Ballarat (VIC) horses tips & previews

9 Nov, 2:00 am AEDT

One race at a time: field, form guide and win/place odds for Ballarat (VIC), with capture times on every price.

Meeting — Mon 2 Nov, 11:00 am AEDT

Meetings · Mon, 2 NovBallarat (VIC)Change

Race 1 — Manhari Mdn Plate 1600m · jumps Mon 2 Nov, 1:30 pm AEDT

Race preview

Welcome to Ballarat on a Soft 6 track with some showers overhead for the 1600m Manhari Mdn Plate. Punters sizing up the win market will find Franked Up sitting right at the head of affairs, closely followed by Bella Athena, Miss Capri, and Whitebait. It is a fascinating three-year-old maiden where the market has gravitated towards some intriguing newcomers and lightly raced types looking to break their maiden status over the mile trip.

Looking into the form behind those shorter prices, the market leader Franked Up brings plenty of intrigue as a million-dollar purchase out of a Group 3-winning mare for trainers T & C Mcevoy, having jumped out nicely ahead of this debut with Luke Currie in the saddle from barrier seven. Meanwhile, Bella Athena shares the first-start speed group and comes from the in-form stable of Ben, Will & Jd Hayes, carrying a handy $90k price tag and a nice second-place finish in a recent Pakenham jumpout that suggests Michael Dee could be steering a live player here.

Deeper into the field, Miss Capri is drawn ideally in barrier one for trainer J F Moloney and jockey Declan Bates, coming off an improved third over 1400m at this track where she ran on late behind a tearaway winner. Whitebait represents the C J Waller stable from barrier three with Beau Mertens aboard, though the prior start saw a tenth at this venue over 1500m on a good surface, suggesting this runner might be more of a place prospect as the afternoon shapes up.

Race notes

3Y MDN-SW,3yo,Maiden
SOFT6
Showers
7 runners

Shortest win price

Franked Up (1)

1.75

Speed map

Back left · leaders right

Offmidfield

2Shape The World

Offpace

7Miss Capri

Onpace

3Trigger Warning

Firststart

1Franked Up
5Bella Athena

Leader

8Noble Fox
4Whitebait

Franked Up · Negative
Trainer SR
T & C McEvoy striking at just 13%
Shape The World · Negative
Current SR
Rider’s recent POT is returning 49% lower than Career Avg.
Trigger Warning · Positive
Hot J/T Combo
Combo are out performing market expectations by 49%
Whitebait · Negative
Rider
Negative rider change today

No.RunnerBarWgtLast 5WinPlace

1Franked UpJ: Luke Currie·T: T & C Mcevoy758kg–$1.75$1.20

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Firststart

Figures

Jockey20%
Trainer60%
Jockey/Trainer Combo60%
Early Speed50%
Rating80%
Closing Speed50%

Insights

Trainer SR
Negative
T & C McEvoy striking at just 13%
Trainer Recent
Negative
Stable runners are currently underperforming market by 22%
First Starter
Positive
Not raced previously
Blinkers On
Positive
Trainer has opted for the Blinkers on, take note

Comments

AAP

$1m purchase. Out of a Group 3-winning mare. Has jumped out nicely. Big watch on debut.

ILB

3yo debutant sired by Frankel for Tony Mcevoy & Calvin Mcevoy. Watch betting.

Course debutants from this trainer always command respect; already a gelding; must enter calculations.

RSIS

First appearance at the races 3yo by Frankel for Tony Mcevoy & Calvin Mcevoy. Follow the money.

