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Warwick (QLD) horses tips & previews

One race at a time: field, form guide and win/place odds for Warwick (QLD), with capture times on every price.

Meeting — Sat 10 Oct, 11:00 am AEDT

Meetings · Sat, 10 OctWarwick (QLD)Change

Race 6 — Scott Ellis Memorial / Ranbuild Warwick Newmarket (Bm70) 1200m · jumps

Race notes

  • BM70 HCP,BM70 NEWMARKET,Benchmark 70
  • GOOD4
  • Overcast
  • 9 runners

Shortest win price

Certified Copy (5) and Breezin' (11)

2.80

Most career wins

Sistine Explorer and Midnight Dream

6 each

Speed map

Back left · leaders right

Backmarker

  • 1Flywheel

Offmidfield

  • 12Mishani Prince
  • 13Angara

Midfield

  • 10Midnight Dream

Offpace

  • 5Certified Copy
  • 9Sistine Explorer

Onpace

  • 4Cosmic Beauty
  • 11Breezin'

Leader

  • 8Duomo

  • Flywheel · Negative

    Jockey Booking

    Less suitable jockey engaged

  • Cosmic Beauty · Negative

    Rider

    Negative rider change today

  • Certified Copy · Negative

    Rider

    Negative rider change today

  • Duomo · Negative

    Jockey Booking

    Less suitable jockey engaged

No.RunnerBarWgtLast 5WinPlace
1FlywheelJ: Siabh Rigley·T: W Oakenfull863.5kg1 2 2 7 928: 4-8-1$21.00$3.70

Career

28: 4-8-1

Rating · IRD

81

Speed map

Backmarker

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey20%
  • Trainer80%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
  • Early Speed80%
  • Rating60%
  • Closing Speed20%

Record

  • First-up

    5: 1-1-0

  • Second-up

    4: 1-1-0

  • Third-up

    3: 0-1-0

  • Fourth-up

    3: 0-2-0

  • Track Ipswich

    3: 0-2-0

  • Track Sunshine Coast

    6: 2-1-1

  • Track Toowoomba

    1: 0-1-0

  • Distance 1000m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1300m

    2: 1-1-0

  • Distance 1660m

    1: 0-1-0

  • Going Good

    11: 2-3-1

  • Going Heavy

    2: 0-0-0

  • Going Soft

    15: 2-5-0

Last starts

  1. 9Tamworth1200m28 Sept 2026 · BM82 HCP · GOOD42.43L
  2. 7Sunshine Coast1000m11 Sept 2026 · CL5 · SOFT77.3L
  3. 2Warwick800m25 Aug 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)2L
  4. 2Sunshine Coast1400m19 Oct 2025 · CL4 · GOOD40.3L
  5. 1Lismore1526m26 Sept 2025 · BM87 HCP · GOOD4-0.7
  6. 2Doomben1350m6 Sept 2025 · CL3 · GOOD42.7L
  7. 1Sunshine Coast1300m17 Aug 2025 · BM68 HCP · GOOD4-0.6
  8. 4Doomben1350m30 July 2025 · CG&E CL3 HCP · SOFT51.3L

Insights

  • Jockey Booking

    Negative

    Less suitable jockey engaged

  • Slow Early LS

    Negative

    Speed data from recent runs suggests slower early splits on avg

  • Awkward Draw

    Negative

    May find this draw awkward

  • Well Placed

    Positive

    Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Close to the action but couldn't sustain bid at Tamworth second-up. First time around Warwick. Looks up against it.

ILB

Gave away some ground when 9th last time at Tamworth but challenged by weaker competitors. Finishes off strongly. Siabh Rigley provides some weight relief. Watch betting.

RP

Last of nine at Tamworth last month; others more appealing with this looking like a hot contest.

RSIS

Couldn't stay in touch when 9th last run at Tamworth but lining up against easier rivals. Watch for a sign in the market.

