Mornington (VIC) horses tips & previews

8 Nov, 1:04 am AEDT

One race at a time: field, form guide and win/place odds for Mornington (VIC), with capture times on every price.

Meeting — Sun 1 Nov, 11:00 am AEDT

Meetings · Sun, 1 NovMornington (VIC)Change

Race 5 — Evergreen Turf (Bm62) 1000m · jumps Sun 1 Nov, 3:25 pm AEDT

Race preview

Welcome to Mornington for this Evergreen Turf Benchmark 62 over the 1000m sprint trip. The track is rated a Good 4 under overcast skies, and the race is set to jump at 3:25 pm AEDT. Looking at how the win market has shaped up, Miss Cotoletta heads the betting order, followed closely by Invincible Lover, Ilovediamonds, and Catch It Kiss It rounding out the leading quartet of fancies in this fillies and mares clash.

Taking a closer look at the form behind those shorter prices, market leader Miss Cotoletta tackles this for trainer Jason Warren with Lachlan Neindorf in the saddle from barrier one. She is coming off an unplaced effort at Sandown-Hillside in a stronger grade, but her prior form suggests she can bounce back from the gun run. Meanwhile, Ilovediamonds brings a winning yarn into this contest, shooting for a hat-trick after scoring at Mildura before bolting in over this exact track and distance for trainer Shawn Mathrick, with Sam Kennedy steering from barrier six.

For those chasing a bit more value or looking deeper into the speed map, Invincible Lover comes out of barrier three for trainer Lloyd Kennewell and jockey Jamie Melham, having run on hard for a close third at Cranbourne fresh. With Ilovediamonds listed as the leader and Miss Cotoletta up on the pace, this 1000m dash should be run at a solid clip, making the back markers very interesting as the field swings for home.

Race notes

3yo+,BM62 F&M,BM62 F&M HCP,Benchmark 62
GOOD4
Overcast
6 runners

Shortest win price

Miss Cotoletta (1)

2.65

Most career wins

Miss Cotoletta

3-2-1 from 17 starts

Speed map

Back left · leaders right

Backmarker

10Dominant Miss

Offmidfield

7Pure Silk

Midfield

4Catch It Kiss It
5Invincible Lover

Onpace

1Miss Cotoletta

Leader

3Ilovediamonds

Miss Cotoletta · Negative
Jockey Booking
Less suitable jockey engaged
Ilovediamonds · Positive
Jockey ROI
Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 26% in Last 100 Rides
Catch It Kiss It · Negative
Current SR
Rider’s recent POT is returning 34% lower than Career Avg.
Invincible Lover · Positive
Fast Early
Sectionals suggest goes hard early

No.RunnerBarWgtLast 5WinPlace

1Miss CotolettaJ: Lachlan Neindorf·T: Jason Warren161kg7 10 2 4 1117: 3-2-1$2.65$1.38

Career

17: 3-2-1

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Onpace

BackLead

Figures

Jockey20%
Trainer100%
Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
Early Speed100%
Rating80%
Closing Speed20%

Record

First-up
4: 0-0-1
Second-up
3: 0-1-0
Third-up
2: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
1: 1-0-0
Track Morphettville
2: 1-0-0
Track Sale
4: 0-0-1
Track Bendigo
1: 1-0-0
Distance 1005m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1006m
1: 0-0-1
Distance 1050m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
4: 0-0-1
Going Heavy
5: 2-0-0
Going Soft
8: 1-2-0

Last starts

11Sandown1000m22 Aug 2026 · 3yo+ · HEAVY813.7L
4Morphettville1050m8 Aug 2026 · 4UP 0-64 · SOFT72.3L
2Sandown1000m22 July 2026 · Benchmark 70 · SOFT61.3L
10Cranbourne1000m16 July 2026 · 2yo+ · HEAVY94.3L
7Sale1005m28 June 2026 · BM70 · HEAVY82L
3Sale1006m8 Apr 2026 · BM66 · GOOD31.5L
1Bendigo1100m14 Aug 2025 · BenchMark 64 · SOFT6-0.3
6Sale1110m31 July 2025 · 2UP BM64 HCP · SOFT75.9L

