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Mornington (VIC) horses tips & previews

One race at a time: field, form guide and win/place odds for Mornington (VIC), with capture times on every price.

Meeting — Sun 1 Nov, 11:00 am AEDT

Meetings · Sun, 1 NovMornington (VIC)Change

Race 3 — McLeod Trees Mdn Plate 1200m · jumps

Race preview

Welcome to Mornington for the Mcleod Trees Mdn Plate over the 1200m trip. The track is currently rated a good 4 under overcast skies, with the jump timed for 2:15 pm AEDT. Looking over the early win market order, punters have zeroed in on Life's Uncertainty sitting right at the head of affairs, closely followed by Big Kapow, Weasel Sea, and Lavancher rounding out the leading fancies in the yarn. It shapes up as an intriguing maiden where experience clashes with some interesting newcomers ready to make their mark on the track.

Diving into the form behind those shorter prices, Weasel Sea presents a compelling case for punters after stringing together consistent efforts, including a solid third at Bairnsdale over 1200m where it settled close and ran on well. Prepared by Jason Warren who is currently outperforming market expectations, Weasel Sea profiles very nicely here under Jamie Mott from barrier 11. Meanwhile, Big Kapow comes in for Rory Hunter with Jake Noonan in the saddle from barrier 8, having put in a fair shift when fourth on a heavy deck at Sale over this distance. Big Kapow is backing up quickly and sectionals suggest it goes hard early, which ties in nicely with its leader speed map.

Adding a few more threads from the data pack, the debutant Life's Uncertainty commands plenty of attention as a sizeable purchase out of a stakes-placed mare who won six races, stepping out for Jerome Hunter with Craig Newitt steering from barrier 6 on the back of solid jumpout form. Down the order, Lavancher represents Julius Sandhu with Beau Mertens taking the mount from barrier 3, holding some claims after a Seymour debut where it was well held but far from disgraced on a soft track. With speed groups showing Big Kapow, Weasel Sea, and Lavancher clashing early up on the pace, this 1200m contest promises plenty of early pressure and makes for a fascinating betting race.

Race notes

  • 3yo+,MDN-SW,Maiden
  • GOOD4
  • Overcast
  • 11 runners

Shortest win price

Life's Uncertainty (7)

3.60

Speed map

Back left · leaders right

Backmarker

  • 12Graceful Mist
  • 13Lady Of Lubeck

Offmidfield

  • 3Duke Of Oman
  • 14Think Sassy

Offpace

  • 4San Pueblo

Firststart

  • 2Buffalo Milk
  • 7Life's Uncertainty
  • 11Subscription

Leader

  • 1Big Kapow
  • 5Weasel Sea
  • 6Lavancher
  • Big Kapow · Positive

    Ideal Map

    Map position exceeding market by 2%

  • Buffalo Milk · Negative

    Trainer SR

    Wendy Kelly striking at just 7%

  • Duke Of Oman · Positive

    Rider SR

    Jockey recent POT is 40% better than Career Avg.

  • San Pueblo · Negative

    Jockey Booking

    Melea Castle current POT is 52% below Career Avg.

No.RunnerBarWgtLast 5WinPlace
1Big KapowJ: Jake Noonan·T: Rory Hunter859.5kg6 5 2 5 46: 0-2-0$3.80$1.45

Career

6: 0-2-0

Rating · IRD

94

Speed map

Leader

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey20%
  • Trainer60%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
  • Early Speed100%
  • Rating80%
  • Closing Speed100%

Record

  • First-up

    2: 0-2-0

  • Second-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Third-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Moe

    1: 0-1-0

  • Track Caulfield Heath

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Mornington

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1100m

    1: 0-1-0

  • Distance 1200m

    3: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1000m

    2: 0-1-0

  • Going Heavy

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Good

    5: 0-2-0

Last starts

  1. 4Sale1200m25 Oct 2026 · 3UP MDN-SW · HEAVY101.85L
  2. 5Cranbourne1200m9 Oct 2026 · 4UP MDN-SW · GOOD32.85L
  3. 2Moe1100m24 Sept 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD40.4L
  4. 5Mornington1000m28 Apr 2026 · 3Y MDN-SW · GOOD42.2L
  5. 6Caulfield Heath1200m18 Mar 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD43.1L
  6. 2Pakenham1000m26 Feb 2026 · 3Y MDN SW · GOOD40.4L

