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Leonora (WA) horses tips & previews

One race at a time: field, form guide and win/place odds for Leonora (WA), with capture times on every price.

Meeting — Sat 10 Oct, 11:00 am AEDT

Meetings · Sat, 10 OctLeonora (WA)Change

Race 3 — Mader Contracting (Bm56+) 1600m · jumps

Race notes

  • 3UP RTG 52+ HCP,3yo+,BenchMark 56+,RTG 52+
  • GOOD
  • Fine
  • 5 runners

Shortest win price

Blowin' Smoke (2)

2.65

Most career wins

Blowin' Smoke and Ruling Dame

2 each

Speed map

Back left · leaders right

Backmarker

  • 4Make De Fortune

Offmidfield

  • 6Willyabrup

Midfield

  • 2Blowin' Smoke
  • 3Danea Rock

Leader

  • 5Ruling Dame

  • Blowin' Smoke · Negative

    Maps Poorly

    Map position not suited at this track, under performing market expectations by 55%

  • Danea Rock · Positive

    Fast Finisher

    Fastest Overall Finishing Sectionals Last Start

  • Make De Fortune · Positive

    Jockey ROI

    Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 24% in Last 100 Rides

  • Ruling Dame · Negative

    Trainer Recent

    Camp struggling with S/R just 1%

No.RunnerBarWgtLast 5WinPlace
1Who's Your MamaScratched6––––

Career

54: 6-12-8

Rating · IRD

100

Speed map

Onpace

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey60%
  • Trainer100%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
  • Early Speed20%
  • Rating100%
  • Closing Speed40%

Record

  • First-up

    7: 1-0-0

  • Second-up

    5: 1-1-1

  • Third-up

    5: 0-2-0

  • Fourth-up

    5: 1-0-3

  • Track Pinjarra

    4: 0-0-0

  • Track Albany

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Port Hedland

    4: 0-2-1

  • Distance 1200m

    11: 0-4-1

  • Distance 1240m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1700m

    3: 0-0-2

  • Going Good

    48: 4-10-7

  • Going Soft

    6: 2-2-1

Last starts

  1. 7Mingenew1400m26 Sept 2026 · 2UP RTG 56+ HCP · GOOD4.25L
  2. 6Junction1900m5 Sept 2026 · 3UP 62+ · GOOD12L
  3. 9Carnarvon1750m30 Aug 2026 · 3UP RTG 67+ HCP · GOOD412.8L
  4. 3Carnarvon1600m16 Aug 2026 · 3UP 68+ HCP · GOOD9.1L
  5. 4Carnarvon1400m31 July 2026 · 2UP RTG 68+ HCP · GOOD8.4L
  6. 11Carnarvon1600m10 July 2026 · 2UP 56+ HCP · GOOD10.9L
  7. 5Carnarvon1600m26 June 2026 · 2UP RTG 64+ HCP · GOOD9.1L
  8. 3Carnarvon1400m19 June 2026 · 2UP RTG 64+ HCP · GOOD2.4L

Insights

  • Maps Well

    Positive

    Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 48%

Comments

AAP

Failed to threaten at Mingenew when firmed from $11 into $8.50. Experienced rider replaces apprentice. A few runs under her belt this campaign, could get into the placings.

ILB

Odds of $8.50 and lost ground in the run home when 7th last time at Mingenew and goes up in weight.

RP

Beaten 8l when seventh of nine at Mingenew over 7f (handicap) last month, behind Blowin' Smoke; a leading contender as shown some ability on occasion.

RSIS

Started at 15/2 and didn't find the line when 7th last run at Mingenew and has more weight to carry.

2Blowin' SmokeJ: Bailey Webster·T: Malcolm Mackenzie357.5kg7 11 4 4 322: 2-3-2$2.65$1.38

Career

22: 2-3-2

Rating · IRD

92

Speed map

Midfield

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey40%
  • Trainer80%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
  • Early Speed100%
  • Rating80%
  • Closing Speed80%

