Shortest win price
Rough Enuff (6)
3.50
Welcome to Sale for the Grassdale Estate Mdn Plate over the 1400m journey. Conditions are soft5 with some rain about, setting up an interesting test for this 4UP maiden field. Looking at the early win market order, punters have homed in on Rough Enuff as the elect runner, closely followed by Goodness, Silky Seth, and Angling Angel rounding out the top four in betting. It is shaping up as a fascinating tactical battle across the track with several runners possessing distinct early speed map profiles.
Digging into the form behind those shorter prices, Rough Enuff comes out of an eye-catching second at Seymour over 1200m on a soft5 track where the stable noted a really good run coming from the back after a lengthy absence. Trained by Ms C Alderson with Jamie Mott in the saddle from barrier 2, this runner will strip fitter second-up and the rise in trip looks a distinct plus. Another key contender near the head of the market is Goodness for A & S Freedman, featuring Michael Dee aboard from barrier 4. This runner resumes from a nineteen-week spell following an effort at Wangaratta and a minor placing at Caulfield Heath on soft7 going during the previous campaign, marking them as a genuine fresh-form player.
Further down the speed groups, Silky Seth maps well as a leader alongside Goodness, though sectionals suggest they will go hard early. Silky Seth was brave in defeat when finishing second at Geelong over 1447m on soft5, and while that effort brings minor claims, the early pressure might help set the race up for those tracking off the pace. Angling Angel for Phillip & Tommy Stokes also catches the eye with stakes form providing some appeal, looking to bounce back from a synthetic track outing at Pakenham while fitter second-up. It all points to a cracking yarn for punters trying to unravel a tricky Sale maiden.
Shortest win price
Rough Enuff (6)
3.50
Back left · leaders right
Offmidfield
Firststart
Backmarker
Midfield
Offpace
Onpace
Leader
Abydos · Positive
Ran On Hard LS
Ran on well last start
Always Shining · Positive
Fast Finisher
Fastest Overall Finishing Sectionals Last Start
Bargunn · Negative
Jockey Booking
Melea Castle current POT is 52% below Career Avg.
Egyptian Thorn · Positive
Rider SR
Jockey recent POT is 20% better than Career Avg.
Career
1: 0-0-0
Rating · IRD
78
Speed map
Offmidfield
First-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Geelong
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1247m
1: 0-0-0
Going Soft
1: 0-0-0
Ran On Hard LS
Positive
Ran on well last start
AAP
Left a decent impression on debut at Geelong as an outsider 7 Oct. Experience a positive.
ILB
Started at $91.00 and inched into 4th last run at Geelong and having second career run. Will be tested.
RP
Respectable debut effort at Geelong at 80-1 two weeks ago; hard to see him getting off the mark second time up.
RSIS
Was 90/1 and ran past a few when 4th last time at Geelong and fitter for debut run.
Career
14: 0-1-1
Rating · IRD
75
Speed map
Offmidfield
First-up
3: 0-0-0
Second-up
2: 0-0-0
Third-up
1: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Mornington
1: 0-0-0
Track CurrentTrack
4: 0-0-1
Track Wyong
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1400m
3: 0-0-0
Distance 1500m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1600m
4: 0-1-0
Going Good
7: 0-1-1
Going Heavy
3: 0-0-0
Going Soft
4: 0-0-0
Fast Finisher
Positive
Fastest Overall Finishing Sectionals Last Start
Trainer SR
Negative
Brent Butcher striking at just 4%
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Trainer A2E
Negative
Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 43%
Fast Early
Positive
Sectionals suggest goes hard early
Back in Dist
Negative
Dropping back to a less suitable distance range
Resuming
Negative
Poor strike rate when first up
AAP
First-up (25-weeks). Locally trained but has an adverse draw. Hard to see threatening at this stage.
ILB
First up today. Displayed good finishing speed when 3rd beaten by 5 3/4L last time at this venue but coming back in trip. A 14 start maiden. Has to have a lot go its way.
RP
Finished just behind Motherduck when third over 1m½f here (maiden) in May; seems to have stepped up on previous form the last twice but winless with run of consecutive defeats standing at 14; returns from a layoff.
RSIS
Racing fresh after a break. Did well to run into 3rd beaten by 5 3/4L last time at the track but will be dropping in distance.