Insights

Jockey Booking
Negative
Less suitable jockey engaged
Hot Trainer
Positive
Jason Warren in good form, out performing market 121%
Profitable Trainer
Positive
Stable runners going at 95% POT in L100 Runners
Early Splits
Positive
Has early speed. An advantage on this circuit
Gave ground LS
Negative
Faded towards the finish last time out
Nice Barrier
Positive
Well drawn from gate 1
Resuming
Negative
Poor strike rate when first up
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

No threat as a $14 chance in 3yo+ F&M (Bm74) at Sandown-Hillside. Gets the gun run. Highly rated despite the weight.

ILB

Resumes from a spell. Started $14.00 and gave away some ground when 11th last start at Sandown on a heavy rated track. Should improve. Should be going forward early. Should give this a shake.

Last of 11 (Sandown) in August; in good form before making a backwards step last time out; should prove competitive as shown she can be competitive fairly recently.

RSIS

Back from break. Odds of 13/1 and didn't attack the line when 11th last time at Sandown on a heavy rated track. Capable of a strong comeback. Winning chance.

2Pocket SizeScratched9––––

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Onpace

BackLead

Figures

Jockey40%
Trainer100%
Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
Early Speed100%
Rating60%
Closing Speed40%

Insights

Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are out performing market expectations by 55%
Fitness
Positive
At peak fitness backing up
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Resuming (23-weeks). Can pull out a run fresh. Has an adverse draw and a hefty impost for return. Not out of this fresh in this affair.

ILB

On a quick back up. Below par when 10th last run at Pakenham.

RSIS

Racing on a quick back up. Struggled when 10th last run at Pakenham.

3IlovediamondsJ: Sam Kennedy·T: Shawn Mathrick660kg6 3 6 1 112: 2-1-3$3.60$1.75

Career

12: 2-1-3

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Leader

BackLead

Figures

Jockey100%
Trainer80%
Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
Early Speed100%
Rating80%
Closing Speed80%

Record

First-up
3: 0-0-1
Second-up
2: 0-0-1
Third-up
2: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
1: 1-0-0
Track Bendigo
2: 0-0-0
Track Tatura
1: 0-0-1
Track Wangaratta
1: 0-1-0
Distance 1200m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1000m
7: 2-1-2
Distance 1100m
4: 0-0-1
Going Good
6: 2-1-1
Going Heavy
2: 0-0-0
Going Soft
4: 0-0-2

Last starts

1Mornington1000m22 Oct 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD3-2.25
1Mildura1000m6 Oct 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD4-5
6Bairnsdale1200m20 Sept 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD35.45L
3Tatura1000m7 Sept 2026 · 4yo+ · SOFT70.8L
6Sale1100m21 Aug 2026 · 4yo+ · SOFT62.3L
3Hamilton1100m11 Oct 2025 · 4UP MDN SW · SOFT51.5L
6Bendigo1100m7 Sept 2025 · 3yo+ · HEAVY94.8L
4Seymour1000m15 Aug 2025 · 3UP MDN-SW · SOFT76.5L

Insights

Jockey ROI
Positive
Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 26% in Last 100 Rides
Key Jockey
Positive
Sam Kennedy winning at 34% POT in last 100 rides
Fast Early
Positive
Sectionals suggest goes hard early
Consecutive Wins
Positive
Has strung together a few races in a row
Track Exp
Positive
Knows this track well
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
Weight Rise
Negative
Carrying 4kg more than LS

Comments

AAP

Striving for hat-trick. Bolted in at Mildura two back. Responded strongly to dispose of the small field this track over this journey. Stays under strong notice for this.

ILB

Picked up late to win last run at the track. Unbeaten last 2 runs. Likely to be well placed early. Strong chance.

Stepped up on her last two starts and bidding for hat-trick; got the job done by just over 2l last Thursday; unexposed in handicaps with this her second start in this company; despite that Mornington success, others more appealing.

