Shortest win price
Remember The Boys (3)
1.70
Welcome to Rockhampton for the Patlaw Securities Hcp (C2) over 1600m on a soft 6 track with overcast skies, set to jump at 4:54 pm AEDT. Looking at how punters are treating the win market, Remember The Boys heads the betting order, followed closely by Red Feathers, Out Of Aces, I Want It All, and Launch Mode rounding out the pack. It is shaping up as a fascinating tactical battle across the mile.
Taking a closer look at the form for the market principals, Remember The Boys jumps from barrier 3 for trainer Jason Morgan with Raul Silvera Olivera in the saddle, coming off a gritty second here over 1400m after being scrubbed up early to lead. The sectional data suggests this runner goes hard early and rates strongly on recent figures. Meanwhile, Out Of Aces starts from barrier 5 for trainer Ms M Skillington and jockey Nikki Olzard, boasting a hot jockey and trainer combination that is outperforming market expectations. Out Of Aces went home tamely at this venue last time out over 1400m, but with the extra distance and stripping fitter, a sharp improvement wouldn't shock.
For those hunting further value down the order, Darryl Johnston saddles up I Want It All from barrier 2 with Sean Cormack steering, arriving off a narrow second over this exact 1600m trip at this course. The map suits this off-pace runner nicely. On the other hand, Red Feathers is drawn in barrier 1 for Alisha Taylor and Chris Mc Iver, looking to bounce back after a modest effort over this track and trip when fancied by some. It all adds up to a cracking yarn for punters sorting through the form lines.
Shortest win price
Remember The Boys (3)
1.70
Back left · leaders right
Backmarker
Offpace
Onpace
Leader
Out Of Aces · Positive
Hot J/T Combo
Combo are out performing market expectations by 63%
Remember The Boys · Negative
Maps Poorly
Map position not suited at this track, under performing market expectations by 11%
I Want It All · Negative
Cold J/T Combo
Combo are losing -22% POT in their L100 Races
Red Feathers · Positive
Map Suits
Suitable Map, where runners in this position outperform market by 4%
Career
17: 2-2-3
Rating · IRD
92
Speed map
Onpace
First-up
6: 0-2-2
Second-up
4: 1-0-0
Third-up
2: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Sunshine Coast
4: 0-0-1
Track Bathurst
1: 0-1-0
Track Emerald
1: 0-1-0
Distance 1500m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1600m
4: 0-0-1
Distance 1640m
1: 1-0-0
Going Good
7: 2-1-2
Going Heavy
3: 0-1-0
Going Soft
6: 0-0-0
Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are out performing market expectations by 63%
Hot Trainer
Positive
Ms M Skillington in good form, out performing market 56%
Key Jockey
Positive
Nikki Olzard winning at 7% POT in last 100 rides
Maps Well
Positive
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 19%
Early Sectionals
Negative
Recent sectional data suggests slow early pace
Dist S/R
Negative
Poor performer at the distance
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
AAP
Went home just tamely this venue at $21. Stripping fitter, win wouldn't shock.
ILB
Got going late when 4th last run at this track. Should muster plenty of early toe. Very capable of taking this out.
RP
Has won previously at this course; can be a player at this level; not disgraced in fourth over 7f here (handicap) two weeks ago when just behind Remember The Boys; looks likely to be involved if finding his best form.
RSIS
Made ground when closing off to finish 4th last time here. Shows good early pace. Should go well.
Rating · IRD
20
Margin LS
Positive
Won by a big margin last start
AAP
Triumphant on speed display at Sunshine Coast for new trainer. On pacer. Stays under strong notice.
ILB
Made every post a winner to win by a margin of 3 3/4L last start at Sunshine Coast.
RSIS
Led from start to finish when winning by a margin of 3 3/4L last run at Sunshine Coast.
Career
7: 2-3-0
Rating · IRD
100
Speed map
Leader
First-up
2: 0-1-0
Second-up
1: 1-0-0
Third-up
1: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-1-0
Track Rockhampton
7: 2-3-0
Track CurrentTrack
7: 2-3-0
Distance 1500m
1: 0-1-0
Distance 1050m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1200m
1: 0-1-0
Going Good
4: 1-2-0
Going Soft
3: 1-1-0
Maps Poorly
Negative
Map position not suited at this track, under performing market expectations by 11%
Fast Early
Positive
Sectionals suggest goes hard early
Track Exp
Positive
Knows this track well
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
Consistent
Positive
Showing up at the business end
AAP
Ears scrubbed off early to cross and lead but kept on bravely for the minors. Leader. Has some good results here. Rates highly.
ILB
Overrun late when 2nd beaten by 3/4L last time here. Should muster plenty of early speed. Looking sharp on the track this preparation. Has every chance.
