Warwick (QLD) horses tips & previews

8 Nov, 1:03 am AEDT

One race at a time: field, form guide and win/place odds for Warwick (QLD), with capture times on every price.

Meeting — Sat 10 Oct, 11:00 am AEDT

Meetings · Sat, 10 OctWarwick (QLD)Change

Race 5 — Les Clarke Memorial Hcp (C2) 1500m · jumps Sat 10 Oct, 3:52 pm AEDT

Race notes

CL2,CL2 HCP,Class 2
GOOD4
Overcast
10 runners

Shortest win price

Starboard (1)

4.20

Speed map

Back left · leaders right

Backmarker

2Golden Loom

Midfield

1Starboard
5Cheerful Cat
7Abated Breath
8Switchblade

Offpace

9Sonic Flyer

Onpace

3Bate
4Royal Diplomat
12Oakfield Echidna

Leader

10Venturous

Starboard · Negative
Trainer Recent
Camp struggling with S/R just 7%
Golden Loom · Negative
Trainer Recent
Camp struggling with S/R just 2%
Bate · Negative
Trainer Career
Trainer Career S/R is 8%
Royal Diplomat · Positive
Hot J/T Combo
Combo are out performing market expectations by 109%

No.RunnerBarWgtLast 5WinPlace

1StarboardJ: Kelsey Lenton·T: Dale Groves360.5kg5 5 7 8 216: 2-3-3$4.20$1.55

Career

16: 2-3-3

Rating · IRD

100

Speed map

Midfield

BackLead

Figures

Jockey40%
Trainer60%
Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
Early Speed100%
Rating100%
Closing Speed80%

Record

First-up
4: 1-1-0
Second-up
3: 0-2-0
Third-up
2: 0-0-1
Fourth-up
2: 0-0-1
Track CurrentTrack
1: 0-1-0
Track Kembla Grange
1: 0-1-0
Track Toowoomba
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1220m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1250m
3: 0-0-2
Distance 1300m
4: 1-1-0
Going Good
13: 2-3-3
Going Heavy
1: 0-0-0
Going Soft
2: 0-0-0

Last starts

2Warwick1350m24 Sept 2026 · CL2 · GOOD30.95L
8Toowoomba1220m5 Sept 2026 · BM62 · GOOD45.4L
7Eagle Farm1600m18 Apr 2026 · BM70 · GOOD43.2L
5Eagle Farm1400m4 Apr 2026 · BM70 · GOOD41.5L
5Canberra1300m8 Mar 2026 · CL2-SW · SOFT74.5L
3Canterbury1250m13 Feb 2026 · 5UP BM78 HCP · GOOD41.6L
3Newcastle1250m24 Jan 2026 · BM68 · GOOD44.3L
9Randwick1300m26 Dec 2025 · 3UP CG&E BM72 HCP · GOOD46.4L

Insights

Trainer Recent
Negative
Camp struggling with S/R just 7%
Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are out performing market expectations by 73%
Trainer A2E
Negative
Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 28%
Ran On Hard LS
Positive
Ran on well last start
Track Exp
Positive
Knows this track well

Comments

AAP

Handy, knuckled down with purpose this venue. Decent alley. Sharper now, not out of this.

ILB

Finished amongst the placegetters when 2nd beaten by 1L last time around here. Good chance and definitely has claims.

Went off 25-1 when good runner-up here over 6½f (handicap) last month; should be involved as recent effort was encouraging.

RSIS

Did well to run into 2nd last start around here. Expect a forward showing.

