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Meeting — Mon 2 Nov, 11:00 am AEDT

Meetings · Mon, 2 NovBallarat (VIC)Change

Race 6 — Hygain Edge (Bm62) 1000m · jumps

Race preview

Welcome to Ballarat on a wet afternoon for the Hygain Edge Benchmark 62 over the sharp 1000m sprint trip. The track is rated a Heavy 8 with showers lingering overhead, adding a slippery puzzle for punters to solve. Looking at the win market order, Wintery holds sway at the head of betting, closely followed by Gunz, Nordic Strike, and Kooralbyn in that order, with Divine Vicky, Brummagen, and El Salto making up the rest of the field.

Let us dive into the form behind those shorter prices, starting with the market leader Wintery, prepared by Aaron Purcell and steered by Tom Madden. This runner resumes after a sixteen-week break, having placed here at Ballarat first-up last campaign and tuning up with a recent trial win at Colac. Gunz for trainer S Jokic returns from an eighteen-week spell with Chelsea Jokic in the saddle, boasting fresh credentials and a handy Tatura trial under the belt after kicking off last prep with a Swan Hill victory. Meanwhile, C Maher saddles up Nordic Strike from barrier two with Zac Moore taking the ride, coming off a solid third in a staggered finish at Warrnambool over this exact distance and profiling as a major player with a low draw.

There are plenty of other intriguing yarns in this race once you look past the absolute favourites. The speed map suggests a strong tempo up front with Gunz, Nordic Strike, Kooralbyn, and Brummagen all listed as leaders who like to get rolling early, which could set it up for something with a bit of late dash. Kooralbyn for the P G Moody and Katherine Coleman stable comes in following a gritty win at Bairnsdale after showing plenty of ticker from a wide gate. Down in the weights, El Salto brings a wealth of experience to the track for trainer L E Robertson, while Divine Vicky and Brummagen round out the hopes in what promises to be a fascinating contest for us punters.

Race notes

  • 3yo+,BM62,BM62 HCP,Benchmark 62
  • HEAVY8
  • Showers
  • 7 runners

Shortest win price

Wintery (4)

1.95

Most career wins

El Salto

13-12-7 from 112 starts

Speed map

Back left · leaders right

Backmarker

  • 7Divine Vicky
  • 12El Salto

Offpace

  • 4Wintery

Leader

  • 2Gunz
  • 3Nordic Strike
  • 5Kooralbyn
  • 10Brummagen
  • Gunz · Positive

    Fast Finisher

    Fastest Overall Finishing Sectionals Last Start

  • Nordic Strike · Positive

    Early Splits

    Has early speed. An advantage on this circuit

  • Wintery · Positive

    Early Splits

    Has early speed. An advantage on this circuit

  • Kooralbyn · Positive

    Jockey ROI

    Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 55% in Last 100 Rides

No.RunnerBarWgtLast 5WinPlace
1Mystic ReignScratched7––––

Career

9: 3-0-0

Rating · IRD

97

Speed map

Onpace

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey80%
  • Trainer20%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
  • Early Speed100%
  • Rating100%
  • Closing Speed40%

Record

  • First-up

    4: 1-0-0

  • Second-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Third-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Fourth-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Flemington

    4: 1-0-0

  • Track Cranbourne

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Caulfield

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 955m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1000m

    3: 1-0-0

  • Distance 1100m

    4: 1-0-0

  • Going Soft

    2: 0-0-0

  • Going Good

    7: 3-0-0

Last starts

  1. 6Sandown1000m22 July 2026 · Benchmark 70 · SOFT63.6L
  2. 5Flemington1100m14 Feb 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD42.8L
  3. 7Cranbourne955m30 Jan 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD35.3L
  4. 5Flemington1100m17 Jan 2026 · 3UP F&M BM78 HCP · GOOD33.5L
  5. 6Flemington1000m31 Dec 2025 · 3UP F&M BM74 · GOOD31.7L
  6. 10Caulfield1100m26 July 2025 · 3Y FILLIES HCP · SOFT56.3L
  7. 1Flemington1100m8 Mar 2025 · Quality · GOOD4-1.25
  8. 1Moonee Valley1000m21 Feb 2025 · BenchMark 64 · GOOD3-1

