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Forbes (NSW) horses tips & previews

One race at a time: field, form guide and win/place odds for Forbes (NSW), with capture times on every price.

Meeting — Sat 10 Oct, 11:00 am AEDT

Meetings · Sat, 10 OctForbes (NSW)Change

Race 6 — Club Forbes (Bm50) 1200m · jumps

Race notes

  • BM50,BM50 HCP,Benchmark 50
  • GOOD4
  • Fine
  • 9 runners

Shortest win price

Fantasy Crowned (6)

3.00

Most career wins

Yael's Delight

6-4-4 from 53 starts

Speed map

Back left · leaders right

Backmarker

  • 6Fantasy Crowned

Offmidfield

  • 9Go Baby

Offpace

  • 4Ms Reeves
  • 13Ultra White

Onpace

  • 2Calmundi
  • 12Yael's Delight
  • 5Dupenny
  • 10Loud

Leader

  • 7Bitta Bon Magic

  • Calmundi · Negative

    Rider

    Negative rider change today

  • Ms Reeves · Negative

    Trainer SR

    Garry Lunn striking at just 6%

  • Dupenny · Negative

    Jockey Booking

    Less suitable jockey engaged

  • Fantasy Crowned · Negative

    Jockey Booking

    Ellen Hennessy current POT is 66% below Career Avg.

No.RunnerBarWgtLast 5WinPlace
1PatteraScratched11––––

Career

27: 4-3-3

Rating · IRD

20

Speed map

Leader

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey40%
  • Trainer80%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo80%
  • Early Speed100%
  • Rating80%
  • Closing Speed50%

Record

  • First-up

    4: 0-1-1

  • Second-up

    3: 1-0-0

  • Third-up

    3: 0-0-1

  • Fourth-up

    3: 1-1-0

  • Track Orange

    3: 0-0-1

  • Track Coonamble

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Grenfell

    2: 0-1-0

  • Distance 1280m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1300m

    2: 0-0-0

  • Distance 900m

    4: 0-2-1

  • Going Good

    6: 1-0-0

  • Going Heavy

    3: 0-0-0

  • Going Soft

    14: 2-1-3

Last starts

  1. 4Grenfell1000m26 Sept 2026 · BM583.25L
  2. 4Wellington900m15 Sept 2026 · BM58 · SOFT66.91L
  3. 1Mendooran1000m5 Sept 2026 · BM50-0.6
  4. 5Coonabarabran1200m25 July 2026 · BM50 · SOFT52.8L
  5. 4Cowra1100m11 July 2026 · Benchmark 50 · SOFT50.4L
  6. 12Dubbo1200m28 June 2026 · BM58 · HEAVY88.2L
  7. 1Wagga1065m23 May 2026 · BM50 · SOFT6-0.5
  8. 2Mudgee1000m10 May 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)0.9L

Insights

  • Form At Track

    Positive

    1 time winner here at Forbes

Comments

AAP

Finished it off only fairly at Grenfell at short odds. Ticks the track and distance win box. Can have a major say.

ILB

Looked flat when 4th last start at Grenfell and has to cope with a weight increase.

RP

Brings winning C&D form to the table; this is his level; not beaten too far when fourth of six over 5f at Grenfell (handicap) 14 days ago; more than capable if on song so likely to be involved.

RSIS

Average effort when 4th last start at Grenfell and has more weight to carry.

