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Geelong (VIC) horses tips & previews

One race at a time: field, form guide and win/place odds for Geelong (VIC), with capture times on every price.

Meeting — Sat 7 Nov, 11:00 am AEDT

Meetings · Sat, 7 NovGeelong (VIC)Change

Race 4 — Ladbrokes Tote Win +5% In Nov (Bm56) 1518m · jumps

Race notes

  • 3yo+,BM56,BM56 HCP,Benchmark 56
  • SOFT6
  • Showers
  • 12 runners

Shortest win price

Perfect Night (5)

2.15

Most career wins

Lucky Compass

5-4-4 from 51 starts

Speed map

Back left · leaders right

Backmarker

  • 3Ti Tree Lad

Offmidfield

  • 5Perfect Night
  • 7Birdie Time
  • 12Kaddari
  • 16Last Bus Home

Midfield

  • 1The Quiet Immortal
  • 13Savethebesttillast

Offpace

  • 6Shades Of Stardom
  • 10Just My Lot
  • 15Lucky Compass

Leader

  • 14Trinity's D'Oro
  • 17First Tosen
  • The Quiet Immortal · Positive

    Fast Finisher

    Fastest Overall Finishing Sectionals Last Start

  • Ti Tree Lad · Positive

    Rider SR

    Jockey recent POT is 30% better than Career Avg.

  • Perfect Night · Positive

    Trainer Form

    In form stable, out performing market expectations 35%

  • Shades Of Stardom · Positive

    Rider SR

    Jockey recent POT is 23% better than Career Avg.

No.RunnerBarWgtLast 5WinPlace
1The Quiet ImmortalJ: Alice Kennedy·T: Ben Brisbourne1063kg1 3 1 3 214: 2-4-4$6.50$2.15

Career

14: 2-4-4

Rating · IRD

99

Speed map

Midfield

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey20%
  • Trainer60%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
  • Early Speed20%
  • Rating100%
  • Closing Speed80%

Record

  • First-up

    3: 0-1-0

  • Second-up

    2: 0-0-0

  • Third-up

    2: 0-2-0

  • Fourth-up

    1: 0-0-1

  • Track Kilmore

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Cranbourne

    1: 0-1-0

  • Track Sandown

    1: 0-0-1

  • Distance 1590m

    2: 0-1-1

  • Distance 1600m

    3: 1-0-2

  • Distance 1170m

    2: 0-1-0

  • Going Good

    3: 0-3-0

  • Going Heavy

    6: 1-0-3

  • Going Soft

    5: 1-1-1

Last starts

  1. 2Wangaratta1590m26 Oct 2026 · 3UP BM56 HCP · GOOD40.35L
  2. 3Warrnambool1400m1 Oct 2026 · 3yo+ · HEAVY92L
  3. 1Echuca1600m30 Aug 2026 · 3yo+ · SOFT7-0.5
  4. 3Wangaratta1590m23 Aug 2026 · BM56 · SOFT70.8L
  5. 1Wodonga1400m26 July 2026 · 2UP MDN-SW · HEAVY9-1.3
  6. 3Sandown1600m15 July 2026 · 2UP MDN-SW · HEAVY91.4L
  7. 3Bendigo1600m5 July 2026 · 3Y MDN-SW · HEAVY90.7L
  8. 2Cranbourne1400m21 June 2026 · MDN-SW · SOFT70.8L

Insights

  • Fast Finisher

    Positive

    Fastest Overall Finishing Sectionals Last Start

  • Trainer Recent

    Negative

    Camp struggling with S/R just 8%

  • Cold J/T Combo

    Negative

    Combo are losing -56% POT in their L100 Races

  • Trainer Recent

    Negative

    Stable runners are currently underperforming market by 21%

  • Ran On Hard LS

    Positive

    Ran on well last start

  • Ready To Strike

    Positive

    Can be rewarded for recent consistent form

  • Honest

    Positive

    Finishing in the money lately

Comments

AAP

Solid performer. Couldn't quite peg back winner at Wangaratta. Claiming apprentice engaged again. Must be considered.

ILB

Competed in a tight contest last start at Wangaratta. Going well this preparation. Alice Kennedy provides some weight relief. Major player who should go very close.

RP

String of consistent efforts of late; close up runner-up at Wangaratta over 1m (handicap) last month; warrants consideration.

RSIS

Narrowly denied a win last time at Wangaratta. Showing positive results recently. Large claim helps. Tough competitor.

2Sensational RulerScratched11––––

Rating · IRD

20

Speed map

Onpace

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey50%
  • Trainer80%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo80%
  • Early Speed100%
  • Rating60%
  • Closing Speed60%

Insights

  • Early Splits

    Positive

    Has early speed. An advantage on this circuit

  • Needs To Imp

    Negative

    Finished towards the tail last start

  • Blinkers On

    Positive

    Trainer has opted for the Blinkers on, take note

  • Imprv Needed

    Negative

    Would need to lift here to feature

Comments

AAP

Failed to threaten (outside alley) at Wangaratta at longer odds. Not fancied.

ILB

Well beaten when 11th last start at Wangaratta.

RSIS

Disappointing display when 11th last time at Wangaratta.

