Shortest win price
Flying Ace (3)
3.90
Welcome to Murray Bridge for a competitive afternoon of racing on a good four surface under overcast skies, where the Dab Pumps Benchmark 58 handicap over the 1400m journey promises plenty of tactical intrigue for punters. Looking at the early win market order, Flying Ace holds down the mantle as the shortest-priced runner, closely followed by Shalhavmusik, Frontpoint, and Immortal Spirit shaping up right behind them in the betting. With a packed field of twelve runners featuring a mix of on-pace speedsters and backmarkers, sorting through the form lines becomes a fascinating puzzle for anyone keen on a proper racing yarn.
Taking a closer look at the form behind those shorter prices reveals some compelling narratives. Flying Ace is backed up quickly by the stable after a handy and fair enough effort at Strathalbyn over 1350m, sitting as a very fit contender who should handle this trip nicely. Meanwhile, Frontpoint comes in off a sharp short back-up following a dominant win at Strathalbyn two starts back before giving another good account of himself on the same track when well supported, suggesting he can make his presence felt here with even breaks from barrier eleven. Immortal Spirit is another one arriving in winning form after toughing it out well to score at Halidon over 1380m following a Balaklava victory, and drawing favourably in barrier four leaves him very well placed to repeat that dose.
Further down the win market order, Shalhavmusik brings winning momentum into the mix after a determined victory at Gawler over the 1516m trip, showing enough grit last time out to suggest another strong account is on the cards. Speed maps indicate a strong contingent of leaders including Enterprise Lassie, Flying Ace, Immortal Spirit, and Refreshing will look to punch forward early, while Frontpoint maps on-pace to keep them honest. It is shaping up as a tight contest where fitness and tactical race-shape will tell the tale, leaving plenty of room for astute punters to find some value.
Shortest win price
Flying Ace (3)
3.90
Most career wins
Deficit and Cowley's Creek
7 each
Back left · leaders right
Backmarker
Offmidfield
Midfield
Offpace
Onpace
Leader
Demiquaver · Positive
Jockey ROI
Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 16% in Last 100 Rides
Enterprise Lassie · Positive
Rider SR
Jockey recent POT is 29% better than Career Avg.
Flying Ace · Negative
Cold J/T Combo
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Frontpoint · Positive
Hot J/T Combo
Combo are out performing market expectations by 148%
Career
27: 3-4-3
Rating · IRD
77
Speed map
Offpace
First-up
4: 0-0-1
Second-up
3: 0-1-1
Third-up
3: 1-0-0
Fourth-up
2: 0-0-0
Track Morphettville
1: 0-0-0
Track Pakenham
3: 0-1-0
Track Cranbourne
1: 1-0-0
Distance 1200m
10: 2-1-0
Distance 1300m
1: 0-0-1
Distance 1400m
6: 1-2-0
Going Soft
7: 0-0-1
Going Synthetic
1: 0-1-0
Going Good
18: 3-3-2
Jockey ROI
Positive
Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 16% in Last 100 Rides
Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are out performing market expectations by 50%
Maps Well
Positive
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 14%
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
Winless Prep
Negative
Expect the drought to continue
AAP
Last success was 8 Nov. Not disgraced at Morphettville at $61. Easier here but a blowout chance.
ILB
Was $61.00 and underwhelming when 8th last run at Morphettville. Needs a lot of luck to figure in the finish.
RP
Finished eighth but wasn't beaten too far (just under 4l) at Morphettville over 6f (handicap) 11 days ago; others are preferred.
RSIS
Started at 60/1 and underwhelming when 8th last run at Morphettville.
Career
41: 5-7-4
Rating · IRD
82
Speed map
Leader
First-up
6: 0-1-0
Second-up
4: 0-1-1
Third-up
4: 1-1-0
Fourth-up
4: 0-2-1
Track Gold Coast
1: 0-0-0
Track Alice Springs
4: 0-0-1
Track Coffs Harbour
3: 0-0-1
Distance 1680m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 2200m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1350m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
26: 1-4-3
Going Heavy
3: 0-1-1
Going Soft
9: 3-0-0
Rider SR
Positive
Jockey recent POT is 29% better than Career Avg.
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -33% POT in their L100 Races
Key Jockey
Positive
Andrew Stead winning at 27% POT in last 100 rides
Gave ground LS
Negative
Faded towards the finish last time out
Drawn In
Positive
Suited drawn down low
Dist S/R
Negative
Poor performer at the distance
Winkers Off
Positive
Winkers coming off this start
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
AAP
Went home tamely at Morphettville for new stable at $151. Will be fitter second-up. Can lead or take a sit. Can challenge.
ILB
At $151.00 faded to finish 9th last start at Morphettville but can save some energy from the alley. Will be positive in the run early. Slim possibilty.
