Mornington (VIC) horses tips & previews

8 Nov, 1:04 am AEDT

One race at a time: field, form guide and win/place odds for Mornington (VIC), with capture times on every price.

Meeting — Sun 1 Nov, 11:00 am AEDT

Meetings · Sun, 1 NovMornington (VIC)Change

Race 1 — Peninsula Kubota Mdn Plate 1600m · jumps Sun 1 Nov, 1:10 pm AEDT

Race preview

Welcome to Mornington for the Peninsula Kubota Mdn Plate over the 1600m journey on a Good 4 track under overcast skies. Punters sizing up the opener will find Star Je Taime heading the win market order, closely followed by Ambition In Bloom and Kuheylan next in line. Rounding out the early betting ring are Pandie Pandie, Flying Riches, Who'Llstoplorraine, and Hellbent Halo. It is a tricky maiden where sorting the wheat from the chaff is half the yarn, so let us dive straight into the form lines to see how this race sets up for us at 1:10 pm AEDT.

Looking at the form behind those shorter prices, market leader Star Je Taime brings some appealing credentials to the table for trainer D T O'Brien and jockey Damian Lane. She comes here off a handy third at Kyneton over 1454m on a Soft 5 surface, which was comfortably the best of her runs to date, suggesting she is hitting her straps nicely. Further down the market, Ambition In Bloom is kept safe after a debut fourth at Kilmore over 1457m on a good track where she was not too far off them, and a step up in trip here might just suit her better second-up. Meanwhile, Kuheylan lines up for Julius Sandhu after fighting bravely to the wire for a third at Moe over this exact 1600m trip on a Good 3.

When scanning the speed map for where this race might be won and lost, speed groups show Kuheylan and Star Je Taime looking to roll forward as leaders, which could set up a fascinating tactical battle early on. Other runners deeper in the market like Pandie Pandie are slated to get back as backmarkers, needing plenty of luck after a disappointing debut at Ballarat over 1400m, while Flying Riches and Ambition In Bloom loom off the pace. It shapes as an intriguing contest where punters eyeing up a value angle might look toward the proven place credentials of the likes of Star Je Taime to figure heavily in the finish.

Race notes

3yo+,MDN-SW,Maiden
GOOD4
Overcast
7 runners

Shortest win price

Star Je Taime (11)

1.65

Speed map

Back left · leaders right

Backmarker

10Pandie Pandie

Offmidfield

8Hellbent Halo

Offpace

6Ambition In Bloom
1Flying Riches

Onpace

4Who'Llstoplorraine

Leader

3Kuheylan
11Star Je Taime

Flying Riches · Negative
Trainer Recent
Camp struggling with S/R just 4%
Kuheylan · Negative
Trainer SR
Julius Sandhu striking at just 6%
Who'Llstoplorraine · Negative
Jockey Booking
Melea Castle current POT is 52% below Career Avg.
Ambition In Bloom · Positive
Profitable Trainer
Stable runners going at 16% POT in L100 Runners

No.RunnerBarWgtLast 5WinPlace

1Flying RichesJ: Adam Mc Cabe·T: Rachael Cunningham558kg7 8 7 5 97: 0-0-0$11.00$3.60

Career

7: 0-0-0

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Offpace

BackLead

Figures

Jockey60%
Trainer20%
Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
Early Speed100%
Rating40%
Closing Speed80%

Record

First-up
2: 0-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Third-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Pakenham
2: 0-0-0
Track Sale
1: 0-0-0
Track Cranbourne
2: 0-0-0
Distance 1100m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1206m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1400m
3: 0-0-0
Going Good
3: 0-0-0
Going Soft
3: 0-0-0
Going Synthetic
1: 0-0-0

Last starts

9Bairnsdale1600m12 Oct 2026 · 3UP MDN-SW · SOFT77.53L
5Pakenham Synthetic1400m5 Oct 2026 · 4yo+ · SYNTHETIC3.77L
7Sale1206m13 Sept 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD42L
8Cranbourne1600m17 Apr 2026 · MDN-SW · SOFT610.5L
7Pakenham1400m9 Apr 2026 · F&M MDN-SW · SOFT55.6L
7Cranbourne1400m20 Mar 2026 · MDN-SW · GOOD36.5L
11Pakenham1100m26 Feb 2026 · MDN SW · GOOD48.8L

Insights

Trainer Recent
Negative
Camp struggling with S/R just 4%
Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are winning 30% POT in their L100 Races
Trainer A2E
Negative
Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 48%
Early Splits
Positive
Has early speed. An advantage on this circuit
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

Failed to threaten on a soft deck at Bairnsdale over this distance at longer odds. Looks up against it.

