Mornington (VIC) horses tips & previews

8 Nov, 1:04 am AEDT

One race at a time: field, form guide and win/place odds for Mornington (VIC), with capture times on every price.

Meeting — Sun 1 Nov, 11:00 am AEDT

Meetings · Sun, 1 NovMornington (VIC)Change

Race 2 — Barmah Park Restaurant & Cellar Door Mdn Plate 1200m · jumps Sun 1 Nov, 1:42 pm AEDT

Race preview

Welcome to Mornington for the Barmah Park Restaurant & Cellar Door Mdn Plate, a 1200m test for the three-year-old fillies on a good four track under overcast skies. Punters looking at the early win market have settled on Oceans Blue as the elect, followed closely by Cirque De Coco, Flare Of Grace, and Savanina filling out the top end of betting order as they prepare to jump at 1:42 pm AEDT.

Oceans Blue comes in with solid form behind that shortest quote, having put together a gallant display when finishing second at Kyneton over 1103m on soft five going following earlier efforts. Cirque De Coco brings some exposed form to the yarn, kicking off a second campaign after a nineteen-week break with a record that includes a placing at Geelong over 1212m on heavy ground. Meanwhile, Flare Of Grace steps out as a first starter by Fierce Impact out of the Lonhro mare Justine, catching the eye after winning her most recent jumpout with authority for a stable currently going well.

Looking further down the speed groups and runner list, Cirque De Coco is mapped as a leader with early speed which should prove an advantage on this circuit, while Oceans Blue maps on-pace alongside Neonova. For punters dissecting the form line, Belle Fille is listed as a backmarker from barrier three with Lachlan King aboard for trainer Claire Patterson, bringing an intriguing jockey insight to rounding out a tricky maiden affair.

Race notes

3YF MDN-SW,3yo,Maiden
GOOD4
Overcast
9 runners

Shortest win price

Oceans Blue (9)

1.55

Speed map

Back left · leaders right

Firststart

2Celestique
5Flare Of Grace
8Oaks Daze
12Savanina
13Setfortakeoff

Backmarker

1Belle Fille

Onpace

9Oceans Blue
7Neonova

Leader

4Cirque De Coco

Belle Fille · Positive
Jockey ROI
Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 40% in Last 100 Rides
Celestique · Positive
Rider SR
Jockey recent POT is 18% better than Career Avg.
Cirque De Coco · Positive
Early Splits
Has early speed. An advantage on this circuit
Flare Of Grace · Positive
Stable In Form
Stable going well. Out performing market by 62%

No.RunnerBarWgtLast 5WinPlace

1Belle FilleJ: Lachlan King·T: Claire Patterson357kg81: 0-0-0$20.00$3.30

Career

1: 0-0-0

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Backmarker

BackLead

Figures

Jockey100%
Trainer80%
Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
Early Speed100%
Rating20%
Closing Speed80%

Record

First-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Sale
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1213m
1: 0-0-0
Going Heavy
1: 0-0-0

Last starts

8Sale1213m9 July 2026 · 2Y MDN-SW · HEAVY96.8L

Insights

Jockey ROI
Positive
Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 40% in Last 100 Rides
Jockey Booking
Positive
Lachlan King 44% above market expected in L100 Rides
Hot Jockey
Positive
Lachlan King in hot recent form, out performing market expectation by 44%
Maps Well
Positive
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 19%
Fast Early
Positive
Sectionals suggest goes hard early
1st Up
Negative
May need this run
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Back for second campaign (16-weeks). Disappointing debut performance at Sale 9 Jul. Would need to improve.

ILB

Resuming after a break. Started $81.00 and mediocre performance when 8th last start at Sale but having second race start. Does take a while to get into stride. Suggest watching.

Beaten on her debut at Sale at 80-1 four months ago; must make above-average progress to figure.

RSIS

First run back from a break. Started 80/1 and performed below standard when 8th last time at Sale but fitter for debut run. Might have to make up considerable ground.

2CelestiqueJ: Damien Thornton·T: Simon Zahra857kg–$26.00$3.60

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Firststart

Figures

Jockey100%
Trainer100%
Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
Early Speed50%
Rating40%
Closing Speed50%

Insights

Rider SR
Positive
Jockey recent POT is 18% better than Career Avg.
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -38% POT in their L100 Races
Profitable Trainer
Positive
Stable runners going at 34% POT in L100 Runners
Market Watch
Negative
Keep eye on betting moves

Comments

AAP

$40k purchase. Dam won six races. Earthlight filly heading to the races off a couple of jumpouts. Happy to watch unless the money arrives.

