Warwick (QLD) horses tips & previews

8 Nov, 12:51 am AEDT

One race at a time: field, form guide and win/place odds for Warwick (QLD), with capture times on every price.

Meeting — Sat 10 Oct, 11:00 am AEDT

Meetings · Sat, 10 OctWarwick (QLD)Change

Race 7 — Wickham Freight Lines / Maydan Livestock Transport Warwick Cup 1500m · jumps Sat 10 Oct, 5:07 pm AEDT

Race notes

HCP,Open
GOOD4
Overcast
11 runners

Shortest win price

Capital Asset (3)

3.80

Most career wins

The Catch

10-4-6 from 64 starts

Speed map

Back left · leaders right

Backmarker

6Last Chance Saloon
11Four Ace

Offmidfield

1Cape Crusader
4The Deputy

Midfield

9The Catch
7Luton Hoo

Offpace

8Zheng You
12Tuhinga

Onpace

5New Joy
10Aolani

Leader

3Capital Asset

Cape Crusader · Negative
Rider
Negative rider change today
Capital Asset · Positive
Rider SR
Jockey recent POT is 24% better than Career Avg.
The Deputy · Negative
Trainer Career
Trainer Career S/R is 7%
New Joy · Positive
Jockey ROI
Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 34% in Last 100 Rides

No.RunnerBarWgtLast 5WinPlace

1Cape CrusaderJ: William Galloway·T: Tony & Maddysen Sears259kg5 3 6 1 535: 8-5-6$11.00$3.20

Career

35: 8-5-6

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Offmidfield

BackLead

Figures

Jockey20%
Trainer80%
Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
Early Speed80%
Rating60%
Closing Speed60%

Record

First-up
6: 2-2-0
Second-up
5: 1-1-0
Third-up
4: 0-0-2
Fourth-up
4: 2-2-0
Track Warwick
4: 0-1-0
Track Eagle Farm
3: 0-0-0
Track Doomben
3: 0-0-2
Distance 1550m
1: 1-0-0
Distance 1620m
1: 1-0-0
Distance 1300m
1: 0-1-0
Going Good
25: 7-3-5
Going Heavy
1: 0-0-0
Going Soft
9: 1-2-1

Last starts

5Gold Coast1400m26 Sept 2026 · OPEN · GOOD42.2L
1Gold Coast1400m12 Sept 2026 · HCP · GOOD4-0.3
6Eagle Farm1600m6 May 2026 · BM78 · SOFT53.6L
3Doomben1600m28 Mar 2026 · BM78 · GOOD43.9L
5Gold Coast1800m14 Mar 2026 · GC STAKES · SOFT73.3L
3Gold Coast1800m21 Feb 2026 · HCP · GOOD45.2L
6Eagle Farm1810m31 Jan 2026 · BM80 · GOOD43.5L
1Murwillumbah1550m29 Dec 2025 · BM82 · GOOD4-0.4

Insights

Rider
Negative
Negative rider change today
Slow Early LS
Negative
Speed data from recent runs suggests slower early splits on avg
Drawn In
Positive
Suited drawn down low
Form At Track
Negative
Yet to win here
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Warmed up nicely late at Gold Coast second-up. One for exotics.

ILB

Started at $6.50 and finished 5th last start at Gold Coast but will try to take advantage of the alley. Will be hitting the line strongly. Large claim helps. Good chance at a nice price.

Proven that he knows how to get his head in front (seeking a ninth career win); finished just behind The Catch when fifth over 7f at Gold Coast (handicap) last month; prospects.

RSIS

Started 11/2 and ran 5th last time at Gold Coast but has a good draw. Possesses very good closing pace. The large claim from William Galloway should help. Nice chance at a very tempting price.

2Little BeginningsScratched11––––

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Onpace

BackLead

Figures

Jockey50%
Trainer60%
Jockey/Trainer Combo50%
Early Speed50%
Rating50%
Closing Speed80%

Insights

Solid Run LS
Positive
Won last start

Comments

AAP

On pace and toughed it out well at Gold Coast. Has early speed. Super fit from racing, worth a look.

