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Mornington (VIC) horses tips & previews

One race at a time: field, form guide and win/place odds for Mornington (VIC), with capture times on every price.

Meeting — Sun 1 Nov, 11:00 am AEDT

Meetings · Sun, 1 NovMornington (VIC)Change

Race 8 — Louvretec Melbourne (Bm66) 2000m · jumps

Race preview

Mornington hosts a Benchmark 66 handicap over two grand at 5:00 pm AEDT under overcast skies on a Good 4 track. Sixty Grand heads the market, with Cable Dancer and Mickidabeel next in line. It's a competitive enough field where recent form and map position matter plenty. Sixty Grand won in a thriller at Morphettville last time out—a nose decision—and followed that with a close second at Mornington itself on a Soft 5, finishing fastest. Cable Dancer, meanwhile, comes off a run at Seymour where he got back but wasn't disgraced when second-up, and the form reader's instinct says he strips fitter. Mickidabeel has been racing consistently but folded at Geelong last start, a cautionary note against backing him here.

Cable Dancer sits in barrier 6 under Beau Mertens for Charlotte Littlefield, carrying 62 kilos. His career line reads 43 starts for six wins and six placings—solid mid-range form. The insight flags that Mertens is less suitable for this ride, and historically Cable Dancer ducks out of races with slow early tempo. The rating is 91. Sixty Grand, by contrast, is third-up and has already shown he can deliver at this distance; his two recent efforts at Morphettville and Mornington tell the story of a horse building into the race. At 59.5 kilos from barrier 9 with Lachlan Neindorf, he posted the fastest finishing sectionals last start and the form comment suggests he is a genuine threat again. The speedMap shows Octane Reign as the leader from barrier 2, Dylan Dunn in the saddle for Jason Warren, and the combo data is bullish—outperforming market expectations by 145 percent in their last 100 races. That's worth noting.

Foix, rated 87, was a winner at his only other Mornington start and has map position well-suited to the track. He ran third at Cranbourne on a Good 4 over longer ground, and the form line suggests he is not out of contention despite the negatives around the rider change. In the speed groups, Octane Reign leads from the front, while Cable Dancer and Mickidabeel sit in midfield. Ardashir, Nothingelsematters, and Foix are offpace runners who will need to navigate the tempo, and both Ardashir and Cable Dancer have shown they can struggle in slow early races. The narrative here favours either the leader, if early pressure suits, or a finisher like Sixty Grand who demonstrated the pace to close strongly at Mornington just last time.

Race notes

  • 3yo+,BM66,BM66 HCP,Benchmark 66
  • GOOD4
  • Overcast
  • 10 runners

Shortest win price

Sixty Grand (8)

3.50

Most career wins

Cable Dancer

6-6-10 from 43 starts

Speed map

Back left · leaders right

Backmarker

  • 2Cable Dancer
  • 7Pure Grunt

Offmidfield

  • 6Nothingelsematters
  • 9Foix
  • 12Notre Citrouille

Midfield

  • 5Ardashir
  • 8Sixty Grand

Offpace

  • 10Mickidabeel

Onpace

  • 4Port Philip

Leader

  • 3Octane Reign

  • Cable Dancer · Negative

    Jockey Booking

    Less suitable jockey engaged

  • Octane Reign · Positive

    Jockey ROI

    Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 38% in Last 100 Rides

  • Port Philip · Negative

    Trainer Recent

    Camp struggling with S/R just 6%

  • Ardashir · Negative

    Cold J/T Combo

    Combo are losing -25% POT in their L100 Races

No.RunnerBarWgtLast 5WinPlace
1Best TimeScratched11––––

Rating · IRD

82

Speed map

Offmidfield

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey100%
  • Trainer80%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
  • Early Speed100%
  • Rating60%
  • Closing Speed80%

Insights

  • Jockey ROI

    Positive

    Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 35% in Last 100 Rides

  • Jockey Booking

    Positive

    Holly Durnan 34% above market expected in L100 Rides

  • Hot J/T Combo

    Positive

    Combo are out performing market expectations by 2601%

  • Maps Poorly

    Negative

    Map position not suited at this track, under performing market expectations by 36%

  • Wide Draw

    Negative

    Likely to get caught wide

  • Well Placed

    Positive

    Drops back to a suitable class

  • Weight Increase

    Negative

    Rises 6kg now

Comments

AAP

Raced in back half and was never in a position to mount a serious challenge at Caulfield. Not out of this.