RSIS

Picked up nicely to win last start at this venue. Unbeaten last 2 runs. Should muster plenty of early pace. Tough competitor.

4Catch It Kiss ItJ: Beau Mertens·T: Ms W Kelly759.5kg1 73: 1-0-0$11.00$3.70

Career

3: 1-0-0

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Midfield

BackLead

Figures

Jockey20%
Trainer40%
Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
Early Speed20%
Rating40%
Closing Speed50%

Record

First-up
2: 1-0-0
Track CurrentTrack
1: 1-0-0
Track Werribee
1: 0-0-0
Track Ballarat
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1000m
3: 1-0-0
Going Good
3: 1-0-0

Last starts

7Werribee1000m14 May 2026 · 0-62 · GOOD43.5L
1Mornington1000m28 Apr 2026 · 3Y MDN-SW · GOOD4-1.3

Insights

Current SR
Negative
Rider’s recent POT is returning 34% lower than Career Avg.
Trainer Recent
Negative
Camp struggling with S/R just 7%
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Trainer A2E
Negative
Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 36%
Rider Poor SR
Negative
Jockey underperforming market expectations by 42% in L100 rides
Maps Well
Positive
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 13%
Track Exp
Positive
Knows this track well
1st Up S/R
Positive
Has won 1 from 2 when resuming

Comments

AAP

Fronting up for second campaign (24-weeks). Awkwardly drawn for return. Could get into the placings fresh in this affair.

ILB

First up from a break of 24 weeks and ran on hard when winning first up last preparation around here. Betting is the best guide.

Not disgraced in seventh (Werribee) six months ago; boasts winning form over C&D; lightly raced with this just her third appearance; returns from a layoff; unexposed in handicaps with this her second start in this company; could be hard to beat if in the same mood as when achieving most recent success.

RSIS

Resuming and ran on strongly to win resuming last preparation around here.

5Invincible LoverJ: Jamie Melham·T: Lloyd Kennewell359.5kg4 2 2 1 36: 1-3-1$2.90$1.45

Career

6: 1-3-1

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Midfield

BackLead

Figures

Jockey20%
Trainer60%
Jockey/Trainer Combo60%
Early Speed100%
Rating100%
Closing Speed80%

Record

First-up
2: 0-1-1
Track Pakenham
2: 1-0-0
Track Cranbourne
3: 0-2-1
Track Caulfield Heath
1: 0-1-0
Distance 955m
1: 0-0-1
Distance 1000m
4: 1-3-0
Distance 1100m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
5: 0-3-1
Going Soft
1: 1-0-0

Last starts

3Cranbourne955m25 Sept 2026 · 3UP BM66 HCP · GOOD41.27L
1Pakenham1000m19 Mar 2026 · 3Y FILLIES MDN-SW · SOFT5-0.4
2Caulfield Heath1000m4 Mar 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD40.1L
2Cranbourne1000m13 Feb 2026 · 3Y F MDN-SW · GOOD38L
4Pakenham1100m23 Jan 2026 · 3UP F&M MDN-SW · GOOD32.1L
2Cranbourne1000m3 Jan 2026 · MDN-SW · GOOD30.4L

Insights

Fast Early
Positive
Sectionals suggest goes hard early
Ran On Hard LS
Positive
Ran on well last start
Gap In Runs
Negative
Not raced for 37 days
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
Racing Strongly
Positive
Racing in great shape
Up In Weight
Negative
Goes up 4kg weight here

Comments

AAP

Remains fresh. Really good run coming from the back in 3yo+ (Bm66) at Cranbourne after lengthy absence. Big show.

ILB

Nice effort to run into 3rd last run at Cranbourne but up in weight. Has to be in the finish.

Solid effort when beaten just over 1l to finish third (Cranbourne) 37 days ago; has displayed improved form on last two starts and showing consistent form; this only her second handicap outing; likely to be thereabouts.

RSIS

Improved to place when 3rd beaten by 1 1/4L last start at Cranbourne but up in weight. The testing material.