ILB

Reeled them in to win last time at Gold Coast.

RSIS

Strong effort to the line to win last start at Gold Coast.

3Capital AssetJ: Jess Emmerson·T: S Strazzieri558kg7 3 8 5 546: 7-7-7$3.80$1.60

Career

46: 7-7-7

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Leader

BackLead

Figures

Jockey100%
Trainer100%
Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
Early Speed100%
Rating80%
Closing Speed40%

Record

First-up
8: 1-0-2
Second-up
6: 0-1-1
Third-up
6: 0-0-1
Fourth-up
6: 2-1-2
Track Kembla Grange
3: 2-0-0
Track Canterbury
4: 0-0-1
Track Newcastle
2: 0-0-0
Distance 1300m
8: 2-3-1
Distance 1615m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1625m
1: 0-0-0
Going Soft
11: 1-2-1
Going Synthetic
1: 0-1-0
Going Good
28: 5-2-5

Last starts

5Toowoomba1625m26 Sept 2026 · BM85 · GOOD44.46L
5Doomben1615m12 Sept 2026 · HCP · GOOD40.7L
8Eagle Farm1800m5 Sept 2026 · NMW · SOFT59.1L
3Doomben1600m22 Aug 2026 · NMW · GOOD41.26L
7Doomben1630m1 Aug 2026 · BM85 · GOOD43.8L
7Gold Coast1400m11 July 2026 · HCP · GOOD46.4L
4Gold Coast1200m27 June 2026 · HCP · SOFT55.5L
8Gold Coast1800m14 Mar 2026 · GC STAKES · SOFT74.1L

Insights

Rider SR
Positive
Jockey recent POT is 24% better than Career Avg.
Key Rider
Positive
Jess Emmerson 48% above market expected in L100 Rides
Trainer ROI
Positive
Runners from this stable currently going at 34% POT in L100 Runners
Key Jockey
Positive
Jess Emmerson winning at 31% POT in last 100 rides
Early Splits
Positive
Has early speed. An advantage on this circuit
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Compounded after leading at Toowoomba. Should press forward. A few runs under his belt this campaign, right in the mix.

ILB

Started at $13.00 and weakened under pressure when 5th last start at Toowoomba. Expecting improvement here and facing a weaker group of contenders. Displays good tactical speed. Gets a chance against these.

Not disgraced when fifth over 1m at Toowoomba (handicap) last month; others appeal more.

RSIS

Was 12/1 and didn't find the line when 5th last time at Toowoomba. Giving another go here and facing weaker opposition. Should come to hand quickly. Expecting a strong showing.

4The DeputyJ: Kelsey Lenton·T: Dale Groves1057.5kg1 1 4 4 636: 7-8-3$12.00$3.30

Career

36: 7-8-3

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Offmidfield

BackLead

Figures

Jockey40%
Trainer60%
Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
Early Speed100%
Rating40%
Closing Speed100%

Record

First-up
6: 2-1-0
Second-up
5: 1-1-0
Third-up
3: 1-0-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-0-1
Track Eagle Farm
1: 0-0-0
Track Geelong
3: 0-2-0
Track Rockhampton
1: 0-1-0
Distance 1680m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1300m
18: 7-6-2
Distance 1347m
1: 0-1-0
Going Good
22: 5-5-2
Going Heavy
1: 0-0-0
Going Soft
13: 2-3-1

Last starts

6Toowoomba1200m26 Sept 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD44.07L
4Dalby1400m13 Sept 2026 · HCP · GOOD31L
4Toowoomba1300m29 Aug 2026 · BM75 · GOOD41.8L
1Toowoomba1300m25 Apr 2026 · BM75 · GOOD4-1.35
1Toowoomba1300m11 Apr 2026 · Benchmark 60 · GOOD4-1.8
2Toowoomba1300m27 Mar 2026 · BM70 · GOOD40.5L
2Toowoomba1300m14 Mar 2026 · BM70 · GOOD40.1L
3Toowoomba1200m28 Feb 2026 · BM70 · GOOD41.4L

Insights

Trainer Career
Negative
Trainer Career S/R is 7%
Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are out performing market expectations by 73%
Trainer Recent
Negative
Stable runners are currently underperforming market by 28%
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
Up In Weight
Negative
Goes up 4.5kg weight here

Comments

AAP

Trimmed margin late at Toowoomba. Worth a look.

