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Murray Bridge (SA) horses tips & previews

One race at a time: field, form guide and win/place odds for Murray Bridge (SA), with capture times on every price.

Meeting — Wed 28 Oct, 11:00 am AEDT

Meetings · Wed, 28 OctMurray Bridge (SA)Change

Race 5 — Vinidex & Philmac Hcp (60) 1200m · jumps

Race preview

Welcome to Murray Bridge for the Vinidex & Philmac Hcp (60) over 1200m on a good 4 surface under overcast skies. Punters eye off a fascinating restricted field where the market has gravitated towards Zestiman at the head of affairs, followed closely by Shaddap, Taking Omaha, and Nosie By Nature in the early win market order. It is a competitive race where the yarn on the track points to a genuinely run affair with plenty of speed influences drawn across the map.

Taking a closer look at the form behind those shorter prices, Zestiman comes into this assignment on a short back-up after placing in handicap 58 grade at Balaklava before finding the going tough late at Morphettville over this trip. He maps forward alongside Nosie By Nature, who resumes here following a twenty-week break after taking out a Mildura event last campaign. Taking Omaha is another worth noting, stripping fitter following an unsuccessful return in handicap 64 grade at Morphettville where she settled well back and failed to make an impact.

Further down the line, runners like Aloha Blue map nicely for the circuit and have previously outperformed market expectations locally, while Nicaloha catches the eye coming off a fast-finishing effort last start with the fastest overall finishing sectionals. With speed groups well distributed across leaders and midfield runners, punters looking for a bit of value can weigh up the stable form and recent barrier trial efforts as they line up for a cracking contest.

Race notes

  • 0-60,0-60 HCP,Restricted 60
  • GOOD4
  • Overcast
  • 11 runners

Shortest win price

Zestiman (4)

3.50

Most career wins

Outpost

8-5-8 from 70 starts

Speed map

Back left · leaders right

Backmarker

  • 6Angelic Appeal

Midfield

  • 9Aloha Blue
  • 3Shaddap
  • 11Sunset Prayer
  • 12Startide
  • 1Nicaloha

Offpace

  • 8Brazen Queen
  • 10Outpost

Onpace

  • 5Taking Omaha

Leader

  • 2Nosie By Nature
  • 4Zestiman
  • Nicaloha · Positive

    Fast Finisher

    Fastest Overall Finishing Sectionals Last Start

  • Nosie By Nature · Positive

    Hot J/T Combo

    Combo are winning 26% POT in their L100 Races

  • Shaddap · Negative

    Jockey Booking

    Alysha Warren current POT is 66% below Career Avg.

  • Zestiman · Positive

    Rider SR

    Jockey recent POT is 19% better than Career Avg.

No.RunnerBarWgtLast 5WinPlace
1NicalohaJ: Noel Callow·T: Rachel Samsonenko160kg5 5 11 3 19: 1-1-2$8.50$2.70

Career

9: 1-1-2

Rating · IRD

79

Speed map

Midfield

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey40%
  • Trainer20%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
  • Early Speed20%
  • Rating40%
  • Closing Speed60%

Record

  • First-up

    2: 0-0-0

  • Second-up

    1: 0-0-1

  • Third-up

    1: 1-0-0

  • Track Ararat

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Murray Bridge

    1: 0-0-1

  • Track CurrentTrack

    1: 0-0-1

  • Distance 1000m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1200m

    6: 1-1-2

  • Distance 1250m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Good

    5: 1-1-0

  • Going Soft

    4: 0-0-2

Last starts

  1. 1Mount Gambier1200m7 Oct 2026 · 3UP MDN-SW · GOOD4-2.17
  2. 3Mount Gambier1200m20 Sept 2026 · 3UP MDN-SW · SOFT52.11L
  3. 11Warracknabeal1200m29 Aug 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD47L
  4. 5Ararat1300m25 Nov 2025 · 3yo+ · GOOD33.5L
  5. 5Bordertown1200m14 Nov 2025 · 3UP MDN-SW · GOOD6.7L
  6. 10Morphettville1250m23 Aug 2025 · 4UP MDN-SW · SOFT56.4L
  7. 3Murray Bridge1200m2 Aug 2025 · 4UP MDN-SW · SOFT60.6L
  8. 2Mildura1200m19 July 2025 · 3Y MDN-SW · GOOD41L

Insights

  • Fast Finisher

    Positive

    Fastest Overall Finishing Sectionals Last Start

  • Trainer Career

    Negative

    Trainer Career S/R is 2%

  • Trainer Recent

    Negative

    Stable runners are currently underperforming market by 68%

  • Trainer ROI

    Negative

    Trainers runners currently losing 69% Profit on Turnover

  • Solid Run LS

    Positive

    Won last start

  • Nice Barrier

    Positive

    Well drawn from gate 1

  • Track Exp

    Positive

    Knows this track well

  • Class Rise

    Negative

    Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

Controlled race and kicked away from them at Mt Gambier over this trip. Breaks from a low barrier and worth a look.

