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Sale (VIC) horses tips & previews

One race at a time: field, form guide and win/place odds for Sale (VIC), with capture times on every price.

Meeting — Sun 25 Oct, 11:00 am AEDT

Meetings · Sun, 25 OctSale (VIC)Change

Race 2 — Grassdale Estate Mdn Plate 1400m · jumps

Race preview

Welcome to Sale for the Grassdale Estate Mdn Plate over the 1400m journey. Conditions are soft5 with some rain about, setting up an interesting test for this 4UP maiden field. Looking at the early win market order, punters have homed in on Rough Enuff as the elect runner, closely followed by Goodness, Silky Seth, and Angling Angel rounding out the top four in betting. It is shaping up as a fascinating tactical battle across the track with several runners possessing distinct early speed map profiles.

Digging into the form behind those shorter prices, Rough Enuff comes out of an eye-catching second at Seymour over 1200m on a soft5 track where the stable noted a really good run coming from the back after a lengthy absence. Trained by Ms C Alderson with Jamie Mott in the saddle from barrier 2, this runner will strip fitter second-up and the rise in trip looks a distinct plus. Another key contender near the head of the market is Goodness for A & S Freedman, featuring Michael Dee aboard from barrier 4. This runner resumes from a nineteen-week spell following an effort at Wangaratta and a minor placing at Caulfield Heath on soft7 going during the previous campaign, marking them as a genuine fresh-form player.

Further down the speed groups, Silky Seth maps well as a leader alongside Goodness, though sectionals suggest they will go hard early. Silky Seth was brave in defeat when finishing second at Geelong over 1447m on soft5, and while that effort brings minor claims, the early pressure might help set the race up for those tracking off the pace. Angling Angel for Phillip & Tommy Stokes also catches the eye with stakes form providing some appeal, looking to bounce back from a synthetic track outing at Pakenham while fitter second-up. It all points to a cracking yarn for punters trying to unravel a tricky Sale maiden.

Race notes

  • 4UP MDN-SW,4yo+,Maiden
  • SOFT6
  • Raining
  • 12 runners

Shortest win price

Rough Enuff (6)

3.50

Speed map

Back left · leaders right

Offmidfield

  • 9Angling Angel
  • 15Laundering
  • 2Always Shining
  • 1Abydos
  • 13Motherduck

Firststart

  • 3Bargunn

Backmarker

  • 4Egyptian Thorn

Midfield

  • 6Rough Enuff

Offpace

  • 5Moz

Onpace

  • 17Quemax

Leader

  • 12Goodness
  • 7Silky Seth
  • Abydos · Positive

    Ran On Hard LS

    Ran on well last start

  • Always Shining · Positive

    Fast Finisher

    Fastest Overall Finishing Sectionals Last Start

  • Bargunn · Negative

    Jockey Booking

    Melea Castle current POT is 52% below Career Avg.

  • Egyptian Thorn · Positive

    Rider SR

    Jockey recent POT is 20% better than Career Avg.

No.RunnerBarWgtLast 5WinPlace
1AbydosJ: Joe Bowditch·T: Colin Scott1059.5kg6 41: 0-0-0$13.00$3.40

Career

1: 0-0-0

Rating · IRD

78

Speed map

Offmidfield

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey40%
  • Trainer100%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
  • Early Speed80%
  • Rating40%
  • Closing Speed100%

Record

  • First-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Geelong

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1247m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Soft

    1: 0-0-0

Last starts

  1. 4Geelong1247m7 Oct 2026 · 3yo+ · SOFT51.07L
  2. 6Canterbury899m6 Feb 2026 · Barrier Trial3.3L

Insights

  • Ran On Hard LS

    Positive

    Ran on well last start

Comments

AAP

Left a decent impression on debut at Geelong as an outsider 7 Oct. Experience a positive.

ILB

Started at $91.00 and inched into 4th last run at Geelong and having second career run. Will be tested.

RP

Respectable debut effort at Geelong at 80-1 two weeks ago; hard to see him getting off the mark second time up.

RSIS

Was 90/1 and ran past a few when 4th last time at Geelong and fitter for debut run.