2Shape The WorldJ: Jason Maskiell·T: Mark Ashby658kg7 111: 0-0-0$101.00$16.00

Career

1: 0-0-0

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Offmidfield

BackLead

Figures

Jockey20%
Trainer80%
Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
Early Speed20%
Rating40%
Closing Speed80%

Record

First-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Bendigo
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1600m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
1: 0-0-0

Last starts

11Bendigo1600m17 Oct 2026 · 3Y MDN-SW · GOOD312.35L
7Seymour1000m11 Sept 2026 · Barrier Trial · SOFT(5)5.1L

Insights

Current SR
Negative
Rider’s recent POT is returning 49% lower than Career Avg.
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Rider Poor SR
Negative
Jockey underperforming market expectations by 63% in L100 rides
Map Suits
Positive
Suitable Map, where runners in this position outperform market by 4%
Needs To Imp
Negative
Finished towards the tail last start
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
Imprv Needed
Negative
Would need to lift here to feature

Comments

AAP

Well down the track at Bendigo on debut at huge odds. Big lift needed from there.

ILB

Started $151.00 and below standard effort when 11th last run at Bendigo but having second career run. Likely to settle back in the field. This looks a tough assignment.

Well behind the fifth, Trigger Warning, at Bendigo when beaten a fair way on first start at 150-1 last month; should improve with a run under his belt although it was only a modest start.

RSIS

Started at 150/1 and was ordinary when 11th last start at Bendigo but was on debut last time. Expected to settle towards the rear.

3Trigger WarningJ: Zac Moore·T: Ann-Jeanette Tindale458kg11 7 5 5 99: 0-0-0$13.00$3.70

Career

9: 0-0-0

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Onpace

BackLead

Figures

Jockey40%
Trainer100%
Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
Early Speed100%
Rating40%
Closing Speed50%

Record

First-up
2: 0-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Third-up
1: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Hamilton
1: 0-0-0
Track Coleraine
1: 0-0-0
Track Ballarat Synthetic
2: 0-0-0
Distance 1000m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1100m
3: 0-0-0
Distance 1200m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
6: 0-0-0
Going Soft
1: 0-0-0
Going Synthetic
2: 0-0-0

Last starts

9Warrnambool1400m29 Oct 2026 · 3Y MDN-SW · GOOD46.16L
5Bendigo1600m17 Oct 2026 · 3Y MDN-SW · GOOD34.2L
5Hamilton1400m10 Oct 2026 · 3yo+ · SOFT54.52L
7Coleraine1600m25 Sept 2026 · 3UP MDN-SW · GOOD35.81L
11Geelong1100m11 Sept 2026 · 3Y MDN-SW · GOOD46.5L
4Ballarat Synthetic1100m31 Aug 2026 · 3Y MDN-SW · SYNTHETIC5.8L
8Ballarat Synthetic1200m25 Aug 2026 · MDN-SW · SYNTHETIC9.1L
10Bendigo1000m13 May 2026 · 2Y MDN-SW · GOOD49.2L

Insights

Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are out performing market expectations by 49%
Fast Early
Positive
Sectionals suggest goes hard early
Gave ground LS
Negative
Faded towards the finish last time out
Limited
Negative
Hasn’t featured at all in all career runs
Primed
Positive
Fitter here racing on a quick back up
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
Not Trustworthy
Negative
May be competing at this level for some time

Comments

AAP

Backing up quickly. Failed to fire, despite many attempts. Has battled to date. Looks up against it.

ILB

On a quick turnaround. Was $61.00 and struggled with the pace when 9th last time at Warrnambool. Hasn't fired a shot in 9 runs. Most likely not today.

Out of the frame when ninth over 7f at Warrnambool (maiden) on Thursday; yet to get off the mark and losing run stands at nine; easy enough to take on.

RSIS

Backs up quickly. Started 60/1 and faded away to finish 9th last run at Warrnambool. Hasn't placed in 9 runs. Struggling of late. The large claim from Zac Moore helps.