ILB

Handy enough when winning by 2 1/4L last run at Mount Gambier and has drawn to do little work. Racing consistently this campaign but will have to carry extra weight. Has some claims.

RP

Has displayed improved form on last two starts; broke his duck at the ninth attempt when in front by just over 2l three weeks ago at Mt Gambier in a maiden; despite that Mt Gambier success, looks opposable.

RSIS

Displayed potential when winning by 2 1/4L last start at Mount Gambier and gets the perfect stall. Tracking very well lately but has to carry more weight this time.

2Nosie By NatureJ: Jackson Murphy·T: Aaron Bain & Ned Taylor1160kg2 4 5 1 718: 2-3-3$7.00$2.45

Career

18: 2-3-3

Rating · IRD

87

Speed map

Leader

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey80%
  • Trainer80%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
  • Early Speed100%
  • Rating60%
  • Closing Speed40%

Record

  • First-up

    4: 1-2-1

  • Second-up

    3: 0-0-0

  • Third-up

    2: 0-0-0

  • Fourth-up

    2: 1-0-1

  • Track Gawler

    1: 0-1-0

  • Track Balaklava

    1: 0-0-1

  • Track Oakbank

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 900m

    1: 0-1-0

  • Distance 1000m

    2: 0-0-1

  • Distance 1050m

    7: 1-1-2

  • Going Good

    14: 2-2-3

  • Going Heavy

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Soft

    2: 0-1-0

Last starts

  1. 7Mount Gambier1200m10 June 2026 · BM66 · HEAVY912.6L
  2. 1Mildura1200m24 May 2026 · 2UP BM56 HCP · GOOD4-0.3
  3. 5Strathalbyn1100m17 May 2026 · CL1 · GOOD42L
  4. 4Oakbank1100m6 Apr 2026 · CL1 · SOFT51.4L
  5. 2Morphettville1050m9 Mar 2026 · 0-62 · GOOD40.8L
  6. 7Morphettville1200m12 Dec 2025 · CG&E 0-62 · GOOD34.7L
  7. 2Gawler1200m26 Nov 2025 · CL1 · GOOD40.6L
  8. 3Balaklava1050m12 Nov 2025 · BM56 · GOOD35.1L

Insights

  • Hot J/T Combo

    Positive

    Combo are winning 26% POT in their L100 Races

  • Early Splits

    Positive

    Has early speed. An advantage on this circuit

  • Gave ground LS

    Negative

    Faded towards the finish last time out

  • Resuming

    Negative

    Poor strike rate when first up

  • Well Placed

    Positive

    Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

First-up (20-weeks). In the minors at Morphettville first-up last campaign. Can play a role fresh in this company if he gets the breaks.

ILB

First up from a break of 20 weeks and finished well when 2nd first up last preparation at Morphettville. Must be considered here.

RP

No impression when seventh of nine at Mt Gambier five months ago; has had some time off; others appeal more.

RSIS

Resuming and improved to place when 2nd beaten by 3/4L resuming last preparation at Morphettville. Has the necessary pace to mitistall the wide draw. Will go close.

3ShaddapJ: Alysha Warren·T: Gary Boyce660kg7 3 4 5 318: 3-0-3$9.00$2.75

Career

18: 3-0-3

Rating · IRD

79

Speed map

Midfield

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey20%
  • Trainer100%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
  • Early Speed80%
  • Rating40%
  • Closing Speed50%