RP
Favourite and just beaten here over 7f (handicap) 15 days ago; has won at this course; clear chance.
RSIS
Grabbed towards the finish when 2nd beaten by 3/4L last time at the track. Has shown early pace in races to date. In fine form since returning from a break. Great chance.
Career
10: 1-2-0
Rating · IRD
83
Speed map
Offpace
First-up
1: 0-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Third-up
1: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Mackay
3: 1-1-0
Track Rockhampton
4: 0-1-0
Track CurrentTrack
4: 0-1-0
Distance 1630m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1800m
1: 0-1-0
Distance 1050m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
7: 1-2-0
Going Soft
2: 0-0-0
Going Unknown
1: 0-0-0
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -22% POT in their L100 Races
Map Suits
Positive
Suitable Map, where runners in this position outperform market by 4%
Slow Early LS
Negative
Speed data from recent runs suggests slower early splits on avg
Ran On Hard LS
Positive
Ran on well last start
Form At Track
Negative
Yet to win here
Ready To Strike
Positive
Can be rewarded for recent consistent form
Blinkers Off
Positive
Blinkers coming off this start
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
AAP
Form sound. Narrowly beaten in the small field this course over this trip. A few runs under her belt this campaign, right in the mix again.
ILB
Was agonizingly close last run here. Represents value.
RP
Has been fairly consistent lately; missed out by a head 15 days ago.
RSIS
Just shy of the win last run here.
Rating · IRD
80
Speed map
Onpace
Ideal Map
Positive
Map position exceeding market by 4%
Resuming
Negative
Poor strike rate when first up
AAP
First-up (19-weeks). Lone career win was over 1200m at Rockhampton in last campaign. Went close in Maiden company at Mackay first-up last campaign. Can fill the minors here fresh in this company.
ILB
Back from a break. Came in 9th last start at Townsville but will appreciate a good alley. Stepping up in distance.
RSIS
Racing fresh after a break. Came in 9th last run at Townsville but has a nice advantage with a good draw. Stepping up in trip.
Career
19: 1-2-1
Rating · IRD
82
Speed map
Backmarker
First-up
4: 0-2-0
Second-up
3: 0-0-0
Third-up
3: 0-0-1
Track Kyneton
2: 0-0-0
Track Traralgon
1: 0-0-0
Track Stony Creek
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1100m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1400m
4: 0-1-1
Distance 1472m
1: 0-0-0
Going Synthetic
2: 0-0-0
Going Good
12: 1-1-1
Going Heavy
1: 0-0-0
Map Suits
Positive
Suitable Map, where runners in this position outperform market by 4%
Early Sectionals
Negative
Recent sectional data suggests slow early pace
Ran On Hard LS
Positive
Ran on well last start
Draw Suits
Positive
Well drawn inside
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
AAP
Modest performance this track when fancied over this trip. Could spring a surprise.
ILB
Jumped at $2.70 and outpaced some runners late when 4th last start at this venue and has a positive barrier. Always seems to find the line well. Best to watch and see.
RP
She can be competitive at this level; not far behind I Want It All when fourth 15 days ago.
RSIS
Started at 7/4 and kept chasing when 4th last time around here and has a positive stall. Have to respect the recent Alisha Taylor form.
Career
33: 2-4-7
Rating · IRD
70
Speed map
Onpace
First-up
4: 0-0-1
Second-up
3: 0-1-1
Third-up
3: 0-1-1
Fourth-up
2: 0-0-1
Track Tumut
1: 0-1-0
Track Gladstone
1: 0-0-0
Track Hillston
1: 1-0-0
Distance 1194m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1200m
4: 0-0-2
Distance 1300m
4: 0-0-1
Going Heavy
2: 0-0-0
Going Soft
8: 0-1-1
Going Unknown
3: 1-0-0
Current SR
Negative
Rider’s recent POT is returning 20% lower than Career Avg.
Trainer SR
Negative
Leaonie Horstman striking at just 3%
Jockey Booking
Negative
Less suitable jockey engaged
Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are winning 30% POT in their L100 Races
Trainer A2E
Negative
Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 51%
Rider Poor SR
Negative
Jockey underperforming market expectations by 53% in L100 rides
Early Splits
Positive
Has early speed. An advantage on this circuit
Well beaten LS
Negative
Not competitive last run
AAP
Dropped out to last and never sighted this course. Needs to up his game.
ILB
Was $201.00 and weakened under pressure when 12th last run at this track but coming back up in distance. Will be giving the leaders a big start. Not interested today.
RP
A few throw outs since his success in a handicap at Hillston in April; finished last of 12 over 6f here (handicap) two weeks ago; probably unlikely to trouble the principals.
RSIS
Was 200/1 and couldn't maintain the pace when 12th last time at this track but returning to an increased distance. Will be giving the leaders a big start.