ILB

Came in 7th last time at Caulfield but up against weaker rivals. Hoping that the added weight won't hurt.

RSIS

Finished 7th last time at Caulfield but drops back to a suitable grade. Has more weight to carry.

2Cable DancerJ: Beau Mertens·T: Charlotte Littlefield662kg4 6 2 3 743: 6-6-10$6.50$2.35

Career

43: 6-6-10

Rating · IRD

91

Speed map

Backmarker

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey20%
  • Trainer80%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
  • Early Speed80%
  • Rating80%
  • Closing Speed100%

Record

  • First-up

    6: 1-0-1

  • Second-up

    5: 0-1-1

  • Third-up

    4: 0-0-1

  • Fourth-up

    4: 1-1-0

  • Track Ballarat Synthetic

    2: 0-2-0

  • Track Geelong

    2: 0-0-0

  • Track Kilmore

    1: 0-1-0

  • Distance 1600m

    3: 0-0-1

  • Distance 1800m

    2: 0-1-0

  • Distance 2100m

    3: 0-1-1

  • Going Good

    30: 6-2-8

  • Going Soft

    9: 0-1-1

  • Going Synthetic

    4: 0-3-1

Last starts

  1. 7Seymour2000m11 Oct 2026 · 3yo+ · SOFT53.57L
  2. 3Bendigo1600m20 Sept 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD32.75L
  3. 2Sandown3000m15 Apr 2026 · 3yo+ · SOFT50.8L
  4. 6Caulfield2400m4 Apr 2026 · 3UP BM78 HCP · GOOD32.7L
  5. 4Caulfield2400m21 Mar 2026 · BM78 · GOOD42L
  6. 5Stony Creek2100m8 Mar 2026 · Open · SOFT65.3L
  7. 9Caulfield Heath1600m18 Feb 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD46.3L
  8. 8Pakenham2000m13 Dec 2025 · 3UP BM78 HCP · GOOD44.5L

Insights

  • Jockey Booking

    Negative

    Less suitable jockey engaged

  • Early Splits

    Negative

    Out of races with slow early tempos

  • Track Exp

    Positive

    Knows this track well

Comments

AAP

Got back and wasn't totally disgraced at Seymour when second-up. Stripping fitter, goes into wider exotics.

ILB

Was $7.00 and ran 7th last start at Seymour. Expecting improvement here. Capable of winning this.

RP

Fair effort when beaten 3½l, finishing seventh of 13 upped to this distance at Seymour last month; has won here; others appeal more as meeting a number of horses who are in good form.

RSIS

Odds of 6/1 and came in 7th last start at Seymour. Has the talent to rebound quickly. Capable type.

3Octane ReignJ: Dylan Dunn·T: Jason Warren260.5kg10 1 8 5 114: 3-0-1$9.00$2.75

Career

14: 3-0-1

Rating · IRD

88

Speed map

Leader

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey100%
  • Trainer100%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
  • Early Speed80%
  • Rating60%
  • Closing Speed100%

Record

  • First-up

    2: 0-0-0

  • Second-up

    1: 1-0-0

  • Third-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Fourth-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Seymour

    2: 1-0-0

  • Track Horsham

    1: 1-0-0

  • Track Echuca

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1017m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1200m

    3: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1300m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Good

