Geelong (VIC) horses tips & previews

8 Nov, 1:03 am AEDT

One race at a time: field, form guide and win/place odds for Geelong (VIC), with capture times on every price.

Meeting — Sat 7 Nov, 11:00 am AEDT

Meetings · Sat, 7 NovGeelong (VIC)Change

Race 2 — McGrath Estate Agents Ballan - Emerging Stars Series Mdn Plate 1318m · jumps Sat 7 Nov, 1:31 pm AEDT

Race preview

Welcome to Geelong for a keen clash on the track as the Mcgrath Estate Agents Ballan - Emerging Stars Series Mdn Plate gets underway over the 1318m trip. Showers are about with the surface rated a Soft6, setting up an intriguing test for these emerging types. Taking a look at the early win market order, punters have homed in on Scoot sitting right at the head of affairs, closely followed by Magna Sententia, Run Run Win, and Lei shaping as the next in line in the betting yarn.

Delving into the form behind those shorter prices reveals some interesting narratives. Magna Sententia comes in with two solid runs under the belt, having grabbed a strong third at Swan Hill before that runner-up effort at Hamilton, showing plenty of promise with a fast-finishing turn of foot last time out that suggests third-up fitness will suit. Meanwhile, market leader Scoot debuted at Mornington with a commendable effort where support came thick and fast, and with that race experience now tucked away, shapes as primed to go one better here.

Looking further down the order and checking out the speed map, Unannounced is marked as the leader from barrier two, while a handful of first-starters like Bundedo, Prestige Blackjack, Gypsy Storm, and I'm A Believer will look to make their presence felt from the outset. Another runner drawing attention is Lei, returning fresh after a twenty-three-week break with some respectable jump-outs under the belt and a prior campaign that featured a narrow maiden defeat at Echuca first-up, making this yard an interesting player to monitor as the action unfolds.

Race notes

3-5yo,MDN-SW,Maiden
SOFT6
Showers
10 runners

Shortest win price

Scoot (12)

2.00

Speed map

Back left · leaders right

Firststart

1Bundedo
6Prestige Blackjack
8Gypsy Storm
11I'm A Believer

Backmarker

5Magna Sententia

Offmidfield

7Run Run Win

Midfield

3Welcometodetroit

Offpace

12Scoot
9Lei

Leader

10Unannounced

Bundedo · Negative
Cold J/T Combo
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Welcometodetroit · Negative
Cold J/T Combo
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Magna Sententia · Positive
Fast Finisher
Fastest Overall Finishing Sectionals Last Start
Prestige Blackjack · Negative
Jockey Booking
Jason Maskiell current POT is 36% below Career Avg.

No.RunnerBarWgtLast 5WinPlace

1BundedoJ: Adam Mc Cabe·T: Dennis Julius159.5kg–$71.00$5.50

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Firststart

Figures

Jockey60%
Trainer80%
Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
Early Speed50%
Rating20%
Closing Speed50%

Insights

Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Nice Barrier
Positive
Well drawn from gate 1
Still Learning
Negative
No race experience
Blinkers On
Positive
Trainer has opted for the Blinkers on, take note

Comments

AAP

Unraced 4yo out of the Kitten's Joy mare Classic Kitten. 2nd & 7th from latest jump-outs. Drawn well. Look to market for a further guide.

ILB

4yo debutant by Your Song for Dennis Julius and can save some energy from the draw. Respect the betting.

Already a gelding; first start under rules for this son of Your Song; one to note with signs of encouragement in profile.

RSIS

4yo first starter sired by Your Song for trainer Dennis Julius and can save some energy from the stall.

2Rock AboutScratched7––––

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Offpace

BackLead

Figures

Jockey40%
Trainer40%
Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
Early Speed100%
Rating50%
Closing Speed80%

Insights

Trainer SR
Negative
Wendy Kelly striking at just 7%
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -42% POT in their L100 Races
Trainer Recent
Negative
Stable runners are currently underperforming market by 37%
Fast Early
Positive
Sectionals suggest goes hard early
Ran On Hard LS
Positive
Ran on well last start
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

Shown some promise across three appearances. Pretty good effort in defeat at Seymour second-up. All the better, not out of it.

