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Mornington (VIC) horses tips & previews

One race at a time: field, form guide and win/place odds for Mornington (VIC), with capture times on every price.

Meeting — Sun 1 Nov, 11:00 am AEDT

Meetings · Sun, 1 NovMornington (VIC)Change

Race 7 — Catanach's Jewellers (Bm62) 2400m · jumps

Race preview

Welcome to Mornington for race seven on the card, where a competitive field of stayers lines up for the Catanach's Jewellers Benchmark 62 Handicap over the 2400m journey. Under an overcast sky and on a good four surface, punters are looking at Mickio holding down the top spot in the win market order, closely followed by Power Pivot, Hawk Power, and Crown Of Russia rounding out the leading fancies as the field prepares for a test of stamina over the staying trip.

The story behind the market shows Mickio bringing strong recent form to the table, having streeted rivals by a big margin over 2100m at Echuca last start for trainer M J Enright and jockey Brad Rawiller. The step up to the 2400m here looks a genuine positive for this adept stayer. Meanwhile, Hawk Power comes into calculations after giving a solid chase for fourth over this exact 2400m trip at Geelong, showing enough at double figures to suggest the distance suits nicely for trainer P Koumis and rider Neil Farley.

Further down the line, Power Pivot commands respect from punters after launching the fastest overall finishing sectionals last start when placing second over 2400m at Moe. With Craig Newitt in the saddle steering from barrier one, this backmarker will look to rattle home late. Eye For An Eye maps as the sole leader from barrier five under Nadia Daniels, while Jason Warren holds a hot combination with Lachlan King aboard Stole Him, adding plenty of tactical intrigue to a fascinating staying yarn.

Race notes

  • 3yo+,BM62,BM62 HCP,Benchmark 62
  • GOOD4
  • Overcast
  • 9 runners

Shortest win price

Mickio (3), Crown Of Russia (7), and Power Pivot (9)

5.00

Most career wins

Eye For An Eye

5-2-3 from 26 starts

Speed map

Back left · leaders right

Backmarker

  • 9Power Pivot

Offmidfield

  • 2Hawk Power

Midfield

  • 5Fam Gorman
  • 11Jonquil

Offpace

  • 3Mickio
  • 7Crown Of Russia
  • 10Stole Him

Onpace

  • 4Churchill Lane

Leader

  • 1Eye For An Eye
  • Eye For An Eye · Positive

    Jockey ROI

    Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 51% in Last 100 Rides

  • Hawk Power · Positive

    Maps Well

    Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 19%

  • Mickio · Negative

    Early Splits

    Out of races with slow early tempos

  • Churchill Lane · Positive

    Hot J/T Combo

    Combo are out performing market expectations by 82%

No.RunnerBarWgtLast 5WinPlace
1Eye For An EyeJ: Nadia Daniels·T: Andrea Leek561kg1 1 6 5 1026: 5-2-3$6.00$2.05

Career

26: 5-2-3

Rating · IRD

95

Speed map

Leader

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey100%
  • Trainer100%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
  • Early Speed100%
  • Rating100%
  • Closing Speed20%

Record

  • First-up

    4: 1-0-0

  • Second-up

    3: 1-0-0

  • Third-up

    3: 0-0-0

  • Fourth-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Pakenham Synthetic

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Mornington

    3: 0-1-0

  • Track CurrentTrack

    3: 0-1-0

  • Distance 1717m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 2025m

    2: 0-0-0

  • Distance 2040m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Good

    12: 2-1-0

  • Going Heavy

    2: 1-0-0

  • Going Soft

    11: 2-1-3

Last starts

  1. 10Cranbourne2025m23 Oct 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD38.89L
  2. 5Pakenham Synthetic2200m2 Oct 2026 · 3UP BM66 HCP · SYNTHETIC7.65L
  3. 6Mornington1500m17 Sept 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD44.53L
  4. 1Hamilton3200m7 Apr 2026 · 3yo+ · HEAVY8-1.3
  5. 1Pakenham2550m2 Apr 2026 · BM66 · GOOD4-0.4
  6. 5Cranbourne2025m27 Mar 2026 · BM62 · SOFT65.7L
  7. 4Warrnambool2800m19 Mar 2026 · Barrier Trial · SOFT(6)4L
  8. 1Hamilton2400m11 Mar 2026 · Barrier Trial · SOFT(6)-0.1

