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Randwick (NSW) horses tips & previews

One race at a time: field, form guide and win/place odds for Randwick (NSW), with capture times on every price.

Meeting — Sat 3 Oct, 10:00 am AEST

Meetings · Sat, 3 OctRandwick (NSW)Change

Race 2 — Arrowfield Breeders' Plate 1000m · jumps

Race preview

Welcome to Randwick for the Arrowfield Breeders' Plate over the 1000m scamper on a Soft 6 surface with showers hanging about. Since this two-year-old Group 3 open contest has already jumped at 12:40 pm AEST, we can look back at how the race was set up and how the market settled its juveniles. Looking at the win market order, Nonu holds the mantle as the shortest runner, closely followed by Capitano, Stasis, and Flying Houdini making up the initial group of fancies.

The form behind those shorter prices tells an interesting story for punters trying to unravel the yarn. Nonu comes in boasting a hefty price tag of $600k out of NZ, representing the Bjorn Baker stable with a sharp trial win at Randwick Kensington where it did it easy by a comfortable margin, drawing barrier 3 for Jason Collett. Capitano, prepared by Michael Freedman and steered by Zac Lloyd from barrier 6, cost $200k and showed plenty of promise when running second in a Randwick Kensington trial, backed by a hot jockey and trainer combination. Stasis, hailing from the Waterhouse and Bott yard with Adam Hyeronimus in the saddle from gate 4, placed in a soft track trial and rates strongly.

Digging a bit further into the data pack, Flying Houdini adds another interesting angle for the Tulloch Lodge stable, jumping from barrier 2 with Regan Bayliss after a neat trial win at the Kensington track. Every runner in the field is making their career debut as a first starter from the same speed group, adding an extra layer of intrigue to how the race unfolded on the track.

Race notes

  • 2Y C&G GROUP 3 SW,2yo,BRDRS PLTE,Group 3,Open
  • SOFT6
  • Showers
  • 8 runners

Shortest win price

Nonu (8)

2.40

Speed map

Back left · leaders right

Firststart

  • 1Capitano
  • 2Chasing Archer
  • 3Comino
  • 5Flying Houdini
  • 6Lead The Charge
  • 7Lucky Eighteen
  • 8Nonu
  • 10Stasis

  • Capitano · Positive

    Rider SR

    Jockey recent POT is 16% better than Career Avg.

  • Chasing Archer · Positive

    Trainer Form

    In form stable, out performing market expectations 40%

  • Comino · Negative

    Rider

    Negative rider change today

  • Flying Houdini · Negative

    Trainer A2E

    Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 21%

No.RunnerBarWgtLast 5WinPlace
1CapitanoJ: Zac Lloyd·T: Michael Freedman656kg2$3.50$1.28

Rating · IRD

99

Speed map

Firststart

Figures

  • Jockey100%
  • Trainer80%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
  • Early Speed50%
  • Rating100%
  • Closing Speed50%

Last starts

  1. 2Randwick Kensington850m21 Sept 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)0.1L

Insights

  • Rider SR

    Positive

    Jockey recent POT is 16% better than Career Avg.

  • Hot J/T Combo

    Positive

    Combo are winning 29% POT in their L100 Races

  • Hot Jockey

    Positive

    Zac Lloyd in hot recent form, out performing market expectation by 18%

  • Debutant

    Positive

    First race day appearance

Comments

AAP

Trials (1:0-1-0). Cost $200k. Half-brother to four-time winning sprinter Otelo. Makes debut after a handy Randwick-Kensington trial. Zac Lloyd stays aboard for debut. Look to betting.

ILB

First start at the races 2yo by Bivouac for Michael Freedman. Jockey Zac Lloyd is a strong choice aboard. Ran 2nd in a trial at Kensington on Sept 21st. Watch the betting.

RP

Pedigree shows he may improve with time; trainer gets plenty of winning newcomers at this trip; market may guide on this one.

RSIS

Initial appearance 2yo by Bivouac for trainer Michael Freedman. Zac Lloyd rates highly steering. Fitter for a trial at Kensington on Sept 21st. Watch betting.

2Chasing ArcherJ: Winona Costin·T: G R Nickson856kg3$61.00$5.00

Rating · IRD

70

Speed map

Firststart

Figures

  • Jockey40%
  • Trainer100%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
  • Early Speed50%
  • Rating20%
  • Closing Speed50%

Last starts

  1. 3Randwick Kensington850m21 Sept 2026 · Barrier Trial · SOFT(5)1.5L

Insights

  • Trainer Form

    Positive

    In form stable, out performing market expectations 40%

  • Trainer ROI

    Positive

    Runners from this stable currently going at 30% POT in L100 Runners

  • Watch Betting

    Negative

    If supported, follow in

Comments

AAP

Trials (1:0-0-1). $40k yearling. Half brother to Listed winner Megastar Heart. Stepping out for first time after a Randwick-Kensington trial placing 21 Sep. Would need to see some market confidence.