4WhitebaitJ: Beau Mertens·T: C J Waller358kg6 102: 0-0-0$11.00$3.60

Career

2: 0-0-0

Rating · IRD

100

Speed map

Leader

BackLead

Figures

Jockey20%
Trainer100%
Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
Early Speed100%
Rating100%
Closing Speed40%

Record

First-up
1: 0-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Track CurrentTrack
1: 0-0-0
Track Geelong
1: 0-0-0
Track Ballarat
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1325m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1500m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
2: 0-0-0

Last starts

10Ballarat1500m9 Oct 2026 · 3UP MDN-SW · GOOD46.38L
6Geelong1325m23 Sept 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD34.1L

Insights

Rider
Negative
Negative rider change today
Profitable Trainer
Positive
Stable runners going at 25% POT in L100 Runners
Map Suits
Positive
Suitable Map, where runners in this position outperform market by 1%
Fast Early
Positive
Sectionals suggest goes hard early
Gave ground LS
Negative
Faded towards the finish last time out
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Started $11 when safely held in Maiden company this venue at second start. Looks more a place prospect.

ILB

Started at $11.00 and faded to finish 10th last time at this track. Expecting improvement. Has shown early pace in races to date. Terrific hope.

Could not manage better than tenth over 7½f here (maiden) 24 days ago; lightly raced with this just his third appearance; with the benefit of experience, entitled to respect.

RSIS

Odds of 10/1 and looked outclassed when 10th last start around here. Should improve here. Shows good early pace. Stamps its reason for consideration.

5Bella AthenaJ: Michael Dee·T: Ben, Will & Jd Hayes556kg–$4.40$2.00

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Firststart

Figures

Jockey20%
Trainer100%
Jockey/Trainer Combo80%
Early Speed50%
Rating60%
Closing Speed50%

Insights

Hot Trainer
Positive
Ben, Will & Jd Hayes in good form, out performing market 49%
Trainer ROI
Positive
Runners from this stable currently going at 37% POT in L100 Runners
First Starter
Positive
Not raced previously

Comments

AAP

$90k purchase. Out of a half-sister to G2 winner Llanacord. Finished second in latest jumpout at Pakenham. Worth thought.

ILB

First time at the races 3yo by Ghaiyyath for trainer Will Ben & Jd Hayes. Watch for a sign in the market.

Stable has a good record with newcomers here; from the same family as French Accord, a winner over 6f; respected with signs of encouragement in profile and the current trainer form is another tick.

RSIS

Ghaiyyath 3yo trained by Will Ben & Jd Hayes on debut. Respect the betting.

6Chilly SavScratched2––––

Career

4: 0-0-0

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Backmarker

BackLead

Figures

Jockey100%
Trainer20%
Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
Early Speed20%
Rating50%
Closing Speed60%

Record

First-up
1: 0-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Third-up
1: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-0-0
Track CurrentTrack
1: 0-0-0
Track Kilmore
1: 0-0-0
Track Warrnambool
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1300m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1400m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1450m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
3: 0-0-0
Going Soft
1: 0-0-0

Last starts

11Ballarat1400m23 Oct 2026 · 3YF MDN-SW · GOOD464.45L
10Warrnambool1700m15 Oct 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD419.2L
10Kilmore1450m28 Sept 2026 · 3Y MDN-SW · GOOD38.05L
11Seymour1300m10 Sept 2026 · 3YF MDN-SW · SOFT57.8L

Insights

Jockey ROI
Positive
Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 48% in Last 100 Rides
Trainer SR
Negative
Rodney Foster striking at just 2%
Trainer Recent
Negative
Stable runners are currently underperforming market by 61%
Trainer ROI
Negative
Trainers runners currently losing 62% Profit on Turnover
Key Jockey
Positive
Valentin Le Boeuf winning at 23% POT in last 100 rides
Well beaten LS
Negative
Not competitive last run
Drawn In
Positive
Suited drawn down low
Fitness
Positive
At peak fitness backing up

Comments

AAP

Shown little to date. Failed to threaten this track at a mammoth price. Others with stronger claims.

ILB

Racing on a quick back up. Moderate showing when 9th last time at Mortlake but can find a nice position from the draw.

Was tailed off at Mortlake at the weekend; others more likely.

RSIS

Backing up quickly. Not up to scratch when 9th last time at Mortlake but can find a nice position from the draw.

