Shortest win price
Zestiman (4)
3.50
Welcome to Murray Bridge for the Vinidex & Philmac Hcp (60) over 1200m on a good 4 surface under overcast skies. Punters eye off a fascinating restricted field where the market has gravitated towards Zestiman at the head of affairs, followed closely by Shaddap, Taking Omaha, and Nosie By Nature in the early win market order. It is a competitive race where the yarn on the track points to a genuinely run affair with plenty of speed influences drawn across the map.
Taking a closer look at the form behind those shorter prices, Zestiman comes into this assignment on a short back-up after placing in handicap 58 grade at Balaklava before finding the going tough late at Morphettville over this trip. He maps forward alongside Nosie By Nature, who resumes here following a twenty-week break after taking out a Mildura event last campaign. Taking Omaha is another worth noting, stripping fitter following an unsuccessful return in handicap 64 grade at Morphettville where she settled well back and failed to make an impact.
Further down the line, runners like Aloha Blue map nicely for the circuit and have previously outperformed market expectations locally, while Nicaloha catches the eye coming off a fast-finishing effort last start with the fastest overall finishing sectionals. With speed groups well distributed across leaders and midfield runners, punters looking for a bit of value can weigh up the stable form and recent barrier trial efforts as they line up for a cracking contest.
Shortest win price
Zestiman (4)
3.50
Most career wins
Outpost
8-5-8 from 70 starts
Back left · leaders right
Backmarker
Midfield
Offpace
Onpace
Leader
Nicaloha · Positive
Fast Finisher
Fastest Overall Finishing Sectionals Last Start
Nosie By Nature · Positive
Hot J/T Combo
Combo are winning 26% POT in their L100 Races
Shaddap · Negative
Jockey Booking
Alysha Warren current POT is 66% below Career Avg.
Zestiman · Positive
Rider SR
Jockey recent POT is 19% better than Career Avg.
Career
9: 1-1-2
Rating · IRD
79
Speed map
Midfield
First-up
2: 0-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-1
Third-up
1: 1-0-0
Track Ararat
1: 0-0-0
Track Murray Bridge
1: 0-0-1
Track CurrentTrack
1: 0-0-1
Distance 1000m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1200m
6: 1-1-2
Distance 1250m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
5: 1-1-0
Going Soft
4: 0-0-2
Fast Finisher
Positive
Fastest Overall Finishing Sectionals Last Start
Trainer Career
Negative
Trainer Career S/R is 2%
Trainer Recent
Negative
Stable runners are currently underperforming market by 68%
Trainer ROI
Negative
Trainers runners currently losing 69% Profit on Turnover
Solid Run LS
Positive
Won last start
Nice Barrier
Positive
Well drawn from gate 1
Track Exp
Positive
Knows this track well
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
AAP
Controlled race and kicked away from them at Mt Gambier over this trip. Breaks from a low barrier and worth a look.
ILB
Handy enough when winning by 2 1/4L last run at Mount Gambier and has drawn to do little work. Racing consistently this campaign but will have to carry extra weight. Has some claims.
RP
Has displayed improved form on last two starts; broke his duck at the ninth attempt when in front by just over 2l three weeks ago at Mt Gambier in a maiden; despite that Mt Gambier success, looks opposable.
RSIS
Displayed potential when winning by 2 1/4L last start at Mount Gambier and gets the perfect stall. Tracking very well lately but has to carry more weight this time.
Career
18: 2-3-3
Rating · IRD
87
Speed map
Leader
First-up
4: 1-2-1
Second-up
3: 0-0-0
Third-up
2: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
2: 1-0-1
Track Gawler
1: 0-1-0
Track Balaklava
1: 0-0-1
Track Oakbank
1: 0-0-0
Distance 900m
1: 0-1-0
Distance 1000m
2: 0-0-1
Distance 1050m
7: 1-1-2
Going Good
14: 2-2-3
Going Heavy
1: 0-0-0
Going Soft
2: 0-1-0
Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are winning 26% POT in their L100 Races
Early Splits
Positive
Has early speed. An advantage on this circuit
Gave ground LS
Negative
Faded towards the finish last time out
Resuming
Negative
Poor strike rate when first up
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
AAP
First-up (20-weeks). In the minors at Morphettville first-up last campaign. Can play a role fresh in this company if he gets the breaks.
ILB
First up from a break of 20 weeks and finished well when 2nd first up last preparation at Morphettville. Must be considered here.
RP
No impression when seventh of nine at Mt Gambier five months ago; has had some time off; others appeal more.
RSIS
Resuming and improved to place when 2nd beaten by 3/4L resuming last preparation at Morphettville. Has the necessary pace to mitistall the wide draw. Will go close.
