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Randwick (NSW) horses tips & previews

One race at a time: field, form guide and win/place odds for Randwick (NSW), with capture times on every price.

Meeting — Sat 3 Oct, 10:00 am AEST

Meetings · Sat, 3 OctRandwick (NSW)Change

Race 8 — Tab Epsom 1600m · jumps

Race notes

  • 3UP GROUP 1 HCP,3yo+,EPSOM,Group 1,Open
  • SOFT6
  • Showers
  • 16 runners

Shortest win price

Autumn Boy (3)

3.70

Speed map

Back left · leaders right

Backmarker

  • 7Militarize
  • 18Encap

Offmidfield

  • 17Declichy Boulevard
  • 2Tom Kitten
  • 9Vivy Air
  • 16God's Window

Midfield

  • 4Idle Flyer
  • 3Autumn Boy
  • 1Ceolwulf
  • 8Attica

Offpace

  • 6Well Written
  • 15Plymouth

Onpace

  • 12Perfumist
  • 19Mr Miller

Leader

  • 10Fully Lit
  • 13Matcha Latte

  • Ceolwulf · Negative

    Class Rise

    Racing in stronger company

  • Tom Kitten · Negative

    Cold J/T Combo

    Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races

  • Autumn Boy · Positive

    Fast Finisher

    Fastest Overall Finishing Sectionals Last Start

  • Idle Flyer · Negative

    Cold J/T Combo

    Combo are losing -29% POT in their L100 Races

No.RunnerBarWgtLast 5WinPlace
1CeolwulfJ: Chad Schofield·T: Joseph Pride759kg6 6 5 2 330: 7-5-4$9.00$3.00

Career

30: 7-5-4

Speed map

Midfield

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey20%
  • Trainer80%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo80%
  • Early Speed20%
  • Rating50%
  • Closing Speed80%

Record

  • First-up

    7: 0-0-1

  • Second-up

    6: 1-1-0

  • Third-up

    5: 0-1-3

  • Fourth-up

    3: 2-0-0

  • Track Canterbury

    1: 0-0-1

  • Track Warwick Farm

    1: 1-0-0

  • Track Randwick

    20: 3-3-2

  • Distance 1500m

    2: 1-0-1

  • Distance 1600m

    10: 3-1-2

  • Distance 1609m

    1: 1-0-0

  • Going Good

    19: 4-4-3

  • Going Heavy

    4: 2-1-0

  • Going Soft

    7: 1-0-1

Last starts

  1. 3Randwick1600m19 Sept 2026 · 3UP GROUP 2 WFA · GOOD41.6L
  2. 2Randwick1600m5 Sept 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD41.8L
  3. 5Randwick1400m22 Aug 2026 · 3yo+ · SOFT54.6L
  4. 6Randwick1600m28 Feb 2026 · 3yo+ · SOFT55.7L
  5. 6Randwick1400m14 Feb 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD45L
  6. 3Warwick Farm1000m3 Feb 2026 · Barrier Trial1.4L
  7. 6Randwick900m27 Jan 2026 · Barrier Trial3.4L
  8. 1Flemington1600m8 Nov 2025 · 3yo+ · HEAVY9-0.1

Insights

  • Class Rise

    Negative

    Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

2024 Epsom winner. Found enough to place behind Autumn Glow in small field this track over today's trip. Getting fitter and loves the Randwick mile.

RP

A winner over C&D; producing consistent form; finished third beaten 1½l when little between him and Idle Flyer (fourth) 14 days ago in a Group 2; in with a shout.

2Tom KittenJ: Adam Hyeronimus·T: A & S Freedman457.5kg1 1 7 11 1034: 8-3-5$31.00$6.00

Career

34: 8-3-5

Speed map

Offmidfield

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey40%
  • Trainer100%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
  • Early Speed100%
  • Rating50%
  • Closing Speed100%

Record

  • First-up

    8: 3-1-0

  • Second-up

    7: 2-0-1

  • Third-up

    6: 0-1-1

  • Fourth-up

    5: 0-1-1

  • Track Randwick

    14: 2-2-2

  • Track CurrentTrack

    14: 2-2-2

  • Track Caulfield

    4: 1-1-0

  • Distance 2400m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1200m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1500m

    2: 0-0-1

  • Going Heavy

    3: 1-0-1

  • Going Soft

    7: 1-0-0

  • Going Good

    24: 6-3-4

Last starts

  1. 10Caulfield1400m19 Sept 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD34.29L
  2. 11Caulfield1400m29 Aug 2026 · 3yo+ · SOFT65.8L
  3. 7Flemington2000m28 Mar 2026 · 3yo+ · SOFT74.9L
  4. 1Flemington1600m7 Mar 2026 · ALL-STAR MILE · GOOD3-0.4
  5. 1Caulfield Heath1000m25 Feb 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)-0.4
  6. 1Caulfield1400m7 Feb 2026 · GROUP 3 WFA · GOOD4-0.2
  7. 3Flemington2000m8 Nov 2025 · 3yo+ · HEAVY93.5L
  8. 5Randwick1609m18 Oct 2025 · 3yo+ · GOOD42.5L

Insights

  • Cold J/T Combo

    Negative

    Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races

  • Profitable Trainer

    Positive

    Stable runners going at 21% POT in L100 Runners

  • Fast Early

    Positive

    Sectionals suggest goes hard early

  • Imprv Needed

    Negative

    Would need to lift here to feature

Comments

AAP

Second in this race 2024. Went home tamely at Caulfield when second-up at $26. Sharper now and off a better draw. Improvement on the cards.