7Miss CapriJ: Declan Bates·T: J F Moloney156kg9 7 8 33: 0-0-1$4.80$2.15

Career

3: 0-0-1

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Offpace

BackLead

Figures

Jockey60%
Trainer60%
Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
Early Speed20%
Rating40%
Closing Speed100%

Record

First-up
1: 0-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Third-up
1: 0-0-1
Track Ballarat
1: 0-0-1
Track CurrentTrack
1: 0-0-1
Track Geelong
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1300m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1400m
1: 0-0-1
Distance 1425m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
2: 0-0-1
Going Soft
1: 0-0-0

Last starts

3Ballarat1400m23 Oct 2026 · 3YF MDN-SW · GOOD44.15L
8Geelong1425m23 Sept 2026 · 3YF MDN-SW · GOOD37.42L
7Seymour1300m10 Sept 2026 · 3YF MDN-SW · SOFT54L
9Caulfield Heath850m23 Apr 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)5.7L

Insights

Trainer Career
Negative
Trainer Career S/R is 6%
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Trainer A2E
Negative
Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 23%
Nice Barrier
Positive
Well drawn from gate 1
Track Exp
Positive
Knows this track well
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

Ran on late to place behind tearaway winner this venue. More a minor money chance here.

ILB

Amongst the placegetters when 3rd beaten by more than 4L last start at this track and drawn beautifully. Will need a big effort to win this.

Ran well to finish third at 50-1 here over 7f (maiden) last month; this just her fourth race.

RSIS

Finished with intent when 3rd last time at the track and can save some energy from the stall.

8Noble FoxJ: Neil Farley·T: Henry Dwyer856kg1 12: 0-0-0$21.00$5.00

Career

2: 0-0-0

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Leader

BackLead

Figures

Jockey40%
Trainer40%
Jockey/Trainer Combo40%
Early Speed100%
Rating40%
Closing Speed50%

Record

First-up
1: 0-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Track CurrentTrack
2: 0-0-0
Track Ballarat
2: 0-0-0
Distance 1500m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1600m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
2: 0-0-0

Last starts

11Ballarat1500m9 Oct 2026 · 3UP MDN-SW · GOOD46.53L

Insights

Trainer Career
Negative
Trainer Career S/R is 7%
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -28% POT in their L100 Races
Trainer A2E
Negative
Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 35%
Early Splits
Positive
Has early speed. An advantage on this circuit
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Offered little to catch the eye on debut this track when crunched in betting 9 Oct. Locally trained but awkwardly drawn. Not fancied.

ILB

Started at $14.00 and gave away some ground when 11th last start at this track but fitter for debut run. Has plenty of early speed. Could feature here.

Finished just behind Whitebait last month when last over 7½f here; room for improvement; should benefit for having a run under her belt.

RSIS

Odds of 13/1 and gave away some ground when 11th last start around here but fitter for debut run. Displays good tactical pace.

9Star Je TaimeScratched9––––

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Onpace

BackLead

Figures

Jockey80%
Trainer60%
Jockey/Trainer Combo50%
Early Speed50%
Rating50%
Closing Speed50%

Insights

Ready To Fire
Positive
Shown something in last few runs

Comments

AAP

Steady improver. A vastly improved performance when the Snitzel 3year-old ran into the minors at Kyneton when second-up. Favourite for a good reason.

ILB

Backing up quickly. Just missed last time at Mornington and on an upward trajectory in recent races. In strong racing shape since resuming from a break.

RSIS

Racing on a quick back up. Narrowly beaten last start at Mornington and on an upward trajectory in recent races.

Odds correct as at Mon 2 Nov, 1:40 pm AEDT. Odds can change.

Past meetings

Fri 23 Oct, 11:00 am AEDT · 9 races
Fri 9 Oct, 11:00 am AEDT · 10 races
Wed 30 Sept, 10:00 am AEST · 8 races
Fri 18 Sept, 10:00 am AEST · 9 races