2CalmundiJ: Kody Nestor·T: Kylie Kennedy160.5kg10 1 1 6 837: 5-2-4$13.00$3.20

Career

37: 5-2-4

Rating · IRD

83

Speed map

Onpace

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey20%
  • Trainer100%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
  • Early Speed20%
  • Rating60%
  • Closing Speed50%

Record

  • First-up

    3: 0-0-0

  • Second-up

    2: 0-0-0

  • Third-up

    2: 0-0-0

  • Fourth-up

    2: 1-0-1

  • Track Cowra

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Grenfell

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Narromine

    2: 0-0-0

  • Distance 800m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 900m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1000m

    14: 3-1-2

  • Going Good

    16: 0-2-3

  • Going Heavy

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Soft

    10: 1-0-0

Last starts

  1. 8Mudgee1100m3 Oct 2026 · BM505.87L
  2. 6Grenfell1200m26 Sept 2026 · CL24.81L
  3. 1Geurie1000m12 Sept 2026 · 3yo+-0.5
  4. 1Gulargambone1200m29 Aug 2026 · CL1-1.1
  5. 10Narromine1200m23 Aug 2026 · CL1 · HEAVY85.2L
  6. 3Louth1000m8 Aug 2026 · CL14.1L
  7. 5Gilgandra1100m1 Aug 2026 · BM50 · GOOD42.7L
  8. 5Warren1000m21 July 2026 · CL1 · SOFT52.5L

Insights

  • Rider

    Negative

    Negative rider change today

  • Hot J/T Combo

    Positive

    Combo are out performing market expectations by 58%

  • Profitable Trainer

    Positive

    Stable runners going at 6% POT in L100 Runners

  • Nice Barrier

    Positive

    Well drawn from gate 1

  • Fitness

    Positive

    At peak fitness backing up

  • Class Rise

    Negative

    Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

On a short back-up. Went home tamely in choppy conditions at Mudgee at $13. Others with stronger claims.

ILB

On a short turnaround. Finished 8th last run at Mudgee but gets the perfect barrier. Watch betting.

RP

Finished eighth, beaten 6l, over 5½f at Mudgee (handicap) last Saturday; easy enough to take on.

RSIS

Backing up quickly. Came in 8th last run at Mudgee but has a nice advantage with a good stall. Watch for a sign in the market.

3Bobby's SecretScratched14––––

Career

76: 6-10-9

Rating · IRD

20

Speed map

Leader

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey40%
  • Trainer80%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo80%
  • Early Speed20%
  • Rating60%
  • Closing Speed80%

Record

  • First-up

    7: 1-0-1

  • Second-up

    6: 0-1-1

  • Third-up

    5: 0-1-1

  • Fourth-up

    5: 0-2-1

  • Track Goulburn

    5: 2-0-0

  • Track Dubbo

    6: 0-1-0

  • Track Moruya

    3: 1-0-0

  • Distance 1300m

    9: 0-0-2

  • Distance 1400m

    13: 1-5-0

  • Distance 1405m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Firm

    2: 0-1-1

  • Going Good

    25: 2-4-2

  • Going Heavy

    19: 2-0-3

Last starts

  1. 2Dubbo1000m27 Sept 2026 · 3UP SW · GOOD41.7L
  2. 3Wellington900m15 Sept 2026 · BM58 · SOFT66.64L
  3. 2Nyngan1400m25 Apr 2026 · Benchmark 667.4L
  4. 5Grenfell1400m11 Apr 2026 · 3yo+4.3L
  5. 2Tottenham1400m7 Mar 2026 · 3yo+0.1L
  6. 2Condobolin1400m21 Feb 2026 · 3yo+0.5L
  7. 3Tumbarumba1200m31 Jan 2026 · BM502.2L
  8. 10Parkes1200m9 Jan 2026 · BM50 · GOOD33.2L

Insights

  • Maps Well

    Positive

    Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 30%

  • Ran On Hard LS

    Positive

    Ran on well last start

  • Well Placed

    Positive

    Drops back to a suitable class

  • Honest

    Positive

    Finishing in the money lately

  • Down In Weight

    Positive

    Drops 6kg from LS run

Comments

AAP

Settled midfield, let down really well at Dubbo second-up. Added journey should assist. Big show with even luck.

ILB

Was amongst the placegetters when 2nd last time at Dubbo and facing less formidable opponents. Has not missed the money this preparation in 2 attempts.