Insights

  • Trainer Recent

    Negative

    Camp struggling with S/R just 5%

  • Cold J/T Combo

    Negative

    Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races

  • Trainer Recent

    Negative

    Stable runners are currently underperforming market by 42%

  • Early Splits

    Positive

    Has early speed. An advantage on this circuit

  • Awkward Draw

    Negative

    Would have liked a better draw

  • Resuming

    Negative

    Poor strike rate when first up

  • Well Placed

    Positive

    Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

First-up (14-weeks). Ex G M Begg in Victoria. Has run well fresh. Can hit the ground running for new stable.

ILB

Racing fresh today after a break. Jumped at $9.00 and lost ground in the run home when 6th last time at Sandown. First race for a new trainer.

RP

Not beaten too far when sixth of ten (Sandown) in July; runs for a new trainer here; clear chance.

RSIS

Resuming after break. Odds of 8/1 and lost ground in the run home when 6th last start at Sandown. Coming to a new trainer.

2GunzJ: Chelsea Jokic·T: S Jokic461.5kg4 2 1 10 28: 2-3-1$3.70$1.80

Career

8: 2-3-1

Rating · IRD

87

Speed map

Leader

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey100%
  • Trainer60%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
  • Early Speed100%
  • Rating60%
  • Closing Speed50%

Record

  • First-up

    2: 1-1-0

  • Second-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Third-up

    1: 0-1-0

  • Fourth-up

    1: 1-0-0

  • Track Seymour

    1: 0-1-0

  • Track Caulfield

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Swan Hill

    1: 1-0-0

  • Distance 975m

    1: 1-0-0

  • Distance 1000m

    5: 1-2-1

  • Distance 1100m

    2: 0-1-0

  • Going Good

    2: 1-0-0

  • Going Heavy

    3: 1-2-0

  • Going Soft

    3: 0-1-1

Last starts

  1. 2Tatura850m30 Sept 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)0.3L
  2. 10Caulfield1000m27 June 2026 · 3Y HCP · SOFT79L
  3. 1Albury1000m16 June 2026 · CL1 · HEAVY9-2
  4. 2Seymour1000m21 May 2026 · 0 - 62 · SOFT60.2L
  5. 4Bendigo1100m2 May 2026 · 3Y HCP · GOOD32.4L
  6. 1Swan Hill975m12 Apr 2026 · MDN-SW · GOOD3-1.8
  7. 2Bendigo1100m7 Sept 2025 · 3yo+ · HEAVY91L
  8. 3Sandown1000m27 Aug 2025 · 3Y MDN SW · SOFT51.4L

Insights

  • Fast Finisher

    Positive

    Fastest Overall Finishing Sectionals Last Start

  • Rider SR

    Positive

    Jockey recent POT is 41% better than Career Avg.

  • Jockey Booking

    Positive

    Chelsea Jokic 34% above market expected in L100 Rides

  • Cold J/T Combo

    Negative

    Combo are losing -32% POT in their L100 Races

  • Trainer Recent

    Negative

    Stable runners are currently underperforming market by 28%

  • Fast Early

    Positive

    Sectionals suggest goes hard early

  • 1st Up S/R

    Positive

    Has won 1 from 2 when resuming

  • Well Placed

    Positive

    Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

First-up (18-weeks). Opened last prep with a win at Swan Hill while brought back with a Tatura trial. Right in the mix fresh in this line-up.

ILB

First up from a break of 18 weeks and bold effort when winning first up last preparation at Swan Hill. Shows good closing speed. Stepping down to a lower level. Solid chance.

RP

Finished just behind Wintery when tenth at Caulfield four months ago; returns from a break here; this is competitive and hard to recommend.

RSIS

Resuming and charged home to win resuming last preparation at Swan Hill. Can go through the gears. Has been racing in stronger company. Has to cope with a weight increase. Great chance.