Insights

  • Ideal Map

    Positive

    Map position exceeding market by 2%

  • Fast Early

    Positive

    Sectionals suggest goes hard early

  • Ran On Hard LS

    Positive

    Ran on well last start

  • Ready To Strike

    Positive

    Can be rewarded for recent consistent form

  • Primed

    Positive

    Fitter here racing on a quick back up

Comments

AAP

Backing up quickly. Not disgraced on a soft deck at Sale over this distance. Has a big say here.

ILB

Backs up quickly. Started at $4.80 and ran past a few when 4th last run at Sale on a heavy surface. Should be rolling forward early from the wide barrier. Strong chance to be considered.

RP

Finished fourth seven days ago albeit only beaten just under 2l (Sale); not yet off the mark in six attempts although has finished second; not been able to get his head in front lately so easy to oppose.

RSIS

Backs up quickly. Started 4/1 and closed off nicely when 4th last run at Sale on a heavy surface. Has the necessary pace to mitistall the wide draw. Worth a lot of thought in this race.

2Buffalo MilkJ: Thomas Stockdale·T: Ms W Kelly559.5kg–$51.00$6.50

Rating · IRD

77

Speed map

Firststart

Figures

  • Jockey20%
  • Trainer40%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
  • Early Speed50%
  • Rating40%
  • Closing Speed50%

Insights

  • Trainer SR

    Negative

    Wendy Kelly striking at just 7%

  • Cold J/T Combo

    Negative

    Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races

  • Trainer Recent

    Negative

    Stable runners are currently underperforming market by 36%

  • Still Learning

    Negative

    No race experience

  • Blinkers On

    Positive

    Trainer has opted for the Blinkers on, take note

Comments

AAP

Bon Aurum 4yo lining up for his first official race start. Placed in most recent jumpout. Look to market for a further guide.

ILB

First start at the races 4yo by Bon Aurum for Wendy Kelly. Follow the money.

RP

Gelded already; first rules outing for this four-year-old son of Bon Aurum; has to be respected with signs of encouragement in profile.

RSIS

Initial race appearance 4yo by Bon Aurum for trainer Wendy Kelly.

3Duke Of OmanJ: Luke Cartwright·T: Ms L Tolson & Ms L Proctor759.5kg7 2 8 8 56: 0-1-0$34.00$4.80

Career

6: 0-1-0

Rating · IRD

76

Speed map

Offmidfield

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey100%
  • Trainer80%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo60%
  • Early Speed100%
  • Rating40%
  • Closing Speed80%

Record

  • First-up

    2: 0-0-0

  • Second-up

    1: 0-1-0

  • Third-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Pakenham

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Seymour

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Kyneton

    2: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1218m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1400m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1000m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Good

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Heavy

    2: 0-1-0

  • Going Soft

    3: 0-0-0

Last starts

  1. 5Kyneton1218m20 Oct 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD34.9L
  2. 8Kyneton1103m8 Oct 2026 · 3UP MDN-SW · SOFT55.88L
  3. 8Seymour1400m7 Aug 2026 · 3UP MDN-SW · SOFT75.8L
  4. 2Moe1217m21 July 2026 · 2yo+ · HEAVY92.3L
  5. 7Sandown1200m8 July 2026 · 2UP MDN-SW · HEAVY88L
  6. 5Pakenham1000m29 May 2025 · 2UP MDN-SW · SOFT53.6L

Insights

  • Rider SR

    Positive

    Jockey recent POT is 40% better than Career Avg.

