Ballarat (VIC) horses tips & previews

9 Nov, 2:00 am AEDT

One race at a time: field, form guide and win/place odds for Ballarat (VIC), with capture times on every price.

Meeting — Mon 2 Nov, 11:00 am AEDT

Meetings · Mon, 2 NovBallarat (VIC)Change

Race 3 — Winning Edge Presentations - Emerging Stars Mdn Plate 1200m · jumps Mon 2 Nov, 2:30 pm AEDT

Race preview

Welcome to Ballarat for the Winning Edge Presentations - Emerging Stars Maiden Plate over the 1200m on a Soft 7 track with showers hovering around. Punters sizing up the win market will find Hells Gates heading the betting order closely followed by Eleven Aye, Bella Blaze, and Overcast rounding out the top four in the market queue. With a mix of seasoned maiden participants and some intriguing first starters stepping out, sorting through this form line is a proper puzzle for the trackside faithful looking for value on race day.

Taking a closer look at the form, Overcast comes back for a second campaign after showing ability in three career starts, featuring a minor placing at Pakenham and a runner-up effort at Sale over further distances. The team has given this galloper time to mature with steady trial efforts, suggesting a forward showing fresh could be on the cards despite the jump in class. Meanwhile, Bella Blaze brings solid race experience with a placing at Bendigo following a strong finishing burst, and boasts a prior minor placing right here at Ballarat, making this runner a logical threat.

Down the list, we see speed mapping features a packed group of first starters like Diamond Virtue, Eleven Aye, Hells Gates, Prestige Valour, and Charming Chords, while Perfect Dismount is marked to push forward as a leader from barrier one. Overcast will settle midfield alongside Vellure, and Bella Blaze will be biding time as a backmarker hoping to run over the top of them late. It shapes as a fascinating yarn where market clues and early speed handling will dictate the result.

Race notes

3-5yo,34&5Y MDN-SW,Maiden
SOFT7
Showers
10 runners

Shortest win price

Hells Gates (5)

2.90

Speed map

Back left · leaders right

Firststart

1Diamond Virtue
4Eleven Aye
5Hells Gates
8Prestige Valour
10Charming Chords

Backmarker

12Bella Blaze

Midfield

3Overcast
9Vellure

Offpace

6Meritorious

Leader

7Perfect Dismount

Diamond Virtue · Positive
Hot J/T Combo
Combo are out performing market expectations by 89%
Overcast · Negative
Cold J/T Combo
Combo are losing -22% POT in their L100 Races
Eleven Aye · Negative
Trainer Career
Trainer Career S/R is 11%
Hells Gates · Negative
Trainer SR
T & C McEvoy striking at just 13%

No.RunnerBarWgtLast 5WinPlace

1Diamond VirtueJ: Luke Currie·T: M, W & J Hawkes559.5kg–$20.00$3.70

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Firststart

Figures

Jockey20%
Trainer100%
Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
Early Speed50%
Rating60%
Closing Speed50%

Insights

Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are out performing market expectations by 89%
Profitable Trainer
Positive
Stable runners going at 15% POT in L100 Runners
Watch Betting
Negative
If supported, follow in

Comments

AAP

Trials (2:0-0-0). $120k purchase. Out of a winning mare. Has shown talent at the jumpouts. Include.

ILB

First race appearance 4yo by Sweynesse for trainer Michael, Wayne And John Hawkes. Watch the market.

New Zealander bred; trainer gets plenty of debutant winners; already a gelding; related to Nothing Compares (winner from 1m up to 1m2f); needs considering with signs of encouragement in profile.

RSIS

4yo by Sweynesse first starter for trainer Michael, Wayne And John Hawkes.