2Golden LoomJ: Gary Geran·T: Corey & Kylie Geran157.5kg4 13 8 4 821: 2-2-4$6.00$2.05

Career

21: 2-2-4

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Backmarker

BackLead

Figures

Jockey100%
Trainer20%
Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
Early Speed20%
Rating80%
Closing Speed80%

Record

First-up
4: 0-0-0
Second-up
3: 0-1-1
Third-up
2: 0-0-1
Fourth-up
2: 1-0-0
Track Hawkesbury
3: 0-0-1
Track Kembla Grange
3: 1-0-1
Track Toowoomba
3: 0-0-0
Distance 1300m
4: 0-0-0
Distance 1400m
2: 0-0-0
Distance 1500m
4: 1-0-2
Going Good
14: 1-0-3
Going Heavy
1: 0-0-0
Going Soft
6: 1-2-1

Last starts

8Toowoomba1300m26 Sept 2026 · 0 - 65 · GOOD44.68L
4Dalby1400m13 Sept 2026 · BM62 · GOOD34.7L
8Toowoomba1625m30 May 2026 · BM70 · SOFT77.3L
13Scone1300m15 May 2026 · CL2 · GOOD47.9L
4Toowoomba1200m2 May 2026 · BM60 · SOFT51.55L
4Orange1600m22 Mar 2026 · Benchmark 82 · GOOD45.1L
7Newcastle1600m12 Mar 2026 · Benchmark 68 · GOOD43.8L
3Canterbury1550m20 Feb 2026 · 3&4Y BM64 · GOOD41.4L

Insights

Trainer Recent
Negative
Camp struggling with S/R just 2%
Trainer Recent
Negative
Stable runners are currently underperforming market by 81%
Draw Suits
Positive
Well drawn inside
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Had all before him at turn and went home tamely at Toowoomba second-up. Prefers cut in the track. Stripping fitter, capable of making an impact.

ILB

Uncompetitive when 8th last start at Toowoomba but up against a less challenging field. Has a great burst of speed late. Gets the perfect draw. Definitely worth considering.

Not disgraced in eighth over 6½f at Toowoomba (handicap) two weeks ago; hard to ignore as has been on the scene in the recent past.

RSIS

Average effort when 8th last time at Toowoomba but will appreciate the drop in grade. Finishes off strongly. Has minimal work to do from the stall. Strong claims in this.

3BateJ: Jaden Lloyd·T: H R Richardson757kg3 3 4 1 410: 1-0-2$6.50$2.15

Career

10: 1-0-2

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Onpace

BackLead

Figures

Jockey80%
Trainer60%
Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
Early Speed80%
Rating60%
Closing Speed80%

Record

First-up
5: 1-0-0
Second-up
3: 0-0-1
Third-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Beaudesert
1: 0-0-0
Track Doomben
1: 0-0-0
Track Ipswich
2: 1-0-0
Distance 1350m
3: 1-0-2
Distance 1400m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1600m
1: 0-0-0
Going Soft
3: 1-0-0
Going Good
7: 0-0-2

Last starts

4Beaudesert1650m17 Sept 2026 · BM65 · GOOD36.42L
1Ipswich1350m27 Aug 2026 · MDN · SOFT5-0.1
4Eagle Farm1600m22 Oct 2025 · MDN-SW · GOOD41.9L
3Warwick1350m11 Oct 2025 · 4UP MDN SW · GOOD41.5L
3Gatton860m30 Sept 2025 · Barrier Trial2L
2Toowoomba925m22 Sept 2025 · Barrier Trial1.1L
5Ipswich1200m20 Aug 2025 · MDN HCP · GOOD44.3L
1Toowoomba870m5 Aug 2025 · Barrier Trial-5.5

Insights

Trainer Career
Negative
Trainer Career S/R is 8%
Trainer Recent
Negative
Stable runners are currently underperforming market by 21%
Early Sectionals
Negative
Recent sectional data suggests slow early pace
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Cleared maiden ranks at Ipswich 27 Aug. Started $6 when battled home in Benchmark 65 company at Beaudesert. Can challenge.

ILB

Started at $6.00 and crept into 4th last run at Beaudesert. Should jump out and bowl along. Place at best.