2TreportiScratched7––––

Career

43: 4-7-7

Rating · IRD

83

Speed map

Offpace

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey100%
  • Trainer60%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo40%
  • Early Speed100%
  • Rating60%
  • Closing Speed50%

Record

  • First-up

    9: 0-2-3

  • Second-up

    7: 1-1-1

  • Third-up

    3: 0-0-1

  • Fourth-up

    3: 0-1-0

  • Track Gold Coast

    3: 0-1-1

  • Track Ipswich

    7: 0-2-1

  • Track Sale

    1: 0-0-1

  • Distance 1600m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1000m

    2: 0-0-1

  • Distance 1100m

    7: 0-2-0

  • Going Good

    34: 4-7-6

  • Going Heavy

    1: 0-0-1

  • Going Soft

    8: 0-0-0

Last starts

  1. 2Toowoomba650m21 Sept 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(3)0.6L
  2. 6Ipswich1350m20 Feb 2026 · CL4 · GOOD44.3L
  3. 3Eagle Farm1400m28 Jan 2026 · CL4 · GOOD42.4L
  4. 4Ipswich1350m10 Jan 2026 · BM78 · GOOD46L
  5. 2Ipswich1350m17 Dec 2025 · HCP · GOOD41.1L
  6. 3Gold Coast1200m6 Dec 2025 · CL5 · GOOD41.3L
  7. 10Doomben1350m25 Oct 2025 · CG&E CL6 · GOOD44.8L
  8. 5Eagle Farm1400m11 Oct 2025 · BM78 · GOOD31.8L

Insights

  • Trainer Recent

    Negative

    Camp struggling with S/R just 8%

  • Up In Dist

    Positive

    Racing at a more suitable distance

Comments

AAP

First-up (33-weeks). In the minors at Ipswich first-up last campaign while trialling well in the lead-up. Form solid this distance. Could get into the placings fresh in this affair.

ILB

First up and displayed good finishing speed when 2nd beaten by 1 1/4L first up last preparation at Ipswich. Jockey Jess Emmerson is a plus.

RP

Not disgraced when sixth of seven over 6½f at Ipswich (handicap) in February; returns from a layoff; makes limited appeal as a few rivals look in good form.

RSIS

Resuming and finished well when 2nd beaten by 1 1/4L resuming last preparation at Ipswich. Jess Emmerson is a plus.

3WolfgangScratched15––––

Rating · IRD

20

Speed map

Leader

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey100%
  • Trainer80%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo80%
  • Early Speed80%
  • Rating60%
  • Closing Speed60%

Insights

  • Jockey ROI

    Positive

    Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 35% in Last 100 Rides

  • Jockey Booking

    Positive

    Kayla Barker 28% above market expected in L100 Rides

  • Early Sectionals

    Negative

    Recent sectional data suggests slow early pace

  • Solid Run LS

    Positive

    Won last start

  • Form At Track

    Positive

    1 time winner here at Warwick

  • Class Rise

    Negative

    Racing in stronger company

  • Consistent

    Positive

    Showing up at the business end

Comments

AAP

Racing in great heart. Closed strongly from inside midfield to prevail in final bounds this venue. Barrier hurts but possesses early toe. Can again play a role with even luck.

ILB

Gave them all something to chase when winning by a nose last start here and have to respect the form at the trip.

RSIS

Controlled the pace to win by a margin of a nose last time at the track and have to respect the form at this trip.

4Cosmic BeautyJ: Wayne O'Connell·T: Jeff Dunn1160kg7 9 6 4 718: 5-2-3$31.00$4.20

Career

18: 5-2-3

Rating · IRD

80

Speed map

Onpace

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey20%
  • Trainer100%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
  • Early Speed60%
  • Rating40%
  • Closing Speed40%

Record

  • First-up

    5: 2-0-1

  • Second-up

    3: 0-0-0

  • Third-up

    3: 1-1-0

  • Fourth-up

    2: 1-0-1

  • Track Warwick

    1: 1-0-0

  • Track CurrentTrack

    1: 1-0-0

  • Track Beaudesert

    1: 0-0-1

  • Distance 1300m

    1: 1-0-0

  • Distance 1350m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1400m

    6: 2-1-2

  • Going Good

    6: 0-2-0

  • Going Heavy

    4: 0-0-3

  • Going Soft

    8: 5-0-0

Last starts

  1. 7Ipswich1100m9 Sept 2026 · BM68 · GOOD45.6L
  2. 4Beaudesert1050m27 Aug 2026 · Barrier Trial · SOFT(5)2.2L
  3. 6Gold Coast1200m6 Dec 2025 · CL5 · GOOD43L
  4. 9Doomben1200m15 Nov 2025 · 3UP CL6-SW · SOFT715.4L
  5. 7Eagle Farm1000m4 Nov 2025 · 3yo+ · GOOD45.8L
  6. 2Beaudesert900m20 Oct 2025 · Barrier Trial0.2L
  7. 12Rockhampton1600m5 July 2025 · Open · SOFT57.52L
  8. 1Gold Coast1400m14 June 2025 · CL5 HCP · SOFT5-0.1

