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Mornington (VIC) horses tips & previews

One race at a time: field, form guide and win/place odds for Mornington (VIC), with capture times on every price.

Meeting — Sun 1 Nov, 11:00 am AEDT

Meetings · Sun, 1 NovMornington (VIC)Change

Race 4 — Quayclean Mdn Plate 1000m · jumps

Race preview

Welcome to Mornington for the Quayclean Mdn Plate over 1000m on a good four surface with overcast skies above us. Punters eyeing off the early win market have gravitated towards Royal Tea holding the mantle up top, closely followed by Sealand, Rockbourg, and Yes It's Time shaping up right behind them. It is a fascinating three-year-old and upwards fillies and mares maiden where the yarn of the race centers around a mix of debutants and those seeking a change of luck.

Taking a look under the hood at the form for those shorter in the market, Sealand for Lloyd Kennewell brings a five-start campaign including a solid minor placing at Sale two back before compounding at Ballarat over a longer trip, and dropping back to 1000m here could suit. Meanwhile, Rockbourg resumes after a lengthy spell following a debut third at Albury where she ran on for the minors, giving Rachael Cunningham's charge some valuable raceday experience though she maps as a backmarker.

For those hunting further down the win market or looking at the debutants, Royal Tea catches the eye stepping out for Alexander Rae with Lachlan Neindorf aboard, having taken out a recent jumpout to suggest an immediate impact is on the cards. With several first-starters like Yes It's Time stepping out on their home track with jumpout experience under their belt, the race sets up as a tricky puzzle where keeping an eye on the market clues is vital for us punters.

Race notes

  • 3yo+,F&M MDN,Maiden
  • GOOD4
  • Overcast
  • 10 runners

Shortest win price

Royal Tea (11)

2.05

Speed map

Back left · leaders right

Firststart

  • 3Philly Idol
  • 6Shalwedash
  • 11Royal Tea
  • 12Yes It's Time

Backmarker

  • 4Rockbourg

Offpace

  • 5Sealand

Leader

  • 7Spirit Of Omaha
  • 9Exclusive Punt
  • 13Imperial Meeting
  • 14Congress Of Vienna
  • Philly Idol · Negative

    Trainer Recent

    Camp struggling with S/R just 3%

  • Rockbourg · Positive

    Fast Finisher

    Fastest Overall Finishing Sectionals Last Start

  • Sealand · Negative

    Rider

    Negative rider change today

  • Shalwedash · Positive

    Jockey ROI

    Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 18% in Last 100 Rides

No.RunnerBarWgtLast 5WinPlace
1BalticScratched9––––

Career

3: 0-0-0

Rating · IRD

78

Speed map

Leader

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey40%
  • Trainer80%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo50%
  • Early Speed50%
  • Rating40%
  • Closing Speed20%

Record

  • First-up

    2: 0-0-0

  • Second-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Ballarat

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Pakenham

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Sale

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1000m

    2: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1005m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Good

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Heavy

    2: 0-0-0

Last starts

  1. 13Sale1005m28 June 2026 · MDN-SW · HEAVY87.6L
  2. 9Ballarat1000m12 June 2026 · 2Y MDN-SW · HEAVY810.2L
  3. 6Pakenham1000m26 Feb 2026 · 3Y MDN SW · GOOD410.3L

Insights

  • Gave ground LS

    Negative

    Faded towards the finish last time out

  • Resuming

    Negative

    Poor strike rate when first up

Comments

AAP

Resuming (18-weeks). Struggled in first two campaigns. Needs to show more.

ILB

Racing fresh today after a break. Started $71.00 and looked outclassed when 13th last time at Sale. Priced to finish behind most.

RP

Yet to get off the mark in three attempts (sixth her best finish); finished towards the rear of 14 (Sale) in June; returns from a layoff here; unlikely to achieve more than just a supporting role.

RSIS

First run back after a break. Odds of 70/1 and didn't attack the line when 13th last time at Sale on a heavy surface.