Record

  • First-up

    3: 0-0-0

  • Second-up

    2: 0-0-0

  • Third-up

    2: 0-1-0

  • Fourth-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Kalgoorlie

    2: 0-0-0

  • Track Port Hedland

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Roebourne

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1400m

    10: 1-2-1

  • Distance 1413m

    2: 0-0-1

  • Distance 1000m

    2: 0-0-0

  • Going Good

    20: 2-3-2

  • Going Soft

    2: 0-0-0

Last starts

  1. 3Mingenew1400m26 Sept 2026 · 2UP RTG 56+ HCP · GOOD4.25L
  2. 4Junction1400m5 Sept 2026 · 3UP RTG 56+ HCP · GOOD5.3L
  3. 4Carnarvon1400m30 Aug 2026 · 3UP RTG 56+ HCP · GOOD43.1L
  4. 11Carnarvon1400m16 Aug 2026 · 3UP 50+ CL3 HCP · GOOD5.3L
  5. 7Carnarvon1400m31 July 2026 · 2UP RTG 56+ HCP · GOOD4.25L
  6. 2Carnarvon1400m19 July 2026 · 2UP RTG 56+ HCP · GOOD0.7L
  7. 5Carnarvon1400m10 July 2026 · 2UP CL3 50+ HCP · GOOD5L
  8. 7Carnarvon1000m19 June 2026 · 2UP RTG 56+ HCP · GOOD4.6L

Insights

  • Maps Poorly

    Negative

    Map position not suited at this track, under performing market expectations by 55%

  • Fast Early

    Positive

    Sectionals suggest goes hard early

  • Track Exp

    Positive

    Knows this track well

  • Improved L/S

    Positive

    Improved again last start

  • Class Rise

    Negative

    Racing in stronger company

  • Winless Prep

    Negative

    Expect the drought to continue

  • Up In Weight

    Negative

    Goes up 4.5kg weight here

Comments

AAP

Outgunned but did enough for third at $8.50 at Mingenew. Winner at only other start at Leonora. Looks a genuine contender.

ILB

Put in a competitive run when placing 3rd last run at Mingenew. Has every chance.

RP

Has hit the frame in several recent runs; has won previously at this course; finished third of nine over 7f at Mingenew (handicap) two weeks ago; he has a shout.

RSIS

Did well to run 3rd last start at Mingenew. Strong claims and hard to beat.

3Danea RockJ: Kayla Holroyd·T: Malcolm Mackenzie456.5kg2 4 7 2 239: 0-4-3$3.90$1.85

Career

39: 0-4-3

Rating · IRD

81

Speed map

Midfield

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey20%
  • Trainer80%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
  • Early Speed20%
  • Rating60%
  • Closing Speed80%

Record

  • First-up

    4: 0-0-0

  • Second-up

    3: 0-1-0

  • Third-up

    3: 0-0-0

  • Fourth-up

    3: 0-0-1

  • Track Belmont

    4: 0-0-0

  • Track Carnarvon

    6: 0-1-0

  • Track Pinjarra

    7: 0-0-1

  • Distance 1800m

    4: 0-0-0

  • Distance 2019m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 2100m

    3: 0-0-0

  • Going Good

    39: 0-4-3

Last starts

  1. 2Mingenew1400m26 Sept 2026 · 2UP CLB 48+ HCP · GOOD32.49L
  2. 2Junction1400m5 Sept 2026 · 3UP MDN SW · GOOD1L
  3. 7Carnarvon1600m30 Aug 2026 · 3UP RTG 53+ HCP · GOOD45.7L
  4. 4Carnarvon1600m31 July 2026 · 2UP CL1 48+ HCP · GOOD5.9L
  5. 2Carnarvon1600m10 July 2026 · 2UP SW MDN · GOOD0.2L
  6. 5Carnarvon1400m26 June 2026 · 2UP SW MDN · GOOD4.8L
  7. 6Carnarvon1600m19 June 2026 · 2UP RTG 56+ HCP · GOOD8.1L
  8. 6Carnarvon1400m30 May 2026 · 2UP CL1 48+ HCP · GOOD5.3L

Insights

  • Fast Finisher

    Positive

    Fastest Overall Finishing Sectionals Last Start

  • Jockey Booking

    Negative

    Less suitable jockey engaged

  • Cold J/T Combo

    Negative

    Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races

  • Maps Well

    Positive

    Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 48%

  • Ran On Hard LS

    Positive

    Ran on well last start

  • Dist S/R

    Negative

    Poor performer at the distance

  • Class Rise

    Negative

    Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

Gave good sight filling the minors at Mingenew. Super fit from racing, looks a top three chance.

ILB

Rattled home nicely into 2nd last time at Mingenew. Kayla Holroyd provides some weight relief. Can't leave out of your calculations.