Insights

  • Rider

    Negative

    Negative rider change today

  • Trainer Form

    Positive

    In form stable, out performing market expectations 30%

  • Trainer ROI

    Positive

    Runners from this stable currently going at 17% POT in L100 Runners

  • Early Sectionals

    Negative

    Recent sectional data suggests slow early pace

  • Needs To Imp

    Negative

    Finished towards the tail last start

  • Dist S/R

    Negative

    Poor performer at the distance

  • Track Exp

    Positive

    Knows this track well

  • Class Rise

    Negative

    Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

Kept fresh following return. Went home tamely at Ipswich after lengthy absence at $21. Can't enthuse.

ILB

At $21.00 tailed off to finish 7th last time at Ipswich. Displays good tactical speed. All 5 wins have been on soft ground. Betting is the best guide.

RP

Beaten 6l in seventh over 5½f at Ipswich (handicap) four weeks ago; has winning track form; this is her level; big player with a bit more luck as excuses last time (crowded) and shown she can win fairly recently.

RSIS

Odds of 20/1 and weakened under pressure when 7th last time at Ipswich. Likely to be well placed early. All 5 wins have been on a soft surface. Watch the betting.

5Certified CopyJ: Stephanie Tierney·T: Richard Laming159.5kg7 1 2 3 215: 3-4-2$2.80$1.28

Career

15: 3-4-2

Rating · IRD

100

Speed map

Offpace

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey20%
  • Trainer100%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
  • Early Speed100%
  • Rating100%
  • Closing Speed60%

Record

  • First-up

    4: 1-1-0

  • Second-up

    3: 1-2-0

  • Third-up

    3: 1-0-1

  • Fourth-up

    2: 0-1-0

  • Track Coffs Harbour

    1: 0-1-0

  • Track Eagle Farm

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Ballina

    1: 0-1-0

  • Distance 1000m

    4: 1-0-0

  • Distance 1110m

    1: 1-0-0

  • Distance 1200m

    7: 1-3-1

  • Going Good

    7: 0-1-2

  • Going Heavy

    1: 0-1-0

  • Going Soft

    7: 3-2-0

Last starts

  1. 2Beaudesert1200m17 Sept 2026 · CL4 · GOOD30.63L
  2. 3Gold Coast1200m5 Sept 2026 · BM70 · GOOD40.7L
  3. 2Coffs Harbour1200m7 Aug 2026 · CL3 · SOFT50.9L
  4. 1Rockhampton1200m11 July 2026 · BM70 · SOFT5-0.1
  5. 7Doomben1350m21 Feb 2026 · 3Y HCP · GOOD44.8L
  6. 3Doomben1350m7 Feb 2026 · 3Y HCP · GOOD32L
  7. 7Gold Coast1000m27 Jan 2026 · Barrier Trial3.9L
  8. 5Ipswich1200m3 Jan 2026 · 3Y BM62 · GOOD41.5L

Insights

  • Rider

    Negative

    Negative rider change today

  • Profitable Trainer

    Positive

    Stable runners going at 10% POT in L100 Runners

  • Fast Early

    Positive

    Sectionals suggest goes hard early

  • Nice Barrier

    Positive

    Well drawn from gate 1

  • Ready To Strike

    Positive

    Can be rewarded for recent consistent form

  • Class Rise

    Negative

    Racing in stronger company

  • Racing Strongly

    Positive

    Racing in great shape

Comments

AAP

Prominent, showed plenty of ticker to just go under at Beaudesert over this journey. Drawn to get a conservative run. Wet tracks certainly don't pose a problem. Commands attention here.

ILB

Nice run when 2nd last run at Beaudesert and can save some energy from the alley. All 3 wins have been on a soft surface. Very capable of taking this out.

RP

String of near-misses of late; favourite and only narrowly beaten at Beaudesert 23 days ago; the Richard Laming operation is running hot currently; recent effort was creditable so has a competitive shout; also engaged in race 3 at Eagle Farm.

