Shortest win price
Chandler (1)
1.28
Welcome to Ballarat for the Ac Accounting Mdn Plate over the 1000m dash, where showers have left us racing on a Soft 7 surface. Punters looking at the early win market order see Chandler sitting proudly at the top of the betting heap, closely followed by Swiss Impact, Weeping Wonder, Locard, He's A Dandy, and Smik Nicci rounding things out for this maiden affair. It is shaping up as a fascinating yarn on the quick back-up for several of these hopefuls looking to break their duck in testing conditions at Ballarat today.
Taking a closer look at the form behind those shorter prices, Chandler comes in with a tidy profile for Patrick Payne, jumping from barrier 4 with Billy Egan in the saddle. This runner put in a fine effort on debut at Cranbourne when finishing second over this exact distance on a good track, clocking the fastest overall finishing sectionals of the race, and should be all the wiser for that initial experience. Meanwhile, Locard for trainer C Maher draws barrier 7 with Carleen Hefel steering, looking to improve second-up after sticking to the firing line before fading when resuming at Cranbourne. Swiss Impact adds another intriguing layer from the T & C McEvoy yard, coming here fresh after winning a recent Flemington jumpout in good style, suggesting a forward showing could be on the cards despite the stable's current run of form.
Further down the speed groups and form lines, we find Locard mapping as the designated leader, a position where runners at this track can sometimes pinch an advantage, while Chandler settles midfield and debutants like Weeping Wonder and Smik Nicci search for early positioning. Weeping Wonder is out of a dam that won two races and has shown enough at the jumpouts to warrant respect despite the tricky surface. While racing is never a foregone conclusion, Chandler's sharp finishing burst on debut makes for a compelling form line in what should prove a great test for these maidens.
Shortest win price
Chandler (1)
1.28
Back left · leaders right
Backmarker
Offpace
Firststart
Leader
Chandler · Positive
Fast Finisher
Fastest Overall Finishing Sectionals Last Start
He's A Dandy · Negative
Jockey Booking
Less suitable jockey engaged
Weeping Wonder · Negative
Current SR
Rider’s recent POT is returning 46% lower than Career Avg.
Locard · Negative
Rider
Negative rider change today
Career
1: 0-1-0
Rating · IRD
100
Speed map
Backmarker
First-up
1: 0-1-0
Track Cranbourne
1: 0-1-0
Distance 1000m
1: 0-1-0
Going Good
1: 0-1-0
Fast Finisher
Positive
Fastest Overall Finishing Sectionals Last Start
Rider SR
Positive
Jockey recent POT is 27% better than Career Avg.
Profitable Trainer
Positive
Stable runners going at 20% POT in L100 Runners
Ideal Map
Positive
Map position exceeding market by 4%
Ran On Hard LS
Positive
Ran on well last start
Raceday Experience
Positive
Wiser for debut run
AAP
Wasn't all that far from the action on debut at Cranbourne when in the market 16 Oct. Wiser for experience. Can get the job done.
ILB
Good run when placing 2nd last time at Cranbourne and fitter for debut run. Extremely hard to beat.
RP
Beaten into runner-up at the first time of asking when 85-40 at Cranbourne 17 days ago over this trip; should benefit for having a run under his belt.
RSIS
Good performance to run into 2nd beaten by 2L last start at Cranbourne and having second race start. Respect the betting.
Career
5: 0-0-0
Rating · IRD
70
Speed map
Offpace
First-up
2: 0-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Mornington
1: 0-0-0
Track Bendigo
1: 0-0-0
Track Happy Valley
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1000m
3: 0-0-0
Distance 1200m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1400m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
4: 0-0-0
Going Soft
1: 0-0-0
Jockey Booking
Negative
Less suitable jockey engaged
Hot Trainer
Positive
Ben, Will & Jd Hayes in good form, out performing market 49%
Profitable Trainer
Positive
Stable runners going at 37% POT in L100 Runners
Ideal Map
Positive
Map position exceeding market by 4%
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
AAP
Steps out for third Aust start. Form to date modest at best. Unable to make an impression at Mornington. Only for exotics.
ILB
Was $31.00 and moved through the field into 5th last time at Mornington. Likely to get back in the field. Others make far more appeal.
RP
Finished fifth, beaten 5l, (Mornington) 11 days ago; winless in three starts overseas; probably unlikely to trouble the principals.
RSIS
Odds of 30/1 and outpaced some runners late when 5th last run at Mornington. Likely to get back in the run.
Rating · IRD
20
Speed map
Leader
Gave ground LS
Negative
Faded towards the finish last time out
1st Up
Negative
May need this run
Raceday Experience
Positive
Wiser for debut run
AAP
Fronting up for second campaign (18-weeks). Ex P Stokes in Victoria. Had a low-key debut at Sale 28 Jun. Benefits from the experience. Will need to improve but watch market.