Record

  • First-up

    3: 1-0-0

  • Second-up

    2: 0-0-0

  • Third-up

    2: 1-0-0

  • Fourth-up

    2: 0-0-1

  • Track Mount Gambier

    2: 0-0-1

  • Track Randwick

    2: 0-0-0

  • Track Orange

    2: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1000m

    2: 1-0-0

  • Distance 1100m

    2: 1-0-0

  • Distance 1200m

    6: 0-0-2

  • Going Good

    9: 1-0-1

  • Going Heavy

    4: 1-0-0

  • Going Soft

    5: 1-0-2

Last starts

  1. 3Balaklava1000m15 Oct 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)7L
  2. 5Morphettville1000m28 Sept 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)8.3L
  3. 4Mount Gambier1400m10 June 2026 · BM58 · HEAVY97L
  4. 3Mount Gambier1200m22 May 2026 · BM58 · SOFT76.1L
  5. 7Murray Bridge1000m7 May 2026 · Barrier Trial · SOFT(5)3L
  6. 3Wellington1400m10 Apr 2026 · BM58 · GOOD40.9L
  7. 5Orange1280m22 Mar 2026 · BM58 · GOOD43.3L
  8. 6Cowra950m9 Mar 2026 · BM58 · GOOD43.4L

Insights

  • Jockey Booking

    Negative

    Alysha Warren current POT is 66% below Career Avg.

  • Rider

    Negative

    Negative rider change today

  • Hot J/T Combo

    Positive

    Combo are out performing market expectations by 44%

  • Trainer ROI

    Positive

    Runners from this stable currently going at 21% POT in L100 Runners

  • Rider Poor SR

    Negative

    Jockey underperforming market expectations by 69% in L100 rides

  • Early Sectionals

    Negative

    Recent sectional data suggests slow early pace

  • Dist S/R

    Negative

    Poor performer at the distance

  • Better for last start

    Positive

    Improved with last few runs

Comments

AAP

First-up (20-weeks). Third run now in new stable/region. Winless since 3 Aug 2025 but was close in Benchmark 58 company at Bathurst first-up last campaign. Check betting.

ILB

Resuming after a break. Started at $6.00 and edged past some when finishing 4th last start at Mount Gambier on a heavy surface. Do not dismiss.

RP

Missed the frame (beaten 7l into fourth) over 7f at Mt Gambier (handicap) five months ago; producing solid form figures; back from an absence here; makes limited appeal.

RSIS

Resuming after a break. Odds of 5/1 and was making up some late ground when 4th last time at Mount Gambier on a heavy rated track.

4ZestimanJ: Jake Toeroek·T: Scott Whittle560kg9 10 7 3 537: 4-4-6$3.50$1.50

Career

37: 4-4-6

Rating · IRD

100

Speed map

Leader

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey100%
  • Trainer100%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
  • Early Speed100%
  • Rating100%
  • Closing Speed40%

Record

  • First-up

    4: 1-0-0

  • Second-up

    3: 0-0-0

  • Third-up

    3: 1-1-0

  • Fourth-up

    3: 1-0-1

  • Track Flemington

    3: 1-0-0

  • Track Murray Bridge

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Randwick

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1207m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1240m

    1: 0-0-1

  • Distance 1250m

    4: 0-1-0

  • Going Good

    25: 3-3-4

  • Going Soft

    11: 1-1-1

  • Going Synthetic

    1: 0-0-1

Last starts

  1. 5Morphettville1200m24 Oct 2026 · 0-62 · SOFT54.91L
  2. 3Balaklava1200m14 Oct 2026 · 0-58 · GOOD41.14L
  3. 7Morphettville1400m19 Sept 2026 · CG&E 0-64 · GOOD47.1L
  4. 10Morphettville1250m5 Sept 2026 · BM64 · SOFT68.8L
  5. 9Morphettville1200m29 Aug 2026 · 0-68 · SOFT78.9L
  6. 3Morphettville1050m8 Aug 2026 · 4UP 0-64 · SOFT71.6L
  7. 6Alice Springs1400m12 July 2026 · 0 - 76 · GOOD17.5L
  8. 2Alice Springs1400m21 June 2026 · BMNT 66 · GOOD0.1L

Insights

  • Rider SR

    Positive

    Jockey recent POT is 19% better than Career Avg.

  • Cold J/T Combo

    Negative

    Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races

  • Early Splits

    Positive

    Has early speed. An advantage on this circuit

  • Fitness

    Positive

    At peak fitness backing up

  • Well Placed

    Positive

    Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

On a short back-up. Placed Hcp (58) at Balaklava 14 Oct. On pace but found little at the business end at Morphettville over this distance. Well into preparation now, right in the mix.