RSIS

Competitive effort when 2nd last run at Beaudesert and drawn by the rails. In the top three at every start of late. Will show up at the business end.

6PrevailedScratched6––––

Career

32: 5-4-7

Rating · IRD

20

Speed map

Leader

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey40%
  • Trainer80%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo80%
  • Early Speed100%
  • Rating60%
  • Closing Speed60%

Record

  • First-up

    5: 1-0-1

  • Second-up

    4: 0-2-0

  • Third-up

    4: 2-0-1

  • Fourth-up

    4: 1-0-1

  • Track Caulfield Heath

    2: 0-0-0

  • Track Ballarat

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Flemington

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1312m

    1: 1-0-0

  • Distance 1347m

    1: 0-0-1

  • Distance 1400m

    3: 0-0-2

  • Going Good

    14: 3-2-2

  • Going Heavy

    3: 1-0-0

  • Going Soft

    15: 1-2-5

Last starts

  1. 3Geelong1347m28 Aug 2026 · 3UP BM62 HCP · SOFT72.8L
  2. 6Morphettville1250m1 Aug 2026 · Benchmark 64 · SOFT65.3L
  3. 4Sandown1200m8 July 2026 · BM66 · HEAVY83.2L
  4. 9Caulfield Heath1200m17 June 2026 · BM70 · SOFT65.4L
  5. 3Sandown1400m31 May 2026 · BM70 · SOFT71.4L
  6. 7Caulfield Heath1200m20 May 2026 · BM74 · SOFT62.5L
  7. 3Bendigo1300m2 May 2026 · BM70 · GOOD32L
  8. 2Caulfield1200m11 Apr 2026 · 3yo+ · SOFT70.4L

Insights

  • Fast Early

    Positive

    Sectionals suggest goes hard early

  • Ran On Hard LS

    Positive

    Ran on well last start

  • Dist S/R

    Negative

    Poor performer at the distance

  • Improved L/S

    Positive

    Improved again last start

  • Fresh

    Positive

    Freshened up. Had a break of 42-60 days

  • Class Rise

    Negative

    Racing in stronger company

  • Win Drought

    Negative

    Not won for a while

Comments

AAP

Let-up (43-days). Ex Mark & Levi Kavanagh in Victoria. Ridden cold, produced solid finish late at Geelong. Can fill the minors here.

ILB

Back from a freshen up. Placed 3rd last start at Geelong. First race for a new trainer.

RP

Finishing third was a good effort 43 days ago at Geelong over 6½f (handicap); form has been a mixed bag of late; first run for trainer.

RSIS

Freshened for this. Did well when 3rd last start at Geelong. Coming to a new trainer.

7ProvanceScratched5––––

Career

26: 5-2-2

Rating · IRD

93

Speed map

Midfield

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey80%
  • Trainer80%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
  • Early Speed80%
  • Rating80%
  • Closing Speed80%

Record

  • First-up

    5: 1-1-0

  • Second-up

    4: 1-0-1

  • Third-up

    4: 1-0-0

  • Fourth-up

    4: 0-0-0

  • Track Toowoomba

    3: 1-0-1

  • Track Eagle Farm

    7: 1-1-1

  • Track Doomben

    4: 0-1-0

  • Distance 1000m

    6: 2-0-1

  • Distance 1100m

    2: 0-0-1

  • Distance 1110m

    4: 0-1-0

  • Going Good

    13: 2-1-1

  • Going Heavy

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Soft

    12: 3-1-1

Last starts

  1. 6Doomben1110m12 Sept 2026 · Benchmark 78 · GOOD47.3L
  2. 4Ipswich1200m2 Sept 2026 · CL5 · SOFT51.6L
  3. 6Doomben1110m22 Aug 2026 · BM70 · GOOD43.5L
  4. 6Eagle Farm1000m8 Aug 2026 · NMW · GOOD42.6L
  5. 5Sunshine Coast1000m29 Mar 2026 · CL5 · SOFT67.9L
  6. 7Gold Coast1100m14 Mar 2026 · BM78 · SOFT74L
  7. 1Eagle Farm1000m18 Feb 2026 · BM70 · GOOD4-0.7
  8. 3Eagle Farm1000m4 Feb 2026 · CL6 · GOOD40.8L

Insights

  • Gap In Runs

    Negative

    Not raced for 28 days

Comments

AAP

4 weeks since last run. Ridden back and never a factor at Doomben. Not out of this.