ILB

On a quick back up. At $4.00 finished 4th last time at Cranbourne. Producing consistent results this preparation.

Three-race maiden but has managed to finish second; solid effort when 25-1 third over 6f at Seymour (maiden) last month; was entered at Cranbourne Friday.

RSIS

On a short turnaround. Started at 3/1 and ran 4th last start at Cranbourne. Producing consistent results of late.

3WelcometodetroitJ: Sheridan Clarke·T: Mark C Webb959.5kg5 4 3 9 76: 0-0-1$81.00$6.50

Career

6: 0-0-1

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Midfield

BackLead

Figures

Jockey20%
Trainer80%
Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
Early Speed20%
Rating60%
Closing Speed80%

Record

First-up
2: 0-0-0
Track Mornington
1: 0-0-0
Track Sale
1: 0-0-1
Track Cranbourne
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1100m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1200m
3: 0-0-0
Distance 1400m
2: 0-0-1
Going Good
2: 0-0-0
Going Heavy
2: 0-0-1
Going Soft
2: 0-0-0

Last starts

7Moe1100m18 Oct 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD36.31L
9Sandown1400m16 July 2025 · 2UP MDN-SW · SOFT58.9L
3Sale1400m6 July 2025 · 2yo+ · HEAVY84L
4Echuca1200m22 June 2025 · 2UP MDN-SW · SOFT62.65L
5Mornington1200m9 June 2025 · MDN-SW · HEAVY85.8L
4Cranbourne1200m30 May 2025 · 2yo+ · GOOD42.8L

Insights

Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Drawn Poorly
Negative
Unfavourable barrier draw
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

Sent out $16 when never got into the race at Moe off extended spell. Hard to warm to.

ILB

Was $16.00 and below par when 7th last time at Moe. Watch betting.

Not yet off the mark in six attempts although has finished third; was held in seventh over 5½f at Moe (maiden) last month; a few rivals look in good form so may have to settle for supporting role at best.

RSIS

Started 15/1 and ordinary performance when 7th last time at Moe. Respect the betting.

4De NiroScratched12––––

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Firststart

Figures

Jockey20%
Trainer100%
Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
Early Speed50%
Rating60%
Closing Speed50%

Last starts

4Caulfield Heath800m14 May 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)4.3L

Insights

Rider
Negative
Negative rider change today
Hot Trainer
Positive
Ben, Will & Jd Hayes in good form, out performing market 41%
Trainer ROI
Positive
Runners from this stable currently going at 31% POT in L100 Runners
1st Up
Negative
May need this run
Watch Betting
Negative
If supported, follow in

Comments

AAP

Trials (1:0-0-0). Out of a Group 3-winning mare. Takes natural improvement from sound jump-outs of late. Awkward alley but creates interest on debut.

ILB

3yo debutant by I Am Invincible for trainer Will Ben & Jd Hayes. Watch the market.

Ben, Will & Jd Hayes newcomers always need to be taken seriously at Geelong; sire's stock can be smart performers; has strong claims with signs of encouragement in profile.

RSIS

I Am Invincible 3yo on debut for trainer Will Ben & Jd Hayes.

5Magna SententiaJ: Dean Yendall·T: Taige Weir558kg2 32: 0-1-1$2.35$1.12

Career

2: 0-1-1

Rating · IRD

100

Speed map

Backmarker

BackLead

Figures

Jockey100%
Trainer80%
Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
Early Speed20%
Rating100%
Closing Speed100%

Record

First-up
1: 0-1-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-1
Track Hamilton
1: 0-1-0
Track Swan Hill
1: 0-0-1
Distance 1200m
2: 0-1-1
Going Good
1: 0-0-1
Going Soft
1: 0-1-0

Last starts

3Swan Hill1200m27 Oct 2026 · 3Y MDN-SW · GOOD40.75L
2Hamilton1200m10 Oct 2026 · 3Y MDN-SW · SOFT50.75L

Insights

Fast Finisher
Positive
Fastest Overall Finishing Sectionals Last Start
Jockey ROI
Positive
Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 23% in Last 100 Rides
Key Rider
Positive
Dean Yendall 24% above market expected in L100 Rides
Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are out performing market expectations by 417%
Ran On Hard LS
Positive
Ran on well last start
Blinkers On
Positive
Trainer has opted for the Blinkers on, take note
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

Shown promise in two runs. Came home with a wet sail to grab third 3yo Mdn Plate at Swan Hill at second start at odds of $2.70. Improver, fitter third-up. Warrants attention.

