Shortest win price
Pocket Pyro (13)
2.10
The Team Poly Tanks Mdn Plate at Murray Bridge on a Good 4 track under overcast skies shapes as a race where the form book is thin and the early leaders could set up a testing tempo. At 1400 metres with a three-year-old and older maiden field, the win market is led by Pocket Pyro, followed by Never Pegasus, Ludina, and Grand Millesime. Pocket Pyro rates highly at 100 according to IRD, with the comment noting the runner has been supported at each run and kept on courageously at the second appearance. Never Pegasus, drawn to effect in barrier 3, was supported at each outing and showed plenty of ticker to just go under at Penola over this trip, suggesting the 1400 metres is a suitable distance. Ludina, resuming after 12 weeks, has form predominantly over longer trips and may need the run on the quick back-up here. Grand Millesime, rated 87, showed something in the last few runs and was only four lengths from the winner at Halidon last time, though the stable assessment suggests a place prospect looks more likely.
The early speed is shared among Ashen Glow, Grand Millesime, and Pretty Morsel, who will jockey for position on pace, while Never Pegasus and Secret Owl sit as leaders from the barriers. Never Pegasus has Jake Toeroek in the saddle—the jockey is riding 22 per cent above market expected in the last 100 rides and has been 19 per cent better than career average recently, a small positive for a three-year-old that rates 90 and was only fractions away at Penola over this exact distance. Pocket Pyro, rated 100 and drawn in barrier 8, will race offpace and has scope for improvement having won support at consecutive runs at Balaklava, where the form line and backed prices suggest genuine ability. The jockey and trainer combinations on several runners carry concerns—Ludina's pairing has lost 100 per cent POT in their last 100 races, and Gingerbread Boy is in the grip of a similar cold combo.
Ludina, despite form at longer distances and a current stable striking rate of just 5 per cent, cannot be dismissed purely on fitness grounds, having run a close second at Mildura before the break. The field is littered with maiden trainers and jockey combinations underperforming expectations, making a well-backed maiden at double-figure career wins a genuine narrative. Pocket Pyro's rating of 100 sits well above peers and the supported betting at each run tells a tale; the runner rates as the logical pick, though Never Pegasus at 90 with a plausible case at the trip and positive jockey form cannot be overlooked as a roughie with narrative weight.
Shortest win price
Pocket Pyro (13)
2.10
Most career wins
Gingerbread Boy
1-0-1 from 18 starts
Back left · leaders right
Backmarker
Offmidfield
Offpace
Leader
Ashen Glow · Negative
Current SR
Rider’s recent POT is returning 66% lower than Career Avg.
Atticusspartacus · Negative
Trainer SR
Shane Stutley striking at just 3%
Gingerbread Boy · Negative
Rider
Negative rider change today
St Dominic · Positive
Jockey ROI
Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 29% in Last 100 Rides
Career
13: 0-0-1
Rating · IRD
76
Speed map
Leader
First-up
3: 0-0-0
Second-up
2: 0-0-0
Third-up
1: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Murray Bridge
2: 0-0-0
Track CurrentTrack
2: 0-0-0
Track Mount Gambier
2: 0-0-0
Distance 1200m
5: 0-0-0
Distance 1350m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1400m
2: 0-0-1
Going Good
10: 0-0-1
Going Soft
3: 0-0-0
Current SR
Negative
Rider’s recent POT is returning 66% lower than Career Avg.
Jockey Booking
Negative
Less suitable jockey engaged
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Primed
Positive
Fitter here racing on a quick back up
AAP
On a short back-up. Third run now in new stable/region. Handy and acquitted himself fairly well at Strathalbyn. Limited but latest okay. Place.
ILB
Backing up quickly for this race. Was $11.00 and inched into 4th last start at Strathalbyn. Has plenty of early speed. Still in maiden grade after 13 starts. This will be a test.
RP
Creditable fourth at Strathalbyn last Wednesday; this is competitive and he can be taken on.
RSIS
On a quick turnaround. Started 10/1 and overtook some late when 4th last start at Strathalbyn. Expecting to settle positively. Yet to break through after 13 runs.
Career
1: 0-0-0
Rating · IRD
70
Speed map
Offpace
First-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Strathalbyn
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1100m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
1: 0-0-0
Trainer SR
Negative
Shane Stutley striking at just 3%
Trainer A2E
Negative
Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 38%
1st Up
Negative
May need this run
AAP
Second campaign (41-weeks). A long way off them at Strathalbyn on debut at cricket score odds. Not pushed out Morphettville Parks trial 28 Sep. Would need a strong market push.
ILB
Fresh from a spell of 41 weeks. Was $151.00 and faded away to finish 8th last run at Strathalbyn but fitter for debut run. Not likely to pull off the victory.