Career
18: 3-0-3
Rating · IRD
79
Speed map
Midfield
First-up
3: 1-0-0
Second-up
2: 0-0-0
Third-up
2: 1-0-0
Fourth-up
2: 0-0-1
Track Mount Gambier
2: 0-0-1
Track Randwick
2: 0-0-0
Track Orange
2: 0-0-0
Distance 1000m
2: 1-0-0
Distance 1100m
2: 1-0-0
Distance 1200m
6: 0-0-2
Going Good
9: 1-0-1
Going Heavy
4: 1-0-0
Going Soft
5: 1-0-2
Jockey Booking
Negative
Alysha Warren current POT is 66% below Career Avg.
Rider
Negative
Negative rider change today
Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are out performing market expectations by 44%
Trainer ROI
Positive
Runners from this stable currently going at 21% POT in L100 Runners
Rider Poor SR
Negative
Jockey underperforming market expectations by 69% in L100 rides
Early Sectionals
Negative
Recent sectional data suggests slow early pace
Dist S/R
Negative
Poor performer at the distance
Better for last start
Positive
Improved with last few runs
AAP
First-up (20-weeks). Third run now in new stable/region. Winless since 3 Aug 2025 but was close in Benchmark 58 company at Bathurst first-up last campaign. Check betting.
ILB
Resuming after a break. Started at $6.00 and edged past some when finishing 4th last start at Mount Gambier on a heavy surface. Do not dismiss.
RP
Missed the frame (beaten 7l into fourth) over 7f at Mt Gambier (handicap) five months ago; producing solid form figures; back from an absence here; makes limited appeal.
RSIS
Resuming after a break. Odds of 5/1 and was making up some late ground when 4th last time at Mount Gambier on a heavy rated track.
Career
37: 4-4-6
Rating · IRD
100
Speed map
Leader
First-up
4: 1-0-0
Second-up
3: 0-0-0
Third-up
3: 1-1-0
Fourth-up
3: 1-0-1
Track Flemington
3: 1-0-0
Track Murray Bridge
1: 0-0-0
Track Randwick
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1207m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1240m
1: 0-0-1
Distance 1250m
4: 0-1-0
Going Good
25: 3-3-4
Going Soft
11: 1-1-1
Going Synthetic
1: 0-0-1
Rider SR
Positive
Jockey recent POT is 19% better than Career Avg.
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Early Splits
Positive
Has early speed. An advantage on this circuit
Fitness
Positive
At peak fitness backing up
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
AAP
On a short back-up. Placed Hcp (58) at Balaklava 14 Oct. On pace but found little at the business end at Morphettville over this distance. Well into preparation now, right in the mix.
ILB
On a quick turnaround. Was $11.00 and found wanting late when 5th last run at Morphettville. Should jump out and bowl along. Expected to be competitive.
RP
Grade looks suitable; not disgraced when fifth of 11 (Morphettville) at the weekend; strong claims.
RSIS
On a quick back up. Started at 10/1 and peaked on the run when 5th last time at Morphettville. Likely to be well placed early. Expected to be competitive.
Career
26: 3-2-6
Rating · IRD
96
Speed map
Onpace
First-up
4: 0-0-1
Second-up
2: 0-0-0
Third-up
2: 0-0-1
Fourth-up
1: 1-0-0
Track Morphettville
11: 0-0-5
Track Strathalbyn
1: 0-1-0
Track Murray Bridge
6: 0-1-0
Distance 1050m
4: 0-0-1
Distance 1100m
5: 1-0-0
Distance 1107m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
21: 3-2-5
Going Heavy
1: 0-0-0
Going Soft
4: 0-0-1
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -29% POT in their L100 Races
Gave ground LS
Negative
Faded towards the finish last time out
Nice Barrier
Positive
Well drawn from gate 2
Form At Track
Negative
Yet to win here
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
AAP
Settled back and didn't figure off spell in the Hcp (64) at Morphettville. Strips in better shape. Major player here.
ILB
Started at $10.00 and was well beaten when 13th last run at Morphettville. Can show a better performance this time and competing at a lower grade. Shows good early pace. Will be fighting out the finish.
RP
Finished towards the rear of 14 (Morphettville) two weeks ago; useful in this grade; some claims if in the same mood as when achieving most recent success.
RSIS
Started 9/1 and weakened under pressure when 13th last time at Morphettville. Can make a comeback and lining up against easier rivals. Should muster plenty of early pace. Will show up at the business end.