ILB

Improved to place when 3rd last start at Swan Hill. Dean Yendall and Taige Weir deserve respect together. Can go through the gears. Expect support.

Near miss when favourite over 6f at Swan Hill (maiden) last month.

RSIS

Displayed good finishing pace when 3rd last time at Swan Hill. Dean Yendall and Taige Weir are usually competitive together. Been in the money 2 from 2 attempts lately. Strong competitor.

6Prestige BlackjackJ: Jason Maskiell·T: Julius Sandhu658kg–$34.00$3.90

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Firststart

Figures

Jockey20%
Trainer60%
Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
Early Speed50%
Rating40%
Closing Speed50%

Insights

Jockey Booking
Negative
Jason Maskiell current POT is 36% below Career Avg.
Trainer Career
Negative
Trainer Career S/R is 6%
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Trainer A2E
Negative
Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 24%
Rider Poor SR
Negative
Jockey underperforming market expectations by 53% in L100 rides
Watch Betting
Negative
If supported, follow in

Comments

AAP

$15k purchase. Out of a half-sister to G1 winner Good Project. Recent 3rd at the Cranbourne jump-outs. Market may offer more insight.

ILB

First appearance at the races 3yo by King's Legacy for trainer Julius Sandhu. Market as guide.

Makes competitive race debut; related to 1m winner Dealer Sing; not dismissed.

RSIS

First time at the races 3yo by King's Legacy for Julius Sandhu.

7Run Run WinJ: Zac Spain·T: M Price & M Kent Jnr458kg5 92: 0-0-0$7.00$1.75

Career

2: 0-0-0

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Offmidfield

BackLead

Figures

Jockey20%
Trainer80%
Jockey/Trainer Combo40%
Early Speed20%
Rating40%
Closing Speed60%

Record

First-up
1: 0-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Sale
1: 0-0-0
Track Cranbourne
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1200m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1206m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
2: 0-0-0

Last starts

9Cranbourne1200m9 Oct 2026 · 3Y MDN-SW · GOOD35.92L
5Sale1206m13 Sept 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD40.4L

Insights

Rider
Negative
Negative rider change today
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -29% POT in their L100 Races
Needs To Imp
Negative
Finished towards the tail last start
Blinkers On
Positive
Trainer has opted for the Blinkers on, take note
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

Freshened. Settled back and didn't figure at second outing. in the 3yo Mdn Plate at Cranbourne. Others with more appeal.

ILB

Started at $41.00 and was nothing special when 9th last start at Cranbourne. Will be giving the leaders a big start. Prefer to watch.

Finished last of nine at Cranbourne over 6f (maiden) last month; unlikely to achieve more than just a supporting role with the new headgear reached for.

RSIS

Was 40/1 and disappointing run when 9th last run at Cranbourne. Prefers to settle towards the rear.

8Gypsy StormJ: Lachlan King·T: Shannon Roughan357.5kg–$81.00$6.50

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Firststart

Figures

Jockey100%
Trainer20%
Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
Early Speed50%
Rating40%
Closing Speed50%

Insights

Jockey ROI
Positive
Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 40% in Last 100 Rides
Trainer Career
Negative
Trainer Career S/R is 2%
Trainer A2E
Negative
Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 68%
Trainer ROI
Negative
Trainers runners currently losing 75% Profit on Turnover
Still Learning
Negative
No race experience

Comments

AAP

4yo mare making her debut Out of a lightly raced Dylan Thomas mare Dylana. Won a Pakenham jump-out 13/10. Odds may prove best guide here.

ILB

Debutant 4yo by Thunder Fire for trainer Shannon Roughan. Watch the betting.

First public outing; related to Jamberoo (winner from 6f up to 1m1f); deserves respect with signs of encouragement in profile.