RP
Well beaten behind the fourth, Pretty Morsel, at Strathalbyn when beaten a fair way on first start at 150-1 in January; layoff to overcome; goes on the shortlist.
RSIS
Back from a 41 week break. Started 150/1 and folded up in the straight when 8th last time at Strathalbyn but having second career run.
Career
18: 1-0-1
Rating · IRD
71
Speed map
Offpace
First-up
5: 0-0-0
Second-up
3: 0-0-1
Third-up
2: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
2: 0-0-0
Track Morphettville
1: 0-0-0
Track Strathalbyn
3: 0-0-0
Track CurrentTrack
3: 0-0-0
Distance 1250m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1300m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1350m
1: 0-0-0
Going Synthetic
2: 0-0-0
Going Unknown
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
7: 1-0-0
Rider
Negative
Negative rider change today
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Rider Poor SR
Negative
Jockey underperforming market expectations by 75% in L100 rides
Well beaten LS
Negative
Not competitive last run
Nice Barrier
Positive
Well drawn from gate 1
AAP
Settled back and didn't come on at Balaklava. Others with greater appeal.
ILB
Jumped at $151.00 and disappointing effort when 9th last run at Balaklava but has the ideal alley. Needs too much luck.
RP
Behind Pocket Pyro at Balaklava over 6½f (maiden) when beaten 12l (ninth of 11) two weeks ago; is passed over as meeting a number of horses who are in good form.
RSIS
Started 150/1 and below par when 9th last run at Balaklava but drawn beautifully.
Career
1: 0-1-0
Rating · IRD
20
Speed map
Leader
First-up
1: 0-1-0
Track Gawler
1: 0-1-0
Distance 1516m
1: 0-1-0
Going Good
1: 0-1-0
Raceday Experience
Positive
Wiser for debut run
AAP
Excellent debut performance when just nabbed at Gawler at $6.50. Has scope and dropping back to 1400m here. Must respect.
ILB
Was agonizingly close last start at Gawler and was a debutant last start.
RP
Beaten narrowly at the first time of asking at Gawler over 7½f at 11-2 three weeks ago; clear chance if building on initial performance.
RSIS
Right up there last start at Gawler and fitter for debut run.
Career
13: 0-1-1
Rating · IRD
74
Speed map
Offpace
First-up
3: 0-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Third-up
1: 0-1-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Hanging Rock
1: 0-0-0
Track Mildura
1: 0-0-0
Track Ballarat Synthetic
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1400m
3: 0-0-0
Distance 1500m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1770m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
9: 0-1-1
Going Soft
3: 0-0-0
Going Synthetic
1: 0-0-0
Jockey ROI
Positive
Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 29% in Last 100 Rides
Jockey Booking
Positive
Andrew Stead 51% above market expected in L100 Rides
Hot Trainer
Positive
Kylie Schulz in good form, out performing market 27%
Key Jockey
Positive
Andrew Stead winning at 27% POT in last 100 rides
Early Splits
Positive
Has early speed. An advantage on this circuit
Back in Dist
Negative
Dropping back to a less suitable distance range
Resuming
Negative
Poor strike rate when first up
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
AAP
Stayer resuming (31-weeks). Ex Jason Chandler in Victoria. First time around Murray Bridge Gh. Expect will find these too sharp.
ILB
Back after break of 31 weeks. Was $21.00 and outpaced some runners late when 4th last run at Cranbourne but coming back in trip. Coming to a new trainer. Suggest watching.
RP
Beaten 11l (fourth) over 1m4½f at Cranbourne (maiden) in March; returns from a layoff; first run for stable; others more likely as this looks a fair heat.
RSIS
Resumes after a break of 31 weeks. Odds of 20/1 and hit the line well when 4th last time at Cranbourne but will be dropping in distance.
Rating · IRD
20
Speed map
Midfield
Rider
Negative
Negative rider change today
Nice Barrier
Positive
Well drawn from gate 2
Resuming
Negative
Poor strike rate when first up
AAP
First-up (23-weeks). Ex NZ. Third start in Australia. Mostly struggled in early runs but trials have been okay since.
ILB
Resumes from a break. Jumped at $3.80 and struggled when 6th last run at Strathalbyn but has a positive draw.
RSIS
Fresh after a break. Started 11/4 and below par when 6th last time at Strathalbyn but gets a favourable stall.
Career
9: 0-2-0
Rating · IRD
83
Speed map
Offpace
First-up
2: 0-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-1-0
Third-up
1: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Murray Bridge
4: 0-1-0
Track CurrentTrack
4: 0-1-0
Track Gawler
1: 0-1-0
Distance 1400m
3: 0-1-0
Distance 1600m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1200m
4: 0-1-0
Going Good
2: 0-0-0
Going Heavy
3: 0-1-0
Going Soft
4: 0-1-0
Trainer SR
Negative
Mick Kluske striking at just 4%
Jockey Booking
Negative
Less suitable jockey engaged
Trainer A2E
Negative
Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 53%
Fast Early
Positive
Sectionals suggest goes hard early
Draw Suits
Positive
Well drawn inside
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
AAP
Got back and did plenty wrong but wasn't totally disgraced at Halidon. Decent gate but only for exotics.
