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Randwick (NSW) horses tips & previews

One race at a time: field, form guide and win/place odds for Randwick (NSW), with capture times on every price.

Meeting — Sat 3 Oct, 10:00 am AEST

Meetings · Sat, 3 OctRandwick (NSW)Change

Race 7 — Asahi Super Dry Metropolitan 2400m · jumps

Race notes

  • 3UP GROUP 2 HCP,3yo+,Group 2,Open,THE METROP
  • SOFT6
  • Showers
  • 9 runners

Shortest win price

Aethelwulf (7)

2.80

Most career wins

Thebudgiesmugla

7-1-0 from 15 starts

Speed map

Back left · leaders right

Backmarker

  • 10Athabascan

Offmidfield

  • 4Green Spaces

Midfield

  • 13Steel Blaze
  • 2Soul Of Spain
  • 3Deakin

Offpace

  • 5Juja Kibo
  • 8Thebudgiesmugla

Onpace

  • 1The Euphrates

Leader

  • 7Aethelwulf
  • The Euphrates · Negative

    Current SR

    Rider’s recent POT is returning 28% lower than Career Avg.

  • Soul Of Spain · Negative

    Early Sectionals

    Recent sectional data suggests slow early pace

  • Deakin · Positive

    Jockey ROI

    Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 20% in Last 100 Rides

  • Green Spaces · Positive

    Hot J/T Combo

    Combo are out performing market expectations by 61%

No.RunnerBarWgtLast 5WinPlace
1The EuphratesJ: Tim Clark·T: G Waterhouse & A Bott259kg7 8 5 4 113: 4-2-1$4.00$1.36

Career

13: 4-2-1

Rating · IRD

94

Speed map

Onpace

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey20%
  • Trainer60%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo80%
  • Early Speed80%
  • Rating80%
  • Closing Speed60%

Record

  • First-up

    3: 0-1-1

  • Second-up

    2: 1-0-0

  • Third-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Killarney

    1: 0-0-1

  • Track Leopardstown

    2: 0-2-0

  • Track Lingfield

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 2011m

    1: 0-1-0

  • Distance 3133m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1678m

    1: 1-0-0

  • Going Good

    9: 3-1-0

  • Going Heavy

    3: 1-1-1

  • Going Soft

    1: 0-0-0

Last starts

  1. 1Randwick2000m19 Sept 2026 · 3UP GROUP 2 SWP · GOOD4-0.85
  2. 4Randwick1600m5 Sept 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD42.8L
  3. 5Randwick1200m31 July 2026 · Barrier Trial · SOFT(5)1.1L
  4. 8Randwick1050m20 July 2026 · Barrier Trial · HEAVY(8)3.2L
  5. 7Ascot3133m19 Oct 2024 · Group 2 · SOFT21.7L
  6. 1Curragh3374m29 Sept 2024 · 0-110 · GOOD-0.5
  7. 4Curragh2816m15 Sept 2024 · Group 1 · GOOD3.75L
  8. 2Leopardstown2414m8 Aug 2024 · Group 3 · GOOD5L

Insights

  • Current SR

    Negative

    Rider’s recent POT is returning 28% lower than Career Avg.

  • Maps Well

    Positive

    Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 18%

  • Slow Early LS

    Negative

    Speed data from recent runs suggests slower early splits on avg

  • Solid Run LS

    Positive

    Won last start

  • Draw Suits

    Positive

    Well drawn inside

  • Form At Track

    Positive

    1 time winner here at Randwick

  • Up In Weight

    Negative

    Goes up 4kg weight here

Comments

AAP

Third run since coming from overseas. Led and held sway to win the Kingston Town this course second-up. Dialled in and stays under strong notice.

ILB

Led from start to finish to win by a margin of 3/4L last start around here and has a positive draw. Won't be far away during the run. Good potential.

RP

Narrow success in a Group 2 overcoming four of these rivals last month; scored three in 11 outings overseas; others more appealing despite that win at Randwick.

RSIS

Gave them all something to chase to win by 3/4L last time around here and drawn nicely. Has early pace and positions nicely. Displaying improvement over the past few runs. Must be considered here.