ILB

On a quick turnaround. Was $11.00 and found wanting late when 5th last run at Morphettville. Should jump out and bowl along. Expected to be competitive.

RP

Grade looks suitable; not disgraced when fifth of 11 (Morphettville) at the weekend; strong claims.

RSIS

On a quick back up. Started at 10/1 and peaked on the run when 5th last time at Morphettville. Likely to be well placed early. Expected to be competitive.

5Taking OmahaJ: Rochelle Milnes·T: Cody Reardon259.5kg5 1 3 2 1326: 3-2-6$7.00$2.45

Career

26: 3-2-6

Rating · IRD

96

Speed map

Onpace

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey40%
  • Trainer100%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
  • Early Speed80%
  • Rating80%
  • Closing Speed40%

Record

  • First-up

    4: 0-0-1

  • Second-up

    2: 0-0-0

  • Third-up

    2: 0-0-1

  • Fourth-up

    1: 1-0-0

  • Track Morphettville

    11: 0-0-5

  • Track Strathalbyn

    1: 0-1-0

  • Track Murray Bridge

    6: 0-1-0

  • Distance 1050m

    4: 0-0-1

  • Distance 1100m

    5: 1-0-0

  • Distance 1107m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Good

    21: 3-2-5

  • Going Heavy

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Soft

    4: 0-0-1

Last starts

  1. 13Morphettville1200m10 Oct 2026 · 0-64 · GOOD35.69L
  2. 2Morphettville1000m28 Sept 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)0.4L
  3. 3Morphettville1250m16 May 2026 · Benchmark 64 · SOFT52.3L
  4. 1Bordertown1200m1 May 2026 · 0-54 · GOOD3-0.9
  5. 5Morphettville1200m11 Apr 2026 · 0 - 64 · SOFT63.5L
  6. 6Balaklava1050m22 Feb 2026 · 0-56 · GOOD44.1L
  7. 6Murray Bridge1000m4 Feb 2026 · 4UP BM56 · GOOD41.7L
  8. 8Gawler1107m3 Jan 2026 · CL2 · GOOD48.7L

Insights

  • Cold J/T Combo

    Negative

    Combo are losing -29% POT in their L100 Races

  • Gave ground LS

    Negative

    Faded towards the finish last time out

  • Nice Barrier

    Positive

    Well drawn from gate 2

  • Form At Track

    Negative

    Yet to win here

  • Well Placed

    Positive

    Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Settled back and didn't figure off spell in the Hcp (64) at Morphettville. Strips in better shape. Major player here.

ILB

Started at $10.00 and was well beaten when 13th last run at Morphettville. Can show a better performance this time and competing at a lower grade. Shows good early pace. Will be fighting out the finish.

RP

Finished towards the rear of 14 (Morphettville) two weeks ago; useful in this grade; some claims if in the same mood as when achieving most recent success.

RSIS

Started 9/1 and weakened under pressure when 13th last time at Morphettville. Can make a comeback and lining up against easier rivals. Should muster plenty of early pace. Will show up at the business end.

6Angelic AppealJ: Campbell Rawiller·T: Hannah Bryce1059kg3 5 7 9 1439: 4-4-7$9.00$2.75

Career

39: 4-4-7

Rating · IRD

75

Speed map

Backmarker

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey20%
  • Trainer20%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
  • Early Speed100%
  • Rating40%
  • Closing Speed40%

Record

  • First-up

    3: 0-1-1

  • Second-up

    2: 1-0-0

  • Third-up

    1: 0-1-0

  • Fourth-up

    1: 1-0-0

  • Track Morphettville

    23: 2-2-3

  • Track Murray Bridge

    10: 2-2-2

  • Track CurrentTrack

    10: 2-2-2

  • Distance 1250m

    3: 1-0-0

  • Distance 1400m

    21: 3-1-5

  • Distance 1412m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Good

    30: 4-2-6

  • Going Heavy

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Soft

    8: 0-2-1

Last starts

  1. 14Morphettville1550m14 Feb 2026 · BM62 · GOOD313.5L
  2. 9Mount Gambier1412m25 Jan 2026 · BM64 · GOOD415.7L
  3. 7Murray Bridge1400m10 Jan 2026 · BM66 · GOOD44.2L
  4. 5Murray Bridge1400m20 Dec 2025 · BM72 · GOOD43.3L
  5. 3Morphettville1400m29 Nov 2025 · Benchmark 64 · GOOD47.2L
  6. 5Morphettville1400m8 Nov 2025 · BM72 · GOOD43.1L
  7. 14Gawler1500m24 Oct 2025 · GAWL CUP · SOFT613.9L
  8. 3Murray Bridge1400m11 Oct 2025 · BM72 · GOOD41.3L