ILB

Odds of $21.00 and was nothing special when 9th last start at Bairnsdale. Difficult to warm to at present.

Held when ninth of 13 (Bairnsdale) last month; this now her eighth attempt to get off the mark; unlikely to achieve more than just a supporting role.

RSIS

Started at 20/1 and clearly outclassed when 9th last start at Bairnsdale.

2Galway GalScratched10––––

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Firststart

Figures

Jockey40%
Trainer100%
Jockey/Trainer Combo50%
Early Speed50%
Rating60%
Closing Speed50%

Insights

Watch Betting
Negative
If supported, follow in

Comments

AAP

Trials (1:0-0-0). Out of a half-sister to Listed winner Outdo. Soundly beaten at the jumpouts but might improve under race conditions. Check betting.

ILB

Backs up quickly. Honest race when 2nd last start at Pakenham and fitter for debut run.

RSIS

On a short turnaround. Tidy effort when 2nd last run at Pakenham and was on debut last time.

3KuheylanJ: Jake Noonan·T: Julius Sandhu758kg5 6 5 10 36: 0-0-1$9.00$3.20

Career

6: 0-0-1

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Leader

BackLead

Figures

Jockey20%
Trainer60%
Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
Early Speed100%
Rating40%
Closing Speed80%

Record

First-up
1: 0-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Third-up
1: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Mornington
1: 0-0-0
Track CurrentTrack
1: 0-0-0
Track Bendigo
2: 0-0-0
Distance 1500m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1600m
2: 0-0-1
Distance 1856m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
2: 0-0-1
Going Heavy
1: 0-0-0
Going Soft
3: 0-0-0

Last starts

3Moe1600m18 Oct 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD31L
10Kyneton1856m8 Oct 2026 · 2UP MDN-SW · SOFT59.46L
5Bendigo1600m20 Sept 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD33.25L
6Mornington1500m4 Sept 2026 · 3UP MDN-SW · SOFT56.3L
5Moe1200m13 Aug 2026 · 3UP MDN-SW · HEAVY1012.8L
6Bendigo1000m30 July 2026 · MDN SW · SOFT66.7L

Insights

Trainer SR
Negative
Julius Sandhu striking at just 6%
Trainer A2E
Negative
Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 26%
Ideal Map
Positive
Map position exceeding market by 2%
Early Sectionals
Negative
Recent sectional data suggests slow early pace
Ran On Hard LS
Positive
Ran on well last start
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Fought bravely to the wire in the 3yo+ Mdn Plate at Moe over this distance. Others carry more punch.

ILB

Ran on when 3rd last run at Moe. Will be positive in the run early. Do not dismiss.

Shown recent signs of improvement; not beaten far when third at Moe (dropped back to this distance) last month.

RSIS

Attacked the line when 3rd last start at Moe. Expecting to settle positively.

4Who'LlstoplorraineJ: Melea Castle·T: Pat Carey & Harris Walker158kg6 4 7 9 68: 0-1-0$21.00$4.60

Career

8: 0-1-0

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Onpace

BackLead

Figures

Jockey20%
Trainer20%
Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
Early Speed100%
Rating40%
Closing Speed60%

Record

First-up
2: 0-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Sale
1: 0-0-0
Track Seymour
1: 0-0-0
Track Moe
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1715m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1717m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1200m
2: 0-0-0
Going Good
4: 0-0-0
Going Heavy
3: 0-1-0
Going Soft
1: 0-0-0

Last starts

6Echuca1400m19 Oct 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD44.87L
9Kilmore1200m28 Sept 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD36.57L
7Moe1614m18 June 2026 · MDN-SW · HEAVY96.1L
4Geelong1715m4 June 2026 · 2yo+ · HEAVY1010.3L
6Seymour1600m21 May 2026 · 3Y MDN-SW · SOFT63.8L
8Sale1717m3 May 2026 · 2yo+ · GOOD396.3L
2Pakenham1400m16 Apr 2026 · 3UP F&M MDN-SW · HEAVY81.3L
8Pakenham1200m2 Apr 2026 · 3Y MDN-SW · GOOD48.9L

Insights

Jockey Booking
Negative
Melea Castle current POT is 52% below Career Avg.
Trainer SR
Negative
P & H Carey & Walker striking at just 3%
Jockey Booking
Negative
Less suitable jockey engaged
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are under performing market expectations by -33%
Trainer A2E
Negative
Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 61%
Rider Poor SR
Negative
Jockey underperforming market expectations by 80% in L100 rides
Early Sectionals
Negative
Recent sectional data suggests slow early pace
Nice Barrier
Positive
Well drawn from gate 1

Comments

AAP

Midfield, no rally and went to line tamely at Echuca second-up. Others more persuasive.

