Shortest win price
Loaded (2)
2.15
Welcome to Sale for the Ladbrokes Switch Mdn Plate over the 1200m trip. Conditions are currently testing with a Soft 5 rating and rain coming down for the program. Looking at the early win market order, punters have zeroed in on Loaded heading the betting line, closely followed by Big Kapow, Armorware, and Trouble'N Paradise rounding out the top markers of the market as they prepare to battle it out in this maiden affair.
Loaded brings strong claims after starting life on a synthetic track where the runner finished a narrow second, showing a sharp turn of foot and strong finishing sectionals that suggest the step back to standard turf holds no fears. Big Kapow maps as the leader from barrier six, coming off a solid Cranbourne effort where the runner worked home soundly after racing handy, while Armorware has also been in the market at both career outings and comes off a closing third at Pakenham Synthetic behind a tearaway winner.
For those hunting further down the form lines, Trouble'N Paradise represents the stable of Ben, Will & Jd Hayes and comes into this after a minor placing at Bendigo when sticking on fairly over 1300m, now dropping back slightly in distance. With speed maps showing Big Kapow controlling things up front alone as the lone leader, it sets up an interesting tactical puzzle for the backmarkers and mid-fielders to chase down in the going.
Shortest win price
Loaded (2)
2.15
Back left · leaders right
Firststart
Backmarker
Midfield
Offpace
Leader
Big Kapow · Positive
Hot J/T Combo
Combo are out performing market expectations by 45%
Loaded · Positive
Fast Finisher
Fastest Overall Finishing Sectionals Last Start
Silver Lightning · Positive
Jockey ROI
Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 20% in Last 100 Rides
Trouble'N Paradise · Negative
Jockey Booking
Less suitable jockey engaged
Career
5: 0-2-0
Rating · IRD
88
Speed map
Leader
First-up
2: 0-2-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Mornington
1: 0-0-0
Track Pakenham
1: 0-1-0
Track Cranbourne
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1100m
1: 0-1-0
Distance 1200m
2: 0-0-0
Distance 1000m
2: 0-1-0
Going Good
5: 0-2-0
Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are out performing market expectations by 45%
Maps Well
Positive
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 14%
Fast Early
Positive
Sectionals suggest goes hard early
AAP
Latest attempt this journey when handily placed and worked home soundly at Cranbourne. Leads, handy. All the better, capable of making an impact.
ILB
Started at $6.00 and finished 5th last time at Cranbourne. Should muster plenty of early speed. Very tidy performer.
RP
Improved form the last twice; far from disgraced (beaten just under 3l) at Cranbourne two weeks ago.
RSIS
At 5/1 finished 5th last run at Cranbourne. Expecting to settle positively. Has definite claims.
Career
1: 0-1-0
Rating · IRD
100
Speed map
Backmarker
First-up
1: 0-1-0
Track Pakenham Synthetic
1: 0-1-0
Distance 1200m
1: 0-1-0
Going Synthetic
1: 0-1-0
Fast Finisher
Positive
Fastest Overall Finishing Sectionals Last Start
Ran On Hard LS
Positive
Ran on well last start
Raceday Experience
Positive
Wiser for debut run
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
AAP
Subject of support when just shaded by winner at Pakenham Synthetic on debut. Will take benefit. Looks poised to shake his maiden.
ILB
Nice effort to run into 2nd last run at Pakenham Synthetic and was a debutant last start. Shows very good closing speed. Should feature prominently.
RP
A narrow debut defeat at 6-4 three weeks ago at Pakenham running over this trip; could improve but still hard to see him winning here.
RSIS
Caught the eye when 2nd last time at Pakenham Synthetic and was a debutant last start. Has a great burst of pace late. Competitive type.
Career
9: 0-0-1
Rating · IRD
77
Speed map
Offpace
First-up
3: 0-0-1
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Third-up
1: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Kilmore
1: 0-0-0
Track Pakenham
1: 0-0-0
Track Cranbourne
3: 0-0-1
Distance 1200m
5: 0-0-1
Distance 1212m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1400m
2: 0-0-0
Going Good
5: 0-0-1
Going Soft
4: 0-0-0
Jockey ROI
Positive
Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 20% in Last 100 Rides
Key Rider
Positive
Liana Wood 22% above market expected in L100 Rides
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Trainer ROI
Positive
Runners from this stable currently going at 8% POT in L100 Runners
Key Jockey
Positive
Liana Wood winning at 7% POT in last 100 rides
Early Splits
Positive
Has early speed. An advantage on this circuit
Dist S/R
Negative
Poor performer at the distance
AAP
Sent out $81 when unable to threaten at Cranbourne off spell. Others with more appeal.