Career
39: 4-4-7
Rating · IRD
75
Speed map
Backmarker
First-up
3: 0-1-1
Second-up
2: 1-0-0
Third-up
1: 0-1-0
Fourth-up
1: 1-0-0
Track Morphettville
23: 2-2-3
Track Murray Bridge
10: 2-2-2
Track CurrentTrack
10: 2-2-2
Distance 1250m
3: 1-0-0
Distance 1400m
21: 3-1-5
Distance 1412m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
30: 4-2-6
Going Heavy
1: 0-0-0
Going Soft
8: 0-2-1
Trainer SR
Negative
Hannah Bryce striking at just 3%
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Trainer A2E
Negative
Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 47%
Early Splits
Positive
Has early speed. An advantage on this circuit
Well beaten LS
Negative
Not competitive last run
Dist S/R
Negative
Poor performer at the distance
Back in Dist
Negative
Dropping back to a less suitable distance range
Resuming
Negative
Poor strike rate when first up
AAP
First-up (36-weeks). Ex Gary & Dean Alexander in SA. Long winless run but went desperately close in Restricted 62 company at Murray Bridge Gh first-up last prep. Betting.
ILB
Resumes after a break of 36 weeks. Started $26.00 and weakened under pressure when 14th last start at Morphettville and will be down in distance. May find these too slick.
RP
Finished last of 14 over 7½f at Morphettville (handicap) in February; has won here previously; representing new trainer today; returning from a layoff here; competitive shout as has been on the scene in the recent past.
RSIS
Resuming after a 36 week break. Started 25/1 and didn't threaten when 14th last run at Morphettville and will be down in distance. Change in trainer.
Rating · IRD
20
Ran On Hard LS
Positive
Ran on well last start
Track Exp
Positive
Knows this track well
Win Drought
Negative
Not won for a while
AAP
Long winning drought but ran on with some conviction from back half at Horsham at longer odds. Looks up against it.
ILB
Odds of $19.00 and made some ground when 5th last run at Horsham.
RSIS
At 18/1 moved through the field into 5th last run at Horsham.
Career
11: 1-3-0
Rating · IRD
71
Speed map
Offpace
First-up
2: 0-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Third-up
1: 0-1-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Bordertown
1: 0-1-0
Track Warracknabeal
1: 0-0-0
Track Geelong
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1100m
1: 0-1-0
Distance 1150m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1200m
5: 1-1-0
Going Soft
5: 1-2-0
Going Good
2: 0-0-0
Going Heavy
4: 0-1-0
Rider
Negative
Negative rider change today
Profitable Trainer
Positive
Stable runners going at 21% POT in L100 Runners
Ran On Hard LS
Positive
Ran on well last start
Improved L/S
Positive
Improved again last start
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
Weight Rise
Negative
Carrying 4.5kg more than LS
AAP
Void of early speed but she let down strongly at Penola. Winner this trip on a soft 5. Each way.
ILB
Displayed good finishing speed when 2nd beaten by 1 1/4L last run at Penola but goes up in weight. Looking elsewhere.
RP
Running consistently; not beaten far when second at Penola over 5½f (handicap) 12 days ago.
RSIS
Picked up late ground when 2nd beaten by 1 1/4L last time at Penola but goes up in weight.
Career
31: 4-6-4
Rating · IRD
84
Speed map
Midfield
First-up
3: 0-0-1
Second-up
2: 1-0-0
Third-up
2: 0-2-0
Fourth-up
2: 0-0-1
Track Murray Bridge
9: 0-2-1
Track CurrentTrack
9: 0-2-1
Track Gawler
4: 2-1-0
Distance 1000m
2: 0-0-0
Distance 1050m
5: 1-1-2
Distance 1100m
7: 1-1-1
Going Good
13: 1-2-2
Going Heavy
4: 1-2-0
Going Soft
14: 2-2-2
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -20% POT in their L100 Races
Maps Well
Positive
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 9%
Form At Track
Negative
Yet to win here
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
AAP
Close-up at Murray Bridge Gh 26 Sep. Sent out $31 when never got into the race at Morphettville over this journey. Handles all conditions. Right in the mix.
ILB
Looked flat when 12th last start at Morphettville but will find this grade easier. Good to see Jason Holder is jumping on. Could be in the mix.
RP
Finished towards the rear of 14 (Morphettville) two weeks ago; easy enough to take on.
RSIS
Mediocre attempt when 12th last start at Morphettville but up against a less challenging field. Jason Holder rates highly. Can't leave out of your calculations.
Career
70: 8-5-8
Rating · IRD
78
Speed map
Offpace
First-up
11: 0-1-2
Second-up
10: 1-0-0
Third-up
9: 2-0-1
Fourth-up
7: 2-0-0
Track Halidon
1: 0-0-0
Track Strathalbyn
1: 0-0-0
Track Balaklava
4: 0-1-0
Distance 1250m
5: 0-0-0
Distance 900m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1200m
28: 6-1-3
Going Good
39: 5-0-4
Going Heavy
1: 0-0-0
Going Soft
29: 2-5-4
Jockey ROI
Positive
Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 16% in Last 100 Rides
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Trainer ROI
Positive
Runners from this stable currently going at 11% POT in L100 Runners
Slow Early LS
Negative
Speed data from recent runs suggests slower early splits on avg
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
Winless Prep
Negative
Expect the drought to continue
AAP
Seasoned performer. Off the speed, picked up soundly and wasn't beaten far at Balaklava over this distance. Could add some value to exotics.
