Shortest win price
Mount Sabyinyo (2)
4.60
Welcome to Sale for the Ladbrokes Mega Multi Benchmark 66 over the 1600m journey, where the track is rated a soft 6 and rain is falling. Looking at how the win market has shaped up, Mount Sabyinyo heads the betting order, followed closely by Feeling Dusty, Belcony, and Tanabata holding down the front end of the market.
Delving into the form lines behind those shorter prices, Mount Sabyinyo is out of the T Busuttin and Young yard with Michael Dee in the saddle from barrier 3, coming off a game effort at Geelong when finishing second and looking ready for the step up to 1600m for the first time. Meanwhile, Feeling Dusty lines up for Charlotte Littlefield with Ben Allen steering from barrier 7, having charged home with a wet sail for a close third at Bendigo over 1400m following a long spell, and should strip fitter second-up here.
Further down the race profile, Belcony maps as the leader from barrier 9 for trainer Reece Goodwin and jockey Jake Noonan, holding strong claims after sticking on gamely for third on speed at Geelong despite questions over the distance range. Tanabata from the stable of C J Waller draws barrier 2 with Jye McNeil aboard, looking for a bold showing after displaying plenty of fight to break through for a maiden victory at Kyneton at the second time of asking.
Shortest win price
Mount Sabyinyo (2)
4.60
Most career wins
Grand Sage
8-4-7 from 51 starts
Back left · leaders right
Backmarker
Offmidfield
Midfield
Offpace
Onpace
Leader
Feeling Dusty · Positive
Fast Finisher
Fastest Overall Finishing Sectionals Last Start
Mount Sabyinyo · Negative
Trainer SR
T & N Busuttin & Young striking at just 10%
Overpriced · Positive
Hot J/T Combo
Combo are out performing market expectations by 88%
Crown Crusher · Negative
Trainer SR
Stephen Brown striking at just 3%
Career
9: 2-3-1
Rating · IRD
90
Speed map
Offmidfield
First-up
4: 1-0-1
Second-up
2: 0-1-0
Third-up
1: 1-0-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-1-0
Track Sale
1: 0-1-0
Track CurrentTrack
1: 0-1-0
Track Bendigo
2: 0-1-1
Distance 1400m
3: 1-0-1
Distance 1511m
1: 0-1-0
Distance 1600m
2: 1-0-0
Going Good
5: 2-1-0
Going Heavy
1: 0-1-0
Going Soft
3: 0-1-1
Fast Finisher
Positive
Fastest Overall Finishing Sectionals Last Start
Early Splits
Negative
Out of races with slow early tempos
Ran On Hard LS
Positive
Ran on well last start
Track Exp
Positive
Knows this track well
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
AAP
Came home with a wet sail to grab third 3yo+ (Bm62) at Bendigo off long spell at odds of $11. Strips fitter second run back and suited over the longer trip.
ILB
Close to a win last run at Bendigo. Ben Allen is a bonus. Possesses good closing speed. Can win this.
RP
Went close when third at Bendigo over 7f (handicap) 21 days ago; likely to be thereabouts.
RSIS
Competed in a tight contest last run at Bendigo. Ben Allen is a plus. Will be hitting the line strongly. Forward showing expected.
Career
6: 2-2-0
Rating · IRD
84
Speed map
Onpace
First-up
2: 0-1-0
Second-up
1: 0-1-0
Track Geelong
1: 0-1-0
Track Pakenham
1: 1-0-0
Track Cranbourne
2: 1-1-0
Distance 1447m
1: 0-1-0
Distance 1200m
1: 0-1-0
Distance 1300m
2: 1-0-0
Going Good
5: 2-1-0
Going Soft
1: 0-1-0
Trainer SR
Negative
T & N Busuttin & Young striking at just 10%
Rider
Negative
Negative rider change today
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -60% POT in their L100 Races
Trainer A2E
Negative
Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 28%
Maps Poorly
Negative
Map position not suited at this track, under performing market expectations by 17%
Ran On Hard LS
Positive
Ran on well last start
AAP
Game effort at Geelong second-up. Drawn to get a conservative run. First go 1600m. Right in the mix again.