ILB
Started at $81.00 and couldn't maintain the pace when 7th last start at Cranbourne. Yet to break through after 9 runs. The large claim from Liana Wood should help. Can't have on what it has been showing.
RP
Still winless and defeats stacking up (nine on the bounce); beaten 6l in seventh (Cranbourne) 16 days ago when just behind Big Kapow; this looks a decent race so others more likely.
RSIS
Odds of 80/1 and struggled with the pace when 7th last time at Cranbourne. Hasn't broken through maiden grade after 9 runs. The large claim from Liana Wood should help.
Career
5: 0-1-2
Rating · IRD
88
Speed map
Offpace
First-up
2: 0-0-1
Second-up
1: 0-0-1
Track Ararat
1: 0-0-1
Track Geelong
1: 0-0-0
Track Sale
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1300m
1: 0-0-1
Distance 1200m
1: 0-1-0
Distance 1206m
2: 0-0-1
Going Good
4: 0-1-1
Going Soft
1: 0-0-1
Jockey Booking
Negative
Less suitable jockey engaged
Trainer Form
Positive
In form stable, out performing market expectations 39%
Trainer ROI
Positive
Runners from this stable currently going at 26% POT in L100 Runners
Maps Well
Positive
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 14%
Lightly Raced
Positive
Limited race experience but shown potential
Blinkers On
Positive
Trainer has opted for the Blinkers on, take note
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
AAP
In touch, no match but did enough for a minor prize at Bendigo in Maiden company when second-up. Comes back in trip a touch.
ILB
Good run when finishing 3rd beaten by almost 2 1/2L last start at Bendigo and putting a tidy record together so far. Getting better in recent performances. Rates as one of the key chances.
RP
Best form so far in last two starts; a respectable third of nine over 6½f at Bendigo (maiden) 21 days ago.
RSIS
Attacked the line when 3rd last run at Bendigo and solid career start. Interesting to see the blinkers go on for the first time. Serious contender.
Career
8: 0-0-2
Rating · IRD
79
Speed map
Backmarker
First-up
2: 0-0-1
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Geelong
1: 0-0-0
Track Pakenham
2: 0-0-0
Track Donald
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1000m
3: 0-0-1
Distance 1200m
3: 0-0-0
Distance 1209m
1: 0-0-1
Going Good
6: 0-0-2
Going Soft
1: 0-0-0
Going Synthetic
1: 0-0-0
Trainer Career
Negative
Trainer Career S/R is 4%
Rider
Negative
Negative rider change today
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Trainer Recent
Negative
Stable runners are currently underperforming market by 43%
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
AAP
Ran home respectably into a non-threatening 4th at Pakenham Synthetic when second-up. Back on turf. Place preferred option.
ILB
Jumped at $10.00 and passed some rivals in the late stages when 4th last start at Pakenham Synthetic. Hasn't broken through maiden grade after 8 runs. May find these too slick.
RP
Improved form the last twice but winless with run of consecutive defeats standing at eight; not far behind Loaded when fourth at Pakenham three weeks ago; a lot on her plate here and others appeal more.
RSIS
At 9/1 hit the line well when 4th last start at Pakenham Synthetic. Yet to break maiden status after 8 starts. Might be ridden for luck.
Career
1: 0-1-0
Rating · IRD
86
Speed map
Backmarker
First-up
1: 0-1-0
Track Kyneton
1: 0-1-0
Distance 1203m
1: 0-1-0
Going Soft
1: 0-1-0
Fast Finisher
Positive
Fastest Overall Finishing Sectionals Last Start
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -38% POT in their L100 Races
Trainer Form
Positive
In form stable, out performing market expectations 39%
Profitable Trainer
Positive
Stable runners going at 26% POT in L100 Runners
Raceday Experience
Positive
Wiser for debut run
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
AAP
No match but ran on for the minors at Kyneton on debut 8 Oct. Wiser for experience.
ILB
Did well to place 2nd beaten by 4 3/4L last time at Kyneton and having second career run. Expected to be flashing home. Not at all out of this race.