ILB
Was $11.00 and finished 5th last time at Balaklava. Won't find this easy.
RP
A course winner; respectable effort when fifth (not far behind Zestiman) at Balaklava two weeks ago; assuming he steps up from most recent effort then poses a threat.
RSIS
At 10/1 came in 5th last time at Balaklava.
Career
13: 1-0-1
Rating · IRD
70
Speed map
Midfield
First-up
2: 1-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Third-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Mount Gambier
6: 1-0-0
Track Penola
2: 0-0-0
Track Naracoorte
3: 0-0-0
Distance 1400m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1430m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1550m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
9: 0-0-1
Going Soft
4: 1-0-0
Jockey ROI
Positive
Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 24% in Last 100 Rides
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -34% POT in their L100 Races
Trainer ROI
Positive
Runners from this stable currently going at 20% POT in L100 Runners
Hot Jockey
Positive
Brooke King in hot recent form, out performing market expectation by 44%
Maps Well
Positive
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 14%
Blinkers On
Positive
Trainer has opted for the Blinkers on, take note
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
AAP
Largely struggled in her post maiden runs. Raced in back half and never likely at Penola. Prefer others.
ILB
Started $16.00 and finished 8th last time at Penola. Expected to settle towards the tail. Cannot make a case for.
RP
Slumped a bit since winning a handicap at Mt Gambier last November; held when eighth beaten 9l two weeks ago at Penola upped to 6½f; others appeal more.
RSIS
Started at 15/1 and came in 8th last start at Penola. Likely to get back.
Career
42: 7-6-2
Rating · IRD
77
Speed map
Midfield
First-up
8: 3-1-1
Second-up
7: 1-1-1
Third-up
6: 1-2-0
Fourth-up
4: 1-0-0
Track Oakbank
1: 0-0-0
Track Ballarat
1: 0-1-0
Track Morphettville
15: 2-2-0
Distance 900m
1: 1-0-0
Distance 1000m
13: 2-1-1
Distance 1050m
5: 1-0-0
Going Soft
15: 3-2-1
Going Synthetic
4: 2-1-1
Going Good
20: 2-2-0
Rider SR
Positive
Jockey recent POT is 20% better than Career Avg.
Trainer Career
Negative
Trainer Career S/R is 5%
Trainer Recent
Negative
Stable runners are currently underperforming market by 21%
Fitness
Positive
At peak fitness backing up
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
AAP
On a short back-up. Sent out $26 when never got into the race at Morphettville over this trip. Remote place hope at best.
ILB
On a short back up. Was $26.00 and disappointing display when 8th last run at Morphettville. Appears tested.
RP
Close up behind Zestiman when eighth (Morphettville) on Saturday; brings winning C&D form to the table.
RSIS
Racing on a quick back up. Was 25/1 and not up to scratch when 8th last time at Morphettville.
Career
50: 6-4-5
Rating · IRD
20
Speed map
Offmidfield
First-up
5: 0-0-1
Second-up
4: 0-0-1
Third-up
4: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
4: 1-1-0
Track Canberra
1: 0-0-0
Track Morphettville
5: 0-0-0
Track Gundagai
2: 0-0-0
Distance 2200m
4: 1-0-1
Distance 1200m
4: 0-0-0
Distance 1425m
2: 1-0-1
Going Good
30: 4-2-5
Going Heavy
4: 1-1-0
Going Soft
15: 1-1-0
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -23% POT in their L100 Races
Dist S/R
Negative
Poor performer at the distance
Back in Dist
Negative
Dropping back to a less suitable distance range
Resuming
Negative
Poor strike rate when first up
Blinkers Off
Positive
Blinkers coming off this start
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
AAP
Resuming (28-weeks). Better suited to longer assignments these days. Pitted against better company last prep but prefer to see after a lengthy absence.
ILB
Resumes after a 28 week spell. Ran 8th last run at Morphettville but matched against less formidable competition. The large claim from Alyssa Webb helps.
RP
She can be competitive at this level; was eighth of 12, beaten 6l, at Morphettville over 1m4½f (handicap) in April; back from an absence here.
RSIS
Resuming after a 28 week break. Ran 8th last run at Morphettville but back in an easier grade. Large claim helps but dropping back to a shorter trip.