Shortest win price
Provata (8) and Shraddha (13)
4.80
Welcome to Randwick for the Keeneland Gimcrack Stakes over 1000m on a soft 6 track with showers about. This Group 3 open event for two-year-old fillies has jumped at 1:15 pm AEST, and punters have sorted the win market with Provata heading the betting line ahead of Shraddha, Enfield, and Shezablaze as the next most preferred runners in early order. All runners in this intriguing juvenile test are facing the starter for the first time, adding plenty of intrigue to the yarn as these youngsters step out on race day under testing conditions.
Taking a look at the form behind those shorter prices reveals some interesting trial grounding. Provata sits at the top of the market for the John O'Shea and Tom Charlton stable with Zac Lloyd in the saddle, coming off a neat third over 850m at Randwick Kensington on a soft 5 surface, boasting a strong rating of 99 and drawing barrier 2. Shraddha is right there in the market for Michael Freedman, steered by Tommy Berry from barrier 3 after an impressive trial win over 850m at Randwick Kensington, backed by a top-rating of 100 and a 250k price tag. Enfield is another prominent in the betting, handled by Nash Rawiller for John Thompson from barrier 6 following a solid second in an 850m trial at the same track, holding an 82 rating.
Shortest win price
Provata (8) and Shraddha (13)
4.80
Back left · leaders right
Firststart
Aniston · Negative
Jockey Booking
Less suitable jockey engaged
Bourbon Beat · Negative
Jockey Booking
Tim Clark current POT is 28% below Career Avg.
Enfield · Positive
Jockey ROI
Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 21% in Last 100 Rides
Farnans Sweetheart · Negative
Trainer Recent
Camp struggling with S/R just 4%
Rating · IRD
82
Speed map
Firststart
Jockey Booking
Negative
Less suitable jockey engaged
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Profitable Trainer
Positive
Stable runners going at 13% POT in L100 Runners
Market Watch
Negative
Keep eye on betting moves
AAP
Trials (1:0-0-0). Dam won five races. Makes debut after a tepid trial performance at Randwick-Kensington. Gets a soft draw. Hard to dive into on debut.
ILB
Career debut 2yo by Denman for trainer Terry Croft. Finished 5th in a barrier trial at Kensington on Sept 21st. Betting is the best guide.
RP
First rules outing for this two-year-old daughter of Denman; easy to see her making an impression.
RSIS
2yo debutant sired by Denman for Terry Croft. Ran 5th in a trial at Kensington on Sept 21st.
Rating · IRD
100
Speed map
Firststart
Jockey Booking
Negative
Tim Clark current POT is 28% below Career Avg.
On Debut
Positive
First race start
Blinkers On
Positive
Trainer has opted for the Blinkers on, take note
AAP
Trials (1:0-1-0). Cost $350k. Dam a Grp 3 winner. Just the one trial outing yielded a close second at Randwick-Kensington. Tim Clark stays aboard for debut. Bears close watching.
ILB
Hellbent 2yo trained by Gai Waterhouse & Adrian Bott having first race start. Interesting to see the blinkers go on for the first time. Watch the market moves.
RP
Breeding shows she may improve with time; stable does well at Randwick with debutants; this one is best watched, unless market signals suggest otherwise.
RSIS
2yo by Hellbent having first race appearance for Gai Waterhouse & Adrian Bott. Blinkers go on for the first time. Watch for a sign in the market.
Rating · IRD
82
Speed map
Firststart
Jockey ROI
Positive
Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 21% in Last 100 Rides
Jockey Booking
Positive
Nash Rawiller 29% above market expected in L100 Rides
Market Watch
Negative
Keep eye on betting moves
AAP
Trials (1:0-1-0). $450k yearling. Dam won three races. Solid performance when placed in only Randwick-Kensington trial. N Rawiller on from trials.
ILB
John Thompson 2yo by Snitzel having first race appearance. Finished 2nd in a trial at Kensington on Sept 21st. Watch early betting.
RP
Sire gets plenty of two-year-old winners; first competitive racecourse experience; strong contender with signs of encouragement in profile.