RP

Produced an encouraging effort (second of seven, beaten 2½l) over 7f at Mingenew (handicap) last month; yet to get off the mark and losing run stands at 39; been struggling to get her head in front recently so can be taken on.

RSIS

Managed to finish 2nd last start at Mingenew. Large claim helps. Will be fighting out the finish.

4Make De FortuneJ: Sharni Webster·T: Crystal Burns256kg14 6 8 13 620: 1-0-2$5.50$2.40

Career

20: 1-0-2

Rating · IRD

73

Speed map

Backmarker

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey100%
  • Trainer20%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
  • Early Speed100%
  • Rating40%
  • Closing Speed40%

Record

  • First-up

    5: 0-0-0

  • Second-up

    4: 0-0-1

  • Third-up

    3: 0-0-0

  • Fourth-up

    2: 0-0-0

  • Track Albany

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Port Hedland

    3: 1-0-0

  • Track Kalgoorlie

    5: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1406m

    2: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1600m

    3: 0-0-1

  • Distance 1617m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Good

    16: 1-0-2

  • Going Soft

    4: 0-0-0

Last starts

  1. 6Kalgoorlie1617m20 Sept 2026 · 3UP CL2 50+ HCP · GOOD42.58L
  2. 13Kalgoorlie1400m6 Sept 2026 · 3UP CL2 50+ HCP · SOFT612.9L
  3. 8Kalgoorlie1300m23 Aug 2026 · 3UP RTG 58+ HCP · SOFT55.1L
  4. 6Kalgoorlie1621m9 Aug 2026 · 3UP RTG 58+ HCP · SOFT66.3L
  5. 14Kalgoorlie1200m26 July 2026 · 2UP CL2 50+ HCP · GOOD47.2L
  6. 8Esperance1400m31 Jan 2026 · 2yo+ · GOOD43.94L
  7. 3Esperance1400m2 Jan 2026 · 2UP RTG 58+ HCP · GOOD41.9L
  8. 11Esperance1200m13 Dec 2025 · 3UP CL2 50+ HCP · GOOD48.6L

Insights

  • Jockey ROI

    Positive

    Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 24% in Last 100 Rides

  • Cold J/T Combo

    Negative

    Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races

  • Fast Early

    Positive

    Sectionals suggest goes hard early

  • Nice Barrier

    Positive

    Well drawn from gate 2

  • Class Rise

    Negative

    Racing in stronger company

  • Weight Increase

    Negative

    Rises 5kg now

Comments

AAP

Handy and acquitted herself fairly well at Kalgoorlie. Drawn favourably. Big show.

ILB

Finished 6th last start at Kalgoorlie but gets a favourable draw. Displays good finishing speed. Place at best.

RP

Wasn't beaten that far when sixth (beaten 2½l) at Kalgoorlie (not far behind Ruling Dame) last month; can be a player at this level; encouragement to be gleaned from latest effort so has to be high on list.

RSIS

Came in 6th last run at Kalgoorlie but can find a nice position from the draw. Has a nice turn of foot.

5Ruling DameJ: Ebony Johnson·T: P D Tapper156kg2 4 4 3 1257: 2-8-7$2.70$1.38

Career

57: 2-8-7

Rating · IRD

79

Speed map

Leader

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey80%
  • Trainer20%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
  • Early Speed100%
  • Rating40%
  • Closing Speed20%

Record

  • First-up

    5: 1-0-2

  • Second-up

    4: 0-2-0

  • Third-up

    3: 1-0-1

  • Fourth-up

    3: 0-0-1

  • Track Ascot

    4: 0-0-0

  • Track Albany

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Esperance

    7: 0-1-0

  • Distance 1500m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1621m

    1: 0-1-0

  • Distance 1100m

    2: 1-0-0

  • Going Good

    41: 1-5-5

  • Going Heavy

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Soft

    15: 1-3-2

Last starts

  1. 12Kalgoorlie1760m1 Oct 2026 · 3UP CL2 50+ HCP · GOOD413.35L
  2. 3Kalgoorlie1617m20 Sept 2026 · 3UP CL2 50+ HCP · GOOD41.35L
  3. 4Kalgoorlie1400m6 Sept 2026 · 3UP CL2 50+ HCP · SOFT62.8L
  4. 4Kalgoorlie1600m23 Aug 2026 · 3UP CL2 50+ HCP · SOFT51.7L
  5. 2Kalgoorlie1760m9 Aug 2026 · 3UP CL2 HCP 50+ · SOFT61.6L
  6. 4Kalgoorlie1100m12 July 2026 · 2UP CL2 HCP 50+ · GOOD44.7L
  7. 12Kalgoorlie1400m5 July 2026 · 2UP CL2 HCP · GOOD49.7L
  8. 6Kalgoorlie1200m14 June 2026 · 2yo+ · SOFT53.5L