Insights

  • Jockey ROI

    Positive

    Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 51% in Last 100 Rides

  • Key Rider

    Positive

    Nadia Daniels 67% above market expected in L100 Rides

  • Cold J/T Combo

    Negative

    Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races

  • Trainer ROI

    Positive

    Runners from this stable currently going at 26% POT in L100 Runners

  • Key Jockey

    Positive

    Nadia Daniels winning at 48% POT in last 100 rides

  • Fast Early

    Positive

    Sectionals suggest goes hard early

  • Gave ground LS

    Negative

    Faded towards the finish last time out

  • Well Placed

    Positive

    Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Every chance but compounded at Cranbourne. Can rebound.

ILB

Struggled with the pace when 10th last time at Cranbourne. Displays good tactical speed. Solid chance.

RP

Tenth of 12 at Cranbourne over 1m2f (handicap) last Friday; record shows he knows where the winning post is (wins-runs career record of 6-26); should be thereabouts.

RSIS

Lost ground in the run home when 10th last run at Cranbourne. Has shown early pace in races to date. Good prospects.

2Hawk PowerJ: Neil Farley·T: P Koumis261kg1 7 5 5 426: 3-4-2$6.50$2.15

Career

26: 3-4-2

Rating · IRD

89

Speed map

Offmidfield

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey20%
  • Trainer80%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo80%
  • Early Speed100%
  • Rating80%
  • Closing Speed100%

Record

  • First-up

    5: 0-1-1

  • Second-up

    4: 0-1-0

  • Third-up

    3: 0-0-0

  • Fourth-up

    2: 0-2-0

  • Track Ballarat

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Geelong

    4: 0-0-0

  • Track Canterbury

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1600m

    2: 1-0-0

  • Distance 1800m

    2: 0-0-1

  • Distance 1890m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Good

    9: 1-1-1

  • Going Heavy

    6: 0-1-1

  • Going Soft

    11: 2-2-0

Last starts

  1. 4Geelong2400m21 Oct 2026 · 3UP BM70 HCP · GOOD42.75L
  2. 5Seymour2000m11 Oct 2026 · 3yo+ · SOFT58.1L
  3. 5Ballarat2000m18 Sept 2026 · 3UP BM66 HCP · GOOD42.25L
  4. 7Geelong1765m28 Aug 2026 · 3UP BM62 HCP · SOFT76.1L
  5. 1Bendigo1600m30 July 2026 · 2UP BM66 HCP · SOFT6-1.3
  6. 7Seymour1300m19 July 2026 · 2yo+ · HEAVY96.2L
  7. 6Geelong2440m19 June 2026 · BM66 · HEAVY96.5L
  8. 4Sandown2400m3 June 2026 · 3yo+ · HEAVY84.4L

Insights

  • Maps Well

    Positive

    Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 19%

  • Early Splits

    Positive

    Has early speed. An advantage on this circuit

  • Ran On Hard LS

    Positive

    Ran on well last start

  • Draw Suits

    Positive

    Well drawn inside

  • Dist S/R

    Negative

    Poor performer at the distance

  • Form Revival

    Positive

    Turning form around with last couple

  • Well Placed

    Positive

    Drops back to a suitable class

  • Up In Weight

    Negative

    Goes up 4kg weight here

Comments

AAP

Gave solid chase in a good effort at Geelong over today's trip at double-figure odds. Well into preparation now, one for multiples.

ILB

Outpaced some runners late when 4th last time at Geelong and can find a nice position from the draw. Has a nice turn of foot. Not at all out of this race.

RP

Finished fourth beaten just under 3l at Geelong upped to this distance last week; not always shown an awful lot since winning a handicap at Bendigo in July; facing a testing assignment and one to tread carefully with.

RSIS

Kept chasing when 4th last start at Geelong and gets a favourable draw. Will be motoring home late. Will have to carry more weight. Not at all out of this race.