RP

Not beaten far when runner-up at 25-1 at Dubbo over 5f (conditions race) two weeks ago; has hit the frame in several recent runs.

RSIS

Claimed a spot in the top three when 2nd last time at Dubbo and matched against lesser competition. Has run into the placings all attempts recently.

4Ms ReevesJ: Jacob Stiff·T: G D Lunn659kg8 11 10 1 635: 4-7-2$5.50$1.90

Career

35: 4-7-2

Rating · IRD

86

Speed map

Offpace

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey80%
  • Trainer20%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
  • Early Speed20%
  • Rating60%
  • Closing Speed50%

Record

  • First-up

    4: 1-0-0

  • Second-up

    3: 0-0-1

  • Third-up

    3: 1-0-0

  • Fourth-up

    3: 0-2-0

  • Track Narromine

    2: 0-0-0

  • Track Collarenebri

    1: 1-0-0

  • Track Scone

    1: 1-0-0

  • Distance 1010m

    1: 0-1-0

  • Distance 1200m

    5: 1-3-0

  • Distance 1280m

    1: 0-1-0

  • Going Good

    25: 2-7-1

  • Going Heavy

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Soft

    6: 1-0-1

Last starts

  1. 6Grenfell1400m26 Sept 2026 · BM58 (BM56)3.8L
  2. 1Collarenebri1200m12 Sept 2026 · BM45-0.7
  3. 10Dubbo1400m7 Sept 2026 · Benchmark 50 · GOOD44.2L
  4. 11Narromine1300m23 Aug 2026 · Benchmark 58 · HEAVY88.1L
  5. 8Cowra1375m18 Jan 2026 · CL3 · GOOD46.1L
  6. 2Gilgandra1280m27 Dec 2025 · BM50 · GOOD41.1L
  7. 2Dubbo1300m20 Dec 2025 · BM50 · GOOD41.5L
  8. 4Dubbo1300m8 Dec 2025 · BM58 · GOOD33.4L

Insights

  • Trainer SR

    Negative

    Garry Lunn striking at just 6%

  • Cold J/T Combo

    Negative

    Combo are losing -34% POT in their L100 Races

  • Trainer A2E

    Negative

    Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 42%

  • Well Placed

    Positive

    Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Collarenebri winner two back. Battled home into last in the small field at Grenfell. Coming back in distance. One for exotics.

ILB

Jumped at $16.00 and appeared lacklustre when 6th last start at Grenfell. Definite winning chance.

RP

Finished last of six at Grenfell over 7f (handicap) last month; can be a player at this level; leading claims if in the same mood as when achieving most recent success.

RSIS

Started 15/1 and not competitive when 6th last run at Grenfell. Good chance of taking this out.

5DupennyJ: Jake Pracey-Holmes·T: Brett Thompson258.5kg7 9 4 10 1230: 3-5-3$17.00$3.60

Career

30: 3-5-3

Rating · IRD

86

Speed map

Onpace

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey20%
  • Trainer60%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
  • Early Speed20%
  • Rating60%
  • Closing Speed50%

Record

  • First-up

    6: 0-2-0

  • Second-up

    5: 2-0-0

  • Third-up

    3: 0-2-0

  • Fourth-up

    3: 0-1-1

  • Track Binnaway

    1: 1-0-0

  • Track Dubbo

    10: 1-1-1

  • Track Mudgee

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1300m

    1: 1-0-0

  • Distance 1400m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 900m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Good

    15: 2-3-2

  • Going Heavy

    3: 0-0-0

  • Going Soft

    11: 1-2-1

Last starts

  1. 12Mudgee1100m3 Oct 2026 · BM509.55L
  2. 10Narromine1100m21 Sept 2026 · BM58 · GOOD312.24L
  3. 4Wellington900m15 Sept 2026 · Barrier Trial · SOFT(6)6L
  4. 9Dubbo1100m10 Aug 2025 · BM58 HCP · GOOD44.5L
  5. 7Wellington1100m29 July 2025 · BenchMark 58 · HEAVY93.3L
  6. 10Cowra1100m5 July 2025 · BenchMark 50 · HEAVY86L
  7. 3Narromine1100m23 June 2025 · BM58 HCP · GOOD42.6L
  8. 4Gulgong1200m8 June 2025 · Open · GOOD41.9L