Insights

  • Trainer Recent

    Negative

    Camp struggling with S/R just 1%

  • Cold J/T Combo

    Negative

    Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races

  • Trainer A2E

    Negative

    Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 72%

  • Fast Early

    Positive

    Sectionals suggest goes hard early

  • Gave ground LS

    Negative

    Faded towards the finish last time out

  • Draw Suits

    Positive

    Well drawn inside

  • Dist S/R

    Negative

    Poor performer at the distance

  • Class Rise

    Negative

    Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

Placed 3yo+ Hcp (C2) at Kalgoorlie 20 Sep. Finished out the back at Kalgoorlie. Good gate helps. Highly rated in this line-up.

ILB

Struggled with the pace when 12th last time at Kalgoorlie but challenged by weaker competitors. Displays good tactical speed. Large claim helps. Can feature in this event.

RP

Grade looks suitable and wasn't at her best last time out following some good runs; towards the rear of 13 at Kalgoorlie over 1m1f (handicap) last week.

RSIS

Didn't attack the line when 12th last run at Kalgoorlie but matched against lesser competition. Expecting to settle positively. Ebony Johnson takes a large claim. Will not be far away.

6WillyabrupJ: Casey Hunter·T: Ms M Forrester556kg9 10 9 7 423: 0-0-1$23.00$5.00

Career

23: 0-0-1

Rating · IRD

70

Speed map

Offmidfield

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey100%
  • Trainer100%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
  • Early Speed100%
  • Rating20%
  • Closing Speed60%

Record

  • First-up

    2: 0-0-0

  • Second-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Third-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Fourth-up

    1: 0-0-1

  • Track York

    3: 0-0-0

  • Track Ascot

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Narrogin

    3: 0-0-1

  • Distance 1200m

    2: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1500m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 2000m

    3: 0-0-0

  • Going Good

    19: 0-0-1

  • Going Soft

    4: 0-0-0

Last starts

  1. 4Mingenew1400m26 Sept 2026 · 2UP CLB 48+ HCP · GOOD36.01L
  2. 7Junction1400m5 Sept 2026 · 3UP MDN SW · GOOD18.7L
  3. 9Carnarvon1400m19 July 2026 · 2UP CL1 HCP 48+ · GOOD16.7L
  4. 10Carnarvon1600m10 July 2026 · 2UP SW MDN · GOOD16.3L
  5. 9Carnarvon1200m19 June 2026 · 2UP SW MDN · GOOD16.4L
  6. 6Northam2200m1 June 2026 · 2UP MDN SW · SOFT612.5L
  7. 8Pinjarra2000m21 May 2026 · 3UP MDN-SW · GOOD410.4L
  8. 4York1920m14 May 2026 · 2UP MDN HCP · SOFT54.3L

Insights

  • Rider SR

    Positive

    Jockey recent POT is 94% better than Career Avg.

  • Key Rider

    Positive

    Casey Hunter 99% above market expected in L100 Rides

  • Hot J/T Combo

    Positive

    Combo are out performing market expectations by 205%

  • Stable In Form

    Positive

    Stable going well. Out performing market by 63%

  • Trainer ROI

    Positive

    Runners from this stable currently going at 25% POT in L100 Runners

  • Key Jockey

    Positive

    Casey Hunter winning at 78% POT in last 100 rides

  • Maps Poorly

    Negative

    Map position not suited at this track, under performing market expectations by 32%

  • Early Splits

    Negative

    Out of races with slow early tempos

Comments

AAP

Ordinary performance in small field at Mingenew. First time around Leonora. Lacks appeal here.

ILB

Jumped at $26.00 and ran 4th last time at Mingenew and hoping that the added weight won't hurt. Yet to fire this preparation. Likely to get back in the field. Not likely to be troubling the more fancied runners today.

RP

Yet to open his account after 23 starts; not far behind Danea Rock when fourth over 7f at Mingenew (handicap) last month; makes limited appeal.

RSIS

Was 25/1 and finished 4th last time at Mingenew and up in weight. Struggling recently with no placings from 10 starts. Expected to settle towards the rear.

Odds correct as at . Odds can change.