  • Key Rider

    Positive

    Luke Cartwright 25% above market expected in L100 Rides

  • Maps Well

    Positive

    Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 13%

  • Fast Early

    Positive

    Sectionals suggest goes hard early

  • Class Rise

    Negative

    Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

Settled back and passed a few late in the 3yo+ Mdn Plate at Kyneton. Keener on others.

ILB

Was $31.00 and edged past some when finishing 5th last time at Kyneton. Significant improvement required.

RP

Six-race maiden but has managed to finish second; not beaten too far when fifth at Kyneton last month; easy enough to take on.

RSIS

Was 30/1 and inched into 5th last run at Kyneton.

4San PuebloJ: Melea Castle·T: Marcus Fahler259.5kg9 3 4 5 710: 0-1-1$21.00$3.90

Career

10: 0-1-1

Rating · IRD

79

Speed map

Offpace

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey20%
  • Trainer80%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
  • Early Speed100%
  • Rating40%
  • Closing Speed40%

Record

  • First-up

    3: 0-1-0

  • Second-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Third-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Fourth-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Mornington

    3: 0-0-1

  • Track CurrentTrack

    3: 0-0-1

  • Track Pakenham

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1212m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1400m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1000m

    3: 0-0-0

  • Going Good

    8: 0-0-1

  • Going Heavy

    1: 0-1-0

  • Going Soft

    1: 0-0-0

Last starts

  1. 7Cranbourne1000m16 Oct 2026 · 4yo+ · GOOD36.36L
  2. 5Pakenham1400m19 Feb 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD44.6L
  3. 4Kyneton1103m31 Jan 2026 · 3UP MDN-SW · GOOD32.2L
  4. 3Mornington1200m23 Dec 2025 · 3yo+ · GOOD42.3L
  5. 9Mornington1200m5 Dec 2025 · 3yo+ · GOOD36.6L
  6. 9Moe1100m16 Nov 2025 · 4UP MDN-SW · GOOD45L
  7. 4Mornington1000m23 Oct 2025 · 3UP MDN-SW · SOFT51.7L
  8. 5Sandown1000m1 Oct 2025 · 3UP MDN-SW · GOOD44.7L

Insights

  • Jockey Booking

    Negative

    Melea Castle current POT is 52% below Career Avg.

  • Hot J/T Combo

    Positive

    Combo are out performing market expectations by 124%

  • Rider Poor SR

    Negative

    Jockey underperforming market expectations by 80% in L100 rides

  • Draw Suits

    Positive

    Well drawn inside

Comments

AAP

Finished well held at Cranbourne off long break. Will be fitter second-up. Looks more a place prospect.

ILB

At $26.00 didn't find the line when 7th last time at Cranbourne but has a positive alley. Rough chance.

RP

Still winless and defeats stacking up (ten on the bounce); found life tough when 6l back in seventh over 5f at Cranbourne (maiden) last month; easy enough to take on.

RSIS

Was 25/1 and didn't find the line when 7th last start at Cranbourne but has a positive stall.

5Weasel SeaJ: Jamie Mott·T: Jason Warren1159.5kg3 3 2 2 37: 0-3-4$4.60$1.70

Career

7: 0-3-4

Rating · IRD

100

Speed map

Leader

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey60%
  • Trainer100%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo60%
  • Early Speed100%
  • Rating100%
  • Closing Speed80%

Record

  • First-up

    2: 0-1-1

  • Second-up

    1: 0-1-0

  • Third-up

    1: 0-0-1

  • Track Kilmore

    1: 0-1-0

  • Track Cranbourne

    1: 0-0-1

  • Track Ararat

    1: 0-0-1

  • Distance 1100m

    3: 0-2-1

  • Distance 1200m

    1: 0-0-1

  • Distance 1000m

    3: 0-1-2

  • Going Good

    3: 0-2-1

  • Going Soft

    4: 0-1-3

Last starts

  1. 3Bairnsdale1200m12 Oct 2026 · 3UP MDN-SW · SOFT72.7L
  2. 2Kilmore1100m28 Sept 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD32.75L
  3. 2Hamilton1100m14 Sept 2026 · 3UP MDN-SW · SOFT62L
  4. 3Cranbourne1000m24 Apr 2026 · 3UP MDN-SW · GOOD42.6L
  5. 3Seymour1000m13 Apr 2026 · 3Y MDN-SW · SOFT52.3L
  6. 2Yarra Valley1000m15 Mar 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD40.4L
  7. 3Ararat1100m3 Mar 2026 · MDN-SW · SOFT71L