2Immortal TruthScratched8––––

Career

8: 0-2-1

Rating · IRD

86

Speed map

Offpace

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey100%
  • Trainer100%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
  • Early Speed100%
  • Rating60%
  • Closing Speed40%

Record

  • First-up

    3: 0-1-0

  • Second-up

    1: 0-1-0

  • Third-up

    1: 0-0-1

  • Fourth-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Ballarat

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Mornington

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track CurrentTrack

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 975m

    1: 0-0-1

  • Distance 1000m

    6: 0-2-0

  • Distance 1009m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Good

    7: 0-1-1

  • Going Soft

    1: 0-1-0

Last starts

  1. 7Bendigo1000m17 Oct 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD39.3L
  2. 8Ballarat1000m24 May 2026 · MDN-SW · GOOD47.1L
  3. 7Mornington1000m28 Apr 2026 · 3Y MDN-SW · GOOD46.7L
  4. 3Swan Hill975m12 Apr 2026 · MDN-SW · GOOD34.3L
  5. 2Yarra Valley1000m24 Mar 2026 · 3yo+ · SOFT52L
  6. 7Pakenham1000m12 Mar 2026 · 3Y MDN-SW · GOOD46.6L
  7. 6Yarra Valley1009m25 Oct 2025 · 3Y MDN-SW · GOOD45.6L
  8. 2Bairnsdale1000m12 Oct 2025 · 3yo+ · GOOD31.3L

Insights

  • Dist S/R

    Negative

    Poor performer at the distance

Comments

AAP

Handy but gave away tamely at Bendigo first run back. Strips fitter and takes a 2kg claim. Not out of it.

ILB

Odds of $16.00 and couldn't stay in touch when 7th last time at Bendigo. Nadia Daniels and Will Ben & Jd Hayes are usually competitive together. Has some claims.

RP

Beaten 9l when seventh of nine at Bendigo last month; form has an uneven look to it and yet to open her account after eight starts; hard enough to fancy.

RSIS

Started 15/1 and was well beaten when 7th last run at Bendigo. Jockey Nadia Daniels and trainer Will Ben & Jd Hayes must be respected as a team. Could feature here.

3Philly IdolJ: Lucinda Boyd·T: Jessica Pateman658kg–$26.00$3.90

Rating · IRD

78

Speed map

Firststart

Figures

  • Jockey100%
  • Trainer20%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
  • Early Speed50%
  • Rating40%
  • Closing Speed50%

Insights

  • Trainer Recent

    Negative

    Camp struggling with S/R just 3%

  • Trainer Recent

    Negative

    Stable runners are currently underperforming market by 51%

  • Market Watch

    Negative

    Keep eye on betting moves

Comments

AAP

Rebel Dane racemare who has obviously needed time. Won most recent jumpout. Market watch advised.

ILB

First appearance at the races 4yo by Rebel Dane for Jessica Pateman. Watch early betting.

RP

Sire's progeny have shown a preference for softer goings; first time on the track; strong contender with signs of encouragement in profile.

RSIS

4yo first starter sired by Rebel Dane for trainer Jessica Pateman.

4RockbourgJ: Jake Noonan·T: Rachael Cunningham158kg31: 0-0-1$9.00$2.45

Career

1: 0-0-1

Rating · IRD

100

Speed map

Backmarker

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey20%
  • Trainer20%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
  • Early Speed80%
  • Rating100%
  • Closing Speed80%

Record

  • First-up

    1: 0-0-1

  • Track Albury

    1: 0-0-1

  • Distance 1175m

    1: 0-0-1

  • Going Good

    1: 0-0-1

Last starts

  1. 3Albury1175m20 Jan 2025 · Maiden · GOOD42.72L

Insights

  • Fast Finisher

    Positive

    Fastest Overall Finishing Sectionals Last Start

  • Trainer SR

    Negative

    Rachael Cunningham striking at just 4%

  • Jockey Booking

    Negative

    Less suitable jockey engaged

  • Hot J/T Combo

    Positive

    Combo are out performing market expectations by 48%

  • Trainer Recent

    Negative

    Stable runners are currently underperforming market by 48%

  • Slow Early LS

    Negative

    Speed data from recent runs suggests slower early splits on avg

  • Ran On Hard LS

    Positive

    Ran on well last start

  • Draw Suits

    Positive

    Well drawn inside

Comments

AAP

Resuming after a (92-weeks) spell. Ex Ms D Scott in NSW. No match but ran on for the minors at Albury on debut when supported 20 Jan 2025. Experience a positive.