3Nordic StrikeJ: Zac Moore·T: C Maher261.5kg5 2 9 2 312: 2-3-3$5.00$2.30

Career

12: 2-3-3

Rating · IRD

100

Speed map

Leader

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey40%
  • Trainer80%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo80%
  • Early Speed100%
  • Rating100%
  • Closing Speed80%

Record

  • First-up

    3: 1-1-0

  • Second-up

    2: 1-0-1

  • Third-up

    2: 0-0-0

  • Fourth-up

    2: 0-1-1

  • Track Warrnambool

    1: 0-0-1

  • Track Cranbourne

    2: 1-0-0

  • Track Stony Creek

    1: 1-0-0

  • Distance 1000m

    6: 0-2-2

  • Distance 1005m

    1: 0-0-1

  • Distance 1100m

    2: 1-0-0

  • Going Good

    4: 2-0-1

  • Going Heavy

    6: 0-2-2

  • Going Soft

    2: 0-1-0

Last starts

  1. 3Warrnambool1000m1 Oct 2026 · 3yo+ · HEAVY96.06L
  2. 2Geelong1147m28 Aug 2026 · 3UP BM62 HCP · SOFT71L
  3. 9Caulfield Heath1100m8 Aug 2026 · 3UP BM74 HCP · SOFT68.6L
  4. 2Sandown1000m29 July 2026 · BM70 · HEAVY100.4L
  5. 5Sandown1000m15 July 2026 · 3Y BM64 · HEAVY91.7L
  6. 3Sale1005m28 June 2026 · BM70 · HEAVY80.6L
  7. 2Sale1000m10 June 2026 · 0 - 66 · HEAVY81.5L
  8. 3Echuca1000m8 Mar 2026 · 3UP BM70 · GOOD43.5L

Insights

  • Early Splits

    Positive

    Has early speed. An advantage on this circuit

  • Drawn In

    Positive

    Suited drawn down low

  • Dist S/R

    Negative

    Poor performer at the distance

  • Gap In Runs

    Negative

    Not raced for 32 days

Comments

AAP

4 weeks since last run. Secured third in a staggered finish at Warrnambool over this trip. Drawn to get a conservative run. Rates among the better chances.

ILB

Ran home into 3rd beaten by just over 6L last start at Warrnambool and has a good draw. Performing impressively since returning from a spell. Expect a bold effort.

RP

Has been fairly consistent of late; beaten 6l (third, Warrnambool) four weeks ago; others more appealing.

RSIS

Did well to run into 3rd beaten by just over 6L last time at Warrnambool and has a positive stall. Producing consistent results in recent runs. Expect support.

4WinteryJ: Tom Madden·T: Aaron Purcell560.5kg2 5 6 7 116: 2-3-3$1.95$1.28

Career

16: 2-3-3

Rating · IRD

90

Speed map

Offpace

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey60%
  • Trainer60%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo60%
  • Early Speed100%
  • Rating60%
  • Closing Speed50%

Record

  • First-up

    2: 0-0-1

  • Second-up

    1: 1-0-0

  • Third-up

    1: 0-1-0

  • Fourth-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track CurrentTrack

    1: 0-0-1

  • Track Flemington

    2: 0-0-0

  • Track Pakenham

    1: 1-0-0

  • Distance 1000m

    8: 1-2-2

  • Distance 1100m

    7: 1-1-1

  • Distance 1200m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Good

    9: 2-2-2

  • Going Heavy

    2: 0-1-0

  • Going Soft

    5: 0-0-1

Last starts

  1. 1Colac800m22 Oct 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)-0.5
  2. 7Caulfield1100m11 July 2026 · 3YF HCP · SOFT77.1L
  3. 6Caulfield1000m27 June 2026 · 3Y HCP · SOFT75.7L
  4. 5Caulfield1100m30 May 2026 · 3Y HCP · HEAVY82.7L
  5. 2Warrnambool1000m6 May 2026 · 2UP BM66 HCP · HEAVY102.3L
  6. 9Caulfield1200m14 Mar 2026 · 3yo · GOOD45.83L
  7. 6Flemington1100m28 Feb 2026 · 3Y FILLIES HCP · GOOD45.4L
  8. 2Caulfield1100m7 Feb 2026 · 3yo · GOOD41.5L