    7: 2-0-1

  • Going Soft

    6: 0-0-0

  • Going Synthetic

    1: 1-0-0

Last starts

  1. 1Horsham1800m18 Oct 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD3-0.2
  2. 5Geelong1525m23 Sept 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD33.8L
  3. 8Seymour1429m10 Sept 2026 · 3yo+ · SOFT512.5L
  4. 1Pakenham Synthetic1400m24 Aug 2026 · 3UP BM56 HCP · SYNTHETIC-0.4
  5. 10Bendigo1300m30 July 2026 · 2UP CLASS 1 HCP · SOFT66.8L
  6. 5Pakenham Synthetic1000m7 July 2026 · Barrier Trial · SYNTHETIC4.4L
  7. 7Hobart2200m6 Feb 2026 · 3yo · GOOD42.8L
  8. 5Caulfield1800m31 Jan 2026 · 3Y BM70 · GOOD43.1L

Insights

  • Jockey ROI

    Positive

    Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 38% in Last 100 Rides

  • Hot J/T Combo

    Positive

    Combo are out performing market expectations by 145%

  • Stable In Form

    Positive

    Stable going well. Out performing market by 121%

  • Profitable Trainer

    Positive

    Stable runners going at 94% POT in L100 Runners

  • Key Jockey

    Positive

    Dylan Dunn winning at 31% POT in last 100 rides

  • Solid Run LS

    Positive

    Won last start

  • Nice Barrier

    Positive

    Well drawn from gate 2

  • Class Rise

    Negative

    Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

Knuckled down strongly from back half to salute in the 3yo+ (Bm62) Benchmark 62 1800m at Horsham. Should appreciate stepping up in distance.

ILB

Charged home to win last start at Horsham and will try to take advantage of the barrier. Should jump out and bowl along. Demonstrating upward trajectory in recent races. Not at all out of this race.

RP

Has achieved three wins from 14 career runs; narrow winner of a handicap upped to 1m1f at Horsham two weeks ago; despite that Horsham success, has questions to answer.

RSIS

Finished hard to win last run at Horsham and drawn nicely. Has plenty of early pace. Getting better in recent performances. Not at all out of this race.

4Port PhilipJ: Jake Noonan·T: Julius Sandhu460.5kg6 9 10 7 937: 5-2-2$21.00$4.00

Career

37: 5-2-2

Rating · IRD

78

Speed map

Onpace

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey40%
  • Trainer60%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
  • Early Speed100%
  • Rating40%
  • Closing Speed60%

Record

  • First-up

    8: 0-0-0

  • Second-up

    7: 2-0-1

  • Third-up

    6: 1-1-0

  • Fourth-up

    4: 1-0-0

  • Track Ipswich

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Mornington

    3: 1-0-0

  • Track CurrentTrack

    3: 1-0-0

  • Distance 1600m

    8: 1-0-0

  • Distance 1800m

    2: 0-0-0

  • Distance 2400m

    8: 1-1-0

  • Going Good

    20: 1-0-2

  • Going Heavy

    8: 3-1-0

  • Going Soft

    9: 1-1-0

Last starts

  1. 9Cranbourne2025m23 Oct 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD38.83L
  2. 7Seymour2000m11 Oct 2026 · 3yo+ · SOFT59.87L
  3. 10Bendigo1600m20 Sept 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD36.42L
  4. 9Sandown2400m16 July 2025 · 3UP BM74 HCP · SOFT510.11L
  5. 6Sandown2400m18 June 2025 · 4UP BM74 HCP · GOOD42.2L
  6. 5Caulfield2000m31 May 2025 · BM84 HCP · GOOD42.4L
  7. 10Caulfield2000m10 May 2025 · 3UP BM78 HCP · GOOD46.4L
  8. 5Mornington1600m19 Apr 2025 · BenchMark 84 · GOOD44.46L

Insights

  • Trainer Recent

    Negative

    Camp struggling with S/R just 6%

  • Trainer Recent

    Negative

    Stable runners are currently underperforming market by 27%

  • Maps Well

    Positive

    Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 13%

  • Needs To Imp

    Negative

    Finished towards the tail last start

  • Dist S/R

    Negative

    Poor performer at the distance

  • Well Placed

    Positive

    Drops back to a suitable class

  • Weight Increase

    Negative

    Rises 4kg now

Comments

AAP

Failed to threaten at Cranbourne at healthy odds. Lacks appeal here.