Rating · IRD
74
Speed map
Firststart
Jockey Booking
Negative
Melea Castle current POT is 52% below Career Avg.
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Rider Poor SR
Negative
Jockey underperforming market expectations by 80% in L100 rides
Nice Barrier
Positive
Well drawn from gate 1
Still Learning
Negative
No race experience
Blinkers On
Positive
Trainer has opted for the Blinkers on, take note
AAP
Makes debut for the P E Kramer stable. No recorded trials. Gets a soft draw. Happy to watch unless the money arrives.
ILB
4yo by Tagaloa having first start for trainer Paul Kramer and drawn beautifully. Interesting gear change of blinkers on first time. Betting as a guide.
RP
Gelded already; this son of Tagaloa makes debut under rules; should go close with signs of encouragement in profile.
RSIS
4yo first starter by Tagaloa for trainer Paul Kramer and has the ideal draw. Interesting to see the blinkers go on for the first time.
Career
5: 0-2-0
Rating · IRD
94
Speed map
Backmarker
First-up
2: 0-1-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Seymour
1: 0-1-0
Track Kyneton
1: 0-1-0
Track Swan Hill
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1200m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1300m
1: 0-1-0
Distance 1400m
1: 0-0-0
Going Synthetic
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
4: 0-2-0
Rider SR
Positive
Jockey recent POT is 20% better than Career Avg.
Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are out performing market expectations by 72%
Maps Well
Positive
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 9%
AAP
Last on turn, beat tired horses home at Pakenham Synthetic when second-up. Not fancied.
ILB
Jumped at $5.50 and advanced late into 5th last time at Pakenham Synthetic. Billy Egan and Lloyd Kennewell are a duo to watch closely. Displays good finishing speed. Good prospects.
RP
Fifth beaten 8l (Pakenham) 20 days ago; five-race maiden but has managed to finish second; rates a likely contender as best form suggests not devoid of talent.
RSIS
Odds of 9/2 and made up ground when 5th last start at Pakenham Synthetic. Billy Egan and Lloyd Kennewell make an imposing pair. Possesses good closing pace. Good chance of taking this out.
Career
1: 0-0-0
Rating · IRD
84
Speed map
Offpace
First-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Cranbourne
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1200m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
1: 0-0-0
Trainer Career
Negative
Trainer Career S/R is 7%
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Trainer Recent
Negative
Stable runners are currently underperforming market by 37%
Ran On Hard LS
Positive
Ran on well last start
AAP
Wasn't all that far from the action on debut at Cranbourne 9 Oct. Better for race exposure. Can make his presence felt.
ILB
At $11.00 got going late when 4th last time at Cranbourne and having second race start. Not at all out of this race.
RP
Respectable debut effort (beaten just over 2l) over 6f at Cranbourne (closely matched with Expanding Power on that running) at 10-1 16 days ago; needs to make above-average progress.
RSIS
Odds of 10/1 and passed some rivals in the late stages when 4th last run at Cranbourne and was on debut last time. Has some claims.
Career
5: 0-1-1
Rating · IRD
95
Speed map
Midfield
First-up
2: 0-1-1
Track Pakenham
2: 0-0-1
Track Cranbourne
1: 0-0-0
Track Seymour
1: 0-1-0
Distance 1200m
3: 0-1-1
Distance 1400m
2: 0-0-0
Going Soft
1: 0-1-0
Going Good
3: 0-0-1
Going Heavy
1: 0-0-0
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -43% POT in their L100 Races
Hot Trainer
Positive
Cindy Alderson in good form, out performing market 54%
Trainer ROI
Positive
Runners from this stable currently going at 39% POT in L100 Runners
Ran On Hard LS
Positive
Ran on well last start
Drawn In
Positive
Suited drawn down low
AAP
Really good run coming from the back in 4yo+ Mdn Plate at Seymour after lengthy absence. Will be fitter second-up and rise in trip a plus. Shapes as a major player.
ILB
Caught the eye when 2nd last start at Seymour and gets a favourable gate. Very tidy performer.
RP
Has arguably shown improved form the last twice; had two of these rivals behind him over 6f at Seymour (maiden) when beaten 1l to finish second 14 days ago.
RSIS
Made some ground late when 2nd beaten by 1L last start at Seymour and will try to take advantage of the draw. Genuine claims.