Finished fourth, beaten 6l, at Beaudesert last month upped to 1m; seems to have stepped up on previous form the last twice; easy enough to take on given this looks a decent race.

RSIS

Started 5/1 and ran past a few when 4th last time at Beaudesert. Has good tactical pace and will be nicely positioned.

4Royal DiplomatJ: Isabel Jessop·T: Darren P Bell456kg6 4 2 1 75: 1-0-0$4.40$1.60

Career

5: 1-0-0

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Onpace

BackLead

Figures

Jockey80%
Trainer80%
Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
Early Speed80%
Rating80%
Closing Speed40%

Record

First-up
3: 1-0-0
Second-up
2: 0-0-0
Track Sunshine Coast
2: 0-0-0
Track Dalby
1: 1-0-0
Track Warwick
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1000m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1350m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1400m
2: 1-0-0
Going Good
4: 1-0-0
Going Soft
1: 0-0-0

Last starts

7Sunshine Coast1600m2 Oct 2026 · 0 - 58 · GOOD43.39L
1Dalby1400m13 Sept 2026 · MDN · GOOD3-7.7
2Toowoomba925m8 Sept 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)0.2L
4Warwick800m25 Aug 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)1.9L
6Sunshine Coast1400m11 Jan 2026 · 3Y MDN · GOOD43.7L
5Warwick1350m26 Dec 2025 · 3Y MDN-SW · GOOD33.2L
4Doomben1000m15 Dec 2025 · Barrier Trial1.8L
10Eagle Farm1000m13 Aug 2025 · 3Y MDN-SW · SOFT55.4L

Insights

Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are out performing market expectations by 109%
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Donkey-licked them at Dalby two back. Battled home okay at Sunshine Coast when second-up. Coming back slightly in distance. Sharper now, will be out to make amends.

ILB

On a short back up. Jumped at $3.00 and couldn't stay in touch when 7th last run at Sunshine Coast but suited by the weight drop. Not at all out of this race.

Didn't live up to market expectations at 2-1 when seventh at Sunshine Coast over 1m (handicap) last week; seems to have stepped up on previous form the last twice; must be respected if in the same mood as when achieving most recent success.

RSIS

On a quick back up. Started 2/1 and looked outclassed when 7th last run at Sunshine Coast but carrying less weight this time. Has some claims.

5Cheerful CatJ: William Galloway·T: James Moore655kg7 3 7 2 339: 2-6-11$7.00$2.35

Career

39: 2-6-11

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Midfield

BackLead

Figures

Jockey20%
Trainer60%
Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
Early Speed100%
Rating80%
Closing Speed100%

Record

First-up
3: 0-0-0
Second-up
2: 0-0-1
Third-up
2: 0-2-0
Fourth-up
2: 0-0-0
Track Dalby
1: 0-0-0
Track Sunshine Coast
10: 0-2-3
Track Canterbury
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1250m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1300m
2: 0-0-0
Distance 1400m
7: 0-2-1
Going Good
20: 0-1-5
Going Heavy
5: 2-1-1
Going Soft
12: 0-2-5

Last starts

3Gatton1400m1 Oct 2026 · 0 - 55 · GOOD41.1L
2Beaudesert1400m17 Sept 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD35.46L
7Kilcoy1900m23 Aug 2026 · 0 - 60 · SOFT52.7L
3Kilcoy1900m10 Aug 2026 · BM60 · SOFT62.7L
7Doomben1600m11 July 2026 · 0 - 70 · GOOD44.8L
1Kilcoy1500m30 June 2026 · BM55 · HEAVY9-0.3
4Dalby1400m18 June 2026 · 0 - 55 · GOOD40.8L
3Toowoomba1625m30 May 2026 · BM58 · SOFT71.4L

Insights

Jockey Booking
Negative
Less suitable jockey engaged
Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are out performing market expectations by 345%
Ran On Hard LS
Positive
Ran on well last start
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
Down In Weight
Positive
Drops 5kg from LS run

Comments

AAP

Brave in defeat Hcp (55) at Gatton. Loves the wet. At optimum distance. Fits well against this opposition.