RP

Has won here; finished tenth of 16 in the Sir Rupert Clarke Stakes when close behind Lady Shenandoah (Caulfield) 14 days ago; he can be taken on as running in what looks to be a hot race.

3Autumn BoyJ: James Mc Donald·T: C J Waller155.5kg2 5 6 8 211: 4-4-1$3.70$1.70

Career

11: 4-4-1

Speed map

Midfield

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey60%
  • Trainer60%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo60%
  • Early Speed80%
  • Rating50%
  • Closing Speed100%

Record

  • First-up

    3: 1-0-1

  • Second-up

    2: 0-2-0

  • Third-up

    1: 1-0-0

  • Fourth-up

    1: 0-1-0

  • Track Caulfield

    2: 1-0-0

  • Track Eagle Farm

    1: 1-0-0

  • Track Flemington

    1: 0-1-0

  • Distance 1250m

    1: 1-0-0

  • Distance 1400m

    5: 1-1-1

  • Distance 1600m

    4: 1-3-0

  • Going Good

    6: 2-2-1

  • Going Soft

    5: 2-2-0

Last starts

  1. 2Flemington1600m12 Sept 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD32.8L
  2. 8Caulfield1400m29 Aug 2026 · 3yo+ · SOFT64.9L
  3. 6Randwick1000m31 July 2026 · Barrier Trial · SOFT(5)3.9L
  4. 5Randwick900m20 July 2026 · Barrier Trial · HEAVY(8)9.2L
  5. 2Randwick1600m4 Apr 2026 · 3yo+ · SOFT74.3L
  6. 1Rosehill2000m21 Mar 2026 · 3yo · SOFT6-1.9
  7. 2Randwick1600m7 Mar 2026 · 3yo · GOOD43.2L
  8. 3Rosehill1400m21 Feb 2026 · 3yo · GOOD41.5L

Insights

  • Fast Finisher

    Positive

    Fastest Overall Finishing Sectionals Last Start

  • Map Suits

    Positive

    Suitable Map, where runners in this position outperform market by 4%

  • Ran On Hard LS

    Positive

    Ran on well last start

  • Nice Barrier

    Positive

    Well drawn from gate 1

  • Track Exp

    Positive

    Knows this track well

Comments

AAP

Smart type. Got back, ran on late with purpose behind star mare at Flemington second-up. Sharper now, has the inside gate and J McDonald. Key player.

RP

Admirable career strike-rate (four from 11 to date) and has proved himself a top performer; second of ten in the Makybe Diva Stakes at Flemington last month; plenty of appeal.

4Idle FlyerJ: Jason Collett·T: Matthew Smith1855kg7 6 6 4 418: 8-2-0$18.00$4.20

Career

18: 8-2-0

Speed map

Midfield

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey60%
  • Trainer100%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
  • Early Speed60%
  • Rating50%
  • Closing Speed80%

Record

  • First-up

    5: 1-1-0

  • Second-up

    4: 3-0-0

  • Third-up

    4: 2-1-0

  • Fourth-up

    2: 1-0-0

  • Track Rosehill

    1: 1-0-0

  • Track Newcastle

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Warwick Farm

    1: 1-0-0

  • Distance 1000m

    1: 0-1-0

  • Distance 1200m

    2: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1250m

    2: 2-0-0

  • Going Heavy

    1: 1-0-0

  • Going Soft

    5: 2-0-0

  • Going Good

    12: 5-2-0

Last starts

  1. 4Randwick1600m19 Sept 2026 · 3UP GROUP 2 WFA · GOOD41.89L
  2. 4Randwick1400m5 Sept 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD43L
  3. 6Randwick1400m22 Aug 2026 · 3yo+ · SOFT54.6L
  4. 6Rosehill1000m7 Aug 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)1.9L
  5. 7Rosehill900m24 July 2026 · Barrier Trial · SOFT(6)3.6L
  6. 1Randwick1600m11 Apr 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD4-0.9
  7. 1Rosehill1500m28 Mar 2026 · 3yo+ · SOFT6-0.8
  8. 1Warwick Farm1200m20 Mar 2026 · Barrier Trial · SOFT(7)-2.2

Insights

  • Cold J/T Combo

    Negative

    Combo are losing -29% POT in their L100 Races

  • Ran On Hard LS

    Positive

    Ran on well last start

  • Wide Draw

    Negative

    Likely to get caught wide

  • Track And Dist

    Positive

    Loves at this track and trip

  • Class Rise

    Negative

    Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

Ran on okay behind outstanding mare in the Seven Sunrise this course. Draw in big field makes the job harder but she's a classy type and dropps 2kg under these conditions. Include.

RP

Consistent performer; has scored over C&D; creditable effort to finish fourth, beaten just under 2l in a Group 2 (not far behind Ceolwulf) last month; may have to settle for supporting role as this is a fairly competitive event.