ILB

Initial appearance 2yo by Hitotsu for trainer Gary Nickson. Fitter for a trial at Kensington on Sept 21st. Betting is the best guide.

RP

First rules outing for this two-year-old son of Hitotsu; likely to be thereabouts.

RSIS

Gary Nickson 2yo by Hitotsu having first race appearance. Fitter for a trial at Kensington on Sept 21st.

3CominoJ: Chad Schofield·T: John Thompson756kg5$34.00$4.00

Rating · IRD

79

Speed map

Firststart

Figures

  • Jockey20%
  • Trainer80%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
  • Early Speed50%
  • Rating40%
  • Closing Speed50%

Last starts

  1. 5Randwick Kensington850m21 Sept 2026 · Barrier Trial · SOFT(5)1.1L

Insights

  • Rider

    Negative

    Negative rider change today

  • Market Watch

    Negative

    Keep eye on betting moves

Comments

AAP

Trials (1:0-0-0). $180k yearling. Out of an unraced mare. Wasn't all that far away in only trial Randwick-Kensington. C Schofield sticks for debut. Follow betting leads.

ILB

Debutant 2yo by Brutal for John Thompson. Finished 5th in a barrier trial at Kensington on Sept 21st. Keep your eye on the market.

RP

Pedigree suggests he may get better with age; first competitive racecourse experience; trainer's stats offers some hope; any positivity in the betting should be noted.

RSIS

2yo by Brutal first starter for John Thompson. Ran 5th in a trial at Kensington on Sept 21st.

4FijiScratched9––––

Rating · IRD

99

Speed map

Firststart

Figures

  • Jockey60%
  • Trainer60%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo60%
  • Early Speed50%
  • Rating100%
  • Closing Speed50%

Insights

  • Trainer Form

    Negative

    Stable out of form, losing 20% Profit on Turnover

  • On Debut

    Positive

    First race start

Comments

AAP

Trials (1:1-0-0). $675k yearling. Dam a stakes winner. Full brother Innervisions. Nice trial win. Sticky gate but McDonald offsets that. Big watch.

ILB

2yo by I Am Invincible having first race start for trainer Chris Waller. James Mcdonald is a bonus. Watch the market.

RSIS

Chris Waller 2yo first starter by I Am Invincible. James Mcdonald is a bonus.

5Flying HoudiniJ: Regan Bayliss·T: G Waterhouse & A Bott256kg1$7.00$1.90

Rating · IRD

92

Speed map

Firststart

Figures

  • Jockey40%
  • Trainer60%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo60%
  • Early Speed50%
  • Rating80%
  • Closing Speed50%

Last starts

  1. 1Randwick Kensington850m21 Sept 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)-0.1

Insights

  • Trainer A2E

    Negative

    Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 21%

  • Nice Barrier

    Positive

    Well drawn from gate 2

  • First Starter

    Positive

    Not raced previously

Comments

AAP

Trials (1:1-0-0). Cost $60k. Half brother to stakes-placed Can't Find Snippy. Represents Tulloch Lodge and signalled ability with a solid trial performance at Randwick-Kensington. Drawn well. Odds may prove best guide here.

ILB

2yo by Trapeze Artist having first start for trainer Gai Waterhouse & Adrian Bott and has a positive gate. Winner in a barrier trial at Kensington on Sept 21st. Watch betting.

RP

Related to 5f winner Cavallo Rampante; breeding suggests he may get better with age; sire can inject some quality; trainer has a good record with first-time-out runners here; passed over unless attracting strong support.

RSIS

Initial race appearance 2yo by Trapeze Artist for trainer Gai Waterhouse & Adrian Bott and can find a nice position from the draw. Betting as a guide.

6Lead The ChargeJ: Molly Bourke·T: J G Sargent1056kg2$10.00$2.35

Rating · IRD

75

Speed map

Firststart

Figures

  • Jockey80%
  • Trainer80%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
  • Early Speed50%
  • Rating40%
  • Closing Speed50%

Last starts

  1. 2Randwick Kensington850m21 Sept 2026 · Barrier Trial · SOFT(5)0.7L

Insights

  • Cold J/T Combo

    Negative

    Combo are losing -27% POT in their L100 Races

  • Market Watch

    Negative

    Keep eye on betting moves

Comments

AAP

Trials (1:0-1-0). Cost $75k. Half-brother to stakes-placed Waverley. Lone trial was encouraging at Randwick-Kensington. Molly Bourke on from trials. Sticky gate but betting may provide a clearer picture.

ILB

2yo first starter by Starspangledbanner for John Sargent. Finished 2nd in a barrier trial at Kensington on Sept 21st. Betting as a guide.

RP

Makes competitive race debut; related to Waverley (winner from 1m up to 1m2f); a watching brief the best policy.

RSIS

John Sargent trained 2yo by Starspangledbanner having first start. Ran 2nd in a trial at Kensington on Sept 21st.