ILB

Came on strongly to finish 3rd when beaten by 1L last time at Gatton. Tracking very well this campaign. Large claim helps. Definite claims for punters.

Finishing third was a good effort a week ago at Gatton over 7f (handicap); producing fairly consistent form; achieved each of his two career wins at Kilcoy.

RSIS

Managed to finish 3rd last run at Gatton. In good order since coming back from a break. The large claim from William Galloway should help. Solid chance.

6OkanuiScratched7––––

Career

19: 1-2-2

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Onpace

BackLead

Figures

Jockey20%
Trainer80%
Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
Early Speed20%
Rating20%
Closing Speed60%

Record

First-up
4: 0-0-0
Second-up
3: 1-0-0
Third-up
2: 0-0-1
Fourth-up
2: 0-0-1
Track Doomben
1: 0-0-0
Track Gold Coast
1: 0-0-0
Track Toowoomba
5: 0-0-0
Distance 1400m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1000m
6: 0-0-1
Distance 1050m
2: 0-0-0
Going Good
9: 1-0-1
Going Soft
4: 0-0-1
Going Synthetic
1: 0-0-0

Last starts

1Warwick1350m24 Sept 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD3-2.06
8Goondiwindi1000m5 Sept 2026 · 3yo+5.1L
6Dalby1000m21 Mar 2026 · 2UP MDN-SW · GOOD42.7L
2Toowoomba925m16 Mar 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)3.9L
4Bell1300m3 Jan 2026 · 2UP MDN-SW3.5L
8Warwick1350m26 Dec 2025 · 3Y MDN-SW · GOOD311.2L
2Goondiwindi1100m29 Nov 2025 · MDN-SW0.3L
7Gold Coast1400m22 Nov 2025 · MDN-SW · SOFT65.7L

Insights

Jockey Booking
Negative
Kenji Yoshida current POT is 48% below Career Avg.
Jockey Booking
Negative
Less suitable jockey engaged
Rider Poor SR
Negative
Jockey underperforming market expectations by 62% in L100 rides
Maps Poorly
Negative
Map position not suited at this track, under performing market expectations by 13%
Solid Run LS
Positive
Won last start
Track Stats
Positive
Excels at this track
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

Well rated in front and kept on to win this course when second-up. Has early speed. One for exotics.

ILB

Dictated terms in front to win by a margin of 2L last time at this track and gets some weight relief.

Appears to be on the upgrade judged on two most recent runs; opened his account in a maiden when springing a surpise to score by 2l (went off 66-1) last month upped to 6½f; not hard to turn elsewhere despite that win at Warwick.

RSIS

Gave them all something to chase when winning by 2L last start at this track and will appreciate the drop in weight.

7Abated BreathJ: Bailie Baker·T: Rochelle Pereira254.5kg11 1 1 6 811: 2-0-1$26.00$4.20

Career

11: 2-0-1

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Midfield

BackLead

Figures

Jockey100%
Trainer20%
Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
Early Speed100%
Rating60%
Closing Speed40%

Record

First-up
2: 0-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Third-up
1: 1-0-0
Fourth-up
1: 1-0-0
Track Warren
1: 0-0-0
Track Carinda
1: 1-0-0
Track Townsville
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1500m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1000m
2: 0-0-0
Distance 1100m
2: 0-0-1
Going Good
6: 0-0-1
Going Heavy
1: 1-0-0
Going Soft
3: 0-0-0