RSIS

Debutant 4yo by Thunder Fire for Shannon Roughan.

9LeiJ: Dylan Dunn·T: Dominic Sutton857.5kg5 2 3 74: 0-1-1$23.00$3.60

Career

4: 0-1-1

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Offpace

BackLead

Figures

Jockey100%
Trainer80%
Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
Early Speed20%
Rating40%
Closing Speed40%

Record

First-up
2: 0-1-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-1
Third-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Benalla
1: 0-0-0
Track Bendigo
1: 0-0-0
Track Wangaratta
1: 0-0-1
Distance 1212m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1300m
2: 0-1-1
Distance 1400m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
2: 0-1-0
Going Heavy
1: 0-0-1
Going Soft
1: 0-0-0

Last starts

7Bendigo1400m29 May 2026 · 3Y MDN-SW · GOOD46L
3Wangaratta1300m3 May 2026 · 2yo+ · HEAVY83.8L
2Echuca1300m16 Apr 2026 · 3UP MDN-SW · GOOD30.4L
5Benalla1212m2 Sept 2025 · 3YF MDN-SW · SOFT514.8L

Insights

Rider SR
Positive
Jockey recent POT is 53% better than Career Avg.
Jockey Booking
Positive
Dylan Dunn 68% above market expected in L100 Rides
Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are out performing market expectations by 109%
Hot Jockey
Positive
Dylan Dunn in hot recent form, out performing market expectation by 68%
Resuming
Negative
Poor strike rate when first up
Blinkers Off
Positive
Blinkers coming off this start
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

First-up (23-weeks). Nabbed on the wire in Maiden company at Echuca first-up last campaign. Respectable jump-outs of late. Looks among the dangers fresh in this company.

ILB

First up and threw down a serious challenge first up last preparation at Echuca. Can't leave out of your calculations.

Seemed to find it tough in May when seventh of ten at Bendigo over 7f (maiden); four-race maiden but has managed to finish second; back from an absence here; easy enough to take on.

RSIS

Resuming and narrowly beaten resuming last preparation at Echuca.

10UnannouncedJ: Carleen Hefel·T: E Jusufovic257.5kg61: 0-0-0$31.00$4.00

Career

1: 0-0-0

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Leader

BackLead

Figures

Jockey20%
Trainer20%
Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
Early Speed100%
Rating40%
Closing Speed40%

Record

First-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Kyneton
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1218m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
1: 0-0-0

Last starts

6Kyneton1218m20 Oct 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD35.05L

Insights

Trainer Career
Negative
Trainer Career S/R is 8%
Trainer Recent
Negative
Stable runners are currently underperforming market by 43%
Early Splits
Positive
Has early speed. An advantage on this circuit
Drawn In
Positive
Suited drawn down low
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

Safely contained at Kyneton on debut when smashed in the betting 20 Oct. Learnt plenty there. Could take a step forward.

ILB

Jumped at $7.50 and couldn't maintain the pace when 6th last time at Kyneton but having second race start. Should come to hand quickly. This looks a tough assignment.

Beaten 5l when sixth on her debut at Kyneton at 13-2 last month; might be better for the experience although not hard to turn elsewhere.

RSIS

At 13/2 didn't find the line when 6th last run at Kyneton but was a debutant last start. Displays good tactical pace. Has a good draw.

11I'm A BelieverJ: Damien Thornton·T: D T O'Brien1056kg–$34.00$4.00

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Firststart

Figures

Jockey100%
Trainer20%
Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
Early Speed50%
Rating40%
Closing Speed50%

Insights

Jockey ROI
Positive
Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 22% in Last 100 Rides
Trainer SR
Negative
Danny O'Brien striking at just 9%
Trainer Recent
Negative
Stable runners are currently underperforming market by 40%
Watch Betting
Negative
If supported, follow in

Comments

AAP

Trials (1:0-0-0). 3yo filly having her first run today. Out of an unraced mare. 5th & 2nd at latest jump-outs. Follow betting.

ILB

First time at the races 3yo by Noverre for Danny O'brien. Watch the market moves.