ILB

At $17.00 came in 6th last time at Echuca but has minimal work to do from the alley. Should come to hand quickly. Appears tested in this event.

Finished sixth but wasn't beaten too far (just under 5l) at Echuca over 7f (maiden) 13 days ago; still winless and defeats stacking up (eight on the bounce) and largely been out of sorts; others appeal more.

RSIS

Started 16/1 and finished 6th last start at Echuca but drawn the rails. Should race on the pace.

5AdakiteScratched1––––

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Leader

BackLead

Figures

Jockey100%
Trainer100%
Jockey/Trainer Combo60%
Early Speed100%
Rating100%
Closing Speed80%

Insights

Track Exp
Positive
Knows this track well
Blinkers Off
Positive
Blinkers coming off this start

Comments

AAP

Consistent and deserves that maiden win. Issued decent challenge 3yo Mdn Plate at Bendigo over this distance. This looks within her reach.

ILB

On a quick turnaround. Moderate showing when 17th last run at Flemington but up against a less competitive field. Will be aiming for a soft run from the draw.

RSIS

On a short back up. Just average when 17th last start at Flemington but up against a less competitive field. Has the ideal draw.

6Ambition In BloomJ: Patrick Moloney·T: M M Laurie656.5kg5 41: 0-0-0$4.00$1.75

Career

1: 0-0-0

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Offpace

BackLead

Figures

Jockey60%
Trainer100%
Jockey/Trainer Combo80%
Early Speed80%
Rating60%
Closing Speed100%

Record

First-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Kilmore
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1457m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
1: 0-0-0

Last starts

4Kilmore1457m13 Oct 2026 · 3UP F&M MDN-SW · GOOD43.6L
5Caulfield Heath1000m14 May 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)2.6L

Insights

Profitable Trainer
Positive
Stable runners going at 16% POT in L100 Runners
Early Splits
Negative
Out of races with slow early tempos
Raceday Experience
Positive
Wiser for debut run
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

Not too far off them at Kilmore on debut 13 Oct. Better for it. Longer trip may help. Place preferred option.

ILB

Was $6.00 and kept chasing when 4th last time at Kilmore and was a debutant last start. Should be in the finish.

Far from disgraced (beaten 3½l) on her debut (7f, Kilmore) at 5-1 three weeks ago; has strong claims.

RSIS

Started 5/1 and kept chasing when 4th last time at Kilmore and fitter for debut run. Must be considered here.

7EnticementScratched7––––

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Offpace

BackLead

Figures

Jockey60%
Trainer100%
Jockey/Trainer Combo80%
Early Speed100%
Rating40%
Closing Speed50%

Insights

Profitable Trainer
Positive
Stable runners going at 14% POT in L100 Runners
Primed
Positive
Fitter here racing on a quick back up
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Wasn't all that far from the action on debut at Ballarat at healthy odds 9 Oct. Benefits from the experience. Capable of making an impact.

ILB

Backing up quickly. Jumped at $6.50 and ran 6th last run at Kilmore.

RSIS

Backs up quickly. Was 11/2 and ran 6th last run at Kilmore.

8Hellbent HaloJ: Dylan Dunn·T: Rory Hunter456.5kg9 92: 0-0-0$101.00$15.00

Career

2: 0-0-0

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Offmidfield

BackLead

Figures

Jockey100%
Trainer60%
Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
Early Speed20%
Rating20%
Closing Speed80%

Record

First-up
1: 0-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Cranbourne
1: 0-0-0
Track Bendigo
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1200m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1600m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
2: 0-0-0

Last starts

9Bendigo1600m17 Oct 2026 · 3Y MDN-SW · GOOD39.6L
9Cranbourne1200m25 Sept 2026 · 3Y MDN-SW · GOOD415.96L

Insights

Rider SR
Positive
Jockey recent POT is 38% better than Career Avg.
Jockey Booking
Positive
Dylan Dunn 53% above market expected in L100 Rides
Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are out performing market expectations by 328%
Hot Jockey
Positive
Dylan Dunn in hot recent form, out performing market expectation by 53%
Gave ground LS
Negative
Faded towards the finish last time out
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Finished down the track in both runs. Really needs to raise her game.

ILB

Started $101.00 and was ordinary when 9th last time at Bendigo. Prefers to settle towards the rear. Rough chance today.

Ninth of 12 with blinkers tried last month at Bendigo upped to this trip; should give it a bold bid.

RSIS

Started at 100/1 and was nothing special when 9th last time at Bendigo. Likely to get back in the run.