ILB

First up from a spell of 92 weeks. Made some ground late when 3rd last run at Albury and was a debutant last start. Coming to a new trainer. Good tough competitor that can be supported.

RP

Not beaten far on her debut (6f, Albury) at 12-5 last January; first start for new yard; long absence to overcome; could improve but still hard to see her winning here.

RSIS

First run back from a 92 week break. Ran on strongly when 3rd last time at Albury and having second race start. Change in trainer. Will go close.

5SealandJ: Jamie Melham·T: Lloyd Kennewell958kg2 8 7 2 95: 0-2-0$3.90$1.40

Career

5: 0-2-0

Rating · IRD

98

Speed map

Offpace

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey20%
  • Trainer60%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo60%
  • Early Speed100%
  • Rating100%
  • Closing Speed20%

Record

  • First-up

    2: 0-1-0

  • Second-up

    1: 0-1-0

  • Third-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Ballarat

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Pakenham

    1: 0-1-0

  • Track Sale

    1: 0-1-0

  • Distance 1100m

    4: 0-2-0

  • Distance 1200m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Soft

    1: 0-1-0

  • Going Synthetic

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Good

    3: 0-1-0

Last starts

  1. 9Ballarat1200m18 Sept 2026 · 3UP F&M MDN-SW · GOOD49.32L
  2. 2Sale1100m21 Aug 2026 · 4yo+ · SOFT60.3L
  3. 7Pakenham Synthetic1100m20 July 2026 · 2yo+ · SYNTHETIC4.1L
  4. 8Werribee1100m17 Feb 2026 · 3UP MDN-SW · GOOD48.4L
  5. 2Pakenham1100m29 Jan 2026 · 3Y FILLIES MDN-SW · GOOD40.8L

Insights

  • Rider

    Negative

    Negative rider change today

  • Map Suits

    Positive

    Suitable Map, where runners in this position outperform market by 2%

  • Fresh

    Positive

    Freshened up. Had a break of 42-60 days

Comments

AAP

Every chance but compounded at Ballarat. Reverts to shorter trip and effort two back keeps her in the picture.

ILB

Let up. Started $10.00 and didn't find the line when 9th last time at Ballarat. Has the potential to improve sharply. Can go through the gears. Well respected contender.

RP

Signs of improvement on last two runs; finished ninth, beaten 9l, over 6f at Ballarat (maiden) 44 days ago; others are preferred.

RSIS

Freshened for this. At 9/1 faded away to finish 9th last time at Ballarat. Looking for an improved run. Has a great burst of pace late. Gets a solid chance here.

6ShalwedashJ: Damien Thornton·T: Simon Zahra358kg–$12.00$2.90

Rating · IRD

78

Speed map

Firststart

Figures

  • Jockey100%
  • Trainer100%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
  • Early Speed50%
  • Rating40%
  • Closing Speed50%

Insights

  • Jockey ROI

    Positive

    Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 18% in Last 100 Rides

  • Cold J/T Combo

    Negative

    Combo are losing -38% POT in their L100 Races

  • Profitable Trainer

    Positive

    Stable runners going at 34% POT in L100 Runners

  • First Starter

    Positive

    Not raced previously

Comments

AAP

Out of a stakes-placed mare. Late bloomer heading to the races off a couple of solid jumpout placings. Good draw. Odds may prove best guide here.

ILB

Career debut 4yo by Shalaa for Simon Zahra. Market as guide.

RP

Sire can inject some quality; first competitive racecourse experience; shouldn't be far away.

RSIS

Shalaa 4yo having first start for Simon Zahra.