First time on the track; New Zealander bred; sibling of Award Me (6f winner); overlooked unless the market says otherwise given this is a tough task for her first assignment.

RSIS

3yo by Noverre racing as a debutant for trainer Danny O'brien.

12ScootJ: Teodore Nugent·T: A & S Freedman756kg7 4 21: 0-1-0$2.00$1.09

Career

1: 0-1-0

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Offpace

BackLead

Figures

Jockey40%
Trainer80%
Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
Early Speed20%
Rating100%
Closing Speed80%

Record

First-up
1: 0-1-0
Track Mornington
1: 0-1-0
Distance 1200m
1: 0-1-0
Going Good
1: 0-1-0

Last starts

2Mornington1200m22 Oct 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD31.5L
4Randwick1045m21 Apr 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)0.9L
7Canterbury898m10 Apr 2026 · Barrier Trial · SOFT(5)4.1L

Insights

Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are out performing market expectations by 58%
Ran On Hard LS
Positive
Ran on well last start
Raceday Experience
Positive
Wiser for debut run
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

Wasn't all that far from the action on debut at Mornington when supported 22 Oct. Wiser for experience. Primed to go one better.

ILB

Did well to run 2nd last run at Mornington and was a debutant last start. Teodore Nugent and Anthony Freedman & Sam Freedman show promise as a combination. Will be there at the business end.

Runner-up at Mornington on her debut whensecond favourite at 15-8 two weeks ago; could improve although needs to.

RSIS

Finished with intent when 2nd beaten by 1 1/2L last start at Mornington and was on debut last time. Very capable of taking this out.

13Storm BellaScratched14––––

Career

1: 0-0-0

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Onpace

BackLead

Figures

Jockey60%
Trainer100%
Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
Early Speed20%
Rating40%
Closing Speed40%

Record

First-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Kilmore
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1207m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
1: 0-0-0

Last starts

4Kilmore1207m13 Oct 2026 · 3YF MDN-SW · GOOD45.5L

Insights

Trainer ROI
Positive
Runners from this stable currently going at 18% POT in L100 Runners
Maps Well
Positive
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 25%
Blinkers On
Positive
Trainer has opted for the Blinkers on, take note
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

Well held but far from disgraced on debut at Kilmore at double-figure odds 13 Oct. Draw makes the job harder. Improvement needed and leaning towards others.

ILB

Jumped at $19.00 and tired late when 4th last start at Kilmore and was on debut last time.

Didn't offer much on her debut over 6f at Kilmore at 18-1 three weeks ago; couldn't rule out improvement although wouldn't get too carried away.

RSIS

Started 18/1 and was found wanting late when 4th last start at Kilmore and having second career run.

14Velocite BelleScratched11––––

Career

3: 0-0-1

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Leader

BackLead

Figures

Jockey20%
Trainer80%
Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
Early Speed100%
Rating60%
Closing Speed40%

Record

First-up
2: 0-0-1
Track Mornington
1: 0-0-0
Track Yarra Valley
1: 0-0-1
Track Geelong
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1009m
1: 0-0-1
Distance 1100m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1200m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
1: 0-0-0
Going Soft
2: 0-0-1

Last starts

3Yarra Valley1009m24 Oct 2026 · 3Y MDN-SW · SOFT51.1L
4Mornington1200m25 May 2026 · 2yo+ · SOFT52.9L
4Geelong1100m1 Apr 2026 · 2YF MDN-SW · GOOD42.1L

Insights

Maps Well
Positive
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 25%

Comments

AAP

Pressed on early and stuck on well at Yarra Glen. Building fitness. Has early speed. More a minor money chance here.

ILB

Claimed late when 3rd last time at Yarra Valley.

Respectable effort over 5f at Yarra Glen (maiden) last month.

RSIS

Was outmuscled when 3rd last run at Yarra Vstall.

Odds correct as at Sat 7 Nov, 1:30 pm AEDT. Odds can change.

Past meetings

Wed 21 Oct, 11:00 am AEDT · 9 races
Wed 7 Oct, 11:00 am AEDT · 8 races
Wed 23 Sept, 10:00 am AEST · 8 races
Fri 11 Sept, 10:00 am AEST · 9 races