2Always ShiningJ: Jackie Beriman·T: Brent Butcher1259.5kg6 7 4 2 314: 0-1-1$126.00$14.00

Career

14: 0-1-1

Rating · IRD

75

Speed map

Offmidfield

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey60%
  • Trainer20%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
  • Early Speed100%
  • Rating40%
  • Closing Speed100%

Record

  • First-up

    3: 0-0-0

  • Second-up

    2: 0-0-0

  • Third-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Fourth-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Mornington

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track CurrentTrack

    4: 0-0-1

  • Track Wyong

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1400m

    3: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1500m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1600m

    4: 0-1-0

  • Going Good

    7: 0-1-1

  • Going Heavy

    3: 0-0-0

  • Going Soft

    4: 0-0-0

Last starts

  1. 3Sale1717m3 May 2026 · 2yo+ · GOOD35.8L
  2. 2Moe1600m25 Apr 2026 · 3UP MDN-SW · GOOD43.8L
  3. 4Mornington1500m5 Apr 2026 · 4yo+ · GOOD36.8L
  4. 7Sale1400m29 Mar 2026 · 4UP MDN-SW · SOFT68.3L
  5. 6Stony Creek2100m8 Mar 2026 · 3UP MDN-SW · SOFT611.8L
  6. 5Moe1600m22 Feb 2026 · MDN-SW · GOOD43.8L
  7. 8Stony Creek2100m15 Feb 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD425.1L
  8. 9Sale1717m1 Feb 2026 · MDN-SW · GOOD46.8L

Insights

  • Fast Finisher

    Positive

    Fastest Overall Finishing Sectionals Last Start

  • Trainer SR

    Negative

    Brent Butcher striking at just 4%

  • Cold J/T Combo

    Negative

    Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races

  • Trainer A2E

    Negative

    Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 43%

  • Fast Early

    Positive

    Sectionals suggest goes hard early

  • Back in Dist

    Negative

    Dropping back to a less suitable distance range

  • Resuming

    Negative

    Poor strike rate when first up

Comments

AAP

First-up (25-weeks). Locally trained but has an adverse draw. Hard to see threatening at this stage.

ILB

First up today. Displayed good finishing speed when 3rd beaten by 5 3/4L last time at this venue but coming back in trip. A 14 start maiden. Has to have a lot go its way.

RP

Finished just behind Motherduck when third over 1m½f here (maiden) in May; seems to have stepped up on previous form the last twice but winless with run of consecutive defeats standing at 14; returns from a layoff.

RSIS

Racing fresh after a break. Did well to run into 3rd beaten by 5 3/4L last time at the track but will be dropping in distance.

3BargunnJ: Melea Castle·T: P E Kramer159.5kg–$31.00$4.60

Rating · IRD

74

Speed map

Firststart

Figures

  • Jockey20%
  • Trainer80%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
  • Early Speed50%
  • Rating40%
  • Closing Speed50%

Insights

  • Jockey Booking

    Negative

    Melea Castle current POT is 52% below Career Avg.

  • Cold J/T Combo

    Negative

    Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races

  • Rider Poor SR

    Negative

    Jockey underperforming market expectations by 80% in L100 rides

  • Nice Barrier

    Positive

    Well drawn from gate 1

  • Still Learning

    Negative

    No race experience

  • Blinkers On

    Positive

    Trainer has opted for the Blinkers on, take note

Comments

AAP

Makes debut for the P E Kramer stable. No recorded trials. Gets a soft draw. Happy to watch unless the money arrives.

ILB

4yo by Tagaloa having first start for trainer Paul Kramer and drawn beautifully. Interesting gear change of blinkers on first time. Betting as a guide.

RP

Gelded already; this son of Tagaloa makes debut under rules; should go close with signs of encouragement in profile.

RSIS

4yo first starter by Tagaloa for trainer Paul Kramer and has the ideal draw. Interesting to see the blinkers go on for the first time.

4Egyptian ThornJ: Billy Egan·T: Lloyd Kennewell559.5kg2 2 4 6 55: 0-2-0$11.00$3.10

Career

5: 0-2-0

Rating · IRD

94

Speed map

Backmarker

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey100%
  • Trainer80%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
  • Early Speed80%
  • Rating80%
  • Closing Speed100%

Record

  • First-up

    2: 0-1-0

  • Second-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Seymour

    1: 0-1-0

  • Track Kyneton

    1: 0-1-0

  • Track Swan Hill

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1200m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1300m

    1: 0-1-0

  • Distance 1400m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Synthetic

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Good

    4: 0-2-0

Last starts

  1. 5Pakenham Synthetic1400m5 Oct 2026 · 4yo+ · SYNTHETIC7.8L
  2. 6Ballarat1200m18 Sept 2026 · 3UP C · GOOD43.42L
  3. 4Swan Hill1600m12 Apr 2026 · MDN-SW · GOOD32.2L
  4. 2Kyneton1459m13 Mar 2026 · MDN-SW · GOOD40.4L
  5. 2Seymour1300m20 Feb 2026 · MDN-SW · GOOD40.2L

Insights

  • Rider SR

    Positive

    Jockey recent POT is 20% better than Career Avg.