3Ti Tree LadJ: Sam Kennedy·T: Tori Madigan661.5kg7 8 8 9 922: 3-3-4$20.00$3.90

Career

22: 3-3-4

Rating · IRD

81

Speed map

Backmarker

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey100%
  • Trainer20%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
  • Early Speed100%
  • Rating60%
  • Closing Speed20%

Record

  • First-up

    6: 0-1-1

  • Second-up

    5: 1-0-1

  • Third-up

    5: 1-1-0

  • Fourth-up

    3: 0-0-1

  • Track Terang

    2: 0-2-0

  • Track Warrnambool

    4: 1-0-1

  • Track Bendigo

    3: 1-0-1

  • Distance 1175m

    2: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1200m

    10: 0-3-2

  • Distance 1212m

    1: 1-0-0

  • Going Soft

    7: 2-1-1

  • Going Good

    10: 0-2-2

  • Going Heavy

    5: 1-0-1

Last starts

  1. 9Wangaratta1300m26 Oct 2026 · 3UP BM56 HCP · GOOD44.24L
  2. 9Cranbourne1300m9 Oct 2026 · 3UP BM62 HCP · GOOD38.35L
  3. 8Warrnambool1200m3 Sept 2026 · 3UP BM62 HCP · HEAVY85.21L
  4. 8Cranbourne1200m3 Apr 2026 · BM70 · GOOD39.1L
  5. 7Albury1175m23 Feb 2026 · BM66 · HEAVY84.3L
  6. 10Albury1175m5 Feb 2026 · BM66 · GOOD46.2L
  7. 1Mount Gambier1212m8 Oct 2025 · BM62 · HEAVY9-0.9
  8. 4Warrnambool1300m9 Sept 2025 · 3yo+ · HEAVY85.5L

Insights

  • Rider SR

    Positive

    Jockey recent POT is 30% better than Career Avg.

  • Trainer Recent

    Negative

    Camp struggling with S/R just 3%

  • Jockey Booking

    Positive

    Sam Kennedy 58% above market expected in L100 Rides

  • Trainer A2E

    Negative

    Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 43%

  • Key Jockey

    Positive

    Sam Kennedy winning at 37% POT in last 100 rides

  • Early Splits

    Positive

    Has early speed. An advantage on this circuit

Comments

AAP

Rider found a forward spot at Wangaratta but he put in a very lacklustre finish. Needs to lift to figure. On trust.

ILB

Odds of $41.00 and struggled with the pace when 9th last start at Wangaratta. Might be ridden for luck. Needs to find a lot more.

RP

He can be competitive at this level; not beaten too far when ninth of 14 over 6½f at Wangaratta (handicap) last month; much respected.

RSIS

Started at 40/1 and lost ground in the run home when 9th last start at Wangaratta. Likely to get back in the run.

4Our PierroScratched10––––

Career

4: 1-2-0

Rating · IRD

94

Speed map

Offmidfield

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey100%
  • Trainer100%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
  • Early Speed80%
  • Rating80%
  • Closing Speed60%

Record

  • First-up

    2: 0-1-0

  • Track Yarra Valley

    1: 0-1-0

  • Track Stawell

    1: 0-1-0

  • Track Kyneton

    2: 1-0-0

  • Distance 1479m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1514m

    1: 0-1-0

  • Distance 1600m

    1: 0-1-0

  • Going Good

    4: 1-2-0

Last starts

  1. 6Kyneton1479m20 Oct 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD32.05L
  2. 1Kyneton1856m31 Jan 2026 · 3UP MDN-SW · GOOD3-0.4
  3. 2Stawell1600m4 Jan 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD43L
  4. 2Yarra Valley1514m19 Dec 2025 · 3UP F&M MDN-SW · GOOD31L

Insights

  • Lightly Raced

    Positive

    Limited race experience but shown potential

Comments

AAP

Broke maiden at Kyneton 31 Jan. First run under new trainer ran on okay without troubling at Kyneton. Strips in better shape. Right in the mix.

ILB

Was $8.00 and underwhelming when 6th last run at Kyneton but challenged by weaker competitors. Honest performer putting a tidy record together.

RP

Lightly raced with this just her fifth appearance; fair effort (dropped back to this trip) at Kyneton last month on debut for this trainer; just second start in this company; poses a threat if duplicating the form of her most recent win.

RSIS

At 7/1 looked flat when 6th last run at Kyneton but up against weaker rivals. Promising career start.