ILB

Started $26.00 and mediocre performance when 9th last start at Cranbourne and will have to carry extra weight. Likely to get back in the run. Will struggle to compete in this race.

RP

Finished ninth of 12 (Cranbourne) last month; has won here previously; good record under Jamie Mott (partnership reunited here); one to consider.

RSIS

Started 25/1 and sub-standard effort when 9th last start at Cranbourne and going up in weight. Prefers to settle towards the rear.

5ArdashirJ: Jabez Johnstone·T: C Maher860kg1 1 5 2 108: 2-2-0$5.00$1.95

Career

8: 2-2-0

Rating · IRD

91

Speed map

Midfield

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey60%
  • Trainer100%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo60%
  • Early Speed80%
  • Rating80%
  • Closing Speed40%

Record

  • First-up

    3: 0-1-0

  • Second-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Third-up

    1: 1-0-0

  • Fourth-up

    1: 1-0-0

  • Track Ballarat

    2: 0-0-0

  • Track Pakenham

    3: 2-0-0

  • Track Warrnambool

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 2350m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 2400m

    1: 0-1-0

  • Distance 2500m

    1: 1-0-0

  • Going Heavy

    2: 0-1-0

  • Going Soft

    1: 0-1-0

  • Going Good

    5: 2-0-0

Last starts

  1. 10Ballarat1600m9 Oct 2026 · 3UP BM66 HCP · GOOD45.85L
  2. 2Sandown2400m3 June 2026 · 3yo+ · HEAVY82L
  3. 5Warrnambool2350m5 May 2026 · 3yo+ · HEAVY83.4L
  4. 1Pakenham2500m23 Apr 2026 · 3UP BM66 HCP · GOOD4-0.2
  5. 1Pakenham2550m2 Apr 2026 · 3UP MDN-SW · GOOD4-3.3
  6. 3Caulfield Heath1500m26 Mar 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)3.8L
  7. 8Ballarat2000m10 Mar 2026 · MDN-SW · GOOD32.8L
  8. 6Pakenham1600m19 Feb 2026 · MDN-SW · GOOD45.4L

Insights

  • Cold J/T Combo

    Negative

    Combo are losing -25% POT in their L100 Races

  • Early Splits

    Negative

    Out of races with slow early tempos

  • Gave ground LS

    Negative

    Faded towards the finish last time out

  • Up In Dist

    Positive

    Racing at a more suitable distance

  • Well Placed

    Positive

    Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Sent out $13 when unable to threaten at Ballarat first run back. Better for the outing and takes a 1.5kg claim. One for exotics.

ILB

Started $13.00 and faded away to finish 10th last run at Ballarat. Should improve. Win will not surprise.

RP

Beaten 6l over 1m at Ballarat (handicap) dropped back in distance 23 days ago; has won twice in his career; it wouldn't be a surprise to see him return to the winners' enclosure and has a shout.

RSIS

Odds of 12/1 and didn't attack the line when 10th last run at Ballarat. Has the talent to rebound quickly. Good potential.