Insights

  • Trainer SR

    Negative

    Hannah Bryce striking at just 3%

  • Cold J/T Combo

    Negative

    Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races

  • Trainer A2E

    Negative

    Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 47%

  • Early Splits

    Positive

    Has early speed. An advantage on this circuit

  • Well beaten LS

    Negative

    Not competitive last run

  • Dist S/R

    Negative

    Poor performer at the distance

  • Back in Dist

    Negative

    Dropping back to a less suitable distance range

  • Resuming

    Negative

    Poor strike rate when first up

Comments

AAP

First-up (36-weeks). Ex Gary & Dean Alexander in SA. Long winless run but went desperately close in Restricted 62 company at Murray Bridge Gh first-up last prep. Betting.

ILB

Resumes after a break of 36 weeks. Started $26.00 and weakened under pressure when 14th last start at Morphettville and will be down in distance. May find these too slick.

RP

Finished last of 14 over 7½f at Morphettville (handicap) in February; has won here previously; representing new trainer today; returning from a layoff here; competitive shout as has been on the scene in the recent past.

RSIS

Resuming after a 36 week break. Started 25/1 and didn't threaten when 14th last run at Morphettville and will be down in distance. Change in trainer.

7AttainScratched12––––

Rating · IRD

20

Figures

  • Jockey50%
  • Trainer40%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo50%
  • Early Speed50%
  • Rating50%
  • Closing Speed80%

Insights

  • Ran On Hard LS

    Positive

    Ran on well last start

  • Track Exp

    Positive

    Knows this track well

  • Win Drought

    Negative

    Not won for a while

Comments

AAP

Long winning drought but ran on with some conviction from back half at Horsham at longer odds. Looks up against it.

ILB

Odds of $19.00 and made some ground when 5th last run at Horsham.

RSIS

At 18/1 moved through the field into 5th last run at Horsham.

8Brazen QueenJ: Kayla Crowther·T: D I Dodson458.5kg6 6 1 4 211: 1-3-0$18.00$3.80

Career

11: 1-3-0

Rating · IRD

71

Speed map

Offpace

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey20%
  • Trainer100%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
  • Early Speed100%
  • Rating40%
  • Closing Speed80%

Record

  • First-up

    2: 0-0-0

  • Second-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Third-up

    1: 0-1-0

  • Fourth-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Bordertown

    1: 0-1-0

  • Track Warracknabeal

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Geelong

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1100m

    1: 0-1-0

  • Distance 1150m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1200m

    5: 1-1-0

  • Going Soft

    5: 1-2-0

  • Going Good

    2: 0-0-0

  • Going Heavy

    4: 0-1-0

Last starts

  1. 2Penola1075m16 Oct 2026 · BM68 · SOFT51.33L
  2. 4Gawler1200m5 Oct 2026 · BM56 · GOOD42.78L
  3. 1Mount Gambier1200m20 Sept 2026 · 3UP MDN-SW · SOFT5-1.57
  4. 6Warracknabeal1200m29 Aug 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD44L
  5. 6Murray Bridge1400m5 Aug 2026 · 3UP MDN-SW · SOFT52.6L
  6. 2Murray Bridge1200m22 July 2026 · 2UP MDN-SW · SOFT50.3L
  7. 7Mount Gambier1200m12 July 2026 · 3UP MDN-SW · HEAVY1012.4L
  8. 2Bordertown1100m28 June 2026 · 2UP MDN-SW · HEAVY80L

Insights

  • Rider

    Negative

    Negative rider change today

  • Profitable Trainer

    Positive

    Stable runners going at 21% POT in L100 Runners

  • Ran On Hard LS

    Positive

    Ran on well last start

  • Improved L/S

    Positive

    Improved again last start

  • Well Placed

    Positive

    Drops back to a suitable class

  • Weight Rise

    Negative

    Carrying 4.5kg more than LS

Comments

AAP

Void of early speed but she let down strongly at Penola. Winner this trip on a soft 5. Each way.