5Lady ShenandoahScratched16––––

Career

17: 5-4-3

Speed map

Midfield

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey40%
  • Trainer80%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo80%
  • Early Speed100%
  • Rating50%
  • Closing Speed40%

Record

  • First-up

    6: 2-1-2

  • Second-up

    5: 2-0-1

  • Third-up

    3: 1-0-0

  • Fourth-up

    2: 0-2-0

  • Track Moonee Valley

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Doomben

    1: 0-1-0

  • Track Rosehill

    3: 2-0-0

  • Distance 1300m

    2: 0-1-1

  • Distance 1400m

    4: 2-0-0

  • Distance 1500m

    2: 1-0-0

  • Going Good

    12: 5-2-2

  • Going Heavy

    1: 0-0-1

  • Going Soft

    4: 0-2-0

Last starts

  1. 4Caulfield1400m19 Sept 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD31.27L
  2. 4Randwick1400m22 Aug 2026 · 3yo+ · SOFT54.3L
  3. 5Randwick900m31 July 2026 · Barrier Trial · SOFT(5)7.9L
  4. 4Randwick900m20 July 2026 · Barrier Trial · HEAVY(8)6.7L
  5. 2Randwick1600m11 Apr 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD40.9L
  6. 4Rosehill1500m21 Mar 2026 · 3yo+ · SOFT63.6L
  7. 3Randwick1300m7 Mar 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD41.2L
  8. 3Randwick1200m14 Feb 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD41.3L

Insights

  • Track Exp

    Positive

    Knows this track well

Comments

AAP

High class galloper. Gave good account Sir Rupert Clarke Stakes at Caulfield second-up. Ready to peak third-up. Sharper now, highly rated in this line-up.

RP

Plenty of recent solid runs to her name at this venue and achieved three wins at this venue; respectable effort in the Sir Rupert Clarke Stakes at Caulfield 14 days ago; has a chance if replicating most recent run and she was placed in the Canterbury Stakes.

6Well WrittenJ: Zac Lloyd·T: S B Marsh355kg1 1 1 1 17: 7-0-0$5.50$2.15

Career

7: 7-0-0

Speed map

Offpace

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey100%
  • Trainer100%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
  • Early Speed20%
  • Rating50%
  • Closing Speed80%

Record

  • First-up

    2: 2-0-0

  • Track Ellerslie

    6: 6-0-0

  • Track Riccarton Park

    1: 1-0-0

  • Distance 1200m

    1: 1-0-0

  • Distance 1400m

    3: 3-0-0

  • Distance 1500m

    1: 1-0-0

  • Going Good

    1: 1-0-0

  • Going Soft

    6: 6-0-0

Last starts

  1. 1Ellerslie1400m5 Sept 2026 · WFA · SOFT5-1.79
  2. 1Ellerslie1500m7 Mar 2026 · 3YO SW+P · SOFT5-0.04
  3. 1Ellerslie1600m24 Jan 2026 · 3YO SW · SOFT5-6.05
  4. 1Ellerslie1400m26 Dec 2025 · 3YO SW · SOFT5-0.3
  5. 1Riccarton Park1600m8 Nov 2025 · 3YOF SW · GOOD3-2.5
  6. 1Ellerslie1400m18 Oct 2025 · GROUP 2 3YF SW · SOFT5-6.8
  7. 1Ellerslie1200m20 Sept 2025 · MDN 3YO · SOFT5-3

Insights

  • Rider SR

    Positive

    Jockey recent POT is 13% better than Career Avg.

  • Hot Trainer

    Positive

    Stephen Marsh in good form, out performing market 47%

  • Trainer ROI

    Positive

    Runners from this stable currently going at 35% POT in L100 Runners

  • Ideal Map

    Positive

    Map position exceeding market by 4%

  • Solid Run LS

    Positive

    Won last start

  • X-Factor

    Positive

    Progressive runner

  • Class Rise

    Negative

    Racing in stronger company

  • Consistent

    Positive

    Showing up at the business end

Comments

AAP

NZ mare, freshened after returning to a Grp 1 at Ellerslie. She is 7 from 7 across the ditch. Zac LLoyd takes the ride and has a lovely draw. Must respect.

RP

Unbeaten through seven career starts and successful on her last seven starts; came out on top by just under 2l over 7f at Ellerslie (Group 1) last month; having her first crack at a big race and looks risky.

7MilitarizeJ: Tim Clark·T: C J Waller1953.5kg6 2 3 8 631: 4-4-6$61.00$9.00

Career

31: 4-4-6

Speed map

Backmarker

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey20%
  • Trainer60%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
  • Early Speed60%
  • Rating50%
  • Closing Speed80%

Record

  • First-up

    7: 1-1-0

  • Second-up

    5: 1-1-0

  • Third-up

    5: 0-0-2

  • Fourth-up

    5: 0-1-1

  • Track Rosehill

    9: 1-0-2

  • Track Canterbury

    1: 1-0-0

  • Track CurrentTrack

    13: 2-3-3

  • Distance 1300m

    3: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1500m

    3: 0-0-1

  • Distance 1900m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Soft

    7: 2-2-2

  • Going Good

    20: 1-2-2

  • Going Heavy

    4: 1-0-2

Last starts

  1. 6Rosehill1300m12 Sept 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD43.3L
  2. 8Rosehill900m21 Aug 2026 · Barrier Trial · SOFT(5)9.8L
  3. 3Eagle Farm2200m13 June 2026 · 3yo+ · HEAVY92.6L
  4. 2Eagle Farm1800m30 May 2026 · 3yo+ · SOFT50.1L
  5. 6Gold Coast1800m9 May 2026 · GROUP 2 WFA · GOOD46.5L
  6. 7Canterbury896m1 May 2026 · Barrier Trial · SOFT(5)8.6L
  7. 3Randwick1600m4 Apr 2026 · 3yo+ · SOFT76L
  8. 5Rosehill1500m14 Mar 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD41.9L

Insights

  • Jockey Booking

    Negative

    Less suitable jockey engaged

  • Slow Early LS

    Negative

    Speed data from recent runs suggests slower early splits on avg

  • Wide Draw

    Negative

    Likely to get caught wide

  • Up In Dist

    Positive

    Racing at a more suitable distance

  • Class Rise

    Negative

    Racing in stronger company

  • Weight Drop

    Positive

    Drops 4.5kg from LS run

Comments

AAP

High class but on a long winning drought. Battled home okay at Rosehill first run back. Has an adverse draw but he did place in the Doncaster back in April at long odds.