Insights

  • Early Splits

    Positive

    Has early speed. An advantage on this circuit

  • Increased Dist

    Positive

    Distance rise from last start

  • Track Exp

    Positive

    Knows this track well

  • Resuming

    Negative

    Poor strike rate when first up

  • Well Placed

    Positive

    Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Resuming (16-weeks). Handy form when last seen. Placed at Ballarat first-up last campaign while winning a recent trial without much pressure. Held form fairly well throughout last prep.

ILB

First up after 16 weeks and reeled them in to win first up last preparation at Pakenham. Has plenty of early speed. Up against a less competitive field. Will show up at the business end.

RP

Held when seventh beaten 7l over 5½f at Caulfield (handicap) in July; this is competitive and others more persuasive.

RSIS

Resuming and ran on strongly to win resuming last preparation at Pakenham. Likely to be well placed early. Facing a weaker group of contenders. Rises in weight. Well respected contender.

5KooralbynJ: Luke Cartwright·T: P G Moody & Katherine Coleman960kg7 12: 1-0-0$12.00$3.90

Career

2: 1-0-0

Rating · IRD

78

Speed map

Leader

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey100%
  • Trainer20%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
  • Early Speed100%
  • Rating40%
  • Closing Speed80%

Record

  • First-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Second-up

    1: 1-0-0

  • Track Mornington

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Bairnsdale

    1: 1-0-0

  • Distance 1000m

    1: 1-0-0

  • Distance 1200m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Good

    1: 1-0-0

  • Going Soft

    1: 0-0-0

Last starts

  1. 1Bairnsdale1000m20 Sept 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD3-0.25
  2. 7Mornington1200m4 Sept 2026 · 3UP MDN-SW · SOFT55.6L

Insights

  • Jockey ROI

    Positive

    Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 55% in Last 100 Rides

  • Trainer Recent

    Negative

    Camp struggling with S/R just 6%

  • Trainer A2E

    Negative

    Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 57%

  • Trainer ROI

    Negative

    Trainers runners currently losing 63% Profit on Turnover

  • Early Splits

    Negative

    Out of races with slow early tempos

  • Solid Run LS

    Positive

    Won last start

  • Fresh

    Positive

    Freshened up. Had a break of 42-60 days

  • Class Rise

    Negative

    Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

Let-up (43-days). All his toughness on show when overcame the wide draw at Bairnsdale at second appearance. Speedy. Sharper now, capable of figuring again with even luck.

ILB

Freshened for this. Finished well when winning last time at Bairnsdale but facing formidable competition. Displays good tactical speed. Respect the betting.

RP

Opened account at the second time of asking in a maiden at Bairnsdale when winning by a head six weeks ago; has to be considered.

RSIS

Freshened up. Finished with purpose when winning last start at Bairnsdale but up against a more competitive field. Will be positive in the run early. Not at all out of this race.

6Daynes DahwunScratched6––––

Rating · IRD

20

Speed map

Offmidfield

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey100%
  • Trainer40%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
  • Early Speed20%
  • Rating20%
  • Closing Speed60%

Insights

  • Fast Finisher

    Positive

    Fastest Overall Finishing Sectionals Last Start

  • Trainer Career

    Negative

    Trainer Career S/R is 7%

  • Trainer Recent

    Negative

    Stable runners are currently underperforming market by 36%

  • Solid Run LS

    Positive

    Won last start

  • Class Rise

    Negative

    Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

Just held on after leading at Echuca off long break. M Aitken on again. Has claims for a repeat.

ILB

Led from start to finish when winning by a margin of a long neck last start at Echuca but matched against tougher rivals.

RSIS

Led from start to finish to win by a long neck last start at Echuca but rising in grade.