2Soul Of SpainJ: James Mc Donald·T: C J Waller658.5kg4 9 6 8 324: 5-5-6$7.00$2.05

Career

24: 5-5-6

Rating · IRD

92

Speed map

Midfield

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey60%
  • Trainer60%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo60%
  • Early Speed80%
  • Rating80%
  • Closing Speed80%

Record

  • First-up

    6: 1-1-1

  • Second-up

    5: 1-1-1

  • Third-up

    5: 2-1-1

  • Fourth-up

    2: 0-1-0

  • Track Ballarat

    1: 0-0-1

  • Track Ipswich

    1: 1-0-0

  • Track Warwick Farm

    1: 1-0-0

  • Distance 2414m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1680m

    1: 1-0-0

  • Distance 2020m

    1: 1-0-0

  • Going Good

    16: 5-3-3

  • Going Heavy

    1: 0-0-1

  • Going Soft

    7: 0-2-2

Last starts

  1. 3Randwick2000m19 Sept 2026 · 3UP GROUP 2 SWP · GOOD41.57L
  2. 8Randwick1600m5 Sept 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD43.9L
  3. 6Hawkesbury1600m20 Aug 2026 · 3yo+ · SOFT63.5L
  4. 9Randwick1045m31 July 2026 · Barrier Trial · SOFT(5)6.4L
  5. 4Randwick900m20 July 2026 · Barrier Trial · HEAVY(8)1.1L
  6. 2Randwick3200m11 Apr 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD40.3L
  7. 6Rosehill2400m28 Mar 2026 · 3yo+ · SOFT67.3L
  8. 2Rosehill2000m14 Mar 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD41L

Insights

  • Early Sectionals

    Negative

    Recent sectional data suggests slow early pace

  • Ran On Hard LS

    Positive

    Ran on well last start

  • Form At Track

    Negative

    Yet to win here

Comments

AAP

Pretty good effort in the Kingston Town this venue. One for exotics.

ILB

Ran on strongly when 3rd beaten by 1 1/2L last time at the track. Jockey James Mcdonald is an asset. Very tidy performer.

RP

Finished third, beaten 1½l to The Euphrates in a Group 2 last month upped to 1m2f; has achieved five wins from 16 career runs.

RSIS

Strong effort to run into 3rd last start at this track. Good to see jockey James Mcdonald is jumping on. Can win.

3DeakinJ: Kerrin Mc Evoy·T: Phillip & Tommy Stokes356.5kg8 3 5 3 821: 5-2-2$11.00$2.65

Career

21: 5-2-2

Rating · IRD

94

Speed map

Midfield

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey80%
  • Trainer60%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
  • Early Speed100%
  • Rating80%
  • Closing Speed40%

Record

  • First-up

    8: 0-1-2

  • Second-up

    6: 2-0-0

  • Third-up

    4: 1-1-0

  • Fourth-up

    2: 1-0-0

  • Track Ascot

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Morphettville

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Caulfield

    4: 0-0-1

  • Distance 1637m

    1: 0-0-1

  • Distance 2341m

    1: 1-0-0

  • Distance 2400m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Heavy

    2: 0-0-0

  • Going Soft

    6: 2-0-2

  • Going Good

    13: 3-2-0

Last starts

  1. 8Caulfield2000m19 Sept 2026 · GROUP 3 QUALITY · GOOD31.97L
  2. 3Caulfield1700m29 Aug 2026 · HEATHERLIE HCP · SOFT61.2L
  3. 5Morphettville1600m9 May 2026 · 3yo+ · SOFT63.3L
  4. 3Caulfield Heath1500m23 Apr 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)1.6L
  5. 8Caulfield2400m18 Oct 2025 · 3yo+ · GOOD43.2L
  6. 6Flemington2000m4 Oct 2025 · 4yo+ · GOOD32.8L
  7. 7Flemington1700m13 Sept 2025 · HCP · GOOD43L
  8. 12Caulfield1400m30 Aug 2025 · BM100 · SOFT59.6L

Insights

  • Jockey ROI

    Positive

    Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 20% in Last 100 Rides

  • Cold J/T Combo

    Negative

    Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races

  • Fast Early

    Positive

    Sectionals suggest goes hard early

  • Class Rise

    Negative

    Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

Third run now in new stable/region. Ran on okay without troubling at Caulfield. Stripping fitter and longer trip helps.