ILB
Finished well when 2nd beaten by 3/4L last time at Geelong. Expecting to settle positively. Slim chance.
RP
Beaten three-quarters of a length at Geelong over 7f (handicap) with Belcony just behind two weeks ago; hard to ignore.
RSIS
Ran on strongly when 2nd beaten by 3/4L last time at Geelong. Likely to be well placed early.
Career
8: 2-1-2
Rating · IRD
79
Speed map
Onpace
First-up
1: 0-0-1
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Third-up
1: 0-1-0
Fourth-up
1: 1-0-0
Track Flemington
1: 0-0-0
Track Mornington
2: 0-0-1
Track Warrnambool
1: 1-0-0
Distance 1214m
1: 0-0-1
Distance 1400m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1500m
2: 0-0-1
Going Good
2: 0-0-0
Going Heavy
3: 2-1-0
Going Soft
3: 0-0-2
Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are out performing market expectations by 88%
Hot Trainer
Positive
Dean Binaisse in good form, out performing market 67%
Trainer ROI
Positive
Runners from this stable currently going at 51% POT in L100 Runners
Early Splits
Positive
Has early speed. An advantage on this circuit
Solid Run LS
Positive
Won last start
Wet To Dry
Negative
Coming from a wet to dry (Heavy 8 to Good 4) track may prove difficult
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
AAP
Stuck tough, holding off challengers 3yo+ (Bm62) at Warrnambool at $9. One for multiples.
ILB
Brave effort to win narrowly by 1/2L last run at Warrnambool. Looking sharp on the track this preparation. Lines up against a competitive field.
RP
Got home in front by half a length at Warrnambool over 1m½f (handicap) three weeks ago; could be dangerous.
RSIS
Brave effort to win narrowly last start at Warrnambool on a heavy surface. Going well recently.
Career
44: 6-4-3
Rating · IRD
80
Speed map
Backmarker
First-up
6: 0-2-0
Second-up
5: 1-0-0
Third-up
5: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
4: 2-0-0
Track Pakenham
4: 0-0-0
Track Sandown
5: 0-0-0
Track Kilmore
1: 0-1-0
Distance 1200m
7: 0-2-0
Distance 1235m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1400m
8: 1-0-0
Going Good
30: 5-1-3
Going Heavy
3: 0-2-0
Going Soft
10: 0-1-0
Trainer SR
Negative
Stephen Brown striking at just 3%
Trainer Recent
Negative
Stable runners are currently underperforming market by 40%
Gave ground LS
Negative
Faded towards the finish last time out
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
Imprv Needed
Negative
Would need to lift here to feature
AAP
Long time since last saluted. Dropped out to last and never sighted at Bendigo over today's trip. Has work to do on recent figures.
ILB
Started $41.00 and was ordinary when 12th last time at Bendigo but taking on a lower class of opponents. Significant improvement required.
RP
Last of 12 at Bendigo 21 days ago; this line-up contains some strong opposition so hard to recommend.
RSIS
Was 40/1 and underperformed when 12th last time at Bendigo but competing at a lower grade.
Career
22: 3-4-4
Rating · IRD
89
Speed map
Leader
First-up
5: 2-0-0
Second-up
4: 0-1-0
Third-up
4: 0-2-1
Fourth-up
2: 1-1-0
Track Sale
3: 1-0-0
Track CurrentTrack
3: 1-0-0
Track Bendigo
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1300m
2: 0-0-0
Distance 1400m
12: 2-3-1
Distance 1447m
2: 0-0-1
Going Soft
12: 1-2-2
Going Good
7: 2-0-1
Going Heavy
3: 0-2-1
Maps Well
Positive
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 13%
Dist S/R
Negative
Poor performer at the distance
Ready To Fire
Positive
Shown something in last few runs
AAP
On speed, had enough in the tank for the minors 3yo+ (Bm66) at Geelong. Has early speed. Has some claims.