5Perfect NightJ: Jackson Radley·T: Ben, Will & Jd Hayes461kg2 1 4 3 412: 1-2-1$2.15$1.22

Career

12: 1-2-1

Rating · IRD

98

Speed map

Offmidfield

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey20%
  • Trainer100%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
  • Early Speed20%
  • Rating100%
  • Closing Speed50%

Record

  • First-up

    3: 0-0-1

  • Second-up

    2: 0-1-0

  • Third-up

    2: 1-0-0

  • Fourth-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track CurrentTrack

    2: 0-1-1

  • Track Sale

    1: 1-0-0

  • Track Cranbourne

    2: 0-1-0

  • Distance 2060m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1100m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1300m

    3: 0-0-1

  • Going Good

    7: 0-1-1

  • Going Soft

    5: 1-1-0

Last starts

  1. 4Ballarat1400m30 Sept 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD42.25L
  2. 3Geelong1300m11 Sept 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD41.5L
  3. 4Cranbourne2060m10 Apr 2026 · 3yo+ · SOFT62.7L
  4. 1Sale1717m29 Mar 2026 · 3UP MDN-SW · SOFT6-0.3
  5. 2Cranbourne1400m13 Mar 2026 · 3Y MDN-SW · GOOD40.8L
  6. 4Sandown1300m25 Feb 2026 · 3Y MDN-SW · SOFT51.4L
  7. 5Flemington2000m1 Nov 2025 · 3yo · GOOD34L
  8. 5Bendigo1600m18 Oct 2025 · 3Y MDN-SW · GOOD35.7L

Insights

  • Trainer Form

    Positive

    In form stable, out performing market expectations 35%

  • Profitable Trainer

    Positive

    Stable runners going at 26% POT in L100 Runners

  • Track Exp

    Positive

    Knows this track well

  • Better for last start

    Positive

    Improved with last few runs

  • Gap In Runs

    Negative

    Not raced for 38 days

  • Well Placed

    Positive

    Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Freshened. Well supported but arguably a touch disappointing at Ballarat second-up. Been thereabouts here. Lands in a suitable contest.

ILB

Was $2.25 and ran 4th last start at Ballarat. Can show a better performance this time and stepping down to a lower level. Has very good closing speed. Must be considered here.

RP

Useful at this level and consistent performer; a disappointing result (went off favourite) when beaten just over 2l over 7f at Ballarat (handicap) five weeks ago; knows how to win so looks like a player.

RSIS

Odds of 5/4 and ran 4th last start at Ballarat. Happy to forgive that run and competing in a less challenging grade. Displays very good finishing pace. Solid chance.

6Shades Of StardomJ: Dean Yendall·T: M J Williams961kg10 4 1 4 310: 1-2-1$9.00$2.60

Career

10: 1-2-1

Rating · IRD

93

Speed map

Offpace

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey100%
  • Trainer80%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo40%
  • Early Speed80%
  • Rating80%
  • Closing Speed80%

Record

  • First-up

    4: 0-1-1

  • Second-up

    2: 1-1-0

  • Third-up

    2: 0-0-0

  • Fourth-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Hamilton

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Geelong

    2: 1-0-0

  • Track CurrentTrack

    2: 1-0-0

  • Distance 1200m

    3: 0-1-0

  • Distance 1400m

    5: 0-1-1

  • Distance 1425m

    1: 1-0-0

  • Going Heavy

    4: 1-1-0

  • Going Soft

    3: 0-1-0

  • Going Good

    3: 0-0-1

Last starts

  1. 3Warrnambool1400m15 Oct 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD47.5L
  2. 4Casterton1400m5 July 2026 · BM62 · HEAVY83.1L
  3. 1Geelong1425m19 June 2026 · 3Y MDN-SW · HEAVY9-0.1
  4. 4Hamilton1200m26 May 2026 · 3Y MDN SW · HEAVY1010.3L
  5. 10Geelong1530m12 Dec 2025 · 3Y MDN-SW · GOOD38.1L
  6. 5Warrnambool1400m30 Nov 2025 · 3Y MDN-SW · SOFT65.1L
  7. 4Warrnambool1400m30 Oct 2025 · 3Y MDN SW · GOOD33.3L
  8. 2Warrnambool1400m16 Oct 2025 · 3Y MDN-SW · SOFT54.8L

Insights

  • Rider SR

    Positive

    Jockey recent POT is 23% better than Career Avg.

  • Cold J/T Combo

    Negative

    Combo are losing -28% POT in their L100 Races

  • Track Stats

    Positive

    Excels at this track

  • 2nd Up S/R

    Positive

    Has won 1 from 2 when second up

  • Well Placed

    Positive

    Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Lobbed handy, boxed on behind runaway winner in the 3yo+ (Bm62) at Warrnambool first up. Better conditioned. Has some claims.

ILB

Strong effort to run into 3rd last start at Warrnambool and facing a weaker group of contenders. Good potential.

RP

Has won here; produced several respectable runs lately; comfortably beaten finishing third (8l) at Warrnambool over 7f (handicap) last month.

RSIS

Picked up late ground when 3rd last run at Warrnambool and goes down in class. Expecting a solid performance.