RP
Came home ninth, beaten just over 5l, over 6f at Morphettville (handicap, just behind Demiquaver) on first run for this trainer 11 days ago; can be on the premises if replicating best previous efforts.
RSIS
Started 150/1 and folded up in the straight when 9th last start at Morphettville but will appreciate a good stall. Won't be far away during the run.
Career
38: 4-8-6
Rating · IRD
100
Speed map
Leader
First-up
8: 0-0-1
Second-up
5: 1-0-0
Third-up
5: 0-1-3
Fourth-up
4: 1-1-0
Track Kyneton
1: 0-0-1
Track Flemington
1: 0-0-0
Track Mornington
3: 1-1-0
Distance 1118m
1: 0-0-1
Distance 1200m
9: 1-1-2
Distance 1600m
1: 0-1-0
Going Good
18: 1-5-4
Going Soft
11: 1-2-1
Going Synthetic
9: 2-1-1
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Trainer Form
Positive
In form stable, out performing market expectations 45%
Profitable Trainer
Positive
Stable runners going at 28% POT in L100 Runners
Fast Early
Positive
Sectionals suggest goes hard early
Dist S/R
Negative
Poor performer at the distance
Fitness
Positive
At peak fitness backing up
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
AAP
Backing up quickly. Handy and acquitted himself fairly well at Strathalbyn. Very fit, not out of this.
ILB
Racing on a quick back up. Was $4.00 and found wanting late when 5th last time at Strathalbyn. Shows good early pace. Tough competitor.
RP
Split Frontpoint and Refreshing (Strathalbyn) last week.
RSIS
On a short turnaround. Started 3/1 and couldn't find the line when 5th last time at Strathalbyn. Will be pushing for a forward position early. Will run close.
Career
25: 2-1-3
Rating · IRD
91
Speed map
Onpace
First-up
2: 0-0-1
Second-up
1: 0-0-1
Third-up
1: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Morphettville
6: 0-0-0
Track Balaklava
2: 0-0-0
Track Bordertown
1: 0-0-1
Distance 1100m
2: 0-0-0
Distance 1250m
2: 0-0-0
Distance 1300m
1: 0-0-0
Going Soft
13: 1-1-1
Going Unknown
2: 0-0-1
Going Good
10: 1-0-1
Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are out performing market expectations by 148%
Fast Early
Positive
Sectionals suggest goes hard early
Dist S/R
Negative
Poor performer at the distance
Backup
Positive
Racing again inside one week
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
AAP
On a short back-up. Donkey-licked them at Strathalbyn two back. Gave good account on same track when supported. Very fit, can make his presence felt with even breaks.
ILB
On a quick turnaround. Jumped at $3.90 and overtook some late when 4th last time at Strathalbyn. Stephanie Wright takes a large claim. Competitive type.
RP
Has won here before; was a shade disappointing when fourth (14-5) at Strathalbyn with Flying Ace and Refreshing behind a week ago.
RSIS
Backs up quickly. At 3/1 moved through the field into 4th last run at Strathalbyn. The large claim from Stephanie Wright helps. Definite claims for punters.
Career
41: 5-6-3
Rating · IRD
84
Speed map
Leader
First-up
8: 0-2-1
Second-up
6: 0-1-1
Third-up
4: 1-1-0
Fourth-up
4: 1-1-0
Track Gawler
2: 0-1-0
Track Penola
1: 0-0-1
Track Kilmore
1: 0-0-1
Distance 1113m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1200m
10: 0-3-0
Distance 1340m
1: 0-0-0
Going Firm
1: 0-1-0
Going Good
28: 4-4-2
Going Heavy
2: 1-0-0
Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are out performing market expectations by 111%
Trainer ROI
Positive
Runners from this stable currently going at 11% POT in L100 Runners
Consecutive Wins
Positive
Has strung together a few races in a row
Form At Track
Negative
Yet to win here
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
Honest
Positive
Finishing in the money lately
AAP
Having a good preparation. On pace and toughed it out well at Halidon. Drawn favourably. Very well placed for a repeat.
ILB
Charged home to win last time at Halidon. Unbeaten last 2 runs. Caitlyn Munro and George Karayannis form a proven partnership. Expecting to settle positively. Modest hope.
RP
Seeking a hat-trick today; gained narrow success in a handicap at Halidon two weeks ago; likely to be in contention.
RSIS
Finished hard to win last start at Halidon. On a winning streak the last 2 starts. Caitlyn Munro and George Karayannis enjoy a high success rate together.