RP
Went down by just under 5l when second at the first time of asking at Kyneton at 5-1 17 days ago; possible improver with outing under her belt although has plenty to find.
RSIS
Good run when placing 2nd beaten by 4 3/4L last run at Kyneton and having second race start. Will be hitting the line strongly. Not at all out of this race.
Career
6: 0-0-0
Rating · IRD
70
Speed map
Midfield
First-up
2: 0-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Third-up
1: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Sale
2: 0-0-0
Track CurrentTrack
2: 0-0-0
Track Stony Creek
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1000m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1100m
2: 0-0-0
Distance 1200m
2: 0-0-0
Going Soft
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
4: 0-0-0
Going Heavy
1: 0-0-0
Trainer SR
Negative
Heather Stephens striking at just 3%
Rider
Negative
Negative rider change today
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Trainer A2E
Negative
Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 45%
Trainer ROI
Negative
Trainers runners currently losing 55% Profit on Turnover
Needs To Imp
Negative
Finished towards the tail last start
Wide Draw
Negative
Likely to get caught wide
Resuming
Negative
Poor strike rate when first up
AAP
First-up (26-weeks). Yet to fill a placing in 6 career starts and want to watch again.
ILB
Resuming after a 26 week spell. Started at $151.00 and well beaten when 10th last time at Moe. Interesting to see the tongue tie go off for the first time. Looks completely outclassed.
RP
Attempting to open her account at the seventh time of asking; finished tailed off at Moe in April; back from an absence here; a lot on her plate here and may be vulnerable.
RSIS
Resuming after a 26 week break. At 150/1 clearly outclassed when 10th last run at Moe. Tongue strap go off for the first time.
Career
2: 0-1-1
Rating · IRD
90
Speed map
Midfield
First-up
1: 0-1-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-1
Track Mornington
1: 0-1-0
Track Pakenham Synthetic
1: 0-0-1
Distance 1000m
1: 0-1-0
Distance 1200m
1: 0-0-1
Going Synthetic
1: 0-0-1
Going Good
1: 0-1-0
Jockey Booking
Negative
Daniel Stackhouse current POT is 32% below Career Avg.
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -31% POT in their L100 Races
Trainer ROI
Positive
Runners from this stable currently going at 6% POT in L100 Runners
Rider Poor SR
Negative
Jockey underperforming market expectations by 38% in L100 rides
Nice Barrier
Positive
Well drawn from gate 1
AAP
In the market all runs. Ran on late to place behind tearaway winner at Pakenham Synthetic. Makes strong appeal.
ILB
Managed to run into 3rd last run at Pakenham Synthetic and drawn beautifully. Has not missed the money this campaign in 2 attempts. Good prospects.
RP
Finished third of eight at Pakenham 23 days ago; lightly raced (running for just the third time).
RSIS
Managed to run into 3rd last time at Pakenham Synthetic and drawn the rails. Has not missed the placings lately in 2 attempts. Can take this out.
Career
1: 0-0-0
Rating · IRD
79
Speed map
Backmarker
First-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Geelong
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1125m
1: 0-0-0
Going Heavy
1: 0-0-0
Fast Early
Positive
Sectionals suggest goes hard early
1st Up
Negative
May need this run
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
AAP
Back for second campaign (18-weeks). Offered little to catch the eye on debut at Geelong 19 Jun. Not pushed out Caulfield Heath trial 1 Oct. Will need to improve on exposed form.
ILB
Fresh today. Jumped at $11.00 and was nothing special when 9th last time at Geelong but having second race start. He's been gelded. Would rather look at others.
RP
Held on his debut at Geelong at 10-1 in June; returning from a layoff here; must now step up.
RSIS
Back from a break. Started at 10/1 and only fair when 9th last run at Geelong but having second career run. He underwent a recent gelding operation.
Rating · IRD
81
Speed map
Firststart
Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are out performing market expectations by 84%
Market Watch
Negative
Keep eye on betting moves
AAP
Trials (2:0-0-0). $85k purchase. Out of a half-sister to G3 winner Bondeiger. Asked for little in lead-up trials/jumpout. Drawn well. Market may offer more insight.
ILB
First race appearance 3yo by Written By for Jerome Hunter. Tongue tie go on for the first time. Finished 7th in a trial at Caulfield Heath on Oct 1st. Watch the market moves.