7Spirit Of OmahaJ: Luke Cartwright·T: G Eurell258kg5 11 73: 0-0-0$11.00$2.75

Career

3: 0-0-0

Rating · IRD

78

Speed map

Leader

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey100%
  • Trainer60%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
  • Early Speed20%
  • Rating40%
  • Closing Speed20%

Record

  • First-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Second-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Third-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Geelong

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Kilmore

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Cranbourne

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1212m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1243m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1000m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Soft

    2: 0-0-0

  • Going Good

    1: 0-0-0

Last starts

  1. 7Kilmore1212m15 May 2026 · 3Y MDN-SW · SOFT67.8L
  2. 11Geelong1243m1 May 2026 · 3YF MDN-SW · GOOD412.7L
  3. 5Cranbourne1000m17 Apr 2026 · 3YF MDN-SW · SOFT610.7L

Insights

  • Jockey ROI

    Positive

    Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 40% in Last 100 Rides

  • Trainer SR

    Negative

    Greg Eurell striking at just 7%

  • Jockey Booking

    Positive

    Luke Cartwright 25% above market expected in L100 Rides

  • Cold J/T Combo

    Negative

    Combo are losing -72% POT in their L100 Races

  • Trainer A2E

    Negative

    Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 29%

  • Gave ground LS

    Negative

    Faded towards the finish last time out

  • Drawn In

    Positive

    Suited drawn down low

  • Dist Drop

    Negative

    Distance decrease from last start

Comments

AAP

Kicks off second campaign (24-weeks). Was a long way off being competitive in her first campaign and they've taken time bringing her back. Need to see more from her now.

ILB

Fresh today. Started at $61.00 and didn't attack the line when 7th last start at Kilmore but has a positive draw. Back in trip. Won't find this easy.

RP

Yet to get off the mark in three attempts (fifth her best finish); first-time blinkers didn't work over 6f at Kilmore (maiden) when beaten 8l (seventh of nine) six months ago; has had some time off; makes limited appeal.

RSIS

Racing fresh today after a break. Started 60/1 and faded to finish 7th last time at Kilmore but has a good draw. Will be dropping in distance.

8Duchess XeniaScratched10––––

Rating · IRD

20

Speed map

Leader

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey60%
  • Trainer40%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo50%
  • Early Speed50%
  • Rating50%
  • Closing Speed20%

Insights

  • Gave ground LS

    Negative

    Faded towards the finish last time out

Comments

AAP

Had no answers when the pressure went on at Ballarat debut 9 Oct. Looking elsewhere at this stage.

ILB

Jumped at $13.00 and tailed off to finish 9th last start at Ballarat but was on debut last time.

RSIS

Odds of 12/1 and didn't threaten when 9th last time at Ballarat but having second career run.

9Exclusive PuntJ: Chelsea Thompson·T: Clayton Douglas556.5kg5 5 43: 0-0-0$19.00$3.70

Career

3: 0-0-0

Rating · IRD

82

Speed map

Leader

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey60%
  • Trainer80%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
  • Early Speed80%
  • Rating60%
  • Closing Speed80%

Record

  • First-up

    2: 0-0-0

  • Second-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Mornington

    2: 0-0-0

  • Track CurrentTrack

    2: 0-0-0

  • Track Moe

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1000m

    3: 0-0-0

  • Going Good

    2: 0-0-0

  • Going Soft

    1: 0-0-0

Last starts

  1. 4Mornington1000m22 Oct 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD35L
  2. 5Moe1000m24 Sept 2026 · 3Y MDN-SW · GOOD49.25L
  3. 5Mornington1000m25 May 2026 · 2yo+ · SOFT54L

Insights

  • Cold J/T Combo

    Negative

    Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races

  • Maps Well

    Positive

    Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 13%

  • Slow Early LS

    Negative

    Speed data from recent runs suggests slower early splits on avg

  • Well Placed

    Positive

    Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Unable to make an impression this course second-up. Sharper now, sound claims.

ILB

Jumped at $51.00 and inched into 4th last run at the track. The large claim from Chelsea Thompson helps. Needs to find a lot more.

RP

Not disgraced when fourth of seven last week; is passed over.

RSIS

Started 50/1 and advanced late into 4th last start at this track. Chelsea Thompson provides some weight relief.

10Pragmatic LadyScratched15––––

Career

4: 0-0-0

Rating · IRD

77

Speed map

Offpace

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey100%
  • Trainer100%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo60%
  • Early Speed80%
  • Rating40%
  • Closing Speed40%

Record

  • First-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Second-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Third-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Fourth-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Cranbourne

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Donald

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Pakenham Synthetic

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1000m

    2: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1200m

    2: 0-0-0

  • Going Good

    2: 0-0-0

  • Going Synthetic

    2: 0-0-0

Last starts

  1. 4Cranbourne1000m16 Oct 2026 · 3Y MDN-SW · GOOD36L
  2. 10Donald1200m12 Sept 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD48.7L
  3. 5Pakenham Synthetic1200m24 Aug 2026 · MDN-SW · SYNTHETIC4.2L
  4. 5Ballarat Synthetic1000m6 Aug 2026 · MDN-SW · SYNTHETIC1.8L

Insights

  • Rider SR

    Positive

    Jockey recent POT is 38% better than Career Avg.