ILB

Started $7.00 and came in 8th last start at Caulfield. Expecting improvement here. Solid claims.

RP

Finished eighth but only beaten 2l in a Group 3 (Caulfield) last month upped to 1m2f; admirably consistent and successful five times from 12 career runs.

RSIS

Odds of 6/1 and finished 8th last run at Caulfield. Should improve here. Strong claims.

4Green SpacesJ: Rachel King·T: Bjorn Baker956.5kg5 4 8 6 1113: 4-1-0$10.00$2.50

Career

13: 4-1-0

Rating · IRD

88

Speed map

Offmidfield

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey60%
  • Trainer100%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
  • Early Speed80%
  • Rating60%
  • Closing Speed40%

Record

  • First-up

    5: 1-0-0

  • Second-up

    4: 1-0-0

  • Third-up

    3: 1-1-0

  • Fourth-up

    1: 1-0-0

  • Track Rosehill

    2: 0-1-0

  • Track Newcastle

    1: 1-0-0

  • Track Randwick

    5: 1-0-0

  • Distance 2400m

    1: 1-0-0

  • Distance 1200m

    2: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1212m

    1: 1-0-0

  • Going Soft

    4: 1-1-0

  • Going Good

    9: 3-0-0

Last starts

  1. 11Randwick2000m19 Sept 2026 · 3UP GROUP 2 SWP · GOOD45.71L
  2. 6Randwick1600m5 Sept 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD43L
  3. 8Randwick1400m22 Aug 2026 · 3yo+ · SOFT56.9L
  4. 4Rosehill1000m7 Aug 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)1.6L
  5. 5Rosehill900m24 July 2026 · Barrier Trial · SOFT(6)2.7L
  6. 1Randwick2400m4 Apr 2026 · 3yo · SOFT7-3.2
  7. 2Rosehill2000m21 Mar 2026 · 3yo · SOFT61.9L
  8. 6Randwick1600m7 Mar 2026 · 3yo · GOOD46.6L

Insights

  • Hot J/T Combo

    Positive

    Combo are out performing market expectations by 61%

  • Stable In Form

    Positive

    Stable going well. Out performing market by 25%

  • Profitable Trainer

    Positive

    Stable runners going at 17% POT in L100 Runners

  • Early Sectionals

    Negative

    Recent sectional data suggests slow early pace

  • Gave ground LS

    Negative

    Faded towards the finish last time out

  • Imprv Needed

    Negative

    Would need to lift here to feature

Comments

AAP

Raced in back half and was never in a position to mount a serious challenge this venue. 2400m suits now.

ILB

Odds of $10.00 and didn't find the line when 11th last start around here. Betting is the best guide.

RP

Towards the rear of 14 in a Group 2 last month upped to 1m2f; a winner over C&D; major player if replicating his best form.

RSIS

Was 9/1 and lost ground in the run home when 11th last run at the track. Respect the betting.

5Juja KiboJ: Sam Clipperton·T: C Maher556.5kg9 1 3 3 218: 4-3-6$5.50$1.70

Career

18: 4-3-6

Rating · IRD

100

Speed map

Offpace

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey20%
  • Trainer100%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
  • Early Speed100%
  • Rating100%
  • Closing Speed80%

Record

  • First-up

    5: 0-1-1

  • Second-up

    3: 0-1-2

  • Third-up

    2: 1-0-1

  • Fourth-up

    2: 1-0-1

  • Track CurrentTrack

    7: 0-1-3

  • Track Caulfield

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Sandown

    1: 1-0-0

  • Distance 3200m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1400m

    1: 0-1-0

  • Distance 2000m

    3: 1-1-1

  • Going Good

    11: 1-3-3

  • Going Heavy

    2: 1-0-0

  • Going Soft

    5: 2-0-3

Last starts

  1. 2Randwick2000m19 Sept 2026 · 3UP GROUP 2 SWP · GOOD40.85L
  2. 3Warwick Farm1200m3 Sept 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)6.6L
  3. 3Hawkesbury1600m20 Aug 2026 · 3yo+ · SOFT62.1L
  4. 1Newcastle1200m3 Aug 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)-1.3
  5. 9Randwick3200m11 Apr 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD46.6L
  6. 3Randwick2600m4 Apr 2026 · 3yo+ · SOFT72.4L
  7. 3Rosehill2400m21 Mar 2026 · 3yo+ · SOFT60.3L
  8. 3Randwick2000m7 Mar 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD41.5L