6Simply SteffiScratched2––––

Career

6: 1-0-0

Rating · IRD

100

Speed map

Backmarker

BackLead

Figures

Jockey60%
Trainer100%
Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
Early Speed100%
Rating100%
Closing Speed50%

Record

First-up
2: 0-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Third-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Caulfield
2: 0-0-0
Track Sandown
1: 0-0-0
Track Flemington
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1200m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1000m
5: 1-0-0
Going Good
3: 1-0-0
Going Soft
3: 0-0-0

Last starts

5Pakenham1000m30 Oct 2026 · 3yo+ · SOFT53.8L
11Caulfield1200m27 Sept 2026 · 3yo · GOOD414.66L
6Sandown1000m9 Sept 2026 · 3yo+ · SOFT73.25L
5Flemington1000m7 Mar 2026 · 2yo · GOOD32.5L
1Cranbourne1000m20 Feb 2026 · 2Y HCP · GOOD3-1.3
7Caulfield1000m29 Nov 2025 · 2yo · SOFT62.8L

Insights

Maps Well
Positive
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 19%
Early Splits
Negative
Out of races with slow early tempos
Nice Barrier
Positive
Well drawn from gate 2
Primed
Positive
Fitter here racing on a quick back up
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Was a long way from the action in 1200m Scarborough Stakes at Caulfield. Been tested in stronger races of late but should be more competitive here.

ILB

Backing up quickly. Was $5.50 and finished 5th last start at Pakenham but has a good draw. Likely to get back in the field.

Not beaten that far at Pakenham on Friday.

RSIS

On a short back up. Started 9/2 and ran 5th last time at Pakenham but has a positive stall. Might have to make up considerable ground.

7Pure SilkJ: Damien Thornton·T: Brian Mcgrath559kg6 1 3 5 76: 1-0-1$11.00$3.70

Career

6: 1-0-1

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Offmidfield

BackLead

Figures

Jockey100%
Trainer60%
Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
Early Speed100%
Rating40%
Closing Speed40%

Record

First-up
1: 0-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Third-up
1: 1-0-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-0-1
Track Mornington
1: 0-0-0
Track CurrentTrack
1: 0-0-0
Track Pakenham
2: 0-0-0
Distance 1000m
2: 0-0-0
Distance 1114m
1: 1-0-0
Distance 1200m
2: 0-0-1
Going Good
4: 1-0-1
Going Soft
2: 0-0-0

Last starts

7Pakenham1400m12 Mar 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD43.6L
5Moe1200m22 Feb 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD42.4L
3Moe1200m25 Jan 2026 · BM56 · GOOD42.52L
1Werribee1114m12 Jan 2026 · 3UP MDN-SW · GOOD3-1
6Pakenham1000m28 Nov 2025 · 3YF MDN-SW · SOFT53.6L
4Mornington1000m10 Nov 2025 · 3YF MDN-SW · SOFT52L

Insights

Rider SR
Positive
Jockey recent POT is 18% better than Career Avg.
Jockey Booking
Positive
Damien Thornton 22% above market expected in L100 Rides
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Slow Early LS
Negative
Speed data from recent runs suggests slower early splits on avg
Back in Dist
Negative
Dropping back to a less suitable distance range
1st Up
Negative
May need this run
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Returns for second campaign (33-weeks). Not beaten far Maiden company at Mornington first-up last preparation. Could give some cheek at odds fresh in this company.

ILB

Fresh after a 33 week break. Odds of $26.00 and couldn't stay in touch when 7th last run at Pakenham and coming back in trip. Entitled to be a big price.

Finished seventh but wasn't beaten too far (3½l) over 7f at Pakenham (handicap) in March; returns from a layoff here; not hard to turn elsewhere.

RSIS

Racing fresh after a 33 week break. Started 25/1 and struggled with the pace when 7th last time at Pakenham and coming back in distance.