ILB

Was $101.00 and came in 6th last time at Toowoomba but back in an easier grade. Does take a while to get into stride. Rising in weight. Not likely to be troubling the more fancied runners today.

Fair effort when beaten 4l, finishing sixth of 12 14 days ago (Toowoomba) in a Listed handicap; this is a step down in class but can be taken on.

RSIS

Started 100/1 and finished 6th last time at Toowoomba but facing less formidable opponents. Prefers to settle towards the rear. Has to cope with a weight increase.

5New JoyJ: Bailie Baker·T: Michael Nolan956.5kg1 1 3 11 623: 6-5-3$17.00$3.90

Career

23: 6-5-3

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Onpace

BackLead

Figures

Jockey100%
Trainer100%
Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
Early Speed80%
Rating60%
Closing Speed20%

Record

First-up
5: 1-0-0
Second-up
4: 2-0-1
Third-up
3: 1-1-0
Fourth-up
3: 0-1-2
Track Warwick
1: 0-0-0
Track CurrentTrack
1: 0-0-0
Track Eagle Farm
4: 0-2-0
Distance 1690m
1: 0-1-0
Distance 1625m
1: 0-0-1
Distance 1650m
1: 0-0-1
Going Good
19: 5-5-3
Going Heavy
1: 0-0-0
Going Soft
3: 1-0-0

Last starts

6Toowoomba1300m26 Sept 2026 · CL6 · GOOD47.77L
11Eagle Farm1200m5 Sept 2026 · 1MW-LY · SOFT57.9L
3Doomben1650m11 June 2025 · BM75 HCP · GOOD40.9L
1Doomben1600m28 May 2025 · BM68 HCP · GOOD4-0.1
1Ipswich1500m14 May 2025 · BM68 HCP · SOFT5-0.8
1Toowoomba1200m27 Apr 2025 · BM70 HCP · GOOD4-0.5
7Doomben2200m9 Nov 2024 · GOOD410.81L
1Doomben2000m26 Oct 2024 · GOOD4-1.64

Insights

Jockey ROI
Positive
Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 34% in Last 100 Rides
Jockey Booking
Positive
Bailie Baker 44% above market expected in L100 Rides
Hot Trainer
Positive
Michael G Nolan in good form, out performing market 56%
Profitable Trainer
Positive
Stable runners going at 35% POT in L100 Runners
Early Splits
Negative
Out of races with slow early tempos
Gave ground LS
Negative
Faded towards the finish last time out
Blinkers Off
Positive
Blinkers coming off this start
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Capitulated to finish out of the money at Toowoomba second-up. Has early speed. Lacks appeal here.

ILB

Was $41.00 and faded to finish 6th last run at Toowoomba but going down in grade. Has the speed to overcome the wide barrier. Has some claims.

Behind Last Chance Saloon over 6½f at Toowoomba (handicap) when beaten 8l last month; career record shows her ability to win (wins-runs record of 6-23); she's a serious player; also engaged in race 8 at Eagle Farm.

RSIS

Started 40/1 and was well beaten when 6th last start at Toowoomba but competing in an easier class. Should be rolling forward early from the wide stall.