7Divine VickyJ: Holly Durnan·T: Nelson Smyth158kg2 6 10 7 634: 5-4-3$14.00$4.20

Career

34: 5-4-3

Rating · IRD

72

Speed map

Backmarker

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey100%
  • Trainer100%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
  • Early Speed80%
  • Rating40%
  • Closing Speed50%

Record

  • First-up

    4: 2-0-0

  • Second-up

    3: 0-0-0

  • Third-up

    3: 0-1-0

  • Fourth-up

    3: 0-0-1

  • Track CurrentTrack

    2: 0-0-0

  • Track Kembla Grange

    5: 2-1-0

  • Track Canterbury

    2: 0-0-1

  • Distance 1000m

    6: 1-0-0

  • Distance 1100m

    13: 2-2-0

  • Distance 1200m

    11: 2-2-3

  • Going Good

    19: 2-3-3

  • Going Heavy

    6: 1-0-0

  • Going Soft

    9: 2-1-0

Last starts

  1. 6Cranbourne1000m9 Oct 2026 · 3UP BM62 HCP · GOOD32.1L
  2. 7Ballarat1000m18 Sept 2026 · 3UP BM62 HCP · GOOD43.21L
  3. 10Wyong1200m4 July 2026 · BM64 · SOFT75L
  4. 6Warwick Farm1100m24 June 2026 · 3UP BM72 HCP · GOOD43.2L
  5. 2Hawkesbury1100m4 June 2026 · 5UP BM64 HCP · SOFT60.1L
  6. 4Wyong1100m30 Apr 2026 · Benchmark 64 · GOOD41.5L
  7. 7Gosford1000m2 Apr 2026 · BM64 · GOOD43.7L
  8. 7Warwick Farm795m16 Feb 2026 · Barrier Trial3L

Insights

  • Jockey ROI

    Positive

    Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 35% in Last 100 Rides

  • Key Rider

    Positive

    Holly Durnan 34% above market expected in L100 Rides

  • Cold J/T Combo

    Negative

    Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races

  • Stable In Form

    Positive

    Stable going well. Out performing market by 133%

  • Map Suits

    Positive

    Suitable Map, where runners in this position outperform market by 1%

  • Early Sectionals

    Negative

    Recent sectional data suggests slow early pace

  • Draw Suits

    Positive

    Well drawn inside

  • Improver

    Positive

    Poised to improve on recent form here

Comments

AAP

Third run now in new stable/region. Not disgraced at Cranbourne over this distance. Not fancied.

ILB

Started at $51.00 and folded up in the straight when 6th last start at Cranbourne but drawn well. Needs to find a lot more.

RP

Finished sixth beaten just over 2l at Cranbourne three weeks ago; she meets the required standard ability wise.

RSIS

Odds of 50/1 and didn't find the line when 6th last start at Cranbourne but drawn nicely.

8Elena MonteroScratched12––––

Rating · IRD

20

Speed map

Offmidfield

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey40%
  • Trainer20%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo50%
  • Early Speed50%
  • Rating40%
  • Closing Speed40%

Insights

  • Fresh

    Positive

    Freshened up. Had a break of 42-60 days

Comments

AAP

Let-up (43-days). Off pace, unable to muster and only battled home 6th at Bendigo. Fitter but hasn't done much third-up. Sharper now, rough place prospect only.

ILB

On a short turnaround. Tidy effort when 3rd last time at Kilmore but rising in grade. The large claim from Chelsea Thompson helps.

RSIS

On a quick back up. Honest race when 3rd last start at Kilmore but facing stiffer opposition. The large claim from Chelsea Thompson helps.