  • Hot J/T Combo

    Positive

    Combo are out performing market expectations by 72%

  • Maps Well

    Positive

    Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 9%

Comments

AAP

Last on turn, beat tired horses home at Pakenham Synthetic when second-up. Not fancied.

ILB

Jumped at $5.50 and advanced late into 5th last time at Pakenham Synthetic. Billy Egan and Lloyd Kennewell are a duo to watch closely. Displays good finishing speed. Good prospects.

RP

Fifth beaten 8l (Pakenham) 20 days ago; five-race maiden but has managed to finish second; rates a likely contender as best form suggests not devoid of talent.

RSIS

Odds of 9/2 and made up ground when 5th last start at Pakenham Synthetic. Billy Egan and Lloyd Kennewell make an imposing pair. Possesses good closing pace. Good chance of taking this out.

5MozJ: Beau Mertens·T: Ms W Kelly959.5kg41: 0-0-0$6.50$2.25

Career

1: 0-0-0

Rating · IRD

84

Speed map

Offpace

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey20%
  • Trainer40%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
  • Early Speed20%
  • Rating60%
  • Closing Speed80%

Record

  • First-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Cranbourne

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1200m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Good

    1: 0-0-0

Last starts

  1. 4Cranbourne1200m9 Oct 2026 · 4UP MDN-SW · GOOD32.1L

Insights

  • Trainer Career

    Negative

    Trainer Career S/R is 7%

  • Cold J/T Combo

    Negative

    Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races

  • Trainer Recent

    Negative

    Stable runners are currently underperforming market by 37%

  • Ran On Hard LS

    Positive

    Ran on well last start

Comments

AAP

Wasn't all that far from the action on debut at Cranbourne 9 Oct. Better for race exposure. Can make his presence felt.

ILB

At $11.00 got going late when 4th last time at Cranbourne and having second race start. Not at all out of this race.

RP

Respectable debut effort (beaten just over 2l) over 6f at Cranbourne (closely matched with Expanding Power on that running) at 10-1 16 days ago; needs to make above-average progress.

RSIS

Odds of 10/1 and passed some rivals in the late stages when 4th last run at Cranbourne and was on debut last time. Has some claims.

6Rough EnuffJ: Jamie Mott·T: Ms C Alderson259.5kg3 6 5 6 25: 0-1-1$3.50$1.45

Career

5: 0-1-1

Rating · IRD

95

Speed map

Midfield

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey60%
  • Trainer100%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
  • Early Speed80%
  • Rating80%
  • Closing Speed100%

Record

  • First-up

    2: 0-1-1

  • Track Pakenham

    2: 0-0-1

  • Track Cranbourne

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Seymour

    1: 0-1-0

  • Distance 1200m

    3: 0-1-1

  • Distance 1400m

    2: 0-0-0

  • Going Soft

    1: 0-1-0

  • Going Good

    3: 0-0-1

  • Going Heavy

    1: 0-0-0

Last starts

  1. 2Seymour1200m11 Oct 2026 · 4yo+ · SOFT51L
  2. 6Cranbourne1400m3 Apr 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD34.8L
  3. 5Pakenham1400m26 Mar 2026 · 3yo+ · HEAVY96L
  4. 6Caulfield Heath1200m4 Mar 2026 · 3Y MDN-SW · GOOD42.9L
  5. 3Caulfield Heath1000m25 Feb 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)3L
  6. 3Pakenham1200m9 Jan 2026 · 3Y MDN-SW · GOOD31.1L

Insights

  • Cold J/T Combo

    Negative

    Combo are losing -43% POT in their L100 Races

  • Hot Trainer

    Positive

    Cindy Alderson in good form, out performing market 54%

  • Trainer ROI

    Positive

    Runners from this stable currently going at 39% POT in L100 Runners

  • Ran On Hard LS

    Positive

    Ran on well last start

  • Drawn In

    Positive

    Suited drawn down low

Comments

AAP

Really good run coming from the back in 4yo+ Mdn Plate at Seymour after lengthy absence. Will be fitter second-up and rise in trip a plus. Shapes as a major player.

ILB

Caught the eye when 2nd last start at Seymour and gets a favourable gate. Very tidy performer.

RP

Has arguably shown improved form the last twice; had two of these rivals behind him over 6f at Seymour (maiden) when beaten 1l to finish second 14 days ago.

RSIS

Made some ground late when 2nd beaten by 1L last start at Seymour and will try to take advantage of the draw. Genuine claims.