7Lucky EighteenJ: Braith Nock·T: John Thompson156kg4$34.00$4.00

Rating · IRD

70

Speed map

Firststart

Figures

  • Jockey20%
  • Trainer80%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
  • Early Speed50%
  • Rating20%
  • Closing Speed50%

Last starts

  1. 4Randwick Kensington850m21 Sept 2026 · Barrier Trial · SOFT(5)3.1L

Insights

  • Jockey Booking

    Negative

    Braith Nock current POT is 44% below Career Avg.

  • Rider

    Negative

    Negative rider change today

  • Cold J/T Combo

    Negative

    Combo are losing -63% POT in their L100 Races

  • Rider Poor SR

    Negative

    Jockey underperforming market expectations by 32% in L100 rides

  • Drawn In

    Positive

    Suited drawn down low

  • Still Learning

    Negative

    No race experience

Comments

AAP

Trials (1:0-0-0). $60k yearling. Dam an unraced half sister to Jennifer Lynn. Just fair behind Fiji in only trial and needs to progress on race day. Benefit of decent alley. Might be one to watch at this stage.

ILB

Trapeze Artist 2yo trained by John Thompson on debut and gets a favourable barrier. Finished 4th in a barrier trial at Kensington on Sept 21st. Respect the betting.

RP

Sire can inject some quality; very interesting with signs of encouragement in profile.

RSIS

Debutant 2yo by Trapeze Artist for John Thompson and drawn beautifully. Ran 4th in a trial at Kensington on Sept 21st.

8NonuJ: Jason Collett·T: Bjorn Baker356kg1$2.40$1.18

Rating · IRD

99

Speed map

Firststart

Figures

  • Jockey60%
  • Trainer100%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
  • Early Speed50%
  • Rating100%
  • Closing Speed50%

Last starts

  1. 1Randwick Kensington850m21 Sept 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)-3.5

Insights

  • Hot J/T Combo

    Positive

    Combo are out performing market expectations by 61%

  • Profitable Trainer

    Positive

    Stable runners going at 18% POT in L100 Runners

  • First Starter

    Positive

    Not raced previously

Comments

AAP

Trials (1:1-0-0). Cost $600k in NZ. By champion horse and first season sire. Bjorn Baker-trained and won only trial in a breeze at Randwick-Kensington. Gets a soft draw. Nice race to kick off in and a genuine chance.

ILB

Career debut 2yo by Anamoe for trainer Bjorn Baker. Won a trial at Kensington on Sept 21st. Watch for a sign in the market.

RP

Trainer has fine record with newcomers at this distance; New Zealander bred; interesting to see how he figures in the betting.

RSIS

Anamoe 2yo trained by Bjorn Baker on debut. Winner in a trial at Kensington on Sept 21st. Watch the market.

9ProverbScratched5––––

Rating · IRD

20

Speed map

Firststart

Figures

  • Jockey20%
  • Trainer80%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
  • Early Speed50%
  • Rating100%
  • Closing Speed50%

Insights

  • On Debut

    Positive

    First race start

Comments

AAP

Trials (1:1-0-0). Cost $700k. Half brother to Regal Gent. Lining up for first race start and looks good to go. Tim Clark stays aboard for debut. Primed to run a big race.

ILB

Michael Freedman 2yo by Written Tycoon having first start. Jockey Tim Clark is an asset. Watch betting.

RSIS

2yo first starter by Written Tycoon for Michael Freedman. Great to see Tim Clark taking the ride.

10StasisJ: Adam Hyeronimus·T: G Waterhouse & A Bott456kg3$5.50$1.60

Rating · IRD

100

Speed map

Firststart

Figures

  • Jockey40%
  • Trainer60%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo40%
  • Early Speed50%
  • Rating100%
  • Closing Speed50%

Last starts

  1. 3Randwick Kensington850m21 Sept 2026 · Barrier Trial · SOFT(5)1.6L

Insights

  • Trainer A2E

    Negative

    Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 21%

  • First Starter

    Positive

    Not raced previously

Comments

AAP

Trials (1:0-0-1). $250k yearling. Just the one trial placing under his belt. Nice gate. Big watch.

ILB

State Of Rest 2yo having first race start for Gai Waterhouse & Adrian Bott. Placed 3rd in a trial at Kensington on Sept 21st. Respect the betting.

RP

Course debutants for this stable should be taken seriously; is respected with signs of encouragement in profile.

RSIS

2yo first starter sired by State Of Rest for Gai Waterhouse & Adrian Bott. Finished 3rd in a trial at Kensington on Sept 21st. Betting as a guide.

Odds correct as at . Odds can change.

Past meetings

  • Tue 3 Nov, 11:00 am AEDT · 10 races
  • Sat 31 Oct, 11:00 am AEDT · 10 races
  • Sat 24 Oct, 11:00 am AEDT · 10 races
  • Sat 17 Oct, 11:00 am AEDT · 10 races
  • Sat 19 Sept, 10:00 am AEST · 10 races
  • Sat 5 Sept, 10:00 am AEST · 10 races