Forbes (NSW) horses tips & previews

6 Nov, 2:18 pm AEDT

One race at a time: field, form guide and win/place odds for Forbes (NSW), with capture times on every price.

Meeting — Sat 10 Oct, 11:00 am AEDT

Meetings · Sat, 10 OctForbes (NSW)Change

Race 4 — Terry Bros Carpet Court (Bm50) 1400m · jumps Sat 10 Oct, 4:44 pm AEDT

Race notes

BM50,BM50 HCP,Benchmark 50
GOOD4
Fine
6 runners

Shortest win price

Commando Jack (6)

1.75

Most career wins

Jade Division

5-4-5 from 40 starts

Speed map

Back left · leaders right

Backmarker

3Champ De Mars

Offmidfield

2Golden Warrior

Midfield

1Firestorm Boy
7Jade Division
8Lockadente

Leader

6Commando Jack

Firestorm Boy · Negative
Trainer Career
Trainer Career S/R is 6%
Golden Warrior · Positive
Fast Finisher
Fastest Overall Finishing Sectionals Last Start
Champ De Mars · Negative
Trainer SR
Sharon Jeffries striking at just 9%
Commando Jack · Negative
Maps Poorly
Map position not suited at this track, under performing market expectations by 25%

No.RunnerBarWgtLast 5WinPlace

1Firestorm BoyJ: Jake Pracey-Holmes·T: G D Lunn460.5kg3 9 4 1 537: 3-5-6$6.00$2.40

Career

37: 3-5-6

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Midfield

BackLead

Figures

Jockey20%
Trainer20%
Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
Early Speed20%
Rating40%
Closing Speed50%

Record

First-up
6: 1-1-2
Second-up
5: 0-0-0
Third-up
4: 1-0-0
Fourth-up
4: 0-1-1
Track Scone
1: 0-0-0
Track Sandown
1: 0-0-0
Track Grenfell
1: 1-0-0
Distance 1400m
5: 0-2-1
Distance 1600m
5: 0-1-0
Distance 1800m
1: 0-0-1
Going Synthetic
3: 0-0-0
Going Unknown
8: 2-2-2
Going Good
19: 1-2-3

Last starts

5Mudgee1100m3 Oct 2026 · BM503.4L
1Grenfell1200m26 Sept 2026 · CL2-0.74
4Collarenebri1200m12 Sept 2026 · BM451.3L
9Narromine1300m23 Aug 2026 · Benchmark 58 · HEAVY811L
3Gilgandra1800m4 Jan 2026 · CL3 · GOOD44.1L
3Wellington1400m26 Dec 2025 · BM502.9L
6Dubbo1600m20 Dec 2025 · CL2 · GOOD45.8L
8Narromine1600m2 Dec 2025 · BM58 · GOOD46.8L

Insights

Trainer Career
Negative
Trainer Career S/R is 6%
Rider
Negative
Negative rider change today
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -41% POT in their L100 Races
Trainer A2E
Negative
Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 42%
Maps Poorly
Negative
Map position not suited at this track, under performing market expectations by 25%
Dist S/R
Negative
Poor performer at the distance
Increased Dist
Positive
Distance rise from last start
Track Exp
Positive
Knows this track well

Comments

AAP

Backing up quickly. Battled home okay in choppy conditions at Mudgee. Looks up against it.

ILB

On a quick turnaround. Came in 5th last start at Mudgee but returning to an increased distance. Displays good tactical speed. Modest contender.

Useful at this level; fair effort when beaten 3½l, finishing fifth of 12 over 5½f at Mudgee (handicap) last week; can be on the premises as shown he can win fairly recently.

RSIS

Backs up quickly. Ran 5th last start at Mudgee but back to an increased distance. Will be positive in the run early.