RP

Split God's Window and Encap over 6½f at Rosehill (Group 2) when not beaten that far last month; a winner over C&D; a while since his last success; makes limited appeal as a few rivals look in good form.

8AtticaJ: Kerrin Mc Evoy·T: Joseph Pride651.5kg3 8 13 2 310: 3-2-2$6.50$2.40

Career

10: 3-2-2

Speed map

Midfield

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey80%
  • Trainer80%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
  • Early Speed80%
  • Rating50%
  • Closing Speed80%

Record

  • First-up

    3: 1-1-0

  • Second-up

    2: 0-0-2

  • Third-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Fourth-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Warwick Farm

    1: 1-0-0

  • Track Randwick

    5: 2-0-2

  • Track CurrentTrack

    5: 2-0-2

  • Distance 1400m

    4: 1-1-1

  • Distance 1500m

    2: 0-1-0

  • Distance 1600m

    3: 1-0-1

  • Going Good

    6: 2-1-2

  • Going Soft

    4: 1-1-0

Last starts

  1. 3Randwick1400m5 Sept 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD42.7L
  2. 2Rosehill1400m15 Aug 2026 · 3UP HCP · SOFT52.2L
  3. 13Randwick1600m4 Apr 2026 · 3yo+ · SOFT710.2L
  4. 8Rosehill1500m21 Mar 2026 · 3yo+ · SOFT65.6L
  5. 3Randwick1600m7 Mar 2026 · 3yo · GOOD45.2L
  6. 4Rosehill1400m21 Feb 2026 · 3yo · GOOD42.2L
  7. 1Randwick2000m25 Oct 2025 · 3yo · GOOD4-0.3
  8. 1Randwick1600m4 Oct 2025 · 3yo · GOOD4-1.9

Insights

  • Rider SR

    Positive

    Jockey recent POT is 20% better than Career Avg.

  • Cold J/T Combo

    Negative

    Combo are losing -47% POT in their L100 Races

  • Ran On Hard LS

    Positive

    Ran on well last start

  • Track Exp

    Positive

    Knows this track well

  • Class Rise

    Negative

    Racing in stronger company

  • Weight Drop

    Positive

    Drops 6.5kg from LS run

Comments

AAP

Now 4 weeks between runs. Solid rally into the placings this course second-up. Since trialled at Rosehill 22 Sep. 1600m should appeal now.

RP

Had a couple of these behind him when third here in a Group 2 28 days ago; brings winning C&D form to the table; consistent lately; recent display was promising so definite chance.

9Vivy AirJ: Reece Jones·T: C Maher951kg1 11 7 6 832: 4-9-4$91.00$14.00

Career

32: 4-9-4

Speed map

Offmidfield

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey100%
  • Trainer100%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
  • Early Speed80%
  • Rating50%
  • Closing Speed80%

Record

  • First-up

    7: 1-1-2

  • Second-up

    5: 0-2-1

  • Third-up

    5: 0-0-0

  • Fourth-up

    3: 0-0-1

  • Track Dubbo

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Seymour

    1: 1-0-0

  • Track Ascot

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1212m

    1: 1-0-0

  • Distance 1400m

    4: 0-2-0

  • Distance 1500m

    5: 0-2-1

  • Going Good

    21: 2-6-3

  • Going Soft

    11: 2-3-1

Last starts

  1. 8Newcastle1500m18 Sept 2026 · 3UP GROUP 3 HCP · GOOD35.6L
  2. 6Rosehill1030m8 Sept 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)2.2L
  3. 7Randwick1045m28 Aug 2026 · Barrier Trial · SOFT(6)5.7L
  4. 11Hawkesbury1600m2 May 2026 · GROUP 3 HCP · GOOD44L
  5. 1Wyong1200m24 Apr 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)-0.8
  6. 10Randwick1600m4 Apr 2026 · 3yo+ · SOFT78.7L
  7. 3Rosehill1500m14 Mar 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD40.7L
  8. 2Randwick1200m5 Mar 2026 · Barrier Trial · SOFT(5)4L

Insights

  • Jockey ROI

    Positive

    Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 37% in Last 100 Rides

  • Trainer ROI

    Positive

    Runners from this stable currently going at 10% POT in L100 Runners

  • Key Jockey

    Positive

    Reece Jones winning at 26% POT in last 100 rides

  • Well beaten LS

    Negative

    Not competitive last run

  • Dist S/R

    Negative

    Poor performer at the distance

  • Track Exp

    Positive

    Knows this track well

  • Class Rise

    Negative

    Racing in stronger company

  • Weight Drop

    Positive

    Drops 7kg from LS run

Comments

AAP

Had all before her at turn and went home tamely in the Cameron at Newcastle first up. Harder now but in light.

RP

This C&D holds no fears; has gained all her wins at a lower level; behind Fully Lit when eighth last month at Newcastle in a Group 3; easy to oppose as this is a fairly competitive event.