6Last Chance SaloonJ: Gary Geran·T: Corey & Kylie Geran456kg10 5 5 2 529: 6-6-4$5.00$2.00

Career

29: 6-6-4

Rating · IRD

100

Speed map

Backmarker

BackLead

Figures

Jockey100%
Trainer20%
Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
Early Speed80%
Rating100%
Closing Speed60%

Record

First-up
6: 1-2-0
Second-up
5: 1-1-0
Third-up
3: 0-2-1
Fourth-up
1: 1-0-0
Track Beaudesert
1: 0-0-1
Track Ipswich
3: 0-1-0
Track Sunshine Coast
7: 1-3-0
Distance 1400m
4: 1-3-0
Distance 1660m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1800m
2: 0-0-0
Going Soft
13: 2-0-3
Going Good
15: 4-5-1
Going Heavy
1: 0-1-0

Last starts

5Toowoomba1300m26 Sept 2026 · CL6 · GOOD43.5L
2Dalby1400m13 Sept 2026 · HCP · GOOD30.2L
5Warwick800m25 Aug 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)3.5L
5Sunshine Coast1800m24 Jan 2026 · BM70 · GOOD43.9L
10Gold Coast1800m10 Jan 2026 · 3UP WFA · GOOD44.3L
3Eagle Farm1825m27 Dec 2025 · CL6 · SOFT51.9L
4Doomben1660m12 Dec 2025 · CL6 · SOFT51.4L
7Doomben1350m29 Nov 2025 · 3yo+ · SOFT64.5L

Insights

Trainer Career
Negative
Trainer Career S/R is 3%
Trainer A2E
Negative
Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 81%
Trainer ROI
Negative
Trainers runners currently losing 84% Profit on Turnover
Maps Well
Positive
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 9%
Early Sectionals
Negative
Recent sectional data suggests slow early pace
Track Exp
Positive
Knows this track well
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Went close at Dalby 13 Sep. Modest performance at Toowoomba second-up. Decent alley. Worth a look.

ILB

Odds of $10.00 and mediocre attempt when 5th last time at Toowoomba. Looking for an improved run and drops back to a suitable grade. Strong chance.

C&D has proven suitable before; he can be competitive at this level; out of the frame (beaten 3½l in fifth) over 6½f at Toowoomba (handicap) two weeks ago; in the mix.

RSIS

Started 9/1 and not in contention when 5th last run at Toowoomba. Looking for an improved run and challenged by weaker competitors. Should get going late. Should give plenty of sight.

7Luton HooJ: Jaden Lloyd·T: Kristie Clark-Peoples655.5kg1 4 6 6 627: 7-4-2$4.20$1.75

Career

27: 7-4-2

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Midfield

BackLead

Figures

Jockey80%
Trainer80%
Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
Early Speed100%
Rating80%
Closing Speed40%

Record

First-up
5: 3-0-1
Second-up
4: 1-0-0
Third-up
4: 0-2-0
Fourth-up
3: 1-0-0
Track Gold Coast Poly
2: 1-0-1
Track Sunshine Coast
4: 2-1-0
Track Toowoomba
3: 1-0-0
Distance 1010m
1: 1-0-0
Distance 1300m
1: 1-0-0
Distance 1690m
1: 1-0-0
Going Good
16: 5-3-0
Going Soft
8: 1-1-1
Going Synthetic
3: 1-0-1

Last starts

6Toowoomba1625m26 Sept 2026 · BM70 · GOOD46.24L
6Eagle Farm1800m5 Sept 2026 · NMW · SOFT54.37L
6Doomben1600m22 Aug 2026 · NMW · GOOD42.29L
4Doomben1630m1 Aug 2026 · BM70 · GOOD41.2L
1Doomben1650m22 July 2026 · BM68 · SOFT6-0.9
4Doomben1350m11 July 2026 · NMW · GOOD42.2L
4Toowoomba1200m20 June 2026 · BM70 · GOOD43.4L
1Toowoomba1300m16 May 2026 · BM70 · GOOD4-0.1

Insights

Maps Poorly
Negative
Map position not suited at this track, under performing market expectations by 13%
Fast Early
Positive
Sectionals suggest goes hard early
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
Weight Drop
Positive
Drops 4kg from LS run

Comments

AAP

Sent out $10 when unable to threaten at Toowoomba. Commands attention here.

ILB

Was $10.00 and tailed off to finish 6th last run at Toowoomba. May see an upturn in form and gets some weight relief. Commands respect.

Held when sixth beaten 6l at Toowoomba over 1m (handicap) last month; a proven winner with a career wins-runs record of 7-27; should go close.