6NothingelsemattersJ: Luke Cartwright·T: Ms N Burke160kg4 3 5 1 425: 4-1-4$7.50$2.45

Career

25: 4-1-4

Rating · IRD

100

Speed map

Offmidfield

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey100%
  • Trainer100%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
  • Early Speed100%
  • Rating100%
  • Closing Speed80%

Record

  • First-up

    4: 1-0-0

  • Second-up

    3: 0-0-1

  • Third-up

    3: 0-0-1

  • Fourth-up

    2: 0-0-0

  • Track Mornington

    3: 0-0-0

  • Track CurrentTrack

    3: 0-0-0

  • Track Pakenham

    1: 0-0-1

  • Distance 1700m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 2100m

    3: 0-0-1

  • Distance 2125m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Good

    6: 0-0-1

  • Going Heavy

    2: 1-0-0

  • Going Soft

    13: 2-0-3

Last starts

  1. 4Horsham2100m18 Oct 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD33.15L
  2. 1Pakenham Synthetic2200m2 Oct 2026 · 3UP BM66 HCP · SYNTHETIC-0.15
  3. 5Mornington2000m26 Sept 2026 · 3UP BM84 HCP · SOFT52.45L
  4. 3Morphettville2250m5 Sept 2026 · 0-64 · SOFT61L
  5. 4Pakenham Synthetic2200m24 Aug 2026 · 3UP BM74 HCP · SYNTHETIC2.6L
  6. 2Pakenham Synthetic2200m3 Aug 2026 · 3yo+ · SYNTHETIC1L
  7. 9Sandown2125m8 July 2026 · 3yo+ · HEAVY85.8L
  8. 11Caulfield2000m27 June 2026 · 3yo+ · SOFT78.3L

Insights

  • Rider SR

    Positive

    Jockey recent POT is 39% better than Career Avg.

  • Trainer ROI

    Positive

    Runners from this stable currently going at 8% POT in L100 Runners

  • Early Splits

    Positive

    Has early speed. An advantage on this circuit

  • Drawn In

    Positive

    Suited drawn down low

  • Class Rise

    Negative

    Racing in stronger company

  • Weight Rise

    Negative

    Carrying 6kg more than LS

Comments

AAP

Won a 2200m Benchmark 66 at Pakenham Synthetic two back. Sound effort in grinding finish at Horsham. Well into preparation now, can play a role.

ILB

Started $8.00 and closed off nicely when 4th last time at Horsham and up against a less competitive field. Drawn well. Has to cope with a weight increase. Will go close here.

RP

Not disgraced when fourth of nine over 1m2½f at Horsham (handicap) 14 days ago; this line-up contains some strong opposition so passed over.

RSIS

Started 7/1 and advanced late into 4th last time at Horsham and stepping down to a lower level. Gets the perfect draw. Up in weight. Gets a solid chance here.

7Pure GruntJ: Luke Currie·T: K & K Keys759.5kg6 8 7 4 1217: 3-0-1$20.00$3.90

Career

17: 3-0-1

Rating · IRD

82

Speed map

Backmarker

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey20%
  • Trainer60%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
  • Early Speed80%
  • Rating60%
  • Closing Speed40%

Record

  • First-up

    5: 0-0-1

  • Second-up

    3: 1-0-0

  • Third-up

    3: 0-0-0

  • Fourth-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Cranbourne

    2: 0-0-0

  • Track Bendigo

    1: 0-0-1

  • Track Seymour

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 2040m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 2100m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 2400m

    4: 1-0-0

  • Going Good

    9: 2-0-0

  • Going Soft

    7: 0-0-1

  • Going Synthetic

    1: 1-0-0

Last starts

  1. 12Seymour2000m11 Oct 2026 · 3yo+ · SOFT57.57L
  2. 4Cranbourne1600m25 Sept 2026 · 3UP BM66 HCP · GOOD41.2L
  3. 7Sandown1300m5 Sept 2026 · 3UP BM74 HCP · SOFT76.5L
  4. 8Caulfield2400m21 Mar 2026 · BM78 · GOOD413.2L
  5. 6Stony Creek2100m8 Mar 2026 · Open · SOFT611.6L
  6. 10Caulfield Heath1600m18 Feb 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD411.8L
  7. 10Sandown1600m9 July 2025 · BM70 HCP · SOFT54.1L
  8. 8Launceston2400m26 Feb 2025 · Handicap · GOOD45.86L