Insights

  • Cold J/T Combo

    Negative

    Combo are losing -45% POT in their L100 Races

  • Profitable Trainer

    Positive

    Stable runners going at 10% POT in L100 Runners

  • Ran On Hard LS

    Positive

    Ran on well last start

  • Form At Track

    Negative

    Yet to win here

Comments

AAP

Racing well. Trailed speed, kept coming but winner too strong this course second-up. Fitter for those two runs and ready to show best at 2400m.

ILB

Finished strongly when 2nd beaten by 3/4L last start at this venue and displaying improvement over the past few runs. 2 wins from 5 starts have been on soft going. Good tough competitor that can be supported.

RP

A proven winner with a career wins-runs record of 4-18; good effort when close up over 1m2f here (Group 2) behind The Euphrates last month; regularly been coming up a bit short lately so not hard to turn elsewhere.

RSIS

Managed to place 2nd last time at this venue and form has been improving over recent runs. Likes the cut in the ground. In the placings at every start lately. Should put in a decent effort.

6Valiant KingScratched1––––

Rating · IRD

20

Speed map

Offmidfield

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey60%
  • Trainer60%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
  • Early Speed100%
  • Rating60%
  • Closing Speed40%

Insights

  • Dist S/R

    Negative

    Poor performer at the distance

Comments

AAP

Raced in back half and was never in a position to mount a serious challenge this course. Leaning towards others here.

ILB

Didn't attack the line when 10th last start at this track but will appreciate a good alley.

RSIS

Gave away some ground when 10th last start at this venue but will be aiming for a soft run from the draw.

7AethelwulfJ: Zac Lloyd·T: Matthew Smith455kg1 1 4 1 17: 5-1-0$2.80$1.26

Career

7: 5-1-0

Rating · IRD

97

Speed map

Leader

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey100%
  • Trainer100%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
  • Early Speed80%
  • Rating100%
  • Closing Speed60%

Record

  • First-up

    2: 1-1-0

  • Second-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Third-up

    1: 1-0-0

  • Fourth-up

    1: 1-0-0

  • Track Canterbury

    1: 1-0-0

  • Track Newcastle

    3: 2-0-0

  • Track Goulburn

    1: 0-1-0

  • Distance 1400m

    2: 1-0-0

  • Distance 1500m

    1: 0-1-0

  • Distance 1600m

    1: 1-0-0

  • Going Good

    5: 4-1-0

  • Going Soft

    2: 1-0-0

Last starts

  1. 1Newcastle2300m18 Sept 2026 · 3UP GROUP 3 HCP · GOOD3-2.47
  2. 1Rosehill2000m29 Aug 2026 · 3UP BM78 HCP · GOOD4-2.2
  3. 4Warwick Farm1208m18 Aug 2026 · Barrier Trial · SOFT(7)4.9L
  4. 1Canterbury1900m5 Aug 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD4-4.9
  5. 1Kembla Grange1600m16 July 2026 · CL1 · GOOD4-6.5
  6. 5Newcastle1400m27 June 2026 · CL1 · SOFT71.6L
  7. 1Newcastle1400m6 June 2026 · CG&E MDN-SW · SOFT5-5.2
  8. 5Warwick Farm1212m25 May 2026 · Barrier Trial · HEAVY(9)3.2L

Insights

  • Jockey ROI

    Positive

    Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 13% in Last 100 Rides

  • Maps Well

    Positive

    Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 12%

  • Early Sectionals

    Negative

    Recent sectional data suggests slow early pace

  • Consecutive Wins

    Positive

    Has strung together a few races in a row

  • Class Rise

    Negative

    Racing in stronger company

  • In Form

    Positive

    Racing in top form recently

Comments

AAP

Has a picket fence form line. Prohibitive odds when responded strongly to score in small field at Newcastle. Goes forward. Stronger challenge here but stays under notice.