Career
16: 1-4-0
Rating · IRD
76
Speed map
Offpace
First-up
3: 0-0-0
Second-up
2: 0-1-0
Third-up
2: 1-1-0
Fourth-up
2: 0-0-0
Track CurrentTrack
4: 1-0-0
Track Penola
1: 0-1-0
Track Balaklava
1: 0-1-0
Distance 1400m
5: 0-0-0
Distance 1550m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1600m
8: 1-4-0
Going Good
12: 1-4-0
Going Soft
4: 0-0-0
Jockey ROI
Positive
Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 20% in Last 100 Rides
Trainer Recent
Negative
Camp struggling with S/R just 7%
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -30% POT in their L100 Races
Trainer A2E
Negative
Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 36%
Trainer Form
Negative
Stable out of form, losing 34% Profit on Turnover
Maps Poorly
Negative
Map position not suited at this track, under performing market expectations by 15%
Dist S/R
Negative
Poor performer at the distance
Up In Dist
Positive
Racing at a more suitable distance
AAP
First-up (22-weeks). Had a quiet trial at Balaklava. Awkwardly drawn for return. Expect will need this.
ILB
First up today. Odds of $8.00 and struggled with the pace when 8th last time at Mildura and will be dropping in distance. Hard to have.
RP
Has winning form at this track; missed the frame (beaten 8l into eighth) over 1m2f at Mildura (handicap) five months ago; returns from a layoff; passed over.
RSIS
First run back after a break. Was 7/1 and lost ground in the run home when 8th last time at Mildura and down in distance.
Career
10: 1-1-0
Rating · IRD
78
Speed map
Midfield
First-up
3: 0-0-0
Second-up
2: 0-0-0
Third-up
2: 1-0-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Pukekura
2: 1-0-0
Track Waverley
3: 0-1-0
Track Hawera
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1600m
4: 0-0-0
Distance 1650m
1: 0-1-0
Distance 2000m
1: 1-0-0
Going Good
2: 0-0-0
Going Heavy
4: 0-1-0
Going Soft
4: 1-0-0
Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are winning 26% POT in their L100 Races
Dist Drop
Negative
Distance decrease from last start
Resuming
Negative
Poor strike rate when first up
Blinkers Off
Positive
Blinkers coming off this start
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
AAP
Resuming (20-weeks). Below best last prep and lone win is over 2000m. Expect will need this.
ILB
First up. Jumped at $8.50 and chased well when 5th last time at Mount Gambier but back to a shorter trip. Tough ask.
RP
Generally modest form since maiden success at New Plymouth Raceway last November; out of the frame (beaten 4½l in fifth) at Mt Gambier over 1m2f (conditions race) five months ago; back from an absence here; others appeal more.
RSIS
Fresh after a break. Started at 15/2 and made up ground when 5th last time at Mount Gambier on a heavy rated track but will be down in distance.
Career
20: 2-5-1
Rating · IRD
84
Speed map
Midfield
First-up
4: 0-1-0
Second-up
3: 1-1-0
Third-up
3: 0-1-1
Fourth-up
3: 1-0-0
Track Balaklava
4: 1-2-0
Track Bordertown
1: 0-1-0
Track Mildura
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1600m
6: 1-2-0
Distance 1200m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1800m
1: 0-0-0
Going Soft
4: 0-0-0
Going Good
16: 2-5-1
Jockey ROI
Positive
Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 21% in Last 100 Rides
Trainer Career
Negative
Trainer Career S/R is 8%
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Trainer Recent
Negative
Stable runners are currently underperforming market by 24%
Maps Well
Positive
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 9%
Gave ground LS
Negative
Faded towards the finish last time out
Resuming
Negative
Poor strike rate when first up
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
AAP
First-up (14-weeks). Below par in stronger company last campaign. Trialled okay but a remote place hope at best fresh in this line-up.
ILB
Fresh today. Started $71.00 and didn't threaten when 12th last start at Mildura but gets some weight taken off. Place best.
RP
Finished towards the rear of 14 at Mildura in July; this C&D holds no fears; struggled a bit since winning a handicap at Balaklava in December; unlikely to achieve more than just a supporting role.
RSIS
Back from a break. At 70/1 weakened to finish 12th last start at Mildura but will appreciate the drop in weight.
Career
25: 3-2-3
Rating · IRD
96
Speed map
Offpace
First-up
4: 0-0-1
Second-up
3: 1-0-1
Third-up
3: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
3: 0-0-0
Track Gawler
5: 1-1-1
Track Balaklava
1: 0-0-0
Track Bordertown
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1200m
9: 1-1-2
Distance 1250m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1300m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
18: 3-2-3
Going Heavy
1: 0-0-0
Going Soft
6: 0-0-0
Profitable Trainer
Positive
Stable runners going at 8% POT in L100 Runners
Solid Run LS
Positive
Won last start
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
AAP
Determined effort to secure victory at Gawler. Primed to give another strong account.