Insights

  • Jockey Booking

    Negative

    Less suitable jockey engaged

  • Trainer Recent

    Negative

    Stable runners are currently underperforming market by 27%

  • Maps Well

    Positive

    Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 17%

  • Gave ground LS

    Negative

    Faded towards the finish last time out

  • Nice Barrier

    Positive

    Well drawn from gate 2

  • Dist S/R

    Negative

    Poor performer at the distance

  • Fitness

    Positive

    At peak fitness backing up

  • Class Rise

    Negative

    Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

On a quick back-up. Failed to threaten in choppy conditions at Mudgee when second-up. First time around Forbes. Latest below par and lift required.

ILB

Backing up quickly. Started at $8.00 and just average when 12th last start at Mudgee but drawn nicely. Strong claims.

RP

Finished last of 12 over 5½f at Mudgee (handicap) a week ago; hard enough to fancy.

RSIS

On a short back up. At 7/1 was nothing special when 12th last time at Mudgee but drawn nicely. One of the punters top hopes at a very generous price.

6Fantasy CrownedJ: Ellen Hennessy·T: Ms J Galea958kg10 5 7 12 735: 2-4-3$3.00$1.32

Career

35: 2-4-3

Rating · IRD

79

Speed map

Backmarker

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey20%
  • Trainer100%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
  • Early Speed20%
  • Rating40%
  • Closing Speed100%

Record

  • First-up

    6: 0-1-1

  • Second-up

    4: 0-0-0

  • Third-up

    4: 1-0-1

  • Fourth-up

    4: 0-1-0

  • Track Dubbo

    14: 1-2-2

  • Track Orange

    3: 0-0-0

  • Track Gunnedah

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1600m

    6: 0-1-0

  • Distance 1100m

    6: 0-2-0

  • Distance 1300m

    3: 1-0-0

  • Going Good

    24: 1-3-2

  • Going Soft

    11: 1-1-1

Last starts

  1. 7Dubbo1100m27 Sept 2026 · CTRY CL2-SW · GOOD43.47L
  2. 12Dubbo1400m3 May 2026 · Benchmark 58 · GOOD45.8L
  3. 7Dubbo1600m18 Apr 2026 · BM50 · GOOD42.6L
  4. 5Wellington1400m10 Apr 2026 · BM58 · GOOD43L
  5. 10Orange1400m22 Mar 2026 · CTRY CL2 · GOOD46.7L
  6. 5Warren1200m21 Mar 2026 · BM50 · GOOD42.6L
  7. 4Cowra1200m9 Mar 2026 · BM58 · GOOD43.4L
  8. 7Mudgee1100m21 Feb 2026 · BM66 · SOFT52.9L

Insights

  • Jockey Booking

    Negative

    Ellen Hennessy current POT is 66% below Career Avg.

  • Jockey Booking

    Negative

    Less suitable jockey engaged

  • Cold J/T Combo

    Negative

    Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races

  • Trainer Form

    Positive

    In form stable, out performing market expectations 74%

  • Profitable Trainer

    Positive

    Stable runners going at 49% POT in L100 Runners

  • Rider Poor SR

    Negative

    Jockey underperforming market expectations by 75% in L100 rides

  • Dist S/R

    Negative

    Poor performer at the distance

  • Well Placed

    Positive

    Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Got back and wasn't totally disgraced at Dubbo first run back. Will be fitter second-up. Right in this.

ILB

At $151.00 finished 7th last time at Dubbo but competing in a less challenging grade. Prefers to settle towards the rear. Betting is the best guide.