ILB
Back from a break. Was $2.80 and well beaten when 10th last run at Sale on a heavy rated track but having second career run.
RSIS
Back from a break. Started 9/5 and couldn't stay in touch when 10th last time at Sale on a heavy surface but was a debutant last start.
Rating · IRD
78
Speed map
Firststart
Current SR
Negative
Rider’s recent POT is returning 46% lower than Career Avg.
Rider
Negative
Negative rider change today
Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are out performing market expectations by 59%
Rider Poor SR
Negative
Jockey underperforming market expectations by 54% in L100 rides
Nice Barrier
Positive
Well drawn from gate 2
1st Up
Negative
May need this run
Debutant
Positive
First race day appearance
AAP
Dam won two races. In good hands and has shown enough at the jumpouts to be competitive here.
ILB
Racing as a debutant 3yo by Thronum for Jerome Hunter and can find a nice position from the draw. Craig Newitt adds value. Watch betting.
RP
Racing education begins here for this son of Thronum; sibling of High Rewards (6f winner); plenty of appeal with signs of encouragement in profile.
RSIS
Thronum 3yo having first race appearance for trainer Jerome Hunter and has a positive stall. Craig Newitt rates highly.
Rating · IRD
20
AAP
Unremarkable debut performance this track at wide odds 23 Oct. Experience gained. Place preferred option.
ILB
Looked flat when 7th last run at this track but having second career run.
RSIS
Underwhelming when 7th last time around here but fitter for debut run.
Career
3: 0-0-0
Rating · IRD
84
Speed map
Leader
First-up
2: 0-0-0
Track Cranbourne
1: 0-0-0
Track Bendigo
1: 0-0-0
Track Caulfield Heath
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1000m
2: 0-0-0
Distance 1100m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
2: 0-0-0
Going Soft
1: 0-0-0
Rider
Negative
Negative rider change today
Ideal Map
Positive
Map position exceeding market by 4%
Early Splits
Positive
Has early speed. An advantage on this circuit
Gave ground LS
Negative
Faded towards the finish last time out
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
AAP
In firing line but threw the towel in at Cranbourne first up. Fitter second-up. Can challenge.
ILB
Was $18.00 and faded to finish 7th last start at Cranbourne. Giving another go here. Won't be far away during the run. Right in the mix.
RP
Finished last of seven (Cranbourne) two weeks ago; makes limited appeal.
RSIS
Started 17/1 and struggled with the pace when 7th last run at Cranbourne. Expecting improvement here. Will be positive in the run early. Strong contender.
Career
1: 0-0-0
Rating · IRD
20
Speed map
Leader
First-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Geelong
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1125m
1: 0-0-0
Going Heavy
1: 0-0-0
Fast Early
Positive
Sectionals suggest goes hard early
AAP
Back for second campaign (19-weeks). Offered little to catch the eye on debut at Geelong under betting interest 19 Jun. Must show more.
ILB
Resuming after a spell. At $12.00 couldn't maintain the pace when 10th last start at Geelong but was a debutant last start.
RP
Beaten 9l when tenth on her debut (Geelong, 5½f) at 11-1 four months ago; returns from a layoff here; will need to progress to get off the mark.
RSIS
Resumes after a break. Started 11/1 and folded up in the straight when 10th last run at Geelong but fitter for debut run.
Rating · IRD
70
Speed map
Firststart
Rider SR
Positive
Jockey recent POT is 50% better than Career Avg.
Trainer SR
Negative
John Moloney striking at just 6%
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Trainer Recent
Negative
Stable runners are currently underperforming market by 23%
Key Jockey
Positive
Nadia Daniels winning at 46% POT in last 100 rides
Draw Suits
Positive
Well drawn inside
Still Learning
Negative
No race experience
AAP
Out of a half-sister to G1 winner La Bella Dama. Jumpouts have only been fair. Would need a strong market lead.
ILB
Nicconi 3yo having first race start for John Moloney and will appreciate a good draw. Betting is the best guide.
RP
First start under rules for this three-year-old daughter of Nicconi; cannot be ignored.
RSIS
3yo first starter by Nicconi for trainer John Moloney and gets a favourable draw.
Rating · IRD
82
Speed map
Firststart
Trainer Recent
Negative
Camp struggling with S/R just 13%
Trainer Recent
Negative
Stable runners are currently underperforming market by 22%
Debutant
Positive
First race day appearance
AAP
Dam's only foal to race is a maiden. Won a recent Flemington jumpout in good style. Expect a forward showing.
ILB
3yo first starter sired by Fierce Impact for trainer Tony Mcevoy & Calvin Mcevoy. Respect the betting.
RP
Represents a trainer with a strong record here with newcomers; one to take seriously as some good aspects to her profile.
RSIS
3yo by Fierce Impact racing as a debutant for trainer Tony Mcevoy & Calvin Mcevoy. Watch betting.