7Silky SethJ: Jordan Childs·T: D T O'Brien759.5kg3 4 5 3 29: 0-2-4$6.00$2.15

Career

9: 0-2-4

Rating · IRD

93

Speed map

Leader

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey80%
  • Trainer60%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
  • Early Speed100%
  • Rating80%
  • Closing Speed80%

Record

  • First-up

    2: 0-1-0

  • Second-up

    1: 0-0-1

  • Third-up

    1: 0-1-0

  • Track Seymour

    2: 0-0-0

  • Track Ballarat

    1: 0-0-1

  • Track Echuca

    1: 0-0-1

  • Distance 1600m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1200m

    1: 0-1-0

  • Distance 1300m

    2: 0-0-0

  • Going Good

    6: 0-1-4

  • Going Soft

    3: 0-1-0

Last starts

  1. 2Geelong1447m7 Oct 2026 · 3yo+ · SOFT53L
  2. 3Geelong1325m23 Sept 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD30.85L
  3. 5Bendigo1300m6 Sept 2026 · 4yo+ · SOFT52.8L
  4. 4Seymour1600m26 Apr 2026 · 3UP MDN-SW · SOFT55.5L
  5. 3Echuca1400m16 Apr 2026 · 3Y MDN-SW · GOOD31.8L
  6. 3Geelong1400m1 Apr 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD40.3L
  7. 3Ballarat1500m10 Mar 2026 · MDN-SW · GOOD32L
  8. 8Seymour1300m20 Feb 2026 · MDN-SW · GOOD44L

Insights

  • Maps Well

    Positive

    Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 14%

  • Fast Early

    Positive

    Sectionals suggest goes hard early

  • Ran On Hard LS

    Positive

    Ran on well last start

  • Track Exp

    Positive

    Knows this track well

  • Form Revival

    Positive

    Turning form around with last couple

Comments

AAP

No match but still very brave in defeat in 3yo+ Mdn at Geelong. In the placings only prior run here. Hope for exotics only.

ILB

Ran home into 2nd beaten by 3L last time at Geelong and displaying improvement over the past few runs. Has early speed and positions nicely. Going well this campaign. Strong claims in this.

RP

A respectable runner-up of nine at Geelong 18 days ago; has kicked on in his last couple of races but still winless and defeats stacking up (nine on the bounce); not been able to get his head in front lately so others more likely.

RSIS

Picked up late ground when 2nd beaten by 3L last time at Geelong and demonstrating upward trajectory in recent races. Will be pushing for a forward position early. One of the punters top hopes.

8Sir RiveranceScratched6––––

Rating · IRD

20

Speed map

Firststart

Figures

  • Jockey20%
  • Trainer60%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo80%
  • Early Speed50%
  • Rating80%
  • Closing Speed50%

Insights

  • Still Learning

    Negative

    No race experience

Comments

AAP

Unraced 4yo by Performer and out of the Galileo mare River Dreaming. Well held in recent jumpouts. Market the guide.

ILB

Initial race appearance 4yo by Performer for Robbie Griffiths. Market as guide.

RP

This son of Performer is having his first start under rules; strong claims with signs of encouragement in profile.

RSIS

4yo first starter by Performer for Robbie Griffiths.

9Angling AngelJ: Lachlan Neindorf·T: Phillip & Tommy Stokes357.5kg2 9 6 9 97: 0-1-0$5.50$2.05

Career

7: 0-1-0

Rating · IRD

96

Speed map

Offmidfield

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey20%
  • Trainer60%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
  • Early Speed20%
  • Rating80%
  • Closing Speed40%

Record

  • First-up

    3: 0-0-0

  • Second-up

    1: 0-1-0

  • Third-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Fourth-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Morphettville

    3: 0-0-0

  • Track Sale

    2: 0-1-0

  • Track CurrentTrack

    2: 0-1-0

  • Distance 1400m

    3: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1717m

    1: 0-1-0

  • Distance 1800m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Good

    2: 0-0-0

  • Going Soft

    4: 0-1-0

  • Going Synthetic

    1: 0-0-0

Last starts

  1. 9Pakenham Synthetic1400m5 Oct 2026 · 4yo+ · SYNTHETIC10.42L
  2. 9Morphettville2546m9 May 2026 · 3yo · SOFT63.8L
  3. 6Morphettville2000m25 Apr 2026 · 3yo · GOOD43.2L
  4. 9Morphettville1800m11 Apr 2026 · 3yo · SOFT66.2L
  5. 2Sale1717m29 Mar 2026 · 3UP MDN-SW · SOFT60.3L
  6. 8Cranbourne1400m13 Mar 2026 · 3Y MDN-SW · GOOD43.4L
  7. 6Caulfield Heath1000m25 Feb 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)4.2L
  8. 4Sale1400m26 Oct 2025 · 3Y MDN-SW · SOFT72.3L

Insights

  • Trainer Recent

    Negative

    Camp struggling with S/R just 11%

  • Cold J/T Combo

    Negative

    Combo are under performing market expectations by -25%

  • Trainer A2E

    Negative

    Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 21%

  • Gave ground LS

    Negative

    Faded towards the finish last time out

Comments

AAP

Stakes form adds appeal. Raced in back half and never likely at Pakenham Synthetic for new stable. Will be fitter second-up. Right in this.