ILB

3yo first starter by Earthlight for Simon Zahra. Watch betting.

Shares a dam with Hai Sun, a 6f winner; having first race; should get involved as some good aspects to her profile.

RSIS

3yo first starter sired by Earthlight for trainer Simon Zahra.

3CharminglyScratched14––––

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Firststart

Figures

Jockey40%
Trainer60%
Jockey/Trainer Combo50%
Early Speed50%
Rating60%
Closing Speed50%

Insights

Raceday Experience
Positive
Wiser for debut run

Comments

AAP

Out of a full sister to the stakes winner Tutukaka. Plenty of jumpout experience and in top stable. Alley makes it tough but big watch on debut.

ILB

Backing up quickly for this race. Tidy run when 3rd last run at Pakenham and was a debutant last start.

RSIS

Backing up quickly. Placed 3rd last start at Pakenham and having second race start.

4Cirque De CocoJ: Jamie Mott·T: Clayton Douglas957kg6 3 44: 0-0-1$5.50$1.45

Career

4: 0-0-1

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Leader

BackLead

Figures

Jockey60%
Trainer80%
Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
Early Speed100%
Rating60%
Closing Speed50%

Record

First-up
2: 0-0-0
Track Geelong
1: 0-0-1
Track Cranbourne
1: 0-0-0
Track Caulfield Heath
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1000m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1200m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1212m
1: 0-0-1
Going Good
1: 0-0-0
Going Heavy
1: 0-0-1
Going Soft
2: 0-0-0

Last starts

4Cranbourne1400m21 June 2026 · MDN-SW · SOFT74L
3Geelong1212m4 June 2026 · 2Y MDN-SW · HEAVY100.3L
6Caulfield Heath1000m20 May 2026 · 2Y HCP · SOFT65.2L

Insights

Early Splits
Positive
Has early speed. An advantage on this circuit
Resuming
Negative
Poor strike rate when first up
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Kicks off second campaign (19-weeks). Feasible to think she has more to offer this time in. Don't take lightly.

ILB

Fresh today after a break. Was $6.00 and didn't find the line when 4th last time at Cranbourne. Won't be far away during the run. Has claims.

Not yet off the mark in three attempts although has finished third; finished fourth but wasn't beaten too far (4l) over 7f at Cranbourne (maiden) in June; returns from a layoff; probably unlikely to trouble the principals.

RSIS

First run back today. Odds of 5/1 and was outmatched late when 4th last run at Cranbourne. Should come to hand quickly. Capable of winning this.

5Flare Of GraceJ: Luke Currie·T: Ben, Will & Jd Hayes757kg–$8.00$1.95

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Firststart

Figures

Jockey20%
Trainer100%
Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
Early Speed50%
Rating60%
Closing Speed50%

Insights

Stable In Form
Positive
Stable going well. Out performing market by 62%
Profitable Trainer
Positive
Stable runners going at 46% POT in L100 Runners
Rider Poor SR
Negative
Jockey underperforming market expectations by 35% in L100 rides
First Starter
Positive
Not raced previously
Winkers On
Positive
Important gear change of winkers on

Comments

AAP

First starter by Fierce Impact and out of the Lonhro mare Justine. Won most recent jumpout with authority. Can make an immediate impact here.

ILB

3yo by Fierce Impact having first race appearance for trainer Will Ben & Jd Hayes. Watch the market.

Stable has fine record with newcomers at this distance; interesting to see how she figures in the betting.

RSIS

Fierce Impact 3yo trained by Will Ben & Jd Hayes having first start. Watch the market moves.

6Miss Home BodyScratched2––––

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Onpace

BackLead

Figures

Jockey40%
Trainer20%
Jockey/Trainer Combo50%
Early Speed50%
Rating60%
Closing Speed100%

Insights

Nice Barrier
Positive
Well drawn from gate 2
Blinkers On
Positive
Trainer has opted for the Blinkers on, take note

Comments

AAP

Under early hold and got home late at $10 at Avoca at second start. More a minor money chance here.

ILB

Amongst the placegetters when 3rd beaten by over 7L last run at Avoca and will try to take advantage of the barrier.

RSIS

Claimed a spot in the top three when 3rd last start at Avoca and gets a favourable draw.