Insights

  • Hot Trainer

    Positive

    Jason Warren in good form, out performing market 121%

  • Trainer ROI

    Positive

    Runners from this stable currently going at 95% POT in L100 Runners

  • Fast Early

    Positive

    Sectionals suggest goes hard early

  • Blinkers Off

    Positive

    Blinkers coming off this start

  • Class Rise

    Negative

    Racing in stronger company

  • Honest

    Positive

    Finishing in the money lately

Comments

AAP

Keeps racing well. Settled close, couldn't match winner but ran on for third at Bairnsdale over today's trip. Profiles well.

ILB

Managed to place 3rd last run at Bairnsdale. Has the speed to overcome the wide alley. Been in the money 3 from 3 attempts this preparation. Looks set to run a big race.

RP

String of creditable efforts to his name of late and has shown some recent improvement; went down by just under 3l when third (Bairnsdale) last month; passed over as regularly been coming up a bit short lately.

RSIS

Finished well when 3rd beaten by 2 3/4L last start at Bairnsdale. Has the early pace to burn across from the wide stall. Smart type.

6LavancherJ: Beau Mertens·T: Julius Sandhu358kg71: 0-0-0$6.50$2.15

Career

1: 0-0-0

Rating · IRD

80

Speed map

Leader

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey20%
  • Trainer60%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo80%
  • Early Speed80%
  • Rating60%
  • Closing Speed40%

Record

  • First-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Seymour

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1200m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Soft

    1: 0-0-0

Last starts

  1. 7Seymour1200m11 Oct 2026 · 3Y MDN-SW · SOFT57.2L

Insights

  • Trainer Career

    Negative

    Trainer Career S/R is 6%

  • Jockey Booking

    Negative

    Less suitable jockey engaged

  • Trainer A2E

    Negative

    Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 26%

  • Class Rise

    Negative

    Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

Well held but far from disgraced on debut at Seymour at longer odds 11 Oct. Experience a positive. Can play a role.

ILB

Jumped at $21.00 and finished 7th last run at Seymour but was a debutant last start. Marginal chance.

RP

Couldn't land a blow on his debut at Seymour at 20-1 three weeks ago; must make above-average progress to figure.

RSIS

At 20/1 ran 7th last time at Seymour but having second career run.

7Life's UncertaintyJ: Craig Newitt·T: Jerome Hunter658kg–$3.60$1.40

Rating · IRD

79

Speed map

Firststart

Figures

  • Jockey20%
  • Trainer100%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
  • Early Speed50%
  • Rating40%
  • Closing Speed50%

Insights

  • Hot J/T Combo

    Positive

    Combo are out performing market expectations by 67%

  • Still Learning

    Negative

    No race experience

Comments

AAP

$110k purchase. Out of a stakes-placed mare who won six races. By Doubtland and making debut off solid jumpout form. Big watch.

ILB

Debutant 3yo by Doubtland for Jerome Hunter. Watch early betting.

RP

First start under rules for this son of Doubtland; strong contender as some good aspects to his profile.

RSIS

First start at the races 3yo by Doubtland for trainer Jerome Hunter.