3MickioJ: Brad Rawiller·T: M J Enright661kg4 6 3 6 128: 4-3-4$5.00$1.80

Career

28: 4-3-4

Rating · IRD

99

Speed map

Offpace

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey40%
  • Trainer80%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo60%
  • Early Speed80%
  • Rating100%
  • Closing Speed80%

Record

  • First-up

    6: 0-0-1

  • Second-up

    5: 1-1-1

  • Third-up

    4: 0-2-0

  • Fourth-up

    3: 0-0-1

  • Track Pakenham

    2: 0-0-0

  • Track Cranbourne

    2: 0-0-0

  • Track Seymour

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1325m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1400m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 2046m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Good

    18: 4-2-2

  • Going Heavy

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Soft

    9: 0-1-2

Last starts

  1. 1Echuca2100m19 Oct 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD4-4.25
  2. 6Seymour2046m10 Sept 2026 · 3yo+ · SOFT54.2L
  3. 3Tatura1980m7 Sept 2026 · 3yo+ · SOFT71.5L
  4. 6Warracknabeal2000m15 Aug 2026 · 3UP BM56 HCP · SOFT61.4L
  5. 4Echuca1600m24 July 2026 · 2yo+ · HEAVY93.5L
  6. 8Bendigo1600m13 June 2026 · BM70 HCP · SOFT57.5L
  7. 3Bendigo1600m29 May 2026 · 2UP BM62 HCP · GOOD43.2L
  8. 5Ballarat1400m10 May 2026 · 2yo+ · SOFT63.2L

Insights

  • Early Splits

    Negative

    Out of races with slow early tempos

  • Margin LS

    Positive

    Won by a big margin last start

  • Class Rise

    Negative

    Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

Adept stayer. Streeted them at Echuca. More ground a plus. Going well and gets the nod again.

ILB

Won with a leg in the air by 4 1/4L last run at Echuca but competing at a higher grade. Good chance at a nice price.

RP

Emphatic winner at Echuca over 1m2½f (handicap) 13 days ago; one to note.

RSIS

Won very easily when winning by a margin of 4 1/4L last time at Echuca but racing in stronger company. Must respect.

4Churchill LaneJ: Jackie Beriman·T: Jason Warren758.5kg10 3 5 3 19: 1-0-2$7.50$2.35

Career

9: 1-0-2

Rating · IRD

70

Speed map

Onpace

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey60%
  • Trainer100%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
  • Early Speed20%
  • Rating40%
  • Closing Speed100%

Record

  • First-up

    2: 0-0-0

  • Second-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Third-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Fourth-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Moe

    2: 0-0-1

  • Track Mornington

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track CurrentTrack

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1728m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 2200m

    1: 1-0-0

  • Distance 1300m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Heavy

    4: 0-0-1

  • Going Soft

    3: 1-0-0

  • Going Good

    2: 0-0-1

Last starts

  1. 1Bairnsdale2200m12 Oct 2026 · 3UP MDN-SW · SOFT7-6.5
  2. 3Tatura1600m29 Sept 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD41.2L
  3. 5Moe1614m8 Sept 2026 · 3yo+ · HEAVY85.3L
  4. 3Moe1600m13 Aug 2026 · MDN-SW · HEAVY107.5L
  5. 10Bairnsdale1600m4 Aug 2026 · 3yo+ · SOFT59.55L
  6. 5Bairnsdale1600m13 July 2026 · 2yo+ · SOFT74.8L
  7. 5Sale1728m28 June 2026 · MDN-SW · HEAVY84.4L
  8. 5Wangaratta1300m14 June 2026 · MDN-SW · HEAVY104L

Insights

  • Hot J/T Combo

    Positive

    Combo are out performing market expectations by 82%

  • Stable In Form

    Positive

    Stable going well. Out performing market by 121%

  • Trainer ROI

    Positive

    Runners from this stable currently going at 95% POT in L100 Runners

  • Margin LS

    Positive

    Won by a big margin last start

  • Class Rise

    Negative

    Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

Romped in at Bairnsdale. Suited by the longer assignment now. Right in the mix again.

ILB

Made a mess of them when winning by nearly 7L last time at Bairnsdale but up against a higher level of opposition. Likely to be well placed early. Most likely not today.