ILB

Displayed good finishing speed when 2nd beaten by 1 1/4L last run at Penola but goes up in weight. Looking elsewhere.

RP

Running consistently; not beaten far when second at Penola over 5½f (handicap) 12 days ago.

RSIS

Picked up late ground when 2nd beaten by 1 1/4L last time at Penola but goes up in weight.

9Aloha BlueJ: Jason Holder·T: Kate Halliday858kg2 1 7 5 1231: 4-6-4$10.00$3.10

Career

31: 4-6-4

Rating · IRD

84

Speed map

Midfield

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey40%
  • Trainer80%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo60%
  • Early Speed80%
  • Rating60%
  • Closing Speed60%

Record

  • First-up

    3: 0-0-1

  • Second-up

    2: 1-0-0

  • Third-up

    2: 0-2-0

  • Fourth-up

    2: 0-0-1

  • Track Murray Bridge

    9: 0-2-1

  • Track CurrentTrack

    9: 0-2-1

  • Track Gawler

    4: 2-1-0

  • Distance 1000m

    2: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1050m

    5: 1-1-2

  • Distance 1100m

    7: 1-1-1

  • Going Good

    13: 1-2-2

  • Going Heavy

    4: 1-2-0

  • Going Soft

    14: 2-2-2

Last starts

  1. 12Morphettville1200m10 Oct 2026 · 0-64 · GOOD34.79L
  2. 5Murray Bridge1100m26 Sept 2026 · 0-64 · GOOD42.04L
  3. 7Murray Bridge1200m9 Sept 2026 · BM56 · GOOD45.9L
  4. 1Strathalbyn1200m30 Aug 2026 · F&M 0-56 · SOFT7-1.3
  5. 2Murray Bridge1100m12 Aug 2026 · 0-56 · HEAVY80.6L
  6. 3Balaklava1050m26 July 2026 · BM56 · SOFT71.4L
  7. 2Morphettville1050m8 July 2026 · BM56 · SOFT70.1L
  8. 6Balaklava1200m26 June 2026 · 4UP BM56 · SOFT73.6L

Insights

  • Cold J/T Combo

    Negative

    Combo are losing -20% POT in their L100 Races

  • Maps Well

    Positive

    Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 9%

  • Form At Track

    Negative

    Yet to win here

  • Well Placed

    Positive

    Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Close-up at Murray Bridge Gh 26 Sep. Sent out $31 when never got into the race at Morphettville over this journey. Handles all conditions. Right in the mix.

ILB

Looked flat when 12th last start at Morphettville but will find this grade easier. Good to see Jason Holder is jumping on. Could be in the mix.

RP

Finished towards the rear of 14 (Morphettville) two weeks ago; easy enough to take on.

RSIS

Mediocre attempt when 12th last start at Morphettville but up against a less challenging field. Jason Holder rates highly. Can't leave out of your calculations.

10OutpostJ: Caitlin Tootell·T: G Karayannis957kg6 2 5 7 570: 8-5-8$13.00$3.60

Career

70: 8-5-8

Rating · IRD

78

Speed map

Offpace

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey100%
  • Trainer100%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
  • Early Speed80%
  • Rating40%
  • Closing Speed60%

Record

  • First-up

    11: 0-1-2

  • Second-up

    10: 1-0-0

  • Third-up

    9: 2-0-1

  • Fourth-up

    7: 2-0-0

  • Track Halidon

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Strathalbyn

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Balaklava

    4: 0-1-0

  • Distance 1250m

    5: 0-0-0

  • Distance 900m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1200m

    28: 6-1-3

  • Going Good

    39: 5-0-4

  • Going Heavy

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Soft

    29: 2-5-4

Last starts

  1. 5Balaklava1200m14 Oct 2026 · 0-58 · GOOD42.24L
  2. 7Gawler1200m5 Oct 2026 · BM56 · GOOD44.31L
  3. 5Gawler1100m23 Sept 2026 · 0-56 · GOOD43.28L
  4. 2Bordertown1200m11 Sept 2026 · 0-54 · SOFT60.3L
  5. 6Strathalbyn1350m19 Aug 2026 · BM56 · SOFT78.7L
  6. 6Morphettville1050m8 Aug 2026 · 4UP 0-64 · SOFT76.3L
  7. 8Morphettville1100m25 July 2026 · 0-64 · SOFT77.6L
  8. 6Morphettville1050m8 July 2026 · BM56 · SOFT72.6L

Insights

  • Jockey ROI

    Positive

    Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 16% in Last 100 Rides

  • Cold J/T Combo

    Negative

    Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races

  • Trainer ROI

    Positive

    Runners from this stable currently going at 11% POT in L100 Runners

  • Slow Early LS

    Negative

    Speed data from recent runs suggests slower early splits on avg

  • Class Rise

    Negative

    Racing in stronger company

  • Winless Prep

    Negative

    Expect the drought to continue

Comments

AAP

Seasoned performer. Off the speed, picked up soundly and wasn't beaten far at Balaklava over this distance. Could add some value to exotics.