10Fully LitJ: Winona Costin·T: G Waterhouse & A Bott851kg4 6 3 4 117: 4-3-2$23.00$4.60

Career

17: 4-3-2

Speed map

Leader

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey40%
  • Trainer60%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo80%
  • Early Speed100%
  • Rating50%
  • Closing Speed60%

Record

  • First-up

    3: 1-0-1

  • Second-up

    2: 0-0-0

  • Third-up

    2: 1-0-0

  • Fourth-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Canberra

    1: 0-1-0

  • Track Rosehill

    9: 2-0-1

  • Track Newcastle

    2: 1-0-1

  • Distance 1200m

    5: 0-1-0

  • Distance 1300m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1400m

    3: 1-0-1

  • Going Heavy

    3: 1-0-0

  • Going Soft

    8: 2-1-1

  • Going Good

    6: 1-2-1

Last starts

  1. 1Newcastle1500m18 Sept 2026 · 3UP GROUP 3 HCP · GOOD3-1.16
  2. 4Rosehill1500m29 Aug 2026 · 3UP BM100 HCP · GOOD42.7L
  3. 3Rosehill1400m15 Aug 2026 · 3UP HCP · SOFT52.5L
  4. 6Randwick900m20 July 2026 · Barrier Trial · HEAVY(8)9.4L
  5. 4Warwick Farm823m26 June 2026 · Barrier Trial · HEAVY(8)2.1L
  6. 1Newcastle800m3 June 2026 · Barrier Trial · SOFT(7)-0.6
  7. 11Randwick1500m1 Nov 2025 · 4Y SW · SOFT77.3L
  8. 1Randwick1050m20 Oct 2025 · Barrier Trial-1.7

Insights

  • Maps Poorly

    Negative

    Map position not suited at this track, under performing market expectations by 26%

  • Early Splits

    Positive

    Has early speed. An advantage on this circuit

  • Solid Run LS

    Positive

    Won last start

  • Class Rise

    Negative

    Racing in stronger company

  • Weight Drop

    Positive

    Drops 4.5kg from LS run

Comments

AAP

Runner-up last year. Won the Cameron in dominant fashion at Newcastle. Pace influence. Sterner test here but going well and can't rule out.

RP

Scored by just over 1l over 7½f at Newcastle (Group 3) with Mr Miller (third) and Vivy Air (eighth) behind two weeks ago; has won here before; all his wins achieved at a lower level; passed over despite that win last time.

11HellsingScratched12––––

Speed map

Onpace

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey20%
  • Trainer80%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
  • Early Speed80%
  • Rating50%
  • Closing Speed40%

Insights

  • Current SR

    Negative

    Rider’s recent POT is returning 44% lower than Career Avg.

  • Rider

    Negative

    Negative rider change today

  • Cold J/T Combo

    Negative

    Combo are losing -32% POT in their L100 Races

  • Maps Poorly

    Negative

    Map position not suited at this track, under performing market expectations by 26%

  • Class Rise

    Negative

    Racing in stronger company

  • Down In Weight

    Positive

    Drops 7kg from LS run

Comments

AAP

Started $15 when battled home in Open company at Newcastle. Has early speed but class a concern.

12PerfumistJ: Rachel King·T: Bjorn Baker1750kg7 1 2 1 121: 8-4-0$12.00$3.60

Career

21: 8-4-0

Speed map

Onpace

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey60%
  • Trainer100%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
  • Early Speed100%
  • Rating50%
  • Closing Speed100%

Record

  • First-up

    5: 2-1-0

  • Second-up

    3: 0-0-0

  • Third-up

    3: 1-1-0

  • Fourth-up

    2: 2-0-0

  • Track Wyong

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Randwick

    6: 2-2-0

  • Track CurrentTrack

    6: 2-2-0

  • Distance 1700m

    1: 1-0-0

  • Distance 1100m

    2: 1-1-0

  • Distance 1200m

    4: 0-0-0

  • Going Heavy

    3: 0-1-0

  • Going Soft

    8: 3-1-0

  • Going Good

    10: 5-2-0

Last starts

  1. 1Newcastle1400m18 Sept 2026 · 3UP F&M GROUP 3 SWP · GOOD3-2.56
  2. 1Warwick Farm1200m3 Sept 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)-4.4
  3. 2Rosehill900m21 Aug 2026 · Barrier Trial · SOFT(5)1.7L
  4. 1Wellington1700m12 Apr 2026 · HCP · SOFT5-0.1
  5. 7Rosehill1500m28 Mar 2026 · 3yo+ · SOFT65.2L
  6. 10Rosehill1400m14 Mar 2026 · 3UP BM88 HCP · GOOD410.7L
  7. 1Randwick1050m5 Mar 2026 · Barrier Trial · SOFT(5)-1.3
  8. 1Rosehill900m23 Feb 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)-3.1

Insights

  • Hot J/T Combo

    Positive

    Combo are out performing market expectations by 61%

  • Trainer ROI

    Positive

    Runners from this stable currently going at 17% POT in L100 Runners

  • Maps Poorly

    Negative

    Map position not suited at this track, under performing market expectations by 26%

  • Fast Early

    Positive

    Sectionals suggest goes hard early

  • Solid Run LS

    Positive

    Won last start

  • Class Rise

    Negative

    Racing in stronger company

  • Down In Weight

    Positive

    Drops 5kg from LS run

Comments

AAP

Raced to a clear and dominant victory in Grp 3 at Newcastle off long spell. In light but needs the breaks and this will test.

RP

Came out on top by 2½l at Newcastle last month when dropped in distance in a Group 3; has winning form over this course and distance on the CV; wins have come at a lower level; not a great record on second run back after a layoff and looks opposable.