2Golden WarriorJ: Michael Heagney·T: A D Bourke260.5kg6 9 10 7 127: 3-2-0$4.20$1.90

Career

27: 3-2-0

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Offmidfield

BackLead

Figures

Jockey20%
Trainer20%
Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
Early Speed20%
Rating40%
Closing Speed50%

Record

First-up
4: 0-0-0
Second-up
3: 0-1-0
Third-up
3: 0-1-0
Fourth-up
2: 0-0-0
Track Warrnambool
1: 0-0-0
Track Cowra
1: 0-0-0
Track Grenfell
1: 1-0-0
Distance 1300m
2: 0-0-0
Distance 1400m
7: 2-1-0
Distance 1600m
2: 0-0-0
Going Good
15: 1-2-0
Going Heavy
2: 0-0-0
Going Soft
7: 0-0-0

Last starts

1Grenfell1400m26 Sept 2026 · BM58 (BM56)-1.91
7Griffith1200m12 Sept 2026 · BM50 · GOOD31.9L
10Canberra1400m4 Sept 2026 · BM55 · SOFT63.4L
9Goulburn1400m3 Aug 2026 · CL2 BM62 · GOOD45.8L
6Canberra1280m24 July 2026 · CL2-SW · GOOD38.4L
7Canberra1080m8 July 2026 · 4UP BM50 HCP · GOOD33.6L
5Canberra1280m26 June 2026 · 4UP BM50 HCP · GOOD31.2L
5Canberra1080m30 May 2026 · 4UP BM50 HCP · GOOD35.6L

Insights

Fast Finisher
Positive
Fastest Overall Finishing Sectionals Last Start
Current SR
Negative
Rider’s recent POT is returning 45% lower than Career Avg.
Trainer SR
Negative
Andrew Bourke striking at just 4%
Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are out performing market expectations by 84%
Trainer A2E
Negative
Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 46%
Rider Poor SR
Negative
Jockey underperforming market expectations by 63% in L100 rides
Maps Well
Positive
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 9%
Solid Run LS
Positive
Won last start

Comments

AAP

All honours in the small field at Grenfell over this distance. Seems to prefer it dry. Well into preparation now, can show up again at fair odds.

ILB

Displayed potential when winning by 2L last time at Grenfell and has a positive alley. Can go through the gears. Rises in weight. Could be in the mix.

Returned to winning ways when landing a handicap over this trip by 2l at Grenfell two weeks ago; he's worth a go.

RSIS

Scored a victory by 2L last run at Grenfell and has a positive draw. Has a great burst of pace late. Bit of extra work to do with more weight.

3Champ De MarsJ: Jacob Stiff·T: Ms S Jeffries359.5kg7 2 5 4 533: 1-5-7$7.50$2.80

Career

33: 1-5-7

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Backmarker

BackLead

Figures

Jockey80%
Trainer40%
Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
Early Speed20%
Rating60%
Closing Speed100%

Record

First-up
5: 0-0-1
Second-up
4: 0-1-1
Third-up
4: 0-1-1
Fourth-up
4: 1-0-0
Track Nowra
2: 0-0-1
Track Wyong
1: 0-0-0
Track Mudgee
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1000m
6: 0-1-1
Distance 1100m
9: 0-2-2
Distance 1180m
1: 0-1-0
Going Good
13: 0-1-4
Going Heavy
3: 1-0-0
Going Soft
12: 0-3-1

Last starts

5Wellington1400m15 Sept 2026 · CL1 · SOFT63.89L
4Gulargambone1200m29 Aug 2026 · CL12.9L
5Trangie1100m25 July 2026 · 3yo+2.9L
2Cowra1100m11 July 2026 · Benchmark 50 · SOFT50.2L
7Dubbo1100m28 June 2026 · CL1 · HEAVY83.6L
6Dubbo1100m5 June 2026 · CTRY CL1 · HEAVY96.9L
4Parkes1200m24 Jan 2026 · CL2 BM62 · GOOD43.2L
3Wellington1100m26 Dec 2025 · CL12.9L

Insights

Trainer SR
Negative
Sharon Jeffries striking at just 9%
Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are out performing market expectations by 62%
Trainer A2E
Negative
Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 30%
Maps Well
Positive
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 9%
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
Weight Increase
Negative
Rises 6kg now

Comments

AAP

Ran home respectably into a non-threatening 5th at Wellington over this distance. Can fill the minors here.