ILB

Was $11.00 and finished 5th last time at Balaklava. Won't find this easy.

RP

A course winner; respectable effort when fifth (not far behind Zestiman) at Balaklava two weeks ago; assuming he steps up from most recent effort then poses a threat.

RSIS

At 10/1 came in 5th last time at Balaklava.

11Sunset PrayerJ: Brooke King·T: D C Saxon754kg5 14 4 7 813: 1-0-1$51.00$7.50

Career

13: 1-0-1

Rating · IRD

70

Speed map

Midfield

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey100%
  • Trainer100%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
  • Early Speed20%
  • Rating40%
  • Closing Speed60%

Record

  • First-up

    2: 1-0-0

  • Second-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Third-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Mount Gambier

    6: 1-0-0

  • Track Penola

    2: 0-0-0

  • Track Naracoorte

    3: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1400m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1430m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1550m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Good

    9: 0-0-1

  • Going Soft

    4: 1-0-0

Last starts

  1. 8Penola1300m16 Oct 2026 · 0-54 · SOFT58.53L
  2. 7Mount Gambier900m7 Oct 2026 · 0-56 · GOOD43.89L
  3. 4Mount Gambier900m20 Sept 2026 · 0-54 · SOFT50.57L
  4. 14Mount Gambier1400m22 May 2026 · 0-54 · SOFT716.8L
  5. 5Bordertown1550m1 May 2026 · 0-54 · GOOD31.9L
  6. 7Naracoorte1100m19 Apr 2026 · 0-54 · GOOD45.05L
  7. 4Mount Gambier1211m13 Mar 2026 · 0-56 · GOOD42L
  8. 12Naracoorte1430m8 Feb 2026 · BM58 · GOOD413L

Insights

  • Jockey ROI

    Positive

    Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 24% in Last 100 Rides

  • Cold J/T Combo

    Negative

    Combo are losing -34% POT in their L100 Races

  • Trainer ROI

    Positive

    Runners from this stable currently going at 20% POT in L100 Runners

  • Hot Jockey

    Positive

    Brooke King in hot recent form, out performing market expectation by 44%

  • Maps Well

    Positive

    Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 14%

  • Blinkers On

    Positive

    Trainer has opted for the Blinkers on, take note

  • Class Rise

    Negative

    Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

Largely struggled in her post maiden runs. Raced in back half and never likely at Penola. Prefer others.

ILB

Started $16.00 and finished 8th last time at Penola. Expected to settle towards the tail. Cannot make a case for.

RP

Slumped a bit since winning a handicap at Mt Gambier last November; held when eighth beaten 9l two weeks ago at Penola upped to 6½f; others appeal more.

RSIS

Started at 15/1 and came in 8th last start at Penola. Likely to get back.

12StartideJ: Todd Pannell·T: Ms K Byrnes358kg15 8 3 10 842: 7-6-2$10.00$3.10

Career

42: 7-6-2

Rating · IRD

77

Speed map

Midfield

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey100%
  • Trainer60%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
  • Early Speed100%
  • Rating40%
  • Closing Speed80%