ILB

Jumped at $3.00 and weakened to finish 9th last start at Pakenham Synthetic. Has the potential to improve sharply. Very capable of taking this out.

RP

Close up behind Egyptian Thorn when ninth at Pakenham (dropped back to this trip) three weeks ago on debut for this trainer; some promise; closest she has come to winning after seven starts was a second; this line-up contains some strong opposition so passed over.

RSIS

Started 2/1 and folded up in the straight when 9th last run at Pakenham Synthetic. Can make a comeback. Good potential.

10Castelli In AriaScratched15––––

Career

5: 0-3-1

Rating · IRD

20

Speed map

Leader

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey20%
  • Trainer60%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
  • Early Speed100%
  • Rating100%
  • Closing Speed80%

Record

  • First-up

    3: 0-2-0

  • Track Bendigo

    1: 0-0-1

  • Track Bairnsdale

    2: 0-2-0

  • Track Echuca

    1: 0-1-0

  • Distance 1400m

    1: 0-0-1

  • Distance 1000m

    1: 0-1-0

  • Distance 1200m

    3: 0-2-0

  • Going Good

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Heavy

    1: 0-0-1

  • Going Soft

    3: 0-3-0

Last starts

  1. 2Bairnsdale1200m12 Oct 2026 · 3UP MDN-SW · SOFT72.5L
  2. 9Pakenham1200m6 Mar 2026 · 3UP MDN-SW · GOOD44.4L
  3. 3Bendigo1400m28 Aug 2025 · MDN-SW · HEAVY93L
  4. 2Echuca1200m10 Aug 2025 · MDN-SW · SOFT60.4L
  5. 2Bairnsdale1000m21 July 2025 · 2yo+ · SOFT63L

Insights

  • Trainer SR

    Negative

    Enver Jusufovic striking at just 10%

  • Trainer A2E

    Negative

    Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 20%

  • Maps Well

    Positive

    Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 13%

  • Fast Early

    Positive

    Sectionals suggest goes hard early

  • Ran On Hard LS

    Positive

    Ran on well last start

  • Lightly Raced

    Positive

    Limited race experience but shown potential

  • Class Rise

    Negative

    Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

No match but still very brave in defeat in 3yo+ Mdn Plate at Bairnsdale after lengthy absence. Fitter second-up.

ILB

Good run when finishing 2nd beaten by 2 1/2L last run at Bairnsdale and honest performer putting a tidy record together.

RP

Shown recent signs of improvement; minor honours in a maiden 13 days ago (13-8) at Bairnsdale.

RSIS

Caught the eye when 2nd last run at Bairnsdale and solid career start.

11Expanding PowerScratched10––––

Career

7: 0-1-1

Rating · IRD

20

Speed map

Midfield

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey40%
  • Trainer60%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
  • Early Speed80%
  • Rating50%
  • Closing Speed100%

Record

  • First-up

    3: 0-1-0

  • Second-up

    1: 0-0-1

  • Third-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Fourth-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Pakenham

    1: 0-0-1

  • Track Sale

    2: 0-0-0

  • Track CurrentTrack

    2: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1600m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1200m

    2: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1208m

    1: 0-1-0

  • Going Good

    3: 0-0-0

  • Going Heavy

    2: 0-1-0

  • Going Soft

    2: 0-0-1

Last starts

  1. 6Cranbourne1200m9 Oct 2026 · 4UP MDN-SW · GOOD33.6L
  2. 6Cranbourne1600m21 June 2026 · 3Y MDN-SW · SOFT74.1L
  3. 4Sale1400m10 June 2026 · 2yo+ · HEAVY84.9L
  4. 3Pakenham1400m22 May 2026 · 3Y MDN-SW · SOFT64.1L
  5. 6Sale1200m3 May 2026 · 3Y MDN-SW · GOOD35L
  6. 11Sandown1300m24 Sept 2025 · 3Y MDN-SW · GOOD44.9L
  7. 2Moe1208m4 Sept 2025 · 3UP F&M MDN SW · HEAVY101.3L

Insights

  • Trainer Recent

    Negative

    Camp struggling with S/R just 10%

  • Trainer A2E

    Negative

    Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 22%

Comments

AAP

Got back and wasn't totally disgraced at Cranbourne first up. Usually gets back. Can't enthuse.