7NeonovaJ: Lachlan Neindorf·T: John Mcardle257kg6 102: 0-0-0$23.00$3.50

Career

2: 0-0-0

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Onpace

BackLead

Figures

Jockey20%
Trainer100%
Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
Early Speed100%
Rating40%
Closing Speed20%

Record

First-up
2: 0-0-0
Track Geelong
1: 0-0-0
Track Cranbourne
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1000m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1247m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
1: 0-0-0
Going Soft
1: 0-0-0

Last starts

10Geelong1247m7 Oct 2026 · 3yo+ · SOFT512.43L
6Cranbourne1000m20 Feb 2026 · 2Y HCP · GOOD37.7L

Insights

Jockey Booking
Negative
Lachlan Neindorf current POT is 32% below Career Avg.
Jockey Booking
Negative
Less suitable jockey engaged
Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are out performing market expectations by 450%
Early Splits
Positive
Has early speed. An advantage on this circuit
Gave ground LS
Negative
Faded towards the finish last time out
Nice Barrier
Positive
Well drawn from gate 2
Blinkers On
Positive
Trainer has opted for the Blinkers on, take note
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Well beaten in two runs to date. Hard to warm to here.

ILB

Was $31.00 and gave away some ground when 10th last start at Geelong but can find a nice position from the draw. Needs significant improvement.

Finished last of ten upped to this distance (Geelong) three weeks ago; others more appealing if the new headgear doesn't bring about improvement.

RSIS

Started 30/1 and couldn't stay in touch when 10th last start at Geelong but has a good draw.

8Oaks DazeJ: Lucinda Boyd·T: Jessica Pateman157kg7$101.00$7.00

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Firststart

Figures

Jockey100%
Trainer20%
Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
Early Speed50%
Rating40%
Closing Speed50%

Last starts

7Seymour1000m11 Sept 2026 · Barrier Trial · SOFT(5)8.5L

Insights

Trainer Recent
Negative
Camp struggling with S/R just 3%
Trainer A2E
Negative
Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 51%
Drawn In
Positive
Suited drawn down low
Fresh
Positive
Freshened up. Had a break of 42-60 days
Market Watch
Negative
Keep eye on betting moves

Comments

AAP

Trials (1:0-0-0). Down the track in only official trial 11 Sep and has not flattered in jumpouts. Nice gate.

ILB

3yo debutant by Highland Reel for trainer Jessica Pateman and has a nice advantage with a good alley. Betting is the best guide.

First start under rules for this three-year-old daughter of Highland Reel; clear chance with signs of encouragement in profile.

RSIS

Initial appearance 3yo by Highland Reel for trainer Jessica Pateman and drawn nicely.

9Oceans BlueJ: Damian Lane·T: D T O'Brien557kg1 3 4 23: 0-1-1$1.55$1.03

Career

3: 0-1-1

Rating · IRD

100

Speed map

Onpace

BackLead

Figures

Jockey100%
Trainer60%
Jockey/Trainer Combo60%
Early Speed20%
Rating100%
Closing Speed50%

Record

First-up
2: 0-1-1
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Ballarat
1: 0-0-0
Track Bendigo
1: 0-0-1
Track Kyneton
1: 0-1-0
Distance 1000m
1: 0-0-1
Distance 1103m
1: 0-1-0
Distance 1200m
1: 0-0-0
Going Soft
1: 0-1-0
Going Good
2: 0-0-1

Last starts

2Kyneton1103m8 Oct 2026 · 3UP MDN-SW · SOFT51L
4Caulfield Heath800m1 Oct 2026 · Barrier Trial · SOFT(5)1.7L
3Bendigo1000m13 May 2026 · 2Y MDN-SW · GOOD41.8L
1Caulfield Heath950m30 Apr 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)-0.1

Insights

Rider SR
Positive
Jockey recent POT is 12% better than Career Avg.
Trainer SR
Negative
Danny O'Brien striking at just 11%
Key Rider
Positive
Damian Lane 24% above market expected in L100 Rides
Trainer Recent
Negative
Stable runners are currently underperforming market by 20%
Maps Well
Positive
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 13%
Lightly Raced
Positive
Limited race experience but shown potential
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
Honest
Positive
Finishing in the money lately

Comments

AAP

Supported in early runs. Gallant display at Kyneton at second start. She is the one to beat

ILB

Rattled home nicely into 2nd last run at Kyneton. Shows good early pace. Looks like a winning chance.

Finished second when 4-6 over 5½f at Kyneton (maiden) last month.

RSIS

Managed to run 2nd last time at Kyneton. Will be positive in the run early. Looming as the clear top pick.