  • Well Placed

    Positive

    Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Ordinary performance in small field at Cranbourne over this distance. At best, a place hope.

ILB

Started at $101.00 and finished 4th last time at Cranbourne. Can't have on what it has been showing.

RP

Found life tough when 6l back in fourth (Cranbourne) 16 days ago; unlikely to achieve more than just a supporting role.

RSIS

At 100/1 finished 4th last run at Cranbourne.

11Royal TeaJ: Lachlan Neindorf·T: Alexander Rae756.5kg–$2.05$1.18

Rating · IRD

84

Speed map

Firststart

Figures

  • Jockey20%
  • Trainer100%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
  • Early Speed50%
  • Rating60%
  • Closing Speed50%

Insights

  • Hot J/T Combo

    Positive

    Combo are out performing market expectations by 92%

  • Trainer ROI

    Positive

    Runners from this stable currently going at 38% POT in L100 Runners

  • On Debut

    Positive

    First race start

Comments

AAP

Newcomer by Royal Meeting and out of the O'Lonhro mare O' So Hazy. Won most recent jumpout. Can make an immediate impact here.

ILB

3yo first starter sired by Royal Meeting for trainer Alex Rae. Lachlan Neindorf is highly regarded. Watch the betting.

RP

First start under rules for this three-year-old daughter of Royal Meeting; has to be respected.

RSIS

Career debut 3yo by Royal Meeting for trainer Alex Rae. Jockey Lachlan Neindorf is a strong choice aboard. Respect the betting.

12Yes It's TimeJ: Jye Mcneil·T: Amy & Ash Yargi456.5kg–$11.00$2.75

Rating · IRD

84

Speed map

Firststart

Figures

  • Jockey100%
  • Trainer40%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
  • Early Speed50%
  • Rating60%
  • Closing Speed50%

Insights

  • Trainer Recent

    Negative

    Camp struggling with S/R just 7%

  • Cold J/T Combo

    Negative

    Combo are losing -59% POT in their L100 Races

  • Trainer Recent

    Negative

    Stable runners are currently underperforming market by 33%

  • On Debut

    Positive

    First race start

Comments

AAP

Yes Yes Yes filly heading to the races with plenty of jumpout experience. Home track advantage. Market may prove strongest guide.

ILB

First start at the races 3yo by Yes Yes Yes for Amy Yargi & Ash Yargi. Betting is the best guide.

RP

This daughter of Yes Yes Yes makes first rules appearance; must be considered.

RSIS

Amy Yargi & Ash Yargi trained 3yo by Yes Yes Yes having first start. Market as guide.

13Imperial MeetingJ: Lauren Burke·T: Logan Mcgill1058kg6 11 9 84: 0-0-0$126.00$12.00

Career

4: 0-0-0

Rating · IRD

75

Speed map

Leader

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey20%
  • Trainer60%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
  • Early Speed100%
  • Rating40%
  • Closing Speed40%

Record

  • First-up

    3: 0-0-0

  • Second-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Mornington

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track CurrentTrack

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Pakenham

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1000m

    3: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1108m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Soft

    4: 0-0-0

Last starts

  1. 8Bendigo1000m4 Oct 2026 · 3UP MDN-SW · SOFT616.95L
  2. 9Kyneton1108m28 Mar 2026 · 3yo+ · SOFT56L
  3. 11Pakenham1000m19 Mar 2026 · 3Y FILLIES MDN-SW · SOFT55.4L
  4. 6Mornington1000m10 Nov 2025 · 3YF MDN-SW · SOFT510.8L

Insights

  • Rider

    Negative

    Negative rider change today

  • Cold J/T Combo

    Negative

    Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races

  • Trainer A2E

    Negative

    Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 24%

  • Fast Early

    Positive

    Sectionals suggest goes hard early

  • Well beaten LS

    Negative

    Not competitive last run

  • Well Placed

    Positive

    Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Freshened after returning. Still learning the craft. Yet to hit her straps. Hard to warm to here.