13Matcha LatteJ: Robbie Dolan·T: Nacim Dilmi1550kg3 1 3 4 223: 4-5-6$71.00$11.00

Career

23: 4-5-6

Speed map

Leader

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey20%
  • Trainer100%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
  • Early Speed60%
  • Rating50%
  • Closing Speed40%

Record

  • First-up

    7: 1-1-4

  • Second-up

    5: 1-2-0

  • Third-up

    4: 2-1-0

  • Fourth-up

    4: 0-1-1

  • Track Doomben

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Hawkesbury

    2: 1-0-0

  • Track Rosehill

    4: 0-1-2

  • Distance 1400m

    11: 3-2-5

  • Distance 1500m

    1: 0-1-0

  • Distance 1600m

    5: 0-2-0

  • Going Good

    12: 2-3-4

  • Going Heavy

    7: 1-2-1

  • Going Soft

    4: 1-0-1

Last starts

  1. 2Randwick1400m19 Sept 2026 · 3UP GROUP 3 · GOOD40.45L
  2. 4Rosehill1030m8 Sept 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)3.6L
  3. 3Randwick1200m22 Aug 2026 · 3yo+ · SOFT50.6L
  4. 1Rosehill1000m7 Aug 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)-1.3
  5. 3Randwick1400m11 Apr 2026 · Open · GOOD43.6L
  6. 4Newcastle1000m24 Mar 2026 · Barrier Trial · SOFT(5)2L
  7. 1Hawkesbury1400m7 Mar 2026 · Class 5 · SOFT5-2.6
  8. 6Flemington1400m14 Feb 2026 · LISTED HCP · GOOD41.3L

Insights

  • Rider

    Negative

    Negative rider change today

  • Trainer ROI

    Positive

    Runners from this stable currently going at 17% POT in L100 Runners

  • Rider Poor SR

    Negative

    Jockey underperforming market expectations by 39% in L100 rides

  • Maps Poorly

    Negative

    Map position not suited at this track, under performing market expectations by 26%

  • Early Sectionals

    Negative

    Recent sectional data suggests slow early pace

  • Dist S/R

    Negative

    Poor performer at the distance

  • Track Exp

    Positive

    Knows this track well

  • Class Rise

    Negative

    Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

Prov-Midway C'ship Qual (C5) winner Hawkesbury 7 Mar. Run down in the shadows after a giving a kick from on pace in the Bill Ritchie Hcp this course when second-up. Can go forward. Each way.

RP

Close up second over 7f here (Group 3) last month; has won at this track; yet to win a race of this value.

14PanovaScratched14––––

Career

11: 3-3-0

Speed map

Backmarker

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey80%
  • Trainer80%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
  • Early Speed80%
  • Rating50%
  • Closing Speed80%

Record

  • First-up

    3: 0-1-0

  • Second-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Third-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Fourth-up

    1: 1-0-0

  • Track Eagle Farm

    1: 0-1-0

  • Track Flemington

    1: 1-0-0

  • Track Morphettville

    1: 1-0-0

  • Distance 1200m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1300m

    1: 0-1-0

  • Distance 1400m

    4: 1-1-0

  • Going Good

    8: 3-2-0

  • Going Soft

    3: 0-1-0

Last starts

  1. 6Randwick1400m5 Sept 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD43.7L
  2. 8Randwick1045m28 Aug 2026 · Barrier Trial · SOFT(6)3.9L
  3. 2Eagle Farm2200m6 June 2026 · 3yo · GOOD41.3L
  4. 5Warwick Farm1212m25 May 2026 · Barrier Trial · HEAVY(9)3.8L
  5. 1Morphettville2000m25 Apr 2026 · 3yo · GOOD4-1
  6. 7Rosehill2000m28 Mar 2026 · 3yo · SOFT64.2L
  7. 5Rosehill1500m14 Mar 2026 · 3yo · GOOD43.1L
  8. 6Randwick1400m28 Feb 2026 · 3yo · SOFT56.9L

Insights

  • Hot J/T Combo

    Positive

    Combo are out performing market expectations by 64%

  • Class Rise

    Negative

    Racing in stronger company

  • Weight Drop

    Positive

    Drops 6kg from LS run

Comments

AAP

Kept fresh since resuming. Got back and wasn't totally disgraced this track off spell. Since trialled at Rosehill 22 Sep. Harder now.

RP

Not disgraced in sixth over 7f here (Group 2) 28 days ago; has won previously at this course; this looks a fair heat so hard to recommend.

15PlymouthJ: Jackson Radley·T: Ben, Will & Jd Hayes1150kg2 12 3 1 621: 3-3-3$101.00$15.00

Career

21: 3-3-3

Speed map

Offpace

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey20%
  • Trainer20%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
  • Early Speed100%
  • Rating50%
  • Closing Speed80%

Record

  • First-up

    5: 0-1-1

  • Second-up

    3: 0-0-0

  • Third-up

    3: 1-1-0

  • Fourth-up

    3: 0-1-0

  • Track Benalla

    1: 1-0-0

  • Track Bendigo

    2: 1-0-1

  • Track Albury

    1: 0-1-0

  • Distance 1700m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1800m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 2000m

    6: 1-1-2

  • Going Good

    17: 2-2-2

  • Going Soft

    4: 1-1-1

Last starts

  1. 6Flemington1400m12 Sept 2026 · 4yo+ · GOOD32.1L
  2. 1Caulfield2000m9 May 2026 · 3UP BM100 HCP · SOFT7-0.8
  3. 3Flemington2000m25 Apr 2026 · 3UP BM100 HCP · GOOD32.3L
  4. 12Caulfield2000m4 Apr 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD34.5L
  5. 2Albury2000m20 Mar 2026 · ALBURY CUP · SOFT61.7L
  6. 4Flemington1600m28 Feb 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD42.3L
  7. 4Caulfield1400m7 Feb 2026 · GROUP 3 WFA · GOOD44L
  8. 15Caulfield2400m18 Oct 2025 · 3yo+ · GOOD48.6L