2Fire TypeScratched6––––

Career

8: 0-1-3

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Onpace

BackLead

Figures

Jockey20%
Trainer100%
Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
Early Speed100%
Rating60%
Closing Speed50%

Record

First-up
2: 0-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-1
Third-up
1: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-0-1
Track Terang
1: 0-0-1
Track Colac
1: 0-0-1
Track Geelong
2: 0-0-1
Distance 1600m
2: 0-0-1
Distance 1606m
1: 0-1-0
Distance 1700m
1: 0-0-0
Going Soft
2: 0-0-1
Going Good
4: 0-1-1
Going Heavy
2: 0-0-1

Last starts

4Colac1000m22 Oct 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)4.2L
6Warrnambool1700m6 May 2026 · 3Y MDN-SW · HEAVY103.7L
3Terang1850m12 Apr 2026 · 3UP MDN-SW · HEAVY101.3L
2Ararat1606m30 Mar 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD31.3L
3Colac1600m1 Mar 2026 · 3yo+ · SOFT71.8L
5Pakenham1600m12 Feb 2026 · 3UP MDN-SW · GOOD44.8L
3Geelong1440m26 Jan 2026 · MDN-SW · GOOD43.3L
4Warrnambool1200m11 Jan 2026 · 3Y MDN-SW · GOOD31.7L

Insights

Rider
Negative
Negative rider change today
Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are winning 34% POT in their L100 Races
Hot Trainer
Positive
Symon Wilde in good form, out performing market 55%
Profitable Trainer
Positive
Stable runners going at 36% POT in L100 Runners
Improved L/S
Positive
Improved again last start
Resuming
Negative
Poor strike rate when first up

Comments

AAP

First-up (25-weeks). Not beaten far Maiden company at Warrnambool first-up last preparation. Has early speed. Expect will need this.

ILB

Resuming after a spell. Odds of $4.40 and finished 6th last start at Warrnambool and back in trip.

Not disgraced when sixth over 1m½f at Warrnambool (maiden) six months ago; best form so far in last two starts but winless with run of consecutive defeats standing at eight; returns from a layoff here; a few rivals look in good form so one to tread carefully with.

RSIS

Fresh after a break. Was 10/3 and ran 6th last start at Warrnambool and down in distance.

3OvercastJ: Brad Rawiller·T: E & D Browne459.5kg3 3 23: 0-1-2$6.50$2.15

Career

3: 0-1-2

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Midfield

BackLead

Figures

Jockey60%
Trainer60%
Jockey/Trainer Combo40%
Early Speed100%
Rating60%
Closing Speed80%

Record

First-up
1: 0-0-1
Second-up
1: 0-0-1
Third-up
1: 0-1-0
Track Seymour
1: 0-0-1
Track Pakenham
1: 0-0-1
Track Sale
1: 0-1-0
Distance 1519m
1: 0-1-0
Distance 1300m
1: 0-0-1
Distance 1400m
1: 0-0-1
Going Good
2: 0-1-1
Going Soft
1: 0-0-1

Last starts

2Sale1519m17 May 2026 · 2UP MDN-SW · GOOD41.3L
3Pakenham1400m1 May 2026 · 2UP MDN-SW · GOOD43.8L
3Seymour1300m13 Apr 2026 · 3yo+ · SOFT52.6L

Insights

Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -22% POT in their L100 Races
Map Suits
Positive
Suitable Map, where runners in this position outperform market by 4%
Ran On Hard LS
Positive
Ran on well last start
Lightly Raced
Positive
Limited race experience but shown potential
Ready To Fire
Positive
Shown something in last few runs
1st Up
Negative
May need this run
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
Consistent
Positive
Showing up at the business end

Comments

AAP

Returns for second campaign (24-weeks). Ran creditably in his first prep. Given further time to mature and brought along steadily with some solid trial efforts. Can play a role fresh in this line-up.

ILB

Fresh from a break. Flashed home late into 2nd last time at Sale and putting a tidy record together. Back to a shorter distance. Chance and can measure up.

Not beaten far when runner-up over 7½f at Sale (maiden) in May; has had some time off.

RSIS

Fresh today. Hit the line well when 2nd beaten by 1 1/4L last run at Sale and promising career start. Dropping in distance. Good prospects.

4Eleven AyeJ: Lachlan Neindorf·T: Phillip & Tommy Stokes1058kg–$4.40$1.65

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Firststart

Figures

Jockey20%
Trainer60%
Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
Early Speed50%
Rating60%
Closing Speed50%

Insights

Trainer Career
Negative
Trainer Career S/R is 11%
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -42% POT in their L100 Races
Trainer A2E
Negative
Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 27%
Watch Betting
Negative
If supported, follow in

Comments

AAP

Trials (1:1-0-0). Out of a Group 3-winning mare. Jumputs have been encouraging. Draw could be an issue but betting may provide a clearer picture.