ILB

Jumped at $13.00 and finished 6th last time at Cranbourne.

RP

Seven-race maiden but has managed to finish second; close up behind Moz when sixth over 6f at Cranbourne (maiden) two weeks ago; is passed over given the strong opposition here.

RSIS

Odds of 12/1 and ran 6th last start at Cranbourne.

12GoodnessJ: Michael Dee·T: A & S Freedman457.5kg3 2 53: 0-1-1$4.80$1.90

Career

3: 0-1-1

Rating · IRD

100

Speed map

Leader

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey20%
  • Trainer100%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
  • Early Speed100%
  • Rating100%
  • Closing Speed40%

Record

  • First-up

    1: 0-0-1

  • Second-up

    1: 0-1-0

  • Third-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Bendigo

    1: 0-0-1

  • Track Wangaratta

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Caulfield Heath

    1: 0-1-0

  • Distance 1500m

    1: 0-1-0

  • Distance 1590m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1300m

    1: 0-0-1

  • Going Soft

    1: 0-1-0

  • Going Good

    1: 0-0-1

  • Going Heavy

    1: 0-0-0

Last starts

  1. 5Wangaratta1590m14 June 2026 · MDN-SW · HEAVY107.4L
  2. 2Caulfield Heath1500m27 May 2026 · MDN · SOFT70.3L
  3. 3Bendigo1300m13 May 2026 · 3YF MDN-SW · GOOD40.9L

Insights

  • Rider

    Negative

    Negative rider change today

  • Cold J/T Combo

    Negative

    Combo are losing -28% POT in their L100 Races

  • Profitable Trainer

    Positive

    Stable runners going at 16% POT in L100 Runners

  • Maps Well

    Positive

    Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 9%

  • Early Splits

    Positive

    Has early speed. An advantage on this circuit

  • Lightly Raced

    Positive

    Limited race experience but shown potential

  • 1st Up

    Negative

    May need this run

  • Class Rise

    Negative

    Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

Second campaign (19-weeks). Been supported at each run. In the minors at Bendigo on debut last campaign. Worth a look fresh in this affair.

ILB

First up and amongst the placegetters when 3rd first up last preparation at Bendigo. Will be pushing for a forward position early. Showing consistent performance in races. Strong chance to be considered.

RP

Below expectations when fifth at 2-7 over 1m at Wangaratta (maiden) in June; not yet off the mark in three attempts although has finished second; returns from an absence here; easy enough to take on.

RSIS

Resuming and came on strongly when 3rd beaten by 1L resuming last preparation at Bendigo. Should muster plenty of early toe. Showing consistent performance in races. Very capable of taking this out.

13MotherduckJ: Valentin Le Boeuf·T: Kerry Farrugia657.5kg2 2 4 8 717: 0-2-0$91.00$11.00

Career

17: 0-2-0

Rating · IRD

70

Speed map

Offmidfield

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey100%
  • Trainer60%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
  • Early Speed80%
  • Rating20%
  • Closing Speed80%

Record

  • First-up

    3: 0-0-0

  • Second-up

    2: 0-0-0

  • Third-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Fourth-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Sale

    3: 0-1-0

  • Track Caulfield

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Tatura

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1200m

    4: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1400m

    3: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1460m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Soft

    5: 0-1-0

  • Going Synthetic

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Good

    9: 0-1-0

Last starts

  1. 7Bairnsdale1200m12 Oct 2026 · 3UP MDN-SW · SOFT712.22L
  2. 8Pakenham Synthetic1200m5 Oct 2026 · 3yo+ · SYNTHETIC7.5L
  3. 4Moe1600m28 May 2026 · 2UP MDN-SW · HEAVY105.7L
  4. 2Moe1623m12 May 2026 · 2UP MDN-SW · SOFT71.5L
  5. 2Sale1717m3 May 2026 · 2yo+ · GOOD35L
  6. 4Moe1600m25 Apr 2026 · 3UP MDN-SW · GOOD45.3L
  7. 8Sale1400m29 Mar 2026 · 3Y MDN-SW · SOFT633.7L
  8. 5Sale1717m8 Jan 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD32.4L

Insights

  • Rider SR

    Positive

    Jockey recent POT is 40% better than Career Avg.