RP

Has arguably shown improved form the last twice; wide-margin winner of maiden, breaking his duck at the ninth time of asking at Bairnsdale last month upped to 1m3f; has claims.

RSIS

Spaced the field to win by a margin of close to 7L last start at Bairnsdale and form has been improving over recent runs. Has early pace and positions nicely.

5Fam GormanJ: Luke Cartwright·T: Clay Beasy458.5kg11 5 11 6 339: 4-5-6$14.00$3.40

Career

39: 4-5-6

Rating · IRD

87

Speed map

Midfield

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey100%
  • Trainer40%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
  • Early Speed80%
  • Rating60%
  • Closing Speed80%

Record

  • First-up

    6: 0-0-0

  • Second-up

    5: 1-0-1

  • Third-up

    5: 1-1-0

  • Fourth-up

    4: 0-2-1

  • Track Mornington

    2: 0-0-0

  • Track Pakenham

    4: 1-0-0

  • Track Sale

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 2400m

    7: 0-1-3

  • Distance 1425m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 2100m

    3: 0-2-0

  • Going Firm

    1: 0-1-0

  • Going Good

    21: 3-1-2

  • Going Heavy

    4: 0-1-0

Last starts

  1. 3Bairnsdale2200m12 Oct 2026 · 3UP BM56 HCP · SOFT70.81L
  2. 6Mornington2050m17 Sept 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD42.36L
  3. 11Seymour2021m27 Aug 2026 · 3yo+ · HEAVY818.9L
  4. 5Pakenham Synthetic1600m3 Aug 2026 · BM62 · SYNTHETIC3L
  5. 11Sandown1800m25 Feb 2026 · 3UP BM66 HCP · SOFT58.5L
  6. 5Pakenham2000m23 Jan 2026 · BM66 · GOOD38.1L
  7. 2Sandown2100m8 Jan 2026 · 0 - 66 · GOOD40.2L
  8. 10Sandown2100m10 Dec 2025 · BM66 · GOOD46.9L

Insights

  • Jockey ROI

    Positive

    Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 40% in Last 100 Rides

  • Key Rider

    Positive

    Luke Cartwright 25% above market expected in L100 Rides

  • Cold J/T Combo

    Negative

    Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races

  • Early Splits

    Negative

    Out of races with slow early tempos

  • Ran On Hard LS

    Positive

    Ran on well last start

  • Dist S/R

    Negative

    Poor performer at the distance

  • Improved L/S

    Positive

    Improved again last start

  • Class Rise

    Negative

    Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

Last success was 9 Mar 2025. Game effort at Bairnsdale in choppy conditions. Strikes a harder race.

ILB

Managed to place 3rd last start at Bairnsdale but challenged by more formidable competitors. Respect the betting.

RP

Close up third when close behind Jonquil (Bairnsdale) over 1m3f (handicap) three weeks ago; admirably consistent; he's a serious player if reproducing most recent effort.

RSIS

Managed to run into 3rd beaten by 3/4L last start at Bairnsdale but facing a stronger group of contenders. Has some claims.

6PrecambrianScratched9––––

Rating · IRD

20

Speed map

Backmarker

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey60%
  • Trainer60%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo50%
  • Early Speed50%
  • Rating20%
  • Closing Speed60%

Insights

  • Needs To Imp

    Negative

    Finished towards the tail last start

Comments

AAP

Failed to threaten in rain affected going at Bairnsdale at longer odds. Has his first look at 2400m here. Distant place hope only.

ILB

On a short back up. Disappointing run when 9th last run at Kilmore.

RSIS

On a short back up. Average performance when 9th last run at Kilmore.