ILB
Started at $8.00 and ran 6th last run at Halidon but will try to take advantage of the gate. Not without a chance.
RP
Fair effort when beaten just under 4l, finishing sixth of ten at Halidon over 6f (maiden) two weeks ago; facing a testing assignment and others make more appeal.
RSIS
Was 7/1 and ran 6th last time at Halidon but can find a nice position from the draw. Can't leave out of your calculations.
Career
1: 0-0-0
Rating · IRD
73
Speed map
Backmarker
First-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Halidon
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1200m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
1: 0-0-0
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -36% POT in their L100 Races
Trainer ROI
Positive
Runners from this stable currently going at 8% POT in L100 Runners
Maps Well
Positive
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 14%
Needs To Imp
Negative
Finished towards the tail last start
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
Imprv Needed
Negative
Would need to lift here to feature
AAP
A very soft debut performance at Halidon at wide odds 11 Oct. Big lift needed from there.
ILB
Odds of $71.00 and just average when 10th last run at Halidon but having second race start. Prefers to settle towards the tail. Looking elsewhere.
RP
Held on her debut (wearing blinkers) at Halidon at 66-1 two weeks ago; hard to see her getting off the mark second time up.
RSIS
Was 70/1 and average at best when 10th last start at Halidon but having second race start. Likely to settle back in the field.
Career
13: 0-4-2
Rating · IRD
87
Speed map
Leader
First-up
2: 0-1-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Third-up
1: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Kyneton
2: 0-2-0
Track Bordertown
1: 0-0-0
Track Mildura
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1050m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1100m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1200m
3: 0-1-1
Going Heavy
1: 0-0-0
Going Soft
5: 0-0-0
Going Good
7: 0-4-2
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Ready To Fire
Positive
Shown something in last few runs
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
AAP
Winner too strong but ran on for the minors at Halidon for new trainer. Looks more a place prospect.
ILB
Picked up late ground when 2nd beaten by 4 1/4L last start at Halidon. Has shown early pace in races to date. Has strong claims.
RP
Best form so far in last two starts; wasn't disgraced when second of 11 over 6f at Halidon (maiden) with Steely Miss and Amara Mae behind two weeks ago on debut for this trainer.
RSIS
Good run when placing 2nd last start at Halidon. Should be going forward early. Has claims.
Career
9: 0-3-1
Rating · IRD
80
Speed map
Offpace
First-up
2: 0-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Third-up
1: 0-0-1
Fourth-up
1: 0-1-0
Track Mildura
1: 0-1-0
Track Morphettville
1: 0-0-0
Track Murray Bridge
3: 0-0-1
Distance 1600m
2: 0-1-0
Distance 1800m
2: 0-1-1
Distance 2000m
2: 0-1-0
Going Good
5: 0-3-0
Going Soft
4: 0-0-1
Trainer Recent
Negative
Camp struggling with S/R just 5%
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Trainer Recent
Negative
Stable runners are currently underperforming market by 67%
Dist Drop
Negative
Distance decrease from last start
Resuming
Negative
Poor strike rate when first up
AAP
Resuming (12-weeks). Best to date has been over longer trips and only for the minors here fresh in this line-up.
ILB
Fresh from a break. Odds of $11.00 and came in 8th last time at this venue and back to a shorter distance. Entitled to be a big price.
RP
Has taken a step forward the last twice but form has been a bit mixed lately; beaten 6l when eighth of 14 on debut outing for new trainer in August in a conditions race; this looks a fair heat so has questions to answer.
RSIS
Fresh today after a break. Started 10/1 and finished 8th last start around here and back to a shorter trip.
Career
17: 0-5-4
Rating · IRD
82
Speed map
Leader
First-up
3: 0-0-1
Second-up
2: 0-0-2
Third-up
2: 0-2-0
Fourth-up
2: 0-1-0
Track Halidon
1: 0-0-0
Track Strathalbyn
4: 0-1-2
Track Murray Bridge
4: 0-1-0
Distance 1250m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1430m
1: 0-1-0
Distance 1600m
2: 0-1-1
Going Good
11: 0-4-1
Going Heavy
1: 0-1-0
Going Soft
5: 0-0-3
Trainer SR
Negative
Matthew Seyers striking at just 7%
Jockey Booking
Negative
Less suitable jockey engaged
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are under performing market expectations by -26%
Trainer A2E
Negative
Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 36%
Fast Early
Positive
Sectionals suggest goes hard early
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
AAP
Handy and acquitted herself fairly well at Halidon. Awkwardly drawn this time. Only for exotics.