7Birdie TimeJ: Brad Rawiller·T: Ben, Will & Jd Hayes860.5kg1 7 10 12 1110: 1-0-1$21.00$3.90

Career

10: 1-0-1

Rating · IRD

81

Speed map

Offmidfield

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey100%
  • Trainer100%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo80%
  • Early Speed20%
  • Rating60%
  • Closing Speed20%

Record

  • First-up

    3: 0-0-0

  • Second-up

    2: 0-0-1

  • Third-up

    2: 1-0-0

  • Fourth-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Geelong

    2: 0-0-0

  • Track CurrentTrack

    2: 0-0-0

  • Track Sligo

    1: 1-0-0

  • Distance 1435m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1525m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1810m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Good

    5: 1-0-0

  • Going Heavy

    2: 0-0-0

  • Going Soft

    3: 0-0-1

Last starts

  1. 11Kilmore2007m1 June 2026 · BM56 · HEAVY939.7L
  2. 12Pakenham2000m15 May 2026 · 3UP BM66 HCP · SOFT57.8L
  3. 10Geelong1525m22 Apr 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD44.5L
  4. 7Geelong1500m1 Apr 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD44.6L
  5. 1Sligo2121m4 May 2025 · 3yo · GOOD-2.5
  6. 3Cork2436m19 Apr 2025 · 3Y HCP · SOFT7.5L
  7. 6Leopardstown2011m30 Mar 2025 · 3Y HCP · GOOD5.95L
  8. 4Galway1408m28 Oct 2024 · 2Y MDN · HEAVY15.75L

Insights

  • Jockey ROI

    Positive

    Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 22% in Last 100 Rides

  • Stable In Form

    Positive

    Stable going well. Out performing market by 35%

  • Profitable Trainer

    Positive

    Stable runners going at 26% POT in L100 Runners

  • Gave ground LS

    Negative

    Faded towards the finish last time out

  • Resuming

    Negative

    Poor strike rate when first up

  • Winkers On

    Positive

    Important gear change of winkers on

  • Class Rise

    Negative

    Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

Import returning for second Australian campaign (22-weeks). Disappointing last prep and faces a tough task first-up.

ILB

Racing fresh today after a break. Was $11.00 and lost ground in the run home when 11th last time at Kilmore on a heavy track and dropping in distance. Considering others.

RP

Beaten a long way over 1m2f at Kilmore (handicap) five months ago; returning from a layoff here; hard enough to fancy.

RSIS

Resumes from a break. Started at 10/1 and gave away some ground when 11th last run at Kilmore on a heavy rated track and back to a shorter distance.

8Strike FirstScratched3––––

Career

16: 1-6-1

Rating · IRD

81

Speed map

Offmidfield

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey20%
  • Trainer40%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
  • Early Speed100%
  • Rating60%
  • Closing Speed60%

Record

  • First-up

    4: 0-1-0

  • Second-up

    2: 0-0-0

  • Third-up

    2: 1-1-0

  • Fourth-up

    2: 0-0-1

  • Track Pakenham Synthetic

    3: 0-3-0

  • Track Pakenham

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Sale

    2: 0-0-0

  • Distance 2012m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1200m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1300m

    1: 0-1-0

  • Going Synthetic

    5: 0-4-1

  • Going Good

    9: 1-2-0

  • Going Soft

    2: 0-0-0

Last starts

  1. 5Kilmore2012m15 May 2026 · 3UP BM56 HCP · SOFT68L
  2. 4Sale1746m19 Apr 2026 · BM62 · GOOD42.5L
  3. 1Cranbourne1600m3 Apr 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD3-2.3
  4. 5Pakenham1600m5 Mar 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD44L
  5. 4Werribee1400m17 Feb 2026 · 3UP MDN-SW · GOOD41.9L
  6. 6Moe1200m6 Dec 2024 · Maiden · GOOD44.12L
  7. 2Cranbourne1600m5 Sept 2024 · Maiden · GOOD42.5L
  8. 2Pakenham Synthetic1400m25 Aug 2024 · Maiden · SYNTHETIC1L

Insights

  • Current SR

    Negative

    Rider’s recent POT is returning 36% lower than Career Avg.

  • Trainer SR

    Negative

    Wendy Kelly striking at just 7%

  • Cold J/T Combo

    Negative

    Combo are losing -32% POT in their L100 Races

  • Trainer A2E

    Negative

    Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 37%

  • Rider Poor SR

    Negative

    Jockey underperforming market expectations by 53% in L100 rides

  • Fast Early

    Positive

    Sectionals suggest goes hard early

  • Resuming

    Negative

    Poor strike rate when first up

  • Class Rise

    Negative

    Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

Resuming (25-weeks). Held form well last time in. Close in Maiden company at Werribee first-up last campaign. Could give some cheek at odds fresh in this company.

ILB

First run back from a break. Started $9.50 and finished 5th last run at Kilmore and will be down in distance.

RP

Was held in fifth at Kilmore in May upped to 1m2f; returns from a layoff here; this looks a fair heat so others more appealing.

RSIS

Back after a break. At 17/2 came in 5th last time at Kilmore and down in trip.

9SkydreamScratched17––––

Rating · IRD

20

Speed map

Offpace

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey20%
  • Trainer80%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
  • Early Speed100%
  • Rating50%
  • Closing Speed40%

Insights

  • Jockey Booking

    Negative

    Less suitable jockey engaged

  • Cold J/T Combo

    Negative

    Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races

  • Track Exp

    Positive

    Knows this track well

  • Class Rise

    Negative

    Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

Cleared maiden ranks at Kilmore 28 Sep. Faded off the lead at Kilmore. Pace influence. Among the dangers.

ILB

At $1.40 outmuscled in the late stages of the race when 4th last time at Kilmore.