Last starts

8Warwick1200m24 Sept 2026 · 0 - 58 · GOOD36.55L
6Townsville1400m18 Aug 2026 · 0 - 55 · GOOD45.8L
1Carinda1400m18 July 2026 · CL1-1.1
1Coonabarabran1200m20 June 2026 · MDN-SW · HEAVY9-0.1
11Warren1200m1 June 2026 · MDN · SOFT76.5L
4Parkes1000m17 May 2026 · CTRY MDN · SOFT66.1L
6Muswellbrook800m6 May 2026 · Barrier Trial · SOFT(5)1.9L
4Wellington1100m24 Nov 2025 · MDN · GOOD32.8L

Insights

Rider SR
Positive
Jockey recent POT is 34% better than Career Avg.
Trainer Career
Negative
Trainer Career S/R is 5%
Key Rider
Positive
Bailie Baker 44% above market expected in L100 Rides
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Trainer A2E
Negative
Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 44%
Early Splits
Positive
Has early speed. An advantage on this circuit
Nice Barrier
Positive
Well drawn from gate 2
Increased Dist
Positive
Distance rise from last start

Comments

AAP

Started $81 when safely held in Restricted 58 company this course for new trainer. Others rate stronger.

ILB

Jumped at $81.00 and looked outclassed when 8th last start at the track but gets a favourable draw. Gets some weight relief. Prefer to watch.

Held when eighth beaten 7l over 6f here (handicap) on his first start for this trainer last month; could go close if recapturing winning form.

RSIS

Was 80/1 and weakened under pressure when 8th last time around here but has a positive stall. Goes down in weight.

8SwitchbladeJ: Aidan Keeley·T: Stephen Matthews554.5kg6 3 11 6 326: 2-2-5$5.50$2.00

Career

26: 2-2-5

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Midfield

BackLead

Figures

Jockey100%
Trainer100%
Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
Early Speed100%
Rating100%
Closing Speed80%

Record

First-up
4: 0-1-0
Second-up
3: 1-0-1
Third-up
3: 0-0-1
Fourth-up
3: 0-0-0
Track Warwick
2: 0-0-2
Track CurrentTrack
2: 0-0-2
Track Doomben
1: 0-0-1
Distance 1400m
3: 0-0-0
Distance 1640m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1100m
2: 0-1-0
Going Good
14: 2-0-2
Going Soft
10: 0-1-3
Going Synthetic
2: 0-1-0

Last starts

3Warwick1350m24 Sept 2026 · CL2 · GOOD31.25L
6Ipswich1350m27 Aug 2026 · C · SOFT52.2L
11Ipswich1350m7 Aug 2026 · 0 - 58 · GOOD46.34L
3Ipswich1710m24 July 2026 · 0 - 58 · SOFT56L
6Toowoomba1640m18 July 2026 · BM60 · SOFT57.1L
6Ipswich1690m3 July 2026 · 0 - 58 · GOOD43.24L
4Dalby1400m18 June 2026 · BM62 · GOOD42.9L
5Toowoomba1300m6 June 2026 · 0 - 60 · GOOD46L

Insights

Jockey ROI
Positive
Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 19% in Last 100 Rides
Key Rider
Positive
Aidan Keeley 35% above market expected in L100 Rides
Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are out performing market expectations by 319%
Trainer Form
Positive
In form stable, out performing market expectations 26%
Maps Well
Positive
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 9%
Early Splits
Positive
Has early speed. An advantage on this circuit
Ran On Hard LS
Positive
Ran on well last start
Track Exp
Positive
Knows this track well

Comments

AAP

Showed a fine turn of foot from the back this track. Could give some cheek at odds.

ILB

Flashed home late into 3rd beaten by 1 1/4L last start at this track. Strong claims in this.

Finishing third was a good effort last month here over 6½f (handicap) when just behind Starboard; doesn't win often; probably unlikely to trouble the principals as not in the habit of winning recently.

RSIS

Solid effort to run into 3rd beaten by 1 1/4L last time at this track. Should go close.