ILB
Started at $5.00 and couldn't maintain the pace when 4th last start at Halidon. Displaying good ability since resuming from a break. Respect the betting.
RP
Has found improvement of late; far from disgraced (beaten 3l, Halidon) two weeks ago; may have to settle for supporting role as regularly been coming up a bit short lately.
RSIS
At 4/1 tired late when 4th last run at Halidon. Performing impressively since coming back from a break. The wide stall shouldn't be a problem with plenty of early pace. Has some claims.
Career
10: 0-0-1
Rating · IRD
75
Speed map
Leader
First-up
2: 0-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Third-up
1: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Bordertown
1: 0-0-1
Track Clare
1: 0-0-0
Track Strathalbyn
2: 0-0-0
Distance 1100m
2: 0-0-0
Distance 1200m
4: 0-0-1
Distance 1350m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
7: 0-0-1
Going Heavy
1: 0-0-0
Going Soft
2: 0-0-0
Trainer Career
Negative
Trainer Career S/R is 7%
Trainer Recent
Negative
Stable runners are currently underperforming market by 36%
AAP
Upped in distance when ran on okay without troubling at Gawler. Not fancied.
ILB
Jumped at $71.00 and couldn't maintain the pace when 7th last time at Gawler. Still a maiden after 10 runs. Has the necessary speed to mitigate the wide draw. Has to have a lot go its way.
RP
Not far behind Shogun Chikara when seventh at Gawler 23 days ago upped to 7½f; recent form leaves something to be desired; facing a testing assignment and looks an unlikely winner.
RSIS
Started at 70/1 and didn't find the line when 7th last run at Gawler. Trying to win after 10 runs. Has the pace to overcome the wide stall.
Career
2: 0-1-1
Rating · IRD
100
Speed map
Leader
First-up
1: 0-0-1
Second-up
1: 0-1-0
Track Balaklava
2: 0-1-1
Distance 1050m
1: 0-0-1
Distance 1300m
1: 0-1-0
Going Good
2: 0-1-1
AAP
Been supported at each run. Up on the pace early and kept on courageously at Balaklava at second appearance. Scope for improvement. Rates highly.
ILB
In the money when 2nd last run at Balaklava. Expecting to settle positively. Been in the money each start this preparation. Winning hope.
RP
Lightly raced with this just her third appearance; came up short when favourite and beaten 3½l at Balaklava two weeks ago upped to 6½f; should give it a bold bid.
RSIS
Claimed a spot in the placings when 2nd last run at Balaklava. Should come to hand quickly. In the placings at every start recently. Looks set to run a big race.
Career
1: 0-0-0
Rating · IRD
81
Speed map
Offmidfield
First-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Halidon
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1200m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
1: 0-0-0
Trainer Career
Negative
Trainer Career S/R is 7%
Jockey Booking
Negative
Less suitable jockey engaged
Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are out performing market expectations by 87%
Trainer A2E
Negative
Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 36%
Maps Well
Positive
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 14%
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
AAP
Disappointing debut performance at Halidon 11 Oct. Benefits from the experience and the longer trip may help but clearly more needed.
ILB
Was $5.50 and average at best when 8th last time at Halidon but fitter for debut run. Likely to get back. Prefer in a much weaker race.
RP
Finished eighth and beaten 8l first time out in Halidon maiden over 6f at 9-2 two weeks ago; must be high on list.
RSIS
At 9/2 subpar when 8th last time at Halidon but fitter for debut run. Likely to get back.
Career
4: 0-1-1
Rating · IRD
90
Speed map
Leader
First-up
1: 0-0-1
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Third-up
1: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-1-0
Track Murray Bridge
1: 0-0-1
Track CurrentTrack
1: 0-0-1
Track Gawler
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1050m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1100m
2: 0-0-1
Distance 1400m
1: 0-1-0
Going Soft
1: 0-1-0
Going Good
3: 0-0-1
Rider SR
Positive
Jockey recent POT is 19% better than Career Avg.
Key Rider
Positive
Jake Toeroek 22% above market expected in L100 Rides
Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are out performing market expectations by 48%
Track Exp
Positive
Knows this track well
Ready To Strike
Positive
Can be rewarded for recent consistent form
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
AAP
Been supported at each run. Prominent, showed plenty of ticker to just go under at Penola over this trip. Drawn to effect. Worth a look.
ILB
Close to claiming the win last time at Penola. Should be going forward early. Solid chance.
RP
Appears to be going forwards; not had much racing - fifth outing here; favourite and only narrowly beaten upped to this trip (Penola) 12 days ago.
RSIS
Threw down a serious challenge last start at Penola. Will be positive in the run early. Must be considered here.