  • Key Rider

    Positive

    Valentin Le Boeuf 22% above market expected in L100 Rides

  • Cold J/T Combo

    Negative

    Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races

  • Key Jockey

    Positive

    Valentin Le Boeuf winning at 16% POT in last 100 rides

  • Early Splits

    Negative

    Out of races with slow early tempos

  • Well beaten LS

    Negative

    Not competitive last run

  • Class Rise

    Negative

    Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

Well back and never sighted at Bairnsdale second-up at wide odds. Form falls short of this.

ILB

Odds of $41.00 and average performance when 7th last time at Bairnsdale. Trying to win after 17 runs. Might be ridden for luck. Can't have on what it has been showing.

RP

Behind Castelli In Aria over 6f at Bairnsdale (maiden) when beaten 12l two weeks ago; still winless and defeats stacking up (17 on the bounce); hard enough to fancy as a few rivals look in good form.

RSIS

Started at 40/1 and subpar when 7th last time at Bairnsdale. Still a maiden after 17 starts. Prefers to settle towards the rear.

14Plucky EnuffScratched14––––

Career

1: 0-0-0

Rating · IRD

20

Speed map

Backmarker

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey80%
  • Trainer60%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo40%
  • Early Speed20%
  • Rating60%
  • Closing Speed100%

Record

  • First-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Seymour

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1200m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Soft

    1: 0-0-0

Last starts

  1. 4Seymour1200m11 Oct 2026 · 4yo+ · SOFT53L
  2. 5Pakenham Synthetic750m7 July 2026 · Barrier Trial · SYNTHETIC4.8L

Insights

  • Jockey ROI

    Positive

    Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 22% in Last 100 Rides

  • Cold J/T Combo

    Negative

    Combo are losing -31% POT in their L100 Races

  • Ran On Hard LS

    Positive

    Ran on well last start

Comments

AAP

Left a decent impression on debut at Seymour at healthy odds 11 Oct. Benefits from the experience.

ILB

Picked up some ground to run 4th last run at Seymour and fitter for debut run.

RP

Not disgraced (beaten 3l) on her debut at Seymour at 25-1 two weeks ago; if stepping up from first effort could be in the shake up.

RSIS

Edged past some when finishing 4th last start at Seymour and was a debutant last start.

15LaunderingJ: Jake Noonan·T: Paul & Tracey Templeton1159.5kg4 4 6 73: 0-0-0$126.00$15.00

Career

3: 0-0-0

Rating · IRD

76

Speed map

Offmidfield

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey40%
  • Trainer20%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo40%
  • Early Speed100%
  • Rating40%
  • Closing Speed80%

Record

  • First-up

    2: 0-0-0

  • Track Pakenham

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Sale

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track CurrentTrack

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1206m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1400m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1454m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Good

    2: 0-0-0

  • Going Soft

    1: 0-0-0

Last starts

  1. 7Kyneton1454m8 Oct 2026 · 3UP MDN-SW · SOFT514.35L
  2. 6Pakenham1400m23 Apr 2026 · 3Y C&G MDN SW · GOOD47.3L
  3. 4Sale1206m8 Apr 2026 · 3UP MDN SW · GOOD33.8L
  4. 4Caulfield Heath1000m26 Mar 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)2.8L

Insights

  • Trainer SR

    Negative

    P & T Templeton striking at just 4%

  • Trainer A2E

    Negative

    Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 43%

  • Trainer Form

    Negative

    Stable out of form, losing 49% Profit on Turnover

  • Needs To Imp

    Negative

    Finished towards the tail last start

  • Blinkers On

    Positive

    Trainer has opted for the Blinkers on, take note

  • Class Rise

    Negative

    Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

Settled back and didn't come on at Kyneton after lengthy absence. Has an adverse draw. Hard to make a case.

ILB

Started $51.00 and disappointing effort when 7th last run at Kyneton. Blinkers go on for the first time. Big improvement required to threaten these.

RP

Finished seventh, beaten a fair way at Kyneton over 7f (maiden) two weeks ago; lightly raced (this just his fourth race).

RSIS

Was 50/1 and mediocre performance when 7th last time at Kyneton. Interesting gear change of blinkers on first time.