8Bel LupaScratched2––––

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Backmarker

BackLead

Figures

Jockey80%
Trainer60%
Jockey/Trainer Combo80%
Early Speed20%
Rating100%
Closing Speed50%

Insights

Trainer SR
Negative
Greg Eurell striking at just 7%
Trainer A2E
Negative
Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 28%
Trainer ROI
Negative
Trainers runners currently losing 36% Profit on Turnover
Maps Well
Positive
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 19%
Draw Suits
Positive
Well drawn inside
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Well back and made limited headway at Seymour first up. Better for the outing. Usually gets back. One for multiples.

ILB

Backs up quickly. At $4.40 came in 4th last start at Pakenham but has a positive barrier.

RSIS

On a quick back up. Started 10/3 and came in 4th last time at Pakenham but gets a favourable draw.

9Heidi DancerScratched5––––

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Onpace

BackLead

Figures

Jockey40%
Trainer40%
Jockey/Trainer Combo50%
Early Speed50%
Rating60%
Closing Speed40%

Insights

Blinkers On
Positive
Trainer has opted for the Blinkers on, take note

Comments

AAP

Failed to threaten at Seymour second-up at wide odds. Keener on others.

ILB

Racing on a quick back up. Started $5.50 and underwhelming when 7th last time at Kilmore.

RSIS

On a short turnaround. Was 9/2 and mediocre attempt when 7th last start at Kilmore.

10Dominant MissJ: Luke Cartwright·T: K E Horobin454kg6 6 7 9 729: 2-0-1$61.00$13.00

Career

29: 2-0-1

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Backmarker

BackLead

Figures

Jockey100%
Trainer80%
Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
Early Speed80%
Rating20%
Closing Speed40%

Record

First-up
7: 1-0-0
Second-up
5: 0-0-0
Third-up
4: 0-0-1
Fourth-up
2: 0-0-0
Track CurrentTrack
7: 0-0-0
Track Kyneton
1: 0-0-0
Track Pakenham
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1000m
13: 1-0-0
Distance 1100m
6: 1-0-1
Distance 1112m
1: 0-0-0
Going Heavy
3: 0-0-0
Going Soft
13: 2-0-1
Going Good
13: 0-0-0

Last starts

7Mornington1000m22 Oct 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD36.55L
9Mornington1000m8 June 2026 · BM66 · SOFT74.4L
7Mornington1200m25 May 2026 · 2yo+ · SOFT52.7L
6Mornington1000m10 May 2026 · 0 - 56 · SOFT63.3L
6Mornington1000m28 Apr 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD44.8L
6Cranbourne1200m10 Apr 2026 · Benchmark 62 · SOFT615.7L
7Cranbourne1200m3 Apr 2026 · 0-62 · GOOD311.4L
4Cranbourne1200m20 Mar 2026 · 3UP F&M BM62 HCP · GOOD31.7L

Insights

Jockey ROI
Positive
Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 40% in Last 100 Rides
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Maps Well
Positive
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 13%
Slow Early LS
Negative
Speed data from recent runs suggests slower early splits on avg
Gave ground LS
Negative
Faded towards the finish last time out
Dist S/R
Negative
Poor performer at the distance
Track And Dist
Negative
Has a poor record at this track and trip
Form At Track
Negative
Yet to win here

Comments

AAP

Last win was 24 Aug 2024. Ordinary performance in small field this course first run back. Unplaced from 7 starts here. Others with greater appeal.

ILB

Started at $61.00 and faded away to finish 7th last run around here. Expected to settle towards the rear. Very unlikely to shake these.

Was behind Ilovediamonds here last month when last of seven; shown only moderate recent form and a long time since her last win; others more likely.

RSIS

Was 60/1 and well beaten when 7th last time at this venue. Likely to get back.

Odds correct as at Sun 1 Nov, 3:30 pm AEDT. Odds can change.

Past meetings

Thu 22 Oct, 11:00 am AEDT · 8 races
Sat 26 Sept, 10:00 am AEST · 8 races
Thu 17 Sept, 10:00 am AEST · 8 races
Fri 4 Sept, 10:00 am AEST · 9 races