9Sonic FlyerJ: Jess Emmerson·T: Rochelle Pereira954kg4 1 7 2 711: 1-2-3$13.00$3.30

Career

11: 1-2-3

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Offpace

BackLead

Figures

Jockey100%
Trainer20%
Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
Early Speed80%
Rating60%
Closing Speed20%

Record

First-up
3: 0-0-1
Second-up
2: 1-0-0
Third-up
2: 0-1-0
Fourth-up
2: 0-1-1
Track Beaudesert
1: 0-1-0
Track Ipswich
2: 0-0-1
Track Gatton
1: 0-0-0
Distance 860m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1000m
1: 0-0-1
Distance 1350m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
5: 0-0-3
Going Heavy
1: 0-1-0
Going Soft
4: 1-0-0

Last starts

7Sunshine Coast1800m25 Sept 2026 · CL1 · SOFT63.66L
2Nanango1600m12 Sept 2026 · BM550.2L
7Ipswich1700m2 Sept 2026 · 3yo+ · SOFT57.95L
1Kilcoy1500m23 Aug 2026 · MDN-SW · SOFT5-2.8
4Warwick1350m4 Aug 2026 · MDN · GOOD41.2L
3Warwick1500m28 Apr 2026 · MDN-SW · GOOD31L
2Beaudesert1650m25 Apr 2026 · MDN · HEAVY85.4L
5Eagle Farm1400m8 Apr 2026 · MDN SW · GOOD44.4L

Insights

Jockey ROI
Positive
Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 24% in Last 100 Rides
Trainer Recent
Negative
Camp struggling with S/R just 5%
Key Rider
Positive
Jess Emmerson 48% above market expected in L100 Rides
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -55% POT in their L100 Races
Trainer A2E
Negative
Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 44%
Hot Jockey
Positive
Jess Emmerson in hot recent form, out performing market expectation by 48%
Maps Well
Positive
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 18%
Early Sectionals
Negative
Recent sectional data suggests slow early pace

Comments

AAP

Went close at Nanango 12 Sep. Got the wobbles and faded out of the placings at Sunshine Coast. Only win to date was this distance. Deep into her campaign, could get into the placings.

ILB

Jumped at $13.00 and tailed off to finish 7th last time at Sunshine Coast but suited by the weight drop. Jess Emmerson is a bonus. Place claims at best.

Not disgraced when seventh of nine over 1m1f at Sunshine Coast (handicap) last month; meeting some horses in good form and not hard to turn elsewhere.

RSIS

At 12/1 didn't attack the line when 7th last time at Sunshine Coast but dropping weight. Jockey Jess Emmerson rates highly aboard.

10VenturousJ: Stephanie Tierney·T: Mick Morgan1054kg10 11 11 14 622: 2-4-2$91.00$10.00

Career

22: 2-4-2

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Leader

BackLead

Figures

Jockey20%
Trainer20%
Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
Early Speed20%
Rating40%
Closing Speed50%

Record

First-up
4: 0-0-1
Second-up
3: 0-1-0
Third-up
3: 1-1-0
Fourth-up
2: 0-0-1
Track Gatton
2: 1-0-0
Track Warwick
3: 0-0-1
Track CurrentTrack
3: 0-0-1
Distance 2040m
1: 0-1-0
Distance 2150m
1: 0-1-0
Distance 2190m
1: 0-0-1
Going Good
13: 1-0-2
Going Heavy
1: 0-1-0
Going Soft
7: 1-3-0

Last starts

6St George1600m26 Sept 2026 · BM6516.49L
14Warwick1500m10 Sept 2026 · CL3 · GOOD39.6L
11Beaudesert1400m21 Aug 2026 · BM60 · GOOD411.15L
11Warwick1350m4 Aug 2026 · CL2 · GOOD48.6L
10Dalby1400m18 June 2026 · BM62 · GOOD426.2L
3Beaudesert1200m27 June 2025 · Barrier Trial2.5L
3Beaudesert1050m2 June 2025 · Barrier Trial1.5L
4Gold Coast685m20 May 2025 · Barrier Trial · SYNTHETIC6.2L

Insights

Jockey Booking
Negative
Less suitable jockey engaged
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Gave ground LS
Negative
Faded towards the finish last time out
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Ordinary performance in small field at St George. Others with stronger claims.