7Crown Of RussiaJ: Jamie Melham·T: D T O'Brien858kg3 13 2 7 712: 1-1-1$5.00$1.85

Career

12: 1-1-1

Rating · IRD

100

Speed map

Offpace

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey20%
  • Trainer60%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
  • Early Speed100%
  • Rating100%
  • Closing Speed80%

Record

  • First-up

    3: 0-1-0

  • Second-up

    2: 0-0-0

  • Third-up

    2: 0-0-1

  • Fourth-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Moonee Valley

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Tatura

    1: 0-1-0

  • Track Werribee

    1: 0-0-1

  • Distance 1400m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1459m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1800m

    2: 0-0-0

  • Going Good

    7: 0-0-0

  • Going Heavy

    1: 1-0-0

  • Going Soft

    4: 0-1-1

Last starts

  1. 7Kyneton1887m20 Oct 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD34.96L
  2. 7Kilmore2000m28 Sept 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD36.35L
  3. 2Tatura1600m7 Sept 2026 · 3yo+ · SOFT70.4L
  4. 13Flemington2800m25 Apr 2026 · 3yo · GOOD336.1L
  5. 3Werribee2200m11 Apr 2026 · BM56 · SOFT51.1L
  6. 5Sale1717m29 Mar 2026 · BM62 · SOFT64.3L
  7. 8Kyneton1459m13 Mar 2026 · 3UP BM56 HCP · GOOD410.9L
  8. 5Caulfield Heath1000m25 Feb 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)6.3L

Insights

  • Trainer Career

    Negative

    Trainer Career S/R is 12%

  • Rider

    Negative

    Negative rider change today

  • Cold J/T Combo

    Negative

    Combo are losing -42% POT in their L100 Races

  • Trainer A2E

    Negative

    Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 20%

  • Blinkers Off

    Positive

    Blinkers coming off this start

  • Class Rise

    Negative

    Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

Had all before him at turn and went home tamely at Kyneton. Not out of this.

ILB

Started $19.00 and average effort when 7th last start at Kyneton. Definite winning chance.

RP

Fair effort when beaten 5l, finishing seventh of nine over 1m1½f at Kyneton (handicap) two weeks ago; just the one victory on his CV and patchy form recently; makes limited appeal as this is competitive.

RSIS

At 18/1 had difficulty when 7th last run at Kyneton. Strong prospects.

8Trump CardScratched3––––

Career

29: 2-6-6

Rating · IRD

90

Speed map

Offmidfield

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey100%
  • Trainer100%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
  • Early Speed100%
  • Rating80%
  • Closing Speed40%

Record

  • First-up

    4: 1-1-1

  • Second-up

    2: 1-0-1

  • Third-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Fourth-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Beaudesert

    1: 0-1-0

  • Track Doomben

    5: 0-0-2

  • Track Ipswich

    10: 1-4-2

  • Distance 2060m

    3: 0-0-1

  • Distance 2170m

    1: 0-1-0

  • Distance 2200m

    3: 0-2-1

  • Going Soft

    12: 1-2-3

  • Going Good

    12: 1-3-1

  • Going Heavy

    5: 0-1-2

Last starts

  1. 8Moe2400m24 Sept 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD412.75L
  2. 6Warrnambool2350m3 Sept 2026 · 3UP BM62 HCP · HEAVY81.5L
  3. 5Doomben2060m5 Aug 2026 · CL3 · GOOD46.4L
  4. 8Sunshine Coast2240m19 July 2026 · BM60 · SOFT55.2L
  5. 12Ipswich2500m20 June 2026 · BM78 · SOFT55.1L
  6. 2Ipswich2200m30 May 2026 · BM68 · HEAVY94.6L
  7. 3Ipswich1980m21 May 2026 · BM60 · HEAVY91.13L
  8. 4Ipswich2150m4 May 2026 · BM68 · SOFT55.6L

Insights

  • Key Rider

    Positive

    Teodore Nugent 22% above market expected in L100 Rides

  • Hot J/T Combo

    Positive

    Combo are out performing market expectations by 155%

  • Profitable Trainer

    Positive

    Stable runners going at 26% POT in L100 Runners

  • Fast Early

    Positive

    Sectionals suggest goes hard early

  • Gap In Runs

    Negative

    Not raced for 38 days

  • Class Rise

    Negative

    Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

Finished a long way from the action 3yo+ (Bm56) at Moe. Leaning towards others here.

ILB

Started $15.00 and didn't attack the line when 8th last start at Moe and competing in a more challenging class. Jockey Teodore Nugent is in top form for this stable.

RP

Infrequent winner; behind Power Pivot at Moe when beaten 13l five weeks ago; meeting some horses in good form and he can be taken on.