Record

  • First-up

    8: 3-1-1

  • Second-up

    7: 1-1-1

  • Third-up

    6: 1-2-0

  • Fourth-up

    4: 1-0-0

  • Track Oakbank

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Ballarat

    1: 0-1-0

  • Track Morphettville

    15: 2-2-0

  • Distance 900m

    1: 1-0-0

  • Distance 1000m

    13: 2-1-1

  • Distance 1050m

    5: 1-0-0

  • Going Soft

    15: 3-2-1

  • Going Synthetic

    4: 2-1-1

  • Going Good

    20: 2-2-0

Last starts

  1. 8Morphettville1200m24 Oct 2026 · 0-62 · SOFT55.68L
  2. 10Murray Bridge1100m3 Oct 2026 · Benchmark 64 · SOFT717.98L
  3. 3Bordertown1200m11 Sept 2026 · BM64 · SOFT61.1L
  4. 8Murray Bridge1000m2 Sept 2026 · BM58 · SOFT51.7L
  5. 15Oakbank1050m4 Apr 2026 · 4UP 0-66 · GOOD48.4L
  6. 4Murray Bridge1200m7 Mar 2026 · F&M 0-62 · GOOD41.7L
  7. 6Morphettville1200m21 Feb 2026 · 0-70 · GOOD41.4L
  8. 4Naracoorte1200m8 Feb 2026 · BM68 · GOOD44.6L

Insights

  • Rider SR

    Positive

    Jockey recent POT is 20% better than Career Avg.

  • Trainer Career

    Negative

    Trainer Career S/R is 5%

  • Trainer Recent

    Negative

    Stable runners are currently underperforming market by 21%

  • Fitness

    Positive

    At peak fitness backing up

  • Well Placed

    Positive

    Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

On a short back-up. Sent out $26 when never got into the race at Morphettville over this trip. Remote place hope at best.

ILB

On a short back up. Was $26.00 and disappointing display when 8th last run at Morphettville. Appears tested.

RP

Close up behind Zestiman when eighth (Morphettville) on Saturday; brings winning C&D form to the table.

RSIS

Racing on a quick back up. Was 25/1 and not up to scratch when 8th last time at Morphettville.

13GreatestofeaseScratched8––––

Career

50: 6-4-5

Rating · IRD

20

Speed map

Offmidfield

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey50%
  • Trainer80%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo60%
  • Early Speed100%
  • Rating20%
  • Closing Speed80%

Record

  • First-up

    5: 0-0-1

  • Second-up

    4: 0-0-1

  • Third-up

    4: 0-0-0

  • Fourth-up

    4: 1-1-0

  • Track Canberra

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Morphettville

    5: 0-0-0

  • Track Gundagai

    2: 0-0-0

  • Distance 2200m

    4: 1-0-1

  • Distance 1200m

    4: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1425m

    2: 1-0-1

  • Going Good

    30: 4-2-5

  • Going Heavy

    4: 1-1-0

  • Going Soft

    15: 1-1-0

Last starts

  1. 8Morphettville2535m11 Apr 2026 · 0-66 · SOFT65.7L
  2. 15Oakbank1900m4 Apr 2026 · 1MW-LY BM72 · GOOD411.2L
  3. 8Strathalbyn2050m25 Mar 2026 · BM56 · GOOD410.6L
  4. 9Morphettville2275m14 Mar 2026 · BM68 · GOOD411.8L
  5. 4Kangaroo Island1880m21 Feb 2026 · BM72 HCP · GOOD43L
  6. 8Lock1900m15 Feb 2026 · Benchmark 7011L
  7. 8Morphettville2000m31 Jan 2026 · 0-64 · GOOD45.73L
  8. 1Oakbank2150m9 Jan 2026 · BM56 · GOOD3-0.3

Insights

  • Cold J/T Combo

    Negative

    Combo are losing -23% POT in their L100 Races

  • Dist S/R

    Negative

    Poor performer at the distance

  • Back in Dist

    Negative

    Dropping back to a less suitable distance range

  • Resuming

    Negative

    Poor strike rate when first up

  • Blinkers Off

    Positive

    Blinkers coming off this start

  • Well Placed

    Positive

    Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Resuming (28-weeks). Better suited to longer assignments these days. Pitted against better company last prep but prefer to see after a lengthy absence.

ILB

Resumes after a 28 week spell. Ran 8th last run at Morphettville but matched against less formidable competition. The large claim from Alyssa Webb helps.

RP

She can be competitive at this level; was eighth of 12, beaten 6l, at Morphettville over 1m4½f (handicap) in April; back from an absence here.

RSIS

Resuming after a 28 week break. Ran 8th last run at Morphettville but back in an easier grade. Large claim helps but dropping back to a shorter trip.

Odds correct as at . Odds can change.

Past meetings

  • Sat 3 Oct, 10:00 am AEST · 9 races
  • Sat 26 Sept, 10:00 am AEST · 9 races
  • Wed 9 Sept, 10:00 am AEST · 8 races
  • Wed 2 Sept, 10:00 am AEST · 9 races