RSIS

At 9/1 faded to finish 6th last time at Toowoomba. Expecting improvement and suited by the weight drop. Commands respect.

8Zheng YouJ: Montanna Savva·T: Michael Frappell154kg3 1 6 7 822: 5-3-2$8.00$2.65

Career

22: 5-3-2

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Offpace

BackLead

Figures

Jockey20%
Trainer80%
Jockey/Trainer Combo80%
Early Speed80%
Rating40%
Closing Speed20%

Record

First-up
3: 0-1-0
Second-up
2: 0-0-1
Third-up
2: 1-0-0
Fourth-up
2: 0-0-0
Track Gold Coast
3: 0-0-0
Track Ipswich
1: 0-0-0
Track Toowoomba
7: 3-1-1
Distance 1300m
3: 0-1-1
Distance 1350m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1600m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
18: 5-2-2
Going Soft
4: 0-1-0

Last starts

8Doomben2040m16 Sept 2026 · BM68 · GOOD43.79L
7Doomben1660m26 Aug 2026 · CL5 · GOOD43L
6Toowoomba1625m8 Aug 2026 · BM70 · GOOD44.9L
1Toowoomba1625m25 July 2026 · CL4 · GOOD4-0.6
3Gatton1400m10 July 2026 · BM65 · GOOD40.9L
5Gatton1100m27 June 2026 · BM70 · GOOD43.2L
12Gold Coast2050m14 Mar 2026 · BM78 · SOFT78.1L
1Toowoomba1625m21 Feb 2026 · BM70 · GOOD4-0.3

Insights

Jockey Booking
Negative
Less suitable jockey engaged
Drawn In
Positive
Suited drawn down low
Form At Track
Positive
1 time winner here at Warwick
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Positive ride but emptied late at Doomben over longer test. Can lead or take a sit. Coming back in distance. Has some claims.

ILB

Was $26.00 and didn't threaten when 8th last time at Doomben but drawn the rails. Down in trip. Looks hopeful at best.

Has winning track form; not beaten too far when eighth of 12 over 1m2f at Doomben (handicap) three weeks ago; others are preferred.

RSIS

Was 25/1 and couldn't maintain the pace when 8th last start at Doomben but drawn the rails. Will be down in distance.

9The CatchJ: Kenji Yoshida·T: Jeff Dunn754kg5 5 7 1 364: 10-4-6$16.00$3.80

Career

64: 10-4-6

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Midfield

BackLead

Figures

Jockey20%
Trainer100%
Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
Early Speed100%
Rating40%
Closing Speed80%

Record

First-up
8: 2-0-0
Second-up
6: 2-0-0
Third-up
5: 3-0-0
Fourth-up
5: 0-0-1
Track Doomben
12: 1-0-2
Track Sunshine Coast
2: 0-0-0
Track Toowoomba
3: 0-0-0
Distance 1550m
4: 0-1-1
Distance 1660m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1710m
1: 0-1-0
Going Heavy
7: 2-1-0
Going Soft
26: 5-1-3
Going Good
31: 3-2-3

Last starts

3Gold Coast1400m26 Sept 2026 · OPEN · GOOD41.5L
1Beaudesert1650m17 Sept 2026 · BM65 · GOOD3-2.22
7Murwillumbah1550m21 Aug 2026 · BM94 HCP · SOFT58.1L
5Toowoomba1625m8 Aug 2026 · BM70 · GOOD44.7L
5Doomben1650m22 July 2026 · BM68 · SOFT64.8L
8Gatton1400m10 July 2026 · BM65 · GOOD44.2L
4Beaudesert1650m23 May 2026 · BM60 · SOFT67L
1Beaudesert1650m25 Apr 2026 · BM65 · HEAVY8-2.6

Insights

Jockey Booking
Negative
Kenji Yoshida current POT is 48% below Career Avg.
Jockey Booking
Negative
Less suitable jockey engaged
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Trainer ROI
Positive
Runners from this stable currently going at 17% POT in L100 Runners
Rider Poor SR
Negative
Jockey underperforming market expectations by 62% in L100 rides
Maps Poorly
Negative
Map position not suited at this track, under performing market expectations by 13%
Track Exp
Positive
Knows this track well
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Experienced campaigner. Shouldered 60.5kg to victory at Beaudesert. Off pace, solid through line Open Hcp at Gold Coast. Very fit, can play a role.