RSIS

At 2/5 faded late when 4th last start at Kilmore.

10Just My LotJ: Bailey Kinninmont·T: Tom Dabernig259kg2 3 1 2 314: 1-4-3$3.60$1.40

Career

14: 1-4-3

Rating · IRD

100

Speed map

Offpace

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey80%
  • Trainer80%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
  • Early Speed80%
  • Rating100%
  • Closing Speed40%

Record

  • First-up

    3: 0-0-0

  • Second-up

    2: 0-1-0

  • Third-up

    2: 0-0-1

  • Fourth-up

    2: 1-1-0

  • Track Camperdown

    1: 0-1-0

  • Track Warrnambool

    4: 0-2-2

  • Track Stawell

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1100m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1207m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1454m

    1: 0-1-0

  • Going Good

    9: 0-2-2

  • Going Heavy

    4: 0-2-1

  • Going Soft

    1: 1-0-0

Last starts

  1. 3Warrnambool1700m15 Oct 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD41.25L
  2. 2Warrnambool1700m1 Oct 2026 · 3yo+ · HEAVY90.46L
  3. 1Hamilton1600m14 Sept 2026 · 3UP MDN-SW · SOFT6-5.3
  4. 3Warrnambool1400m3 Sept 2026 · 3UP MDN-SW · HEAVY83.5L
  5. 2Warrnambool1400m20 Aug 2026 · 3yo+ · HEAVY100.5L
  6. 4Hamilton1200m1 Aug 2026 · MDN-SW · HEAVY108.3L
  7. 11Launceston2100m20 Feb 2026 · 3yo · GOOD431.9L
  8. 3Kyneton1887m10 Feb 2026 · MDN-SW · GOOD46.5L

Insights

  • Cold J/T Combo

    Negative

    Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races

  • Maps Well

    Positive

    Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 9%

  • Draw Suits

    Positive

    Well drawn inside

  • Winkers On

    Positive

    Important gear change of winkers on

  • Well Placed

    Positive

    Drops back to a suitable class

  • Honest

    Positive

    Finishing in the money lately

Comments

AAP

Highly competitive lately. Just missed at Warrnambool 1 Oct. Set pace and caught late at Warrnambool. Commands attention here.

ILB

Outgunned at the finish when 3rd beaten by 1 1/4L last run at Warrnambool and matched against less formidable competition. Showing great form since coming back from a spell. Good winning chance.

RP

Produced a string of consistent efforts; minor honours when 9-4 over 1m½f at Warrnambool (handicap) three weeks ago; the stable has enjoyed plenty of winners of late.

RSIS

Worked hard to place 3rd last run at Warrnambool and challenged by less formidable competitors. Has been a model of consistency since resuming from a break. Commands respect.

11Koolatah QueenScratched4––––

Career

13: 1-1-1

Rating · IRD

20

Speed map

Backmarker

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey100%
  • Trainer80%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
  • Early Speed80%
  • Rating60%
  • Closing Speed80%

Record

  • First-up

    4: 0-0-0

  • Second-up

    3: 0-0-0

  • Third-up

    2: 0-0-1

  • Fourth-up

    1: 1-0-0

  • Track Ballarat

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Doomben

    2: 0-0-0

  • Track Gold Coast

    3: 0-0-1

  • Distance 1000m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1200m

    5: 0-1-0

  • Distance 1350m

    2: 0-0-0

  • Going Synthetic

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Good

    6: 1-1-1

  • Going Heavy

    1: 0-0-0

Last starts

  1. 6Pakenham Synthetic1400m5 Oct 2026 · 3yo+ · SYNTHETIC5.33L
  2. 4Wodonga1200m15 Sept 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD40.61L
  3. 13Ballarat1200m24 May 2026 · 2UP BM62 HCP · GOOD49.6L
  4. 2Mornington1200m28 Apr 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD40.8L
  5. 5Eagle Farm1820m14 Feb 2026 · 3Y HCP · SOFT73.3L
  6. 1Sunshine Coast1600m1 Feb 2026 · 3Y MDN-SW · GOOD4-1.6
  7. 3Gold Coast1400m23 Jan 2026 · MDN-SW · GOOD45.1L
  8. 15Gold Coast1400m10 Jan 2026 · 3UP MDN SW · GOOD47.2L

Insights

  • Rider SR

    Positive

    Jockey recent POT is 35% better than Career Avg.

  • Jockey Booking

    Positive

    Lachlan King 38% above market expected in L100 Rides

  • Gap In Runs

    Negative

    Not raced for 33 days

  • Well Placed

    Positive

    Drops back to a suitable class

  • Weight Rise

    Negative

    Carrying 5kg more than LS

Comments

AAP

4 weeks since last run. Sent out $7.50 when battled home to finish 6th at Pakenham Synthetic. Better suited back on turf. One for multiples.

ILB

Jumped at $7.50 and came in 6th last time at Pakenham Synthetic but will find this grade easier. Rising in weight.

RP

Was held in sixth at Pakenham over 7f (handicap) five weeks ago; a few rivals look in good form so may be vulnerable.

RSIS

Started 13/2 and finished 6th last run at Pakenham Synthetic but matched against a less competitive field. Will have to carry extra weight.