RP

Not a frequent winner; didn't run too badly when out of the frame at Dubbo (beaten 3½l) two weeks ago dropped down to 5½f in a conditions race; makes limited appeal.

RSIS

Was 150/1 and ran 7th last run at Dubbo but facing weaker opposition. Might be ridden for luck. Watch the betting.

7Bitta Bon MagicJ: Jess Del Frari·T: Bill Hayes457.5kg6 2 4 7 623: 3-2-2$5.50$1.90

Career

23: 3-2-2

Rating · IRD

75

Speed map

Leader

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey20%
  • Trainer60%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
  • Early Speed20%
  • Rating40%
  • Closing Speed20%

Record

  • First-up

    4: 0-0-0

  • Second-up

    3: 1-1-0

  • Third-up

    3: 0-0-0

  • Fourth-up

    3: 0-0-0

  • Track Condobolin

    1: 1-0-0

  • Track Lockhart

    1: 1-0-0

  • Track Louth

    1: 0-1-0

  • Distance 800m

    3: 0-0-0

  • Distance 930m

    1: 1-0-0

  • Distance 1000m

    3: 1-1-0

  • Going Soft

    3: 0-0-0

  • Going Synthetic

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Unknown

    13: 3-2-2

Last starts

  1. 6Dubbo1400m27 Sept 2026 · 3UP SW · GOOD46.67L
  2. 7Wellington1400m15 Sept 2026 · CL1 · SOFT64.58L
  3. 4Cobar1000m22 Aug 2026 · 3yo+1.1L
  4. 2Louth1000m8 Aug 2026 · CL12.2L
  5. 6Trangie800m25 July 2026 · 3yo+4.4L
  6. 3Tomingley1150m18 Apr 2026 · 3yo+1.5L
  7. 2Bourke1300m5 Apr 2026 · 3yo+1L
  8. 4Ardlethan1200m21 Mar 2026 · 3yo+3.4L

Insights

  • Jockey Booking

    Negative

    Less suitable jockey engaged

  • Cold J/T Combo

    Negative

    Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races

  • Dist S/R

    Negative

    Poor performer at the distance

  • Well Placed

    Positive

    Drops back to a suitable class

  • Down In Weight

    Positive

    Drops 7.5kg from LS run

Comments

AAP

On pace but found little at the business end at Dubbo. Switching to 1200m. Capable of better.

ILB

Started $71.00 and finished 6th last run at Dubbo. Facing a difficult task.

RP

Missed the frame (beaten 7l into sixth) over 7f at Dubbo (conditions race) last month; form lately has been a mixed bag; he can be taken on.

RSIS

Started at 70/1 and came in 6th last run at Dubbo.

8Crusader RazorScratched3––––

Career

26: 1-2-1

Rating · IRD

70

Speed map

Midfield

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey20%
  • Trainer80%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
  • Early Speed20%
  • Rating20%
  • Closing Speed50%

Record

  • First-up

    6: 1-0-0

  • Second-up

    4: 0-0-0

  • Third-up

    3: 0-0-1

  • Fourth-up

    3: 0-1-0

  • Track Queanbeyan

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Warwick Farm

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Tuncurry

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1010m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1150m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1206m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Synthetic

    2: 0-2-0

  • Going Unknown

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Good

    15: 0-0-1

Last starts

  1. 5Lockhart930m2 Oct 2026 · 3yo+8.05L
  2. 12Canberra1280m12 June 2026 · CL2-SW · GOOD320.9L
  3. 9Canberra1206m22 May 2026 · CL1 · GOOD314.5L
  4. 5Queanbeyan1200m21 Apr 2026 · BM58 · GOOD44.7L
  5. 7Moruya1010m4 Apr 2026 · CL1 · SOFT610.7L
  6. 5Tuncurry1600m21 Feb 2026 · CL1-SW · GOOD45.8L
  7. 8Canberra1300m6 Feb 2026 · CL1 · GOOD46.5L
  8. 7Gunnedah1300m19 Jan 2026 · CL2 · GOOD35.6L

Insights

  • Increased Dist

    Positive

    Distance rise from last start

Comments

AAP

Hasn't done much since breaking his maiden. Unable to make an impression at Lockhart first up. New to Forbes. Been racing at the picnics.