ILB

Put in a competitive run when placing 3rd last start at Gold Coast. Not threatening these.

Produced a good effort to finish third at Gold Coast over 7f (handicap) two weeks ago.

RSIS

Zipped home into 3rd beaten by 1 1/2L last run at Gold Coast.

10AolaniJ: Isabel Jessop·T: Darren P Bell1154kg8 6 2 7 923: 6-1-3$41.00$6.00

Career

23: 6-1-3

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Onpace

BackLead

Figures

Jockey80%
Trainer80%
Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
Early Speed80%
Rating40%
Closing Speed20%

Record

First-up
6: 1-0-0
Second-up
4: 0-1-0
Third-up
3: 3-0-0
Fourth-up
2: 0-0-1
Track Doomben
3: 0-0-2
Track Sale
1: 0-0-0
Track Dalby
2: 1-0-0
Distance 1000m
2: 1-0-0
Distance 1100m
2: 0-1-0
Distance 1200m
5: 1-0-0
Going Firm
1: 1-0-0
Going Good
14: 4-1-3
Going Heavy
2: 0-0-0

Last starts

9Eagle Farm1400m3 Oct 2026 · 1MW · GOOD45.46L
7Dalby1400m13 Sept 2026 · BM62 · GOOD36.9L
2Toowoomba925m8 Sept 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)2.3L
6Warwick800m25 Aug 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)8.3L
8Deagon1050m20 Jan 2026 · Barrier Trial10L
4Doomben840m15 Dec 2025 · Barrier Trial6.5L
8Eagle Farm1800m30 Aug 2025 · BM70 · GOOD36.6L
3Doomben1600m16 Aug 2025 · BM70 HCP · GOOD40.4L

Insights

Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are out performing market expectations by 109%
Gave ground LS
Negative
Faded towards the finish last time out
Fitness
Positive
At peak fitness backing up
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
Up In Weight
Negative
Goes up 4.5kg weight here

Comments

AAP

Backing up quickly. Went home tamely at Eagle Farm second-up at $101. Has speed. Others more persuasive.

ILB

On a short turnaround. Odds of $101.00 and looked outclassed when 9th last start at Eagle Farm but competing in a less challenging grade. Will need its best to find a place.

Career record shows her ability to win (wins-runs record of 6-23) but has not been firing consistently; beaten 5½l in ninth over 7f at Eagle Farm (handicap) last week; others have more pressing claims.

RSIS

On a short back up. Started at 100/1 and gave away some ground when 9th last time at Eagle Farm but stepping down to a lower level.

11Four AceJ: Kayla Barker·T: Corey & Kylie Geran354kg9 1 10 3 1020: 5-1-3$14.00$3.70

Career

20: 5-1-3

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Backmarker

BackLead

Figures

Jockey100%
Trainer20%
Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
Early Speed60%
Rating60%
Closing Speed40%

Record

First-up
6: 3-0-1
Second-up
3: 0-0-0
Third-up
3: 1-0-1
Fourth-up
2: 1-0-0
Track Morphettville
1: 0-0-0
Track Sunshine Coast
1: 0-0-0
Track Toowoomba
5: 2-0-1
Distance 1200m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1300m
5: 3-0-1
Distance 1640m
1: 0-0-1
Going Good
13: 3-0-2
Going Heavy
2: 1-0-0
Going Soft
4: 1-0-1