ILB
Couldn't shake them off when 3rd last time at Geelong. Has the necessary speed to overcome the wide draw. Will go close.
RP
Finished just behind Mount Sabyinyo when third over 7f at Geelong (handicap) two weeks ago; has won here previously; unlikely to achieve more than just a supporting role as not in the habit of winning recently.
RSIS
Applied plenty of pressure when 3rd beaten by 1L last time at Geelong. Should be rolling forward early from the wide stall. Good prospects.
Career
23: 2-2-5
Rating · IRD
100
Speed map
Midfield
First-up
3: 0-0-0
Second-up
2: 0-0-0
Third-up
2: 0-1-0
Fourth-up
2: 0-0-1
Track Hawkesbury
1: 0-0-0
Track Ipswich
2: 0-1-1
Track Kembla Grange
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1800m
5: 0-1-1
Distance 1900m
2: 0-0-0
Distance 2000m
1: 0-0-1
Going Soft
7: 0-0-1
Going Good
16: 2-2-4
Trainer SR
Negative
Andrew Perdon striking at just 6%
Trainer Recent
Negative
Stable runners are currently underperforming market by 28%
Maps Poorly
Negative
Map position not suited at this track, under performing market expectations by 17%
Ran On Hard LS
Positive
Ran on well last start
Draw Suits
Positive
Well drawn inside
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
Honest
Positive
Finishing in the money lately
AAP
Ex C J Waller. Trained here now. Competitive in metro company two back 16 Sep. Came home hot on their heels to grab third Hcp (C2) at Doomben. Bears close watching at first country assignment.
ILB
Ran on strongly when 3rd beaten by 1 3/4L last time at Doomben and has minimal work to do from the barrier. First start for a new trainer. Worth a lot of thought in this race.
RP
Normally pretty consistent; was on the premises (third, beaten just under 2l) over 1m at Doomben (handicap) 20 days ago; first start for new stable.
RSIS
Made some ground late when 3rd beaten by 1 3/4L last start at Doomben and drawn the rails. First start for a new trainer. Will show up at the business end.
Career
5: 1-0-0
Rating · IRD
74
Speed map
Midfield
First-up
3: 0-0-0
Track Pakenham
1: 0-0-0
Track Sale
1: 1-0-0
Track CurrentTrack
1: 1-0-0
Distance 1717m
1: 1-0-0
Distance 1247m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1400m
2: 0-0-0
Going Good
3: 1-0-0
Going Soft
1: 0-0-0
Going Synthetic
1: 0-0-0
Trainer Career
Negative
Trainer Career S/R is 4%
Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are out performing market expectations by 207%
Trainer A2E
Negative
Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 43%
Trainer Form
Negative
Stable out of form, losing 49% Profit on Turnover
Track Exp
Positive
Knows this track well
Blinkers On
Positive
Trainer has opted for the Blinkers on, take note
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
AAP
Went home tamely at Pakenham Synthetic off long break at $101. Others with more appeal.
ILB
Jumped at $101.00 and finished 7th last start at Pakenham Synthetic. Interesting to see the blinkers go on for the first time. Much prefer the look of others in this race.
RP
Out of the frame when seventh at Pakenham over 7f (handicap) 20 days ago; has winning form at this track; tried in headgear but others have more pressing claims.
RSIS
Started 100/1 and ran 7th last run at Pakenham Synthetic. Blinkers go on for the first time.