8LonneganScratched15––––

Career

1: 0-0-1

Rating · IRD

20

Speed map

Leader

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey20%
  • Trainer100%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
  • Early Speed80%
  • Rating60%
  • Closing Speed80%

Record

  • First-up

    1: 0-0-1

  • Track Echuca

    1: 0-0-1

  • Distance 1000m

    1: 0-0-1

  • Going Good

    1: 0-0-1

Last starts

  1. 3Echuca1000m19 Oct 2026 · 3Y MDN-SW · GOOD42.6L

Insights

  • Rider

    Negative

    Negative rider change today

  • Profitable Trainer

    Positive

    Stable runners going at 14% POT in L100 Runners

  • Ran On Hard LS

    Positive

    Ran on well last start

  • Raceday Experience

    Positive

    Wiser for debut run

  • Class Rise

    Negative

    Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

Acquitted self well with debut placing at Echuca 19 Oct. Took valuable lessons. Key player with even breaks.

ILB

Produced an eye catching run when 3rd last start at Echuca and was on debut last time.

RP

Not beaten far on his debut at Echuca at 6-1 last month; in the mix if reproducing initial effort.

RSIS

Caught the eye when 3rd last time at Echuca and having second race start.

9Red TideScratched5––––

Rating · IRD

20

Speed map

Backmarker

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey100%
  • Trainer60%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo80%
  • Early Speed60%
  • Rating40%
  • Closing Speed100%

Insights

  • Trainer SR

    Negative

    Greg Eurell striking at just 7%

  • Trainer Recent

    Negative

    Stable runners are currently underperforming market by 30%

  • Trainer Form

    Negative

    Stable out of form, losing 38% Profit on Turnover

  • Slow Early LS

    Negative

    Speed data from recent runs suggests slower early splits on avg

  • Primed

    Positive

    Fitter here racing on a quick back up

Comments

AAP

Well back and made limited headway at Cranbourne at second appearance. All the better, sound claims.

ILB

On a short turnaround. Jumped at $19.00 and not up to standard when 7th last time at Pakenham.

RSIS

On a short back up. Started 18/1 and below par when 7th last time at Pakenham.

10Saint WilloScratched12––––

Rating · IRD

20

Speed map

Backmarker

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey40%
  • Trainer100%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo50%
  • Early Speed50%
  • Rating60%
  • Closing Speed100%

Insights

  • 1st Up

    Negative

    May need this run

Comments

AAP

Returns for second campaign (18-weeks). Wasn't all that far from the action on debut at Bendigo when drifting in the betting 25 Jun. Experience a positive.

ILB

On a quick turnaround. Started $6.50 and came in 6th last start at Kilmore.

RSIS

Backing up quickly. At 11/2 finished 6th last time at Kilmore.

11SubscriptionJ: Dylan Dunn·T: David & Coral Feek958kg–$26.00$4.40

Rating · IRD

73

Speed map

Firststart

Figures

  • Jockey100%
  • Trainer100%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
  • Early Speed50%
  • Rating40%
  • Closing Speed50%

Insights

  • Rider SR

    Positive

    Jockey recent POT is 38% better than Career Avg.

  • Cold J/T Combo

    Negative

    Combo are losing -49% POT in their L100 Races

  • Profitable Trainer

    Positive

    Stable runners going at 12% POT in L100 Runners

  • Hot Jockey

    Positive

    Dylan Dunn in hot recent form, out performing market expectation by 53%

  • Watch Betting

    Negative

    If supported, follow in

Comments

AAP

$50k purchase. Out of a stakes-placed mare who won three races. Unraced 3yo by Tivaci and out of the Savabeel mare Magazine. Placed in recent jumpout. One to watch at this stage.

ILB

Tivaci 3yo having first race start for David And Coral Feek. Watch betting.

RP

New Zealander bred; first time on the track; related to Grade 3 winner Feminino; gelded already; ought to be of interest.

RSIS

3yo by Tivaci having initial appearance for David And Coral Feek.