12KaddariJ: Joe Bowditch·T: Ms B Dunn1258kg6 3 9 1 426: 1-4-4$81.00$8.50

Career

26: 1-4-4

Rating · IRD

78

Speed map

Offmidfield

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey40%
  • Trainer40%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
  • Early Speed20%
  • Rating40%
  • Closing Speed80%

Record

  • First-up

    3: 0-0-0

  • Second-up

    2: 0-1-0

  • Third-up

    2: 0-1-0

  • Fourth-up

    2: 0-1-0

  • Track Moonee Valley

    1: 0-1-0

  • Track Werribee

    1: 0-0-1

  • Track Moe

    2: 1-0-0

  • Distance 1628m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1660m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1744m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Good

    17: 0-4-3

  • Going Heavy

    1: 0-0-1

  • Going Soft

    8: 1-0-0

Last starts

  1. 4Echuca1612m23 May 2026 · 0 - 56 · SOFT72L
  2. 1Moe1623m12 May 2026 · 2UP MDN-SW · SOFT7-1.5
  3. 9Pakenham1600m1 May 2026 · 2UP MDN-SW · GOOD46.9L
  4. 3Cranbourne1600m24 Apr 2026 · 3UP F&M MDN-SW · GOOD42.8L
  5. 6Pakenham1400m9 Apr 2026 · F&M MDN-SW · SOFT55.3L
  6. 7Pakenham1600m19 Mar 2026 · MDN-SW · SOFT53.1L
  7. 5Stony Creek1600m8 Mar 2026 · 3UP MDN-SW · SOFT66.2L
  8. 3Werribee1600m17 Feb 2026 · 3UP MDN-SW · GOOD48.3L

Insights

  • Trainer Career

    Negative

    Trainer Career S/R is 4%

  • Hot J/T Combo

    Positive

    Combo are out performing market expectations by 800%

  • Trainer Recent

    Negative

    Stable runners are currently underperforming market by 33%

  • Ran On Hard LS

    Positive

    Ran on well last start

  • Wide Draw

    Negative

    Likely to get caught wide

  • Resuming

    Negative

    Poor strike rate when first up

  • Class Rise

    Negative

    Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

Resuming (24-weeks). Awkwardly drawn for return. New to Geelong. Prefer to see fresh.

ILB

Resuming. Started $18.00 and hit the line well when 4th last run at Echuca. Does take a while to get into stride. Looking elsewhere.

RP

Creditable effort to finish fourth, beaten 2l over 1m at Echuca (handicap) in May; running in a handicap for just the second time; layoff to overcome; meeting some horses in good form and looks an unlikely winner.

RSIS

Resuming after a break. Started 17/1 and improved late to finish 4th last time at Echuca. Does take a while to get into stride.

13SavethebesttillastJ: Neil Farley·T: S A Lake358kg2 2 3 8 729: 2-5-6$23.00$4.00

Career

29: 2-5-6

Rating · IRD

83

Speed map

Midfield

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey100%
  • Trainer20%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
  • Early Speed20%
  • Rating60%
  • Closing Speed50%

Record

  • First-up

    3: 0-0-0

  • Second-up

    2: 1-0-0

  • Third-up

    2: 0-1-1

  • Fourth-up

    2: 1-1-0

  • Track Bordertown

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Berrigan

    1: 0-1-0

  • Track Tamworth

    3: 2-1-0

  • Distance 1462m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1500m

    2: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1522m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Unknown

    2: 0-1-1

  • Going Good

    17: 2-3-3

  • Going Heavy

    4: 0-0-1

Last starts

  1. 7Kilmore1462m30 Oct 2026 · 3yo+ · SOFT54.96L
  2. 8Bendigo1400m17 Oct 2026 · 0 - 56 · GOOD33.43L
  3. 3Tatura1450m29 Sept 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD43.25L
  4. 2Echuca1412m19 Sept 2026 · 0 - 56 · GOOD41L
  5. 2Tatura1450m7 Sept 2026 · 3yo+ · SOFT70.5L
  6. 4Echuca1400m30 Aug 2026 · 3yo+ · SOFT71.8L
  7. 2Berrigan1400m22 Aug 2026 · BM500.8L
  8. 3Wodonga1400m17 Aug 2026 · 3yo+ · HEAVY83.8L

Insights

  • Jockey ROI

    Positive

    Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 18% in Last 100 Rides

  • Trainer Recent

    Negative

    Camp struggling with S/R just 4%

  • Jockey Booking

    Positive

    Neil Farley 23% above market expected in L100 Rides

  • Hot J/T Combo

    Positive

    Combo are out performing market expectations by 105%

  • Trainer Recent

    Negative

    Stable runners are currently underperforming market by 40%

  • Win Drought

    Negative

    Not won for a while

Comments

AAP

Long winless run. Settled back and didn't figure in the 3yo+ (Bm56) at Kilmore. Hard to warm to.

ILB

On a quick turnaround. Jumped at $19.00 and tailed off when 7th last time at Kilmore. Will be giving the leaders a big start. Needs a mighty effort to win this.