Insights

  • Rider

    Negative

    Negative rider change today

  • Cold J/T Combo

    Negative

    Combo are losing -35% POT in their L100 Races

  • Trainer A2E

    Negative

    Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 24%

  • Early Splits

    Negative

    Out of races with slow early tempos

  • Gave ground LS

    Negative

    Faded towards the finish last time out

  • Imprv Needed

    Negative

    Would need to lift here to feature

Comments

AAP

Failed to threaten at Seymour over this trip at healthy odds. First time around Mornington. Leaning towards others here.

ILB

Started at $21.00 and weakened to finish 12th last start at Seymour. Gets back and needs luck. Needs to improve.

RP

Finished towards the rear of 13 (Seymour) last month upped to this distance; should not be far away.

RSIS

Started 20/1 and weakened to finish 12th last run at Seymour. Likely to get back.

8Sixty GrandJ: Lachlan Neindorf·T: M Price & M Kent Jnr959.5kg1 6 9 2 16: 2-1-0$3.50$1.45

Career

6: 2-1-0

Rating · IRD

89

Speed map

Midfield

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey20%
  • Trainer60%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo80%
  • Early Speed100%
  • Rating60%
  • Closing Speed100%

Record

  • First-up

    2: 0-0-0

  • Second-up

    1: 0-1-0

  • Third-up

    1: 1-0-0

  • Track Morphettville

    1: 1-0-0

  • Track Pakenham

    2: 0-0-0

  • Track Kyneton

    1: 1-0-0

  • Distance 1600m

    2: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1887m

    1: 1-0-0

  • Distance 2000m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Good

    4: 2-0-0

  • Going Soft

    1: 0-1-0

  • Going Synthetic

    1: 0-0-0

Last starts

  1. 1Morphettville2028m10 Oct 2026 · 0-62 · GOOD3-0.2
  2. 2Mornington2030m4 Sept 2026 · 3UP BM62 HCP · SOFT50.2L
  3. 9Pakenham Synthetic1600m16 Aug 2026 · 3UP BM62 HCP · SYNTHETIC5.1L
  4. 6Pakenham2000m26 Feb 2026 · 0-62 · GOOD45.2L
  5. 1Kyneton1887m10 Feb 2026 · MDN-SW · GOOD4-0.8
  6. 7Pakenham1600m16 Jan 2026 · 3Y MDN-SW · GOOD45.8L

Insights

  • Fast Finisher

    Positive

    Fastest Overall Finishing Sectionals Last Start

  • Rider

    Negative

    Negative rider change today

  • Fast Early

    Positive

    Sectionals suggest goes hard early

  • Solid Run LS

    Positive

    Won last start

  • Track Exp

    Positive

    Knows this track well

  • Class Rise

    Negative

    Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

Just got there in a gripping finish at at Morphettville. Take a power of beating again.

ILB

Strong effort to the line to win last run at Morphettville and form has been improving over recent runs. Finishes off strongly. Producing consistent results since resuming from a break. Watch the betting.

RP

Narrow success in a handicap at Morphettville last month; plenty of appeal.

RSIS

Stormed home to win last start at Morphettville and getting better in recent performances. Shows very good closing pace. Putting up notable efforts recently. Watch betting.

9FoixJ: Thomas Stockdale·T: C Maher559kg9 5 1 3 711: 2-1-2$6.50$2.35

Career

11: 2-1-2

Rating · IRD

87

Speed map

Offmidfield

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey20%
  • Trainer100%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
  • Early Speed80%
  • Rating60%
  • Closing Speed40%