9SkjaldmoScratched6––––

Career

6: 1-0-1

Rating · IRD

74

Speed map

Offpace

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey100%
  • Trainer80%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
  • Early Speed80%
  • Rating40%
  • Closing Speed50%

Record

  • First-up

    3: 1-0-0

  • Second-up

    2: 0-0-0

  • Third-up

    1: 0-0-1

  • Track Ballarat

    4: 1-0-0

  • Track CurrentTrack

    4: 1-0-0

  • Track Morphettville

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1000m

    5: 1-0-0

  • Distance 1200m

    1: 0-0-1

  • Going Good

    5: 1-0-1

  • Going Soft

    1: 0-0-0

Last starts

  1. 1Ballarat1000m9 Oct 2026 · 3UP MDN-SW · GOOD4-1
  2. 3Cranbourne1200m31 Oct 2025 · 3Y MDN-SW · GOOD43L
  3. 4Ballarat1000m6 Oct 2025 · 3Y FILLIES MDN-SW · SOFT60.8L
  4. 10Ballarat1000m19 Sept 2025 · 3Y MDN-SW · GOOD43.2L
  5. 1Caulfield800m2 Sept 2025 · Barrier Trial-2
  6. 8Morphettville1000m5 Apr 2025 · Set Weights · GOOD43.33L

Insights

  • Rider SR

    Positive

    Jockey recent POT is 27% better than Career Avg.

  • Slow Early LS

    Negative

    Speed data from recent runs suggests slower early splits on avg

  • Consecutive Wins

    Positive

    Has strung together a few races in a row

  • Class Rise

    Negative

    Racing in stronger company

  • Consistent

    Positive

    Showing up at the business end

Comments

AAP

Really gutsy performance on the speed this venue off long break. Can lead or take a sit. Could give some cheek at odds.

ILB

Dictated the tempo when winning by a margin of 1L last start here but facing stiffer opposition. Should jump out and bowl along. Getting better in recent performances.

RP

Shown recent signs of improvement and not had much racing for her age; gained a 1l success in a maiden when getting off the mark at the fifth time of asking last month; definite chance.

RSIS

Set the pace when winning by a margin of 1L last run here and showing improvement in recent outings. Won't be far away during the run.

10BrummagenJ: Sam Kennedy·T: L E Robertson356.5kg2 3 9 3 618: 1-4-5$26.00$6.50

Career

18: 1-4-5

Rating · IRD

83

Speed map

Leader

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey100%
  • Trainer80%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
  • Early Speed20%
  • Rating60%
  • Closing Speed20%

Record

  • First-up

    3: 0-1-1

  • Second-up

    1: 1-0-0

  • Third-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Dubbo

    6: 0-0-1

  • Track Bendigo

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Orange

    1: 0-0-1

  • Distance 800m

    3: 1-2-0

  • Distance 900m

    3: 0-1-2

  • Distance 1000m

    11: 0-1-3

  • Going Soft

    4: 0-2-1

  • Going Good

    14: 1-2-4

Last starts

  1. 6Bendigo1000m17 Oct 2026 · 0 - 56 · GOOD33.4L
  2. 3Wellington900m10 Apr 2026 · CL1 · GOOD41.1L
  3. 9Dubbo1000m6 Mar 2026 · CL1 · GOOD44.8L
  4. 3Orange1000m14 Feb 2026 · BM50 · GOOD40.4L
  5. 2Gilgandra800m7 Feb 2026 · CL1 · SOFT60.4L
  6. 3Muswellbrook900m13 Jan 2026 · CL1 · SOFT51.8L
  7. 9Dubbo1000m20 Dec 2025 · BM58 · GOOD44.7L
  8. 4Dubbo1000m8 Dec 2025 · BM58 HCP · GOOD31.13L

Insights

  • Rider SR

    Positive

    Jockey recent POT is 32% better than Career Avg.

  • Jockey Booking

    Positive

    Sam Kennedy 61% above market expected in L100 Rides

  • Key Jockey

    Positive

    Sam Kennedy winning at 41% POT in last 100 rides

  • Dist S/R

    Negative

    Poor performer at the distance

  • Class Rise

    Negative

    Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

Placed Hcp (C1) at Wellington 10 Apr. Got the wobbles and faded out of the placings at Bendigo. Will be fitter second-up and takes a 2kg claim. Can make his presence felt.

ILB

Finished 6th last run at Bendigo and up against stronger opponents. Will be pushing for a forward position early. Watch the betting.