RP

Hit and miss profile recently; not disgraced in seventh over 7½f at Kilmore (handicap) last week; others more persuasive as running in what looks to be a hot race.

RSIS

Backs up quickly. Started 18/1 and basic showing when 7th last run at Kilmore. Might be ridden for luck.

14Trinity's D'OroJ: Nathan Punch·T: Brian Mcgrath158kg6 5 12 7 734: 3-5-2$26.00$4.20

Career

34: 3-5-2

Rating · IRD

79

Speed map

Leader

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey20%
  • Trainer60%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
  • Early Speed100%
  • Rating40%
  • Closing Speed40%

Record

  • First-up

    4: 0-0-1

  • Second-up

    3: 0-1-0

  • Third-up

    3: 0-0-0

  • Fourth-up

    3: 0-0-0

  • Track Pakenham Synthetic

    5: 0-0-0

  • Track Pakenham

    4: 0-1-0

  • Track Sale

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1590m

    1: 0-1-0

  • Distance 1100m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1203m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Heavy

    3: 0-1-0

  • Going Soft

    9: 1-1-1

  • Going Synthetic

    5: 0-0-0

Last starts

  1. 7Kilmore1457m13 Oct 2026 · 3UP F&M BM56 HCP · GOOD47.52L
  2. 7Geelong1547m28 Aug 2026 · 3UP BM62 HCP · SOFT715L
  3. 12Sandown1400m19 Aug 2026 · 3yo+ · SOFT76.2L
  4. 5Pakenham Synthetic1100m3 Aug 2026 · BM62 · SYNTHETIC1.5L
  5. 6Moe1600m22 Feb 2026 · BM56 · GOOD44.6L
  6. 5Kyneton1887m10 Feb 2026 · BM62 · GOOD44.2L
  7. 1Hanging Rock1600m26 Jan 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD4-1.5
  8. 2Yarra Valley1500m13 Jan 2026 · BM56 · GOOD40.75L

Insights

  • Trainer Recent

    Negative

    Camp struggling with S/R just 8%

  • Rider

    Negative

    Negative rider change today

  • Hot J/T Combo

    Positive

    Combo are out performing market expectations by 81%

  • Trainer A2E

    Negative

    Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 28%

  • Fast Early

    Positive

    Sectionals suggest goes hard early

  • Gave ground LS

    Negative

    Faded towards the finish last time out

  • Draw Suits

    Positive

    Well drawn inside

  • Class Rise

    Negative

    Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

Settled midfield and never a serious challenger at Kilmore. Has to lift considerably.

ILB

At $16.00 couldn't stay in touch when 7th last run at Kilmore but drawn beautifully. Will be positive in the run early. Suggest watching.

RP

Struggled a bit since winning a handicap at Hanging Rock in January; came home seventh, beaten 8l, over 7f at Kilmore (handicap) last month; others appeal more in what appears to be a competitive contest.

RSIS

Started 15/1 and couldn't maintain the pace when 7th last run at Kilmore but will appreciate a good draw. Has good tactical pace and will be nicely positioned.

15Lucky CompassJ: Teodore Nugent·T: K T Bourke1156kg8 1 11 10 1051: 5-4-4$26.00$4.20

Career

51: 5-4-4

Rating · IRD

82

Speed map

Offpace

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey40%
  • Trainer80%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
  • Early Speed100%
  • Rating60%
  • Closing Speed60%

Record

  • First-up

    3: 0-0-0

  • Second-up

    2: 1-0-0

  • Third-up

    2: 0-0-0

  • Fourth-up

    2: 0-0-0

  • Track Sale

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Warrnambool

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Kyneton

    1: 1-0-0

  • Distance 1106m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1125m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1406m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Good

    27: 3-1-2

  • Going Heavy

    2: 0-0-0

  • Going Soft

    8: 0-2-0

Last starts

  1. 10Wodonga1400m17 Oct 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD35.33L
  2. 10Ballarat Synthetic1400m31 Aug 2026 · 3yo+ · SYNTHETIC11.5L
  3. 11Ballarat Synthetic1500m18 Aug 2026 · 3yo+ · SYNTHETIC6L
  4. 1Ballarat Synthetic1400m11 Aug 2026 · 3UP BM56 HCP · SYNTHETIC-0.2
  5. 8Ballarat Synthetic1500m3 July 2026 · 2yo+ · SYNTHETIC2.4L
  6. 4Werribee1625m24 Apr 2026 · 3UP BM56 HCP · GOOD41.4L
  7. 2Geelong1512m10 Apr 2026 · BM56 · SOFT50.5L
  8. 4Geelong1535m22 Mar 2026 · BM56 · GOOD41.8L

Insights

  • Cold J/T Combo

    Negative

    Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races

  • Gave ground LS

    Negative

    Faded towards the finish last time out

  • Class Rise

    Negative

    Racing in stronger company

  • Imprv Needed

    Negative

    Would need to lift here to feature

Comments

AAP

Settled back and didn't figure in the 3yo+ (Bm52) at Wodonga. Capable but needs to turn it around quickly.

ILB

Jumped at $8.50 and clearly outclassed when 10th last run at Wodonga. Rough chance.

