Shortest win price
Empire Ruler (2)
2.50
Welcome to Murray Bridge for the Coonara Mdn Plate over 1800m on a soft 5 surface with overcast skies overhead. The win market lines up with Empire Ruler sitting at the top of the order of preference, closely followed by Nunya, Swan Dance, and Ateyate holding down the next lines in early betting. It is a tricky maiden affair where plenty of these runners are searching for that elusive first victory, making for an interesting betting race as punters try to dissect the form lines.
Taking a closer look at the form behind those shorter prices, Empire Ruler comes into this off strong minor placings, having gone close at Gawler before displaying a fine change of gears to finish second at Strathalbyn over 2050m on a soft 5. Nunya is another getting plenty of attention, arriving as an ex-New Zealander on their third Australian start for the stable, having led and fought on bravely for second at Halidon after a lengthy absence to strip fitter here. Swan Dance returns for a second campaign following a fifteen-week break, having previously placed at Gawler on debut while building fitness through trials and showing solid early promise.
Further down the race shape, speed groups show Nunya, Majestic Glow, and Swan Dance heading forward among the leaders, while runners like Ateyate and Empire Ruler aim to settle midfield. Ateyate is on a quick back-up for the third run in a new stable and region, coming off a battling fourth or fifth home at Strathalbyn, and could find a nice trail from barrier two. It all points to a competitive contest where the on-pace runners will look to dictate terms early on the soft track.
Shortest win price
Empire Ruler (2)
2.50
Back left · leaders right
Backmarker
Midfield
Offpace
Leader
Ateyate · Negative
Trainer Career
Trainer Career S/R is 8%
Empire Ruler · Negative
Cold J/T Combo
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
If You Don't Mind · Negative
Cold J/T Combo
Combo are losing -20% POT in their L100 Races
Majestic Moshe · Positive
Fast Finisher
Fastest Overall Finishing Sectionals Last Start
Career
8: 0-1-0
Rating · IRD
78
Speed map
Midfield
First-up
2: 0-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Werribee
1: 0-0-0
Track Stony Creek
1: 0-1-0
Track Moe
1: 0-0-0
Distance 2050m
2: 0-0-0
Distance 2100m
1: 0-1-0
Distance 2350m
1: 0-0-0
Going Soft
2: 0-0-0
Going Good
6: 0-1-0
Trainer Career
Negative
Trainer Career S/R is 8%
Trainer A2E
Negative
Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 24%
Maps Poorly
Negative
Map position not suited at this track, under performing market expectations by 13%
Early Splits
Positive
Has early speed. An advantage on this circuit
Drawn In
Positive
Suited drawn down low
Primed
Positive
Fitter here racing on a quick back up
AAP
On a quick back-up. Third run now in new stable/region. Battled home okay at Strathalbyn second-up. All the better, sound claims.
ILB
On a quick turnaround. Started at $6.50 and passed some rivals in the late stages when 5th last start at Strathalbyn and gets a favourable alley. Potential to run into a place.
RP
He can be competitive at this level; out of the frame (beaten just under 4l in fifth) over 1m2f at Strathalbyn (maiden) a week ago; should get involved.
RSIS
Racing on a quick back up. Started 11/2 and moved through the field into 5th last run at Strathalbyn and will try to take advantage of the stall.
Career
9: 0-3-2
Rating · IRD
87
Speed map
Offpace
First-up
3: 0-0-1
Second-up
2: 0-0-1
Third-up
2: 0-1-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-1-0
Track Strathalbyn
2: 0-1-1
Track Murray Bridge
2: 0-0-1
Track CurrentTrack
2: 0-0-1
Distance 1207m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1350m
1: 0-0-1
Distance 1400m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
7: 0-2-1
Going Soft
2: 0-1-1
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Profitable Trainer
Positive
Stable runners going at 28% POT in L100 Runners
Slow Early LS
Negative
Speed data from recent runs suggests slower early splits on avg
Ran On Hard LS
Positive
Ran on well last start
Nice Barrier
Positive
Well drawn from gate 1
Primed
Positive
Fitter here racing on a quick back up
Racing Strongly
Positive
Racing in great shape
AAP
On a short back-up. A win looks close. Went close at Gawler then displayed a fine change of gears at Strathalbyn. Hard to beat.