10Ole AffairScratched3––––

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Midfield

BackLead

Figures

Jockey40%
Trainer20%
Jockey/Trainer Combo50%
Early Speed50%
Rating60%
Closing Speed40%

Insights

Gave ground LS
Negative
Faded towards the finish last time out
1st Up
Negative
May need this run

Comments

AAP

Back for second campaign (16-weeks). Didn't make much impact in stronger races last prep. Better for experience and can build on that.

ILB

Resuming from spell. Didn't threaten when 10th last start at Caulfield but has been racing in stronger company.

RSIS

Resuming after a break. Folded up in the straight when 10th last start at Caulfield but challenged by weaker competitors.

11SabrinaScratched12––––

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Offpace

BackLead

Figures

Jockey40%
Trainer60%
Jockey/Trainer Combo50%
Early Speed50%
Rating50%
Closing Speed50%

Insights

Blinkers On
Positive
Trainer has opted for the Blinkers on, take note

Comments

AAP

Found the debut assignment beyond him at Ballarat 30 Sep. Experience gained. Could take a step forward.

ILB

Started at $9.00 and chased well when 5th last run at Ballarat and was on debut last time.

RSIS

Was 8/1 and moved through the field into 5th last time at Ballarat and was a debutant last start.

12SavaninaJ: Jamie Melham·T: P G Moody & Katherine Coleman657kg–$9.00$2.05

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Firststart

Figures

Jockey20%
Trainer20%
Jockey/Trainer Combo60%
Early Speed50%
Rating40%
Closing Speed50%

Insights

Trainer Recent
Negative
Camp struggling with S/R just 5%
Trainer A2E
Negative
Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 64%
Trainer ROI
Negative
Trainers runners currently losing 67% Profit on Turnover
On Debut
Positive
First race start

Comments

AAP

First starter by champion NZ sire and stamina influence Savabeel and out of the Redoute's Choice mare Nina From Pasadena. Well beaten in jumpouts.

ILB

3yo debutant sired by Savabeel for trainer Katherine Coleman & Peter G Moody. Market as guide.

New Zealander bred; trainer more than capable of getting one ready first time out; sire can inject some quality; related to Duvach, winning form over 6½f-1m2f; she should go close.

RSIS

First start at the races 3yo by Savabeel for Katherine Coleman & Peter G Moody. Watch betting.

13SetfortakeoffJ: Jake Noonan·T: David & Coral Feek457kg–$41.00$4.20

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Firststart

Figures

Jockey20%
Trainer100%
Jockey/Trainer Combo40%
Early Speed50%
Rating40%
Closing Speed50%

Insights

Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -28% POT in their L100 Races
Trainer ROI
Positive
Runners from this stable currently going at 12% POT in L100 Runners
Market Watch
Negative
Keep eye on betting moves

Comments

AAP

$25k purchase. Out of a half-sister to Listed winner Shalimar Sky. Dubious filly heading to the races having been well beaten in jumpout. Odds may prove best guide here.

ILB

Racing as a debutant 3yo by Dubious for trainer David And Coral Feek. Follow the money.

First public outing; sire's progeny have shown a preference for softer goings; certainly not out of it with signs of encouragement in profile.

RSIS

3yo by Dubious first starter for David And Coral Feek.

14Storm BellaScratched10––––

Career

1: 0-0-0

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Offpace

BackLead

Figures

Jockey60%
Trainer100%
Jockey/Trainer Combo80%
Early Speed20%
Rating40%
Closing Speed40%

Record

First-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Kilmore
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1207m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
1: 0-0-0

Last starts

4Kilmore1207m13 Oct 2026 · 3YF MDN-SW · GOOD45.5L

Insights

Trainer ROI
Positive
Runners from this stable currently going at 14% POT in L100 Runners
Blinkers On
Positive
Trainer has opted for the Blinkers on, take note
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

Well held but far from disgraced on debut at Kilmore at longer odds 13 Oct. Has work to do and others more fancied here.

ILB

Started at $19.00 and peaked on the run when 4th last time at Kilmore and was a debutant last start.

Held on her debut at Kilmore at 18-1 last month; should improve with a run under her belt although it was only a modest start.

RSIS

Started 18/1 and couldn't finish off when 4th last time at Kilmore and was on debut last time.

Odds correct as at Sun 1 Nov, 1:50 pm AEDT. Odds can change.

Past meetings

Thu 22 Oct, 11:00 am AEDT · 8 races
Sat 26 Sept, 10:00 am AEST · 8 races
Thu 17 Sept, 10:00 am AEST · 8 races
Fri 4 Sept, 10:00 am AEST · 9 races