RSIS
Snitzel 2yo having first start for trainer John Thompson. Ran 2nd in a trial at Kensington on Sept 21st.
Rating · IRD
100
Speed map
Firststart
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Stable In Form
Positive
Stable going well. Out performing market by 38%
Profitable Trainer
Positive
Stable runners going at 14% POT in L100 Runners
Debutant
Positive
First race day appearance
AAP
Trials (1:0-1-0). $200k yearling. Dam won a Grp 3. Just shaded in her only barrier trial outing Randwick-Kensington. J McDonald rides. Can hit the ground running.
ILB
Clinton Mcdonald trained 2yo by Yes Yes Yes on debut. James Mcdonald is a key engagement. Market as guide.
RSIS
First time at the races 2yo by Yes Yes Yes for trainer Clinton Mcdonald. Added confidence jockey with James Mcdonald doing the steering.
Rating · IRD
74
Speed map
Firststart
Trainer Recent
Negative
Camp struggling with S/R just 4%
Trainer A2E
Negative
Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 54%
Trainer Form
Negative
Stable out of form, losing 51% Profit on Turnover
Market Watch
Negative
Keep eye on betting moves
AAP
Trials (1:0-0-0). $60k purchase. Dam was stakes-placed. Never gave a yelp in her only trial outing at Randwick-Kensington. Would need to see some market confidence.
ILB
First time at the races 2yo by Farnan for trainer Sara Ryan. Finished 5th in a barrier trial at Kensington on Sept 21st. Watch the market.
RP
Breeding suggests she may improve with time; running for the first time; should be thereabouts.
RSIS
2yo first starter sired by Farnan for trainer Sara Ryan. Ran 5th in a trial at Kensington on Sept 21st.
Rating · IRD
70
Speed map
Firststart
Jockey ROI
Positive
Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 38% in Last 100 Rides
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Hot Jockey
Positive
Reece Jones in hot recent form, out performing market expectation by 35%
Watch Betting
Negative
If supported, follow in
AAP
Trials (1:0-0-0). Cost $24k. Dam stakes-placed. Trial work just fair and will need see improvement under race conditions. Reece Jones sticks for debut. Would need to see some market confidence.
ILB
Admire Mars 2yo having first race start for Shaun Harvey. Finished 4th in a trial at Kensington on Sept 21st. Follow the money.
RP
Bred to get better as she gets older; shares a dam with Hayai Mesu, a 1m winner; overlooked unless the market says otherwise.
RSIS
Shaun Harvey trained 2yo first starter by Admire Mars. Finished 4th in a trial at Kensington on Sept 21st.
Rating · IRD
100
Speed map
Firststart
Debutant
Positive
First race day appearance
AAP
Trials (1:0-1-0). $290k yearling. Mare won five races. Just the one trial placing under her belt. Regan Bayliss sticks for debut. Well worth a look.
ILB
Gai Waterhouse & Adrian Bott trained 2yo first starter by Home Affairs. Placed 2nd in a trial at Kensington on Sept 21st. Betting is the best guide.
RP
Stable does well at Randwick with debutants; passed over unless attracting strong support.
RSIS
2yo runner on debut by Home Affairs for Gai Waterhouse & Adrian Bott. Ran 2nd in a trial at Kensington on Sept 21st. Watch the betting.
Rating · IRD
99
Speed map
Firststart
Jockey ROI
Positive
Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 12% in Last 100 Rides
Profitable Trainer
Positive
Stable runners going at 8% POT in L100 Runners
Nice Barrier
Positive
Well drawn from gate 2
On Debut
Positive
First race start
AAP
Trials (1:0-0-1). $60k purchase. Dam a half sister to Listed winner Burnstone. Just the one official trial and wasn't all that far from the winner 21 Sep. Drawn well. Should be competitive.
ILB
Initial appearance 2yo by Pierata for trainer Tom Charlton & John Oshea and has a positive gate. Placed 3rd in a barrier trial at Kensington on Sept 21st. Watch the market.
RP
From a trainer with a solid record with debutants; bred to get better with time; should go close with signs of encouragement in profile.