ILB

Inched into 5th last start at Wellington but up in weight. Should muster plenty of early speed. Jacob Stiff and Sharon Jeffries form a proven partnership. Worth a serious look.

Not beaten that far at Wellington three weeks ago; generally struggled with a record of 1-33; is passed over with a number of her rivals in good nick.

RSIS

Showed some merit late when 5th last time at Wellington but has to carry more weight this time. Should muster plenty of early pace. Hard to see finishing out of the placings.

4HimerosScratched5––––

Career

62: 5-6-13

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Leader

BackLead

Figures

Jockey40%
Trainer100%
Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
Early Speed20%
Rating100%
Closing Speed40%

Record

First-up
5: 0-1-1
Second-up
4: 0-0-1
Third-up
4: 1-0-0
Fourth-up
3: 0-0-1
Track Hawkesbury
2: 0-0-1
Track Dubbo
5: 1-0-0
Track Cowra
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1375m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1600m
27: 1-4-10
Distance 1618m
1: 0-0-0
Going Unknown
10: 3-1-5
Going Good
30: 2-2-4
Going Heavy
5: 0-1-1

Last starts

8Dubbo1400m27 Sept 2026 · 3UP SW · GOOD47.04L
4Mendooran1500m5 Sept 2026 · BM503.7L
3Cobar1700m22 Aug 2026 · 3yo+2.4L
1Louth1700m8 Aug 2026 · BM45-5.7
1Gilgandra1600m1 Aug 2026 · BM50 · GOOD4-0.2
3Coonabarabran1600m25 July 2026 · CL1-SW · SOFT50.6L
9Cowra1375m11 July 2026 · BM50 · SOFT57.5L
10Narromine1600m22 June 2026 · CL1-SW · HEAVY1021.4L

Insights

Stable In Form
Positive
Stable going well. Out performing market by 31%
Profitable Trainer
Positive
Stable runners going at 6% POT in L100 Runners
Maps Poorly
Negative
Map position not suited at this track, under performing market expectations by 25%
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
Weight Drop
Positive
Drops 5.5kg from LS run

Comments

AAP

Rider found a forward spot at Dubbo but he put in a very lacklustre finish over this trip. Capable of better.

ILB

Struggled with the pace when 8th last time at Dubbo.

Held when eighth beaten 7l (Dubbo) last month in a conditions race; probably unlikely to trouble the principals as a few rivals look in good form; also engaged in race 2 at Forbes.

RSIS

Gave away some ground when 8th last time at Dubbo.

5Tamieka WarriorScratched5––––

Career

17: 1-4-2

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Backmarker

BackLead

Figures

Jockey40%
Trainer80%
Jockey/Trainer Combo60%
Early Speed100%
Rating40%
Closing Speed40%

Record

First-up
4: 0-1-0
Second-up
3: 0-0-0
Third-up
2: 0-1-0
Fourth-up
2: 1-0-0
Track Tamworth
1: 0-1-0
Track Wandoan
1: 0-1-0
Track Newcastle
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1400m
2: 1-0-1
Distance 1600m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1800m
3: 0-1-0
Going Good
7: 0-1-1
Going Soft
6: 1-1-0
Going Unknown
4: 0-2-1

Last starts

3Armidale1400m20 Sept 2026 · CL1 · GOOD30.94L
1Mudgee1400m30 Aug 2026 · CTRY MDN · SOFT7-0.1
8Newcastle1600m22 Aug 2026 · 4UP MDN-SW · GOOD44.3L
6Scone1300m31 July 2026 · MDN-SW · GOOD42.6L
2Tamworth1200m17 July 2026 · MDN-SW · GOOD42.2L
6Scone1000m1 July 2026 · Barrier Trial · HEAVY(8)10.2L
4Augathella1300m6 Apr 2026 · 2UP MDN-SW6.6L
2Wandoan900m7 Mar 2026 · 2UP MDN-SW0.4L

Insights

Fast Finisher
Positive
Fastest Overall Finishing Sectionals Last Start
Maps Poorly
Negative
Map position not suited at this track, under performing market expectations by 25%
Fast Early
Positive
Sectionals suggest goes hard early
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
Weight Rise
Negative
Carrying 4.5kg more than LS

Comments

AAP

Cleared maiden ranks at Mudgee 30 Aug. Forwardly placed, continued to stick on at Armidale over this trip. Worth a look.