ILB

3yo first starter sired by Shamus Award for trainer Phillip Stokes & Tommy Stokes. Watch the market moves.

This son of Shamus Award makes debut under rules; one to consider with signs of encouragement in profile.

RSIS

3yo runner on debut by Shamus Award for Phillip Stokes & Tommy Stokes.

5Hells GatesJ: John Allen·T: T & C Mcevoy358kg–$2.90$1.32

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Firststart

Figures

Jockey20%
Trainer60%
Jockey/Trainer Combo40%
Early Speed50%
Rating60%
Closing Speed50%

Insights

Trainer SR
Negative
T & C McEvoy striking at just 13%
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -21% POT in their L100 Races
Trainer Recent
Negative
Stable runners are currently underperforming market by 22%
On Debut
Positive
First race start

Comments

AAP

$400k purchase. Out of a stakes-winning mare. Well bred galloper who ran second in a recent Flemington jumpout. Go well.

ILB

Home Affairs 3yo trained by Tony Mcevoy & Calvin Mcevoy having first race appearance. Watch betting.

Course debutants for this trainer should be taken seriously; related to Jaz Tycoon, winning form over 7f-1m3f; already gelded; market confidence needed to make him of interest as he may not be a match for those with experience.

RSIS

3yo first starter sired by Home Affairs for Tony Mcevoy & Calvin Mcevoy. Respect the betting.

6MeritoriousJ: Luke Cartwright·T: P G Moody & Katherine Coleman958kg32: 0-0-1$17.00$3.70

Career

2: 0-0-1

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Offpace

BackLead

Figures

Jockey100%
Trainer20%
Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
Early Speed100%
Rating60%
Closing Speed50%

Record

First-up
1: 0-0-1
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Ballarat
2: 0-0-1
Track CurrentTrack
2: 0-0-1
Distance 1000m
1: 0-0-1
Distance 1200m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
2: 0-0-1

Last starts

3Ballarat1000m9 Oct 2026 · 3UP MDN-SW · GOOD41.5L

Insights

Jockey ROI
Positive
Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 55% in Last 100 Rides
Trainer SR
Negative
P & K Moody & Coleman striking at just 6%
Key Rider
Positive
Luke Cartwright 48% above market expected in L100 Rides
Trainer Recent
Negative
Stable runners are currently underperforming market by 57%
Hot Jockey
Positive
Luke Cartwright in hot recent form, out performing market expectation by 48%
Maps Well
Positive
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 10%
Fast Early
Positive
Sectionals suggest goes hard early
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

Left a decent impression on debut this course 9 Oct. Wiser for experience. Worth a look.

ILB

Rattled home nicely into 3rd beaten by 1 1/2L last time around here and was a debutant last start. Betting is the best guide.

Creditable debut third over 5f at 9-2 three weeks ago; must make above-average progress to figure.

RSIS

Claimed a spot in the top three when 3rd last start around here and fitter for debut run. Has some claims.

7Perfect DismountJ: Declan Bates·T: C Maher158kg9 4 5 24: 0-1-0$11.00$3.00

Career

4: 0-1-0

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Leader

BackLead

Figures

Jockey60%
Trainer80%
Jockey/Trainer Combo60%
Early Speed100%
Rating40%
Closing Speed50%

Record

First-up
2: 0-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-1-0
Third-up
1: 0-0-0
Track CurrentTrack
2: 0-0-0
Track Geelong
1: 0-1-0
Track Cranbourne
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1000m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1200m
2: 0-0-0
Distance 1247m
1: 0-1-0
Going Soft
1: 0-1-0
Going Good
3: 0-0-0

Last starts

2Geelong1247m7 Oct 2026 · 3yo+ · SOFT50.02L
5Ballarat1200m18 Sept 2026 · 3UP C · GOOD43.4L
4Caulfield Heath800m14 May 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)1.5L
9Cranbourne1000m27 Dec 2025 · 2Y HCP · GOOD37.5L

Insights

Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -25% POT in their L100 Races
Fast Early
Positive
Sectionals suggest goes hard early
Nice Barrier
Positive
Well drawn from gate 1
Improved L/S
Positive
Improved again last start
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

Showed courage and tenacity when nailed late on a soft deck 3yo+ Mdn at Geelong when second-up. Drawn to get a soft run. Sharper now, looks poised to shake his maiden.