ILB

Below expectations when 6th last time at Doomben but will appreciate the drop in class. Will have to carry extra weight.

RP

Beaten 7l in sixth at Doomben over 5½f (handicap) four weeks ago; has proven competitive in a race of this nature; interesting.

RSIS

Below expectations when 6th last run at Doomben but taking on a lower class of opponents. Going up in weight.

8DuomoJ: William Galloway·T: Jay Bellamy358kg2 1 10 1 610: 2-3-1$4.20$1.45

Career

10: 2-3-1

Rating · IRD

89

Speed map

Leader

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey20%
  • Trainer100%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
  • Early Speed100%
  • Rating60%
  • Closing Speed60%

Record

  • First-up

    3: 1-1-0

  • Second-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Third-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Fourth-up

    1: 0-1-0

  • Track Gold Coast Poly

    2: 0-1-1

  • Track Beaudesert

    1: 1-0-0

  • Track Doomben

    2: 1-0-0

  • Distance 1350m

    2: 1-0-0

  • Distance 1400m

    3: 1-2-0

  • Distance 1540m

    2: 0-1-1

  • Going Good

    6: 2-2-0

  • Going Heavy

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Soft

    1: 0-0-0

Last starts

  1. 6Eagle Farm1200m23 Sept 2026 · Benchmark 65 · GOOD43.14L
  2. 1Beaudesert1050m27 Aug 2026 · Barrier Trial · SOFT(5)-0.3
  3. 10Eagle Farm1300m2 May 2026 · 3Y-QLTY HCP · HEAVY86L
  4. 1Doomben1350m22 Apr 2026 · CG&E CL1 · GOOD4-0.81
  5. 2Gold Coast1400m10 Apr 2026 · CL2 · GOOD40.2L
  6. 2Eagle Farm1400m25 Mar 2026 · CL1 · GOOD40.58L
  7. 4Eagle Farm1600m7 Mar 2026 · 3Y HCP · SOFT52.8L
  8. 11Doomben1350m21 Feb 2026 · CL1 · GOOD46L

Insights

  • Jockey Booking

    Negative

    Less suitable jockey engaged

  • Profitable Trainer

    Positive

    Stable runners going at 19% POT in L100 Runners

  • Class Rise

    Negative

    Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

Battled home okay at Eagle Farm first up. Better for the outing. Drawn to receive every chance and a nice weight drop. Can make his presence felt.

ILB

Started $12.00 and below par when 6th last time at Eagle Farm. Likely to be well placed early. The large claim from William Galloway should help. Gets a chance against these.

RP

Not beaten that far in sixth (just over 3l) at Eagle Farm two weeks ago; this line-up contains some strong opposition so others more likely; also engaged in race 3 at Eagle Farm.

RSIS

Started 11/1 and appeared lacklustre when 6th last time at Eagle Farm. Should jump out and bowl along. Large claim helps. Strong prospects in this race.

9Sistine ExplorerJ: Scott Sheargold·T: Adam Campton457.5kg4 5 6 9 737: 6-6-4$16.00$3.40

Career

37: 6-6-4

Rating · IRD

74

Speed map

Offpace

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey20%
  • Trainer100%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
  • Early Speed100%
  • Rating40%
  • Closing Speed40%

Record

  • First-up

    9: 2-2-0

  • Second-up

    7: 0-2-1

  • Third-up

    5: 1-1-0

  • Fourth-up

    4: 1-1-0

  • Track Ballarat

    3: 1-1-0

  • Track Ipswich

    2: 0-1-0

  • Track Moonee Valley

    2: 0-0-1

  • Distance 1100m

    6: 1-1-0

  • Distance 1200m

    13: 2-3-1

  • Distance 1350m

    3: 0-0-0

  • Going Synthetic

    10: 1-2-2

  • Going Good

    17: 2-1-1

  • Going Heavy

    1: 1-0-0

Last starts

  1. 7Sunshine Coast1000m20 Sept 2026 · BM70 · GOOD44.04L
  2. 9Gatton1100m27 June 2026 · BM70 · GOOD45.3L
  3. 6Gold Coast1000m6 June 2026 · CL6 · GOOD41.7L
  4. 5Beaudesert1050m8 May 2026 · Barrier Trial · SOFT(5)2.1L
  5. 4Gold Coast850m21 Apr 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)1.7L
  6. 4Gold Coast Poly1150m7 Feb 2026 · BM65 · SYNTHETIC9.2L
  7. 2Gold Coast1000m27 Jan 2026 · Barrier Trial4L
  8. 7Gold Coast1100m19 Dec 2025 · BM68 · GOOD44.5L

Insights

  • Rider

    Negative

    Negative rider change today

  • Cold J/T Combo

    Negative

    Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races

  • Trainer ROI

    Positive

    Runners from this stable currently going at 5% POT in L100 Runners

  • Well Placed

    Positive

    Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Finished well held at Sunshine Coast first up. New to Warwick. Looks up against it.