ILB

Set a strong tempo before tiring to place 3rd beaten by 1L last time at Armidale but bit of extra work to do with more weight.

Seems to have stepped up on previous form the last twice; missed out by less than a length at Armidale last month; likely to be involved.

RSIS

Gave a strong sight when 3rd last start at Armidale but goes up in weight. Racing consistently lately. Might have to make up considerable ground.

6Commando JackJ: Clayton Gallagher·T: David J Smith759kg12 5 6 8 839: 3-3-4$1.75$1.20

Career

39: 3-3-4

Rating · IRD

100

Speed map

Leader

BackLead

Figures

Jockey80%
Trainer60%
Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
Early Speed100%
Rating100%
Closing Speed50%

Record

First-up
7: 1-0-0
Second-up
6: 1-1-0
Third-up
5: 0-0-1
Fourth-up
5: 0-0-2
Track Warren
1: 0-0-0
Track Forbes
1: 0-0-0
Track Nowra
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1500m
2: 0-1-1
Distance 1600m
7: 0-1-0
Distance 1620m
1: 0-0-0
Going Soft
15: 0-1-3
Going Good
17: 1-1-1
Going Heavy
7: 2-1-0

Last starts

8Mudgee1400m30 Aug 2026 · BM58 · SOFT710.4L
8Dubbo1620m10 Aug 2026 · BM58 HCP · HEAVY96.6L
6Forbes1400m2 Aug 2026 · Benchmark 58 · GOOD41.9L
5Dubbo1400m13 July 2026 · BM58 · SOFT51.8L
12Tamworth1200m3 July 2026 · BM58 CL2+ · SOFT710.2L
5Mudgee1400m21 Feb 2026 · BM66 · SOFT52.4L
2Muswellbrook1500m9 Feb 2026 · BM58 HCP · HEAVY100.5L
5Dubbo1418m12 Jan 2026 · BM66 · GOOD40.9L

Insights

Maps Poorly
Negative
Map position not suited at this track, under performing market expectations by 25%
Fast Early
Positive
Sectionals suggest goes hard early
Gave ground LS
Negative
Faded towards the finish last time out
Gap In Runs
Negative
Not raced for 41 days
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Freshened. Failed to threaten (wide draw) in rain affected going at Mudgee over today's trip when supported. Expect a lift on latest.

ILB

At $3.20 well beaten when 8th last time at Mudgee. Can show a better performance this time. No surprise to see this winning.

Left backers frustrated when eighth of ten at 11-5 at Mudgee 41 days ago; has proven competitive in a race of this nature; in the mix.

RSIS

Odds of 11/5 and fairly underwhelming when 8th last start at Mudgee. Should improve. Expect a bold effort.

7Jade DivisionJ: Sairyn Fawke·T: Brett Thompson658kg3 5 11 6 1240: 5-4-5$12.00$3.70

Career

40: 5-4-5

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Midfield

BackLead

Figures

Jockey20%
Trainer60%
Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
Early Speed100%
Rating20%
Closing Speed20%

Record

First-up
4: 1-1-0
Second-up
3: 0-0-1
Third-up
3: 0-1-1
Fourth-up
3: 0-0-0
Track Bathurst
3: 0-1-0
Track Coonabarabran
1: 0-0-0
Track Warren
4: 2-1-0
Distance 1200m
9: 3-1-2
Distance 1250m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1280m
2: 0-0-0
Going Soft
14: 3-2-3
Going Unknown
3: 1-0-1
Going Good
16: 1-1-0