Insights

  • Trainer Recent

    Negative

    Camp struggling with S/R just 8%

  • Jockey Booking

    Negative

    Less suitable jockey engaged

  • Trainer A2E

    Negative

    Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 45%

  • Trainer ROI

    Negative

    Trainers runners currently losing 46% Profit on Turnover

  • Maps Poorly

    Negative

    Map position not suited at this track, under performing market expectations by 26%

  • Ran On Hard LS

    Positive

    Ran on well last start

  • Class Rise

    Negative

    Racing in stronger company

  • Weight Drop

    Positive

    Drops 7.5kg from LS run

Comments

AAP

Gave solid chase in a good effort at Listed level at Flemington first up. Wait until he gets to 2000m.

RP

Solid effort when beaten 2l to finish sixth in a Listed handicap at Flemington back down to 7f last month; all his wins achieved at a lower level; this looks a fair heat so one to tread carefully with.

16God's WindowJ: Siena Grima·T: C J Waller1350kg4 1 2 3 521: 3-4-3$26.00$5.00

Career

21: 3-4-3

Speed map

Offmidfield

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey40%
  • Trainer60%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
  • Early Speed20%
  • Rating50%
  • Closing Speed80%

Record

  • First-up

    4: 2-0-0

  • Second-up

    3: 1-0-0

  • Third-up

    3: 0-2-0

  • Fourth-up

    3: 0-0-1

  • Track Rosehill

    5: 0-1-1

  • Track Newcastle

    1: 0-1-0

  • Track CurrentTrack

    4: 1-1-0

  • Distance 1400m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1609m

    2: 1-0-1

  • Distance 2075m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Good

    13: 0-3-1

  • Going Heavy

    3: 1-0-1

  • Going Soft

    5: 2-1-1

Last starts

  1. 5Rosehill1300m12 Sept 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD42.2L
  2. 3Rosehill2000m27 June 2026 · 3yo+ · SOFT61.2L
  3. 2Randwick1600m6 June 2026 · 3UP HCP · SOFT50.7L
  4. 1Randwick1600m23 May 2026 · 3yo+ · HEAVY10-0.1
  5. 4Randwick1400m18 Apr 2026 · 3UP BM100 HCP · GOOD41.3L
  6. 5Rosehill2000m29 Nov 2025 · ATC CUP · GOOD42.4L
  7. 2Newcastle2300m15 Nov 2025 · 3yo+ · GOOD41L
  8. 11Bendigo2400m29 Oct 2025 · 3yo+ · GOOD38.6L

Insights

  • Ran On Hard LS

    Positive

    Ran on well last start

  • Increased Dist

    Positive

    Distance rise from last start

  • Class Rise

    Negative

    Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

Ran on okay without troubling in the Theo Marks at Rosehill. Leaning towards others here.

RP

Produced a string of consistent efforts; has winning C&D form to his name; finished in front of two of these at Rosehill last month when dropped back to 6½f posting a respectable effort to finish fifth in a Group 2; this looks a decent race so is passed over.

17Declichy BoulevardJ: Andrew Adkins·T: C J Waller250kg1 5 3 3 114: 3-3-4$15.00$3.90

Career

14: 3-3-4

Speed map

Offmidfield

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey20%
  • Trainer60%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
  • Early Speed60%
  • Rating50%
  • Closing Speed100%

Record

  • First-up

    5: 1-1-1

  • Second-up

    4: 1-1-0

  • Third-up

    2: 0-1-1

  • Fourth-up

    1: 0-0-1

  • Track Flemington

    1: 0-1-0

  • Track Goulburn

    1: 0-0-1

  • Track Warwick Farm

    2: 1-0-1

  • Distance 1100m

    3: 1-1-0

  • Distance 1200m

    2: 0-0-1

  • Distance 1400m

    4: 1-1-1

  • Going Good

    9: 1-1-3

  • Going Heavy

    3: 2-1-0

  • Going Soft

    2: 0-1-1

Last starts

  1. 1Randwick1600m19 Sept 2026 · 3UP BM88 HCP · GOOD4-2.27
  2. 3Goulburn1400m23 Aug 2026 · GOUL CUP MBM98 · GOOD41L
  3. 3Rosehill900m7 Aug 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)1.7L
  4. 5Eagle Farm1600m6 June 2026 · 3UP F&M WFA · GOOD41L
  5. 1Randwick1400m23 May 2026 · 3yo+ · HEAVY10-0.9
  6. 6Rosehill1030m11 May 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)7.5L
  7. 7Canterbury896m1 May 2026 · Barrier Trial · SOFT(5)6.1L
  8. 3Rosehill2000m1 Apr 2025 · 3yo · SOFT73.21L

Insights

  • Fast Finisher

    Positive

    Fastest Overall Finishing Sectionals Last Start

  • Rider

    Negative

    Negative rider change today

  • Cold J/T Combo

    Negative

    Combo are losing -65% POT in their L100 Races

  • Maps Well

    Positive

    Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 12%

  • Early Splits

    Negative

    Out of races with slow early tempos

  • Solid Run LS

    Positive

    Won last start

  • Nice Barrier

    Positive

    Well drawn from gate 2

  • Form At Track

    Positive

    2 time winner here at Randwick

Comments

AAP

Impressive performance this course over this journey. Meets stronger company here but down in weight and in good order.