ILB

Started $71.00 and didn't threaten when 7th last run at Sunshine Coast. Facing a difficult task today.

RP

Didn't run too badly when out of the frame at Sunshine Coast (beaten 4l) over 5f (handicap) last month; she shouldn't be far away as shown some signs of promise.

RSIS

Started 70/1 and didn't attack the line when 7th last start at Sunshine Coast.

10Midnight DreamJ: Isabel Jessop·T: Simon Grimson657kg9 5 9 2 249: 6-9-4$41.00$4.80

Career

49: 6-9-4

Rating · IRD

84

Speed map

Midfield

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey80%
  • Trainer80%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
  • Early Speed20%
  • Rating60%
  • Closing Speed50%

Record

  • First-up

    8: 2-1-1

  • Second-up

    7: 1-1-0

  • Third-up

    7: 1-2-0

  • Fourth-up

    5: 0-1-0

  • Track Echuca

    2: 1-0-0

  • Track Hawkesbury

    2: 0-0-0

  • Track Kyneton

    2: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1300m

    5: 0-0-1

  • Distance 1000m

    19: 4-5-1

  • Distance 1009m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Good

    25: 4-5-4

  • Going Heavy

    5: 0-0-0

  • Going Soft

    17: 2-2-0

Last starts

  1. 2St George1000m26 Sept 2026 · HCP2.29L
  2. 2Nanango1200m12 Sept 2026 · BM680.53L
  3. 9Dubbo1000m13 July 2026 · BM74 · SOFT54.7L
  4. 5Warren1000m14 June 2026 · CANNONBALL BM82 · SOFT63.6L
  5. 9Hawkesbury1100m4 June 2026 · 5UP BM64 HCP · SOFT65.3L
  6. 4Hawkesbury1100m14 May 2026 · Benchmark 64 · SOFT74.5L
  7. 4Dubbo860m3 May 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)2.6L
  8. 8Narromine1100m2 Dec 2025 · Benchmark 66 · GOOD45.5L

Insights

  • Fast Finisher

    Positive

    Fastest Overall Finishing Sectionals Last Start

  • Maps Well

    Positive

    Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 9%

  • Dist S/R

    Negative

    Poor performer at the distance

  • Class Rise

    Negative

    Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

Third outing for new trainer/ this region. Great run at Nanango 12 Sep. Gave good sight filling the minors at St George. Strikes a harder race.

ILB

Nice run when 2nd last time at St George. Been in the money each attempt this preparation. Definitely worth considering.

RP

Produced a good effort to finish runner-up over 5f at St George (handicap) last month; been struggling to get his head in front recently so one to tread carefully with.

RSIS

In the money when 2nd last run at St George. Has run into the money at every start recently. Good prospects.

11Breezin'J: Kelsey Lenton·T: Darren P Bell1056.5kg6 1 3 8 622: 3-4-5$2.80$1.28

Career

22: 3-4-5

Rating · IRD

87

Speed map

Onpace

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey40%
  • Trainer80%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo40%
  • Early Speed100%
  • Rating60%
  • Closing Speed40%