9Lady BlancScratched4––––

Career

1: 0-0-0

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Onpace

BackLead

Figures

Jockey20%
Trainer60%
Jockey/Trainer Combo80%
Early Speed100%
Rating40%
Closing Speed40%

Record

First-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Cranbourne
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1200m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
1: 0-0-0

Last starts

9Cranbourne1200m16 Oct 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD39.9L

Insights

Backup
Positive
Racing again inside one week

Comments

AAP

Offered little to catch the eye on debut at Cranbourne following market easing 16 Oct. Must show improvement off that run.

ILB

Racing on a quick back up. Unsatisfactory performance when 9th last run at Kilmore. Should race on the speed.

Beaten a long way on Friday (Kilmore) upped to 7½f; yard has been going through a quiet spell; passed over.

RSIS

On a quick back up. Not up to scratch when 9th last run at Kilmore. Displays good tactical pace.

10Pandie PandieJ: Luke Cartwright·T: P G Moody & Katherine Coleman256.5kg92: 0-0-0$9.00$3.20

Career

2: 0-0-0

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Backmarker

BackLead

Figures

Jockey100%
Trainer20%
Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
Early Speed20%
Rating40%
Closing Speed50%

Record

First-up
1: 0-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Ballarat
2: 0-0-0
Distance 1400m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1600m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
2: 0-0-0

Last starts

9Ballarat1400m30 Sept 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD44.3L

Insights

Rider SR
Positive
Jockey recent POT is 40% better than Career Avg.
Trainer Recent
Negative
Camp struggling with S/R just 5%
Key Rider
Positive
Luke Cartwright 25% above market expected in L100 Rides
Trainer A2E
Negative
Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 64%
Trainer Form
Negative
Stable out of form, losing 67% Profit on Turnover
Maps Well
Positive
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 19%
Nice Barrier
Positive
Well drawn from gate 2
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Disappointing debut performance at Ballarat 30 Sep. Better for race exposure. Distant place hope only.

ILB

At $21.00 below par when 9th last time at Ballarat but having second career run. Likely to settle back in the field. Can find a nice position from the draw. Marginal prospect.

Beaten just over 4l to finish ninth on debut at Ballarat at 20-1 four weeks ago; likely to go well.

RSIS

At 20/1 struggled when 9th last time at Ballarat but was a debutant last start. Might be ridden for luck. Gets a favourable stall.

11Star Je TaimeJ: Damian Lane·T: D T O'Brien356.5kg1 6 1 5 34: 0-0-1$1.65$1.18

Career

4: 0-0-1

Rating · IRD

100

Speed map

Leader

BackLead

Figures

Jockey100%
Trainer60%
Jockey/Trainer Combo60%
Early Speed100%
Rating100%
Closing Speed50%

Record

First-up
2: 0-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-1
Third-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Ballarat
1: 0-0-0
Track Flemington
1: 0-0-0
Track Geelong
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1425m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1454m
1: 0-0-1
Distance 1600m
1: 0-0-0
Going Heavy
1: 0-0-0
Going Soft
1: 0-0-1
Going Good
2: 0-0-0

Last starts

3Kyneton1454m8 Oct 2026 · 3UP MDN-SW · SOFT50.85L
5Geelong1425m23 Sept 2026 · 3YF MDN-SW · GOOD36.65L
1Seymour1000m11 Sept 2026 · Barrier Trial · SOFT(5)-1
6Flemington1200m28 Mar 2026 · 2yo · HEAVY813.9L
1Kilmore1000m10 Mar 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)-0.8

Insights

Jockey ROI
Positive
Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 12% in Last 100 Rides
Trainer SR
Negative
Danny O'Brien striking at just 11%
Key Rider
Positive
Damian Lane 24% above market expected in L100 Rides
Trainer Recent
Negative
Stable runners are currently underperforming market by 20%
Fast Early
Positive
Sectionals suggest goes hard early
Better for last start
Positive
Improved with last few runs
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Hitting straps. By far the best of her 3 runs to date was latest placing at Kyneton. All the better, commands attention.

ILB

Put in a competitive run when placing 3rd beaten by 3/4L last time at Kyneton and showing improvement in recent outings. Has good tactical speed and will be nicely positioned. Like a strong win bet.

Seems to be going the right way; good effort when close up over 7f at Kyneton (maiden) three weeks ago.

RSIS

Good effort to run 3rd last time at Kyneton and getting better in recent performances. Will be pushing for a forward position early. Winning potential.

Odds correct as at Sun 1 Nov, 1:10 pm AEDT. Odds can change.

Past meetings

Thu 22 Oct, 11:00 am AEDT · 8 races
Sat 26 Sept, 10:00 am AEST · 8 races
Thu 17 Sept, 10:00 am AEST · 8 races
Fri 4 Sept, 10:00 am AEST · 9 races