Career
9: 0-2-4
Rating · IRD
93
Speed map
Leader
First-up
2: 0-1-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-1
Third-up
1: 0-1-0
Track Seymour
2: 0-0-0
Track Ballarat
1: 0-0-1
Track Echuca
1: 0-0-1
Distance 1600m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1200m
1: 0-1-0
Distance 1300m
2: 0-0-0
Going Good
6: 0-1-4
Going Soft
3: 0-1-0
Maps Well
Positive
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 14%
Fast Early
Positive
Sectionals suggest goes hard early
Ran On Hard LS
Positive
Ran on well last start
Track Exp
Positive
Knows this track well
Form Revival
Positive
Turning form around with last couple
AAP
No match but still very brave in defeat in 3yo+ Mdn at Geelong. In the placings only prior run here. Hope for exotics only.
ILB
Ran home into 2nd beaten by 3L last time at Geelong and displaying improvement over the past few runs. Has early speed and positions nicely. Going well this campaign. Strong claims in this.
RP
A respectable runner-up of nine at Geelong 18 days ago; has kicked on in his last couple of races but still winless and defeats stacking up (nine on the bounce); not been able to get his head in front lately so others more likely.
RSIS
Picked up late ground when 2nd beaten by 3L last time at Geelong and demonstrating upward trajectory in recent races. Will be pushing for a forward position early. One of the punters top hopes.
Rating · IRD
20
Speed map
Firststart
Still Learning
Negative
No race experience
AAP
Unraced 4yo by Performer and out of the Galileo mare River Dreaming. Well held in recent jumpouts. Market the guide.
ILB
Initial race appearance 4yo by Performer for Robbie Griffiths. Market as guide.
RP
This son of Performer is having his first start under rules; strong claims with signs of encouragement in profile.
RSIS
4yo first starter by Performer for Robbie Griffiths.
Career
7: 0-1-0
Rating · IRD
96
Speed map
Offmidfield
First-up
3: 0-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-1-0
Third-up
1: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Morphettville
3: 0-0-0
Track Sale
2: 0-1-0
Track CurrentTrack
2: 0-1-0
Distance 1400m
3: 0-0-0
Distance 1717m
1: 0-1-0
Distance 1800m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
2: 0-0-0
Going Soft
4: 0-1-0
Going Synthetic
1: 0-0-0
Trainer Recent
Negative
Camp struggling with S/R just 11%
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are under performing market expectations by -25%
Trainer A2E
Negative
Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 21%
Gave ground LS
Negative
Faded towards the finish last time out
AAP
Stakes form adds appeal. Raced in back half and never likely at Pakenham Synthetic for new stable. Will be fitter second-up. Right in this.
ILB
Jumped at $3.00 and weakened to finish 9th last start at Pakenham Synthetic. Has the potential to improve sharply. Very capable of taking this out.
RP
Close up behind Egyptian Thorn when ninth at Pakenham (dropped back to this trip) three weeks ago on debut for this trainer; some promise; closest she has come to winning after seven starts was a second; this line-up contains some strong opposition so passed over.
RSIS
Started 2/1 and folded up in the straight when 9th last run at Pakenham Synthetic. Can make a comeback. Good potential.
Career
5: 0-3-1
Rating · IRD
20
Speed map
Leader
First-up
3: 0-2-0
Track Bendigo
1: 0-0-1
Track Bairnsdale
2: 0-2-0
Track Echuca
1: 0-1-0
Distance 1400m
1: 0-0-1
Distance 1000m
1: 0-1-0
Distance 1200m
3: 0-2-0
Going Good
1: 0-0-0
Going Heavy
1: 0-0-1
Going Soft
3: 0-3-0
Trainer SR
Negative
Enver Jusufovic striking at just 10%
Trainer A2E
Negative
Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 20%
Maps Well
Positive
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 13%
Fast Early
Positive
Sectionals suggest goes hard early
Ran On Hard LS
Positive
Ran on well last start
Lightly Raced
Positive
Limited race experience but shown potential
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
AAP
No match but still very brave in defeat in 3yo+ Mdn Plate at Bairnsdale after lengthy absence. Fitter second-up.
ILB
Good run when finishing 2nd beaten by 2 1/2L last run at Bairnsdale and honest performer putting a tidy record together.
RP
Shown recent signs of improvement; minor honours in a maiden 13 days ago (13-8) at Bairnsdale.