Record

  • First-up

    4: 0-0-0

  • Second-up

    2: 0-1-0

  • Third-up

    2: 2-0-0

  • Fourth-up

    2: 0-0-2

  • Track Sandown

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Mornington

    1: 1-0-0

  • Track CurrentTrack

    1: 1-0-0

  • Distance 2060m

    2: 1-1-0

  • Distance 2500m

    1: 0-0-1

  • Distance 1300m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Soft

    5: 1-1-0

  • Going Good

    5: 1-0-2

  • Going Heavy

    1: 0-0-0

Last starts

  1. 7Cranbourne2580m16 Oct 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD33.35L
  2. 3Cranbourne2500m25 Sept 2026 · 3UP BM66 HCP · GOOD41.05L
  3. 1Mornington2030m4 Sept 2026 · 3UP BM62 HCP · SOFT5-0.2
  4. 5Sale1717m21 Aug 2026 · 3yo+ · SOFT63.3L
  5. 9Bendigo1300m30 July 2026 · 2UP CLASS 1 HCP · SOFT66.3L
  6. 8Bendigo1600m7 Sept 2025 · 3yo+ · HEAVY913.5L
  7. 3Bendigo2400m30 Oct 2024 · 3UP BM64 HCP · GOOD42.8L
  8. 1Cranbourne2060m19 Sept 2024 · Maiden · GOOD4-2.5

Insights

  • Rider

    Negative

    Negative rider change today

  • Maps Well

    Positive

    Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 13%

  • Slow Early LS

    Negative

    Speed data from recent runs suggests slower early splits on avg

  • Track Exp

    Positive

    Knows this track well

  • Well Placed

    Positive

    Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Fair performance at Cranbourne over longer test at $8. Winner at only other start at Mornington. Not out of this.

ILB

Started $8.00 and couldn't stay in touch when 7th last start at Cranbourne and down in trip. Watch betting.

RP

Not beaten that far at Cranbourne over 1m5f (handicap) last month; possesses winning form at this track; this looks a decent race so only limited appeal.

RSIS

At 7/1 lost ground in the run home when 7th last start at Cranbourne and back to a shorter distance. Respect the betting.

10MickidabeelJ: Craig Newitt·T: Aaron Laing359kg5 6 4 6 610: 2-0-1$7.50$2.45

Career

10: 2-0-1

Rating · IRD

77

Speed map

Offpace

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey20%
  • Trainer100%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo60%
  • Early Speed100%
  • Rating40%
  • Closing Speed40%

Record

  • First-up

    3: 0-0-0

  • Second-up

    2: 1-0-0

  • Third-up

    2: 1-0-0

  • Fourth-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Geelong

    2: 0-0-0

  • Track CurrentTrack

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Pakenham

    2: 1-0-0

  • Distance 1765m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 2000m

    2: 1-0-0

  • Distance 1200m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Good

    7: 2-0-1

  • Going Soft

    3: 0-0-0

Last starts

  1. 6Geelong1765m7 Oct 2026 · 3yo+ · SOFT54.21L
  2. 6Geelong1525m23 Sept 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD34L
  3. 4Mornington1200m4 Sept 2026 · 3UP BM62 HCP · SOFT53.15L
  4. 6Cranbourne2025m13 Mar 2026 · 3UP BM70 HCP · GOOD41.8L
  5. 5Pakenham2000m6 Mar 2026 · 0-66 · GOOD43.7L
  6. 1Pakenham2000m19 Feb 2026 · 0 - 62 · GOOD4-1.8
  7. 1Werribee1618m1 Feb 2026 · MDN-SW · GOOD4-0.5
  8. 6Yarra Valley1500m13 Jan 2026 · 3UP MDN-SW · GOOD45.4L

Insights

  • Jockey Booking

    Negative

    Craig Newitt current POT is 38% below Career Avg.

  • Cold J/T Combo

    Negative

    Combo are losing -24% POT in their L100 Races

  • Rider Poor SR

    Negative

    Jockey underperforming market expectations by 45% in L100 rides

  • Maps Well

    Positive

    Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 19%

  • Fast Early

    Positive

    Sectionals suggest goes hard early

  • Class Rise

    Negative

    Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

On pace but folded up quickly at Geelong. Remote place hope at best.