ILB

Led throughout to win by a margin of just short of 2 1/2L last time at Newcastle. Won last 4 on the bounce. Has early speed and positions nicely. Definite claims for punters.

RP

Sequence of wins is stacking up; successful by 2½l in a Group 3 (Newcastle) 15 days ago upped to 1m3½f; warrants respect on first attempt at a big race.

RSIS

Led all the way when winning by close to 2 1/2L last start at Newcastle. Keeping a perfect win record the last 4 runs. Shows good early pace. Capable of winning this.

8ThebudgiesmuglaJ: Dylan Gibbons·T: Bjorn Baker1155kg1 1 5 4 415: 7-1-0$17.00$3.40

Career

15: 7-1-0

Rating · IRD

88

Speed map

Offpace

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey100%
  • Trainer100%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
  • Early Speed100%
  • Rating60%
  • Closing Speed40%

Record

  • First-up

    2: 0-0-0

  • Second-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Third-up

    1: 1-0-0

  • Fourth-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Hawkesbury

    1: 0-1-0

  • Track Sunshine Coast

    1: 1-0-0

  • Track CurrentTrack

    4: 1-0-0

  • Distance 1600m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 2000m

    3: 0-1-0

  • Distance 2100m

    3: 0-0-0

  • Going Soft

    6: 3-0-0

  • Going Good

    5: 1-1-0

  • Going Heavy

    4: 3-0-0

Last starts

  1. 4Randwick2400m5 Sept 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD43.2L
  2. 4Randwick2000m22 Aug 2026 · 3yo+ · SOFT51.1L
  3. 5Rosehill1030m7 Aug 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)4.6L
  4. 1Sunshine Coast2400m4 July 2026 · CALOUNDRA CUP · SOFT6-0.6
  5. 1Rosehill2400m13 June 2026 · 3yo+ · SOFT5-0.8
  6. 6Rosehill2000m30 May 2026 · 3yo+ · HEAVY93.3L
  7. 1Randwick2400m23 May 2026 · 3yo+ · HEAVY10-0.1
  8. 5Gosford2100m9 May 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD41.3L

Insights

  • Jockey ROI

    Positive

    Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 34% in Last 100 Rides

  • Stable In Form

    Positive

    Stable going well. Out performing market by 25%

  • Profitable Trainer

    Positive

    Stable runners going at 17% POT in L100 Runners

  • Hot Jockey

    Positive

    Dylan Gibbons in hot recent form, out performing market expectation by 41%

  • Early Splits

    Positive

    Has early speed. An advantage on this circuit

  • Awkward Draw

    Negative

    May find this draw awkward

  • Class Rise

    Negative

    Racing in stronger company

  • Weight Drop

    Positive

    Drops 4kg from LS run

Comments

AAP

Now 4 weeks between runs. Prominent before fading late this venue over this distance. Since trialled at Rosehill 22 Sep. Capable of making an impact with even breaks.

ILB

Odds of $2.90 and ran 4th last time at this venue but strong form at the distance. Should come to hand quickly. Suited by the weight drop. Watch betting.

RP

Not disgraced when fourth in a Listed handicap upped to this trip last month; boasts winning form over C&D; he should go close on first attempt at a big race and has some notable wins on the CV.

RSIS

Started 15/8 and ran 4th last start at this track but hard to fault at the trip. Displays good tactical pace. Gets some weight taken off. Watch for a sign in the market.

9PiggybackScratched7––––

Rating · IRD

20

Speed map

Midfield

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey40%
  • Trainer80%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo50%
  • Early Speed50%
  • Rating50%
  • Closing Speed40%

Comments

AAP

Lacked early speed and turn of foot this track last outing. Lift needed and a distant place hope only.

ILB

Was $12.00 and looked outclassed when 9th last run at this track.

RSIS

Started 11/1 and was well beaten when 9th last time around here.