ILB
On a quick back up. Just missed last run at Strathalbyn and gets the perfect draw. Placed at every start this preparation. Has claims.
RP
Near miss at 7-5 over 1m2f at Strathalbyn (maiden) when in front of three of these last week; knocking on the door of late and stepped up on his last two starts; can have a big say if replicating most recent run.
RSIS
Backs up quickly. Narrowly beaten last run at Strathalbyn and drawn beautifully. Has not missed the placings recently in 5 attempts. Definitely worth considering.
Career
15: 0-0-0
Rating · IRD
73
Speed map
Offpace
First-up
2: 0-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Third-up
1: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Strathalbyn
2: 0-0-0
Track CurrentTrack
3: 0-0-0
Track Gawler
2: 0-0-0
Distance 1800m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1900m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 2050m
2: 0-0-0
Going Good
6: 0-0-0
Going Heavy
2: 0-0-0
Going Soft
6: 0-0-0
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -20% POT in their L100 Races
Gave ground LS
Negative
Faded towards the finish last time out
Limited
Negative
Hasn’t featured at all in all career runs
Fitness
Positive
At peak fitness backing up
Limited
Negative
Yet to break through after 15 starts
AAP
On a quick back-up. Well tried but remains limited. Decent rise in trip when never landed a blow at Strathalbyn. Leaning towards others.
ILB
On a short turnaround. Was $31.00 and didn't attack the line when 7th last run at Strathalbyn. Hasn't fired a shot in 15 runs. Struggling this campaign. Can't entertain a bet.
RP
Held in seventh over 1m2f at Strathalbyn (maiden) seven days ago; others more appealing given the strong opposition here.
RSIS
Backing up quickly. Odds of 30/1 and faded to finish 7th last run at Strathalbyn. Yet to make an impression in 15 starts.
Career
30: 0-0-3
Rating · IRD
72
Speed map
Midfield
First-up
5: 0-0-0
Second-up
4: 0-0-0
Third-up
4: 0-0-2
Fourth-up
3: 0-0-0
Track CurrentTrack
5: 0-0-0
Track Mount Gambier
1: 0-0-0
Track Gawler
8: 0-0-2
Distance 1050m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1500m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 2000m
1: 0-0-0
Going Soft
13: 0-0-1
Going Good
13: 0-0-1
Going Heavy
4: 0-0-1
Fast Finisher
Positive
Fastest Overall Finishing Sectionals Last Start
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Ran On Hard LS
Positive
Ran on well last start
Track Stats
Negative
Tends to struggle at this track
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
AAP
Kept on for the minor spoils in skinny line-up at Balaklava. Maiden after a mountain of chances. Place.
ILB
Kept coming when 3rd beaten by 1 1/2L last time at Balaklava. Still a maiden after 29 starts. Hard to warm to at present.
RP
Finished in front of two of these over 1m at Balaklava (maiden) posting a respectable effort to finish third 14 days ago.
RSIS
Good run when placing 3rd beaten by 1 1/2L last time at Balaklava. Yet to break through after 29 starts.
Career
3: 0-2-0
Rating · IRD
91
Speed map
Leader
First-up
3: 0-2-0
Track Halidon
1: 0-1-0
Track Murray Bridge
1: 0-0-0
Track CurrentTrack
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1200m
1: 0-1-0
Distance 1380m
1: 0-1-0
Distance 1600m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
2: 0-2-0
Going Soft
1: 0-0-0
Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are winning 26% POT in their L100 Races
Maps Poorly
Negative
Map position not suited at this track, under performing market expectations by 15%
Lightly Raced
Positive
Limited race experience but shown potential
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
AAP
Ex New Zealander. Third Aus start. Led and fought on bravely for second at Halidon after lengthy absence. Strips fitter.
ILB
Gave a strong sight when 2nd beaten by 3/4L last run at Halidon and promising career start. Has good tactical speed and will be nicely positioned. Suited against these.
RP
Beaten narrowly over 7f at Halidon (maiden) where he had two of these rivals behind two weeks ago; not had much racing - fourth outing here.