ILB

Odds of $21.00 and clearly outclassed when 6th last time at St George but will benefit with the weight drop. Should be rolling forward early from the wide gate. Not likely to be troubling the more fancied runners today.

Last of six over 1m at St George (handicap) last month; recent form hardly the most inspiring and not won for some time now; makes limited appeal as this is a fairly competitive event.

RSIS

At 20/1 below par when 6th last start at St George but dropping weight. Has the pace to overcome the wide stall.

11NitrogenScratched8––––

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Midfield

BackLead

Figures

Jockey100%
Trainer60%
Jockey/Trainer Combo50%
Early Speed50%
Rating50%
Closing Speed50%

Insights

Weight Drop
Positive
Drops 6kg from LS run

Comments

AAP

Unable to threaten in the small field at Taroom. A few runs under his belt this campaign, could get into the placings.

ILB

Started $3.40 and ran 4th last start at Taroom but gets a reduction in weight.

RSIS

Started at 12/5 and finished 4th last time at Taroom but will benefit with the weight drop.

12Oakfield EchidnaJ: Montanna Savva·T: James Baker854kg5 2 2 7 627: 2-2-1$71.00$8.00

Career

27: 2-2-1

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Onpace

BackLead

Figures

Jockey20%
Trainer20%
Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
Early Speed100%
Rating40%
Closing Speed50%

Record

First-up
6: 1-0-0
Second-up
4: 0-1-1
Third-up
3: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
3: 0-0-0
Track Tamworth
2: 0-0-0
Track Taree
4: 0-0-0
Track Coonabarabran
1: 0-1-0
Distance 1800m
2: 1-0-0
Distance 2100m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1200m
1: 0-0-0
Going Heavy
3: 0-2-1
Going Soft
8: 1-0-0
Going Unknown
5: 1-0-0

Last starts

6Tara1400m3 Oct 2026 · 0 - 5516.08L
7Toowoomba925m21 Sept 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(3)23.4L
2Nanango800m12 Sept 2026 · Barrier Trial · FIRM(2)3.4L
2Coonabarabran1600m20 June 2026 · BM50 · HEAVY90.6L
5Gulgong1800m7 June 2026 · BM5810.2L
6Cobar1370m23 May 2026 · BM458.4L
1Binnaway1800m2 May 2026 · BM 45 HCP-1.1
6Lightning Ridge1200m4 Apr 2026 · BM4513.3L

Insights

Jockey Booking
Negative
Montanna Savva current POT is 41% below Career Avg.
Trainer Recent
Negative
Camp struggling with S/R just 3%
Rider
Negative
Negative rider change today
Trainer A2E
Negative
Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 77%
Rider Poor SR
Negative
Jockey underperforming market expectations by 45% in L100 rides
Early Splits
Positive
Has early speed. An advantage on this circuit
Gave ground LS
Negative
Faded towards the finish last time out
Fitness
Positive
At peak fitness backing up

Comments

AAP

On a short back-up. Unable to make an impression at Tara for new trainer. First time around Warwick. Looking elsewhere.

ILB

On a quick turnaround. Was $3.60 and unsatisfactory performance when 6th last start at Tara but will appreciate the drop in weight. Hard to entertain.

Last of six over 7f at Tara (handicap) last Saturday on debut for this trainer; a lot on his plate here and looks an unlikely winner.

RSIS

Backing up quickly. Started at 13/5 and disappointing display when 6th last time at Tara but goes down in weight.

Odds correct as at Sat 10 Oct, 4:00 pm AEDT. Odds can change.

Past meetings

Thu 24 Sept, 10:00 am AEST · 8 races
Thu 10 Sept, 10:00 am AEST · 7 races