Last starts

10Toowoomba1625m26 Sept 2026 · BM70 · GOOD412.65L
3Toowoomba1640m5 Sept 2026 · BM70 · GOOD42.3L
10Doomben1350m22 Aug 2026 · BM72 · GOOD47.9L
1Toowoomba1300m1 Aug 2026 · BM65 · GOOD4-0.2
9Sunshine Coast1800m24 Jan 2026 · BM70 · GOOD413.5L
7Eagle Farm1600m7 Jan 2026 · BM70 · GOOD43.5L
8Eagle Farm1600m27 Dec 2025 · BM70 · SOFT57.2L
2Gold Coast Poly1540m29 Nov 2025 · BM68 · SYNTHETIC0.4L

Insights

Rider SR
Positive
Jockey recent POT is 35% better than Career Avg.
Trainer Recent
Negative
Camp struggling with S/R just 2%
Jockey Booking
Positive
Kayla Barker 28% above market expected in L100 Rides
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -37% POT in their L100 Races
Trainer A2E
Negative
Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 81%
Trainer ROI
Negative
Trainers runners currently losing 84% Profit on Turnover
Early Splits
Negative
Out of races with slow early tempos
Gave ground LS
Negative
Faded towards the finish last time out

Comments

AAP

Finished a long way from the action (Bm70) at Toowoomba. Usually gets back. One for multiples.

ILB

Started $19.00 and lost ground in the run home when 10th last time at Toowoomba but will benefit with the weight drop. Prefers to settle towards the rear. Not dismissing.

Last of ten over 1m at Toowoomba (handicap) behind two of these two weeks ago; proven that he knows how to get his head in front (seeking a sixth career win); easy enough to take on.

RSIS

Started 18/1 and weakened to finish 10th last start at Toowoomba but goes down in weight. Gets back and needs luck.

12TuhingaJ: Aidan Keeley·T: John Thomas854kg6 6 11 9 369: 9-9-11$18.00$3.90

Career

69: 9-9-11

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Offpace

BackLead

Figures

Jockey100%
Trainer80%
Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
Early Speed100%
Rating20%
Closing Speed100%

Record

First-up
7: 0-1-1
Second-up
6: 0-1-2
Third-up
6: 3-0-1
Fourth-up
6: 0-0-0
Track Newcastle
1: 0-1-0
Track Warwick Farm
3: 0-0-0
Track Wyong
1: 1-0-0
Distance 1200m
6: 0-2-0
Distance 1550m
2: 1-0-0
Distance 1845m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
43: 5-7-6
Going Heavy
7: 2-0-1
Going Soft
17: 2-2-4

Last starts

3Toowoomba1625m26 Sept 2026 · BM70 · GOOD43.46L
9Toowoomba1300m29 Aug 2026 · BM75 · GOOD48L
11Doomben1600m15 Aug 2026 · BM70 · GOOD49.3L
6Gold Coast1400m1 Aug 2026 · BM75 · GOOD44.3L
6Esk1200m11 July 2026 · Open5.7L
2Dalby1400m21 Mar 2026 · HCP · GOOD40.5L
4Warwick1500m10 Mar 2026 · BM70 · GOOD42.8L
6Toowoomba1625m21 Feb 2026 · BM70 · GOOD42.6L

Insights

Rider SR
Positive
Jockey recent POT is 19% better than Career Avg.
Jockey Booking
Positive
Aidan Keeley 35% above market expected in L100 Rides
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Maps Well
Positive
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 18%
Early Splits
Positive
Has early speed. An advantage on this circuit
Dist S/R
Negative
Poor performer at the distance
Form At Track
Negative
Yet to win here
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Ridden cold, produced solid finish late at Toowoomba. This looks a deeper race.

ILB

Made considerable ground when 3rd beaten by close to 3 1/2L last time at Toowoomba. Entitled to be a big price.

Finished ahead of two of these rivals at Toowoomba over 1m (handicap) when beaten 3½l into third at 28-1 two weeks ago.

RSIS

Managed to place 3rd beaten by close to 3 1/2L last start at Toowoomba.

Odds correct as at Sat 10 Oct, 5:10 pm AEDT. Odds can change.

Past meetings

Thu 24 Sept, 10:00 am AEST · 8 races
Thu 10 Sept, 10:00 am AEST · 7 races