RSIS
Was found wanting late when 2nd beaten by 3/4L last run at Halidon and solid career start. Has early pace and positions nicely. Solid chance.
Career
8: 0-0-0
Rating · IRD
71
Speed map
Backmarker
First-up
2: 0-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Third-up
1: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Murray Bridge
2: 0-0-0
Track CurrentTrack
2: 0-0-0
Track Gawler
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1856m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 2100m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1400m
2: 0-0-0
Going Soft
2: 0-0-0
Going Good
5: 0-0-0
Going Heavy
1: 0-0-0
Jockey ROI
Positive
Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 29% in Last 100 Rides
Jockey Booking
Positive
Andrew Stead 51% above market expected in L100 Rides
Hot Jockey
Positive
Andrew Stead in hot recent form, out performing market expectation by 51%
Early Splits
Positive
Has early speed. An advantage on this circuit
Well beaten LS
Negative
Not competitive last run
Limited
Negative
Hasn’t featured at all in all career runs
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
Not Trustworthy
Negative
May be competing at this level for some time
AAP
Finished out the back at Gawler at a mammoth price. Looks up against it.
ILB
At $101.00 sub-standard effort when 8th last time at Gawler. Yet to trouble the judge in all runs. Might have to make up considerable ground. Much prefer the look of others in this race.
RP
Behind Empire Ruler and Ateyate (runner-up and fifth) at Gawler when beaten 11l over 1m½f (maiden) three weeks ago; ought to be competitive.
RSIS
At 100/1 fairly underwhelming when 8th last run at Gawler. Yet to fire a shot in 8 starts. Might be ridden for luck.
Career
22: 0-1-3
Rating · IRD
72
Speed map
Midfield
First-up
1: 0-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-1
Third-up
1: 0-0-1
Fourth-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Morphettville
2: 0-0-0
Track Warrnambool
1: 0-0-0
Track CurrentTrack
6: 0-0-0
Distance 906m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1100m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1200m
5: 0-1-0
Going Soft
7: 0-0-1
Going Good
10: 0-0-1
Going Heavy
5: 0-1-1
Rider SR
Positive
Jockey recent POT is 20% better than Career Avg.
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -73% POT in their L100 Races
Trainer ROI
Positive
Runners from this stable currently going at 20% POT in L100 Runners
Maps Well
Positive
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 14%
Needs To Imp
Negative
Finished towards the tail last start
Track Stats
Negative
Tends to struggle at this track
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
AAP
Ridden cold and never in the picture at Horsham over longer assignment. Drops to shorter trip. Hard to warm to.
ILB
Started at $61.00 and underperformed when 8th last time at Horsham. Yet to break through after 22 starts. Needs a lot of luck to figure in the finish.
RP
Was eighth of nine, beaten 9l, at Horsham ten days ago upped to 1m2½f; is passed over with a few rivals in good form.
RSIS
Started 60/1 and average performance when 8th last start at Horsham. Hasn't broken through maiden grade after 22 starts.
Career
11: 0-0-0
Rating · IRD
71
Speed map
Offpace
First-up
3: 0-0-0
Second-up
2: 0-0-0
Third-up
2: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Clare
1: 0-0-0
Track Oakbank
2: 0-0-0
Track Halidon
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1380m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1500m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1800m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
10: 0-0-0
Going Soft
1: 0-0-0
Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are out performing market expectations by 119%
Trainer ROI
Positive
Runners from this stable currently going at 8% POT in L100 Runners
Maps Well
Positive
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 14%
Limited
Negative
Hasn’t featured at all in all career runs
Backup
Positive
Racing again inside one week
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
Limited
Negative
Yet to break through after 11 starts
AAP
On a short back-up. Well back and made limited headway at Gawler. Usually gets back. Looking elsewhere.
ILB
Backing up quickly. Started at $61.00 and came in 6th last time at Gawler. Unplaced in career. Ashlee Stone takes a large claim. This will pose a challenge.
RP
Beaten 6l into sixth over 7½f at Gawler (maiden) on Friday; this line-up contains some strong opposition so passed over.
RSIS
On a short back up. Started at 60/1 and ran 6th last run at Gawler. Hasn't fired a shot in 11 runs. Ashlee Stone takes a large claim.