12Graceful MistJ: Teodore Nugent·T: Nicole Dickson157.5kg3 7 9 12 923: 0-1-2$126.00$15.00

Career

23: 0-1-2

Rating · IRD

70

Speed map

Backmarker

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey40%
  • Trainer80%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
  • Early Speed80%
  • Rating20%
  • Closing Speed40%

Record

  • First-up

    7: 0-0-1

  • Second-up

    5: 0-0-0

  • Third-up

    4: 0-1-0

  • Fourth-up

    3: 0-0-1

  • Track Mornington

    5: 0-0-1

  • Track Terang

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Avoca

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1000m

    9: 0-0-2

  • Distance 1200m

    7: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1203m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Good

    13: 0-0-1

  • Going Heavy

    3: 0-1-0

  • Going Soft

    6: 0-0-1

Last starts

  1. 9Cranbourne1000m16 Oct 2026 · 4yo+ · GOOD38.86L
  2. 12Cranbourne1300m16 July 2026 · 2yo+ · HEAVY913.9L
  3. 9Moe1217m3 July 2026 · 2yo+ · HEAVY1012.5L
  4. 7Great Western1200m24 Jan 2026 · 4UP MDN-SW · SOFT510.3L
  5. 3Yarra Valley1000m13 Jan 2026 · 3UP MDN-SW · GOOD41.5L
  6. 8Terang1200m2 Jan 2026 · 4UP MDN-SW · GOOD34.9L
  7. 10Mornington1200m23 Dec 2025 · 3yo+ · GOOD47.6L
  8. 9Cranbourne1000m12 Dec 2025 · 3yo+ · GOOD39.5L

Insights

  • Cold J/T Combo

    Negative

    Combo are under performing market expectations by -20%

  • Gave ground LS

    Negative

    Faded towards the finish last time out

  • Nice Barrier

    Positive

    Well drawn from gate 1

  • Dist S/R

    Negative

    Poor performer at the distance

Comments

AAP

Failed to threaten (wide barrier) at Cranbourne first up as a despised outsider. Hard to make a case.

ILB

Jumped at $151.00 and lost ground in the run home when 9th last time at Cranbourne but can save some energy from the draw. Cannot have today.

RP

Finished ninth of 12 over 5f at Cranbourne (maiden) last month; yet to open her account after 23 starts; unlikely to achieve more than just a supporting role.

RSIS

Odds of 150/1 and didn't threaten when 9th last run at Cranbourne but drawn the rails. Trying to win after 23 runs.

13Lady Of LubeckJ: Damien Thornton·T: Simon Zahra457.5kg5 62: 0-0-0$6.00$2.10

Career

2: 0-0-0

Rating · IRD

81

Speed map

Backmarker

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey100%
  • Trainer100%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
  • Early Speed20%
  • Rating60%
  • Closing Speed80%

Record

  • First-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Second-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Bendigo

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Pakenham

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1100m

    2: 0-0-0

  • Going Good

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Soft

    1: 0-0-0

Last starts

  1. 6Bendigo1100m29 May 2026 · 3YF MDN-SW · GOOD43.2L
  2. 5Pakenham1100m15 May 2026 · 3YF MDN-SW · SOFT52.7L

Insights

  • Jockey ROI

    Positive

    Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 18% in Last 100 Rides

  • Cold J/T Combo

    Negative

    Combo are losing -38% POT in their L100 Races

  • Trainer ROI

    Positive

    Runners from this stable currently going at 34% POT in L100 Runners

  • 1st Up

    Negative

    May need this run

  • Class Rise

    Negative

    Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

Kicks off second campaign (22-weeks). Could improve out to 1200m. Not out of it fresh in this company.

ILB

Fresh after a break. Odds of $4.60 and struggled when 6th last time at Bendigo. Might be ridden for luck. Watch the betting.

RP

Not had much racing - third outing here; fair effort when beaten just over 3l, finishing sixth of nine over 5½f at Bendigo (maiden) in May; back from an absence here; she can be taken on.

RSIS

Resuming after a break. Odds of 7/2 and had difficulty when 6th last run at Bendigo. Likely to settle back in the field. Could feature here.