ILB

Odds of $101.00 and weakened to finish 8th last time at Bendigo. Large claim helps. Too much luck needed to come into contention.

RP

Was eighth of nine, beaten 17l, (Bendigo) last month.

RSIS

Odds of 100/1 and struggled with the pace when 8th last start at Bendigo. Large claim helps.

14Congress Of ViennaJ: Melea Castle·T: Marcus Fahler858kg7 10 8 5 85: 0-0-0$26.00$4.00

Career

5: 0-0-0

Rating · IRD

70

Speed map

Leader

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey20%
  • Trainer80%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
  • Early Speed100%
  • Rating20%
  • Closing Speed20%

Record

  • First-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Second-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Third-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Fourth-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Pakenham

    2: 0-0-0

  • Track Cranbourne

    2: 0-0-0

  • Track Werribee

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1000m

    3: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1400m

    2: 0-0-0

  • Going Good

    2: 0-0-0

  • Going Heavy

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Soft

    2: 0-0-0

Last starts

  1. 8Pakenham1400m22 May 2026 · 3Y MDN-SW · SOFT69.6L
  2. 5Pakenham1400m8 May 2026 · 3Y MDN-SW · HEAVY813L
  3. 8Cranbourne1000m24 Apr 2026 · 3UP MDN-SW · GOOD410.6L
  4. 10Werribee1000m11 Apr 2026 · 3UP MDN-SW · SOFT510.1L
  5. 7Cranbourne1000m13 Feb 2026 · 3Y F MDN-SW · GOOD318.5L

Insights

  • Current SR

    Negative

    Rider’s recent POT is returning 52% lower than Career Avg.

  • Hot J/T Combo

    Positive

    Combo are out performing market expectations by 124%

  • Rider Poor SR

    Negative

    Jockey underperforming market expectations by 80% in L100 rides

  • Ideal Map

    Positive

    Map position exceeding market by 2%

  • Fast Early

    Positive

    Sectionals suggest goes hard early

  • Gave ground LS

    Negative

    Faded towards the finish last time out

  • Dist Drop

    Negative

    Distance decrease from last start

  • 1st Up

    Negative

    May need this run

Comments

AAP

Returns for second campaign (23-weeks). Not a lot to crow about from first campaign and has obviously needed more time. Record leaves little confidence and looks well held.

ILB

Resumes after a break. Jumped at $201.00 and faded away to finish 8th last time at Pakenham and coming back in trip. Has early speed and positions nicely. Looking elsewhere.

RP

Held when eighth of ten over 7f at Pakenham (maiden) in May; layoff to overcome.

RSIS

Resumes after a break. Started 200/1 and couldn't stay in touch when 8th last time at Pakenham and dropping back to a shorter trip. Likely to be well placed early.

15Miss BelajoScratched13––––

Rating · IRD

79

Speed map

Firststart

Figures

  • Jockey60%
  • Trainer20%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
  • Early Speed20%
  • Rating40%
  • Closing Speed50%

Insights

  • Cold J/T Combo

    Negative

    Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races

  • Fitness

    Positive

    At peak fitness backing up

  • Watch Betting

    Negative

    If supported, follow in

  • Class Rise

    Negative

    Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

Dam won five races. Fierce Impact racemare who has obviously needed time. Looked smart winning only jumpout. Alley makes it tough but betting holds the key.

ILB

Fierce Impact 4yo having first race appearance for Bernadette Gafa. Watch the market.

RP

Held 11th of 12 but was making her first appearance at Traralgon at 25-1 yesterday; scope to improve; should be better for that run; was due to run at Traralgon Saturday.

RSIS

Bernadette Gafa trained 4yo by Fierce Impact on debut.

Odds correct as at . Odds can change.

Past meetings

  • Thu 22 Oct, 11:00 am AEDT · 8 races
  • Sat 26 Sept, 10:00 am AEST · 8 races
  • Thu 17 Sept, 10:00 am AEST · 8 races
  • Fri 4 Sept, 10:00 am AEST · 9 races