RSIS
2yo by Pierata racing as a debutant for Tom Charlton & John Oshea and drawn nicely. Finished 3rd in a trial at Kensington on Sept 21st. Betting as a guide.
Rating · IRD
100
Speed map
Firststart
Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are out performing market expectations by 61%
Trainer ROI
Positive
Runners from this stable currently going at 13% POT in L100 Runners
On Debut
Positive
First race start
AAP
Trials (1:0-0-1). $300k yearling. Dam was stakes-placed. Lone trial on 21 Sep was encouraging at Randwick-Kensington with likely improvement to come under race conditions. J R Collett stays aboard for debut. Alley makes it tough but well worth a look.
ILB
2yo by Justify having first race start for Bjorn Baker. Placed 3rd in a trial at Kensington on Sept 21st. Respect the betting.
RP
Trainer gets plenty of winning newcomers at this trip; overlooked unless the market says otherwise.
RSIS
2yo by Justify having initial appearance for Bjorn Baker. Ran 3rd in a trial at Kensington on Sept 21st. Betting as a guide.
Rating · IRD
93
Speed map
Firststart
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -34% POT in their L100 Races
On Debut
Positive
First race start
AAP
Trials (1:1-0-0). Cost $380k. Dam won four races. Just got the job done in only trial at Randwick-Kensington. Rachel King stays aboard for debut. Follow betting leads.
ILB
Gai Waterhouse & Adrian Bott trained 2yo by Anamoe having first start. Won a trial at Kensington on Sept 21st. Watch betting.
RP
Stable gets debut winners here; market confidence needed to make her of interest.
RSIS
First appearance at the races 2yo by Anamoe for Gai Waterhouse & Adrian Bott. Won a trial at Kensington on Sept 21st. Watch for a sign in the market.
Rating · IRD
82
Speed map
Firststart
Rider SR
Positive
Jockey recent POT is 20% better than Career Avg.
Trainer Career
Negative
Trainer Career S/R is 7%
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Trainer A2E
Negative
Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 27%
Drawn In
Positive
Suited drawn down low
Still Learning
Negative
No race experience
AAP
Trials (1:1-0-0). Cost $40k. Dam a half sister to G2 winner Glenfiddich. Lining up for first race start and looks good to go. Benefit of decent alley. Tough starting point but look for a market lead.
ILB
Initial race appearance 2yo by Exceedance for trainer Marc Conners & Mitchell Conners and has drawn to do little work. Winner in a trial at Kensington on Sept 21st. Betting as a guide.
RP
Sibling of One Shot More (6½f winner); may need the run being from this yard; market may be informative on her prospects.
RSIS
2yo debutant by Exceedance for trainer Marc Conners & Mitchell Conners and can save some energy from the stall. Success in a trial at Kensington on Sept 21st.
Rating · IRD
82
Speed map
Firststart
Rider
Negative
Negative rider change today
Still Learning
Negative
No race experience
AAP
Trials (1:1-0-0). $170k purchase out of a stakes-placed mare. Trialled once and may just need the outing. Follow betting leads.
ILB
Peter Snowden & Paul Snowden trained 2yo by Capitalist having first race start. Success in a barrier trial at Kensington on Sept 21st. Keep your eye on the market.
RP
Trainer can ready one first time out; overlooked unless the market says otherwise.
RSIS
Peter Snowden & Paul Snowden trained 2yo by Capitalist having first race appearance. Won a trial at Kensington on Sept 21st.
Rating · IRD
100
Speed map
Firststart
On Debut
Positive
First race start
AAP
Trials (1:1-0-0). Cost $250k. Dam a winner. In good hands and left a good impression at the trials. Drawn well. Should be competitive.
ILB
2yo first starter sired by Ole Kirk for trainer Michael Freedman. Success in a trial at Kensington on Sept 21st. Market as guide.
RP
Sire a rich source of juvenile winners; from the same family as Flying Fury, a winner over 5½f; stable gets fair share of winning newcomers over this sort of trip; hard to fancy unless market points the other way.
RSIS
Initial race appearance 2yo by Ole Kirk for trainer Michael Freedman. Success in a trial at Kensington on Sept 21st. Respect the betting.