RSIS
Caught the eye when 2nd last run at Bairnsdale and solid career start.
Career
7: 0-1-1
Rating · IRD
20
Speed map
Midfield
First-up
3: 0-1-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-1
Third-up
1: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Pakenham
1: 0-0-1
Track Sale
2: 0-0-0
Track CurrentTrack
2: 0-0-0
Distance 1600m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1200m
2: 0-0-0
Distance 1208m
1: 0-1-0
Going Good
3: 0-0-0
Going Heavy
2: 0-1-0
Going Soft
2: 0-0-1
Trainer Recent
Negative
Camp struggling with S/R just 10%
Trainer A2E
Negative
Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 22%
AAP
Got back and wasn't totally disgraced at Cranbourne first up. Usually gets back. Can't enthuse.
ILB
Jumped at $13.00 and finished 6th last time at Cranbourne.
RP
Seven-race maiden but has managed to finish second; close up behind Moz when sixth over 6f at Cranbourne (maiden) two weeks ago; is passed over given the strong opposition here.
RSIS
Odds of 12/1 and ran 6th last start at Cranbourne.
Career
3: 0-1-1
Rating · IRD
100
Speed map
Leader
First-up
1: 0-0-1
Second-up
1: 0-1-0
Third-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Bendigo
1: 0-0-1
Track Wangaratta
1: 0-0-0
Track Caulfield Heath
1: 0-1-0
Distance 1500m
1: 0-1-0
Distance 1590m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1300m
1: 0-0-1
Going Soft
1: 0-1-0
Going Good
1: 0-0-1
Going Heavy
1: 0-0-0
Rider
Negative
Negative rider change today
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -28% POT in their L100 Races
Profitable Trainer
Positive
Stable runners going at 16% POT in L100 Runners
Maps Well
Positive
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 9%
Early Splits
Positive
Has early speed. An advantage on this circuit
Lightly Raced
Positive
Limited race experience but shown potential
1st Up
Negative
May need this run
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
AAP
Second campaign (19-weeks). Been supported at each run. In the minors at Bendigo on debut last campaign. Worth a look fresh in this affair.
ILB
First up and amongst the placegetters when 3rd first up last preparation at Bendigo. Will be pushing for a forward position early. Showing consistent performance in races. Strong chance to be considered.
RP
Below expectations when fifth at 2-7 over 1m at Wangaratta (maiden) in June; not yet off the mark in three attempts although has finished second; returns from an absence here; easy enough to take on.
RSIS
Resuming and came on strongly when 3rd beaten by 1L resuming last preparation at Bendigo. Should muster plenty of early toe. Showing consistent performance in races. Very capable of taking this out.
Career
17: 0-2-0
Rating · IRD
70
Speed map
Offmidfield
First-up
3: 0-0-0
Second-up
2: 0-0-0
Third-up
1: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Sale
3: 0-1-0
Track Caulfield
1: 0-0-0
Track Tatura
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1200m
4: 0-0-0
Distance 1400m
3: 0-0-0
Distance 1460m
1: 0-0-0
Going Soft
5: 0-1-0
Going Synthetic
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
9: 0-1-0
Rider SR
Positive
Jockey recent POT is 40% better than Career Avg.
Key Rider
Positive
Valentin Le Boeuf 22% above market expected in L100 Rides
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Key Jockey
Positive
Valentin Le Boeuf winning at 16% POT in last 100 rides
Early Splits
Negative
Out of races with slow early tempos
Well beaten LS
Negative
Not competitive last run
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
AAP
Well back and never sighted at Bairnsdale second-up at wide odds. Form falls short of this.
ILB
Odds of $41.00 and average performance when 7th last time at Bairnsdale. Trying to win after 17 runs. Might be ridden for luck. Can't have on what it has been showing.
RP
Behind Castelli In Aria over 6f at Bairnsdale (maiden) when beaten 12l two weeks ago; still winless and defeats stacking up (17 on the bounce); hard enough to fancy as a few rivals look in good form.
RSIS
Started at 40/1 and subpar when 7th last time at Bairnsdale. Still a maiden after 17 starts. Prefers to settle towards the rear.