Record

  • First-up

    3: 1-0-2

  • Second-up

    2: 0-0-0

  • Third-up

    2: 1-1-0

  • Fourth-up

    2: 0-0-0

  • Track Gold Coast

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Ipswich

    4: 0-0-0

  • Track Sunshine Coast

    5: 0-3-2

  • Distance 1000m

    4: 1-0-2

  • Distance 1110m

    1: 0-0-1

  • Distance 1200m

    14: 2-3-2

  • Going Good

    15: 3-3-3

  • Going Soft

    7: 0-1-2

Last starts

  1. 6Eagle Farm1200m23 Sept 2026 · Benchmark 65 · GOOD44.72L
  2. 8Eagle Farm1000m5 Sept 2026 · 3UP CL3-SW · SOFT53.7L
  3. 3Doomben1200m22 Aug 2026 · NMW · GOOD42.2L
  4. 1Toowoomba1000m1 Aug 2026 · CL3 · GOOD4-1.3
  5. 6Ipswich1200m4 June 2026 · 3yo+ · SOFT53.7L
  6. 4Ipswich1200m13 May 2026 · CL2 · SOFT61.3L
  7. 1Warwick1200m28 Apr 2026 · CL1 · GOOD3-1.1
  8. 4Doomben1200m15 Apr 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD41L

Insights

  • Maps Well

    Positive

    Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 18%

  • Fast Early

    Positive

    Sectionals suggest goes hard early

  • Track Exp

    Positive

    Knows this track well

  • Class Rise

    Negative

    Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

Ordinary performance in small field at Eagle Farm over this distance. Winner at track and distance. Could get into the placings.

ILB

Started $7.00 and didn't attack the line when 6th last start at Eagle Farm. Has early speed and positions nicely. Win will not surprise.

RP

Finished last of six at Eagle Farm last month; a C&D winner; others more appealing as running in what looks to be a hot race.

RSIS

Started 6/1 and faded to finish 6th last start at Eagle Farm. Should muster plenty of early pace. Good potential.

12Mishani PrinceJ: Aidan Keeley·T: Donna Stanbridge956.5kg5 1 6 8 115: 2-1-3$10.00$2.60

Career

15: 2-1-3

Rating · IRD

70

Speed map

Offmidfield

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey100%
  • Trainer80%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
  • Early Speed80%
  • Rating20%
  • Closing Speed100%

Record

  • First-up

    3: 0-1-0

  • Second-up

    2: 0-0-1

  • Third-up

    2: 1-0-1

  • Fourth-up

    2: 0-0-0

  • Track Beaudesert

    1: 0-1-0

  • Track Doomben

    4: 1-0-1

  • Track Gold Coast

    2: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1110m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1200m

    8: 2-0-1

  • Distance 1350m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Good

    6: 1-0-2

  • Going Soft

    9: 1-1-1

Last starts

  1. 1Sunshine Coast1200m20 Sept 2026 · CG&E CL1 · GOOD4-0.06
  2. 8Eagle Farm1200m5 Sept 2026 · 3&4Y BM70 · SOFT55.5L
  3. 6Eagle Farm1200m12 Aug 2026 · BM68 · GOOD43.9L
  4. 1Doomben1200m22 July 2026 · 3Y MDN-SW · SOFT6-1
  5. 5Sunshine Coast1200m12 July 2026 · 3Y MDN · SOFT52.3L
  6. 2Beaudesert1100m26 June 2026 · 3Y MDN-SW · SOFT70.7L
  7. 11Doomben1350m12 Dec 2025 · 3Y MDN · SOFT512.5L
  8. 3Sunshine Coast1400m28 Nov 2025 · 3Y MDN · SOFT53.8L

Insights

  • Fast Finisher

    Positive

    Fastest Overall Finishing Sectionals Last Start

  • Rider SR

    Positive

    Jockey recent POT is 19% better than Career Avg.

  • Jockey Booking

    Positive

    Aidan Keeley 35% above market expected in L100 Rides

  • Cold J/T Combo

    Negative

    Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races

  • Early Splits

    Negative

    Out of races with slow early tempos

  • Solid Run LS

    Positive

    Won last start

  • Awkward Draw

    Negative

    Would have liked a better draw

  • Class Rise

    Negative

    Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

Won from just off the pace-setters at Sunshine Coast. Meeting stronger company. New to Warwick. Repeat would surprise.

ILB

Finished well when winning last time at Sunshine Coast. Prefers to settle towards the rear. Looking at others.

RP

Caused an upset when winning handicap at 20-1 (Sunshine Coast) 20 days ago; despite that Sunshine Coast success, looks risky.

RSIS

Ran on hard when winning last time at Sunshine Coast. Likely to get back in the run.