RP

Got the job done by just over 2l in a handicap two weeks ago; career record shows her ability to win (wins-runs record of 3-14); despite that Randwick success, looks risky.

18EncapJ: Mollie Fitzgerald·T: G Portelli1050kg9 4 2 12 433: 2-5-5$91.00$14.00

Career

33: 2-5-5

Speed map

Backmarker

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey100%
  • Trainer20%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
  • Early Speed60%
  • Rating50%
  • Closing Speed100%

Record

  • First-up

    8: 0-1-2

  • Second-up

    7: 1-2-0

  • Third-up

    6: 0-0-2

  • Fourth-up

    6: 1-1-0

  • Track Rosehill

    15: 2-2-1

  • Track Scone

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Warwick Farm

    3: 0-2-1

  • Distance 1200m

    3: 0-1-1

  • Distance 1300m

    6: 1-0-1

  • Distance 1400m

    6: 1-2-0

  • Going Good

    24: 2-3-4

  • Going Heavy

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Soft

    8: 0-2-1

Last starts

  1. 4Rosehill1500m26 Sept 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD43.8L
  2. 12Rosehill1300m12 Sept 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD45.3L
  3. 2Warwick Farm1200m3 Sept 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)4.4L
  4. 4Warwick Farm819m18 Aug 2026 · Barrier Trial · SOFT(7)1.9L
  5. 9Scone1600m15 May 2026 · LISTED · GOOD43.6L
  6. 2Randwick1500m25 Apr 2026 · 3UP BM100 HCP · GOOD40.3L
  7. 14Randwick1600m4 Apr 2026 · 3yo+ · SOFT710.3L
  8. 10Rosehill1500m21 Mar 2026 · 3yo+ · SOFT66.4L

Insights

  • Trainer SR

    Negative

    Gary Portelli striking at just 4%

  • Key Rider

    Positive

    Mollie Fitzgerald 26% above market expected in L100 Rides

  • Cold J/T Combo

    Negative

    Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races

  • Trainer A2E

    Negative

    Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 48%

  • Dist S/R

    Negative

    Poor performer at the distance

  • Form At Track

    Negative

    Yet to win here

  • Primed

    Positive

    Fitter here racing on a quick back up

  • Class Rise

    Negative

    Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

On a short back-up. Long losing streak. Ran home respectably into a non-threatening 4th at Rosehill second-up. Has placed in a Doncaster at big odds. Needs a lot to go right.

RP

Didn't run too badly when out of the frame at Rosehill (beaten just under 4l) in a Group 2 last Saturday; a while since his last success and shown all winning form at Rosehill (two successes); yard has been going through a quiet spell; not hard to turn elsewhere as meeting a number of horses who are in good form.

19Mr MillerJ: Tyler Schiller·T: C J Waller550kg2 5 1 1 36: 3-2-1$7.50$2.65

Career

6: 3-2-1

Speed map

Onpace

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey100%
  • Trainer60%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo80%
  • Early Speed80%
  • Rating50%
  • Closing Speed100%

Record

  • First-up

    2: 2-0-0

  • Second-up

    1: 1-0-0

  • Third-up

    1: 0-0-1

  • Track CurrentTrack

    1: 0-1-0

  • Track Gosford

    1: 0-1-0

  • Track Rosehill

    1: 1-0-0

  • Distance 1300m

    1: 1-0-0

  • Distance 1400m

    2: 1-1-0

  • Distance 1500m

    2: 1-0-1

  • Going Good

    4: 1-2-1

  • Going Soft

    2: 2-0-0

Last starts

  1. 3Newcastle1500m18 Sept 2026 · 3UP GROUP 3 HCP · GOOD31.58L
  2. 1Rosehill1500m29 Aug 2026 · 3UP CG&E BM78 HCP · GOOD4-2.9
  3. 1Warwick Farm1400m19 Aug 2026 · 3yo+ · SOFT5-2.5
  4. 5Randwick1045m31 July 2026 · Barrier Trial · SOFT(5)4.7L
  5. 2Gosford1600m9 May 2026 · 3&4Y BM72 · GOOD40.5L
  6. 2Randwick1400m25 Apr 2026 · 3&4Y BM72 · GOOD41.7L
  7. 4Rosehill1030m17 Apr 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)4.6L
  8. 1Warwick Farm1300m1 Apr 2026 · 3yo · SOFT5-0.8

Insights

  • Rider SR

    Positive

    Jockey recent POT is 25% better than Career Avg.

  • Key Rider

    Positive

    Tyler Schiller 27% above market expected in L100 Rides

  • Ran On Hard LS

    Positive

    Ran on well last start

  • Track Exp

    Positive

    Knows this track well

  • Class Rise

    Negative

    Racing in stronger company

  • In Form

    Positive

    Racing in top form recently

  • Weight Drop

    Positive

    Drops 4kg from LS run

Comments

AAP

Came home hot on their heels to grab third Cameron Hcp at Newcastle. In the placings only prior run here but that was a BM72. Will need to step up.

RP

Third, beaten 1½l by Fully Lit in a Group 3 at Newcastle last month; has made a pleasing start to his career with three wins from six starts.

Odds correct as at . Odds can change.

Past meetings

  • Tue 3 Nov, 11:00 am AEDT · 10 races
  • Sat 31 Oct, 11:00 am AEDT · 10 races
  • Sat 24 Oct, 11:00 am AEDT · 10 races
  • Sat 17 Oct, 11:00 am AEDT · 10 races
  • Sat 19 Sept, 10:00 am AEST · 10 races
  • Sat 5 Sept, 10:00 am AEST · 10 races