ILB

Just missed last run at Geelong and gets a favourable gate. Should muster plenty of early toe. Will be tested in this.

Ran a good race in defeat at Geelong last month.

RSIS

Right in contention last run at Geelong and gets the perfect stall. Shows good early pace.

8Prestige ValourJ: Jake Noonan·T: Julius Sandhu858kg–$34.00$4.80

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Firststart

Figures

Jockey40%
Trainer60%
Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
Early Speed50%
Rating40%
Closing Speed50%

Insights

Trainer Recent
Negative
Camp struggling with S/R just 6%
Trainer Recent
Negative
Stable runners are currently underperforming market by 26%
Still Learning
Negative
No race experience

Comments

AAP

$100k purchase. Out of a half-sister to the stakes winner California Flag. Jumpouts have only been fair. Prefer to see.

ILB

Julius Sandhu trained 3yo by Harry Angel having first race appearance. Follow the money.

First race for the son of Harry Angel; sibling of Point Of Ecstasy (6f winner); could be hard to beat with signs of encouragement in profile.

RSIS

First appearance at the races 3yo by Harry Angel for trainer Julius Sandhu.

9VellureJ: Damian Lane·T: Lloyd Kennewell758kg7 72: 0-0-0$8.00$2.45

Career

2: 0-0-0

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Midfield

BackLead

Figures

Jockey100%
Trainer80%
Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
Early Speed20%
Rating60%
Closing Speed20%

Record

First-up
1: 0-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Ballarat Synthetic
1: 0-0-0
Track Bendigo
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1200m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1400m
1: 0-0-0
Going Soft
1: 0-0-0
Going Synthetic
1: 0-0-0

Last starts

7Bendigo1400m25 June 2026 · MDN-SW · SOFT66.8L
7Ballarat Synthetic1200m16 June 2026 · 2Y MDN-SW · SYNTHETIC3.4L

Insights

Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -21% POT in their L100 Races
1st Up
Negative
May need this run
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

Back for second campaign (18-weeks). Ex Shane Jackson in Victoria. Not out of it fresh in this line-up.

ILB

Resumes after a spell. Jumped at $8.50 and came in 7th last start at Bendigo. First appearance for a new trainer. Watch betting.

Beaten 7l in seventh over 7f at Bendigo (maiden) in June; back from an absence here; runs for a new yard here; others are preferred.

RSIS

Fresh today after a break. Started at 15/2 and finished 7th last start at Bendigo. Coming to a new trainer. Can't leave out of your calculations.

10Charming ChordsJ: Cian Macredmond·T: Ms M Cunningham257.5kg–$126.00$13.00

Career

1: 0-0-0

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Firststart

Figures

Jockey20%
Trainer80%
Jockey/Trainer Combo60%
Early Speed50%
Rating20%
Closing Speed50%

Record

First-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Ballarat
1: 0-0-0
Track CurrentTrack
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1200m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
1: 0-0-0

Insights

Current SR
Negative
Rider’s recent POT is returning 36% lower than Career Avg.
Rider Poor SR
Negative
Jockey underperforming market expectations by 54% in L100 rides
Drawn In
Positive
Suited drawn down low

Comments

AAP

Dam won five races. Has been safely held in her jumpouts. Would need a strong market lead.

ILB

4yo by Royal Symphony racing as a debutant for Melody Cunningham and will try to take advantage of the barrier. Market as guide.

This daughter of Royal Symphony makes first rules appearance; has a shout.

RSIS

Royal Symphony 4yo having first race start for Melody Cunningham and will try to take advantage of the draw.

11Gypsy StormScratched14––––

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Firststart

Figures

Jockey40%
Trainer20%
Jockey/Trainer Combo50%
Early Speed50%
Rating50%
Closing Speed50%

Insights

Still Learning
Negative
No race experience

Comments

AAP

Dam retired as a maiden but this mare won her latest jumpout at Pakenham. Use betting as a further guide.

ILB

First start at the races 4yo by Thunder Fire for Shannon Roughan. Keep your eye on the market.

RSIS

Shannon Roughan 4yo by Thunder Fire having first start.