Career
3: 1-0-0
Rating · IRD
76
Speed map
Offpace
First-up
2: 0-0-0
Second-up
1: 1-0-0
Track Geelong
1: 0-0-0
Track Kyneton
1: 1-0-0
Track Randwick Kensington
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1100m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1325m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1454m
1: 1-0-0
Going Good
2: 0-0-0
Going Soft
1: 1-0-0
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -21% POT in their L100 Races
Profitable Trainer
Positive
Stable runners going at 9% POT in L100 Runners
Slow Early LS
Negative
Speed data from recent runs suggests slower early splits on avg
Solid Run LS
Positive
Won last start
Draw Suits
Positive
Well drawn inside
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
AAP
Showed plenty of fight to secure victory at Kyneton second-up. Nice gate. Stays under strong notice.
ILB
Picked up nicely to win last run at Kyneton and has a good draw. Facing a stronger class. Displaying improvement over the past few runs. Unlikely to feature.
RP
Opened account at the third time of asking when winning by half a length (Kyneton) two weeks ago in a maiden; holds major claims.
RSIS
Ran home strongly to win last run at Kyneton and gets a favourable stall. Form has been improving over recent runs. Competing in a more challenging grade.
Career
51: 8-4-7
Rating · IRD
77
Speed map
Offpace
First-up
4: 0-0-0
Second-up
3: 0-0-0
Third-up
3: 0-0-2
Fourth-up
2: 0-0-0
Track Sale
19: 2-3-3
Track Stony Creek
2: 1-0-0
Track Mildura
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1419m
1: 0-1-0
Distance 1212m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1415m
1: 1-0-0
Going Good
29: 8-4-4
Going Heavy
3: 0-0-1
Going Soft
16: 0-0-1
Jockey Booking
Positive
Ruby Lamont 29% above market expected in L100 Rides
Hot Jockey
Positive
Ruby Lamont in hot recent form, out performing market expectation by 29%
Fast Early
Positive
Sectionals suggest goes hard early
Solid Run LS
Positive
Won last start
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
Weight Drop
Positive
Drops 9kg from LS run
AAP
All honours in the small field at Yea over this trip. Picnic form.
ILB
On a short back up. Solid effort when winning by 2 3/4L last start at Yea but taking on stronger competition. The large claim from Ruby Lamont should help. Chances are slim.
RP
Scored by just under 3l at Yea last Saturday; a previous winner here; despite that Yea success, others make more appeal.
RSIS
Racing on a quick back up. Solid win by 2 3/4L last time at Yea but up against a more competitive field. The large claim from Ruby Lamont helps.
Career
19: 1-3-1
Rating · IRD
70
Speed map
Leader
First-up
4: 0-1-0
Second-up
3: 0-0-0
Third-up
3: 0-0-1
Fourth-up
2: 1-0-0
Track Moe
5: 0-1-0
Track Sale
7: 0-1-0
Track CurrentTrack
7: 0-1-0
Distance 1430m
2: 0-1-1
Distance 1717m
2: 0-1-0
Distance 1728m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
9: 0-1-0
Going Heavy
3: 1-0-1
Going Soft
7: 0-2-0
Current SR
Negative
Rider’s recent POT is returning 28% lower than Career Avg.
Trainer Recent
Negative
Camp struggling with S/R just 4%
Rider
Negative
Negative rider change today
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Trainer Recent
Negative
Stable runners are currently underperforming market by 29%
Rider Poor SR
Negative
Jockey underperforming market expectations by 32% in L100 rides
Maps Well
Positive
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 13%
Early Splits
Positive
Has early speed. An advantage on this circuit
AAP
Set tempo, offered little resistance when challenged at Moe over this distance. Leads, handy. Others with stronger claims.
ILB
Was $91.00 and gave away some ground when 7th last run at Moe and racing against tougher rivals. Blinkers go off for the first time. Hard to see it being competitive today.
RP
Seventh beaten 6l at Moe four weeks ago; been generally quiet since successful in a maiden at Stony Creek in December; a lot on his plate here and may have to settle for supporting role at best.
RSIS
Started at 90/1 and lost ground in the run home when 7th last run at Moe and challenged by a tougher grade.