ILB

Started $9.50 and didn't attack the line when 6th last start at Geelong. Hard to warm to.

RP

Finished sixth but wasn't beaten too far (just over 4l) last month at Geelong upped to 1m1f; hasn't really fired since his success in a handicap at Pakenham in February; he can be taken on as this looks a fair heat.

RSIS

Was 17/2 and faded away to finish 6th last run at Geelong.

11SuperstockScratched7––––

Rating · IRD

20

Speed map

Onpace

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey40%
  • Trainer40%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo50%
  • Early Speed50%
  • Rating60%
  • Closing Speed100%

Insights

  • Improved L/S

    Positive

    Improved again last start

Comments

AAP

Made steady inroads but the winner was out of reach at Cranbourne. Can fill the minors here.

ILB

Backs up quickly. Displayed potential when winning by 1 1/4L last run at Kilmore and displaying improvement over the past few runs.

RSIS

Backing up quickly for this race. Chimed in with a win by 1 1/4L last run at Kilmore and displaying improvement over the past few runs. Producing consistent results lately.

12Notre CitrouilleJ: Lachlan King·T: R K Challis1057kg7 7 6 5 16: 1-0-0$41.00$6.00

Career

6: 1-0-0

Rating · IRD

70

Speed map

Offmidfield

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey100%
  • Trainer40%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo80%
  • Early Speed20%
  • Rating20%
  • Closing Speed100%

Record

  • First-up

    2: 0-0-0

  • Second-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Third-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Echuca

    1: 1-0-0

  • Track Donald

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Bendigo

    2: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1356m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1600m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1856m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Soft

    2: 0-0-0

  • Going Good

    3: 1-0-0

  • Going Heavy

    1: 0-0-0

Last starts

  1. 1Echuca2100m19 Oct 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD4-1
  2. 5Kyneton1856m8 Oct 2026 · 2UP MDN-SW · SOFT56.71L
  3. 6Bendigo1600m20 Sept 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD34L
  4. 7Bendigo1300m6 Sept 2026 · 4yo+ · SOFT53.7L
  5. 7Donald1356m11 July 2026 · MDN-SW · HEAVY87.4L
  6. 6Tatura850m1 Oct 2025 · Barrier Trial3.2L
  7. 9Ararat1306m27 Mar 2025 · Maiden · GOOD410.61L

Insights

  • Fast Finisher

    Positive

    Fastest Overall Finishing Sectionals Last Start

  • Jockey ROI

    Positive

    Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 39% in Last 100 Rides

  • Trainer SR

    Negative

    Bob Challis striking at just 4%

  • Trainer Recent

    Negative

    Stable runners are currently underperforming market by 34%

  • Trainer ROI

    Negative

    Trainers runners currently losing 39% Profit on Turnover

  • Maps Poorly

    Negative

    Map position not suited at this track, under performing market expectations by 36%

  • Solid Run LS

    Positive

    Won last start

  • Wide Draw

    Negative

    Likely to get caught wide

Comments

AAP

Won in decisive fashion at Echuca. Just out of his maiden and facing tougher challenge here.

ILB

Strong effort to the line to win last time at Echuca and on an upward trajectory in recent races. Matched against a stronger field. Will be a challenge.

RP

Signs of improvement on last two runs; shed maiden status at the sixth time of asking over 1m2½f at Echuca (maiden) 13 days ago, scoring by 1l; he can be taken on despite that win at Echuca.

RSIS

Stormed home to win last run at Echuca but facing formidable opponents. On an upward trajectory in recent races.

Odds correct as at . Odds can change.

Past meetings

  • Thu 22 Oct, 11:00 am AEDT · 8 races
  • Sat 26 Sept, 10:00 am AEST · 8 races
  • Thu 17 Sept, 10:00 am AEST · 8 races
  • Fri 4 Sept, 10:00 am AEST · 9 races