13AngaraJ: Kenji Yoshida·T: Simon Grimson255kg5 12 6 6 248: 5-3-3$23.00$3.90

Career

48: 5-3-3

Rating · IRD

74

Speed map

Offmidfield

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey20%
  • Trainer80%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
  • Early Speed20%
  • Rating40%
  • Closing Speed50%

Record

  • First-up

    6: 0-0-1

  • Second-up

    4: 2-0-0

  • Third-up

    4: 1-0-0

  • Fourth-up

    3: 0-0-1

  • Track Kembla Grange

    3: 0-1-1

  • Track Taree

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Scone

    3: 1-0-0

  • Distance 1000m

    5: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1100m

    5: 1-0-0

  • Distance 1150m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Unknown

    1: 0-1-0

  • Going Good

    26: 1-1-3

  • Going Heavy

    5: 0-0-0

Last starts

  1. 2Talwood1400m19 Sept 2026 · HCP1.77L
  2. 6Newcastle1200m25 Aug 2026 · Benchmark 68 · SOFT69.5L
  3. 6Taree1000m14 Aug 2026 · BM82 · GOOD46.7L
  4. 12Newcastle1600m11 July 2026 · BM64 · SOFT617.7L
  5. 5Gosford1600m18 June 2026 · Benchmark 64 · HEAVY82.8L
  6. 4Newcastle1250m23 May 2026 · Benchmark 64 · HEAVY92L
  7. 5Muswellbrook1000m20 Apr 2026 · Benchmark 82 · GOOD42.8L
  8. 7Wyong1200m28 Mar 2026 · Benchmark 68 · SOFT52.8L

Insights

  • Fast Finisher

    Positive

    Fastest Overall Finishing Sectionals Last Start

  • Jockey Booking

    Negative

    Kenji Yoshida current POT is 48% below Career Avg.

  • Cold J/T Combo

    Negative

    Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races

  • Rider Poor SR

    Negative

    Jockey underperforming market expectations by 62% in L100 rides

  • Draw Suits

    Positive

    Well drawn inside

  • Dist S/R

    Negative

    Poor performer at the distance

  • Ready To Fire

    Positive

    Shown something in last few runs

  • Blinkers Off

    Positive

    Blinkers coming off this start

Comments

AAP

Long time since last saluted. Brave after showing speed at Talwood for new trainer. Leads, handy. Tackling stronger line-up.

ILB

Did well when 2nd last start at Talwood and gets a favourable draw. Likely to get back in the field. Prefer to watch.

RP

Went close when second at Talwood over 7f (handicap) last month on debut for this trainer.

RSIS

Did well when 2nd last time at Talwood and drawn nicely. Might have to make up considerable ground.

14Butt HeadsScratched11––––

Rating · IRD

20

Speed map

Offpace

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey40%
  • Trainer40%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo50%
  • Early Speed50%
  • Rating50%
  • Closing Speed20%

Insights

  • Gave ground LS

    Negative

    Faded towards the finish last time out

  • Track Exp

    Positive

    Knows this track well

  • Winkers Off

    Positive

    Winkers coming off this start

  • Imprv Needed

    Negative

    Would need to lift here to feature

Comments

AAP

Every chance but compounded at Toowoomba. Won't want it too wet. Won only other time at Warwick. One for exotics.

ILB

Jumped at $20.00 and faded to finish 10th last run at Toowoomba but up against a less competitive field. Good to see Montanna Savva is jumping on.

RSIS

Was 19/1 and lost ground in the run home when 10th last time at Toowoomba but up against a less competitive field. Montanna Savva is a bonus and dropping weight.

15CustoScratched5––––

Rating · IRD

20

Speed map

Midfield

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey50%
  • Trainer100%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
  • Early Speed100%
  • Rating60%
  • Closing Speed80%

Insights

  • Maps Poorly

    Negative

    Map position not suited at this track, under performing market expectations by 13%

  • Fast Early

    Positive

    Sectionals suggest goes hard early

  • Solid Run LS

    Positive

    Won last start

  • Class Rise

    Negative

    Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

Just got there in the (Bm66) at Grafton. Excels on rain affected tracks. Warrants attention.

ILB

On a quick back up. Odds of $12.00 and ran 5th last time at Sunshine Coast. Running with confidence this preparation.

RSIS

On a short turnaround. Started 11/1 and came in 5th last start at Sunshine Coast. Showing great form since resuming from a break.

Odds correct as at . Odds can change.

Past meetings

  • Thu 24 Sept, 10:00 am AEST · 8 races
  • Thu 10 Sept, 10:00 am AEST · 7 races