ILB

On a quick back up. Not up to standard when 5th last run at Lockhart but stepping back up in trip.

RP

Finished last of five over 4½f at Lockhart (handicap) last Friday; just the one victory on his CV; passed over given lifeless performances of late.

RSIS

Backs up quickly. Mediocre attempt when 5th last start at Lockhart but returns to an increased distance.

9Go BabyJ: Clayton Gallagher·T: Kylie Kennedy1056.5kg11 10 10 5 810: 1-0-0$14.00$3.30

Career

10: 1-0-0

Rating · IRD

76

Speed map

Offmidfield

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey80%
  • Trainer100%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
  • Early Speed20%
  • Rating40%
  • Closing Speed80%

Record

  • First-up

    2: 0-0-0

  • Second-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Third-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Fourth-up

    1: 1-0-0

  • Track Mudgee

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Narromine

    3: 1-0-0

  • Track Warren

    2: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1300m

    3: 1-0-0

  • Distance 1400m

    5: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1600m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Good

    5: 0-0-0

  • Going Heavy

    2: 1-0-0

  • Going Soft

    3: 0-0-0

Last starts

  1. 8Dubbo1300m27 Sept 2026 · CL1 · GOOD47.57L
  2. 5Narromine1200m23 Aug 2026 · CL1 · HEAVY83.7L
  3. 10Forbes1400m2 Aug 2026 · CL1 · GOOD411.5L
  4. 10Warren1600m21 July 2026 · CL1-SW · SOFT516.8L
  5. 11Dubbo1400m13 July 2026 · BM58 · SOFT58.8L
  6. 1Narromine1300m22 June 2026 · CTRY MDN-SW · HEAVY10-0.1
  7. 8Warren1400m1 June 2026 · CTRY MDN-SW · SOFT75.21L
  8. 7Mudgee1400m10 May 2026 · MDN-SW · GOOD415.3L

Insights

  • Profitable Trainer

    Positive

    Stable runners going at 6% POT in L100 Runners

  • Maps Well

    Positive

    Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 30%

  • Class Rise

    Negative

    Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

Ridden cold and never in the picture at Dubbo. Needs to recapture form.

ILB

Jumped at $101.00 and came in 8th last time at Dubbo. Likely to settle back in the field. Entitled to be a big price.

RP

Beaten a fair way when eighth over 6½f at Dubbo (handicap) last month; this probably not the most competitive race; can make a bold bid.

RSIS

Was 100/1 and came in 8th last time at Dubbo. Likely to get back in the run.

10LoudJ: Diego Montes De Oca·T: Peter Reynolds556kg1 7 2 9 754: 4-8-11$5.00$1.80

Career

54: 4-8-11

Rating · IRD

100

Speed map

Onpace

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey100%
  • Trainer20%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
  • Early Speed20%
  • Rating100%
  • Closing Speed50%

Record

  • First-up

    6: 1-0-2

  • Second-up

    5: 0-0-0

  • Third-up

    5: 0-2-0

  • Fourth-up

    5: 0-0-1

  • Track Gilgandra

    5: 1-0-1

  • Track Parkes

    3: 0-0-2

  • Track CurrentTrack

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1000m

    8: 0-0-2

  • Distance 1010m

    1: 0-0-1

  • Distance 1280m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Good

    24: 2-1-6

  • Going Heavy

    5: 1-0-2

  • Going Soft

    16: 1-4-2

Last starts

  1. 7Mudgee1100m3 Oct 2026 · BM503.52L
  2. 9Narromine1100m21 Sept 2026 · BM58 · GOOD34.23L
  3. 2Collarenebri1200m12 Sept 2026 · BM450.7L
  4. 7Mendooran1000m5 Sept 2026 · BM504.6L
  5. 1Gilgandra1100m1 Aug 2026 · BM50 · GOOD4-0.4
  6. 7Orange1000m14 Feb 2026 · BM50 · GOOD43.2L
  7. 5Gilgandra1000m7 Feb 2026 · BM50 · SOFT61.3L
  8. 3Parkes1200m9 Jan 2026 · BM50 · GOOD31L