RSIS

Was 14/1 and weakened under pressure when 8th last run at Moe and facing stiffer opposition. Jockey Teodore Nugent riding for trainer Andrea Leek command respect. Likely to get back.

9Power PivotJ: Craig Newitt·T: K & K Keys157.5kg12 2 2 6 213: 1-3-2$5.00$1.85

Career

13: 1-3-2

Rating · IRD

92

Speed map

Backmarker

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey20%
  • Trainer60%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo60%
  • Early Speed80%
  • Rating80%
  • Closing Speed100%

Record

  • First-up

    2: 0-0-1

  • Second-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Third-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Fourth-up

    1: 0-1-0

  • Track Ballarat

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Geelong

    2: 0-2-0

  • Track Mornington

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 2025m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 2040m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 2400m

    4: 0-2-0

  • Going Good

    5: 0-1-1

  • Going Heavy

    4: 1-1-0

  • Going Soft

    4: 0-1-1

Last starts

  1. 2Moe2400m24 Sept 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD42.75L
  2. 6Sandown2400m9 Sept 2026 · 3yo+ · SOFT75.1L
  3. 2Geelong2435m14 Aug 2026 · 3yo+ · HEAVY83L
  4. 2Geelong2400m31 July 2026 · 3UP BM62 HCP · SOFT70.2L
  5. 12Seymour2040m19 July 2026 · 3yo+ · HEAVY922.8L
  6. 5Cranbourne2025m21 June 2026 · BM66 · SOFT74L
  7. 4Moe1600m28 May 2026 · 0 - 62 · HEAVY104.2L
  8. 9Cranbourne2540m22 Nov 2025 · BM70 · GOOD36.7L

Insights

  • Fast Finisher

    Positive

    Fastest Overall Finishing Sectionals Last Start

  • Jockey Booking

    Negative

    Craig Newitt current POT is 45% below Career Avg.

  • Trainer A2E

    Negative

    Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 23%

  • Rider Poor SR

    Negative

    Jockey underperforming market expectations by 52% in L100 rides

  • Maps Well

    Positive

    Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 19%

  • Slow Early LS

    Negative

    Speed data from recent runs suggests slower early splits on avg

  • Ran On Hard LS

    Positive

    Ran on well last start

  • Draw Suits

    Positive

    Well drawn inside

Comments

AAP

Solid rally into the placings at Moe over this distance. Can play a role.

ILB

Finished strongly when 2nd beaten by 2 3/4L last start at Moe and has drawn to do little work. Will be hitting the line strongly. Testing ability against stronger contenders. Can't leave out of your calculations.

RP

Finished a decent second of 12 at Moe 38 days ago; one win to his name was achieved a fair way back.

RSIS

Claimed a spot in the top three when 2nd beaten by 2 3/4L last time at Moe and has minimal work to do from the draw. Betting is the best guide.

10Stole HimJ: Lachlan King·T: Jason Warren357kg9 8 7 3 210: 1-1-1$11.00$3.00

Career

10: 1-1-1

Rating · IRD

95

Speed map

Offpace

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey100%
  • Trainer100%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
  • Early Speed100%
  • Rating100%
  • Closing Speed80%

Record

  • First-up

    2: 1-0-0

  • Second-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Third-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Fourth-up

    1: 0-0-1

  • Track Hobart

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Mornington

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Morphettville

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 2000m

    2: 0-0-1

  • Distance 2050m

    1: 0-1-0

  • Distance 2200m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Good

    9: 1-1-1

  • Going Soft

    1: 0-0-0

Last starts

  1. 2Moe2050m18 Oct 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD31L
  2. 3Kilmore2000m28 Sept 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD31.9L
  3. 7Geelong1700m11 Sept 2026 · BM62 · GOOD43.7L
  4. 8Morphettville1544m8 Aug 2026 · CL2 · SOFT78.6L
  5. 9Mildura1400m17 July 2026 · BM66 · GOOD48L
  6. 2Pakenham Synthetic1400m7 July 2026 · Barrier Trial · SYNTHETIC0.5L
  7. 9Hobart2200m6 Feb 2026 · 3yo · GOOD48.8L
  8. 6Caulfield1800m31 Jan 2026 · 3Y BM70 · GOOD43.2L