16Jupiter's GirlScratched2––––

Career

9: 0-1-0

Rating · IRD

20

Speed map

Leader

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey50%
  • Trainer80%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo40%
  • Early Speed80%
  • Rating40%
  • Closing Speed20%

Record

  • First-up

    2: 0-0-0

  • Second-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Third-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Fourth-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Pakenham

    3: 0-0-0

  • Track Sale

    4: 0-1-0

  • Track CurrentTrack

    4: 0-1-0

  • Distance 1000m

    2: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1100m

    2: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1400m

    3: 0-0-0

  • Going Soft

    2: 0-0-0

  • Going Synthetic

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Good

    6: 0-1-0

Last starts

  1. 7Cranbourne1400m9 Oct 2026 · 3UP MDN-SW · GOOD314.66L
  2. 4Sale1415m13 Sept 2026 · 4yo+ · GOOD42.8L
  3. 7Sale1100m21 Aug 2026 · 4yo+ · SOFT63.5L
  4. 12Pakenham Synthetic1100m3 Aug 2026 · MDN-SW · SYNTHETIC10.5L
  5. 5Sale1400m3 May 2026 · 2yo+ · GOOD36.3L
  6. 2Sale1429m19 Apr 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD40.4L
  7. 8Pakenham1400m9 Apr 2026 · F&M MDN-SW · SOFT56.9L
  8. 9Pakenham1000m2 Apr 2026 · 3UP F&M MDN-SW · GOOD411.2L

Insights

  • Cold J/T Combo

    Negative

    Combo are losing -26% POT in their L100 Races

  • Drawn In

    Positive

    Suited drawn down low

Comments

AAP

Led, compounded at Cranbourne over today's trip at $101. Has early speed. Hard to warm to here.

ILB

Faded to finish 7th last run at Cranbourne but will try to take advantage of the alley.

RP

She meets the required standard ability wise; finished seventh, beaten 15l, (Cranbourne) two weeks ago.

RSIS

Was well beaten when 7th last start at Cranbourne but can find a nice position from the draw.

17QuemaxJ: Damien Thornton·T: D T O'Brien859.5kg4 61: 0-0-0$26.00$4.40

Career

1: 0-0-0

Rating · IRD

78

Speed map

Onpace

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey60%
  • Trainer60%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
  • Early Speed100%
  • Rating40%
  • Closing Speed40%

Record

  • First-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Seymour

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1200m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Soft

    1: 0-0-0

Last starts

  1. 6Seymour1200m11 Oct 2026 · 4yo+ · SOFT54.45L
  2. 4Seymour1000m11 Sept 2026 · Barrier Trial · SOFT(5)1.5L

Comments

AAP

Stepping out for only the second time after battling home at Seymour as an odds drifter 11 Oct. Others are packing more punch.

ILB

Odds of $11.00 and couldn't maintain the pace when 6th last run at Seymour and was on debut last time. Displays good tactical speed. Will be a tough ask.

RP

Solid debut run at Seymour at 10-1 two weeks ago; should be better for that run.

RSIS

Started 10/1 and was found wanting late when 6th last run at Seymour and having second race start. Won't be far away during the run.

18Gypsy MoonScratched16––––

Career

11: 0-1-1

Rating · IRD

20

Speed map

Onpace

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey50%
  • Trainer100%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
  • Early Speed100%
  • Rating20%
  • Closing Speed20%

Record

  • First-up

    2: 0-0-0

  • Second-up

    1: 0-0-1

  • Third-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Fourth-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Pakenham

    2: 0-0-0

  • Track Cranbourne

    3: 0-0-1

  • Track Seymour

    1: 0-1-0

  • Distance 1300m

    1: 0-1-0

  • Distance 1400m

    6: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1000m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Good

    2: 0-0-1

  • Going Heavy

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Soft

    5: 0-1-0

Last starts

  1. 10Pakenham Synthetic1400m5 Oct 2026 · 4yo+ · SYNTHETIC6.87L
  2. 9Bairnsdale1200m20 Sept 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD38.12L
  3. 11Pakenham Synthetic1400m6 July 2026 · 2yo+ · SYNTHETIC10.3L
  4. 10Cranbourne1400m21 June 2026 · MDN-SW · SOFT78.1L
  5. 2Seymour1300m11 June 2026 · MDN-SW · SOFT72L
  6. 8Pakenham1400m15 May 2026 · F MDN-SW · SOFT59.2L
  7. 8Pakenham1400m8 May 2026 · 4YUP MDN-SW · HEAVY810.9L
  8. 3Cranbourne1200m24 Apr 2026 · 3UP F&M MDN-SW · GOOD43.9L

Insights

  • Dist S/R

    Negative

    Poor performer at the distance

  • Imprv Needed

    Negative

    Would need to lift here to feature

Comments

AAP

Started $151 when safely held in Maiden company at Pakenham Synthetic over today's trip. Cannot consider.

ILB

Didn't attack the line when 10th last time at Pakenham Synthetic.

RP

She can be competitive at this level; tenth of 12 at Pakenham three weeks ago.

RSIS

Didn't threaten when 10th last start at Pakenham Synthetic.

Odds correct as at . Odds can change.

Past meetings

  • Sun 13 Sept, 10:00 am AEST · 8 races