10AthabascanJ: Jason Collett·T: John O'Shea & Tom Charlton854kg5 5 4 4 1447: 4-7-4$81.00$7.00

Career

47: 4-7-4

Rating · IRD

77

Speed map

Backmarker

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey60%
  • Trainer100%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
  • Early Speed100%
  • Rating40%
  • Closing Speed40%

Record

  • First-up

    10: 0-1-1

  • Second-up

    8: 1-1-0

  • Third-up

    8: 1-1-1

  • Fourth-up

    7: 2-2-0

  • Track Eagle Farm

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Chantilly

    2: 0-0-0

  • Track CurrentTrack

    22: 2-2-0

  • Distance 2000m

    14: 1-2-2

  • Distance 2399m

    2: 0-0-1

  • Distance 2400m

    8: 2-1-0

  • Going Good

    28: 2-5-3

  • Going Heavy

    2: 0-1-0

  • Going Soft

    17: 2-1-1

Last starts

  1. 14Randwick2000m19 Sept 2026 · 3UP GROUP 2 SWP · GOOD48.16L
  2. 4Warwick Farm1200m3 Sept 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)7.9L
  3. 4Rosehill1030m21 Aug 2026 · Barrier Trial · SOFT(5)3.6L
  4. 5Eagle Farm2400m30 May 2026 · GROUP 3 QLTY · SOFT58.4L
  5. 5Randwick1200m15 May 2026 · Barrier Trial · SOFT(7)3.2L
  6. 4Randwick3200m11 Apr 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD41.6L
  7. 5Randwick2600m4 Apr 2026 · 3yo+ · SOFT73L
  8. 8Rosehill2400m21 Mar 2026 · 3yo+ · SOFT63.9L

Insights

  • Hot J/T Combo

    Positive

    Combo are winning 30% POT in their L100 Races

  • Profitable Trainer

    Positive

    Stable runners going at 8% POT in L100 Runners

  • Gave ground LS

    Negative

    Faded towards the finish last time out

  • Awkward Draw

    Negative

    May find this draw awkward

  • Imprv Needed

    Negative

    Would need to lift here to feature

Comments

AAP

Never in the call this track for new stable. Well beaten in this race last year. Others with stronger claims.

ILB

Odds of $151.00 and struggled with the pace when 14th last time around here. Prefers to settle towards the tail. Cannot have.

RP

Possesses winning form at this track; behind The Euphrates when last 14 days ago over 1m2f here (Group 2) on debut for this trainer; passed over with a number of his rivals in good nick.

RSIS

At 150/1 folded up in the straight when 14th last run here. Likely to get back.

11Mr MonacoScratched12––––

Rating · IRD

20

Speed map

Backmarker

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey40%
  • Trainer100%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
  • Early Speed80%
  • Rating40%
  • Closing Speed40%

Insights

  • Winkers On

    Positive

    Important gear change of winkers on

Comments

AAP

Ridden back and never a factor this course when second-up. Won twice over 2400m. Can improve.

ILB

Couldn't stay in touch when 13th last start at this track.

RSIS

Struggled with the pace when 13th last time around here.

12PinholeScratched13––––

Career

14: 4-1-1

Rating · IRD

78

Speed map

Backmarker

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey100%
  • Trainer80%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo80%
  • Early Speed100%
  • Rating40%
  • Closing Speed100%

Record

  • First-up

    3: 0-0-0

  • Second-up

    2: 0-0-0

  • Third-up

    2: 1-0-0

  • Fourth-up

    1: 1-0-0

  • Track Randwick

    3: 0-0-1

  • Track CurrentTrack

    3: 0-0-1

  • Track Gosford

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 2405m

    1: 1-0-0

  • Distance 2471m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 2847m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Soft

    3: 1-1-0

  • Going Good

    10: 3-0-1

  • Going Heavy

    1: 0-0-0

Last starts

  1. 1Rosehill1900m26 Sept 2026 · 3UP BM88 HCP · GOOD4-0.03
  2. 3Randwick1600m5 Sept 2026 · 3UP BM94 HCP · GOOD41.4L
  3. 9Randwick1045m28 Aug 2026 · Barrier Trial · SOFT(6)7.2L
  4. 2Rosehill2400m27 June 2026 · 3UP BM90 HCP · SOFT63L
  5. 1Randwick Kensington2400m10 June 2026 · 3yo+ · SOFT5-0.6
  6. 4Randwick2000m23 May 2026 · 3yo+ · HEAVY103.2L
  7. 9Gosford2100m9 May 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD43.2L
  8. 12Randwick1600m25 Apr 2026 · 3UP BM78 HCP · GOOD45.1L

Insights

  • Key Rider

    Positive

    Tyler Schiller 28% above market expected in L100 Rides

  • Up In Dist

    Positive

    Racing at a more suitable distance

  • Backup

    Positive

    Racing again inside one week

Comments

AAP

Import who responded well from back half to get the prize at Rosehill. Straight to a Grp 1 and 2400m. Treat warily.