12Bella BlazeJ: Neil Farley·T: Michelle Payne656kg3 8 23: 0-1-1$5.50$1.95

Career

3: 0-1-1

Rating · IRD

100

Speed map

Backmarker

BackLead

Figures

Jockey40%
Trainer80%
Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
Early Speed100%
Rating100%
Closing Speed100%

Record

First-up
2: 0-1-1
Track Ballarat
1: 0-0-1
Track CurrentTrack
1: 0-0-1
Track Flemington
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1000m
1: 0-1-0
Distance 1200m
1: 0-0-1
Distance 1400m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
3: 0-1-1

Last starts

2Bendigo1000m17 Oct 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD33L
8Flemington1400m16 May 2026 · 2Y HCP · GOOD46.6L
3Ballarat1200m30 Apr 2026 · 2YF MDN-SW · GOOD31.4L

Insights

Fast Finisher
Positive
Fastest Overall Finishing Sectionals Last Start
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Map Suits
Positive
Suitable Map, where runners in this position outperform market by 4%
Fast Early
Positive
Sectionals suggest goes hard early
Ran On Hard LS
Positive
Ran on well last start
Lightly Raced
Positive
Limited race experience but shown potential
Track Exp
Positive
Knows this track well
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

Posted some decent efforts from three appearances. Made steady inroads but the winner was out of reach at Bendigo off long spell. Better for the outing. Right in the mix again.

ILB

Attacked the line when 2nd beaten by 3L last start at Bendigo and solid career start. Shows good closing speed. Entitled to be respected in betting.

Finished a decent second of nine over 5f at Bendigo (maiden) last month.

RSIS

Produced an eye catching run when 2nd beaten by 3L last run at Bendigo and good career start. Shows very good finishing pace. Will attract plenty of interest.

13Front Page EditionScratched11––––

Career

1: 0-0-1

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Midfield

BackLead

Figures

Jockey20%
Trainer80%
Jockey/Trainer Combo80%
Early Speed20%
Rating60%
Closing Speed80%

Record

First-up
1: 0-0-1
Track Cranbourne
1: 0-0-1
Distance 1000m
1: 0-0-1
Going Good
1: 0-0-1

Last starts

3Cranbourne1000m16 Oct 2026 · 3Y MDN-SW · GOOD34.5L

Insights

Maps Well
Positive
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 13%
Raceday Experience
Positive
Wiser for debut run
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

No match but ran on for the minors at Cranbourne on debut as a betting firmer 16 Oct. Better for race exposure. Looks more a place prospect.

ILB

Managed to place 3rd beaten by 4 1/2L last run at Cranbourne and having second career run.

Beaten 4½l to finish third on debut at Cranbourne at 6-1 two weeks ago; could improve but still hard to see her winning here.

RSIS

Came on strongly when 3rd last run at Cranbourne and was on debut last time.

14SabrinaScratched10––––

Career

2: 0-0-0

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Onpace

BackLead

Figures

Jockey40%
Trainer60%
Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
Early Speed20%
Rating60%
Closing Speed50%

Record

First-up
1: 0-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Ballarat
2: 0-0-0
Track CurrentTrack
2: 0-0-0
Distance 1200m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1000m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
2: 0-0-0

Last starts

5Ballarat1000m30 Sept 2026 · 3YF MDN-SW · GOOD46.1L

Insights

Blinkers On
Positive
Trainer has opted for the Blinkers on, take note

Comments

AAP

4 weeks since last run. Had a low-key debut this venue 30 Sep. Better for the run. Looks a safer place proposition.

ILB

Was $9.00 and passed some rivals in the late stages when 5th last start at this venue and fitter for debut run.

Came home fifth over 5f on her debut here at 8-1 five weeks ago; needs to make above-average progress.

RSIS

Odds of 8/1 and made some ground when 5th last run here and having second career run.

Odds correct as at Mon 2 Nov, 2:40 pm AEDT. Odds can change.

Past meetings

Fri 23 Oct, 11:00 am AEDT · 9 races
Fri 9 Oct, 11:00 am AEDT · 10 races
Wed 30 Sept, 10:00 am AEST · 8 races
Fri 18 Sept, 10:00 am AEST · 9 races