RP
Already gelded; this son of Written By makes debut under rules; needs to be respected with signs of encouragement in profile.
RSIS
3yo by Written By having initial appearance for trainer Jerome Hunter. Interesting to see the tongue strap go on for the first time.
Rating · IRD
20
Speed map
Firststart
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -25% POT in their L100 Races
Key Jockey
Positive
Jett Stanley winning at 22% POT in last 100 rides
Nice Barrier
Positive
Well drawn from gate 1
Still Learning
Negative
No race experience
AAP
$100k purchase. Out of a half-sister to the stakes winner California Flag. Unraced 3yo by Harry Angel and out of the Congrats mare Spirit Of Ecstasy. Well held in last couple of jumpouts. Odds may prove best guide here.
ILB
Harry Angel 3yo trained by Julius Sandhu having first race appearance and will appreciate a good barrier. Watch betting.
RP
Related to 6f winner Point Of Ecstasy; this son of Harry Angel is running for the first time; warrants consideration.
RSIS
First race appearance 3yo by Harry Angel for Julius Sandhu and will be aiming for a soft run from the draw.
Career
1: 0-0-0
Rating · IRD
20
Speed map
Backmarker
First-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Bendigo
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1100m
1: 0-0-0
Going Soft
1: 0-0-0
Trainer Form
Positive
In form stable, out performing market expectations 39%
Trainer ROI
Positive
Runners from this stable currently going at 26% POT in L100 Runners
Drawn Poorly
Negative
Unfavourable barrier draw
1st Up
Negative
May need this run
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
AAP
Kicks off second campaign (17-weeks). Wasn't all that far from the action on debut at Bendigo when drifting in the betting 25 Jun. Will need to come on from that.
ILB
Resuming after a break. Started $8.00 and crept into 4th last run at Bendigo and fitter for debut run.
RP
Fourth but beaten only 3l on his debut at Bendigo at 7-1 four months ago; returns from a layoff; hard to see him getting off the mark second time up.
RSIS
Resuming after a break. Odds of 7/1 and passed some rivals in the late stages when 4th last start at Bendigo and having second race start.
Rating · IRD
79
Speed map
Firststart
Drawn In
Positive
Suited drawn down low
Still Learning
Negative
No race experience
AAP
Newcomer by Foxwedge and out of the Mujahid mare Andronica. Has looked above average in both jumpouts and would not leave out.
ILB
Tim Eurell 3yo by Foxwedge having first race start and will try to take advantage of the draw. Betting as a guide.
RP
Related to 1m3f winner Ambalac; running in first race; has to be considered as some good aspects to his profile.
RSIS
Tim Eurell trained 3yo by Foxwedge having first race appearance and gets a favourable stall.
Career
1: 0-0-0
Rating · IRD
20
Speed map
Midfield
First-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Ballarat
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1000m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
1: 0-0-0
Jockey Booking
Negative
Less suitable jockey engaged
Raceday Experience
Positive
Wiser for debut run
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
AAP
Passable debut effort when battled home at Ballarat. Wiser for experience. Among the dangers.
ILB
Odds of $4.20 and ran 6th last run at Ballarat but having second race start.
RP
Not beaten too far (3½l) on her debut at Ballarat over 5f at 100-30 two weeks ago; could be involved as she should be more streetwise this time.
RSIS
Odds of 10/3 and came in 6th last time at Ballarat but having second career run.
Career
3: 0-0-0
Rating · IRD
76
Speed map
Backmarker
First-up
2: 0-0-0
Track Scone
1: 0-0-0
Track Ballarat
1: 0-0-0
Track Hawkesbury
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1000m
2: 0-0-0
Distance 900m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
2: 0-0-0
Going Soft
1: 0-0-0
Well beaten LS
Negative
Not competitive last run
Blinkers On
Positive
Trainer has opted for the Blinkers on, take note
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
AAP
Failed to threaten (wide draw) at Ballarat for new trainer at wide odds. Need to see more from him now.
ILB
Was $91.00 and disappointing effort when 8th last time at Ballarat. Interesting gear change of blinkers on first time. Likely to settle back in the field. This is a tough race.
RP
Last of eight over 5f at Ballarat (maiden) on debut for this handler 16 days ago; lightly raced (this just his fourth race).
RSIS
At 90/1 was ordinary when 8th last run at Ballarat. Interesting to see the blinkers go on for the first time. Expected to settle towards the tail.