Career
1: 0-0-0
Rating · IRD
20
Speed map
Backmarker
First-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Seymour
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1200m
1: 0-0-0
Going Soft
1: 0-0-0
Jockey ROI
Positive
Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 22% in Last 100 Rides
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -31% POT in their L100 Races
Ran On Hard LS
Positive
Ran on well last start
AAP
Left a decent impression on debut at Seymour at healthy odds 11 Oct. Benefits from the experience.
ILB
Picked up some ground to run 4th last run at Seymour and fitter for debut run.
RP
Not disgraced (beaten 3l) on her debut at Seymour at 25-1 two weeks ago; if stepping up from first effort could be in the shake up.
RSIS
Edged past some when finishing 4th last start at Seymour and was a debutant last start.
Career
3: 0-0-0
Rating · IRD
76
Speed map
Offmidfield
First-up
2: 0-0-0
Track Pakenham
1: 0-0-0
Track Sale
1: 0-0-0
Track CurrentTrack
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1206m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1400m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1454m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
2: 0-0-0
Going Soft
1: 0-0-0
Trainer SR
Negative
P & T Templeton striking at just 4%
Trainer A2E
Negative
Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 43%
Trainer Form
Negative
Stable out of form, losing 49% Profit on Turnover
Needs To Imp
Negative
Finished towards the tail last start
Blinkers On
Positive
Trainer has opted for the Blinkers on, take note
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
AAP
Settled back and didn't come on at Kyneton after lengthy absence. Has an adverse draw. Hard to make a case.
ILB
Started $51.00 and disappointing effort when 7th last run at Kyneton. Blinkers go on for the first time. Big improvement required to threaten these.
RP
Finished seventh, beaten a fair way at Kyneton over 7f (maiden) two weeks ago; lightly raced (this just his fourth race).
RSIS
Was 50/1 and mediocre performance when 7th last time at Kyneton. Interesting gear change of blinkers on first time.
Career
9: 0-1-0
Rating · IRD
20
Speed map
Leader
First-up
2: 0-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Third-up
1: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Pakenham
3: 0-0-0
Track Sale
4: 0-1-0
Track CurrentTrack
4: 0-1-0
Distance 1000m
2: 0-0-0
Distance 1100m
2: 0-0-0
Distance 1400m
3: 0-0-0
Going Soft
2: 0-0-0
Going Synthetic
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
6: 0-1-0
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -26% POT in their L100 Races
Drawn In
Positive
Suited drawn down low
AAP
Led, compounded at Cranbourne over today's trip at $101. Has early speed. Hard to warm to here.
ILB
Faded to finish 7th last run at Cranbourne but will try to take advantage of the alley.
RP
She meets the required standard ability wise; finished seventh, beaten 15l, (Cranbourne) two weeks ago.
RSIS
Was well beaten when 7th last start at Cranbourne but can find a nice position from the draw.
Career
1: 0-0-0
Rating · IRD
78
Speed map
Onpace
First-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Seymour
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1200m
1: 0-0-0
Going Soft
1: 0-0-0
AAP
Stepping out for only the second time after battling home at Seymour as an odds drifter 11 Oct. Others are packing more punch.
ILB
Odds of $11.00 and couldn't maintain the pace when 6th last run at Seymour and was on debut last time. Displays good tactical speed. Will be a tough ask.
RP
Solid debut run at Seymour at 10-1 two weeks ago; should be better for that run.
RSIS
Started 10/1 and was found wanting late when 6th last run at Seymour and having second race start. Won't be far away during the run.
Career
11: 0-1-1
Rating · IRD
20
Speed map
Onpace
First-up
2: 0-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-1
Third-up
1: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Pakenham
2: 0-0-0
Track Cranbourne
3: 0-0-1
Track Seymour
1: 0-1-0
Distance 1300m
1: 0-1-0
Distance 1400m
6: 0-0-0
Distance 1000m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
2: 0-0-1
Going Heavy
1: 0-0-0
Going Soft
5: 0-1-0
Dist S/R
Negative
Poor performer at the distance
Imprv Needed
Negative
Would need to lift here to feature
AAP
Started $151 when safely held in Maiden company at Pakenham Synthetic over today's trip. Cannot consider.
ILB
Didn't attack the line when 10th last time at Pakenham Synthetic.
RP
She can be competitive at this level; tenth of 12 at Pakenham three weeks ago.
RSIS
Didn't threaten when 10th last start at Pakenham Synthetic.