Insights

  • Jockey ROI

    Positive

    Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 40% in Last 100 Rides

  • Hot J/T Combo

    Positive

    Combo are winning 31% POT in their L100 Races

  • Stable In Form

    Positive

    Stable going well. Out performing market by 121%

  • Trainer ROI

    Positive

    Runners from this stable currently going at 95% POT in L100 Runners

  • Ran On Hard LS

    Positive

    Ran on well last start

  • Form Revival

    Positive

    Turning form around with last couple

  • Class Rise

    Negative

    Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

Handy, knuckled down with purpose at Moe. More ground a plus. A few runs under his belt this campaign, can make his presence felt.

ILB

Did well to run into 2nd beaten by 1L last start at Moe but competing in a higher grade. Form has been improving over recent runs. Forward showing expected.

RP

Ran well to finish runner-up (beaten 1l) over 1m2f at Moe (handicap) two weeks ago; been struggling to get his head in front recently so has questions to answer.

RSIS

Good effort to place 2nd beaten by 1L last time at Moe but up in class. Displaying improvement over the past few runs. Forward showing expected.

11JonquilJ: Dylan Dunn·T: Brett Scott956kg2 7 1 4 212: 1-2-1$20.00$3.80

Career

12: 1-2-1

Rating · IRD

79

Speed map

Midfield

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey100%
  • Trainer80%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
  • Early Speed20%
  • Rating60%
  • Closing Speed80%

Record

  • First-up

    2: 0-0-0

  • Second-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Third-up

    1: 0-1-0

  • Fourth-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Bairnsdale

    2: 0-1-0

  • Track Moe

    2: 1-1-0

  • Track Kilmore

    2: 0-0-0

  • Distance 2200m

    1: 0-1-0

  • Distance 1200m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1462m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Good

    4: 0-0-0

  • Going Heavy

    3: 1-1-0

  • Going Soft

    5: 0-1-1

Last starts

  1. 2Bairnsdale2200m12 Oct 2026 · 3UP BM56 HCP · SOFT70.06L
  2. 4Kilmore2000m28 Sept 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD32.4L
  3. 1Moe2069m8 Sept 2026 · 3yo+ · HEAVY8-1.25
  4. 7Seymour2021m27 Aug 2026 · 3yo+ · HEAVY86.4L
  5. 2Moe2050m13 Aug 2026 · MDN-SW · HEAVY101.25L
  6. 6Bairnsdale1600m13 July 2026 · 2yo+ · SOFT75.8L
  7. 6Bendigo1400m25 June 2026 · MDN-SW · SOFT65.8L
  8. 4Mornington2025m17 Dec 2025 · 3yo+ · GOOD41.3L

Insights

  • Fast Finisher

    Positive

    Fastest Overall Finishing Sectionals Last Start

  • Jockey ROI

    Positive

    Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 38% in Last 100 Rides

  • Hot J/T Combo

    Positive

    Combo are out performing market expectations by 81%

  • Maps Poorly

    Negative

    Map position not suited at this track, under performing market expectations by 36%

  • Awkward Draw

    Negative

    May find this draw awkward

  • Ready To Fire

    Positive

    Shown something in last few runs

  • Class Rise

    Negative

    Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

Terrific effort when just shaded in rain affected going at Bairnsdale 12 Oct. Unexposed at trip. Could give some cheek at odds.

ILB

Narrowly beaten last start at Bairnsdale but facing a stronger grade. Can show up in this at odds.

RP

Consistent performer; beaten narrowly over 1m3f at Bairnsdale (handicap) finished just ahead of Fam Gorman last month; has to prove this longer trip is what she wants and others have more pressing claims.

RSIS

Missed by a narrow margin last time at Bairnsdale but stepping up to a higher level.

Odds correct as at . Odds can change.

Past meetings

  • Thu 22 Oct, 11:00 am AEDT · 8 races
  • Sat 26 Sept, 10:00 am AEST · 8 races
  • Thu 17 Sept, 10:00 am AEST · 8 races
  • Fri 4 Sept, 10:00 am AEST · 9 races