14Think SassyJ: Lauren Burke·T: Melanie Bullard1057.5kg4 9 8 8 96: 0-0-0$126.00$15.00

Career

6: 0-0-0

Rating · IRD

72

Speed map

Offmidfield

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey20%
  • Trainer100%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
  • Early Speed80%
  • Rating40%
  • Closing Speed40%

Record

  • First-up

    3: 0-0-0

  • Second-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Sale

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Cranbourne

    2: 0-0-0

  • Track Kyneton

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1200m

    2: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1300m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1411m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Good

    5: 0-0-0

  • Going Soft

    1: 0-0-0

Last starts

  1. 9Bairnsdale1200m12 Oct 2026 · 3UP MDN-SW · SOFT713.97L
  2. 8Kyneton1454m9 Oct 2025 · 3UP MDN-SW · GOOD310.45L
  3. 8Sale1411m14 Sept 2025 · 4yo+ · GOOD37.2L
  4. 9Yarra Valley1514m21 Jan 2025 · Maiden · GOOD415.26L
  5. 4Cranbourne1300m4 Jan 2025 · Maiden · GOOD32.75L
  6. 5Cranbourne1200m20 Dec 2024 · Maiden · GOOD310.25L

Insights

  • Cold J/T Combo

    Negative

    Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races

  • Ideal Map

    Positive

    Map position exceeding market by 2%

  • Slow Early LS

    Negative

    Speed data from recent runs suggests slower early splits on avg

  • Needs To Imp

    Negative

    Finished towards the tail last start

  • Class Rise

    Negative

    Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

Dropped out to last and never sighted at Bairnsdale for new trainer. Modest career figures and very hard to recommend.

ILB

Started at $151.00 and didn't threaten when 9th last time at Bairnsdale. The large claim from Lauren Burke helps. Hard to see this being competitive today.

RP

Far from exposed but attempting to open her account at the seventh time of asking; last of nine (Bairnsdale) last month (behind Weasel Sea, dropped back to this trip) on debut for this trainer; unlikely to achieve more than just a supporting role.

RSIS

Started 150/1 and was well beaten when 9th last time at Bairnsdale. Lauren Burke takes a large claim.

15He's A DandyScratched9––––

Career

5: 0-0-0

Rating · IRD

75

Speed map

Backmarker

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey40%
  • Trainer100%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo80%
  • Early Speed100%
  • Rating40%
  • Closing Speed80%

Record

  • First-up

    2: 0-0-0

  • Second-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Sha Tin

    2: 0-0-0

  • Track Mornington

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track CurrentTrack

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1200m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1400m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1000m

    3: 0-0-0

  • Going Good

    4: 0-0-0

  • Going Soft

    1: 0-0-0

Last starts

  1. 5Mornington1000m22 Oct 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD35.02L
  2. 7Bendigo1000m4 Oct 2026 · 3UP MDN-SW · SOFT68.2L
  3. 14Sha Tin1400m1 Feb 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD22.3L
  4. 10Sha Tin1200m21 Jan 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD7.3L
  5. 5Sha Tin1050m13 Jan 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD5.5L
  6. 8Sha Tin1200m29 Dec 2025 · Barrier Trial · GOOD7.8L
  7. 9Conghua1000m1 Dec 2025 · Barrier Trial · GOOD4L
  8. 11Happy Valley1000m2 Nov 2025 · 3yo+ · GOOD5.3L

Insights

  • Profitable Trainer

    Positive

    Stable runners going at 46% POT in L100 Runners

  • Class Rise

    Negative

    Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

Third start in Australia. Form to date uninspiring. Sent back to last and safely held in the small field this venue. Others more persuasive.

ILB

Inched into 5th last time around here.

RP

Beaten 5l here over 5f (maiden) last week; winless in three starts overseas.

RSIS

Moved through the field into 5th last time here.

Odds correct as at . Odds can change.

Past meetings

  • Thu 22 Oct, 11:00 am AEDT · 8 races
  • Sat 26 Sept, 10:00 am AEST · 8 races
  • Thu 17 Sept, 10:00 am AEST · 8 races
  • Fri 4 Sept, 10:00 am AEST · 9 races