ILB

On a quick back up. Dashed home to win last run at Rosehill but testing ability against stronger contenders. Has not missed the placings this preparation in 2 attempts.

RP

Scored by a slim margin in a handicap a week ago (Rosehill) upped to 1m1½f; brings winning C&D form to the table; despite that Rosehill success, others appeal more.

RSIS

On a short back up. Reeled them in to win last run at Rosehill but challenged by more formidable competitors. Has run into the placings all attempts lately.

13Steel BlazeJ: Reece Jones·T: B M Lazzarini1053kg8 9 3 6 239: 2-2-3$126.00$11.00

Career

39: 2-2-3

Rating · IRD

70

Speed map

Midfield

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey100%
  • Trainer60%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
  • Early Speed80%
  • Rating20%
  • Closing Speed100%

Record

  • First-up

    7: 0-0-0

  • Second-up

    6: 0-0-1

  • Third-up

    6: 1-1-1

  • Fourth-up

    5: 0-0-1

  • Track Hawkesbury

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Randwick

    6: 0-0-0

  • Track Port Macquarie

    2: 0-0-1

  • Distance 1000m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1600m

    5: 0-0-1

  • Distance 1900m

    1: 1-0-0

  • Going Soft

    12: 1-0-0

  • Going Good

    24: 1-2-3

  • Going Heavy

    3: 0-0-0

Last starts

  1. 2Newcastle2300m18 Sept 2026 · 3UP GROUP 3 HCP · GOOD32.47L
  2. 6Wyong2100m4 Sept 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD42.4L
  3. 3Wyong2000m16 Aug 2026 · 3UP CL6 SW · GOOD42.7L
  4. 9Randwick1800m25 July 2026 · 3yo+ · SOFT68.5L
  5. 8Randwick1600m11 July 2026 · 3UP CL3SW · HEAVY96.7L
  6. 11Warwick Farm1300m24 June 2026 · 3UP CG&E BM72 HCP · GOOD44.6L
  7. 4Taree1000m5 June 2026 · Barrier Trial · HEAVY(8)5.6L
  8. 11Doomben2020m29 Nov 2025 · BM70 · SOFT622L

Insights

  • Fast Finisher

    Positive

    Fastest Overall Finishing Sectionals Last Start

  • Jockey ROI

    Positive

    Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 37% in Last 100 Rides

  • Trainer SR

    Negative

    Brett Lazzarini striking at just 5%

  • Hot J/T Combo

    Positive

    Combo are out performing market expectations by 147%

  • Trainer A2E

    Negative

    Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 29%

  • Slow Early LS

    Negative

    Speed data from recent runs suggests slower early splits on avg

  • Ran On Hard LS

    Positive

    Ran on well last start

  • Awkward Draw

    Negative

    May find this draw awkward

Comments

AAP

Last win was 23 Feb 2024. Gave good sight filling the minors at Newcastle but unplaced from 6 starts here and has never won past 1900m. Faces a herculean task.

ILB

Amongst the placegetters when 2nd last run at Newcastle. Highly unlikely to feature here.

RP

Solid run when second at 100-1 over 1m3½f at Newcastle (Group 3) behind Aethelwulf last month; a long time since his last win and yet to win a race of this value; others are preferred.

RSIS

Finished strongly when 2nd last run at Newcastle.

Odds correct as at . Odds can change.

Past meetings

  • Tue 3 Nov, 11:00 am AEDT · 10 races
  • Sat 31 Oct, 11:00 am AEDT · 10 races
  • Sat 24 Oct, 11:00 am AEDT · 10 races
  • Sat 17 Oct, 11:00 am AEDT · 10 races
  • Sat 19 Sept, 10:00 am AEST · 10 races
  • Sat 5 Sept, 10:00 am AEST · 10 races