Insights

  • Jockey ROI

    Positive

    Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 7% in Last 100 Rides

  • Trainer SR

    Negative

    Peter Reynolds striking at just 6%

  • Key Rider

    Positive

    Diego Montes De Oca 24% above market expected in L100 Rides

  • Trainer Recent

    Negative

    Stable runners are currently underperforming market by 56%

  • Trainer ROI

    Negative

    Trainers runners currently losing 68% Profit on Turnover

  • Hot Jockey

    Positive

    Diego Montes De Oca in hot recent form, out performing market expectation by 24%

  • Primed

    Positive

    Fitter here racing on a quick back up

  • Class Rise

    Negative

    Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

Backing up quickly. Performance just fair in choppy conditions at Mudgee at $8. Can't enthuse.

ILB

On a short back up. Started $13.00 and ran 7th last start at Mudgee. Should bounce back. Should be going forward early. Major chance.

RP

Didn't run too badly when out of the frame at Mudgee (beaten 3½l) over 5½f (handicap, had Calmundi and Dupenny behind) seven days ago; others have more pressing claims.

RSIS

On a quick turnaround. Was 12/1 and finished 7th last start at Mudgee. Should improve. Expecting to settle positively. Will show up at the business end.

11Savvy StatementScratched8––––

Rating · IRD

20

Figures

  • Jockey50%
  • Trainer60%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo50%
  • Early Speed50%
  • Rating50%
  • Closing Speed50%

Insights

  • Fresh

    Positive

    Freshened up. Had a break of 42-60 days

Comments

AAP

Let-up (49-days). Not disgraced at Cobar second-up at $8. Dual winner this trip. Could get into the placings.

ILB

Let up. Jumped at $10.00 and below par when 7th last start at Cobar.

RSIS

Back from a freshen up. Odds of 9/1 and struggled when 7th last start at Cobar.

12Yael's DelightJ: Ken Dunbar·T: Barry Wall755kg2 5 4 4 1053: 6-4-4$9.00$2.60

Career

53: 6-4-4

Rating · IRD

73

Speed map

Onpace

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey80%
  • Trainer100%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
  • Early Speed20%
  • Rating40%
  • Closing Speed20%

Record

  • First-up

    6: 0-1-1

  • Second-up

    4: 1-1-0

  • Third-up

    4: 1-0-0

  • Fourth-up

    4: 0-0-1

  • Track Forbes

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Gunnedah

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Cootamundra

    1: 0-1-0

  • Distance 1150m

    2: 0-1-0

  • Distance 1200m

    8: 0-2-0

  • Distance 1280m

    2: 0-0-0

  • Going Heavy

    4: 1-1-0

  • Going Soft

    15: 3-1-2

  • Going Synthetic

    2: 0-0-0

Last starts

  1. 10Canberra1000m26 Sept 2026 · 4UP BM50 HCP · GOOD45.41L
  2. 4Bathurst1100m16 June 2026 · BM58 · HEAVY94L
  3. 4Canberra1080m22 May 2026 · 4UP BM50 HCP · GOOD33.1L
  4. 5Leeton1150m9 May 2026 · Benchmark 505.9L
  5. 2Wellington1000m10 Apr 2026 · Benchmark 50 · GOOD40.1L
  6. 9Canberra1000m25 Mar 2026 · 4UP BM50 HCP · SOFT52.7L
  7. 13Cowra1200m9 Mar 2026 · BM58 · GOOD47.2L
  8. 7Condobolin1000m21 Feb 2026 · 3yo+13L

Insights

  • Cold J/T Combo

    Negative

    Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races

  • Trainer ROI

    Positive

    Runners from this stable currently going at 17% POT in L100 Runners

  • Gave ground LS

    Negative

    Faded towards the finish last time out

  • Dist S/R

    Negative

    Poor performer at the distance

  • Well Placed

    Positive

    Drops back to a suitable class

  • Imprv Needed

    Negative

    Would need to lift here to feature

Comments

AAP

Went home tamely at Canberra first up at $14. Fitter and second-up form generally better. Can fill the minors here.

