last start at Manangatang and on an upward trajectory in recent races.

RSIS

Bold effort when winning last run at Manangatang and getting better in recent performances.

17Bucks NightJ: Mitchell Aitken·T: Daniel Kelly960kg9 1 6 12 77: 1-0-0$81.00$10.00

Career

7: 1-0-0

Rating · IRD

70

Speed map

Backmarker

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey100%
  • Trainer80%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
  • Early Speed100%
  • Rating20%
  • Closing Speed40%

Record

  • First-up

    2: 0-0-0

  • Track Swan Hill

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Mildura

    2: 0-0-0

  • Track Ballarat Synthetic

    2: 1-0-0

  • Distance 1600m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1900m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1218m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Good

    4: 0-0-0

  • Going Soft

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Synthetic

    2: 1-0-0

Last starts

  1. 7Kyneton1218m20 Oct 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD36.25L
  2. 12Mildura1900m18 July 2026 · 2yo+ · GOOD45.3L
  3. 6Ballarat Synthetic1500m24 June 2026 · BM66 · SYNTHETIC7.8L
  4. 1Ballarat Synthetic1400m16 June 2026 · MDN-SW · SYNTHETIC-0.8
  5. 9Swan Hill1600m7 June 2026 · 2&3Y MDN-SW · SOFT55.1L
  6. 8Mildura1400m24 May 2026 · MDN-SW · GOOD46.4L
  7. 9Kyneton1225m23 Apr 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD413.9L

Insights

  • Cold J/T Combo

    Negative

    Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races

  • Fast Early

    Positive

    Sectionals suggest goes hard early

  • Gave ground LS

    Negative

    Faded towards the finish last time out

  • Wide Draw

    Negative

    Likely to get caught wide

  • Well Placed

    Positive

    Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Sent out $61 when unable to threaten at Kyneton first up. Has a tricky draw. Has work cut out.

ILB

At $61.00 didn't find the line when 7th last time at Kyneton. Will be giving the leaders a big start. Hard to see this being competitive today.

RP

Beaten 6l in seventh over 6f at Kyneton (handicap) 14 days ago.

RSIS

At 60/1 was well beaten when 7th last time at Kyneton. Might have to make up considerable ground.

18BakersbendJ: Ryan Hurdle·T: Brent Stanley1160kg10 3 7 4 513: 1-3-2$10.00$2.90

Career

13: 1-3-2

Rating · IRD

100

Speed map

Offpace

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey50%
  • Trainer60%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo40%
  • Early Speed60%
  • Rating100%
  • Closing Speed80%

Record

  • First-up

    3: 0-1-2

  • Second-up

    2: 1-0-0

  • Third-up

    2: 0-0-0

  • Fourth-up

    2: 0-0-0

  • Track Swan Hill

    2: 1-0-0

  • Track Sandown

    1: 0-1-0

  • Track Mildura

    2: 0-0-1

  • Distance 1400m

    2: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1408m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1106m

    1: 0-0-1

  • Going Soft

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Good

    11: 1-3-2

  • Going Heavy

    1: 0-0-0

Last starts

  1. 5Bendigo1400m17 Oct 2026 · 0 - 56 · GOOD32.12L
  2. 4Mildura1408m5 Sept 2026 · 3yo+ · SOFT66.8L
  3. 7Murtoa1200m21 Aug 2026 · 3yo+ · HEAVY85.8L
  4. 3Mildura1200m8 Aug 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD41.4L
  5. 10Donald1200m2 Dec 2025 · 3yo+ · GOOD45.1L
  6. 7Donald1200m16 Nov 2025 · 3UP BM66 HCP · GOOD34.2L
  7. 5Swan Hill1300m28 Oct 2025 · 3yo+ · GOOD33.5L
  8. 1Swan Hill1200m28 Sept 2025 · 4UP MDN-SW · GOOD4-1.3

Insights

  • Cold J/T Combo

    Negative

    Combo are losing -26% POT in their L100 Races

  • Maps Well

    Positive

    Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 12%

  • Early Splits

    Negative

    Out of races with slow early tempos

  • Ran On Hard LS

    Positive

    Ran on well last start

  • Class Rise

    Negative

    Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

Last start this trip reasonable effort without seriously threatening at Bendigo. Awkwardly drawn. First time around Echuca. Keener on others.

ILB

Started at $19.00 and was making up some late ground when 5th last time at Bendigo. Must be considered here.

RP

Useful in this grade; far from disgraced (beaten just over 2l, Bendigo) two weeks ago.

RSIS

Was 18/1 and ran on into 5th last run at Bendigo. Good chance and definitely has claims.

Odds correct as at . Odds can change.

Past meetings

  • Mon 19 Oct, 11:00 am AEDT · 8 races
  • Sat 19 Sept, 10:00 am AEST · 7 races