Career
4: 0-0-0
Rating · IRD
70
Speed map
Midfield
First-up
2: 0-0-0
Track Murray Bridge
1: 0-0-0
Track CurrentTrack
1: 0-0-0
Track Balaklava
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1380m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1400m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 2050m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
1: 0-0-0
Going Soft
3: 0-0-0
Trainer Recent
Negative
Camp struggling with S/R just 5%
Rider
Negative
Negative rider change today
Trainer A2E
Negative
Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 43%
Well beaten LS
Negative
Not competitive last run
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
AAP
Shown little to date. Unfancied in all runs and performed accordingly. Others more persuasive.
ILB
Odds of $31.00 and disappointing display when 7th last start at Halidon. Struggle to recommend.
RP
This just her fifth race; seventh beaten 8l at Halidon over 7f (maiden) two weeks ago; may have to settle for supporting role.
RSIS
At 30/1 not up to scratch when 7th last time at Halidon.
Career
14: 0-1-0
Rating · IRD
70
Speed map
Offpace
First-up
1: 0-1-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Third-up
1: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-0-0
Track CurrentTrack
1: 0-0-0
Track Horsham
1: 0-0-0
Track Mildura
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1000m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1200m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1400m
4: 0-1-0
Going Heavy
2: 0-1-0
Going Soft
4: 0-0-0
Going Unknown
2: 0-0-0
Rider
Negative
Negative rider change today
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -26% POT in their L100 Races
Hot Trainer
Positive
Raharna McDonald in good form, out performing market 48%
Profitable Trainer
Positive
Stable runners going at 29% POT in L100 Runners
Gave ground LS
Negative
Faded towards the finish last time out
Fitness
Positive
At peak fitness backing up
AAP
Backing up quickly. On pace but soon under pressure and she knocked up badly at Strathalbyn. Leads, handy. Others with stronger claims.
ILB
On a short back up. Odds of $31.00 and folded up in the straight when 9th last time at Strathalbyn. Hasn't broken through maiden grade after 14 starts. This is a tough race.
RP
Behind several of these over 1m2f at Strathalbyn (maiden) when last of nine last week; she has struggled to find her best form recently; others have more pressing claims as this looks a decent race.
RSIS
On a quick back up. Started at 30/1 and gave away some ground when 9th last start at Strathalbyn. Trying to win after 14 runs.
Career
5: 0-1-4
Rating · IRD
100
Speed map
Leader
First-up
1: 0-0-1
Second-up
1: 0-1-0
Third-up
1: 0-0-1
Fourth-up
1: 0-0-1
Track Balaklava
1: 0-0-1
Track Ballarat Synthetic
1: 0-0-1
Track Morphettville
1: 0-0-1
Distance 2212m
1: 0-0-1
Distance 1516m
1: 0-0-1
Distance 1800m
1: 0-1-0
Going Heavy
3: 0-1-2
Going Soft
1: 0-0-1
Going Synthetic
1: 0-0-1
Jockey Booking
Negative
Alysha Warren current POT is 66% below Career Avg.
Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are out performing market expectations by 44%
Trainer ROI
Positive
Runners from this stable currently going at 21% POT in L100 Runners
Rider Poor SR
Negative
Jockey underperforming market expectations by 69% in L100 rides
Fast Early
Positive
Sectionals suggest goes hard early
Lightly Raced
Positive
Limited race experience but shown potential
Increased Dist
Positive
Distance rise from last start
1st Up
Negative
May need this run
AAP
Back for second campaign (15-weeks). Placed at Gawler on debut last campaign while building fitness through 2 trials. Can progress.
ILB
Back from a break. Was outmuscled when 3rd last start at Balaklava on a heavy track and honest performer putting a tidy record together. Likely to be well placed early. Prominent showing expected.
RP
Appears to be on the upgrade judged on two most recent runs; slightly disappointing, third beaten 7l, over 1m3f at Balaklava (maiden) in July; can give it a good shot as pick of form offers some encouragement.
RSIS
Resuming after a break. Good result placing 3rd beaten by nearly 7L last start at Balaklava and good career start. Shows good early pace. Will be dropping in distance. Solid chance to come away with the spoils.