RP

Last of ten over 7f at Wodonga (handicap) last month; has proven competitive in a race of this nature; has won at this track.

RSIS

Started at 15/2 and mediocre display when 10th last run at Wodonga.

16Last Bus HomeJ: Sheridan Clarke·T: G R Webb554kg9 10 7 6 15: 1-0-0$101.00$11.00

Career

5: 1-0-0

Rating · IRD

72

Speed map

Offmidfield

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey20%
  • Trainer80%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
  • Early Speed80%
  • Rating40%
  • Closing Speed50%

Record

  • First-up

    2: 1-0-0

  • Track Geelong

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track CurrentTrack

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Coleraine

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1250m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1400m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1600m

    1: 1-0-0

  • Going Good

    2: 1-0-0

  • Going Soft

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Unknown

    2: 0-0-0

Last starts

  1. 1Yea1600m17 Oct 2026 · Maiden · GOOD3-3.75
  2. 6Woolamai1008m3 Jan 2026 · Maiden12L
  3. 7Yea1200m18 Oct 2025 · Maiden8.5L
  4. 10Coleraine1400m26 Sept 2025 · 3yo+ · GOOD422.6L
  5. 9Geelong1250m25 July 2025 · MDN-SW · SOFT511.3L

Insights

  • Fast Finisher

    Positive

    Fastest Overall Finishing Sectionals Last Start

  • Rider

    Negative

    Negative rider change today

  • Cold J/T Combo

    Negative

    Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races

  • Early Sectionals

    Negative

    Recent sectional data suggests slow early pace

  • Margin LS

    Positive

    Won by a big margin last start

  • Class Rise

    Negative

    Racing in stronger company

  • Down In Weight

    Positive

    Drops 8kg from LS run

Comments

AAP

Responded strongly to score in small field at Yea off long spell. Just out of her maiden and facing tougher challenge here.

ILB

Made no mistakes when winning by a margin of 3 3/4L last time at Yea and getting better in recent performances. Likely to get back in the run. Others much better.

RP

Registered first success at the fifth time of asking in a maiden at Yea when springing 7-1 surprise last month upped to 1m; has displayed improved form on last two starts.

RSIS

Kicked clear when winning by a margin of 3 3/4L last run at Yea and getting better in recent performances. Likely to settle back in the field.

17First TosenJ: Amy Herrmann·T: G C Strang754kg13 4 5 5 935: 1-1-5$126.00$14.00

Career

35: 1-1-5

Rating · IRD

70

Speed map

Leader

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey20%
  • Trainer20%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
  • Early Speed100%
  • Rating20%
  • Closing Speed50%

Record

  • First-up

    7: 0-0-1

  • Second-up

    6: 0-1-3

  • Third-up

    6: 1-0-1

  • Fourth-up

    6: 0-0-0

  • Track Geelong

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track CurrentTrack

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Morphettville

    2: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1540m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1000m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1200m

    5: 0-1-1

  • Going Unknown

    7: 0-0-2

  • Going Good

    16: 1-1-1

  • Going Heavy

    2: 0-0-1

Last starts

  1. 9Kilmore1462m30 Oct 2026 · 3yo+ · SOFT57.96L
  2. 5Alexandra1300m24 Oct 2026 · Restricted · GOOD31.67L
  3. 5Yea1200m17 Oct 2026 · Open · GOOD33.11L
  4. 4Lockhart930m2 Oct 2026 · 3yo+7.92L
  5. 13Geelong1700m22 May 2026 · 2UP BM62 HCP · SOFT512.7L
  6. 7Wodonga2050m16 May 2026 · 0 - 56 · GOOD416.2L
  7. 11Wangaratta2000m3 May 2026 · 3yo+ · HEAVY814.5L
  8. 10Werribee1425m24 Apr 2026 · 3UP BM56 HCP · GOOD416.3L

Insights

  • Trainer SR

    Negative

    Gordon Strang striking at just 2%

  • Jockey Booking

    Negative

    Less suitable jockey engaged

  • Cold J/T Combo

    Negative

    Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races

  • Trainer A2E

    Negative

    Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 60%

  • Trainer ROI

    Negative

    Trainers runners currently losing 62% Profit on Turnover

  • Maps Well

    Positive

    Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 25%

  • Gave ground LS

    Negative

    Faded towards the finish last time out

Comments

AAP

Found it tough since shaking his maiden. Failed to threaten at Kilmore at a mammoth price. Needs to lift to figure. On trust.

ILB

Backing up quickly for this race. Started $101.00 and looked outclassed when 9th last start at Kilmore. Should muster plenty of early speed. Will require a bold run.

RP

Has proven competitive in a race of this nature; beaten 8l in ninth over 7½f at Kilmore (handicap) last Friday.

RSIS

On a quick turnaround. At 100/1 didn't attack the line when 9th last start at Kilmore. Should be going forward early.

Odds correct as at . Odds can change.

Past meetings

  • Wed 21 Oct, 11:00 am AEDT · 9 races
  • Wed 7 Oct, 11:00 am AEDT · 8 races
  • Wed 23 Sept, 10:00 am AEST · 8 races
  • Fri 11 Sept, 10:00 am AEST · 9 races