ILB
Dashed home to win last time at Gawler and form has been improving over recent runs. Definite claims for punters.
RP
Got the job done in a handicap by three-quarters of a length at Gawler three weeks ago; has scored over C&D; despite that Gawler success, looks opposable.
RSIS
Bold effort when winning last start at Gawler and demonstrating upward trajectory in recent races. Capable type.
Career
81: 7-6-3
Rating · IRD
77
Speed map
Backmarker
First-up
8: 0-2-0
Second-up
7: 1-1-0
Third-up
7: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
7: 0-0-0
Track Wyong
1: 0-1-0
Track Randwick
11: 0-1-0
Track Gawler
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1300m
3: 1-0-0
Distance 1400m
11: 1-2-0
Distance 2000m
6: 0-1-0
Going Good
46: 6-1-2
Going Heavy
9: 0-1-0
Going Soft
26: 1-4-1
Jockey ROI
Positive
Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 24% in Last 100 Rides
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are under performing market expectations by -22%
Trainer ROI
Positive
Runners from this stable currently going at 20% POT in L100 Runners
Well beaten LS
Negative
Not competitive last run
Dist S/R
Negative
Poor performer at the distance
Back in Dist
Negative
Dropping back to a less suitable distance range
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
Imprv Needed
Negative
Would need to lift here to feature
AAP
Failed to flatter at Morphettville over longer test. Drops to shorter trip. Others more persuasive.
ILB
Jumped at $31.00 and disappointing display when 10th last time at Morphettville but facing a weaker group of contenders. Expected to settle towards the rear. Will be down in distance. Cannot make a case for.
RP
Finished tenth of 12 over 1m1f at Morphettville (handicap) when dropped in distance 11 days ago; has won at this track; should be involved as finished third at Coleraine three runs ago.
RSIS
Started 30/1 and unsatisfactory performance when 10th last time at Morphettville but up against a less challenging field. Likely to get back. Back in trip.
Career
50: 6-3-3
Rating · IRD
82
Speed map
Leader
First-up
7: 0-0-1
Second-up
6: 2-1-0
Third-up
5: 0-1-2
Fourth-up
4: 1-0-0
Track Penola
1: 0-0-0
Track Yarra Valley
1: 0-0-0
Track Ballarat
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1200m
13: 1-1-0
Distance 1212m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1250m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
20: 2-1-2
Going Heavy
8: 3-1-1
Going Soft
21: 1-1-0
Current SR
Negative
Rider’s recent POT is returning 66% lower than Career Avg.
Rider
Negative
Negative rider change today
Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are out performing market expectations by 72%
Profitable Trainer
Positive
Stable runners going at 8% POT in L100 Runners
Maps Poorly
Negative
Map position not suited at this track, under performing market expectations by 13%
Drawn In
Positive
Suited drawn down low
Backup
Positive
Racing again inside one week
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
AAP
On a quick back-up. Local mare, not disgraced at Strathalbyn. Drawn to get a soft run. Could give some cheek at odds.
ILB
On a short back up. Started $21.00 and was getting tired late when 6th last run at Strathalbyn and has a good draw. Do not dismiss entirely.
RP
Consistent lately and can be a player at this level; fair effort at Strathalbyn last Wednesday; can be in the thick of things if building on promise shown last time.
RSIS
On a quick turnaround. Started 20/1 and peaked in the late stages of the race when 6th last time at Strathalbyn and gets a favourable stall. Displays good tactical pace.
Career
90: 7-11-6
Rating · IRD
70
Speed map
Offmidfield
First-up
8: 2-0-0
Second-up
7: 1-0-0
Third-up
7: 0-2-0
Fourth-up
6: 1-2-1
Track Mount Gambier
2: 0-0-0
Track Wangaratta
1: 1-0-0
Track Seymour
1: 0-0-0
Distance 2150m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1406m
2: 0-1-0
Distance 1600m
19: 0-4-1
Going Soft
34: 2-6-1
Going Unknown
6: 0-1-1
Going Good
43: 5-4-4
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Rider Poor SR
Negative
Jockey underperforming market expectations by 75% in L100 rides
Fast Early
Positive
Sectionals suggest goes hard early
Dist S/R
Negative
Poor performer at the distance
Form At Track
Negative
Yet to win here
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
AAP
Ridden cold and never in the picture at Balaklava. Switching to 1400m and leaning towards others here.
ILB
Started at $51.00 and disappointing effort when 8th last time at Balaklava. Prefers to settle towards the rear. This won't be easy.
RP
Beaten 7l in eighth at Balaklava over 1m (handicap) two weeks ago; probably unlikely to trouble the principals.
RSIS
Started at 50/1 and lacklustre showing when 8th last time at Balaklava. Expected to settle towards the rear.