ILB

Odds of $14.00 and looked outclassed when 10th last time at Canberra. Has plenty of early speed. Prefer a race with softer competition.

RP

Beaten 5½l when tenth of 11 over 5f at Canberra (handicap) last month; should not be ruled out as shown she can be competitive fairly recently.

RSIS

Started 13/1 and lost ground in the run home when 10th last start at Canberra. Has plenty of early pace.

13Ultra WhiteJ: Sairyn Fawke·T: Dar Lunn855kg4 9 11 8 969: 4-9-6$23.00$3.90

Career

69: 4-9-6

Rating · IRD

75

Speed map

Offpace

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey20%
  • Trainer80%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
  • Early Speed100%
  • Rating40%
  • Closing Speed20%

Record

  • First-up

    5: 0-3-0

  • Second-up

    4: 1-1-1

  • Third-up

    4: 1-0-1

  • Fourth-up

    3: 0-2-0

  • Track Scone

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Mudgee

    2: 0-1-0

  • Track Gilgandra

    3: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1450m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1600m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 900m

    1: 0-1-0

  • Going Soft

    20: 0-3-3

  • Going Unknown

    7: 1-1-0

  • Going Good

    37: 2-4-3

Last starts

  1. 9Dubbo1300m27 Sept 2026 · BM58 · GOOD411.69L
  2. 8Wellington1600m15 Sept 2026 · BM58 · SOFT68.43L
  3. 11Gulargambone1450m29 Aug 2026 · BM457.9L
  4. 9Gilgandra1100m1 Aug 2026 · BM50 · GOOD44.2L
  5. 4Carinda1100m18 July 2026 · BM452.7L
  6. 4Muswellbrook1000m7 July 2026 · BM58 HCP · SOFT74.5L
  7. 6Narromine1100m22 June 2026 · BM58 · HEAVY103.7L
  8. 1Gulgong1000m7 June 2026 · BM50-0.6

Insights

  • Rider

    Negative

    Negative rider change today

  • Early Splits

    Positive

    Has early speed. An advantage on this circuit

  • Gave ground LS

    Negative

    Faded towards the finish last time out

  • Awkward Draw

    Negative

    Would have liked a better draw

  • Dist S/R

    Negative

    Poor performer at the distance

  • Well Placed

    Positive

    Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Prominent but got the staggers and surrendered quickly at Dubbo. First time around Forbes. Not fancied.

ILB

Started $101.00 and faded to finish 9th last start at Dubbo. Appears tested.

RP

Beaten 12l when ninth of ten at Dubbo over 6½f (handicap) 13 days ago; largely disappointing since successful in a handicap at Gulgong in June; not hard to turn elsewhere.

RSIS

Started at 100/1 and couldn't stay in touch when 9th last start at Dubbo.

14LockadenteScratched13––––

Rating · IRD

20

Figures

  • Jockey50%
  • Trainer20%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
  • Early Speed20%
  • Rating40%
  • Closing Speed50%

Insights

  • Fast Finisher

    Positive

    Fastest Overall Finishing Sectionals Last Start

Comments

AAP

Last win was 26 Dec 2024. Kept grinding away for the minors at Grenfell over this trip. This looks a deeper race.

ILB

Tidy run when 3rd last start at Grenfell.

RSIS

Ran well when 3rd last run at Grenfell.

Odds correct as at . Odds can change.