Last starts

12Narromine1600m21 Sept 2026 · BM58 · GOOD313.13L
6Bathurst1400m13 Sept 2026 · BM58 · SOFT54.8L
11Narromine1300m23 Aug 2026 · Benchmark 58 · HEAVY812.8L
5Coonabarabran1600m25 July 2026 · BM50 · SOFT52.9L
3Cowra1375m11 July 2026 · BM50 · SOFT51.2L
10Narromine1100m22 June 2026 · BM58 · HEAVY108.7L
7Parkes1200m9 Jan 2026 · BM50 · GOOD32.1L
5Gilgandra1280m27 Dec 2025 · BM50 · GOOD45.2L

Insights

Rider
Negative
Negative rider change today
Trainer A2E
Negative
Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 27%
Maps Poorly
Negative
Map position not suited at this track, under performing market expectations by 25%
Fast Early
Positive
Sectionals suggest goes hard early
Gave ground LS
Negative
Faded towards the finish last time out
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
Imprv Needed
Negative
Would need to lift here to feature

Comments

AAP

Finished a long way from the action (Bm58) at Narromine. Drops to shorter trip. Capable of making an impact if things pan out.

ILB

At $41.00 didn't find the line when 12th last start at Narromine. Has good tactical speed and will be nicely positioned. Marginal contender.

Last of 12 at Narromine over 1m (handicap) 19 days ago; struggled a bit since winning a handicap at Warren in December; this line-up contains some strong opposition so hard enough to fancy.

RSIS

At 40/1 couldn't maintain the pace when 12th last run at Narromine. Has plenty of early pace.

8LockadenteJ: Jess Del Frari·T: Dennis Bush155kg11 9 10 3 337: 2-3-5$26.00$5.00

Career

37: 2-3-5

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Midfield

BackLead

Figures

Jockey20%
Trainer20%
Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
Early Speed20%
Rating40%
Closing Speed50%

Record

First-up
4: 0-0-0
Second-up
3: 0-0-1
Third-up
3: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
3: 0-0-1
Track Moruya
2: 0-0-0
Track Canberra
2: 0-0-0
Track CurrentTrack
1: 0-1-0
Distance 1460m
2: 1-0-0
Distance 1700m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1000m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
12: 1-0-2
Going Heavy
6: 1-0-0
Going Soft
10: 0-2-0

Last starts

3Grenfell1200m26 Sept 2026 · CL23.28L
3Geurie1400m12 Sept 2026 · 3yo+5.5L
10Narromine1300m23 Aug 2026 · Benchmark 58 · HEAVY811.8L
9Dubbo1420m10 Aug 2026 · CL2 · HEAVY913L
11Cowra1375m11 July 2026 · BM50 · SOFT59.5L
4Ardlethan1400m21 Mar 2026 · 3yo+5L
10Cowra1700m9 Mar 2026 · BM58 · GOOD410.6L
4Condobolin1400m21 Feb 2026 · 3yo+11.8L

Insights

Trainer Career
Negative
Trainer Career S/R is 2%
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Trainer Recent
Negative
Stable runners are currently underperforming market by 72%
Trainer Form
Negative
Stable out of form, losing 64% Profit on Turnover
Maps Well
Positive
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 9%
Draw Suits
Positive
Well drawn inside
Dist S/R
Negative
Poor performer at the distance
Track Exp
Positive
Knows this track well

Comments

AAP

Long winning drought. Kept grinding away for the minors at Grenfell. This looks a deeper race.

ILB

Nice run when 3rd last start at Grenfell and has drawn the rails. Expecting to settle positively. Place at best.

Not beaten that far in third (just over 3l) over 6f at Grenfell (handicap) last month; a while since he's been in the winners' enclosure (last win at Christmas 2024); easy enough to take on.

RSIS

Nice run when 3rd last run at Grenfell and drawn nicely. Will be pushing for a forward position early.

Odds correct as at Sat 10 Oct, 4:50 pm AEDT. Odds can change.