RP

Finished sixth but wasn't beaten too far (3½l, Bendigo) on debut for this trainer last month; you have to go back a fair way to find his only win; this is competitive and hard to recommend.

RSIS

Finished 6th last run at Bendigo and up against stronger opponents. Has plenty of early pace. Watch for a sign in the market.

11Wind DreamerScratched11––––

Rating · IRD

20

Comments

AAP

Sent forward and stuck to the task bravely in the 3yo+ Hcp (56) at Yarra Glen. Tougher alley. Strikes a harder race.

ILB

Racing on a quick back up. At $3.30 performed below standard when 8th last time at Wycheproof and up against a higher level of opposition.

RSIS

On a short turnaround. Started at 9/4 and disappointing outing when 8th last start at Wycheproof and up against a higher level of opposition.

12El SaltoJ: Nathan Punch·T: L E Robertson854kg2 4 8 7 9112: 13-12-7$21.00$5.50

Career

112: 13-12-7

Rating · IRD

70

Speed map

Backmarker

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey20%
  • Trainer80%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
  • Early Speed100%
  • Rating20%
  • Closing Speed40%

Record

  • First-up

    5: 1-0-0

  • Second-up

    4: 1-0-1

  • Third-up

    4: 0-1-1

  • Fourth-up

    3: 0-1-0

  • Track Donald

    5: 0-1-0

  • Track Tatura

    2: 0-1-0

  • Track St Arnaud

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1050m

    4: 0-0-1

  • Distance 1100m

    20: 4-3-1

  • Distance 1106m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Soft

    22: 1-0-0

  • Going Synthetic

    16: 2-1-3

  • Going Good

    66: 7-8-4

Last starts

  1. 9St Arnaud1200m24 Oct 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD34.05L
  2. 7Bendigo1000m17 Oct 2026 · 0 - 56 · GOOD33.8L
  3. 8Ballarat1000m9 Oct 2026 · 3UP BM56 HCP · GOOD43.65L
  4. 4Echuca1009m19 Sept 2026 · 0 - 56 · GOOD40.88L
  5. 2Donald1000m12 Sept 2026 · 0 - 56 · GOOD41L
  6. 7Tatura1000m7 Sept 2026 · 3yo+ · SOFT73.9L
  7. 6Ballarat Synthetic1000m25 Aug 2026 · 3UP BM62 HCP · SYNTHETIC4L
  8. 3Ballarat Synthetic1000m11 Aug 2026 · 3UP BM52 HCP · SYNTHETIC0.9L

Insights

  • Jockey Booking

    Negative

    Nathan Punch current POT is 15% below Career Avg.

  • Jockey Booking

    Negative

    Less suitable jockey engaged

  • Cold J/T Combo

    Negative

    Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races

  • Rider Poor SR

    Negative

    Jockey underperforming market expectations by 25% in L100 rides

  • Map Suits

    Positive

    Suitable Map, where runners in this position outperform market by 4%

  • Slow Early LS

    Negative

    Speed data from recent runs suggests slower early splits on avg

  • Class Rise

    Negative

    Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

Sent out $20 when unable to threaten at St Arnaud. Coming back in distance. Others with stronger claims.

ILB

Odds of $20.00 and couldn't maintain the pace when 9th last time at St Arnaud and stepping up to a higher level. Likely to settle back in the field. Prefer to watch.

RP

Has a course-and-distance record of four wins from 23 starts; fair effort when beaten 4l, finishing ninth of ten at St Arnaud over 6f (handicap) last month; this looks a decent race so makes little appeal.

RSIS

Started at 19/1 and couldn't stay in touch when 9th last run at St Arnaud and up against tougher rivals. Likely to get back in the run.

Odds correct as at . Odds can change.

Past meetings

  • Fri 23 Oct, 11:00 am AEDT · 9 races
  • Fri 9 Oct, 11:00 am AEDT · 10 races
  • Wed 30 Sept, 10:00 am AEST · 8 races
  • Fri 18 Sept, 10:00 am AEST · 9 races